ADVANTAGE AUSTRIA INDUSTRY REPORT · 2020-04-28 · future.lab, Technical University of Vienna...
Transcript of ADVANTAGE AUSTRIA INDUSTRY REPORT · 2020-04-28 · future.lab, Technical University of Vienna...
ADVANTAGE AUSTRIA INDUSTRY REPORT USA
THE FUTURE OF PERSONAL MOBILITY
TRENDS FROM SILICON VALLEY
MOBILITY SERVICES OF THE FUTURE
AUTONOMOUS DRIVING
ELECTROMOBILITY & CONNECTIVITY
INDUSTRY EVENTS
OPPORTUNITIES & SUCCESS FACTORS IN SILICON VALLEY
ADVANTAGE AUSTRIA OFFICE, SAN FRANCISCO
OCTOBER 2019
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Contents
Contents ........................................................................................... 3
Foreword .......................................................................................... 4
1. Introduction ................................................................................. 5
2. Trends in the USA Mobility Market / California / Silicon Valley ..................... 8
2.1 Mobility Services / Shared Mobility ..................................................... 8
2.2 Automation / Automated Driving ...................................................... 14
2.3 Electrification / Electromobility ....................................................... 16
2.4 Connectivity ............................................................................... 18
2.5 Excursus: From Horizontal to Vertical Mobility ...................................... 20
2.6 Excursus: Quantum Computing in the Transport Sector ............................ 22
3. Actors in the Silicon Valley Mobility Ecosystem ....................................... 25
3.1 Business / Enterprises ................................................................... 25
3.2 Academia / Research .................................................................... 37
3.3 Goverment / State ....................................................................... 38
3.4 Interaction between business, academia and government: The role of labs .... 38
4. From Testing to Implementation: Framework Conditions, Strategies and Measures, using the Example of San Francisco ...................................................................... 42
4.1 Strategies and Measures for New Mobility Offerings ................................ 43
4.2 The Process Around E-Scooter Sharing ................................................ 46
5. Opportunities & Success Factors for Austrian Companies, Academic Actors and Cities in Silicon Valley ............................................................................................. 49
5.1 Success Factors for Companies in Silicon Valley ..................................... 49
5.2 Opportunities in the Area of Integrated Platforms .................................. 52
5.3 Opportunities in the Area of E-Mobility ............................................... 52
5.4 Opportunities in the Area of Automated Driving .................................... 52
5.5 Cooperation Agreement between the Austrian Economic Chamber and Stanford University 53
6. Industry Events and Trade Fairs ......................................................... 54
7. Resources & Points of Contact ........................................................... 57
8. Participating Individuals and Institutions ............................................... 63
9. Bibliography ................................................................................ 65
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Foreword
Mobility affects us all. In our day-to-day lives, we depend on being able to complete journeys reliably and at a
reasonable price – and expect frictionless interaction with a diverse assortment of products and services.
Mobility also shapes our free time; indeed, to such a degree that the journey itself is now often the goal.
Now, at the beginning of the twenty-first century, we stand on the precipice of fundamental global change
propelled by two central drivers: the transition to sustainable mobility and the digitalization of transport.
First of all, it is no longer possible to ignore the fact that transport produced by this mobility behavior is a
major cause of CO2 emissions. In the USA and Europe alike, around a third of greenhouse gases are
produced by transport, with around two thirds of this being attributable to road traffic. These figures, along
with the prognosis of further growth in the sector, highlight the urgent need to act – whereby the trend for
growth is supported by the electrification of transport and the emergence of alternative means of transport,
primarily in the urban realm (see e-scooters and e-bicycles). Secondly, digitalization is impacting on the
entire economic sector, which stands on the precipice of its own fundamental change. Since around 2010,
traditional big hitters in the mobility, automotive and automotive supply sectors have faced a new competitive
situation, as have national and local transport companies and infrastructure operators. Influential
technology companies, many based in Silicon Valley, have begun to tap the market for themselves. As a
result of automation and connectivity, established business models and rationales have been called into
question, while new business areas are opening up. In Europe, where 3.3 million workers are directly and
indirectly dependent on automotive production alone, it is impossible to understate the significance of this
change. Organizations who wish to remain competitive and fit for purpose in the coming years must
recognize these trends and proactively contribute to shaping the future.
This study was compiled by the future.lab and the aspern.mobil LAB at the Vienna University of Technology
for and with the Advantage Austria office in San Francisco. Its goal is to give an in-depth insight into the
globally unique innovation ecosystem of Silicon Valley, where innovators are forging the (mobility) world of
tomorrow. To this end, it draws on numerous interviews, personal discussions, findings from recent
literature and the exchange of experiences regarding innovations in the mobility sector. It presents specific
examples and analyses of the effects of the change, which are already beginning to characterize the day-to-
day life and urban landscape of the San Francisco Bay Area. Moreover, it illustrates that business, science
and government must cooperate on a local and (intern)national level to overcome the associated complex
large-scale challenges.
The report identifies a number of fields in which Austrian organizations possess specialist know-how and
examines how such know-how may be leveraged to respond to current demand in Silicon Valley and achieve
entry into the US market. In a more general sense, it seeks to contribute to an enhanced understanding of
the rapidly occurring changes in the mobility sector and how these may be exploited as an opportunity to
actively co-shape the future of mobility.
Mathias Mitteregger Georg Fürlinger
future.lab, Technical University of Vienna Advantage Austria office, San Francisco
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1. Introduction
Mobility is experiencing the start of a seismic shift. In the current scientific and transport policy discourse,
four key trends form the center of focus; these will not only play a role in the longer-term reshaping of the
sector, but are also making increasing inroads in the here-and-now, particularly in personal mobility. 1
These trends are (1) automation, (2) electrification, (3) shared mobility or mobility services (‘Mobility as a
Service’) and (4) connectivity. 2,3,4 The mobility market is vast. Around the world, the automotive industry
invested around $120 billion in automated driving, electromobility, shared mobility/Mobility as a Service and
connected driving in 2017 and 2018 alone. 5
Figure 1: Overview of the mobility trends currently exerting effects on the mobility market (source: own illustration)
Particularly in the personal mobility sector, the focus to date has been on vehicle ownership – yet this
represents one of the most significant ever misallocations of economic resources, since the average car is
only used for one to two hours per day. The development of efficient, shared and ever-more individualized
products is increasingly gaining traction, with rising numbers of new offerings from the digital (often startup-based) platform economy. 6 Initially, these offerings focused on the car (car-sharing). Today, they
also extend to bicycles and e-scooters, which are now offered by a variety of companies and are available in
many cities worldwide.
IT companies – and startups with abundant risk capital – are contributing particularly to the development of
1 see Rammler 2019: 126 2 see McKinsey&Company 2016: 12 3 see Bormann et al. 2018: 18 4 see Deloitte 2017: 2 5 see Holland-Letz et al. 2019 6 see Bormann et al. 2018: 12
Mobility market
Automation
Sharedmobility
Connect-ivity
Electro-mobility
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new driving and usage concepts for vehicles on the basis of their digital expertise. Moreover, such
companies are increasingly moving into other areas, thus exposing established mobility market actors –
public transport operators as well as traditional automotive companies – to increasing levels of new
competition. This applies above all to the urban mobility markets, since these have the greatest degree of
individualization and flexibility and thus the most favorable conditions for establishing new digital platform
economies. 7 Particularly in cities, public transport is comparatively well developed and most people can
access key transport hubs by foot. This encourages the use of car-free mobility styles and the uptake of
sharing options. 8
For companies already established in the mobility market, including traditional car manufacturers and
public transport operators, these trends signify a major upheaval and have ushered in an increasing level of
discourse around their role. Already, we are witnessing the beginning of a shift from traditional automotive
manufacturers to mobility service providers. This shift, along with the work occurring around the four key
mobility trends, presents complex challenges – not only for companies in the sector (be they traditional
automotive companies or IT companies), but also for actors such as cities. Such challenges can usually no
longer be overcome in isolation. Even now, partnerships and cooperation agreements between individual
automotive companies (e.g. the joint venture between Daimler and BMW)9, between automotive companies
and startups (e.g. investments by Ford and VW in the startup Argo.ai) 10 and between automotive companies
and IT companies (e.g. Jaguar and Waymo) 11 are illustrating that collaboration between different actors is
essential in the context of these new mobility trends and is likely to increase in the future. In a similar vein,
the new mobility solutions associated with these trends are focused strongly on urban areas, which is
ushering in increasing cooperation or coordination between companies and urban actors. This can already
be seen in the case of the e-scooter, for which new regulations have been drawn up in a variety of cities
around the world. To this end, e-scooter companies and the city administration are required to work ever
more closely together.
This report is intended to provide an overview of the developments surrounding the four mobility trends, with
a particular focus on the situation in Silicon Valley. The different actors in the Silicon Valley mobility
ecosystem will be highlighted and described. Finally, the report will present potential opportunities for
Austrian companies, cities and research institutions. It will also describe how different actors can learn from
one another regarding developments around the trends, and how know-how can be built up.
Why Silicon Valley?
Silicon Valley plays a key global role in the field of innovative technologies and new trends and remains the
undisputed star of the global startup and innovation scene. There are a multitude of factors that make the
San Francisco Bay Area such a unique innovation ecosystem: above all, the diversity of the people and the
breadth of (technology) questions addressed here, which are unrivalled throughout the rest of the world.
More than half of startup founders come from outside the United States, with worldwide leading universities
and research institutions providing much of the intellectual capital and talent that underpin disruptive
companies. In addition, large sums of venture capital – over 40% of US-wide venture capital financing – help
promising ideas to reach market maturity at a record pace. It is the close-knit networks of relationships
between people in different fields, embedded in a culture of openness and experimentation, that create this
fertile ground for innovation. 12
Particularly within the mobility sector, it is clear that Silicon Valley is the place to watch for the emerging
trends of tomorrow. Furthermore, it is clear that major changes are taking place and that there are
numerous emerging providers set to change the market in the long term. In the United States,
approximately 500 mobility companies – most of them new to the sector – have received around $55 billion
7 see Bormann et al. 2018: 12 8 see bmvit 2016: 29 9 see Daimler 2019a 10 see Manager Magazin 2019 11 see Jaguar 2018 12 see Fürlinger 2014
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in investments since 2010, , which places the US well ahead of China and Germany. Despite the overall size
of the United States, half of these companies are located in the San Francisco Bay Area and thus in and
around Silicon Valley.13, 14
Figure 2: Countries with the highest numbers of new companies in the mobility sector and total sum of15
That these mobility trends are emerging primarily in and around Silicon Valley is no accident. Together, the
four trends constitute a large market. Technology firms located in Silicon Valley, in particular, are engaging
increasingly with these trends and exploring new business models, while the region’s venture capitalists are
investing increasingly in startups founded around mobility trends. Alongside this, traditional automotive
industry players – increasing numbers of whom have branches and innovation centers in the region – shift
their own research and development budgets to ready themselves for future developments. 16
Aside from this, Silicon Valley’s mentality, culture and relatively poor public
transport situation – which, unlike Europe, often leaves no other option than
taking the car – create exceptionally favorable framework conditions for the
emergence of new solutions around these four trends. The same applies for the
USA’s relatively flexible legislation, which, for example, permits the testing of
automatic vehicles on Californian public roads. The Silicon Valley mobility
ecosystem is further characterized by a particularly close link between academic
actors (e.g. Stanford University and UC Berkeley) and companies, one that is also
increasingly seen in cooperation with actors from public institutions (cities). This
close relationship is a powerful driver of developments in the area of the four new
mobility trends, which means the time to implementation of new mobility
solutions is also greatly accelerated – much in the fashion of a life-sized test
laboratory. Ultimately, it is the specific ecosystem of Silicon Valley and the
interplay of numerous actors and factors that are responsible for its innovative
pre-eminence.
13 A few years ago, Silicon Valley was mainly contained with the region around Stanford University, between the towns of Redwood City
and San José. In the intervening period, it has become geographically synonymous with the entire San Francisco/San Jose Bay area,
including all the localities in between, and often also the region between Berkeley and Fremont in the East Bay. 14 see Kässer et al. 2017: 6 15 see ibid. 16 see Krieg et al. (2018): 14
“The USA has fewer
regulations and,
particularly in Silicon
Valley, a different
culture to the rest of the
world. This means that
in many cases, mobility
solutions are simply
deployed and tested on
the streets: ‘Fail and
Optimize’, not ‘Ask for
Permission’”.
Expert view from
Perceptive Automata
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2. Trends in the USA Mobility Market / California / Silicon Valley
As noted in the introduction of the report, the four mobility trends can be observed to a large extent in the
current mobility market in California and Silicon Valley. Current developments relating to these four trends
in California are described briefly in the following.
2.1 Mobility Services / Shared Mobility
The concept of “shared mobility” denotes mobility services enabling shared use by different individuals.17
Such services straddle the gap between individual and public mobility and facilitate access to transport
without needing to own it.18 Provision and booking is usually arranged via an app and/or an internet platform,
and there are typically two tariff options for users to choose from. With ‘pay as you go’, which is offered by
the majority of providers, users pay solely for their actual use of the service (with rates also being time and
location-dependent); however, providers are increasingly also offering mobility packages with a specific
amount of kilometers/minutes or all-in-one flat rates (subscription services), paid by monthly payment. 19
The latter, for example, was introduced by Uber in the form of its Ride Pass in summer 2019. 20 Moreover,
mobility services are increasingly focused on the integration and combination of different (public and private)
transport offerings and modes of transport via a single, digital access portal (platform, app), thereby
allowing mobility solutions to be adapted and tailored to individual needs (Mobility as a Service, MaaS).21
A variety of (mostly commercial) shared mobility providers have emerged in recent years, many from the
United States and from San Francisco in particular. Currently, transport options are provided to customers
via two different location systems: station-based (whereby facilities are borrowed from and returned to fixed
stations/locations) and ‘free-floating’ or ‘dockless’ (station-independent). Furthermore, shared mobility
services can be differentiated according to whether they facilitate the sharing of modes of transport (e.g. car
sharing, bike sharing) or rides (e.g. ride sharing). Though most shared mobility services were initially
focused on cars (e.g. car sharing, ride sharing, ride hailing), recent years have shown a differentiation in
terms of transport mode, with (e-)bike sharing and (e-)scooter sharing finding their way into the US
(predominantly the Californian) mobility market since 2017-2018. 22 As such, it is possible to distinguish
between various types of shared mobility within this market. For clarity, it is meaningful to divide them
roughly according to the usual distance of trips over which these services are used, i.e. 1) short distances, 2)
short to medium distances and 3) medium to long distances (Tab. 1).
Table 1: Overview of the different types of shared mobility in the mobility market
Short distances
(0 to 5 miles)
Short to medium distances
(5 to 15 miles)
Medium to long distances
(over 15 miles)
(E-)scooter sharing
(free-floating) Ride hailing Car sharing
(station-based)
(E-)bike sharing (station-based) Ride sharing
Car Sharing
(free-floating)
(E-)bike sharing
(free-floating) Microtransit
Car Sharing
(peer-to-peer)
17 see bmvit 2016: 15 18 see Kollosche & Schwedes 2016: 26 19 see Soteropoulos et al. 2019: 192 20 see Uber 2019 21 see Jittrapirom et al. 2017: 14 22 see Clewlow 2018
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1) Short distances (micromobility)
Short trips are currently catered for by (e-)scooter sharing and (e-)bike sharing
options. While the former mostly consists of free-floating or dockless models,
(e-)bike sharing is offered in both a free-floating and station-based form. 23
Recent years have seen considerable change in the segment. The number of
trips taken using these services has more than quadrupled in the USA over the
last five years, with a particular boom since the start of (e-)scooter sharing in
2018.
Figure 3: Number of trips taken using micromobility solutions in the USA from
2010 to 201824
A glance at the sales growth of the providers in this area shows a significant rise in transactions in the e-
scooter segment (Lime and Bird), especially in the last two years. A similar change can also be seen in regard
to bicycle sharing (Jump Bikes and Motivate).
23 see NACTO 2018: 2 24 see NACTO 2018: 4
“It’s not only in the USA,
but all over the world
that companies are
getting their e-scooters
out on the streets.
Currently, where
resources allow, their
aim is to accomplish this
as quickly as possible.
But the business case
must also be there,
which is why, for now,
they’re focusing mainly
on larger cities.” Project Manager, Lime
Sharing bicycles and
scooters can now be
found lining the
streets in many parts
of San Francisco.
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Figure 4: Sales growth of individual micromobility companies, sales index compiled by Bird as at October 201725
Micromobility providers can now be found in many cities in the USA. Currently, activity is most concentrated
in California, where providers are represented in a total of twelve cities and the trend for the number of
cities is increasing. In larger cities like San Francisco and San Jose, both station-based (e-)bike sharing and
(e-) scooter sharing is available. Three cities only offer (e-)scooter sharing (Figure 5).
Figure 5: Micromobility in the USA26
Figure 6 shows how many (e-)bike and/or (e-)scooters are available in individual
cities in California. From this, it is clear that (e-)bike sharing dominates in the Bay
Area (San Francisco and San Jose), while in Los Angeles or San Diego, there are significantly more (e-)scooters
than bikes available.27
25 see FutureEngine 2018 26 see NACTO 2018: 3 27 This difference is described in more detail in Chapter 4.
“There are already a
number of attempts to
integrate e-scooters
with other types of
transport in an
intermodal fashion (e.g.
in transport apps). Some
cities have already seen
the “loose integration”
of Lime e-scooters in
Google Maps.”
Project Manager, Lime
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Figure 6: Number of bicycles and scooters offered by providers in individual cities in California28
2) Short to medium distances
In the USA and particularly in California, ride hailing is increasingly popular as a solution for short to
medium-distance trips. In a ride hailing system, customers are picked up by other drivers. The travel
operator is a commercial platform provider like Uber or Lyft. In contrast to ride sharing (public carpooling),
the sole purpose of the driver’s trip is to pick up a third person. The connection between driver and
passenger is brokered by the platform.29
While the concept of ride sharing was nothing new, ride hailing
services first arrived in the USA in 2011 in the form of Uber. Such
services are now used increasingly frequently and play an
important role in everyday mobility, particularly in California
cities. In a US-wide survey in 2015, just 15% of those questioned
reported using ride hailing services; by 2018, this had risen to
35%, more than double the proportion from three years before
(Figure 7).30 Over recent years, it has also been observed that
although ride hailing is used by an increasing number of people in
the USA, they do so on an increasingly infrequent basis.31
The ride hailing market is characterized
primarily by the presence of Uber and
increasingly that of Lyft. While Lyft
operates in more than 300 cities in the
USA and two in Canada, Uber is currently
offered in more than 600 cities and 65
countries worldwide. 32 Other providers
on the US market include Juno, Gett and
Via. 33 Didl and Grab operate within the
sector, but are more strongly
represented in the Asian market.
28 vgl. NACTO 2018: 6 29 vgl. Sommer 2016: 29 30 vgl. Jiang 2019 31 vgl. Deloitte 2019: 4 f 32 vgl. Iqbal: 2019 33 vgl. Molla 2018
“In US cities, ride hailing
services offer strong
competition not only for
private vehicles, but for
public transport too. As
such, from a city and
traffic planning
perspective, the
potential benefits of ride
hailing are seen
primarily to exist during
off-peak hours.” Researcher, University
of Berkeley
Figure 7: Survey results from 2015 und 2018
regarding the use of ride hailing services in
the USA
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A glance at monthly sales in the USA since 2016 (Figure 8) shows a significant increase in the US market. It
is further clear that the market is dominated primarily by Uber (69 %), but that
Lyft has gained significant market share in the past two years in particular.34
Figure 8: Change in monthly ride-hailing sales between 2016 and March 201913
*indexed to rideshare Jan 2016 sales (=100)
3) Medium to long distances
For discussions of shared mobility for medium to long distances in the USA
(primarily California), car sharing is of particular note. Car sharing services have
existed in the USA since around the year 2000. While most car sharing systems
were initially station-based, increasing digitalization and the prevalence of
smartphones mean that free-floating car sharing models are now on the rise.35
The car sharing segment is also exhibiting growth; however, this has been
somewhat slower in recent years, a development attributable to competition
from other, partially overlapping shared mobility offerings.36 In absolute terms,
the number of members registered with car sharing providers increased
significantly between 2006 and 2016, as did the number of car sharing vehicles.
However, these numbers levelled off over the last two years of this period
(Figure 9).
34 vgl. Gessner 2019 35 see Populus 2018: 8 36 see Roberts 2017
Sowohl der Ride-
Hailing-Anbieter Lyft als
auch Uber haben im
Jahr 2019 den Sprung an
die Börse geschafft.
Car sharing facilities,
like this GIG Car Share
vehicle, can be found in
numerous streets
across San Francisco.
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Figure 9: Change in the number of members and vehicles registered with car sharing providers in the USA from 2006 to
201637
4) Comparison
In retrospect, it is clear that the adoption rate of shared mobility services in the USA has been significantly
faster for newer offerings such as ride hailing or (e-)scooter sharing than it was for previous offerings such
as car sharing or (e-)bike sharing. While, for example, the adoption rate for (e-)scooters was as high as 3.6%
during the first year, car sharing saw an initial adoption rate of only around 0.9% (Figure 10). This is partly
due to the rising prevalence of smartphones in the USA over recent years, which has enabled these new
offerings to be accessed by more people. It is further attributable to the increased availability of private
capital for startups in the mobility sector, which has enabled companies to make larger numbers of vehicles
available in a shorter time.38
Figure 10: Adoption rate of various shared mobility offerings following their first year of availability in the USA 39
37 see Shaheen et al. 2018: 3 38 see Populus 2018: 8 f 39 see Clewlow 2018
0.9%
1.6%
4.3%
3.6%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
Car sharing(available since 2000)
Bike sharing(available since 2010)
Ride hailing(available since 2011)
E-scooter sharing(available since 2018)
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2.2 Automation / Automated Driving
Automated driving refers to the (complete) takeover of a vehicle’s longitudinal
(maintenance of speed, acceleration and braking) and lateral (steering) controls by
an automated system. 40 The J3016 standard from the Society of Automotive
Engineers (SAE) defines six levels of driving automation (Table 2). Table 2: Levels of automation41
40 see VDA 2015 41 see SAE International 2018: 19
Level Name Narrative Definition Execution of Steering and
Acceleration/Deceleration
Monitoring of
Driving
Environment-
Fallback
Performance of
Dynamic Driving
Task
System
Capability
(Driving
Modes)
Human driver performs the dynamic driving task
0 No Driving
Automation
The full-time performance by the
human driver of all aspects of the
dynamic driving task, even when
enhanced by warning or intervention
systems.
Human driver Human driver None n/a
1 Driver Assistance
The driving mode-specific execution
by a driver assistance system of either
steering or acceleration/deceleration
using information about the driving
environment and with the expectation
that the human driver performs all
remaining aspects of the dynamic
driving task.
Human driver and system Human driver Human driver Some driving
modes
2
Partial Driving
Automation
The driving mode-specific execution
by one or more driver assistance
systems of both steering and
acceleration/deceleration using
information about the driving
environment and with the expectation
that the human driver performs all
remaining aspects of the dynamic
driving task..
System Human driver Human driver Some driving
modes
System performs the dynamic driving task
3
Conditional
Driving
Automation
The driving mode-specific
performance by an automated driving
system of all aspects of the dynamic
driving task with the expectation that
the human driver will respond
appropriately to a request to
intervene.
System System
Human driver is
prepared to act as
fallback (system
reverts to human
driver on the
fallback level)
Some driving
modes
4 High Driving
Automation
The driving mode-specific
performance by an automated driving
system of all aspects of the dynamic
driving task, even if a human driver
does not respond appropriately to a
request to intervene.
System System System Some driving
modes
5 Full Driving
Automation
The driving mode-specific
performance by an automated driving
system of all aspects of the dynamic
driving task under all roadway and
environmental conditions that can be
managed by a human driver.
System System Human driver All driving
modes
Automated test vehicles,
like this one from GM
Cruise, are tested on
some of San Francisco’s
streets.
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Partial driving automation functions (Level 2) such as congestion assistants are
increasingly being integrated into production vehicles. The Tesla ‘Autopilot’
function, which is built into the many Tesla cars sold in California and across the
rest of the USA, is also designed to conform to this level. This means that the
driver is required to continuously monitor the system and be ready to resume
control of the vehicle at any time if so required.
In addition, California is one of the US federal states in which higher levels of
automated driving are permitted to be tested on public roads. However, it is
mandatory for a safety driver to be present in the vehicle and to monitor the
system. There are now 63 companies with a license to test automated vehicles in
California (as at August 2019), with this number having increased significantly in
recent years (Figure 11).
Figure 11: Change in the number of companies with a license to test automated vehicles on public roads in California from 2015 to 201942
While companies initially displayed great euphoria in regard to the possibilities
of automated driving, it is becoming ever clearer that the automation of vehicles
represents a major challenge – one requiring a significant amount of effort,
resources and time. An increasing number of test kilometers have been driven
both on public roads and in simulators over recent years, and a fresh spate of
new startups have been founded around automated driving. Nevertheless, the
development of fully automated ‘Level 5’ vehicles is still some way in the future.
Waymo is currently the only company in California with a license to test vehicles
without drivers. Its tests, including for the company’s automated ride hailing
service (Waymo One), take place amongst others in Chandler, Arizona. Despite
the license, the tests continue to be accompanied by a safety driver and to take
place over a very limited area already frequently used for testing purposes. 43
Currently, only the companies Zoox, AutoX, Pony.ai and Waymo hold permits to
operate automated ride hailing services (“Derived AV Passenger Services”) in
California; 44 however, Daimler and Bosch are also seeking to offer this type of
service in a small, restricted area between the city center and West San Jose by
the end of 2019. 45 At the end of May 2018, the California Public Utilities
Commission (CPUC) adopted the pilot program “Driverless AV Passenger
Service”, which will enable automated ride hailing to be operated without a safety driver in future; however, a
connection must always be maintained between the passengers and the “remote operators”. Such systems,
which are allowed to operate only in particular areas and under particular conditions, correspond to
automated driving level 4.
42 see California Department of Motor Vehicles 2019a 43 see Marshall 2018 44 see California Public Utilities Commission 2019 45 see Daimler 2019b
„There are still lots of
challenges on the
fundamental research,
on the fundamental
engineering and on the
product side” … “the
challenge of actually
building a real product
and deploying it so that
people can use it has
turned to be more
difficult than I expected.”
Dmitri Dolgov,
CTO Waymo
7 1120
48
63
0
20
40
60
80
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
“Services with
automated vehicles will
be available in the
United States in the near
future, particularly in
areas where the vehicles
are able to operate
safely. However, the
initial profit that can be
made with these
services will be
mediocre.”
Project Manager,
Perceptive Automata
“In recent times,
companies have
somewhat lowered their
expectations regarding
the speed of
technological
advancement.” Professor working on
mobility research at the
University of California,
Berkeley
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Due to the complexity involved, it seems unlikely, in the foreseeable
future, that there will be an app with which riders can be picked up
from their desired location (e.g. Palo Alto) and driven automatically to a
specified destination; even Waymo does not seem likely to accomplish
this.46 What is conceivable is that the areas in which the above-
described services are offered will be expanded. The great
automation challenge also requires companies, particularly traditional
automotive manufacturers and technology companies, to come
together with greater conviction and recognize that in questions of
mobility, they are dependent on one another.47
2.3 Electrification / Electromobility
Against a background of resource scarcity and climate change, alternative drive concepts, particularly
electric vehicles are gaining traction in comparison to fossil fuels. In the short to medium term, the electric
drive appears to be the most sustainable way of minimizing vehicle air and sound emissions, and is also the
most feasible from a product technology perspective. 48 The tendency towards electrification is most evident
in the car sector, but can also be seen in bicycles (e-bikes) and scooters (e-scooters).
Discussions of electric vehicles differentiate between the following two types:49
Battery electric vehicles, BEVs: In these types of vehicles, an electric
motor generates drive energy entirely from a charged battery.
Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles, PHEVs: A combination of conventional
internal combustion engine and electric motor, whereby the electric
motor has a rechargeable battery.
In the USA, the trend towards vehicle electrification is most prominent in
California. This is due, among other things, to the state’s policy goals and to its
existing initiatives for subsidizing the purchase of e-vehicles.50 A glance at the
change in sales figures for electrically powered vehicles (BEVs, PHEVs) in the
USA over the last decade shows a considerable rise in the number of vehicles
sold (Figure 12), with the increase being particular significant in California. 2017
saw 96,000 electrically powered vehicles sold in California alone – half of all
electrically powered vehicles sold in the USA, despite the fact that California
only has 12 % of the country’s population. The number of electric vehicles in
California doubled between 2013 and 2017. A total of 366,000 electric vehicles
have been sold in California since 2010, which means the state accounts for 49%
of all electric vehicles sold in the USA (749,000 total) during that period.
46 see Beiker 2019a 47 see ibid. 48 see Bormann et al. 2018: 13 49 see Kollosche & Schwedes 2016: 19 f 50 see Lutsey 2018: 13
“For smaller vehicles, in
particular, the electric
drive system appears to
be the current most
sustainable solution. For
larger or heavier vehicles
like buses or trucks, the
hydrogen drive system
has certain advantages.”
Professor working on
drive technologies,
Stanford University
In February 2018,
Governor of California
Edmund G. Brown
passed an implementing
regulation stating that a
total of five million
electric vehicles should
be on the roads of
California by the year
2030.
“In particular, the Uber accident in
Arizona in 2018 prompted renewed
caution among companies
conducting automated vehicle tests
in California. They are wary of
another accident that with
consequences for the evolution of
automated vehicles, especially their
acceptance by the general
population.”
Expert and keynote speaker on the
subject of automated driving
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Figure 12: Sales figures of electrically powered vehicles in California, the other nine ZEV states and the rest of the
federal states from 2010 to 201751
California also leads the other US states in regard to the share of electric vehicles in all newly registered
vehicles, with a share of 7.8% in 2018 compared to 1.96% for the USA as a whole. Moreover, this share has
increased most significantly in recent years (Figure 13).52 For comparison, the share was 2.54 %53 in Austria
in 2018 and 2.2% worldwide.54
Figure 13: Change in the share of electrically powered vehicles (BEVs, PHEVs) in all newly registered vehicles in
California55
Within California, the share of electrically powered vehicles in all vehicles sold is particularly significant in
the Bay Area/Silicon Valley (Figure 14).
51 see ibid. 52 see Szczesny 2018 53 see bmvit 2019: 2 54 see Irle 2019 55 see EVAadoption 2019
0.025 0.032 0.031 0.036 0.0520.0784
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
The “Zero Emission
Vehicle (ZEV)
Regulation” stipulates a
rise in the share of
electric vehicles sold per
year in California and
nine other federal
states.
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Figure 14: Share of electrically powered vehicles (BEVs, PHEVs) in all newly sold vehicles in 201756
2.4 Connectivity
Connectivity is increasingly important in many fields, but nowhere more so than
in vehicle automation.57, 58 Particularly in the context of shared mobility services,
connectivity is an essential requirement for providing users with access to
individual vehicles via app or web portal.59 In the future, it will be this capacity
for digital connectivity that characterizes the mobility economy. As such, a
growing share of revenue in the mobility sector may come to be generated by
digital connectivity as the basis of new services and operational concepts (e.g.
automated driving). In contrast, traditional vehicle production will become ever
less profitable.60
Vehicle connectivity concepts can be differentiated according to whom or what
the vehicle is connected with. ‘Vehicle to Everything’, or V2X, describes a state in
which a vehicle has comprehensive capacity to communicate: with other vehicles
(V2V), with infrastructure (V2I/I2V), with mobile devices belong to pedestrians
(V2P) or networks (V2N) and with remote data centers.61
Alongside Europe and China, the USA represents the current biggest market for
vehicle connectivity. 62 As of 2018, there were already 39.1 million connected cars
on the streets, a penetration rate of almost one in three (31.1%) of all cars. This
number will increase in the future. It is estimated that the number of connected cars will rise to 95.7 million
56 see Lutsey 2018: 4 57 see Rammler 2016: 14 58 see Bönninger et al. 2018: 97 59 see Johannig & Mildner 2015: 4 60 see Rammler 2019: 135 61 see Shladover 2018: 191. 62 see Statista 2017: 16
“Connectivity is essential
for automated driving,
since many of the
advantages of
automated vehicles (e.g.
in regard to traffic flow)
can only be realized
once they are connected.
This may not present an
issue when the number
of automated vehicles is
low, but will become one
as this number
increases.”
Professor working on
mobility research, UC
Berkeley
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by 2023, corresponding to a penetration rate of 73.6%.63
Figure 15: Number of connected cars and penetration rate in the USA 2017 - 2023 (estimated)64
A variety of wireless technologies can be used for data transmission.65 The most commonly used in this
context are ITS-5G (WLAN IEEE 802.11p), cellular mobile radio (LTE Vehicular/LTE Advanced and 5G in the
future) and digital broadcasting technologies such as DAB (Digital Audio Broadcasting), DAB+, DMB (Digital
Multimedia Broadcasting) and DAB-IP. Currently, it remains unclear which communication technology will
prevail in the future in relation to automated driving: while the European Commission is pursuing the
concept of a complementary communication mix including the use of hybrid communication technologies,
the USA’s National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has expressed preference for the ITS-G5 standard
for (short-range) communication in a draft law.66
Xapix: The data orchestration platform
Xapix, a manufacturer of data orchestration software, was founded in Berlin in 2016 and now has its
headquarters in San Francisco. Xapix is a simple drag-and-drop interface that abstracts the direct
interaction between systems. As a flexible platform, it can be used both internally and for joint endeavors
with external organizations. Organizations can use Xapix to compile and present data from multiple end
points in one internal model, with all departments being granted access via a single channel.67
63 see Statista 2019 64 see ibid. 65 see ibid. 66 see Sänn et al. 2017: 62 67 https://coverager.com/xapix-raises-2m/
29.3 39.1 49.7 60.8 72.1 83.8 95.70.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Pen
etra
tio
n r
ate
in p
erce
nt
Co
nn
ecte
d c
ars
in m
illio
ns
Number of connected cars Penetration rate
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Xapix is an orchestration platform for digital mobility services, built for vehicle manufacturers, suppliers and
service providers. Designed to enable mobility companies to scale their operations more quickly and
securely, Xapix already counts companies like Daimler, Fleetboard, BMW and Goodyear among its
customers.68 The Austrian investor Andreas Schwarzenbrunner, of Speedinvest, was among the first to
recognize the necessity of such software and to invest in the company, citing the opinion that the
organization and orchestration of data from different databases and from old and new systems is not only
an enormous challenge for companies, but requires considerable money and time. According to
Schwarzenbrunner, this problem has been exacerbated by the growth of the API market (popularity of web
APIs, number of public and private APIs, the need for secure API lifecycle management, etc.) and the
proliferation of mobility data due to autonomous vehicles and new routes, meaning that new mobility
providers and service models are partly the cause. The Xapix platform facilitates the tracking of the use and
performance of APIs. Access can be granted to internal and external users and managed on an individual
basis.69
2.5 Excursus: From Horizontal to Vertical Mobility
In addition to the above-described mobility trends, the majority of which
operate on solid ground, trends are also emerging in the field of air mobility:
a segment set to bring significant future change to the mobility sector as a
whole. Air Mobility has undergone significant development over the last
decade. New, next-generation technologies are making it possible to make
meaningful use of airspace, particularly over large cities. The focus in this
regard is on rotorcraft: that is, flexible small aircraft that can be used to
transport people over short distances using vertical takeoff and landing
(VTOL, vertical mobility) in the manner of air taxis or similar. The age of
personal air mobility is drawing every closer.70
While much of the work in this area is being performed by Silicon Valley startups (e.g. Kitty Hawk),
companies like Uber (Uber Elevate), traditional aircraft manufacturers (e.g. Airbus, Boeing and Embraer)
and, increasingly, traditional car manufacturers are working on VTOL vehicles:71 Daimler, for example, is
involved in the startup Volocopter. Currently, these VTOL vehicle consist primarily of manned drones that
can be launched vertically using an electric drive (eVTOL); however, the trend is towards a situation wherein
the passenger as pilot does not need to do much more than select the destination. Here, too, intensive work
is being carried out on automated navigation.72
68 https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/xapix-io#section-overview 69 https://medium.com/speedinvest/why-we-invested-in-xapix-ee044365b82c 70 see Köllner 2018 71 see Horváth & Partners 2019 72 see Köllner 2018
Aircrafts like this one
could soon be deployed
as additional means of
transport in the cities of
tomorrow.
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The advantage of such VTOL vehicles lie primarily in their accelerated speed
of locomotion, particularly in cities plagued by congestion.73 Passengers can
remain on board for the whole trip and are not required to change.74 Because
of this, the market for such flying taxis is seen to exist predominantly in
larger cities and metropolitan areas with significant congestion issues. This
currently pertains primarily to Singapore, China and Dubai, but also to the
USA and Australia, where policymakers are more open to the trialing of new
technologies than they are in Europe.75 Uber Elevate, for example, was able to
acquire the US cities of Los Angeles and Dallas and the Australian city of Melbourne (in summer 2019) as
partner cities for the test flights of its own flying taxis.76
Startups in this segment, including some from California, had scored several million dollars’ worth of
investment by the end of 2018. Most notably, these companies include the Santa Cruz-based Joby Aviation
and the company Moller International from Dixon, California. Other names include Lilum and Volocopter,
both from Germany.
Figure 16: Investments generated in startups in the flying taxi segment to the end of 201877
All this considered, the technological development of flying taxis can be said to be progressing. Although
airspace is subject to stringent safety requirements, air traffic is much more easily controllable than road
traffic due to the absence of public or personal transport in the former.78
Kitty Hawk: Electric flying taxis
Headquartered in Mountain View, California, Kitty Hawk Corp. builds electric transport solutions designed to
free people from traffic and reduce CO2 emissions. The company’s portfolio includes ‘Cora’, a two-person
flying taxi, ‘Flyer’, a personal aircraft, and ‘Heaviside’. Backed by Google co-founder Larry Page, the
startup’s mission is to make the dream of “flying oneself” a reality; it pursues this by devising, designing and
building autonomous aircraft.79 Austrian Robert Preissl has been at Kitty Hawk for three years and is
responsible for the development of so-called ‘sensor fusion’: the combination of multiple sensors for the
purpose of determining key variables (e.g. the position and speed of the aircraft) as precisely and stably as
possible at any given time. This is designed to intercept errors or failures of individual sensor components.
73 see Köllner 2018 74 see Gärtner 2018: 24 75 see Köllner 2018 76 see Uber Elevate 2019 77 see Mobility Foresights 2019 78 see. Horváth & Partners 2019 79 https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/kitty-hawk#section-overview
“Flying taxis will be
transporting passengers
along the first defined
routes in major cities as
early as 2025.”
Expert view from
Horváth & Partners
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Heaviside
Kitty Hawk introduced its third vehicle, Heaviside (or
‘HVSD’), at the renowned TechCrunch conference in
San Francisco in October 2019. Heaviside is an
autonomously flying, fully electric one-person aircraft
that is around 100 times quieter than a helicopter and
only a third the weight of a car.80 The aircraft’s eight
propellers and their corresponding electric motors, six
on the main wing and two on the forewings, tilt down for VTOL purposes and forward for vertical flight.
According to TechCrunch’s Kirsten Korosec, the aircraft can achieve a cruising speed of more than 200 miles
per hour – and thus can transport passengers on the 55-mile journey from San Jose to San Francisco in just
15 minutes.81
The company hopes that Heaviside will be used for both personal aviation and air taxi services. It was
secretly developed and tested over a two-year period both with and without a pilot; however, the user
interface is designed for users without a pilot license.82
Kitty Hawk faces top-class competition in the nascent flying taxi space – particularly from Uber, which is
planning to commence test flights of its own Uber Air service in 2020. Uber previously announced its plans to
cooperate with five aerospace companies on purpose-built aircraft for the service, the commercial launch of
which is planned for 2023. German startup Lilium also undertook a test flight with its own five-seater aircraft
earlier this year.83
Amidst all this, the regulation of airspace remains a major challenge in which close cooperation with
authorities is required to redefine and redesign airspace management principles.
Cora
Kitty Hawk’s autonomous two-passenger aircraft, Cora, has an
airworthiness certificate for testing purposes and has already undergone
three years of tests in New Zealand, with Boeing recently acquired as a
strategic partner for the project.84
Flyer
Flyer is the fully electric VTOL vehicle from Kitty Hawk, powered by 10
independent lift fans. It is a single-seater aircraft that flies between 1-3
meters above the water surface and has already been used for over
25,000 flights.
2.6 Excursus: Quantum Computing in the Transport
Sector
Austrian Florian Neukart heads the Advanced Technologies and IT Innovations division of the VW group and
is based in San Francisco. Among other things, he and his team deal with questions related to quantum
computing, artificial intelligence, optimization, augmented & virtual reality and materials science. The
80 https://www.theverge.com/2019/10/3/20897336/kitty-hawk-electric-aircraft-heaviside-mile-range-flight-time-google-larry-page 81 https://www.aviationtoday.com/2019/10/04/kitty-hawk-reveals-ultra-quiet-heaviside-evtol-design/ 82 https://www.aviationtoday.com/2019/10/04/kitty-hawk-reveals-ultra-quiet-heaviside-evtol-design/ 83 https://www.theverge.com/2019/10/3/20897336/kitty-hawk-electric-aircraft-heaviside-mile-range-flight-time-google-larry-page 84https://transportup.com/headlines-breaking-news/vehicles-manufactures/kitty-hawks-new-project-heaviside-prioritizes-noise-
reduction/
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paragraphs below provide a snapshot of his group’s activities.
What is a quantum computer? The memory of a conventional computer is composed of bits, the smallest unit of information in computer
science. Each bit can be either zero or one. In terms of their hardware architecture, quantum computers
follow the teachings of quantum mechanics. The laws of quantum physics mean that a quantum bit (‘qubit’)
can be in the state zero, one, or in any combination of the two states at the same time. As such, computing
power is increased exponentially, since a quantum computer can carry out every computing step with all
states simultaneously. A quantum computer is a very sensitive system and can be disrupted by even the
slightest external influence.
What kinds of quantum computing systems are used? There are two models of quantum computers, each of which is suitable for different tasks. The first of these,
the annealing model, is designed to solve optimization problems. In simple terms, it addresses the question
of how a resource such as time, money or energy can be used optimally in a particular scenario. In March
2017, Volkswagen’s IT department announced its first successful quantum research project: traffic
optimization for 10,000 taxis in the Chinese capital of Beijing. VW used the annealing system made by
Canadian company D-Wave Systems to carry this out.
By contrast, a universal gate quantum computer is suitable for a range of experimental tasks. Currently,
specialists from Volkswagen’s IT department are carrying out application-oriented research on a Google
quantum computer and testing its potential in various areas. Their areas of research include85:
• Advancement of traffic optimization: Building on a previous research project, researchers are integrating
a number of additional variables for optimizing reductions in travel time. Such variables include urban traffic
control systems, the number of electric charging points and free parking spaces.
• Simulation and optimization of materials: Researchers are simulating and optimizing the structure of
various materials. In this regard, the company’s aim is to acquire new insights for vehicle manufacturing and
battery research, in particular for the development of higher-performing e-vehicle batteries.
• Machine learning: Machine learning is a key technology for the development of advanced AI systems. Here,
the researchers’ aim is to trial new processes for machine learning.
QUANTUM COMPUTERS AT VOLKSWAGEN While Volkswagen has already hit a number of important milestones in its quantum computer research, the
company sees more to be done in the areas of perfecting traffic flow optimization, continuing the
development of new materials and more.
To date, in the course of this research, the company has registered three patents. It has also entered into
multiple academic R&D partnerships and into commercial partnerships with Google and D-Wave.
Volkswagen has also invested several years of research into the following:
Traffic flow optimization
Quantum computing makes it possible to perform calculations on an almost instantaneous basis – a decisive
factor for the optimization of traffic flow and, in turn, for the reduction of congestion and emissions. A further
important consideration for the future and for an “electrified America” is the optimization of routes with
regard to charging point location. For the insurance sector, too, traffic optimization is an important step due
to its potential to aid in accident reduction. In the future, quantum computers will make it possible to flag
“danger zones” in advance or even to eliminate them completely. VW is stepping up its cooperation efforts
with cities in this regard.
85 https://www.volkswagenag.com/presence/news/2017/11/Google_Kooperation_Pressemappe_DE.pdf
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Taxi fleet optimization
Quantum computing can be used to forecast mobility demands at various intervals, whereby this demand is
coded as follows: • Red: High demand
• Green: Demand is increasing • Blue: Low demand
The goal of this forecasting is both to minimize waiting time for customers and to determine in advance the
number of taxis needed per time interval. The demand forecast enables the need for taxis at a particular
location to be calculated well ahead of time, minimizing travel costs and emissions.
Reinforcement learning
Reinforcement learning involves rewarding good results to reinforce the learning process. One example of
reinforcement learning is simulating millions of parking maneuvers in the most realistic conditions possible
and rewarding those that are carried out correctly. The aim is for agents, such as self-driving vehicles, to
behave in the way that is most conducive to achieving their goal (parking, maneuverings through traffic, etc.)
in a given situation. This is something they learn through trial and error. Since the world is dynamic, the
agent may sometimes be required to consider observations and data it was not previously familiar with, and
to adapt its strategy accordingly. Given that such situations are often subject to time constraints, quantum
computing has the potential, through reinforced learning, to help agents to analyze situations more quickly
and learn more efficiently. The next step is the application of reinforced learning to real-life scenarios, which
are vastly more complex.
Clustering
The motivation for this type of quantum research is that clustering is useful in a variety of applications –
particularly in helping us to detect and understand the behavior of networks. How do things move through a
network? Why does malicious software propagate more quickly through a dense community than a sparse
one? How can clusters cast light on fraudulent activities and detect them early? What insights can be gained
from complex communication metadata regarding organizational structures? These are just a few of the
questions that quantum research can answer. In carrying out this research, Volkswagen’s ultimate goal is to
develop a quantum-enhanced cluster algorithm that is faster and more precise than a conventional
clustering algorithm, then to apply this algorithm to complex real-life scenarios (e.g. in the field of
cybersecurity).
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3. Actors in the Silicon Valley Mobility Ecosystem
The Silicon Valley mobility ecosystem is characterized by a variety of actors. These can be roughly grouped
into the following three categories86:
1. Business and industrial, particularly companies 2. Academic, particularly universities and other research institutions
3. Governmental, particularly cities, municipal companies and actors from the federal state
At the same time, the environment of complexity created by the new mobility trends is increasingly driving
the establishment of partnerships: between individual companies and between actors from all three areas
of the ecosystem.
Figure 17: The Silicon Valley mobility ecosystem87,88
3.1 Business / Enterprises
Several business actors are present in the Silicon Valley mobility ecosystem: not only traditional and new
automotive manufacturers and suppliers, but also tech companies. Tech companies have broken into the
market in recent years and aggressively challenged traditional players with their digital expertise, visionary
approach and strong capital backing.89 In addition, the ecosystem is increasingly populated by startups, who
benefit from Silicon Valley’s uniquely active venture capital community. These investors play an important
role, as do the various incubators and accelerators.
86 see Flügge 2016: 37 87 see Etzkowitz 2003: 293 88 see Amblard, 2017 89 see Rammler 2019: 137
Silicon Valley
mobilityecosystem
Academia
Govern-ment
Business
● Universities
● Other research institutions
● Automotive manufacturers and suppliers
● Technology companies
● Startups
● Incubators and accelerators
● Investors
● Cities
● Municipal companies
● Federal state
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Figure 18: Overview of the different types of companies in Silicon Valley
Automotive manufacturers and suppliers A number of traditional automotive manufacturers and suppliers have subsidiaries in the San Francisco Bay
Area, including BMW, Ford, Daimler, Renault-Nissan and Bosch. These subsidiaries often include
innovation labs, research and development center or in-house scouting operations. Generally, it is the
larger, more traditional automotive manufacturers from Europe, the USA, Japan and China that have thus
far established a presence in the Bay Area; however, they are increasingly being joined by new automotive
manufacturers like Tesla, Nio, SF Motors and Faraday & Future. As described earlier, automotive
manufacturers and suppliers no longer participate in the market solely as manufacturers and sellers:
rather, they increasingly find themselves operating as mobility service providers and, among other things,
providing shared mobility services or pursuing explicit involvement with startups in this field (Chapter 3.5).
One example of this would be the San Jose-based car sharing company ReachNow, a cooperation between
BMW and Daimler.
Business/ Enterprises
Automotive manufacturers and suppliers
Technology companies
StartupsIncubators & accelerators
Investors
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Technology companies
Alongside traditional automotive manufacturers, major technology companies are also making inroads in the
mobility sector. Of these, the most notable are Google and Apple, though Chinese companies like Baidu and
Tencent have also established a Silicon Valley presence. Uber and Lyft, now both publicly listed companies,
originated in the Bay Area and still have their headquarters there. While Google and Apple are primarily
active in the automated driving sector, Uber and Lyft have focused on establishing a new culture of
automobile use based on novel business models and forms of digital connectivity.90
Startups
Thanks to its prominent culture of venture capital, Silicon Valley has been the birthplace of a large number
of startups around the new mobility trends. New startups emerge on an almost daily basis. Silicon Valley
offers a virtually unparalleled culture of risk-taking in which speed is deemed a key factor for success. A
further advantage is that employees in the startup scene can switch between startups relatively easily, since
non-compete clauses are prohibited from inclusion in employment agreements.
Figure 19 shows a snapshot of the various automotive manufacturers & suppliers, technology companies
and startups operating in the mobility sector in Silicon Valley.
90 see ibid.
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Figure 19: Overview of automotive manufacturers & suppliers, technology companies and startups in the mobility sector in Silicon Valley91
91 see Van der Ahe 2019
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Incubators and accelerators
Incubators and accelerators provide a diverse variety of resources to drive the development of startups.
Their services include support for pitches, mentoring by experienced founders and executives, introduction
to potential investors or financing from their own funds. Typically, they scout a large number of potential
candidates to find the startups they consider most promising and then support these in their further
development. Examples of Silicon Valley-based incubators and accelerators are Y Combinator, Plug and
Play, Rocket Space and 500 Startups Accelerator; Plug and Play, for example, oversees an accelerator
program spanning multiple sectors (retail, fintech, energy, etc.) and recruits partner companies with an
interest in cooperating with or investing in startups. A special program for the mobility sector is run by
Austrian Johannes Rott, whereby the partner companies include reputable European suppliers and OEMs.
Universities have established institutions to promote the development of spin-offs (e.g. StartX from Stanford
University or SkyDeck from UC Berkeley), while large corporations like Google and Tesla also act as
incubators for new businesses. The Google Car Project, the predecessor of Waymo, gave rise to a number of
new startups in the sector, with all founders being (ex-)employees of the Google Waymo project.
Investors
Investors function as important ‘enablers’ within the ecosystem. Since investments in the mobility sector are
currently booming, there is a continued willingness for new investments to be made. According to McKinsey,
these investments are focused primarily in Silicon Valley – where, as described before, there is also a strong
presence of venture capital funds. Automotive companies are increasingly entering into business with
existing startups in the mobility industry. In addition, the venture capital community in the USA, and Silicon
Valley in particular, is much more prevalent than in Europe. Startups benefit particularly in this regard, since
there are significantly more opportunities for startups in the USA (and particularly Silicon Valley) to win
capital for projects around the new mobility trends than for equivalent startups in Europe.92 The result is that
in recent years, a number of such startups have formed in Silicon Valley or else relocated there to take
advantage of funding opportunities. One of the risk capital companies focusing on innovative startups in the
ground transport sector is Autotech Ventures, a Menlo Park-based firm that manages more than 240 million
US dollars of VC investments from global (including European) investors. The firm has a special interest in
startups operating in the marketplace, software-as-a-service (SaaS) and deep tech sectors. In addition to US
startups, it has 3 European startups in its portfolio and is responsible for organising the Marketplace
Conference in Silicon Valley and Berlin.
Focus: Enterprises in the Shared Mobility Sector
The prominence of individual companies in the shared mobility sector varies according to the type of
offering, whereby some companies have multiple offerings in their portfolio. Lime operates both e-scooter
and bike sharing; Uber, in addition to its ride hailing and ride sharing services, offers Uber Pool and bicycle
sharing, the latter through its investment in Jump. Within the broader mobility market, the market for
shared mobility is highly diverse and characterized by a large number of providers (Table 3).
Short distances (micromobility)
Micromobility refers primarily to (e-)bike and (e-)scooter sharing services. In the San Francisco Bay Area,
these (e-)scooter sharing providers include, most notably, Lime, Bird, Spin, Skip and Scoot (bought by Bird
in June 2019), with the last of these only operating in San Francisco. Ford Go Bike is the only station-based
(e-)bicycle sharing service on offer, while free-floating (e-)bike sharing is offered by Jump, Mobike and
Lime, among other smaller providers.
Short to medium distances
Ride hailing is playing an ever more prominent role for short to medium-distance journeys in the San
Francisco Bay Area, with the market dominated primarily by Uber and Lyft. There is a similar increasing
trend towards ride sharing (i.e. the sharing of rides with other service users); here, the market is strongly
dominated by Uber Pool and Lyft Line. Via and Chariot also operate in the microtransit sector, but are more
strongly linked with public transport. 92 see Beiker 2019a
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Medium to long distances
Services in the medium to long-distance segment are predominantly based around car sharing. The first
generation of car sharing, so-called ‘station-based car sharing’, was offered primarily by the companies
Zipcar, Getaround, Hertz and Maven; increasingly, however, car sharing services are provided on a free-
floating basis, most notably by the companies Reachnow and GIG Car Share. So-called ‘peer-to-peer car
sharing’ is offered primarily by TURO und Getaround. Table 3: Companies operating in the shared mobility sector in the Bay Area / California93, 94
Short Distances (Micromobility) Short to Medium Distances Medium to Long Distances
E-
scooters
(E-)bikes
(station-
based)
(E-)bikes
(free-
floating)
Ride
hailing
Ride
sharing
Micro-
transit
Car sharing
(station-
based)
Car
sharing
(free-
floating)
Car sharing
(peer-to-
peer)
Lime
Ford Go Bike
Jump
Uber
Scoop
Via
zipcar
Reachnow
TURO
Bird
Limebike
Lyft
Lyft line
Chariot
getaround
GIG Car
Share
getaround
Spin
Mobike
Flywheel
Uber Pool
Hertz 24/7
Skip
Scoot
Maven
Focus: Enterprises in the Automated Driving Segment
As described in Chapter 2, the number of companies testing automated vehicles in California has increased
hugely over recent years. Currently (as at August 2019), 63 companies have been awarded a license to test
automated vehicles in California by the California Department of Motor Vehicles (Table 4). In addition to
traditional automotive manufacturers and suppliers (e.g. Mercedes Benz and Continental) and the large
technology companies (Waymo/Google and Apple), these license-holding companies increasingly include
startups from the field of robotics and artificial intelligence.
Automotive manufacturers
A total of 18 automotive manufacturers hold a license for testing automated vehicles in California, including
the major German carmakers Volkswagen, Mercedes Benz and BMW and their US counterparts General
Motors Cruise, Ford and Tesla. Also included are the major Japanese carmakers Toyota, Nissan, Honda and
Subaru, the South Korean carmaker Hyundai and the Chinese manufacturers SAIC and Sangan. navya and
easymile, both French manufacturers of automated minibuses, also hold a test license.
Automotive suppliers
A number of companies from the automotive supply industry are permitted to test automated vehicles in
California, including the German companies Bosch and Continental, the French company Valeo, the US
company Delphi and the South Korean company Mando.
93 see Beiker 2018 94 see Clewlow 2017
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Technology companies
Of the technology companies permitted to test automated vehicles in California, Waymo/Google and Apple
are the most prominent. They are joined by the Chinese company Baidu, which operates a Chinese search
engine of the same name, and by South Korean company Samsung. Well-known chip manufacturers NVIDIA,
Intel and Qualcomm also test automated vehicles in the state.
Startups from the robotics and artificial intelligence field
Recent years have seen an increase in the number of robotics and artificial intelligence startups testing
automated vehicles in California. Currently, a total of 24 companies in the sector hold a license to do so.
Most of them, including Zoox, Voyage and Pony.ai, are startups with headquarters in Silicon Valley or the
Bay Area.
Trucking / Delivery
Within the goods transport sector, there are a number of licensed US companies carrying out tests on
automated trucks (TuSimple) or small delivery vehicles (BoxBot and Udelv/CarOne). Some California-based
companies in this sector, such as Kodiak Robotics, do not hold a license for testing in California but are
seeking to operate in Texas.95
Ride hailing providers
Ride hailing providers currently conducting tests in California include the US companies Lyft and Uber96 and
the startup Ridecell/Auro. Chinese company Didi also holds a license for automated test drives in the state.
Other
Other companies licensed to test automated vehicles on public roads in California include the online learning
platform Udacity (from Sebastian Thrun), the US mapping and navigation company Telenav and the
Automobile Association of North California, Nevada and Utah (AAA NCNU).
95 see Korosec 2019 96 Uber does not currently hold a license for the testing of automated vehicles in California; however, it conducted numerous test drives
in 2018.
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Table 4: Companies with a license for the testing of automated vehicles with a driver (Testing with a Driver Program)97
Automotive
Manufacturers
Technology
Companies
Automotive
Suppliers
Robotics and Artificial
Intelligence Trucking/Delivery
Ride
Hailing-
Providers Others
Volkswagen
SAIC
Waymo/Google*
Bosch
Zoox
Nullmax
TuSImle
Lyft
Udacity
Mercedes
Benz
Changan
Baidu
Delphi/Aptiv
Drive.ai
Voyage
BoxBot
Didi
Ambarella
Tesla
Motors
SF Motors
Apple
Valeo
Auto X
CYNGN
Udelv/CarOne
Ridecell/Auro
AAA NCNU
Nissan
Toyota
Samsung
Continental
Renovo
Auto
Roadstar.Ai
Uber**
Telenav
GM Cruise
EasyMile
NVDIA
Mando
PlusAi
Phantom AI
BMW
XMotors.ai
Qualcomm
Nuro
Apex.AI
Honda
Navya
Intel
Pony.AI
Gatik AI.
Ford
Subaru
JingChi
TORC
Robotics
Faraday &
Future
Nio
AImotive
Imagry
Aurora
ThorDrive
Helm.Ai
Argo.Ai
Qcraft.ai
Atlas
Robotic
*Waymo is the only company with an additional license for driverless testing in California98; **Uber currently does not hold a license for the testing
of automated vehicles in California 3
97 see California Department of Motor Vehicles 2019b 98 see California Department of Motor Vehicles 2018
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Overview of companies’ testing activities
There is scarce availability of benchmarks regarding the current progress of individual companies. While so-
called disengagement reports, which are required to be compiled by all test-conducting companies in
California, do not provide a comprehensive benchmark of progress, they do give an overview of the scope of
test activities. Such reports detail the occasions during automated vehicle testing in which an automated
driving system disengages and the human operator (the vehicle’s safety driver) is required to take-over.99 A
glance at the disengagement report for 2018 indicates the current level of automated vehicle testing activity
undertaken by companies in California, with Waymo, GM Cruise and Apple being the current most active.
Waymo led by some distance in terms of the number of testing miles in 2018; however, GM Cruise also
reported significantly higher numbers than the next-highest companies on the list, which included Apple,
Aurora, Zoox and Uber (Figure 20).
Figure 20: Companies covering the most miles of testing with automated vehicles in 2018100
GM Cruise and Waymo also ranked highest in regard to the number of vehicles tested in California in 2018
(Figure 21).
Figure 21: Companies with highest number of test vehicles in operation in California in 2018101
In addition to companies already possessing a license for the testing of automated vehicles, company
database Crunchbase holds information on more than 100 other California-based startups around the
99 see Herger 2019 100 see Herger 2019 101 see Herger 2019
1,2
71,5
87
447,6
21
79,7
45
32,8
58
30,7
64
26,8
99
24,6
80
22,7
10
18,0
93
16,3
56
15,4
40.8
10,8
16
7,5
39
5,4
73
4,6
16.6
9
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
Miles
162
111
62
2913 13 13 10 7 6 6 6 5 5 5
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Test
Vehic
les
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theme of automated driving, most of them in the robotics and artificial intelligence sector. Table 5 shows an
overview of the current most important companies in the market ranked by their total investment amounts
to date.
Table 5: Other California-based companies who are working on automated driving102
Company Category Total Investment Amount in
Millions to Date
Nauto Artificial intelligence 173.9
Quanergy Systems Sensor technology 135.3
Brain Corp Robotics 125.0
DeepMap Mapping and navigation 125.0
Ouster Sensor technology 90.0
Liquid Robotics Robotics 81.6
Bossa Nova Robotics Robotics 69.6
AEye, Inc. Sensor technology 59.1
Ike Trucking/Delivery 52.0
Swift Navigation Mapping and navigation 48.8
Aeva Sensor technology 48.5
Kodiak Robotics Trucking/Delivery 40.0
Luminar Sensor technology 36.0
Scale Artificial intelligence 22.6
Starsky Robotics Trucking/Delivery 20.3
Nauto: AI-driven mobility that predicts and eliminates distracted driving
Findings from the UC Berkeley PATH Research Center have shown that self-driving cars cannot rely on the
top-down programming of driving rules alone. Instead, self-driving systems must be placed in various non-
programmed scenarios and must deploy their self-learning functions to make ‘bottom-up’ use of data from
billions of kilometers driven of real world driving. These driving data, some of which were collected by the
UC Berkeley PATH Research Center, also include data collected by Nauto in Palo Alto.
Nauto was co-founded four years ago by Austrian Stefan Heck. It is the only artificial intelligence (AI)-
supported learning platform for driver behavior that predicts and actively intervenes to reduce or eliminate
the occurrence of high-risk events in the mobility ecosystem. Because the Nauto camera has two viewing
directions, it can see what is happening both inside and outside the vehicle and thus ensure that complete
contextual information is captured for any safety event. The camera uses computer vision and proprietary
algorithms for assessing the situational risk and level of driver distraction. In this way, potentially risky
driver behavior at the wheel (eating, drinking, looking at a telephone) can be taken into account. Nauto is
unique in the sense that AI is deployed on the device itself, enabling the level of driver distraction to be
recognized in real time instead of relying on a retrospective analysis to deliver video evidence after the event.
Nauto’s real-time sensors and visual data help fleet managers to recognize the causes of accidents and
identify and reduce false liability claims. When equipped with data on important events, fleets can cut their
damage costs by up to 80% and simultaneously reduce their drivers’ risk and liability level. 95% of all
automobile accidents are due to distraction, 70% to the use of mobile telephones while driving. Customers of
Nauto’s AI-supported learning platform for driver behavior report an average reduction of 50% in the
102 see Crunchbase 2019a
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likelihood of collision and a reduction of 35% in reported damage; the company is seeking to further reduce
these figures to 20 to 25%. A number of major automotive manufacturers – including General Motors, Toyota
and BMW – have made strategic investments in the company in order to gain access to its expansive
database, whose contents could play a key role in developing the training of autonomous driving capabilities.
To date, Nauto has amassed more than 170 million US dollars of investment and is expanding its team on a
continuous basis.
Perceptive Automata: Perception for autonomous vehicles
Perhaps the most difficult problem for automated systems to solve is the one of understanding human
behavior. In the automotive sector, machines face the difficulty of being able to correctly identify a person’s
intention – like when it comes to deciding whether to cross the road. Accordingly, there is a search for
technologies with the ability to accurately predict human behavior and thus enable the safe, large-scale
introduction of highly automated vehicles, particularly in urban spaces. Perceptive Automata (PA) uses its
understanding of human behavior to enable the large-scale deployment of automated systems in human-
dominated environments.
The company cooperates globally with OEMs, suppliers and technology companies involved in the building,
programming and/or integration of automated driving systems. PA’s technology enables automated vehicles
to understand what people are planning to do next and thus to smoothly and safely navigate around them –
whereby this prediction ability is relevant not only for pedestrians, but for cyclists and other drivers too.
Moreover, it is intended to facilitate smoother, more natural driving: a key aspect of enabling automated
vehicles to function in human-dominated road environments. Important use cases include the picking up of
passengers by robotaxi services. PA has already recruited a number of big-name investors, including First
Round, Slow, Jazz, Toyota and Hyundai. A number of customers have come with them.103
Focus: Companies in the electomobility sector (automotive)
In California, Tesla plays by far the largest role of any company working with electric-drive vehicles (BEVs,
PHEVs). A glance at the sales figures of various e-vehicle manufacturers between January and July 2019
(Figure 22) shows that Tesla was the clear market leader, with 83,875 vehicles sold. Of these, the highest-
selling model was the Tesla Model 3, selling a total of 67,650 units. The sales figures of other
manufacturers, including Chevrolet (11,947) and Toyota (8,605) trailed well behind. German manufacturers,
too, achieved relatively low sales figures in comparison to Tesla; only BMW, with 8,605 units sold, was
slightly higher up the ranks (Figure 22).
103 https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/perceptive-automata#section-overview
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Figure 22: Number of sold (or delivered) e-vehicles (BEVs, PHEVs) in California between January and July 2019, ranked
by manufacturer (left) and top 20 vehicle models (right)104
QuantumScape & Volkswagen: Researching the batteries of the future
Headquartered in San José, California, QuantumScape was founded in 2010 as a spin-off of Stanford University
and aims to revolutionize the battery industry. It currently holds over 200 patents and patent applications for
solid-state battery technologies. It is a pioneer in the development of energy storage and achieved a valuation of more than a billion in its last financing round (D), despite not yet having achieved significant revenues.105
What are solid-state battery cells? What are their advantages?
From a consumer perspective, they key advantages of solid-state battery technology include significantly
faster charging, an approximately doubled energy density, a longer lifespan and a lower proportion of flammable parts.106
Volkswagen has worked with QuantumScape since 2012 and acquired a 5 % share in the firm in 2014. The
resulting capital injection – and the founding of a new joint venture – helped pave the way for a new level of
battery performance in long-distance electromobility. VW invested 100 million dollars in QuantumScape in
2018, making it the largest single shareholder.107 A solid-state battery has the potential to increase the range
of VW’s e-Golf by around 750 kilometers in comparison to the current 300.108 The goal is to establish a
production line for these batteries by 2025; the Volkswagen Group is seeking to offer both standard and electric
versions of each of its 300 models by 2030. Volkswagen has already carried out testing of early-stage QuantumScape solid-state battery cells at an automotive performance level in Germany.109
104 see InsideEVs 2019 105 https://www.volkswagenag.com/en/news/2018/09/QuantumScape.html 106 https://www.androidauthority.com/solid-state-battery-978899/ 107 https://www.bizjournals.com/sanjose/news/2018/06/22/quantumscape-electric-battery-funding-vw.html 108 https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/wv-quantumscape-investment#gs.8l0a9v 109 https://www.volkswagenag.com/en/news/2018/09/QuantumScape.html
16
261
297
324
496
1248
1309
1350
1550
1675
1893
2256
2272
2536
3122
3606
6008
7003
7055
8605
11947
83875
0 40,000 80,000
Cadillac
Subaru
Fiat
Mini
Smart
Mitsubishi
Jaguar
Hyundai
Porsche
Volvo
Volkswagen
Kia
Audi
Chrysler
Mercedes
Ford
Nissan
Honda
BMW
Toyota
Chevrolet
Tesla
1,025
1,043
1,075
1,248
1,309
1,835
1,893
1,939
2,207
2,536
3,277
3,606
3,666
6,008
6,543
7,225
8,281
8,605
9,000
67,650
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000
Porsche Panamera E-Hybrid
Mercedes C350e
Mercedes GLC 350e
Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV
Jaguar I-Pace
Audi e-tron
Volkswagen e-Golf
Kia Niro PHEV
BMW i3 (BEV + REx)
Chrysler Pacifica Hybrid
BMW 530e
Ford Fusion Energi
Chevrolet Volt
Nissan LEAF
Honda Clarity PHEV
Tesla Model S
Chevrolet Bolt EV
Toyota Prius Prime
Tesla Model X
Tesla Model 3
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Toyota, too, has made considerable investments in the development of solid-state batteries. In 2017, it
announced that it was planning to integrate solid-state batteries into some of its vehicles by 2020.110
3.2 Academia / Research
Actors from academia and research – i.e. local universities and research institutions – play a special role in
the Silicon Valley mobility ecosystem. Such institutions include the top universities of Stanford and
Berkeley, which are regularly awarded top places in worldwide university rankings. Moreover, these
universities are not only prestigious in a general sense, but enjoy particular prominence in the field of
mobility research (due, among other things, to the Center for Automotive Research, Stanford, and the
Institute for Transportation Studies, Berkeley).111 The two institutions attract top talent from around the
world and place a heavy focus on innovation, spin-offs and startups; furthermore, the multicultural, multi-
ethnic and cosmopolitan makeup of the staff and student body aids in fostering creativity. The universities
also possess a significant economic influence and are responsible for the founding of numerous companies
and the corresponding creation of jobs.
Stanford University
Stanford University is among the best and most renowned universities in
the world, with a total of approximately 15,000 students at its central
Silicon Valley location.112 The university is known predominantly for its
pioneering research, including in the mobility sector, with Stanford’s
Center for Automotive Research serving as a key institute for research
on the automobile. As part of its teaching and research, the Center seeks to bring together academics,
students, industry and government actors and city residents to collaborate on the mobility solutions of the
future.113 In addition, the university plays an important role in the economic sector, with almost 40,000 firms
(and a resulting 5.4 million jobs) created as spin-offs. With total endowments of around 18.7 billion euros,
Stanford occupies a prominent role in the Silicon Valley mobility ecosystem.114
University of California, Berkeley
The University of California, Berkeley is another leading university in the San Francisco Bay Area,
with around 35,000 students at its location in north-east San Francisco.115
Alongside its other key research institutes, UC Berkeley is home to the
Institute for Transportation Studies, one of the world’s leading
institutions in the mobility research field.116 In particular, the Institute
pursues research projects relating to recent developments in the USA in general and California in particular
– including, for example, user behavior in regard to shared mobility offerings.
Singularity University
Singularity University is a private university founded by Google and
NASA in 2008 and originally located in Mountain View.117 It hosts paid
courses and workshops by well-known Silicon Valley entrepreneurs
and thought leaders of the technological age. Upon completion,
participants do not receive official degrees; rather, the courses are designed to give them the opportunity to
network with successful entrepreneurs and experts in person. As such, even though a one-week course
typically costs as much as 15,000 dollars, it is little surprise that large numbers of managers, young
entrepreneurs and startups from all over the world attend each year.118 Courses and workshops deal
110 https://www.wired.co.uk/article/what-is-solid-state-battery-toyota-dyson 111 see Poetzsch-Heffter & When 2018: 70 112 see ConsultUS 2016 113 see Center for Autmotive Research at Stanford 2019 114 see Eesley & Miller 2012: 101 115 see ConsultUS 2016 116 see ITS Berkeley 2019 117 see Spiegel Online 2009 118 see Sommer 2019
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primarily with newly emerging trends, including the four mobility trends described at the beginning of the
report.119
3.3 Goverment / State
Alongside academic actors, actors from government and the public sector are
playing an increasingly important role in the mobility ecosystem. In addition to the
federal state of California, these primarily include the various cities and municipal
companies, in particular the municipal/public transport companies. Together,
these actors administer and enact regulations in relation to new mobility trends.
The roles of individual subsections of this group is described in more detail in the
following.
Federal state of California The federal state of California plays an important role in the mobility ecosystem,
since many of the legal regulations pertaining to new mobility services are
established at federal state level. This applies particularly for ride hailing and the
testing of automated vehicles, both of which are regulated almost exclusively at
this level; therefore, cities have relatively little scope of influence here. The testing of automated vehicles in
California is regulated by the California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) and the California Public
Utilities Commission (CPUC).120 In a similar vein, electromobility targets are primarily handed down by the
federal state in a unilateral fashion as described in Chapter 2.3.
Cities / Municipal or public companies
Despite their relative lack of regulatory power, cities and municipal/public companies – particularly
municipal/public transport companies – are playing an increasingly important role in the mobility ecosystem,
particularly in relation to (e-)scooter sharing and (e-)bike sharing. Various cities in California, especially in
the San Francisco Bay Area, have adopted regulations for (e-)scooter companies. The role of major
municipal institutions is described in the following using the example of San Francisco.
Case Study: San Francisco (SFMTA, SFCTA)
In San Francisco, the municipal/public transport organizations SFMTA (San Francisco Municipal
Transportation Agency) and SFCTA (San Francisco County Transportation Authority) are of particular
importance, since they engage intensively with the current and potential impacts of new mobility offerings
and investigate the forms in which new mobility services might contribute optimally to overarching transport
and city development goals.121 The SFMTA is also responsible for the regulation of (e-)scooter and (e-)bike
sharing in San Francisco.122 Together, the SFCTA and SFMTA have devised ten guiding principles to govern
how new mobility offerings around the four trends should be best used from the perspective of the city and
its existing goals.123 This is examined in more detail in Chapter 4.
3.4 Interaction between business, academia and government: The role of labs
Using selected examples, the following section will demonstrate the interactions that take place between
individual companies and between companies, research institutes and public actors in Silicon Valley. The
private sector is particularly dominant in Silicon Valley, which gives rise to a large number of interactions
among individual actors from companies and the private sector (e.g. venture capital firms). However,
119 see Singularity University 2019 120 see Mojadad 2018 121 see SFCTA 2019a 122 see SFTMA 2019a 123 see SFCTA 2018
“Regulations on ride
hailing services in
California are relatively
lax; however, since ride
hailing is regulated by
the CPUC on federal
state level, cities like
San Francisco don’t have
much scope of action.”
SFMTA employee
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companies are increasingly also interacting with the public sector, particularly cities, as well as with
research institutions. Against this background, it is lab-type institutions, in particular, that function as
interfaces between the actors; increasingly over the last few years, interactions of this nature have been
established throughout the mobility sector in the form of partnerships. There is also increasing recognition
that challenges around the four mobility trends are too great to be solved alone.
Interactions among individual actors from business and the private sector, with Lyft as an example
The Lyft example clearly demonstrates the network of relationships between companies and venture capital
firms in Silicon Valley. A total of 68 companies have invested in the startup, which is now a publicly listed
company. Alongside venture capital firms such as Andreessen Horowitz, Comcast Ventures and Fontinalis
Partners, these investors include well-known vehicle manufacturers and suppliers (General Motors, Magna),
technology companies such as the Chinese Alibaba and the Chinese transportation platform Didi Chuxing.124
Figure 23 gives an overview of these interactions. Figure 23: Interactions among individual actors from business and the private sector, with Lyft as an example (selected
companies)
The number of investments and partnerships has increased significantly in recent years, particularly in
regard to the involvement of traditional automotive manufacturers. Figure 24 gives a brief overview of some
of the most prominent recent investments and partnerships. Figure 24: Examples of investments and partnerships between companies in the mobility sector125
124 see Crunchbase 2019b 125 see Beiker 2019b
Automotivemanfucturers and
supplier(e.g. General Motors,
Magna)
Technologycompanies(e.g. Alibaba Group, Didi Chuxing)
Investors(e.g.
Andreessen Horowitz, Comcast Ventures)
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Interactions between actors from business/the private sector and those from the public sector (cities,
administrations)
Particularly around the themes of mobility and transport, lab-type institutions like Superpublic/City Innovate
in San Francisco, Prospect Silicon Valley in San Jose and Greenfield Labs in Palo Alto play an increasingly
important role in the interaction of actors from the public and private sectors.
Superpublic/City Innovate Innovation lab Superpublic was founded in 2016 by the City of San Francisco
and functions explicitly as an interface between companies, researchers and
the city.126 UC Berkeley, the Center for Design at Stanford University, the MIT
Media Lab, Microsoft and Deloitte are all integrated into the lab, as well as – of course – the city itself. The
goal of the lab is to drive the city’s innovation activity by tackling innovative projects on city-related themes
including mobility and transport, e-governance and more. These projects are also intended to be scalable to
other cities.127 The innovation lab is run by the city’s Office of Civic Innovation, the General Service
Administration and the City Innovative Foundation.128 City Innovative is a non-profit organization that helps
cities and urban governments tackle challenges using new technologies. To this end, it seeks to create the
right environment for residents and city employees to take advantage of these new technologies. Strong
interaction between the public and private sectors is particularly important in this regard. The City Innovative
Foundation’s ‘Startup in Residence’ program brings together startups and urban actors and fosters the joint
development of technological solutions for challenges of the city and its administration.129
Prospect Silicon Valley
Prospect Silicon Valley is a technology demonstration center and innovation
hub in San José that serves as an interface between companies – especially
startups – and the public sector and research institutions. It supports these
various agents in jointly developing and testing new solutions for urban
challenges in the fields of transport, mobility, energy and buildings.130 More
specifically, the thematic focus of Prospect Silicon Valley lies on the
electrification of transport, the development of new forms of mobility and the
development of commercial buildings and structures with the potential to
radically reduce energy consumption. The technology demonstration center
has been operating since 2014. By summer 2019, it had supported the
commercialization of almost 40 new startups. Among other things, Prospect
Silicon Valley is also involved in initiating and preparing for the first testing of
automated vehicles in San José by the companies Daimler and Bosch, which is
planned for the end of 2019. In addition, numerous projects are being pursued
with Valley Transportation and the rail company Caltrain.131
Greenfield Labs
Founded in 2017 by Ford in collaboration with the design studio IDEO, Greenfield Labs in
Palo Alto functions as a think tank for mobility:132 its goal is to explore the future of
mobility through people-centric design.133 To this end, it develops innovative research
approaches in relation to future mobility at the interfaces between social and natural
126 see City Innovate 2019a 127 see Shueh 2016 128 see Said 2016 129 see City Innovate 2019b 130 see Prospect Silicon Valley 2019 131 see Farlie 2019 132 see Runyan & Walker 2018 133 see Greenfield Labs 2019
“In a sense, Prospect
Silicon Valley functions as
an incubator: startups pay
a monthly fee and receive
space, training or other
forms of support. In
addition, there is easier
access to (urban) actors in
city administration.”
Prospect Silicon Valley
employee
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sciences and in people-centric design and technology.134 In 2017, it worked with Danish urban design studio
Gehl to launch the National Street Service, an initiative that promotes the redesigning of streets to create
quality public spaces.135 In contrast to the lab-type institutions mentioned above, Greenfield Labs was formed
exclusively as a private sector initiative.
134 see Ford 2019 135 see National Street Service 2019
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4. From Testing to Implementation: Framework Conditions, Strategies
and Measures, using the Example of San Francisco
As described at the beginning of the report, new mobility concepts around the four mobility trends are
developing in Silicon Valley at an unparalleled rate. This is due, among other things, to the (still) relatively lax
legal framework conditions. On account of the aforementioned mentality and culture of the USA in general
and Silicon Valley in particularly, new mobility solutions and concepts can, in many cases, be tried and
tested directly on public roads. In contrast, in other parts of the world (e.g. Europe), testing is only
permitted in specific test areas and environments (e.g. mobility labs). This is due, inter alia, to the role and
self-styled nature of public actors, who are much more present in public life (including in the promotion of
innovation and startups) than in the USA.136 This is particularly evident in the example of public transport.
While public transport plays a rather minor role in most cities in the USA, in many major European cities, it
is hard to imagine life without it.
With the overwhelming concentration of new mobility trends – including in the field of shared mobility –
being concentrated in the urban market, cooperation between city actors and companies is becoming ever
more indispensable for both sides (see also Chapter 3.5). Such interaction is propelled by high levels of
demand, which in turn are driven by high population density and the potential for individualization and
flexibility. In addition, in the USA, the relatively poor state of public transport aids in further bolstering the
uptake of new offerings.137 Increasing cooperation has also been necessitated by initial experiences in
practice; specifically, attempts to implement new solutions (e.g. ride hailing or e-scooter sharing) without
first establishing framework conditions has often resulted in unforeseen issues. These include the partial
contradiction of existing city goals or the problematic nature of such solutions for other transport users.138,139
Cities are increasingly responding – insofar as they have scope to do so – with
new regulations, which companies must accommodate in order to be able to
implement their solutions in their targeted urban mobility market. As such, it is
no longer simply about providing the optimal mobility services from the
perspective of the user; rather, success hinges on adapting the service (and
associated business model) such that it can be implemented in cities in
accordance with applicable regulations. This has resulted in increasing
cooperation between companies and cities, typically in the form of a two-way
process of engagement with the goals and mentalities of each side with the aim
of optimizing the service accordingly. Ultimately, mobility services should
represent a viable business model for the company while also corresponding to
the goals and interests of the city and its regulations.
It is particularly relevant, in this regard, to monitor events and developments in
Silicon Valley, since developments of this nature tend to occur here before
anywhere else. By observing these events, it is possible to discern which
cooperation strategies and business models are more and less effective. This
information can then be applied to Europe and other parts of the world, including
Austria, where similar developments in the testing and implementation of
mobility services are already occurring or seem highly likely.
The example of San Francisco merits special mention in this regard. It is located in the middle of Silicon
Valley and has a high demand for new mobility solutions, making it an optimal urban market for the
implementation of new mobility services. It is against this background that many new mobility services have
already been introduced.
136 see Fürlinger & Leitner 2016 137 see Bormann et al. 2018: 12 138 see Schaller 2018: 2 139 see Sikka et al. 2019
“We believe that there
needs to be a critical
public value that comes
from autonomous
vehicles as well as a
private value. And we
believe that the biggest
obstacles to deployment
of autonomous vehicles
in our cities are not
going to be
technological, but rather
regulatory and political.
And that’s why we think
partnerships with cities
make sense, so we can
demonstrate that public
value.”
Mayor of San José
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Firstly, the strategies and policies broadly pursued by cities like San Francisco in connection with the
implementation of new mobility services – and the challenges companies must overcome in response –
should be noted as rough benchmarks. Secondly, the specific example of e-scooter sharing is used to
illustrate the increasing development and enactment of urban regulations – and the resulting increase in
cooperation between companies and urban actors – in the implementation of new mobility services. The
example of e-scooter sharing is particularly illuminating, since similar developments can now also be seen
in European cities (Madrid, Paris and, more recently, Berlin and Hamburg).
4.1 Strategies and Measures for New Mobility Offerings
As early as 2017, ten guiding principles had been drawn up by the SFCTA and SFMTA in San Francisco as a
framework for the evaluation of new mobility services and technologies. The goal of these guiding principles
was to illustrate how new mobility services should be designed and implemented so as to allow existing city
goals to be achieved. At the same time, these ten guiding principles are intended to serve as a jumping-off
point for the development of additional future policies, programs and studies in connection with e-scooter
sharing (see also Chapter 4.2).
The ten principles cover the following themes (Figure 25):140
Collaboration Safety
Transit Congestion
Sustainability Equitable access
Accountability Work
Disabled access Financial impact
140 see SFCTA 2018: ii
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Figure 25: The ten guiding principles of the City of San Francisco for evaluating new mobility offerings and technologies
(source: SFCTA 2018: ii)
1. Collaboration
Emerging Mobility Services and Technology providers and the City
must engage and collaborate with each other and the community to
improve the city and its transportation system.
2. Safety
Emerging Mobility Services and Technologies must be consistent
with the City and County of San Francisco’s goal for achieving
Vision Zero, reducing conflicts, and ensuring public safety and
security.
3. Transit
Emerging Mobility Services and Technologies must support, rather
than compete with public transit services, must account for the
operational needs of public transit and encourage use of high-
occupancy modes.
4. Congestion
Emerging Mobility Services and Technologies must consider the
effects on traffic congestion, including the resulting impacts on road
safety, modal choices, emergency vehicle response time, transit
performance and reliability.
5. Sustainability
Emerging Mobility Services and Technologies must support
sustainability, including helping to meet the city’s greenhouse
gas emissions reduction goals, promote use of all non-auto modes,
and support efforts to increase the resiliency of the transportation
system.
6. Equitable Access
Emerging Mobility Services and Technologies must promote
equitable access to services. All people, regardless of age, race, color,
gender, sexual orientation and identity, national origin, religion, or
any other protected category, should benefit from Emerging Mobility
Services and Technologies, and groups who have historically lacked
access to mobility benefits must be prioritized and should benefit
most.
7. Accountability
Emerging Mobility Services and Technologies providers must share
relevant data so that the City and the public can effectively evaluate the services’ benefits to and impacts on the transportation system and
determine whether the services reflect the goals of San Francisco.
8. Labor
Emerging Mobility Services and Technologies must ensure fairness
in pay and labor policies and practices. Emerging Mobility Services
and Technologies should support San Francisco’s local hire
principles, promote equitable job training opportunities, and maximize procurement of goods and services from disadvantaged
business enterprises.
9. Disabled Access
Emerging Mobility Services and Technologies must be inclusive of persons with disabilities. Those who require accessible vehicles,
physical access points, services, and technologies are entitled to
receive the same or comparable level of access as persons without
disabilities.
10. Financial Impact
Emerging Mobility Services and Technologies must promote a positive financial impact on the City’s infrastructure investments and
delivery of publicly-provided transportation services.
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With these guiding principles in mind, the SFTCA and the SFMTA came together in 2018 to conduct an
extensive investigation of existing mobility services and companies in San Francisco and to evaluate them
roughly according to the ten criteria. As part of the evaluation, it became clear that mobility services by
companies who had cooperated with the city (e.g. by exchanging experiences and data) corresponded more
strongly to the guiding principles. In addition, the analysis indicated that the data required by the city for
conducting a comprehensive analysis of this nature (e.g. data regarding congestion and competition with
public transport) was scarcely available. The new mobility solutions were evaluated particularly positively in
terms of their potential for people living with disabilities or in areas with poor public transport connections.
However, it was emphasized that the city would likely need to establish corresponding framework
conditions to ensure this potential was exploited.141
Regarding the implementation of new mobility solutions, the results show that
collaboration between city actors and private companies is particularly vital for
realizing solutions in the way that makes most sense for the city. Recognizing
this, the City of San Francisco developed the so-called ‘Emerging Mobility Pilot
Project Framework’. The framework aims to encourage proactive collaboration
with companies – e.g. in the form of public-private partnerships – to develop
innovative mobility solutions for urban transit and solve the associated
challenges. Such partnerships also enable the exchange of data. This is a
particularly relevant aspect for the city, since only with these data can they
understand what effects mobility services are having on urban transit and how
they could support city and transport planning.
The Emerging Mobility Pilot Project Framework has been used to identify and
take stock of potential pilot projects in San Francisco as well as to develop best
practices for public-private partnerships and identify mechanisms and
processes for the screening and prioritization of existing and future projects.142
E-scooter provider Scoot is an example of a company that is comprehensively
integrated into this framework and has already participated in pilot projects –
whereby the advantage for the company is that it has collaborated with city
actors from the outset and, unlike some of its counterparts, has not been required to continuously revise its
mobility service in light of changing regulations. In the future, it is planned for additional partnerships to be
established under the framework and existing ones to be intensified.
In future, such collaborations between companies and city actors will be increasingly important for both
sides. For companies, the aim will no longer be solely to provide the best possible mobility service/solution
from the perspective of the user. Rather, the focus will be on adapting the mobility service/solution (and
associated business model) in such a way that it can be implemented in cities in accordance with applicable
regulations. As a ‘customer’ of the mobility service, the city is involved in the company’s considerations
from the outset and its interests are given greater weight. Such collaboration with companies also affords
the city the opportunity to partake in the sharing of data and experiences. Only collaboration of this nature
can enable the creation and implementation of optimal mobility services – that is, services that represent a
viable business model for companies, but also correspond to the goals and interests of the city.
141 see SFTCA 2018: iii 142 see SFCTA 2019b
“Collaboration between
mobility companies and
city actors was
especially difficult at the
outset. With time,
however, companies
slowly came to
recognize the
opportunities of
collaboration with city
actors; they finally came
to view the city as a
customer”.
SFCTA employee
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4.2 The Process Around E-Scooter Sharing
In March 2018, Bird was the first company to commence the operation of e-scooter sharing; Lime and Spin
followed in the same month. Due to the sheer number of e-scooters and related complaints on the part of
residents, the City of San Francisco imposed a temporary ban on the operation of all e-scooters in June
2018. On June 4, a new law – devised in April – came into effect requiring e-scooter companies to hold a
license to operate in San Francisco under the ‘Powered Scooter Share Permit and Pilot Program’.143 As part
of the pilot program, the city stipulated that a maximum of five companies would receive such a license and
that a maximum of 2,500 scooters would be permitted to operate across the whole of the city.144
A total of 12 e-scooter companies applied for the license (Uber/Jump, Lyft,
Skip, Spin, Lime, Scoot, ofo, Skip, Razor, CycleHop, USSCooter and Ridecell).
When it came to issuing the licenses, the city adopted criteria based on the ten
guiding principles and considered, inter alia, safety, equality and
accountability factors (Figure 26). These criteria were specially developed by
the city and formed the evaluation scheme for applications submitted by the
twelve companies. In their applications, the companies were required to clarify
exactly how they intended to satisfy the criteria, i.e. with which particular
strategies and concepts.
Figure 26: Criteria for the granting of an e-scooter license in San Francisco under the Powered Scooter Share Permit
and Pilot Program 145
143 see SFMTA 2019b 144 see Dickey 2018 145 see SFMTA 2018
“We got the permit
where Bird and Lime
didn’t because we were
willing to adapt the
product not only to the
customers, but also to
the environment
(pedestrians etc.).”
Sanjay Dastoor
CEO, Skip
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On August 30, 2018 it was announced that only the companies Scoot and Skip would
receive licenses to operate e-scooters under the Powered Scooter Share Permit and
Pilot Program. The licenses, which were valid for one year, entered into force on
October 15, 2018 and permitted each company to operate 625 e-scooters within the
confines of the city during the first six months, with the possibility of increasing the
total number to 2,500 after that.146
In May 2019, the evaluation of the Powered Scooter Share Permit and Pilot
Program and the results of the accompanying investigation were published:147
The pilot program saw a significant reduction in complaints about the
driving of e-scooters on sidewalks and about improper parking.
The mandatory locking of e-scooters (Lock-To design) had contributed to
keeping sidewalks clear and enhancing pedestrian safety.
Further efforts were required in order for e-scooter sharing to be made
available in neighboring areas, in particular for people with lower incomes.
E-scooter sharing was capable of reducing private car use and mileage
(40% of the journeys undertaken with e-scooters would otherwise have
been taken by private cars; however, the deployment of e-scooters must
be carried out in a way that complements public transport as effectively
as possible.
Since the evaluation of the program was relatively positive, the City of San Francisco opted to increase the
total number of e-scooters. While Scoot would continue to be limited to a total of 625, Skip would now be
permitted to operate up to 800 e-scooters until the expiry of its license in October 2019. In addition, the City
of San Francisco announced its intention to issue new licenses for the following year – the next period of the
pilot program – and that, subject to companies’ fulfilment of the stipulated criteria, a greater number of e-
scooters would likely be allowed. This expected number was around 1,000 to 2,500 per company.148
Clearly, the regulations adopted by the City of San Francisco forced companies to
drastically adapt their business models in the hope of obtaining a license. That this
is no trivial matter for companies is evident from the fact that only two of those who
applied for a license actually received one. The next round of licensing will show
which companies have managed it (best) this time. In addition, it is clear that the City
of San Francisco’s rather restrictive choice of program enabled the safety of e-
scooters, in particular, to be increased. Moreover, at least a portion of the journeys
taken by e-scooter were ones that would usually have been taken by private car;
however, further efforts are necessary on the part of the city to increase this share,
which currently lies at 40%. This is likely to be a particularly important criterion
when it comes to assessing the next round of license applications in San Francisco,
and one on which companies must place particular emphasis. One possible reason
for the still relatively low share is the current capping of e-scooter numbers at just
1,425 for the whole of San Francisco, a city of almost 900,000 people. However, this
is essentially a problem of the pilot program itself: particularly at congestion times,
it is not uncommon for e-scooter access to be limited due to their relatively low availability. By contrast,
Vienna has almost 7,000 e-scooters available for use, though e-scooter-related complaints by other
transport users are also on the rise.149
For cities, there does not appear to be a panacea or universally applicable solution in regard to the optimal
management of and cooperation with the countless e-scooter providers. While, in the US context, it does
appear that e-scooters can be helpful in shifting users away from private cars, too many e-scooters are
146 see SFMTA 2019b: 1 147 see SFMTA 2019b: 2 148 see Dickey 2019 149 see Imlinger 2019
“The regulation of
brand-new mobility
services is inevitably a
tricky task. There is
always a bit of trial and
error involved, but in
this case, SFMTA
managed it well.”
Scoot employee
The evaluation of the
Powered Scooter
Share Permit and Pilot
Program is presented
at the San Francisco
City Hall.
Example of a Lock-
To design on a Skip
e-scooter.
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limiting to other modes of transport. The pilot program in San Francisco has had overwhelmingly positive
effects, notwithstanding the few aspects with room for improvement. However, what is unquestionably
needed –for all cities, not just for San Francisco – is intensive collaboration and a two-way process of
exchange between city actors and e-scooter providers. This is the only way for e-scooter sharing to be
implemented with maximum success and profitability for both sides. Moreover, this applies not only to e-
scooter sharing, but to all other new and future mobility services too.
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5. Opportunities & Success Factors for Austrian Companies, Academic
Actors and Cities in Silicon Valley
It is key to note that for all actors in the mobility ecosystem, increasing collaboration is of vital importance.
The challenges arising from the new mobility trends are too great and too complex to be solved alone. In
view of the new trends, it is especially important for companies to analyze which technological developments
are most relevant and feasible for them to adopt and which strategic steps they are required to take to do
this. The same applies to cities, which must examine the new mobility trends in the context of their city
development goals and determine in which forms new mobility services/solutions should be implemented in
order to meet these goals.
Thanks to their role as key suppliers, Austrian companies – particularly those
in the automotive sector – have extensive experience and globally recognized
know-how around the production of vehicles. They are typically market leaders
within their particular niche and are some way ahead of startups and young
Silicon Valley companies. This could afford Austrian companies a great deal of
potential to further secure and expand their position in the global value chain.
On the other hand, the Austrian automotive and supply industry continues to be
primarily focused on vehicles with traditional drive systems and is not yet
sufficiently equipped for the paradigm shift to e-mobility. In addition, the
above-described trends are exercising a significant influence on the mobility
market and could present both opportunities and risks for Austrian companies
in this regard. A wait-and-see attitude can have a negative impact on business
performance for all actors.
5.1 Success Factors for Companies in Silicon Valley
Silicon Valley is a unique innovation ecosystem, distinguished by disruptive
developments and innovation in a wide variety of areas. However, for
companies to establish themselves most effectively in the region and achieve
their goals, it is vital for them to embrace what makes Silicon Valley different.
This chapter describes in detail a number of key success factors aimed at helping companies set their local
activities in motion.
Local presence and face-to-face contact
When it comes to Silicon Valley, it is impossible to understate the importance of direct personal contact. For
companies to embed themselves properly into the local ecosystem, it is vital they establish a regular local
presence by some means or another. This does not mean relocating the entire company (or entire
departments thereof) to the area: at the outset, it is often sufficient for one or two key people to be present
regularly in order to build and maintain relationships and form connections with the local innovation scene.
In doing so, it is possible to build a level of trust with decision-makers and thought leaders; this, in turn, can
provide a pivotal information advantage, one that would not have been possible without the physical
presence. If, however, a company receives regular deliveries in the region, enters into partnerships or
commences joint research and development projects, a comprehensive local presence is vital. In some
cases, this may take the form of a Silicon Valley subsidiary, as already established by many of the German
automotive manufacturers.
In the long term, however, to establish effective and profitable partnerships and collaborations with local
companies – and to facilitate shared work on the complex challenges around the new mobility trends –
Austrian companies need more than “just” a local subsidiary. Rather, they must consider comprehensively
anchoring themselves in the Silicon Valley mobility ecosystem and all its particularities, particularly in terms
of its corporate culture and how this differs from the rest of the world.
“A special feature of the
Silicon Valley ecosystem
– including in the area of
mobility – is that of
working together to
devise the mobility
products of tomorrow,
instead of working in
silos. The close spatial
proximity of all actors
plays a special role in
this regard.”
Book author in the field
of autonomous mobility
and business models
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Corporate culture & business practice
In particular, it is the corporate cultures and visions of traditional Austrian supply
companies – many of which are family companies with storied histories – that
differ most notably from those of young, growth-oriented Silicon Valley startups.
On the part of Austrian companies, this necessitates a certain degree of
openness and a ‘new’ mode of action – one that is adapted to the specific
features of the Silicon Valley ecosystem. This applies especially for employees
who are working locally.
For example, one notable feature of the US market is that customers place a
high value on service and customer care. As such, companies must ensure they
are aligned with American habits and behaviors regarding customer care as well
as regarding standards and business development. It is important to US
customers that they are able to speak to someone immediately if there is a
problem with a delivered product or service: on the telephone, or better still in
person. As such, it is important for companies to consider early on how they are
planning to establish their service structure to guarantee prompt responses to
queries (e.g. with the help of local partners). The nine-hour time difference
between California and Austria is just one challenge to be overcome.
Typically, the principles that apply generally in the business world apply all the more so in Silicon Valley.
Face-to-face contact counts. Regardless of whether a company is seeking customers, partners or investors,
it is often only possible to progress or close a deal if there is a good personal connection with the decision-
makers. Here, the Californians’ open and cooperative nature often comes into its own: it can happen, for
example, that a person you have just become acquainted with introduces you to a relevant company. This, in
turn, allows you to widen your network at a rate that might not have been possible in another part of the
world. This is primarily attributable to flat hierarches, the low degree of power disparity and the informal
interaction between people in different sectors and positions and at different career levels. In return,
however, representatives of foreign companies are also expected to open up their network of contacts and
assist their counterparts. The best way to obtain the right contacts is to bring the right people from your own
network together.
Moreover, the corporate culture of both startups and larger companies – and the differences between
USA/Silicon Valley and Europe/Austria – play a central role in the speed of response and communications.
Only a comprehensive understanding of how US residents communicate, behave and do business can enable
stronger collaboration with local companies; for example, it is customary to send a ‘follow-up’ message
within 24 hours of meeting somebody relevant to your area of business. Speed is of the essence in Silicon
Valley, and companies must be prepared to embrace this. It is often noted that Europeans, in particular, have
much catching up to do in regard to the etiquette of following up on meetings.
Examples of successful collaboration arrangements include the Magna-Lyft partnership for the development
of automated driving technology and the Jaguar-Waymo partnership regarding use of the iPace model, which
has been manufactured by Magna in Graz since 2018150 and is used for testing automated driving.
Marketing, sales & business development
At the Advantage Austria / Open Austria office in San Francisco, we are seeing a trend for Austrian firms to
continue conducting research and (product) development in Austria and, at the same time, to send selected
employees to Silicon Valley for marketing, business development and sales activities, or else to hire them
locally. In doing so, they continue to benefit from their existing networks, supply relationships and
cooperation with local partners in Austria – often built up over a number of years – and can simultaneously
participate in the innovative and capital-rich Silicon Valley ecosystem.
150 see Schmidt 2018
“It is not uncommon for
collaboration efforts to
fail due to stark
differences in corporate
cultures. As such, it is
all the more important
to have a local presence
that understands how to
work with technology-
oriented organisations.”
Project manager,
Perceptive Automata
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A huge emphasis is placed on marketing and sales in the US market and in Silicon Valley in particular. The
mere provision of an innovative and competitive product or service is not sufficient: this is usually assumed
as a matter of course. Rather, products are differentiated according to how they are presented and by how
their particular advantages stand out. A well laid-out website and marketing materials in impeccable English
are the minimum requirement. Even more important, however, are the marketing and sales people hired to
tap the market. These must already have a strong network in the region, be experienced in dealing with
representatives from the technological world and, above all, be prepared to keep up with the fast pace.
Many initial contacts and new leads are generated by visiting network events, conferences and discussion
panels. A list of upcoming events in Silicon Valley can be found in Chapter 6. Regular attendance at such
events is a basic requirement for expanding and strengthening your network and showcasing your activity
and influence in the field. In addition, as you are starting out, regular participation in events is a good way to
obtain an overview of the industry and get to know the main players.
Partnerships, collaborations and joint technology development
Particularly when it comes to cooperation with young technology companies and startups, the right
business development strategy is central to success. Many firms in their infancy cannot expect to receive
orders of 10,000 pieces from the off: they have not yet achieved the necessary size or revenue. However, if
established companies have the patience and resources to develop suitable products alongside these
startups, there is often a unique opportunity for these mostly fast-growing companies to be acquired as
customers. This makes it possible for established companies to tap new growth markets that might not
previously have been on their radar.
Among the individuals interviewed for this report was an employee from a Silicon Valley mobility start-up. In
conversation, he repeatedly highlighted that in many cases, a company’s sole purpose for meeting a Silicon
Valley startup will be to better understand the latter’s technology or business model. While this can be
helpful in enabling the two companies to get to know one another, ultimately, a startup’s aim is to develop
their new product or service and establish it on the market in the long term. For this reason, young
companies are primarily interested in meetings and partnerships in which the focus is on the joint further
development of the product. For startups, the question of whether to attend a meeting or devote time to
working on the product is one of opportunity costs. Accordingly, if an established company wishes to hold a
meeting with an innovative startup, they should carefully research the startup beforehand to enable them
to add value to the discussion. This also allows the established company to engage meaningfully in
discussion about opportunities for collaboration or to highlight their own strengths or suitability for a
partnership.
To succeed in Silicon Valley in long term, it is vital to have an experienced team: one that understands how to
communicate and cooperate properly with tech companies and startups. Ideally, employees will also have
experience with collaboration agreements, contract drafting, etc., since divergent expectations in this area
can often lead to problems.
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5.2 Opportunities in the Area of Integrated Platforms
New and future mobility services will be differentiated not only by the mode of
transport they provide, but also by the company providing it. This will make the
mobility market more heterogeneous. As such, in the future, the focus will
increasingly be on integrating and combining existing private and public transport
services, e.g. via a single digital access portal. Only in this way will it be possible to
adapt and offer mobility solutions in accordance with individual needs (Mobility as
a Service). This integration of transport services is not yet a prominent feature of
the US market, not even in Silicon Valley; rather, there tends to be a juxtaposition
of competing options. In contrast, many Austrian companies and Austrian cities
have already amassed a great deal of experience and know-how in this field. This
represents an area of potential for Austrian actors. To exploit this potential,
however, Austrian companies – in particular – must position themselves effectively
and showcase their existing know-how.
The increased implementation of new mobility solutions – not only in Silicon
Valley, but increasingly also in Europe and Austria – provides further opportunities
for Austrian institutions to establish meaningful links. In particular, existing Austrian research institutions
and mobility labs can serve as useful points of contact, including in relation to
legal regulations.
Ultimately, it is also important to promote the exchange of knowledge and the
transfer of know-how between Austrian cities and those in Silicon Valley. On the
one hand, cities in Silicon Valley have already gained a great deal of experience
around the new mobility trends (see Chapter 4) – experience that is also relevant for Austrian cities, which
typically still have little knowledge in these areas. On the other hand, Silicon Valley cities could benefit
particularly from the long-standing experience of Austrian cities in the field of public transport (e.g. in
connection with Mobility as a Service), since this still requires improvement in San Francisco and other
locations. The experience of Austrian cities and municipal transport companies in the implementation of
projects and the operation of public transport could certainly prove helpful in this regard.
5.3 Opportunities in the Area of E-Mobility
Prof. Friedrich Prinz, an Austrian professor at Stanford University, is co-founder of QuantumScape and
initiator of the cooperation between Stanford University and the Austrian Economic Chamber.
Among the points highlighted by Prof. Prinz is that the transition to electromobility will take place faster than
some expect. Austrian industry is still dependent on cars with traditional drive systems, and the supplier
industry is not yet prepared for the imminent paradigm shift. To weather the shift, companies must train
engineers in the fields of materials science and e-mobility and strive to equip themselves intellectually for
the transition.
In general, Austrian industry is well positioned and is well regarded internationally on account of its quality.
It has several opportunities in the field of e-mobility, particularly on the side of material production. Market
opportunities range from metal foils to powder materials and from insulator materials and cooling
systems to battery management systems.
Austrian companies should visit Silicon Valley to proactively market their technologies and methods and
identify their sales potential. However, the costs of entering the market should not be underestimated.
Investments in the millions should be expected for buying equipment, hiring suitable staff and conducting
trials.
5.4 Opportunities in the Area of Automated Driving
As described in Chapter 3, a variety of automotive manufacturers, suppliers, technology companies and
“The goal is mobility on
demand: to be able to
plan, book and pay for
everything seamlessly.
This is far preferable to
the juxtaposition of
systems such as BART,
Muni and Uber, as can
currently be seen in San
Francisco.”
Project manager, City
Innovate
Uber is working on
integrating both its own
offerings and various
modes of public
transport.
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startups are already active in the field of automated driving. The continuing advancement of these
technologies is driven primarily by the unimaginably vast amounts of data by a variety of sensors. The
usefulness of these data means that there is a high demand for camera systems, radars and lidars for
vehicle use.
Another area of interest in regard to potential business opportunities are the so-called ‘enabling
technologies’. Typically, the big technology firms and OEMs are the ones who are most talked about and who
most often receive credit for the latest developments. What is often overlooked, however, is that these large
actors rely and build on the products and services of smaller, more specialized firms. Transport service
provider Uber is a household name; however, far fewer people are aware of the technology suppliers who
work in the background to ensure that a car and driver are always available at the push of a button. As such,
Silicon Valley offers good opportunities for firms providing products or technologies that can supply data,
visualize and interpret data. These backend solutions typically form important components of well-known
products and services and help to continuously improve the existing processes of established actors.
A further central aspect of automated driving is the internal design of vehicles, which is currently being
reimagined in line with future passenger needs. If a human is no longer required to sit at the wheel in order
to get from A to B, there is no longer a need for cars to be designed as they are today: steering wheel,
pedals, forward-facing, etc. Innovative solutions for the interior design of vehicles and the range of
entertainment to be enjoyed on board will play an important role in the future.
5.5 Cooperation Agreement between the Austrian Economic Chamber and Stanford
University
The aim of the agreement is to create an interface between Austrian companies (industry, SMEs, startups)
and the researchers and international networks of Stanford University. It was designed with two key goals in
mind: (1) to grant Austrian companies access to Stanford research resources, and (2) to promote the
exchange of information and know-how regarding the latest technology trends, management trends and
future challenges.
The summer research program gives researchers from Austrian companies the chance to come to Stanford
to conduct materials management research. Six participants qualify for the program each year and are
looked after by faculty members during their three to eight-week stay. The program was held for the first
time in 2018 and is offered annually during the summer months.
In addition, the Agreement allows for the organization of special workshops on selected future-oriented
topics in cooperation with the University. In 2018, the workshops explored e-mobility (February 2018),
stationary energy conversion and storage (June 2018), 3D printing (November 2018) and design thinking. In
the future, automated vehicles (December 2019) and other mobility-related topics will follow.
Finally, there are regular delegation tours to Stanford University’s institutes and research centers as well as
to other actors in the Silicon Valley mobility ecosystem, enabling participants to engage directly with experts
on various future-related themes.
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6. Industry Events and Trade Fairs
Generally, trade fairs offer a good platform for companies to familiarize themselves with the business
practices of the United States and the culture more broadly – not only in regard to communication with
potential customers, partners and competitors, but to local sales structures and more. Below is a
selection of mobility-relevant trade fairs, conferences and professional gatherings, listed in date
order.
Consumer Electronic Show
Dates 7 to 10 January 2020
Location Las Vegas Convention Center
3150 Paradise Road
Las Vegas, CA, 89109
USA
Website https://www.ces.tech/
The Future of Transportation
Dates 13 to 17 January 2020
20 to 24 April 2020
18 to 22 May 2020
Location Silicon Valley Innovation Center
1850 Gateway Drive
San Mateo, CA, 94404
USA
Website https://siliconvalley.center/the-future-of-transportation/
The Future of Mobility Summit
Dates 3 to 4 February 2020
Location San Francisco, CA
Website https://about.bnef.com/summit/sanfrancisco/
ATX WEST
Dates 11 to 13 February 2020
Location Anaheim Convention Center
800 W Katella Avenue
Anaheim, CA, 92802
USA
Website https://atxwest.designnews.com/
AV 20 Autonomous Vehicles Silicon Valley
Dates 24 to 26 February 2020
Location Silicon Valley, CA
Website https://www.automotive-iq.com/events-autonomousvehicles
Shared Mobility Summit
Dates 17 to 19 March 2020
Location Hotel Fairmont Chicago – Millennium Park
200 N Columbus Drive
Chicago, IL, 60601
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Website https://sharedusemobilitycenter.org/save-the-date-2020-national-
shared-mobility-summit/
Micromobility Conference
Dates April 2020
Location Bay Area
Website https://micromobility.io/
Connected & Autonomous Vehicles
Dates 6 to 9 April 2020
Location San Jose Convention Center
150 W San Carlos Street
San Jose, CA, 95113
USA
Website https://tmt.knect365.com/connected-vehicles/
M:bility
Dates 17 to 18 September 2019
Location The Marriott
301 S Market Street
San Jose, CA, 95113
USA
Website https://www.automotiveworld.com/conferences/mbility-california/
Autonomous Vehicles Innovation Labs Showcase
Dates 19 September 2019
Location First Market Tower
525 Market Street
San Francisco, CA, 94105
USA
Website https://www.eventbrite.com/e/autonomous-vehicles-innovation-labs-
showcase-tickets-72104373121?aff=ebdssbdestsearch
Silicon Valley Innovation Summit
Dates October 2020 Location Computer History Museum
1401 N Shoreline Bouldevard
Mountain View, CA, 94043
USA
Website https://svisummit.com/
TU-Automotive West Coast
Dates 2 to 3 October 2019
Location DoubleTree by Hilton Hotel San Jose
2050 Gateway Pl
San Jose, CA, 95110 USA
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Website https://automotive.knect365.com/tu-west-coast/agenda/1
TechCrunch Sessions Mobility
Dates 2 to 4 October 2019; annual, but no 2020 date yet Location San Francisco, CA
Website https://techcrunch.com/2019/03/20/tc-sessions-mobility-a-one-day-
session-event-on-the-future-of-transportation/
Silicon Valley reinvents the wheel
Dates 14 October 2019
Location Computer History Museum
1401 N Shoreline Bouldevard
Mountain View, CA, 94043
USA
Website https://waj.org/2019-silicon-valley-reinvents-the-wheel/
Future Technologies Conference (FTC)
Dates 24 to 25 October 2019 annual, but no 2020 date yet
Location San Francisco, CA
Website https://saiconference.com/FTC
Automotive Cybersecurity
Dates 28 to 30 October 2019
Location Embassy Suites by Hilton 901 East Calaveras Boulevard
Milpitas, CA USA
Website https://www.automotive-iq.com/events-automotivecybersecurity
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7. Resources & Points of Contact
Public institutions
The following is a selection of relevant US authorities for Austrian companies and startups considering
entering the Silicon Valley/California market, listed in alphabetical order.
California Department of Motor Vehicles
Address 1377 Fell Street
San Francisco, CA, 94117
USA
Contact information T +1 800 777-0133
Website https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/dmv
Area of responsibility
This authority is responsible for the registration
of all vehicles and the issuance of driving
licenses. It also regulates other automotive-
related matters, including the testing of
automated vehicles.
California Department of Transportation (Caltrans)
Address 111 Grand Avenue
Oakland, CA, 94612
USA
Contact information T +1 510 286-4444
Website https://dot.ca.gov/
Area of responsibility Caltrans manages large stretches of the
Californian road system and is also partially
responsible for rail and air transportation. The
agency’s aim is to create a safe, efficient, and
sustainable transportation system for the state.
California Public Utilities Commission
Address 505 Van Ness Avenue
San Francisco, CA, 94102
USA
Contact information T +1 415 703-2782
Website https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/
Area of responsibility The California Public Utilities Commission is
responsible for regulating private power, water,
rail and passenger transportation companies.
Customs and Border Protection
Address 33 New Montgomery Street,
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San Francisco, CA, 94105
USA
Contact information T +1 415 744-1530
E See form on the website
fWebsite https://www.cbp.gov/
Area of responsibility The US border protection authority, from which
information about customs and import
procedures can be obtained. CBP is also
responsible for ensuring that the US remains
competitive.
Department of Commerce
Address 221 Main Street
San Francisco, CA, 94105
USA
Contact information T +1 415 744-3001
Website https://www.commerce.gov/
Area of responsibility The Department of Commerce is responsible for
the USA’s economic success. The agency works
with companies, universities and public actors to
promote job creation and economic growth.
Department of Labor
Address 71 Stevenson Street
San Francisco, CA, 94105
USA
Contact information T +1 415 848-6567
E See form on the Website
Website https://www.dol.gov/
Area of responsibility The Department of Labor monitors compliance
with workers’ rights and seeks to improve
working conditions.
San Francisco County Transportation Agency (SFCTA)
Address 1455 Market Street
San Francisco, CA, 94103
USA
Contact information T +1 415 522-4800
Website https://www.sfcta.org/
Area of responsibility Among other things, SFCTA is responsible for
transportation planning in San Francisco
County. Together with SFMTA, it examines the
current and potential effects of new mobility
offerings from the perspective of achieving
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overarching transport and city development
goals.
San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency (SFMTA)
Address 1 South Van Ness Avenue
San Francisco, CA, 94103
USA
Contact information T +1 415 701-2311
Website https://www.sfmta.com/
Area of responsibility
SFMTA is a department of the City of San
Francisco and is responsible primarily for all of
the city’s road and rail traffic. Together with
SFCTA, it seeks to develop a sustainable
transportation system through the deployment
of new mobility solutions.
Research institutions, funding institutions and points of contact The following is a selection of relevant US organizations and institutions for Austrian companies and
startups considering entering the Silicon Valley/California market, listed in alphabetical order.
California Partners for Advanced Transportation Technology (PATH), University of California
Berkeley
Address 409a McLaughlin Hall, MC 1720
Berkeley, CA, 94720-1720
USA
Contact information T +1 510 642-5478
Website https://path.berkeley.edu/
Summary PATH is a UC Berkeley research institute whose
goal is to find solutions for the California
transportation network.
Center for Automotive Research Stanford (CARS)
Address 416 Escondido Mall, MC 4021, Building 500
Stanford, CA, 94305-2203
USA
Contact information T +1 650 736-4322
E only individual e-mail addresses
Website https://cars.stanford.edu/
Summary A research center at the University of Stanford,
where students, professors and automotive
manufacturers collaborate on the development
of future mobility solutions.
Department of Mechanical Engineering, Stanford University
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Address 440 Escondido Mall, Building 530
Stanford, CA, 94305
Contact information T + 1 650 723-777
Website https://me.stanford.edu/
Summary The Department of Mechanical Engineering
places its focus on energy, locomotion/transport
and health. Its goals are to find sustainable
solutions in these areas and to develop
autonomous control systems.
Institute of Transportation Studies (ITS), University of California Berkeley
Address 109 McLaughlin Hall
Berkeley, CA, 94720
USA
Contact information T +1 510 642-3585
Website https://www.its.berkeley.edu/
Summary The Institute engages primarily in research
around the theme of “transportation” and
related issues – from technological progress to
social and environmental impacts.
International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT)
Address 595 Market Street, Suite 1250
San Francisco, CA, 94103
Contact information T +1 415 818-0206
E See form on the website
Website https://theicct.org/
Summary The ICCT is an independent non-profit
organization that conducts research and
analysis in the field of ‘environmentally friendly
transport.’ Its aim is to make both road and air
traffic as energy-efficient and environmentally
friendly as possible.
International Society of Automation
Address 67 TW Alexander Drive
Druham, NC, 27709
USA
Contact information T +1 919 549-8411
Website https://www.isa.org/
Summary Like the ICCT, the ISA is a non-profit
organization. It seeks to support the
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advancement of automation in numerous areas
by developing globally implemented standards.
The Association also offers training and
certification in this area.
Partners for Automated Vehicle Education
Address
Contact information E [email protected]
Website https://pavecampaign.org/
Summary PAVE is an association of actors from industry,
non-profit and academic institutions. The aim of
the PAVE Campaign is to inform and educate
both the public and policymakers about the
future of autonomous driving.
Perceptive Automata
Address 1250 Borregas Avenue
Sunnyvale, CA, 94089
USA
Contact information E [email protected]
Website https://www.perceptiveautomata.com/
Summary Perceptive Automata researches vehicle
automation with a special focus on ‘human
behavior prediction’, the function that helps a
self-driving car to make the same decisions a
human would.
Prospect Silicon Valley
Address 1608 Las Plumas Avenue
San Jose, CA, 95133
USA
Contact information T +1 408 237-9224
Website https://prospectsv.org/
Summary Prospect Silicon Valley is a non-profit innovation
hub that works on sustainable developments in
the mobility and energy sectors.
Silicon Valley Mobility
Address 435 S California Ave #A
Palo Alto, CA, 94306
USA
Contact information T +1 650 714-0536
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Website http://svenbeiker.com/
Summary A consulting and advisory agency that
specializes primarily in the areas of automation,
communication and electrification and supports
all types of companies in projects related to the
new mobility trends.
Transportation Sustainability Research Center, University of California Berkeley
Address David Brower Center
2150 Allston Way
Berkeley, CA, 94704
USA
Contact information T Individual lines only
E Individual email addresses only
Website https://tsrc.berkeley.edu/
Summary This UC Berkeley research center works on the
development of solutions for sustainable and
environmentally friendly (passenger) transport.
World Economic Forum
Address 350 Madison Avenue, 11th floor
New York, CA, 10017
USA
1201 Ralston Avenue
San Francisco, CA, 94129
USA
Contact information T +1 212 703-2300, +1 415 794-8848
E [email protected], [email protected]
Website https://www.weforum.org/
Summary The World Economic Forum works with
individuals from a variety of fields, including
government and business. Its aim is to educate
members and the broader public about new
trends and organizations with the potential to
promote and implement relevant (business and
societal) agendas.
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8. Participating Individuals and Institutions
Interviewees & experts
Interviews were conducted with individuals from the following companies and institutions over spring and
summer 2019 (listed in alphabetical order):
AutoTech Ventures
Enterprise Garage
Kodiac Robotics
Lime
Motus Venture
PATH, University of California Berkeley
Peloton
Perceptive Automata
Plug and Play Tech Center
Prospect Silicon Valley
San Francisco County Transportation Agency
San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency
Scoot
Silicon Valley Mobility
Stanford University, Department of Mechanical Engineering
University of California Berkeley, Institute of Transportation Studies
Volkswagen Group, Advanced Technologies and IT Innovations
Xapix
The report was also supplemented with information from talks and discussions held at numerous events and
conferences in the San Francisco Bay Area over spring and summer 2019, including TechCrunch Sessions
Mobility, ITE Workshop, Uber Marketplace Dynamics, etc.
Authors and editors
Aggelos Soteropoulos is a mobility researcher at the Vienna University of Technology’s Research Unit of Transportation
System Planning. His research focuses on the effects of new mobility innovations (e.g. automated vehicles) on transport
systems, mobility and settlement development. He is currently working on several research projects in these areas,
including the Daimler & Benz Foundation-funded AVENUE21 project. His work focuses particularly on spatial analyses,
traffic modeling and data visualization.
Contact: [email protected]
Georg Fürlinger is technology officer at ADVANTAGE AUSTRIA, the internationalization and innovation agency of the
Austrian business sector, and co-director of the Open Austria office in San Francisco. He and his team support Austrian
companies in their US market entry strategies and in the search for technology, business partners and investors in
Silicon Valley. Previously, Georg conducted research at the Austrian Institute of Technology, worked at the Stanford
University startup accelerator StartX and taught at the New York Institute of Technology. He is the co-author of the book
‘Abseits von Silicon Valley’ (‘Beyond Silicon Valley’) and publishes and lectures regularly in the field of entrepreneurship
and innovation.
Contact: [email protected] and [email protected]
Mathias Mitteregger heads the Daimler and Benz Foundation-funded research project AVENUE21 at the Vienna
University of Technology, examining the opportunities and risks of automated vehicles for urban development in Europe.
He also carries out a range of research and planning projects both independently and at the university, with a focus on
how new technologies change perception, design and the broader concept of life in urban environments.
Contact: [email protected]
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Participating institutions
Advantage Austria, San Francisco & Open Austria www.wko.at/aussenwirtschaft/us | www.open-austria.com
The regional focus of the San Francisco office is on Silicon Valley and the wider Bay Area. As part of ‘Open Austria’ – a
joint initiative with the Austrian Federal Ministry of Europe, Integration and Foreign Affairs – the office serves as a
platform and partner for business, science, technology and the arts. It supports Austrian startups and established
businesses with their US market entry strategies and with the scouting of partners, technologies and investors. Its
GoSiliconValley Initiative has already brought more than 140 selected Austrian startups to the region.
The office’s activities further include participation in delegation tours and Zukunftsreisen [international future-themed
events] and the organization of local technology and innovation events.
future.lab, Faculty of Architecture and Planning, Vienna University of Technology www.futurelab.tuwien.ac.at
future.lab is is a platform for experimental inter- and transdisciplinary research and teaching in urban and spatial
development at the Vienna University of Technology’s Faculty of Architecture and Planning. It promotes projects and
discourse around space and development-related concepts and around strategies in the fields of architecture, urban
planning and spatial planning. Importantly, it also promotes dialogue between the spatial sciences and planning practice.
aspern.mobil LAB, Research Unit of Transport System Planning, Vienna University of Technology www.mobillab.wien
Located in the Aspern Seestadt district of Vienna, aspern.mobil LAB was created as an infrastructure for research and
development and a space for innovation in which science, urban administration, companies and residents could come
together to work on the development of sustainable urban mobility. It is coordinated by the Research Unit of Transport
System Planning at the Vienna University of Technology. Its main focus is on active mobility, shared mobility as a
service and first/last mile logistics. As part of the Mobility of the Future program, it is one of five urban mobility
laboratories in Austria funded by the Federal Ministry of Transport, Innovation and Technology.
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