5 October 2016 Serving Britain's ... - Home - Tesco PLC · Lower prices. 1. Increasing footfall. 2....

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1 5 October 2016 Serving Britain's shoppers a little better every day Dave Lewis – CEO, Alan Stewart – CFO

Transcript of 5 October 2016 Serving Britain's ... - Home - Tesco PLC · Lower prices. 1. Increasing footfall. 2....

Page 1: 5 October 2016 Serving Britain's ... - Home - Tesco PLC · Lower prices. 1. Increasing footfall. 2. Switching gains. 3. Continued progress in Thailand . Total switching . £46.98.

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5 October 2016

Serving Britain's shoppers a little better every day Dave Lewis – CEO, Alan Stewart – CFO

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• Our three priorities

• Detailed results

• Building long-term value for our four key stakeholders

Agenda

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Three priorities

Regaining competitiveness in core UK business

Protecting and strengthening the balance sheet

Rebuilding trust and transparency

1

2

3

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UK volume-based recovery UK like-for-like volume

2014/15 2013/14 2012/13 2011/12 2010/11 2015/16

1. 3Q 2015/16 adjusted for the impact of non-repeated coupons in the prior year.

2016/17

1

1.9%

(7.0)%

4.0%

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q

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1.6%

(4.0)%

4.0%

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q

UK transaction growth Year-on-year change in UK transactions by quarter %

2015/16 2014/15 2013/14 2016/17

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IRI outperformance – Mar 2016 to Aug 20161

0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5%

General Merchandise

Packaged

Fresh

Total Food

Total Store

Value

0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0%

General Merchandise

Packaged

Fresh

Total Food

Total Store

Volume

1. Data is for Tesco Weeks 1-26 and is sourced from IRI Retail AdvantageTM, global insight providers to the retail industry. IRI market definition excludes Aldi and Lidl.

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More competitive in the UK

Switching gains3 Increasing footfall2 Lower prices1

Continued progress in

Thailand

Total switching value £46.98

£43.97

£45.48

1. Price data shows the price paid for a typical basket of products as at August 2014, August 2015 and August 2016.

2. Data from Kantar Worldpanel – change in customer numbers 14th September 2014 to 11th September 2016.

3. Data from Kantar Worldpanel – net switching to competitors 4 weeks ending 11th September 2016.

+201,000

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A more secure balance sheet

Generating cash Lower net debt Long-term property

approach2

Defined contribution pension scheme

£791m

£955m

1H 15/16 1H 16/17

Retail cash generation1

£791m

£955m

1H 15/16 1H 16/17

Retail cash generation1

1. For continuing operations.

2. Percentage of Group (on a continuing operations basis) and UK & ROI property owned by value, FY 2014/15 to 1H 2016/17.

£4.4bn

Group 50% 55%

UK & ROI 41% 48%

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Rebuilding trust and transparency BrandIndex Index Score – an overall measure of brand health

Source: YouGov BrandIndex.

Aug 2016 0.0

20.0

Jan 2014

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Rebuilding trust and transparency

Trust in leadership1

Trusted by suppliers

Improved transparency

61% 74% Increasing competition

Supplier viewpoint2

51% 60%

68% 78%

FY 2014 1H 2015 2H 2015 1H 2016

1. Reflects % of colleagues who trust the decisions made by their country’s board of directors to serve shoppers a little better every day, as part of What Matters To You? survey undertaken in August 2016.

2. Reflects % of UK suppliers responding positively when asked “Overall how satisfied are you with your experience of working with Tesco?” as part of the Supplier Viewpoint survey undertaken in August 2016.

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Three priorities

Regaining competitiveness in core UK business

Protecting and strengthening the balance sheet

Rebuilding trust and transparency

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Half year results

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Group performance

Continuing operations 1H 16/17 Change

constant rates

Change actual rates

Group sales (exc. VAT, exc. Fuel)1 £24.4bn 1.3% 3.3%

Group operating profit before exceptional items £596m 56.7% 60.2%

Exceptional items £(81)m n/m n/m

Group statutory operating profit £515m 34.4% 38.4%

Group PBT before exceptional items and net pension finance costs £410m - 124.0%

Diluted EPS before exceptional items and net pension finance costs 3.74p - 163.4%

1. Change shown on a comparable 26 week basis.

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Segmental performance

Sales Operating profit before exceptional items

1H 16/17 1H 15/16 Change

constant rates 1

Change actual rates1

1H 16/17 1H 15/16 Change

constantrates

Change actual rates

UK & ROI £18.6bn £18.4bn 0.6% 1.2% £389m £164m 134.1% 137.2%

International £5.3bn £4.8bn 3.2% 10.9% £118m £122m (9.8)% (3.3)%

Bank £0.5bn £0.5bn 5.3% 5.3% £89m £86m 3.5% 3.5%

Group £24.4bn £23.7bn 1.3% 3.3% £596m £372m 56.7% 60.2%

1. Change shown on a comparable 26 week basis.

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UK and ROI like-for-like sales performance1

1. Exc. VAT, exc. Fuel.

(1.3)% (1.0)%

(1.5)%

0.9%

0.3%

0.9%

15/161Q

15/162Q

15/163Q

15/164Q

16/171Q

16/172Q

UK

(4.4)%

(2.9)%

(1.2)%

1.0%

0.3% 0.1%

15/161Q

15/162Q

15/163Q

15/164Q

16/171Q

16/172Q

ROI

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UK like-for-like sales performance1

(2.6)%

(1.4)% (2.4)%

0.5%

(0.2)%

0.1%

15/161Q

15/162Q

15/163Q

15/164Q

16/171Q

16/172Q

Extra

(3.6)% (2.6)% (2.5)%

(0.0)%

0.0% 1.0%

15/161Q

15/162Q

15/163Q

15/164Q

16/171Q

16/172Q

Superstore

(0.1)% (0.3)% (1.2)% (1.1)% (0.5)% (0.1)%

15/161Q

15/162Q

15/163Q

15/164Q

16/171Q

16/172Q

Metro 4.2% 3.9% 3.8%

3.3% 2.7%

3.8%

15/161Q

15/162Q

15/163Q

15/164Q

16/171Q

16/172Q

Express

Online 1H 16/17: Grocery 3.1% General Merchandise & Clothing (13.4)%

1. Exc. VAT, exc. Fuel.

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164

UK & ROI1H 15/16

Lower prices Volume andmix benefit

Net costsavings

Other UK & ROI1H 16/17

UK & ROI operating profit £m

389

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International like-for-like sales performance1

1. Exc. VAT, exc. Fuel.

1.5%

3.5%

3.0%

4.1%

2.8%

1.3%

15/161Q

15/162Q

15/163Q

15/164Q

16/171Q

16/172Q

Europe

(3.4)%

0.1%

2.4%

3.5% 3.3%

3.0%

15/161Q

15/162Q

15/163Q

15/164Q

16/171Q

16/172Q

Asia

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International operating profit £m

122 118

International1H 15/16

Lowerprices

Volumeand mix

Other customerinvestment

Net costsavings

Other International1H 16/17

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• 2% growth in active customer accounts

• 12% growth in customer lending

– Launch of premium credit card

– Expansion of mortgage distribution

• Operating profit pre-exceptionals up 3.5%

• Capital and liquidity position remains strong

Tesco Bank

6.9

7.7

8.5

9.3

6.1

6.9 7.4

8.1

13/14 14/15 15/16 1H 16/17

Customer Lending/Deposits

Customer Lending Customer Deposits

14.0%

15.2% 16.6% 16.6%

13/14 14/15 15/16 1H 16/17

Core Tier 1

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• Entering 14th year of JV with O2

• UK’s 5th biggest mobile provider and largest MVNO

• No. 1 provider for customer satisfaction for both PAYM and PAYG1

• Which? Recommended Provider six years running

• Successful ‘Home from Home’ European roaming campaign

Tesco Mobile

1. UK CSI Telecommunications and Media Sector Report – July 2016.

3.5m

4.0m 4.4m

4.6m 4.8m

12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/171H

Customer Base

PAYG PAYM

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Finance income and costs

1H 16/17 1H 15/16

Interest payable £(274)m £(252)m

Capitalised interest £3m £6m

IAS 19 net pension finance costs £(58)m £(84)m

Finance income £83m £44m

Net finance costs £(246)m1 £(286)m

1. Statutory net finance costs include a £(200)m impact from FX losses on translation of sterling balances received from Korea disposal being held in a Euro subsidiary.

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Tax

1H 16/17 1H 15/16

Profit before tax before exceptional items £352m £99m

Tax charge £(98)m £(52)m

Effective tax rate 28% 53%

• Expect full year effective tax rate of c.25%

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1H 16/17 1H 15/16

Restructuring and redundancy £(95)m -

Tesco Bank customer redress £(45)m -

Property transactions £59m -

Total exceptional items in operating profit £(81)m -

Exceptional items

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• Reduced pension risk with scheme closure

• IAS 19 deficit calculation impacted by drop in corporate yields – no change in underlying cash commitments to pension members

• Asset de-risking strategy progressing well

• Strong performance of scheme assets

• Long-term deficit funding plan of £270m per annum cash contribution

• Triennial valuation March 2017 with outcome expected in 2018

Pension scheme

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850

955

(26)

131 9 964

(220)

(541)

203

292

236 27 758

Cash flow fromcontinuing

retailoperations

Impact fromexceptionals

Underlyingworkingcapital

Retail cashgenerated

fromcontinuingoperations

Turkey retailcash

generation

Retail cashgenerated

fromoperations

Interest andTax

Capex Free cashflow

Net impact ofdisposals

Propertydisposals

Other Reduction innet debt

Movement in net debt1

£m

£105m IMPROVEMENT IN WORKING CAPITAL

1. Includes both continuing and discontinued operations.

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£8.6bn

£5.1bn £4.4bn

1H 15/16 FY 15/16 1H 16/17

Net debt

£9.1bn

£7.8bn £7.8bn

1H 15/16 FY 15/16 1H 16/17

Lease commitments

Total indebtedness

£4.2bn

£2.6bn

£5.9bn

1H 15/16 FY 15/16 1H 16/17

Pension deficit

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• Strong liquidity

• £5.2bn available cash

• £5.0bn in committed facilities

• £1.2bn redeemed in September 2016; £2.2bn maturities in the next 18 months

• Focused on improving debt metrics

Liquidity position

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• Broad-based sales growth

• Further progress in rebuilding profitability

• Strong liquidity

• More secure balance sheet

Financial summary

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Big 6 Half Year Performance

Grow sales

Customers recommend us and come

back time and again

Colleagues recommend us as a great

place to work and shop

We build trusted

partnerships

Improve operating cash flow

Deliver profit

The Big 6 across the Group

Grow sales

Customers recommend us and come

back time and again

Colleagues recommend us as a great

place to work and shop

We build trusted

partnerships

Improve operating cash flow

Deliver profit

The Big 6 across UK & ROI

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Building long-term value for our four key stakeholders

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Over the last two years

Customers Colleagues Supplier partners

Shareholders

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Customers

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Better service

More colleagues in store

Listening to customers1

Empowering great service

1. Reflects number of customers who have given feedback since the launch of Customer Viewpoint in 2014.

+12,000 No.1 57,000 2.9 million

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Record availability

Sales-based availability1

Clearer backrooms3

“Everything available”2

93.2% 95.6% Stock down 16%

1. Sales-based availability 1H 14/15 to 1H 16/17.

2. Reflects customers’ response to “Was everything you wanted to buy available?” as part of the periodic Customer Spotlight survey.

3. Reduction in food store stock holding over the last two years.

46.98

£45.48

+9%

1H 16/17 1H 14/15

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Clearer, lower and more stable prices

New shelf labels

Price investment1 Promotional count2

1. Price data shows the movement in price paid for a typical basket of products from August 2014 to August 2016.

2. Reflects the two year movement in the number of products on multibuy promotion.

Over 6% lower 37%

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Right range for customers

New product development

Increased own label space

Simpler more relevant range

23% +8% +3,194

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Right range for customers

1. Reflects customers responding positively to “Was everything you wanted to buy available?” as part of the periodic Customer Spotlight survey.

70%

85%

6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6

2014 2015 2016

Was everything you wanted available? (three period rolling)

Competitor 1 Competitor 2 Competitor 3 Tesco Competitor 4 Competitor 5 Competitor 6

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Improved overall shopping experience

Better shopping experience2

Helpful colleagues3

Customers recommend1

1. Reflects % of Fans minus % of Critics answering the question “Based on your visit, how likely is it that you would recommend this store to a friend or colleague?”

2. Reflects customers’ rating of ease of shopping experience versus competitors in large stores as part of the periodic Customer Spotlight survey.

3. Reflects customers’ rating of staff helpfulness versus competitors as part of the periodic Customer Spotlight survey.

+6% +7%

2H 14/15 1H 16/17

+13 NPS

1H 16/17 FY 13/14 1H 16/17 FY 13/14

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Little helps

Free fruit for kids

Helpful technology

Never beaten on brands

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Colleagues

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A great place to work

A great place to shop3

Engaged colleagues1

Motivated to go the extra mile2

1H14/15

1H15/16

1H16/17

+8%

1H 15/16 1H 16/17

+19 NPS

1. Reflects % of colleagues recommending Tesco as a great place to work as part of What Matters To You? survey undertaken every January and August.

2. Reflects % of colleagues agreeing with “Tesco motivates me to go the extra mile” as part of What Matters To You? survey undertaken every January and August.

3. Reflects % of colleagues recommending Tesco as a great place to shop as part of What Matters To You? survey undertaken every January and August.

+13%

1H14/15

1H15/16

1H16/17

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Investing in colleagues

Getting the basics right

Fairer pay model Valued rewards

+3.1% base rate

5% turnaround

bonus

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Closer to customers

New scheduling system

A shared purpose1 Consistent management

structures

300 stores 91% 96%

88%

1. Reflects % of UK colleagues responding positively to the questions “I understand what our Tesco purpose is”, “I understand how I help serve shoppers a little better every day” and “I am motivated by our purpose: serving shoppers a little better every day” as part of What Matters To You? survey undertaken every January and August.

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Opportunities to get on

Training programmes

Developing talent

Over 3,700 promotions

1,000 new starts

3,000 apprentices

450 graduates

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A great place to work

One Team A new home Inclusion

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Supplier partners

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New commercial approach

New approach Back to front margin

Standard payment terms

24 3 91%

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New commercial approach

Supplier network

5,000 members

Supplier helpline

500+ calls 99.95%

resolved in 7 days

Supplier Protector Line

20 issues resolved

Supplier training

1,238 courses completed

Buyer training

8,978 courses completed

Payment terms

100% <100k In 14 days

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Supplier viewpoint1

Simple, transparent & easy to deal with

Communicates well & available when

needed

Treats me fairly

36% 36%

49%

61%

FY 2014 1H 2015 2H 2015 1H 2016

1. Reflects % of UK suppliers responding positively to above statement as part of the Supplier Viewpoint survey undertaken in August 2016.

44%

60% 67%

72%

FY 2014 1H 2015 2H 2015 1H 2016

55% 57%

66% 73%

FY 2014 1H 2015 2H 2015 1H 2016

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“…most retailers have improved their behaviour in the past year with the highest performer identified as Tesco – 65% of those supplying the retailer

saying its practices had improved…”

UK Groceries Code Adjudicator

27 June 2016

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End-to-end partnerships -

Varietal development

Global supply security

Pack & consolidate at source

Joint risk/cost management

Category leadership

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End-to-end partnerships -

Sales growth Supply chain saving

Fresher for customers

+ 2 days £5m +11%

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End-to-end partnerships

Reducing surplus production

Lower system waste

Improved quality

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Crop flushes

810 tonnes1

95%3

29p

+72%4 100%2

29p

1. Increase in UK volumes of cherries.

2. Percentage of oversupply of grapes sold.

3. Percentage crop utilisation of strawberries.

4. Data is for Tesco Week 20 and is sourced from IRI Retail AdvantageTM, global insight providers to the retail industry. IRI market definition excludes Aldi and Lidl.

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Exclusive fresh food brands

Consistently high quality1

Overall category price reduction

Leading on price2

1. Reflects % of customers satisfied with the quality of meat and poultry as part of the weekly exclusive fresh food brands survey.

2. Price index of exclusive fresh food brand products versus comparable competitor lines on an unweighted basis as at Tesco Week 29.

81%

7% meat

4% produce

114.6 110.6 109.8 102.2 101.1 100.0

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Outperformance in meat and produce

1. Data from IRI Retail AdvantageTM, global insight providers to the retail industry. IRI market definition excludes Aldi and Lidl.

0.0%

4.0%

2Q 15/16 3Q 15/16 4Q 15/16 1Q 16/17 2Q 16/17

Value

0.0%

8.0%

2Q 15/16 3Q 15/16 4Q 15/16 1Q 16/17 2Q 16/17

Volume

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Shareholders

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Our business model

Continued positive volume growth

Operational leverage

Customer investment

Margin recovery

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Six strategic drivers

1. A differentiated brand

2. Reduce operating costs by a further £1.5bn

3. Generate £9bn cash from operations

4. Maximise the mix to achieve a 3.5 – 4.0% Group margin

5. Maximise value from property

6. Innovation

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1. A differentiated brand: Long-term value creation

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Every little helps serve Britain’s shoppers a little better every day

1. A differentiated brand: Purpose

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1. A differentiated brand: Proposition

Unique Tesco

offering

Value Equation

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1. A differentiated brand: Proposition

Range Service Price

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Entry Core Finest

1. A differentiated brand: Own label

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2. Reduce operating costs by a further £1.5bn

Store operating model

Logistics and distribution

Goods not for resale

c.£450m c.£550m c.£500m

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2. Reduce operating costs by a further £1.5bn: Store operating model

c.£450m

Operational improvements without risking service

• Moving from nights to day

• Changes in trading hours

• Single customer service desk

• Replenishment savings

• Scan as You Shop

Store operating model

c.£550m

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2. Reduce operating costs by a further £1.5bn: Logistics and distribution

Logistics and distribution

c.£450m

Optimise range, stock flow and fulfilment

• Partnerships, sales forecasting and lower stock holding

• Lower fulfilment costs

• Opportunities to integrate supply and logistical systems

• Common international systems

• Industry leading packaging solutions

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2. Reduce operating costs by a further £1.5bn: Goods not for resale

Leveraging organisational scale

• Single procurement policy

• Finance transformation

• IT systems

• Functional roadmap

Goods not for resale

c.£500m

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3. Generate £9bn cash from operations

Margin improvement

Stock reduction Capital discipline

3.5-4.0% Financial

returns

Post investment

reviews

Capital budget

c.£1.4bn pa c.£400m

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3. Generate £9bn cash from operations : capital discipline

09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 1H 16/17

Capital expenditure on loss-making businesses

£700m

£0m

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Geography Channel Product

x% + y%

x%

4. Maximise the mix to achieve a 3.5 – 4.0% Group margin

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Fresh Packaged GM Clothing Total

Large stores

Small stores

Online

Total

X%

4. Maximise the mix to achieve a 3.5 – 4.0% Group margin

= < x%

= x%

= > x%

Colour of boxes illustrates indicative margin percentage relative to total

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4. Maximise the mix to achieve a 3.5 – 4.0% Group margin

Example: Channel-wide programmes

• Optimisation of our operational model

• Repurposing space

• Specific focus on low-profitability

Example: Focus on single channel, across two categories

• Convergence of GMO and F&F website

• Grow delivery saver

• Common fulfilment

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Rental insulation1 Property asset optimisation

5. Maximise value from property

Non-core property assets

1H 16/17 £240m

£121m

1. Annualised savings of property buybacks.

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Never beaten on brands

Exclusive fresh food brands

Food waste Technology

6. Innovation

With much more to come…

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Six strategic drivers

1. A differentiated brand

2. Reduce operating costs by a further £1.5bn

3. Generate £9bn cash from operations

4. Maximise the mix to achieve a 3.5 – 4.0% Group margin

5. Maximise value from property

6. Innovation

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• Broad-based improvement across the Group

• Strong progress against all three priorities

• Investment in fresh food brands is succeeding

• Six strategic drivers

• Delivering value for our four key stakeholders

• Confident despite a tough market environment

Summary

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Q & A

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This document may contain forward-looking statements that may or may not prove accurate. For example, statements regarding expected revenue growth and operating margins, market trends and our product pipeline are forward-looking statements. Phrases such as "aim", "plan", "intend", "anticipate", "well-placed", "believe", "estimate", "expect", "target", "consider" and similar expressions are generally intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from what is expressed or implied by the statements. Any forward-looking statement is based on information available to Tesco as of the date of the statement. All written or oral forward-looking statements attributable to Tesco are qualified by this caution. Tesco does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement to reflect any change in circumstances or in Tesco’s expectations.

Disclaimer