Genworth MI Canada Inc. Third Quarter 2013

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Transcript of Genworth MI Canada Inc. Third Quarter 2013

Page 1: Genworth MI Canada Inc. Third Quarter 2013

Third Quarter 2013 October 30, 2013

Genworth MI Canada Inc.

Page 2: Genworth MI Canada Inc. Third Quarter 2013

Q32013 October 30, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 2

Forward-looking and non-IFRS statements

This presentation includes certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the Company’s future operating and financial results, expectations regarding premiums written, capital expenditure plans, dividend policy and the ability to execute on its future operating, investing and financial strategies, and other statements that are not historical facts. These forward-looking statements may be identified by their use of words such as “may,” “would,” “could,” “will,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “contemplates,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “seeks,” “estimates,” or words of similar meaning. These statements are based on the Company’s current assumptions, including assumptions regarding economic, global, political, business, competitive, market and regulatory matters. These forward-looking statements are inherently subject to significant risks, uncertainties and changes in circumstances, many of which are beyond the control of the Company. The Company’s actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements, including as a result of changes in the facts underlying the Company’s assumptions, and the other risks described in the Company’s Annual Information Form dated March 29, 2013, its Short Form Base Shelf Prospectus dated May 31, 2012, the Prospectus Supplements thereto and all documents incorporated by reference in such documents. Other than as required by applicable laws, the Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise. To supplement its financial statements, the Company uses select non-IFRSs financial measures. Non-IFRSs measures used by the Company to analyze performance include underwriting ratios such as loss ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio, as well as other performance measures such as net operating income and return on net operating income. The Company believes that these non-IFRSs financial measures provide meaningful supplemental information regarding its performance and may be useful to investors because they allow for greater transparency with respect to key metrics used by management in its financial and operational decision making. Non-IFRSs measures do not have standardized meanings and are unlikely to be comparable to any similar measures presented by other companies. These measures are defined in the Company’s glossary, which is posted on the Company’s website at http://investor.genworthmicanada.ca. A reconciliation from non-IFRSs financial measures to the most readily comparable measures calculated in accordance with IFRSs can be found in the Company’s most recent financial statements, which are posted on the Company’s website and are also available at www.sedar.com.

Page 3: Genworth MI Canada Inc. Third Quarter 2013

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Income up 12%, EPS up 15% year-over-year

Net operating income $91 million $81 million Operating Return on equity 13% 12% Operating earnings per share (diluted) $0.94 $0.82

Q3 2013 Q3 2012

Book Value Per Share (diluted, including AOCI)

$28.72

$30.62 $31.32 $30.94$31.82

Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q22013 Q32013

11% CAGR

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Strength across key metrics

Priority Q3 2013 Result

Premiums written $161 million of new premiums

Risk management Loss ratio of 22%

Investments $5.3 billion investment portfolio Book yield of 3.7% (Sept 30/13)

Capital 218% MCT

Announced 9% dividend increase from $0.32 to $0.35 per share

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Market themes

Drivers

Housing Market: - Balanced - Resales flat year -to-date - Home prices up modestly

Unemployment: - Stable around 7%

Interest Rates: - Low rates supporting affordability

Consumer Confidence: - Improving

Implications

Premiums Written: - Modest increase in high LTV mortgage market in coming quarters - Portfolio quality should remain strong

Losses on Claims: - Losses trending below long term pricing range

Investment Income: - Stable investment yield

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Stable delinquencies quarter-over-quarter

Number of delinquencies & Delinquency rate

Insurance in-force

Sept 30 2013

June 30 2013

Sept 30 2012

Sept 30 2013

Ontario 461 453 573 46%

BC 311 318 341 15%

Alberta 284 301 475 16%

Quebec 463 451 548 14%

Other 259 255 246 9%

Total 1,778 1,778 2,183 100%

Delinquency rate 0.12% 0.12% 0.15%

19% decline in delinquencies over prior year

* Delinquency rates are based on original insured loans in-force for which coverage term has not expired

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Increased profitability

$ millions (except EPS and book value)

Q3 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2012

Net premiums written $161 $137 $178

Premiums earned 143 143 147

Losses on claims (32) (35) (44)

Underwriting income 84 82 77

Net investment income (excluding gains/losses)

45 44 39

Net operating income $91 $88 $81

Operating EPS (diluted) $0.94 $0.89 $0.82

Book value per share (diluted and including AOCI)

$31.82 $30.94 $28.72

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Top line reflects typical seasonality

160

99 71

108 141

10

3

3

3

2

11

17

11

26

18

3Q'12 4Q'12 1Q'13 2Q'13 3Q'13

($millions)

Refinance

Gross PW 181 119 84 137 161

Risk premium (3) (2) - - -

Net PW $178 $117 $84 $137 $161

Purchase

Portfolio

Premiums written

$1.7 billion in unearned premiums

2012 regulatory changes to mortgage lending led to slower real estate activity in H1 2013

Premiums from purchases down 12% year-

over-year Selectively participated in portfolio

insurance

(PW represents premiums written)

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Trend of loss ratio improvement

77 73 74 82 84

26 28 26 26 27

44 46 44 35 32

Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13

Underwriting profitability

Underwriting profit

Expenses

Losses on claims

Loss ratio 30% 31% 31% 25% 22%

Expense ratio 18% 19% 18% 18% 19%

Combined ratio

48% 50% 49% 43% 41%

Strong portfolio quality & stable economic conditions positively influencing loss performance

Q3 loss ratio of 22%, improved by 8 points year-over-year

Consistent underwriting profit

($millions)

Earned premium $147 $147 $144 $143 $143

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Cash2%

Federal35%

Provincial16%

Corporates 43%

Common Equity4%

Investment portfolio remains high quality

Balanced high quality portfolio

• Primarily fixed income

• 51% federal & provincial bonds

• 43% corporate

• 94% of bonds ‘A’ or higher

$180 million positive mark-to-market

Total $5.3 billion

1Pre-tax equivalent book yield after dividend gross-up of general portfolio (as at September 30, 2013)

$ Billion Portfolio

Assets (MV) $5.3

Pre-tax yield1 3.7 %

Duration 3.8 years

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Strong capital position

145% 145%185% 185% 185%

17% 25%

31% 31% 33%

162%170%

216% 216% 218%

2011 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013

Minimum Capital Test Ratio (MCT)

Internal MCT ratio target

Repurchased $55 million common shares during quarter

Buffer

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Proven business model

Disciplined execution

Strong risk focus

Capital flexibility

Solid financial foundation

Core strengths

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Question and Answer

SAMANTHA CHEUNG VP INVESTOR RELATIONS 905 287 5482 [email protected] www.genworth.ca

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