Post on 24-Jan-2016
description
Double the NumbersSecuring Kentucky’s Future
Dr. James L. Applegate Vice President for Academic Affairs
Kentucky Council on Postsecondary EducationJim.applegate@ky.gov
Arkansas Task Force on Higher Education Remediation,
Retention and Graduation Rates March 20, 2008
22
College readiness/developmental educationCollege readiness/developmental education
33
STEM education and careersSTEM education and careers
44
Adult educationAdult education
55
Affordability and accessAffordability and access
66
Degree production and productivityDegree production and productivity
77
Postsecondary Education Improvement Act of 1997 (HB 1)
Increase educational attainment and promote economic development to raise the standard of living and quality of life in the Commonwealth above the national average by the year 2020
Kentucky Adult Education Act of 2000 (SB 1)
Acknowledges adult literacy as a fundamental barrier to every major challenge facing Kentucky and calls for a multi-faceted strategy to address the low level of education of Kentucky’s adult population
Postsecondary Education Improvement Act of 1997 (HB 1)
Increase educational attainment and promote economic development to raise the standard of living and quality of life in the Commonwealth above the national average by the year 2020
Kentucky Adult Education Act of 2000 (SB 1)
Acknowledges adult literacy as a fundamental barrier to every major challenge facing Kentucky and calls for a multi-faceted strategy to address the low level of education of Kentucky’s adult population
Kentucky’s 2020 visionKentucky’s 2020 vision
88
0%
9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
1991-98 1998-2005
0%
9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
1991-98 1998-2005
Public and Independent Four-Year Institutions
Undergraduate, Graduate and Professional
Four-Year Enrollment Growth: Before and After Reform
Reform is workingReform is working
99
12%
23%
0%5%10%15%20%25%
1991-98 1998-2005
12%
23%
0%5%10%15%20%25%
1991-98 1998-2005
Public and Independent Four-Year Institutions
Associates, Bachelor’s, Graduate and Professional Degrees
Growth in Degrees: Before and After Reform
Reform is workingReform is working
1010
20%
59%
0%
20%
40%
60%
1991-98 1998-2005
20%
59%
0%
20%
40%
60%
1991-98 1998-2005
Includes all public, two-year institutions in 1991 and 1998
Growth in Associate Degrees: Before and After Reform
Reform is workingReform is working
1111
Growth in Adult Education College Going and Enrollment
0%
30%
60%
90%
120%
150%
58%
144%
GED to College 1998-2002
Enrollment 2000-2005
Reform is workingReform is working
1212
62%
157%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
1992-98 1998-2004
62%
157%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
1992-98 1998-2004
Annual Federal R&D Expenditures at all Kentucky Institutions
Growth in Federal R&D Investment: Before and After Reform
Reform is workingReform is working
1313
Still a long way to goStill a long way to go
Bachelor’s Degrees Despite fifth largest percentage increase in the nation (1990-2000), Kentucky remains: 47th in adults with at least a bachelor’s degree
High School or GED Graduates Despite the largest increase (9.5%) in the nation (1990-2000), Kentucky remains: 49th in adults with at least a high school diploma or equivalent
Per Capita Income Despite 29% increase since 1998, Kentucky remains: 43rd in per capita income
1414
Necessity of increasing
college graduates
The single factorwith the greatest powerto explain differences in per capita income between statesis the percentage of college graduates.
Milken Institute, 2002
AL
AK
AZ
AR
CA
CO
CT
DE
GA
I L
I N
I A
KS
KY
LA
ME
MDMA
MS
NE
NV
NJ
NY
NC
ND
OH
OK
ORPA
SC
SD
UT
VT
VA
WA
I D
MI
MN
MO
NH
NM
TN TX
WV
WI
WY
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Personal I ncome Per Capita, 2000
Percent of the Adults Population Ages 25 to 64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher
MT
HI RIFL US
Low Income, High Educational AttainmentLow Income, Low Educational Attainment
High I ncome, High Educational AttainmentHigh I ncome, Low Educational Attainment
State New Economy I ndex (2004)
Top Tier
Middle Tier
Low Tier
1515
Necessity of increasing
college graduates
in Kentucky
1616
Necessity of increasing
college graduates
in Kentucky
States that experienced the greatest increases in educational attainment also experienced the greatest increases in personal income from 1980 to 2000.
Percent Change in Personal I ncome Per Capita (from 1980 to 2000)
Percent Change in the Adult Population Ages 25 to 64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher (from 1980 to 2000)
AL
AK
AZ
AR
CA
CO
CT
DE
GA
HI
I LI N
I AKS
KY
LA
MEMD
MA
MS
MT
NE
NV
NJNY
NC
ND
OH
OK
OR
PA
RI
SC
SD
UT
VT
VA
WA US
FL
I D
MI
MN
MO
NH
NM
TN
TX
WV
WI
WY
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
-2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8%
1717
Where does Double the Numbers
come from?
Goal: To achieve postsecondary education reform goals, Kentucky must double the number of people with at least a bachelor’s degree by 2020
23%
2000 (actual) 2020 (target)
800,000
0
402,000
580,000400,000
Gap:211,000 bachelor’sdegree holders
791,000
19%
32%
211,000
1919
Double the Numbers PlanDouble the Numbers Plan
Five Strategies
1. Raise high school graduation rates
2. Increase GED graduates and transition more to college
3. Enroll more first-time students at KCTCS and increase transfers to 4-year programs
4. Increase college attendance and completion
5. Attract college-educated workers to Kentucky and create new jobs
2020
Strategy #1 Raise high school graduation
rates
• Expand opportunities for students to earn college credits during high school• More intervention programs in middle and high school to identify and remediate gaps
in preparation for college• Increase the number of high school graduates from 40,000 to 48,000• Increase high school graduation rate of 9th graders from 72% to 81%
Strategy #2 Increase the number of GED
graduates and transition more to college
• Higher academic standards so graduates are better prepared for transition to college and high quality employment
• Enhanced teacher standards and professional development • Increase college-going of GED graduates from 19% to 36% • Increase annual number of GED graduates from 9,000 to 15,000
Strategy #3 Enroll more first-time students
at KCTCS and transfer them to 4-year programs
• Improve general education credit transfer• Keep KCTCS affordable• Increase KCTCS enrollment from 86,500 to 115,800• Increase number of students transferring from KCTCS to four-year universities
from 3,100 to 11,300
Strategy #4 Increase number of
Kentuckians attending and completing college
• Increase high school college-going rate from 62% to 74%• Increase adult college participation rate from 3.6% to 4.5%• Raise the postsecondary system’s graduation rate from 44% to 56%
Strategy #5 Attract college-educated
workers to Kentucky and create new jobs
• • Create new jobs to attract college-educated, out-of-state residents• Keep college graduates working in Kentucky• Increase number of jobs requiring at least a bachelor’s degree
Statewide strategies, tactics, and targetsStatewide strategies, tactics, and targets
2121
Service RegionService Region25-64, Some college, no 25-64, Some college, no
degree 2000degree 200025-64, Associate 25-64, Associate
degree 2000degree 2000
25-64, Total, Some 25-64, Total, Some college or Associate college or Associate
degreedegree
EKUEKU 44,87244,872 12,10012,100 56,97256,972
KSUKSU 17,88417,884 4,9634,963 22,84722,847
MoreheadMorehead 44,33244,332 12,56112,561 56,89356,893
MurrayMurray 50,08250,082 14,48914,489 64,57164,571
NKUNKU 45,93345,933 12,05812,058 57,99157,991
WKUWKU 68,17168,171 19,84719,847 88,01888,018
UKUK 55,59955,599 17,58417,584 73,18373,183
UofLUofL 103,243103,243 28,87828,878 132,121132,121
TOTALTOTAL 430,116430,116 122,480122,480 552,596552,596
Source: US Census Bureau, 2000
Adults with some college, no BA degreeAdults with some college, no BA degree
2222
3,613 3,868 3,907
5,800
11,300
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2001-02 2003-04 2005-06 2009-10 2020 Goal
3,613 3,868 3,907
5,800
11,300
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2001-02 2003-04 2005-06 2009-10 2020 Goal
Source: CPE Comprehensive Database
KCTCS Transfers to 4-year institutionsKCTCS Transfers to 4-year institutions
2323
36%
19% 22% 21%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2009-10 2020 Goal
36%
19% 22% 21%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2009-10 2020 Goal
Source: Kentucky Adult Education
College-going rate of GED graduatesCollege-going rate of GED graduates
2424Source: CPE Comprehensive Database, 2020 Projections
EKU, 3,397
KSU, 542
Morehead, 1,799
Murray, 2,834
NKU, 3,149
WKU, 4,324UK, 6,349
UofL, 3,043
Independents, 8,231
2006
Bachelor’s Degrees: 18,700
2020
Bachelor’s Degrees: 33,700
EKU, 1,980
KSU, 198
Morehead, 1055
Murray, 1,521
NKU, 1,584
WKU, 2,313UK, 3,519
UofL, 2,253
Independents, 3,801
2020 bachelor’s degree targets2020 bachelor’s degree targets
2525
2006-08 college access initiative2006-08 college access initiative
Target Audiences GEAR UP/At-risk high school
students Adults with some college GED graduates and adults
without high school degree Potential transfer students
2626
2006-08 college access initiative2006-08 college access initiative
KentuckyCAN! Launched August 9th as a collaborative
program of CPE and Prichard Committee Network of public, private, civic and faith-
based organizations and individuals Developed to magnify the efforts of college
access effort across the state Grassroots arm of the College Access
Campaign
2727
2828
2929
Presentation to Transition
Committee on Education
CPE Funding Model and Budget Recommendation
Double the Numbers Fund
Developmental Education, STEM, and Other Statewide Priorities such as Bucks for Brains
Necessity of support for adult education, college access, community outreach, and transfers
Accountability System
Measures annual progress toward 2020 goals
State and institution key performance indicators