HIGH YIELD WHEAT! - umanitoba.ca · HIGH YIELD Peter Johnson Cereal Specialist, OMAFRA...

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HIGH

YIELD

Peter Johnson

Cereal Specialist, OMAFRA

peter.johnson@ontario.ca

WHEAT!

@WheatPete

World’s highest wheat yields?

16.2 t/ha

(241 bu/acre)

in 2010

Competitiveness based on technology Average wheat yields (t/ha)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

USA UK

t/ha

Effective

herbicides

Effective

fungicides

Semi-dwarf

varieties

Increase in N Average yields

doubled from around

60 to 120 bu/acre

between early 1970s

to mid 1990s

Ontario Winter Wheat Yields

1981 - 2014

y = 1.0165x - 1964.4

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Yie

ld (

bu

/ac

)

Years

Updated: November, 2014

Thomas and Graf, 2013

Bruce

John

SMART Trials!

Strategic

Management

Adding

Revenue

Today

Horst Bohner, 2008

Acknowledgements Jonathan Brinkman Dr. Dave Hooker

Technical •Scott Jay •Shane McClure •Rob Templeman •Bruce Humphries •Todd Phibbs •Cheryl VanHerk •Eric Vyn Advisors •Albert Tenuta (OMAFRA) •Ian Nichols (WIN) •Dr. Bill Deen (UofG) •Dr. John Lauzon (UofG) •Dr. Art Schaafsma (UofG) •Dr. Luc Bourgeois (Bayer CropScience) •Dr. Trevor Kraus (BASF) •Dr. Harold Wright (Syngenta Crop Protection) •Grain Farmers of Ontario (GFO) Summer Students •20 over 3 years Grower Co-operators – many thanks!

Various

Seed Companies

430-600 plots/location!!!

S.M.A.R.T. Small Plot Wheat Intensive

Photo Courtesy of Ken Nixon (Ilderton, 2008)

2008-2010 Average

Yield (bu/ac)

90N 120N 150N

No fungicide 93.0 96.7 99.4

+ T3 fungicide 99.9 105.1 108.6

+ T1 +T3 fung 99.7 106.2 111.1

Small plot SMART trials across all varieties

2008-2010 Average

Yield (bu/ac)

90N 120N 150N

No fungicide 93.0 96.7 99.4

+ T3 fungicide 99.9 105.1 108.6

+ T1 + T3 99.7 106.2 111.1

Small plot SMART trials across all varieties

2008-2010 Average

Yield (bu/ac)

90N 120N 150N

No fungicide 93.0 96.7 99.4

+ T3 fungicide 99.9 105.1 108.6

+ T1 + T3 99.7 106.2 111.1

Small plot SMART trials across all varieties

2009 25R47

Yield (bu/ac)

90N 120N 150N

No fungicide 86.3 101.0 105.5

+ T3 fungicide 99.4 105.8 114.8

+ T1 +T3 95.7 111.3 123.4

Small plot SMART trials across locations 2009

2010 Emmit

Yield (bu/ac)

90N 120N 150N

90 N 99.0 98.2 106.4

+ T3 fungicide 106.2 106.9 109.8

150 N +T1 +T3 106.6 107.3 113.4

Small plot SMART trials across locations 2010

SMART 2008!!

Yield Gain

Check 91.3

Fungicide 98.9 +7.6

+High N 112.6 +21.3

20 sites 2008

SMART 2009!!

Yield Gain

Check 86.0

Fungicide 92.4 +6.4

+High N 107.2 +21.2

16 sites 2009

SMART 2010!!

Yield Gain

Check 91.3

Fungicide 99.2 +7.9

+High N 109.7 +18.4

16 sites 2010

SMART wheat Yield bu/ac

Site 90 N 90 Fung 120 Fung 150 Fung

Rodney 82 90 85 80

SMART field scale 2010 16 sites

SMART wheat Yield bu/ac

Site 90 N 90 Fung 120 Fung 150 Fung

Rodney 82 90 85 80

Melbourne 71 92 93 93

SMART field scale 2010 16 sites

SMART wheat Yield bu/ac

Site

90

N 90 Fung 120 Fung 150 Fung

Rodney 82 90 85 80

Melbourne 71 92 93 93

Forest 112 112 122 129

SMART field scale 2010 16 sites

SMART wheat Yield bu/ac

Site 90 N 90 Fung 120 Fung 150 Fung

Rodney 82 90 85 80

Melbourne 71 92 93 93

Forest 112 112 122 129

St Thomas 86 90 103 115

Average 91 99 105 109

SMART field scale 2010 16 sites

98% OF CANADIANS SAY 'OH SHIT‘ BEFORE

GOING IN THE DITCH ON A SLIPPERY

ROAD.

THE OTHER 2% ARE FROM MANITOBA

AND SAY, 'HOLD MY BEER

I'M GONNA TRY SOMETHING .'

Nitrogen!

Nitrogen

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

0 N 30 N 60 N 90 N 120 N 150 N

Bu

/ac

Johnson, McClure 2011-2013

Nitrogen and Fungicide

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

0 30 60 90 120 150

Bu

/ac

N lbs/ac

With Fungicide

W/O Fungicide

Johnson, McClure 2011-2013

Synergy!

50.0

55.0

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

100.0

0 30 60 90 120 150

Bu

/ac

N Rate

fung

no fung

Johnson, McClure 2011-2013

Synergy!

Treatment 24 sites fung* gain

6 sites no

fung** gain

0 54.5 64.3

60 78.3 23.8 82.4 18.1

90 86.1 7.8 87.1 4.7

120 91.4 5.3 88.6 1.5

150 95.6 4.2 87.8 -0.8

Johnson, McClure 2011-2013

* 14/24 150N

** 4/6 90N

Prevent Lodging!

Variety

Seeding rate

Split nitrogen

Protected nitrogen

Fungicides

Growth regulators

Protein!

What does it take?

1 bushel @ 12% = 1.2 lb N

1 bu @ 10% = 1.0 lb N

1 bu @ 8% = 0.8 lb N

100 bu @ 1.0% = 10 lb N

Use efficiency 50%?

Protein 1/6 N, Wheat 60 lbs/bu

Management Input Protein

Increase (%)

35 kg/ha additional N 0.5

70 kg/ha additional N 1.0

Split N (GS 30 + 32) 0.5

Post Anthesis N (GS 30 + 69) 0.75

Split N (GS 30 + 32 +69) 1.0

Agrotain Plus 0.2

ESN 50% 0.5

ESN 100% 0.75

Johnson and McClure 2008-2013

Fungicide Timing

Field Scale

Plot Design!

Plot Design?

Treatment Yield

(bu/ac)

Check 99.6

Agrotain 99.9

Check 95.8

Agrotain 94.0

Check 91.7

Agrotain 89.2

Plot Design?

Treatment Yield

(bu/ac)

Check 99.6

Agrotain

Check 95.8

Agrotain

Check 91.7

Agrotain

Plot Design?

Treatment Yield

(bu/ac)

Check

Agrotain 99.9

Check

Agrotain 94.0

Check

Agrotain 89.2

Plot Design?

Treatment Yield

Average (bu/ac)

Check 95.7

Agrotain 94.4

Plot Design!

Treatment Randomized

Check Check

Agrotain Agrotain

Check Agrotain

Agrotain Check

Check Agrotain

Agrotain Check

80

82

84

86

88

90

92B

u/

ac

Starter

Johnson, McClure 23 sites 2011-2013

0102030405060708090100

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

85.0

90.0

95.0

lbs

P2O

5 /

acre

bu

/ac

Starter

Yield P2O5 A Applied in Starter

Johnson, McClure 23 sites 2011-2013

65

70

75

80

85

90

95b

u/

ac

Low Test Soils P 6, K 73

Johnson, McClure 2013

85

90

95

100

105

110

Bu

/ac

High Test Soils P 27, K 133

Johnson, McClure 2013

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

lbs/

ac

Bu

/ac

Low Potash P 35, K 61

Yield

Starterpotash

Johnson, McClure 2013

Spring Wheat Starter?

40

45

50

55

60

65

Check 2.5 gal6-24-6

5.0 gal6-24-6

10 gal6-24-6

40 lbs7-34-20

150 lbs7-34-20

100 lbsMAP

100 lbsMESZ

200 lbs7-34-20bdcst

Low P

Low K

Johnson, McClure 2010-2012

Greenseeker

Wheat

Trial

2013

RABE & JOHNSON 2013

Greenseeker 40% Maplewood

Loam (poorly drained / class 2)

30% Bennington Loam (well drained /class 1)

30% Tavistock Loam (imperfectly drained / class 1)

Slope: Level to very gentle slopes

RABE & JOHNSON 2013

Field 4: Yield Summary

OMAF/UofG 15ft John

Deer Combine

Count: 3080 points

Average Yield: 89.15 bu/ac

Std Dev: 15.9 bu/ac

RABE & JOHNSON 2013

2010 Aerial Imagery

Greenseeker N Statistics Pass #1

Focus

next

slide…

RABE & JOHNSON 2013

Pass 1 Count: 85 points

Average N: 32.5 gal/ac

Std Dev: 6.1 gal/ac

GreenSeeker vs

Fixed Rate (west)

Area VR-N

N Rate

VR-N

Yield

(bu/ac)

150 N

Yield

(bu/ac)

115 N

Yield

(bu/ac)

#1 175 86.6 86.6 98.3

#2 120 83.3 89.3 80.4

#3 175 78.7 87.9 81.3

#4 171 71.4 78.3 82.2

#1

#2

#3

#4

RABE & JOHNSON 2013

Greenseeker Statistics Pass #2

Focus next

slide

RABE & JOHNSON 2013

Pass 2 Count: 120 points

Average N: 30.7 gal/ac

Std Dev: 6.1 gal/ac

GreenSeeker vs

Fixed Rate (east)

Location VR-N

N

Rate

VR-N

Yield

(bu/ac)

150 N

Yield

(bu/ac)

NE 114 96.4 94.1

Mid-East 167 77.3 93.7

SE 160 80.6 81.1

RABE & JOHNSON 2013

NE

Mid

SE

Nitrogen on Corn

300 Million $$ Question??

Comparison of MERN Determinations for 16 Site/ Years (2010-2013)

in South Western Ontario.

(Δ Yield MERN versus Multi Rate QP MERN)

y = 1.1523x - 9.1111 R² = 0.95

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

0 50 100 150 200

Δ Y

ield

ME

RN

(lb

-N/

ac

)

QP MERN (lb-N/ac)

1,025

1,045

1,065

1,085

1,105

1,125

1,145

0

50

100

150

200

250

1 501 1,001 1,501 2,001 2,501 3,001 3,501 4,001

Ele

vati

on

(ft

)

Gra

in Y

ield

(b

u/

ac)

Distance from Front of Field (ft)

High N

Yield

Field Topography

2013 Greenseeker Case Study: Greenseeker Variable

vs. Fixed Average Rates

Low N Yield

1,025

1,045

1,065

1,085

1,105

1,125

1,145

0

50

100

150

200

250

1 501 1,001 1,501 2,001 2,501 3,001 3,501 4,001

Ele

vati

on

(ft

)

Gra

in Y

ield

(b

u/

ac)

Distance from Front of Field (ft)

High N

Yield

Field Topography

Δ Yield

MERN 144

2013 Greenseeker Case Study: Greenseeker Variable

vs. Fixed Average Rates

Low N Yield

Δ Yield

MERN 141

Δ Yield

MERN 180

GreenSeeker Test Field 2014 - Delta Yield Plots

(15 and 175 lbs N/acre)

WIND SPEED!!!

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

700 750 800 850

# k

ern

els

/sa

mp

le

rpm

Infected Kernels

4

5

6

7

700 750 800 850

FD

K %

rpm

Fusarium

0

5

10

15

700 750 800 850

pp

m

rpm

DON

56.5

57.0

57.5

58.0

58.5

700 750 800 850

lbs/

bu

rpm

Test Weight