EU Market Situation for Eggs and Poultry Management Committee 21 June 2012.

EU Market Situation for Eggs and Poultry

Management Committee

21 June 2012

2EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 16 May 2012

Evolution of the weekly EUaverage price for Broiler

150

160

170

180

190

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 4 43 46 49 52

€uro

/ 10

0kg

Avg 07 - 11 2009 2010 2011 2012


Percentual change of Broiler prices May 2012

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU

- 1 year

- 1 month


Price of Basic Ingredients 2009 - 2012

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Jan 09 April Juil Oct Jan 10 April Juil Oct janv-11 April Juil Oct janv-12 April Juil

Euro

/ to

nne Soft wheat (EU)

Barley (EU)

Maïs (EU)

Soja (CAF)

Hulls (EU)

Manioc (CAF)

C.G.F. (CAF)


Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |

Eu

ro

/ T

(fe

ed

)

Eu

ro

/ 1

00

kg

(B

ro

ile

r)

margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7)Cereal-mixCompound feedBroilerAvg. Margin 2007 - 2011

NB. Comp. Feed 2012 =Forecast as from March Cereal mix and Poultry 2012 = Forecast as from May


Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the baseline trend

(baseline = monthly avg 2006 - 2009)

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |


Forecast and Production of Broilers.In Tonn

0

150 000

300 000

450 000

600 000

750 000

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |

0

150

300

450

600

750

Realis

ed

sla

ug

hte

r

in 1

000 T

Forecast Realised


Import of Poultry meat from selected origins

IMPORT

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Apr 11

Brazil 679 469 76.3% 659 368 75.3% 581 391 72.4% 587 404 71.0% 177 504 69.2% - 3%

Thailand 146 882 16.5% 141 524 16.2% 149 682 18.6% 154 229 18.6% 52 623 20.5% - 6%

Chile 34 718 3.9% 39 022 4.5% 34 276 4.3% 44 306 5.4% 14 035 5.5% + 4%

China 15 0.0% 5 690 0.6% 9 997 1.2% 13 735 1.7% 4 255 1.7% - 8%

Argentina 20 416 2.3% 20 576 2.3% 15 760 2.0% 15 630 1.9% 4 195 1.6% + 14%

Israel 6 252 0.7% 5 470 0.6% 7 249 0.9% 7 084 0.9% 1 666 0.6% + 10%

Croatia 1 884 0.2% 2 295 0.3% 2 650 0.3% 2 714 0.3% 879 0.3% + 9%

USA 393 0.0% 386 0.0% 439 0.1% 99 0.0% 82 0.0% +++

Uruguay 109 0.0% 98 0.0% 2 0.0% 7 0.0% 1 0.0% #DIV/0!

EXTRA EU 25/27891 087 875 886 803 120 827 420 256 664

% change - 2% - 8% + 3% - 2.5%

2008 2009 2010 Jan-Apr 122011


Imports of selected Poultry products

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

70 000

80 000

90 000

100 000

|Jan06

2006 |Jan07

2007 |Jan08

2008 |Jan09

2009 |Jan10

2010 |Jan11

2011 |Jan12

in Tonnes cwe

FROZEN PREPARED SALTED OTHERS


EU Poultry meat ImportI MPORTS of Poul t r y Meat i nt o EU

( Tonnes cwe)

180 145 182 593 177 504

48 689 55 809 52 623

1 557

251 447263 231 256 664

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

J an- Apr 10 J an- Apr 11 J an- Apr 12

Tonn

es c

w

Br azi l Thai l and I sr ael Chi l e Chi na Ot her dest i nat i ons

I MPORTS of Poul t r y Meat i nt o EU ( 1000 EUR)

354 961 381 470 386 405

180 448235 338 235 047

591 807

687 837 701 794

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

800 000


1000EUR

Br azi l Thai l and I sr ael Chi l e Chi na Ot her dest i nat i ons


Export of Poultry Meat to Selected DestinationsCompared


Hong Kong 58 669 6.0% 88 357 8.7% 151 529 12.0% 188 366 13.4% 57 891 12.2% - 14%

Saudi Arabia 95 132 9.7% 97 485 9.6% 118 010 9.3% 151 247 10.7% 46 258 9.8% - 5%

Benin 83 405 8.5% 84 885 8.4% 115 022 9.1% 126 006 8.9% 38 260 8.1% + 8%

Russia 230 113 23.4% 227 555 22.4% 245 429 19.4% 115 025 8.2% 34 702 7.3% + 6%

Ukraine 112 443 11.4% 89 314 8.8% 86 028 6.8% 81 735 5.8% 28 860 6.1% + 29%

Ghana 31 530 3.2% 28 689 2.8% 41 094 3.3% 68 953 4.9% 22 866 4.8% + 20%

Yemen 26 673 2.7% 36 331 3.6% 39 628 3.1% 37 970 2.7% 14 899 3.2% + 15%

Vietnam 39 488 4.0% 39 971 3.9% 31 661 2.5% 29 086 2.1% 10 483 2.2% - 4%

Congo (Dem. Rep.) 21 386 2.2% 20 893 2.1% 27 748 2.2% 29 960 2.1% 9 799 2.1% - 0%

Switzerland 28 201 2.9% 28 111 2.8% 29 804 2.4% 29 270 2.1% 9 380 2.0% - 3%

Malaysia 17 888 1.8% 22 676 2.2% 25 895 2.0% 20 965 1.5% 9 162 1.9% + 39%

U.A.Emirates 25 858 2.6% 24 429 2.4% 20 231 1.6% 21 122 1.5% 7 943 1.7% - 29%

EXTRA EU 25/27 982 285 1 015 639 1 264 120 1 410 658 472 703

% change + 3% + 24% + 12% + 8.2%

2008 2009 2010 Jan-Apr 122011


Expor t s of sel ect ed Poul t r y pr oduct s

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

140 000

|J an06

2006 |J an07

2007 |J an08

2008 |J an09

2009 |J an10

2010 |J an11

2011 |J an12

i nTonnes

cwe

FROZEN PREPARED FRESH OTHERS


EU Poultry meat ExportEU EXPORTS of Poul t r y Meat

( Tonnes cwe)

39 214 67 075 57 891

46 424

46 25831 230

35 28638 260

46 163

32 63134 702

181 065

235 726249 168

48 578

335 472

436 816472 703

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

400 000

450 000

500 000


Tonn

es c

w

Hong Kong Sout h Af r i ca Saudi Ar abi a

Beni n Russi a Ot her dest i nat i ons

EU EXPORTS of Poul t r y Meat ( 1000 EUR)

37 676 54 544 61 398

51 472

61 38034 013

41 39352 54839 30853 177

257 819

333 807

357 309

74 799

421 015

559 896

637 284

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000


10

00

E

UR

Hong Kong Sout h Af r i ca Saudi Ar abi a

Beni n Russi a Ot her dest i nat i ons


EU Poultry meat Trade Balance

302277 292 310

371

676

794

480

614 616

858891 876

803827

257

1 017

1 101 1 1161 153

1 114

1 275

1 063 1 046997 997

867

9821 016

1 264

1 411

473

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 J an-Apr12

in 1000 Tonnes cwe

I MPORTS EXPORTS


€uro Exchange rate 1 Euro = .....…US$ / BRZ Real/ 10 Rupee

1

3

5

7

I 2004 I 2005 I 2006 I 2007 I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I

source:http://europa.eu.int/comm/budget/inforeuro/fr/index.htm

India RBRZ RealUSA $


Broiler prices The EU, USA and Brazilin €uro/ 100kg

50,00

75,00

100,00

125,00

150,00

175,00

08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 |

EU broiler US broiler €uro BR Broil €uro/ (Ave w orld)

2001 2002 2003 2004

20052006 2007 2008

2009 2010 2011 2012

EU Market Situation for Eggs

Management Committee 21 June 2012


Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Eggs for Consumption

85

105

125

145

165

185

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

Price

Pack

ers

sta

tion

€uro

/ 10

0kg

Avg 07 - 11 2009 2010 2011 2012


Percentual change of Egg prices May 2012

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU

- 1 year- 1 month


Prices for Eggs for consumption and Eggs for breaking 2011 - 2012

0

40

80

120

160

200

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51

€u

ro/ 100kg

EU Low difference Eggs for Consumption US High breaking

83% increase for Eggs for Breaking from week 1 2011 to week 23 201240,6% increase for Eggs for Consumption from week 1 2011 to week 23 2012


Margin between Feed cost and Egg price in Egg production

0

30

60

90

120

150

180

0 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 ja fe mr ap m jn jl au se oc no de

Euro

/ 10

0kg

marge

feed

egg

Avg Margin


Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the baseline trend

(baseline= monthly avg 2006 - 2009)

0

7 500

15 000

22 500

30 000

37 500

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |


Production forecast ofeggs in shell (Mio p).

compared to the price development

4 000

5 500

7 000

8 500

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |

0

40

80

120

160

Pric

e €

uro

/10

0k

g


Compared


Argentina 6 164 27.0% 7 899 26.0% 7 888 25.2% 7 898 41.5% 4 964 39.1% + 165%

USA 4 245 18.6% 11 165 36.7% 13 439 42.9% 5 417 28.4% 4 212 33.2% + 71%

Mexico 2 002 8.8% 1 893 6.2% 1 425 4.5% 556 2.9% 1 016 8.0% +++

Albania 2 209 9.7% 1 659 5.5% 3 208 10.2% 1 303 6.8% 524 4.1% + 149%

India 6 593 28.9% 5 776 19.0% 3 211 10.2% 1 505 7.9% 463 3.6% + 28%

Israel 646 2.8% 711 2.3% 941 3.0% 547 2.9% 422 3.3% + 63%

Canada 1 0.0% 33 0.1% 2 0.0% 0 0.0% 277 2.2%

Brazil 64 0.3% 67 0.2% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0%

EXTRA EU 25/27 22 850 30 409 31 356 19 045 12 692

% change + 33% + 3% - 39% + 117.3%

2008 2009 2010 Jan-Apr 122011

EU Imports of Eggs:Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.)


EU Egg ImportsTotal EU Import of Eggs (Tonnes eggs

equiv) incl. Hatch. Eggs.

8 204

2 4584 212

3 428

1 872

4 964

2 079

939

2 253

15 665

5 842

12 692

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

14 000

16 000

18 000


USA Ar gent i naI ndi a CanadaAl bani a Ot her dest i nat i ons

Total EU Import of Eggs (1000 EUR) incl. Hatch. Eggs.

7 3654 404

13 8272 687

1 513

3 817

1 403

2 398

13 271

7 471

24 812

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000


USA Ar gent i naI ndi a CanadaAl bani a Ot her dest i nat i ons


EU- 27 I mpor t s of sel ect ed EGGS pr oduct s

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

|J an06

2006 |J an07

2007 |J an08

2008 |J an09

2009 |J an10

2010 |J an11

2011 |J an12

i n Tonnes egg equi v.

FRESH Al bumi n Not I n Shel l Yol k Hachi ng


Compared


Japan 62 254 33% 47 238 31% 52 923 29% 65 982 30% 20 023 26% - 2%

Sw itzerland 44 229 24% 43 499 29% 45 107 25% 42 152 19% 15 296 20% + 2%

Russia 7 113 4% 4 360 3% 5 293 3% 4 947 2% 9 616 13% +++

Angola 4 049 2% 4 019 3% 10 227 6% 17 498 8% 4 515 6% - 0%

Libya 0 0% 40 0% 201 0% 226 0% 3 069 4% #DIV/0!

Thailand 6 190 3% 4 068 3% 6 180 3% 7 254 3% 1 967 3% + 7%

Ukraine 7 250 4% 4 304 3% 5 693 3% 4 422 2% 1 709 2% + 38%

Taiw an 4 624 2% 2 868 2% 7 145 4% 7 941 4% 1 215 2% - 36%

South Korea 1 859 1% 1 948 1% 2 495 1% 4 379 2% 1 156 2% + 8%

U.A.Emirates 9 436 5% 2 664 2% 5 864 3% 8 262 4% 814 1% - 74%

Norw ay 1 805 1% 963 1% 570 0% 1 300 1% 745 1% +++

Israel 6 002 3% 3 398 2% 1 308 1% 2 729 1% 317 0% - 75%

EXTRA EU 25/27 187 209 150 173 181 682 216 447 76 150

% change - 20% + 21% + 19% + 13.3%

2008 2009 2010 Jan-Apr 122011

EU Exports of Eggs:Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.)


Total EU Export of Eggs (T. eggs equiv.) Incl. Hatch. Eggs

15 29920 409 20 023

16 42515 024 15 296

12 345

26 021

23 717

9 616

46 571

67 238

76 150

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

70 000

80 000

Jan-Apr 10 Jan-Apr 11 Jan-Apr 12

Japan Sw itzerland Russia Angola Iraq Other destinations

Total EU Export of Eggs (1000 EUR) incl. Hatch. Eggs

10 943 13 607 15 124

23 854 19 888 23 523

13 57024 960

52 393

30 86050 555

63 886

135 663

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

140 000

160 000

Jan-Apr 10 Jan-Apr 11 Jan-Apr 12

Japan Sw itzerland Russia Angola Iraq Other destinations

EU Egg Exports


EU- 27 Expor t s of sel ect ed EGGS pr oduct s ( i ncl udi ng Hat chi ng eggs)

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

|J an06

2006 |J an07

2007 |J an08

2008 |J an09

2009 |J an10

2010 |J an11

2011 |J an12

i n Tonnes egg equi v.

FRESH Al bumi n Not I n Shel l Yol k Hachi ng


1018

23 18 1727

16

30

69

25 3039

45

2330 31

1913

144

164

186

209

231

201 205

191

142

198 198202

167

187

150

182

216

76

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 J an-Apr12

i n 1000 TonnesI MPORTS EXPORTS

EU Egg Trade Balance


Egg prices The EU, USAand Brazilin €uro/ 100kg

50.00

75.00

100.00

125.00

150.00

175.00

08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 |

EU egg US egg €uro BR Egg €uro (Ave World)

EU Market Situation for Eggs and Poultry Management Committee 21 June 2012.

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Transcript of EU Market Situation for Eggs and Poultry Management Committee 21 June 2012.