Tele2 Q2 2017 Presentation

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July 19 th , 2017 Tele2 AB

Transcript of Tele2 Q2 2017 Presentation

Page 1: Tele2 Q2 2017 Presentation

July 19th, 2017

Tele2 AB

Page 2: Tele2 Q2 2017 Presentation

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Q2 2017% Change

Reported

LFL is constant currencies and pro forma for TDC Sweden

% Change

LFL

Mobile end-user service revenue

EBITDA

Net sales

SEK billion

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4LFL is constant currencies and pro forma for TDC Sweden

Operating cash flow is EBITDA - CAPEX, 12 m rolling

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3,018 3,095

4,029

3,877 3,9004,332

3,932 3,921

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

TDC

Net sales, LFL(SEK million)

Mobile end-user service

revenue, LFL (SEK million)

Q2 Highlights

EBITDA and EBITDA margin,

LFL (SEK million)

6

1,7781,885 1,928

1,865 1,969 1,959 1,922 1,930

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

846

1,068 1,028

927

1,1911,045 1,091 1,040

24%

31%

24%

28% 27%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

– Net sales growth driven by mobile, offset by declines in fixed segments

– Mobile end-user service revenue growth driven by consumer segment partly offset by declines in B2B Large

– EBITDA growth driven by higher service revenue, benefits from Challenger Program and TDC synergies

+1% +3% +12%

LFL is pro forma for TDC Sweden

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87% 85%83% 84%

Q2 16 Q2 17

Tele2 Comviq

Consumer mobile end-user

service revenue

Share of sales with bundle

>3GB

Q2 Highlights

Customer satisfaction(Tele2 Media & Insight)

7

– New Tele2 campaign and product portfolio launched in April with early positive consumer response

– Consumer mobile end-user service revenue up 8% (5% excl. Q2 16 non-recurring item) driven by continued success of Comviq postpaid

– Continued strong demand for more data across both brands, with 66% of customers opting for more than 3GB

– Customer satisfaction stable at high levels for both brands

60%66%

Q2 16 Q2 17Q2 16 Q2 17

+8%

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Q2 16 Q2 17 Q2 16 Q2 17

B2B net sales, LFL (SEK million)

B2B Large net sales, LFL (SEK million)

Q2 Highlights

YTD integration synergies

8

– Net sales down slightly due to increased price competition in Large Enterprise, partly offset by growth in SME

– TDC integration and synergies ahead of plan, with SEK 53m achieved in the quarter, mainly from MVNO migration

– Significant contract wins in Q2 included three municipalities in the Skåne region, WSP Sverige AB and Postnord Sverige AB

LFL is pro forma for TDC Sweden

-1% -2%

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Q2 Highlights

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Net sales(SEK million)

EBITDA and EBITDA margin(SEK million)

Mobile end-user service

revenue (SEK million)

477521 533 522

564

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

256287

264286

314

33% 32%28%

33% 33%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

787884 935

859949

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

– Net sales growth driven by increase in both mobile end-user service revenue and equipment sales

– Mobile end-user service revenue growth accelerated due to data monetization, growth in mobile broadband and FX benefits

– Strong EBITDA performance driven by higher service revenue and Challenger Program benefits

+18% +23%+21%

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ASPU development Share of 4G capable

smartphones in base

Q2 Highlights

MBB end-user service revenue

– Strong ASPU growth driven by continued prepaid to postpaid migration and larger buckets

– Strong increase in smartphone penetration, with room for further growth

– Rapid mobile broadband growth on the back of investments in previous quarters

Q2 16 Q2 17

28%

41%

Q2 16 Q2 17 Q2 16 Q2 17

+13% +51%

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Q2 Highlights

– Net sales increase driven by higher mobile service revenue, offset by lower equipment sales and lower fixed revenue

– Mobile end-user service revenue growth driven by 19% increase in customer base, ASPU growth of 21% and FX benefits

– EBITDA positively impacted by higher mobile service revenue and lower expansion costs

– Fixed broadband EBITDA negatively affected by a SEK 64m provision related to a legal dispute regarding historical copper line rental fees

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Net sales(SEK million)

EBITDA (SEK million)

Mobile end-user service

revenue (SEK million)

336

419 438 451509

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

-116

-2-23

151

18

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

1,452 1,4781,583 1,577 1,489

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

+51%+3% +134m

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Spontaneous brand awareness

& brand consideration (Memo2)

Share of total new postpaid(GfK)

Usage on own network

Q2 Highlights

– New campaign and new propositions launched on May 17th contributed to strong mobile intake of 51k and a doubling of SIM only intake share

– Unlimited proposition has ~70k subscribers within six weeks of launch

– Data on-loading at 91% and voice on-loading at 50% with ~500k active VoLTE customers

– Network rollout continued now at 99.6% outdoor and 91.7% indoor population coverage

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41% 40%

49%52%

Q2 16 Q2 17

Awareness Consideration

0%

50%

67%

91%

June 16 June 17

Voice Data

27% 28%

10%

15%

May 16 May 17

Handset SIM only

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7992

122

160

8%14% 13%

19%22%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17-30

20

70

120

170

220

– Continuing strong momentum as JV executes on its integration and go-to-market strategies

– Mobile end-user service revenue growth driven by increased customer base to 6.7m customers, higher ASPU bundles and FX benefits

– EBITDA margin expanded to over 22% as revenue growth drove scale benefits alongside integration synergies

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Q2 Highlights

Net sales (SEK million)

EBITDA and EBITDA margin (SEK million)

Mobile end-user service

revenue (SEK million)

394 426470 495

547

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

527573

702649

713

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

+35% +39% +264%

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6,4026,753

Q2 16 Q2 17

ASPU development Integration

Q2 Highlights

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Customer base(thousands)

– Dual brand strategy driving customer growth

– Altel brand re-launched in April to strengthen its premium position in the market

– Larger data buckets are driving data monetization

– Network integration accelerated, with a further 800 base stations merged

Q2 16 Q2 17

+16%+5%

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Key progress areas since inception

Sales & marketing efficiency

Network & IT consolidation

Procurement scope increase

Customer service optimization

Administration efficiency

New revenue streamsSimplify

% of products harmonized

on shared platforms

Discipline% of spend strategically

sourced & procured

Consolidate% of reduction in IT OpEx

as share of revenue

Transform% of staff in

Shared Operations

2016 actual 2018 targetBaseline

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Tele2 Group(SEK million)

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3,3073,598

3,711 3,7253,908

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

Development per market(SEK million)

3,307

3,908

15287

173

153 13 23

Q2 16 Sweden Baltics NL KZ RoW Oth Q2 17

+18%

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Tele2 Group(SEK million)

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Development per market(SEK million)

1,087

1,5621,459

1,7231,631

16.3%

22.4%

17.8%21.9% 20.4%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

100

300

500

700

900

1100

1300

1500

1700

1900

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

EBITDA margin

1,087

1,631

19458

134

116 24 18

500

700

900

1,100

1,300

1,500

1,700

1,900

Q2 16 Sweden Baltics NL KZ RoW Oth Q2 17

+50%

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Tele2 Group(SEK million)

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Development per market (SEK million)

820 779

1,078

627

770

12.3% 11.2%13.1%

8.0%9.6%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

CAPEX / Net sales

820

770

60

-125

-13

-34

62

Q2 16 SE Baltics NL KZ RoW Other Q2 17

0

-6%

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Total operations

Tele2 Group(SEK million)

Development (SEK million)

Free cash flow = Cash flow from operating activities and CAPEX paid21

139

838

394

178

820

Q3 16

Q1 16

Q1 17 Q2 17Q2 16 Q4 16

139

820

544

-82

3

196 20

Q2 16 EBITDA Interestetc.

Taxes WorkingCapital

CAPEX One-offitem

Q2 17

+490%

0

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EBITDA less CAPEX 12 m rolling, SEK million

3,491 3,456 3,423 3,470 3,335 3,402 3,432 3,4373,871 4,136

-1,178 -1,504 -1,625 -1,940 -2,223 -2,282 -2,196 -1,934-1,344 -1,015

Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17

Baltic Sea Challenger & Rest of Group Investment Markets

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Economic net debt to EBITDA 12 m rolling

23 Economic net debt excludes debt and earn out liabilities related to Kazakhstan

1,88

LeverageSEK billion

11.711.0

10.4 10.3

12.0

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

0.0

2.5

5.0

7.5

10.0

12.5

Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Mar 2017 Jun 2017

Economic net debt Economic net debt to EBITDA

1.91

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* Based on LFL which is constant currencies and pro forma for Altel and TDC Sweden24

Net sales(SEK billion)

EBITDA(SEK billion)

CAPEX(SEK billion)

Mobile end-user

service revenue

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