Double the Numbers Securing Kentucky’s Future

Double the NumbersSecuring Kentuckys FutureDr. James L. Applegate Vice President for Academic AffairsKentucky Council on Postsecondary [email protected]

Arkansas Task Force on Higher Education Remediation, Retention and Graduation Rates March 20, 2008

DRAFT Work Paper, For Discussion Only, 10/11/07

College readiness/developmental education


STEM education and careers


Adult education


Affordability and access


Degree production and productivity


Postsecondary Education Improvement Act of 1997 (HB 1)Increase educational attainment and promote economic development to raise the standard of living and quality of life in the Commonwealth above the national average by the year 2020Kentucky Adult Education Act of 2000 (SB 1)Acknowledges adult literacy as a fundamental barrier to every major challenge facing Kentucky and calls for a multi-faceted strategy to address the low level of education of Kentuckys adult populationKentuckys 2020 vision


Public and Independent Four-Year InstitutionsUndergraduate, Graduate and ProfessionalFour-Year Enrollment Growth: Before and After ReformReform is working


Chart6

0.0028685871

0.0939871921

25 and Over

BA or Higher

1940195019601970198019902000

Alabama

Arkansas

Delaware

Florida

Georgia

Kentucky3.0%3.9%4.9%7.2%11.1%13.6%17.1%

Louisiana

Maryland

Mississippi

North Carolina4.1%5.1%6.3%8.5%13.2%17.4%22.5%

Oklahoma

South Carolina

Tennessee3.1%4.1%5.5%7.9%12.6%16.0%19.6%

Texas

Virginia

West Virginia

National4.6%6.2%7.7%10.7%16.2%20.3%24.4%

KY as a % of Natl Ave65%63%64%67%69%67%70%

NC as a % of Nat'l Ave89%82%82%79%81%86%92%

TN as a % of Nat'l Ave67%66%71%74%78%79%80%

KY % Change30%26%47%54%23%26%5th highest change in nation (NC, WI, IA, and GA)

NC % Change24%24%35%55%32%29%

TN % Change32%34%44%59%27%23%0%

Natl % Change35%24%39%51%25%20%

KY Abs Change0.9%1.0%2.3%3.9%2.5%3.5%

NC Abs Change1.0%1.2%2.2%4.7%4.2%5.1%

TN Abs Change1.0%1.4%2.4%4.7%3.4%3.6%

Natl Abs Change1.6%1.5%3.0%5.5%4.1%4.1%

http://www.census.gov/population/www/socdemo/education/phct41.html#graphs

Eduational Attainment 25+ with BA+

1940195019601970198019902000

Kentucky3.0%3.9%4.9%7.2%11.1%13.6%17.1%

National4.6%6.2%7.7%10.7%16.2%20.3%24.4%

KY as a % of Natl Ave65%63%64%67%69%67%70%

KY Abs Change0.9%1.0%2.3%3.9%2.5%3.5%

Natl Abs Change1.6%1.5%3.0%5.5%4.1%4.1%

KY % Change30%26%47%54%23%26%[5th highest change in nation (NC, WI, IA, and GA)]

Natl % Change35%24%39%51%25%20%[KY's % change has outpaced natl change 4 out of last 6 decades]


Sheet2

Table S3.Per Capita Income by State: 1959, 1969, 1979, 1989, and 1999

(Income in current and 1999 CPI-U-RS adjusted dollars)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

19991989197919691959

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

StateIn currentIn 1999In currentIn 1999In currentIn 1999In currentIn 1999

dollarsdollarsdollarsdollarsdollarsdollarsdollarsdollars

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

United States$21,587$14,420$18,715$7,298$15,523$3,119$12,151$1,850$8,980

Alabama18,18911,48614,9075,89412,5372,3179,0261,2466,048

Alaska22,66017,61022,85510,19321,6813,72514,5112,25910,965

Arizona20,27513,46117,4717,04114,9772,93711,4421,7648,562

Arkansas16,90410,52013,6535,61411,9412,1428,3451,1255,461

California22,71116,40921,2978,29517,6443,61414,0792,30811,203

Colorado24,04914,82119,2367,99817,0123,10612,1001,8899,169

Connecticut28,76620,18926,2038,51118,1043,88515,1352,35211,417

Delaware23,30515,85420,5767,44915,8453,26512,7192,08610,125

D.C28,65918,88124,5058,96019,0593,84214,9672,40411,669

Florida21,55714,69819,0767,27015,4643,05811,9131,7288,388

Georgia21,15413,63117,6916,40213,6182,64010,2851,3596,597

Hawaii21,52515,77020,4677,74016,4643,37313,1401,8639,043

Idaho17,84111,45714,8706,24813,2902,64410,3001,6087,805

Illinois23,10415,20119,7298,06617,1573,49513,6152,18210,591

Indiana20,39713,14917,0667,14215,1923,07011,9601,8328,893

Iowa19,67412,42216,1227,13615,1792,88411,2351,6487,999

Kansas20,50613,30017,2627,35015,6342,92911,4101,7758,616

Kentucky18,09311,15314,4755,97812,7162,4259,4471,3226,417

Louisiana16,91210,63513,8036,43013,6772,3309,0771,3696,645

Maine19,53312,95716,8165,76812,2692,5489,9261,5147,349

Maryland25,61417,73023,0118,29317,6403,51213,6822,0039,723

Massachusetts25,95217,22422,3547,45815,8643,40813,2762,0509,951

Michigan22,16814,15418,3707,68816,3533,35713,0781,9409,417

Minnesota23,19814,38918,6757,45115,8493,03811,8351,7348,417

Mississippi15,8539,64812,5225,18311,0251,9257,4999674,694

Missouri19,93612,98916,8586,91714,7132,95211,5001,7518,499

Montana17,15111,21314,5536,58914,0152,69610,5031,6798,150

Nebraska19,61312,45216,1616,93614,7532,79710,8961,6297,907

Nevada21,98915,21419,7468,45317,9803,55413,8452,35611,436

New Hampshire23,84415,95920,7136,96614,8172,98511,6291,7948,708

New Jersey27,00618,71424,2888,12717,2873,67414,3132,26010,970

New Mexico17,26111,24614,5966,11913,0162,4379,4941,5997,762

New York23,38916,50121,4167,49815,9493,60814,0562,23610,854

North Carolina20,30712,88516,7236,13313,0452,4749,6381,2526,077

North Dakota17,76911,05114,3436,41713,6492,4699,6181,3576,587

Ohio21,00313,46117,4717,28515,4963,19912,4621,9579,499

Oklahoma17,64611,89315,4356,85814,5882,69410,4951,6137,830

Oregon20,94013,41817,4157,55716,0743,14812,2641,9499,460

Pennsylvania20,88014,06818,2587,07715,0533,06611,9441,8559,004

Rhode Island21,68814,98119,4436,89714,6703,12112,1581,8188,825

South Carolina18,79511,89715,4415,88612,5202,3038,9721,1425,543

South Dakota17,56210,66113,8365,69712,1182,3879,2991,3276,441

Tennessee19,39312,25515,9056,21313,2162,4649,5991,3186,398

Texas19,61712,90416,7487,20515,3262,79210,8771,6267,893

Utah18,18511,02914,3146,30513,4112,69710,5071,6958,228

Vermont20,62513,52717,5566,17813,1412,77210,7991,5167,359

Virginia23,97515,71320,3937,47815,9062,99611,6711,5987,757

Washington22,97314,92319,3688,07317,1723,35713,0782,0339,868

West Virginia16,47710,52013,6536,14113,0622,3339,0891,3786,689

Wisconsin21,27113,27617,2307,24315,4063,03211,8121,8448,951

Wyoming19,13412,31115,9787,92716,8612,89511,2781,8889,164

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SOURCE: 1960, 1970, 1980, 1990, and 2000 Censuses of Population

Income Surveys Branch, HHES Division

U.S. Census Bureau

U.S. Department of Commerce

Washington, D.C. 20233-8500

(301) 457-3242

Sheet3

KY, NC, and National Average

Educational Attainment and Per Capita Income

1960 to 2000

Educatioanl Attainment

19601970198019902000

KY (BA+)4.9%7.2%11.1%13.6%17.1%

NC (BA+)6.3%8.5%13.2%17.4%22.5%

Natl Ave (BA+)7.7%10.7%16.2%20.3%24.4%

Per Capita Income

19591969197919891999

KY (PCI)$6,417$9,447$12,716$14,475$18,093

NC (PCI)$6,077$9,638$13,045$16,723$20,307

Natl Ave (PCI)$8,980$12,151$15,523$18,715$21,587

19601970198019902000

KY (BA+)5%7%11%14%17%

Natl Ave (BA+)8%11%16%20%24%

KY PCI$6,417$9,447$12,716$14,475$18,093

Natl PCI$8,980$12,151$15,523$18,715$21,587

20002020

KY No Change402,000580,00019%32%

KY to Nat'l Ave402,000791,00027%32%

KY No Change19%23%

KY to Nat'l Ave19%32%

Sheet3

0.0490.0630.077

0.0720.0850.107

0.1110.1320.162

0.1360.1740.203

0.1710.2250.244

&A

Page &P

KY (BA+)

NC (BA+)

Natl Ave (BA+)

Educatioanl Attainment Percent of Population 25+ with BA+ (1960 to 2000)

641760778980

9447963812151

127161304515523

144751672318715

180932030721587

KY (PCI)

NC (PCI)

Natl Ave (PCI)

Per Capital Income (1959 to 1999) - In 1999 dollars

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

&A

Page &P

KY (BA+)

Natl Ave (BA+)

KY PCI

Natl PCI

Educational Attainment Percent of Adults 25+ with at least a BA Degree

Per Capita Income

Kentucky Versus National Average Educational Attainment and Per Capita Income

4020004020000.190.19

5800007910000.230.32

KY No Change

KY to Nat'l Ave

KY No Change

KY to Nat'l Ave

Number of Kentuckians with at Least a BA Degree

Educational Attainment Percent of Adults (25-64) with at Least a BA Degree


Public and Independent Four-Year InstitutionsAssociates, Bachelors, Graduate and Professional DegreesGrowth in Degrees: Before and After ReformReform is working


Chart6

0.1161111964

0.2285216274

25 and Over

BA or Higher

1940195019601970198019902000

Alabama

Arkansas

Delaware

Florida

Georgia

Kentucky3.0%3.9%4.9%7.2%11.1%13.6%17.1%

Louisiana

Maryland

Mississippi

North Carolina4.1%5.1%6.3%8.5%13.2%17.4%22.5%

Oklahoma

South Carolina

Tennessee3.1%4.1%5.5%7.9%12.6%16.0%19.6%

Texas

Virginia

West Virginia

National4.6%6.2%7.7%10.7%16.2%20.3%24.4%

KY as a % of Natl Ave65%63%64%67%69%67%70%

NC as a % of Nat'l Ave89%82%82%79%81%86%92%

TN as a % of Nat'l Ave67%66%71%74%78%79%80%


NC % Change24%24%35%55%32%29%

TN % Change32%34%44%59%27%23%0%

Natl % Change35%24%39%51%25%20%

KY Abs Change0.9%1.0%2.3%3.9%2.5%3.5%

NC Abs Change1.0%1.2%2.2%4.7%4.2%5.1%

TN Abs Change1.0%1.4%2.4%4.7%3.4%3.6%

Natl Abs Change1.6%1.5%3.0%5.5%4.1%4.1%



1940195019601970198019902000

Kentucky3.0%3.9%4.9%7.2%11.1%13.6%17.1%

National4.6%6.2%7.7%10.7%16.2%20.3%24.4%

KY as a % of Natl Ave65%63%64%67%69%67%70%

KY Abs Change0.9%1.0%2.3%3.9%2.5%3.5%

Natl Abs Change1.6%1.5%3.0%5.5%4.1%4.1%




Sheet2



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

19991989197919691959

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

United States$21,587$14,420$18,715$7,298$15,523$3,119$12,151$1,850$8,980

Alabama18,18911,48614,9075,89412,5372,3179,0261,2466,048

Alaska22,66017,61022,85510,19321,6813,72514,5112,25910,965

Arizona20,27513,46117,4717,04114,9772,93711,4421,7648,562

Arkansas16,90410,52013,6535,61411,9412,1428,3451,1255,461

California22,71116,40921,2978,29517,6443,61414,0792,30811,203

Colorado24,04914,82119,2367,99817,0123,10612,1001,8899,169

Connecticut28,76620,18926,2038,51118,1043,88515,1352,35211,417

Delaware23,30515,85420,5767,44915,8453,26512,7192,08610,125

D.C28,65918,88124,5058,96019,0593,84214,9672,40411,669

Florida21,55714,69819,0767,27015,4643,05811,9131,7288,388

Georgia21,15413,63117,6916,40213,6182,64010,2851,3596,597

Hawaii21,52515,77020,4677,74016,4643,37313,1401,8639,043

Idaho17,84111,45714,8706,24813,2902,64410,3001,6087,805

Illinois23,10415,20119,7298,06617,1573,49513,6152,18210,591

Indiana20,39713,14917,0667,14215,1923,07011,9601,8328,893

Iowa19,67412,42216,1227,13615,1792,88411,2351,6487,999

Kansas20,50613,30017,2627,35015,6342,92911,4101,7758,616

Kentucky18,09311,15314,4755,97812,7162,4259,4471,3226,417

Louisiana16,91210,63513,8036,43013,6772,3309,0771,3696,645

Maine19,53312,95716,8165,76812,2692,5489,9261,5147,349

Maryland25,61417,73023,0118,29317,6403,51213,6822,0039,723

Massachusetts25,95217,22422,3547,45815,8643,40813,2762,0509,951

Michigan22,16814,15418,3707,68816,3533,35713,0781,9409,417

Minnesota23,19814,38918,6757,45115,8493,03811,8351,7348,417

Mississippi15,8539,64812,5225,18311,0251,9257,4999674,694

Missouri19,93612,98916,8586,91714,7132,95211,5001,7518,499

Montana17,15111,21314,5536,58914,0152,69610,5031,6798,150

Nebraska19,61312,45216,1616,93614,7532,79710,8961,6297,907

Nevada21,98915,21419,7468,45317,9803,55413,8452,35611,436

New Hampshire23,84415,95920,7136,96614,8172,98511,6291,7948,708

New Jersey27,00618,71424,2888,12717,2873,67414,3132,26010,970

New Mexico17,26111,24614,5966,11913,0162,4379,4941,5997,762

New York23,38916,50121,4167,49815,9493,60814,0562,23610,854

North Carolina20,30712,88516,7236,13313,0452,4749,6381,2526,077

North Dakota17,76911,05114,3436,41713,6492,4699,6181,3576,587

Ohio21,00313,46117,4717,28515,4963,19912,4621,9579,499

Oklahoma17,64611,89315,4356,85814,5882,69410,4951,6137,830

Oregon20,94013,41817,4157,55716,0743,14812,2641,9499,460

Pennsylvania20,88014,06818,2587,07715,0533,06611,9441,8559,004

Rhode Island21,68814,98119,4436,89714,6703,12112,1581,8188,825

South Carolina18,79511,89715,4415,88612,5202,3038,9721,1425,543

South Dakota17,56210,66113,8365,69712,1182,3879,2991,3276,441

Tennessee19,39312,25515,9056,21313,2162,4649,5991,3186,398

Texas19,61712,90416,7487,20515,3262,79210,8771,6267,893

Utah18,18511,02914,3146,30513,4112,69710,5071,6958,228

Vermont20,62513,52717,5566,17813,1412,77210,7991,5167,359

Virginia23,97515,71320,3937,47815,9062,99611,6711,5987,757

Washington22,97314,92319,3688,07317,1723,35713,0782,0339,868

West Virginia16,47710,52013,6536,14113,0622,3339,0891,3786,689

Wisconsin21,27113,27617,2307,24315,4063,03211,8121,8448,951

Wyoming19,13412,31115,9787,92716,8612,89511,2781,8889,164

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



U.S. Census Bureau



(301) 457-3242

Sheet3



1960 to 2000


19601970198019902000

KY (BA+)4.9%7.2%11.1%13.6%17.1%

NC (BA+)6.3%8.5%13.2%17.4%22.5%

Natl Ave (BA+)7.7%10.7%16.2%20.3%24.4%

Per Capita Income

19591969197919891999

KY (PCI)$6,417$9,447$12,716$14,475$18,093

NC (PCI)$6,077$9,638$13,045$16,723$20,307

Natl Ave (PCI)$8,980$12,151$15,523$18,715$21,587

19601970198019902000

KY (BA+)5%7%11%14%17%

Natl Ave (BA+)8%11%16%20%24%

KY PCI$6,417$9,447$12,716$14,475$18,093

Natl PCI$8,980$12,151$15,523$18,715$21,587

20002020

KY No Change402,000580,00019%32%

KY to Nat'l Ave402,000791,00027%32%

KY No Change19%23%


Sheet3

0.0490.0630.077

0.0720.0850.107

0.1110.1320.162

0.1360.1740.203

0.1710.2250.244

&A

Page &P

KY (BA+)

NC (BA+)

Natl Ave (BA+)


641760778980

9447963812151

127161304515523

144751672318715

180932030721587

KY (PCI)

NC (PCI)

Natl Ave (PCI)


0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

&A

Page &P

KY (BA+)

Natl Ave (BA+)

KY PCI

Natl PCI


Per Capita Income


4020004020000.190.19

5800007910000.230.32

KY No Change

KY to Nat'l Ave

KY No Change

KY to Nat'l Ave




Includes all public, two-year institutions in 1991 and 1998Growth in Associate Degrees: Before and After ReformReform is working


Chart6

0.1998005319

0.5857578277

25 and Over

BA or Higher

1940195019601970198019902000

Alabama

Arkansas

Delaware

Florida

Georgia

Kentucky3.0%3.9%4.9%7.2%11.1%13.6%17.1%

Louisiana

Maryland

Mississippi

North Carolina4.1%5.1%6.3%8.5%13.2%17.4%22.5%

Oklahoma

South Carolina

Tennessee3.1%4.1%5.5%7.9%12.6%16.0%19.6%

Texas

Virginia

West Virginia

National4.6%6.2%7.7%10.7%16.2%20.3%24.4%

KY as a % of Natl Ave65%63%64%67%69%67%70%

NC as a % of Nat'l Ave89%82%82%79%81%86%92%

TN as a % of Nat'l Ave67%66%71%74%78%79%80%


NC % Change24%24%35%55%32%29%

TN % Change32%34%44%59%27%23%0%

Natl % Change35%24%39%51%25%20%

KY Abs Change0.9%1.0%2.3%3.9%2.5%3.5%

NC Abs Change1.0%1.2%2.2%4.7%4.2%5.1%

TN Abs Change1.0%1.4%2.4%4.7%3.4%3.6%

Natl Abs Change1.6%1.5%3.0%5.5%4.1%4.1%



1940195019601970198019902000

Kentucky3.0%3.9%4.9%7.2%11.1%13.6%17.1%

National4.6%6.2%7.7%10.7%16.2%20.3%24.4%

KY as a % of Natl Ave65%63%64%67%69%67%70%

KY Abs Change0.9%1.0%2.3%3.9%2.5%3.5%

Natl Abs Change1.6%1.5%3.0%5.5%4.1%4.1%




Sheet2



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

19991989197919691959

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

United States$21,587$14,420$18,715$7,298$15,523$3,119$12,151$1,850$8,980

Alabama18,18911,48614,9075,89412,5372,3179,0261,2466,048

Alaska22,66017,61022,85510,19321,6813,72514,5112,25910,965

Arizona20,27513,46117,4717,04114,9772,93711,4421,7648,562

Arkansas16,90410,52013,6535,61411,9412,1428,3451,1255,461

California22,71116,40921,2978,29517,6443,61414,0792,30811,203

Colorado24,04914,82119,2367,99817,0123,10612,1001,8899,169

Connecticut28,76620,18926,2038,51118,1043,88515,1352,35211,417

Delaware23,30515,85420,5767,44915,8453,26512,7192,08610,125

D.C28,65918,88124,5058,96019,0593,84214,9672,40411,669

Florida21,55714,69819,0767,27015,4643,05811,9131,7288,388

Georgia21,15413,63117,6916,40213,6182,64010,2851,3596,597

Hawaii21,52515,77020,4677,74016,4643,37313,1401,8639,043

Idaho17,84111,45714,8706,24813,2902,64410,3001,6087,805

Illinois23,10415,20119,7298,06617,1573,49513,6152,18210,591

Indiana20,39713,14917,0667,14215,1923,07011,9601,8328,893

Iowa19,67412,42216,1227,13615,1792,88411,2351,6487,999

Kansas20,50613,30017,2627,35015,6342,92911,4101,7758,616

Kentucky18,09311,15314,4755,97812,7162,4259,4471,3226,417

Louisiana16,91210,63513,8036,43013,6772,3309,0771,3696,645

Maine19,53312,95716,8165,76812,2692,5489,9261,5147,349

Maryland25,61417,73023,0118,29317,6403,51213,6822,0039,723

Massachusetts25,95217,22422,3547,45815,8643,40813,2762,0509,951

Michigan22,16814,15418,3707,68816,3533,35713,0781,9409,417

Minnesota23,19814,38918,6757,45115,8493,03811,8351,7348,417

Mississippi15,8539,64812,5225,18311,0251,9257,4999674,694

Missouri19,93612,98916,8586,91714,7132,95211,5001,7518,499

Montana17,15111,21314,5536,58914,0152,69610,5031,6798,150

Nebraska19,61312,45216,1616,93614,7532,79710,8961,6297,907

Nevada21,98915,21419,7468,45317,9803,55413,8452,35611,436

New Hampshire23,84415,95920,7136,96614,8172,98511,6291,7948,708

New Jersey27,00618,71424,2888,12717,2873,67414,3132,26010,970

New Mexico17,26111,24614,5966,11913,0162,4379,4941,5997,762

New York23,38916,50121,4167,49815,9493,60814,0562,23610,854

North Carolina20,30712,88516,7236,13313,0452,4749,6381,2526,077

North Dakota17,76911,05114,3436,41713,6492,4699,6181,3576,587

Ohio21,00313,46117,4717,28515,4963,19912,4621,9579,499

Oklahoma17,64611,89315,4356,85814,5882,69410,4951,6137,830

Oregon20,94013,41817,4157,55716,0743,14812,2641,9499,460

Pennsylvania20,88014,06818,2587,07715,0533,06611,9441,8559,004

Rhode Island21,68814,98119,4436,89714,6703,12112,1581,8188,825

South Carolina18,79511,89715,4415,88612,5202,3038,9721,1425,543

South Dakota17,56210,66113,8365,69712,1182,3879,2991,3276,441

Tennessee19,39312,25515,9056,21313,2162,4649,5991,3186,398

Texas19,61712,90416,7487,20515,3262,79210,8771,6267,893

Utah18,18511,02914,3146,30513,4112,69710,5071,6958,228

Vermont20,62513,52717,5566,17813,1412,77210,7991,5167,359

Virginia23,97515,71320,3937,47815,9062,99611,6711,5987,757

Washington22,97314,92319,3688,07317,1723,35713,0782,0339,868

West Virginia16,47710,52013,6536,14113,0622,3339,0891,3786,689

Wisconsin21,27113,27617,2307,24315,4063,03211,8121,8448,951

Wyoming19,13412,31115,9787,92716,8612,89511,2781,8889,164

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



U.S. Census Bureau



(301) 457-3242

Sheet3



1960 to 2000


19601970198019902000

KY (BA+)4.9%7.2%11.1%13.6%17.1%

NC (BA+)6.3%8.5%13.2%17.4%22.5%

Natl Ave (BA+)7.7%10.7%16.2%20.3%24.4%

Per Capita Income

19591969197919891999

KY (PCI)$6,417$9,447$12,716$14,475$18,093

NC (PCI)$6,077$9,638$13,045$16,723$20,307

Natl Ave (PCI)$8,980$12,151$15,523$18,715$21,587

19601970198019902000

KY (BA+)5%7%11%14%17%

Natl Ave (BA+)8%11%16%20%24%

KY PCI$6,417$9,447$12,716$14,475$18,093

Natl PCI$8,980$12,151$15,523$18,715$21,587

20002020

KY No Change402,000580,00019%32%

KY to Nat'l Ave402,000791,00027%32%

KY No Change19%23%


Sheet3

0.0490.0630.077

0.0720.0850.107

0.1110.1320.162

0.1360.1740.203

0.1710.2250.244

&A

Page &P

KY (BA+)

NC (BA+)

Natl Ave (BA+)


641760778980

9447963812151

127161304515523

144751672318715

180932030721587

KY (PCI)

NC (PCI)

Natl Ave (PCI)


0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

&A

Page &P

KY (BA+)

Natl Ave (BA+)

KY PCI

Natl PCI


Per Capita Income


4020004020000.190.19

5800007910000.230.32

KY No Change

KY to Nat'l Ave

KY No Change

KY to Nat'l Ave




Growth in Adult Education College Going and Enrollment0%30%60%90%120%150%58%144%GED to College 1998-2002Enrollment 2000-2005Reform is working


Annual Federal R&D Expenditures at all Kentucky InstitutionsGrowth in Federal R&D Investment: Before and After ReformReform is working


Chart6

0.6170212766

1.5657894737

25 and Over

BA or Higher

1940195019601970198019902000

Alabama

Arkansas

Delaware

Florida

Georgia

Kentucky3.0%3.9%4.9%7.2%11.1%13.6%17.1%

Louisiana

Maryland

Mississippi

North Carolina4.1%5.1%6.3%8.5%13.2%17.4%22.5%

Oklahoma

South Carolina

Tennessee3.1%4.1%5.5%7.9%12.6%16.0%19.6%

Texas

Virginia

West Virginia

National4.6%6.2%7.7%10.7%16.2%20.3%24.4%

KY as a % of Natl Ave65%63%64%67%69%67%70%

NC as a % of Nat'l Ave89%82%82%79%81%86%92%

TN as a % of Nat'l Ave67%66%71%74%78%79%80%


NC % Change24%24%35%55%32%29%

TN % Change32%34%44%59%27%23%0%

Natl % Change35%24%39%51%25%20%

KY Abs Change0.9%1.0%2.3%3.9%2.5%3.5%

NC Abs Change1.0%1.2%2.2%4.7%4.2%5.1%

TN Abs Change1.0%1.4%2.4%4.7%3.4%3.6%

Natl Abs Change1.6%1.5%3.0%5.5%4.1%4.1%



1940195019601970198019902000

Kentucky3.0%3.9%4.9%7.2%11.1%13.6%17.1%

National4.6%6.2%7.7%10.7%16.2%20.3%24.4%

KY as a % of Natl Ave65%63%64%67%69%67%70%

KY Abs Change0.9%1.0%2.3%3.9%2.5%3.5%

Natl Abs Change1.6%1.5%3.0%5.5%4.1%4.1%




Sheet2



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

19991989197919691959

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

United States$21,587$14,420$18,715$7,298$15,523$3,119$12,151$1,850$8,980

Alabama18,18911,48614,9075,89412,5372,3179,0261,2466,048

Alaska22,66017,61022,85510,19321,6813,72514,5112,25910,965

Arizona20,27513,46117,4717,04114,9772,93711,4421,7648,562

Arkansas16,90410,52013,6535,61411,9412,1428,3451,1255,461

California22,71116,40921,2978,29517,6443,61414,0792,30811,203

Colorado24,04914,82119,2367,99817,0123,10612,1001,8899,169

Connecticut28,76620,18926,2038,51118,1043,88515,1352,35211,417

Delaware23,30515,85420,5767,44915,8453,26512,7192,08610,125

D.C28,65918,88124,5058,96019,0593,84214,9672,40411,669

Florida21,55714,69819,0767,27015,4643,05811,9131,7288,388

Georgia21,15413,63117,6916,40213,6182,64010,2851,3596,597

Hawaii21,52515,77020,4677,74016,4643,37313,1401,8639,043

Idaho17,84111,45714,8706,24813,2902,64410,3001,6087,805

Illinois23,10415,20119,7298,06617,1573,49513,6152,18210,591

Indiana20,39713,14917,0667,14215,1923,07011,9601,8328,893

Iowa19,67412,42216,1227,13615,1792,88411,2351,6487,999

Kansas20,50613,30017,2627,35015,6342,92911,4101,7758,616

Kentucky18,09311,15314,4755,97812,7162,4259,4471,3226,417

Louisiana16,91210,63513,8036,43013,6772,3309,0771,3696,645

Maine19,53312,95716,8165,76812,2692,5489,9261,5147,349

Maryland25,61417,73023,0118,29317,6403,51213,6822,0039,723

Massachusetts25,95217,22422,3547,45815,8643,40813,2762,0509,951

Michigan22,16814,15418,3707,68816,3533,35713,0781,9409,417

Minnesota23,19814,38918,6757,45115,8493,03811,8351,7348,417

Mississippi15,8539,64812,5225,18311,0251,9257,4999674,694

Missouri19,93612,98916,8586,91714,7132,95211,5001,7518,499

Montana17,15111,21314,5536,58914,0152,69610,5031,6798,150

Nebraska19,61312,45216,1616,93614,7532,79710,8961,6297,907

Nevada21,98915,21419,7468,45317,9803,55413,8452,35611,436

New Hampshire23,84415,95920,7136,96614,8172,98511,6291,7948,708

New Jersey27,00618,71424,2888,12717,2873,67414,3132,26010,970

New Mexico17,26111,24614,5966,11913,0162,4379,4941,5997,762

New York23,38916,50121,4167,49815,9493,60814,0562,23610,854

North Carolina20,30712,88516,7236,13313,0452,4749,6381,2526,077

North Dakota17,76911,05114,3436,41713,6492,4699,6181,3576,587

Ohio21,00313,46117,4717,28515,4963,19912,4621,9579,499

Oklahoma17,64611,89315,4356,85814,5882,69410,4951,6137,830

Oregon20,94013,41817,4157,55716,0743,14812,2641,9499,460

Pennsylvania20,88014,06818,2587,07715,0533,06611,9441,8559,004

Rhode Island21,68814,98119,4436,89714,6703,12112,1581,8188,825

South Carolina18,79511,89715,4415,88612,5202,3038,9721,1425,543

South Dakota17,56210,66113,8365,69712,1182,3879,2991,3276,441

Tennessee19,39312,25515,9056,21313,2162,4649,5991,3186,398

Texas19,61712,90416,7487,20515,3262,79210,8771,6267,893

Utah18,18511,02914,3146,30513,4112,69710,5071,6958,228

Vermont20,62513,52717,5566,17813,1412,77210,7991,5167,359

Virginia23,97515,71320,3937,47815,9062,99611,6711,5987,757

Washington22,97314,92319,3688,07317,1723,35713,0782,0339,868

West Virginia16,47710,52013,6536,14113,0622,3339,0891,3786,689

Wisconsin21,27113,27617,2307,24315,4063,03211,8121,8448,951

Wyoming19,13412,31115,9787,92716,8612,89511,2781,8889,164

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



U.S. Census Bureau



(301) 457-3242

Sheet3



1960 to 2000


19601970198019902000

KY (BA+)4.9%7.2%11.1%13.6%17.1%

NC (BA+)6.3%8.5%13.2%17.4%22.5%

Natl Ave (BA+)7.7%10.7%16.2%20.3%24.4%

Per Capita Income

19591969197919891999

KY (PCI)$6,417$9,447$12,716$14,475$18,093

NC (PCI)$6,077$9,638$13,045$16,723$20,307

Natl Ave (PCI)$8,980$12,151$15,523$18,715$21,587

19601970198019902000

KY (BA+)5%7%11%14%17%

Natl Ave (BA+)8%11%16%20%24%

KY PCI$6,417$9,447$12,716$14,475$18,093

Natl PCI$8,980$12,151$15,523$18,715$21,587

20002020

KY No Change402,000580,00019%32%

KY to Nat'l Ave402,000791,00027%32%

KY No Change19%23%


Sheet3

000

000

000

000

000

&A

Page &P

KY (BA+)

NC (BA+)

Natl Ave (BA+)


000

000

000

000

000

KY (PCI)

NC (PCI)

Natl Ave (PCI)


0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

&A

Page &P

KY (BA+)

Natl Ave (BA+)

KY PCI

Natl PCI


Per Capita Income


0000

0000

KY No Change

KY to Nat'l Ave

KY No Change

KY to Nat'l Ave




Still a long way to goBachelors DegreesDespite fifth largest percentage increase in the nation (1990-2000), Kentucky remains:47th in adults with at least a bachelors degree

High School or GED Graduates Despite the largest increase (9.5%) in the nation (1990-2000), Kentucky remains:49th in adults with at least a high school diploma or equivalent

Per Capita Income Despite 29% increase since 1998, Kentucky remains:43rd in per capita income


Necessity of increasing college graduates The single factorwith the greatest powerto explain differences in per capita income between statesis the percentage of college graduates.Milken Institute, 2002


Necessity of increasing college graduatesin Kentucky


Necessity of increasing college graduatesin Kentucky States that experienced the greatest increases in educational attainment also experienced the greatest increases in personal income from 1980 to 2000.


Where does Double the Numbers come from? Goal:To achieve postsecondary education reform goals, Kentucky must double the number of people with at least a bachelors degree by 2020


Double the Numbers PlanFive StrategiesRaise high school graduation ratesIncrease GED graduates and transition more to collegeEnroll more first-time students at KCTCS and increase transfers to 4-year programsIncrease college attendance and completionAttract college-educated workers to Kentucky and create new jobs


Statewide strategies, tactics, and targets


Source: US Census Bureau, 2000Adults with some college, no BA degree


Source: CPE Comprehensive DatabaseKCTCS Transfers to 4-year institutions


Chart1

3613

3868

3907

5800

11300

11,300

Sheet1

2001-023,613

2003-043,868

2005-063,907

2009-105,800

2020 Goal11,300

Sheet1

Sheet2

Sheet3

Source: Kentucky Adult Education College-going rate of GED graduates


Chart3

0.19

0.22

0.21

0.25

0.36

Sheet1

2001-023,613

2002-033,809

2003-043,868

2004-054,191

2005-063,907

2010 Goal5,800

2015 Goal8,000

2020 Goal11,334

200012,533

200113,939

200214,651

20039,452

20049,740

20059,757

2020 Goal15,000

89 hrs and below11,309

90-119 hrs7,222

120-149 hrs2,814

150 hrs or more744

22,089

2003-0419%

2004-0522%

2005-0621%

2009-1025%

2020 Goal36%

Sheet1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Sheet2

11309

7222

2814

744

Sheet3

12533

13939

14651

9452

9740

9757

15000

0.19

0.22

0.21

0.25

0.36

Source: CPE Comprehensive Database, 2020 Projections2006Bachelors Degrees: 18,7002020Bachelors Degrees: 33,7002020 bachelors degree targets


2006-08 college access initiativeTarget AudiencesGEAR UP/At-risk high school studentsAdults with some collegeGED graduates and adults without high school degree Potential transfer students


2006-08 college access initiativeKentuckyCAN!Launched August 9th as a collaborative program of CPE and Prichard CommitteeNetwork of public, private, civic and faith-based organizations and individualsDeveloped to magnify the efforts of college access effort across the stateGrassroots arm of the College Access Campaign


Presentation to Transition Committee on Education CPE Funding Model and Budget RecommendationDouble the Numbers FundDevelopmental Education, STEM, and Other Statewide Priorities such as Bucks for BrainsNecessity of support for adult education, college access, community outreach, and transfers

Accountability SystemMeasures annual progress toward 2020 goalsState and institution key performance indicators


Flat at 133,000 between 1991-1998, grew to 147,000 in 2005Public four-year enrollments increased 12% after reform, from 107,000 to 120,000Independents increased 2% since reform, from 26,000 to 27,000Grew from roughly 20,000 in 1991 to 22,000 in 1998, and to 27,000 in 2005Four-year publics have grown 18% since reform, from 18,000 to 21,000Independents have grown 49% since reform, from 3,600 to 5,400Total degrees, certificates and diplomas conferred by KCTCS grew 118 percent from 2000-01 to 2004-05, increasing from roughly 7,000 to 16,000Enrollment grew from roughly 33,000 in 1995 to 51,000 in 2000 to 125,000 in 200570,000 GEDs have been conferred since 2000Total extramural research was up 106% after reform and 107% before reform.Knowhow2go is a comprehensive and extensive campaign that includes tv, radio, numerous print and online components. The one caveat is that any media must be donated air time. As a sponsor, we can use and customize any of the promotional materials to support our GoHigherKy Outreach initiative. They will even give us the code for their national Web site so we can integrate it into GoHigherKy.org.

These materials will be used with the college access networks.One of two states developing a statewide collaborative approach to meet the needs of returning adults. Okla is the other state and they have developed a completer degree in collaboration with 9 institutions.To begin to understand the opportunities as well as the barriers in reaching this audience, we contracted with Stamats, a higher ed marketing research firm, to conduct a telephone survey of adults with some college. The survey is complete; were waiting on the final report. Basically well learnThe liklihood of adults returning to complete a degreePrograms they are interested inDelivery formatsBarriersMotivatorsWhy they stopped outFinancial needsPerceived benefits of a degree, etc.

While we wait on those results, were developing an outreach to 11,000 adults with 90 plus credit hours. Institutions are working on their action planssome are offering incentivesquick admits,free applications, priority enrollment, tuition assistance, individual advising, degree summaries, etc. HIGH TOUCH

Double the Numbers Securing Kentucky’s Future

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