EU Market Situation for Eggs and Poultry Management Committee 13 December 2012.
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Transcript of EU Market Situation for Eggs and Poultry Management Committee 13 December 2012.
EU Market Situation for Eggs and Poultry
Management Committee
13 December 2012
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
150
160
170
180
190
200
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
€uro
/ 100kg
Evolution of the weekly EUaverage price for Broiler
Avg 07 - 11 2009 2010 2011 2012
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
-6.0%
-1.0%
4.0%
9.0%
14.0%
19.0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU
Percentual change of Broiler prices November 2012
- 1 year
- 1 month
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
50
150
250
350
450
Jan 10 April Juil Oct Jan-11 April Juil Oct Jan-12 April Juil Oct Jan-13
Euro
/ to
nne
Price of Basic Ingredients 2010 - 2012
Soft wheat (EU)
Barley (EU)
Maïs (EU)
Soja (CAF)
Hulls (EU)
Manioc (CAF)
C.G.F. (CAF)
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
120
150
180
210
| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |Jan 2012| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
€uro
/ To
nn
Futures for Feed wheat EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2011 & 2012)
01 Nearby
2013 Jan
2013 Mar
2013 Nov
Delivery:
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
160
180
200
220
240
260
| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |Jan 2012| Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
€/T
on
n
Futures for Maize EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2011 - 2012)
01 Nearby
2013 Mar
2013 Nov
2014 Jan
Delivery:
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
1 100
1 200
1 300
1 400
1 500
1 600
1 700
| July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |Jan 2012| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |
Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel (nearby = 2011 & 2012)
01 Nearby
2013 Mar
2013 Jul
2013 Nov
Delivery:
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
Eu
ro
/ T
(f
ee
d)
Eu
ro
/ 1
00
kg
(B
ro
ile
r)
Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price
margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7)Cereal-mixCompound feedBroilerAvg. Margin 2007 - 2011
NB. Comp. Feed 2012 =Forecast as from November Cereal mix and Poultry 2012 = Forecast as from December
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |
Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the baseline trend
(baseline = monthly avg 2006 - 2009)
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
0
150
300
450
600
750
0
150.000
300.000
450.000
600.000
750.000
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |
Re
alis
ed
sla
ug
hte
r in
1000 T
Forecast and Production of Broilers.In Tonn
Forecast Realised Poultry slaughter
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
-30,0%
0,0%
30,0%
60,0%
90,0%
1-99 100-2999 3000-9999 > 10000
Eurofarm Structure Survey 2010Change in Broilers and Holdings with Broilers
per Category in the EU (BE no data 2010)
% of animals in Category % change per category
change 2010/2007:Broilers: +10,7%Holdings: - 32,5%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
Import of Poultry meat from selected origins
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Oct 11
Brazil 679 469 76.3% 659 368 75.3% 581 391 72.4% 587 404 71.0% 465 998 67.6% - 6%
Thailand 146 882 16.5% 141 524 16.2% 149 682 18.6% 154 229 18.6% 150 774 21.9% + 16%
Chile 34 718 3.9% 39 022 4.5% 34 276 4.3% 44 306 5.4% 36 766 5.3% + 1%
China 15 0.0% 5 690 0.6% 9 997 1.2% 13 735 1.7% 12 607 1.8% + 11%
Argentina 20 416 2.3% 20 576 2.3% 15 760 2.0% 15 630 1.9% 11 136 1.6% - 13%
Israel 6 252 0.7% 5 470 0.6% 7 249 0.9% 7 084 0.9% 4 320 0.6% - 26%
Croatia 1 884 0.2% 2 295 0.3% 2 650 0.3% 2 714 0.3% 2 372 0.3% + 6%
USA 393 0.0% 386 0.0% 439 0.1% 99 0.0% 304 0.0% + 246%
Uruguay 109 0.0% 98 0.0% 2 0.0% 7 0.0% 36 0.0% + 442%
EXTRA EU 25/27 891 087 875 886 803 120 827 420 688 985
% change - 2% - 8% + 3% - 0.9%
2008 2009 2010 Jan-Oct 122011
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
80.000
90.000
100.000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
in Tonnes cwe
Imports of selected Poultry products
FROZEN PREPARED SALTED OTHERS
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
EU Poultry meat Import
473 308 494 139 465 998
124 398130 507 150 774
5 911
656 941694 986 688 985
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
800 000
Jan-Oct 10 Jan-Oct 11 Jan-Oct 12
Tonnes cw
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU (Tonnes cwe)
Brazil Thailand Israel Chile China Other destinations
936 652 1 055 353 983 458
497 259562 264 624 519
1 596 842
1 819 676 1 823 095
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
1 400 000
1 600 000
1 800 000
2 000 000
Jan-Oct 10 Jan-Oct 11 Jan-Oct 12
1000EUR
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU (1000 EUR)
Brazil Thailand Israel Chile China Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
Export of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Oct 11
Saudi Arabia 95 132 9.7% 97 485 9.6% 118 020 9.3% 151 269 10.7% 122 916 10.4% - 2%
Hong Kong 58 669 6.0% 88 357 8.7% 151 559 12.0% 188 345 13.3% 103 096 8.7% - 37%
Benin 83 405 8.5% 84 912 8.4% 115 065 9.1% 126 022 8.9% 113 211 9.6% + 11%
South Africa 6 295 0.6% 7 938 0.8% 22 007 1.7% 94 163 6.7% 113 289 9.6% + 56%
Russia 230 113 23.4% 227 555 22.4% 245 478 19.4% 115 001 8.1% 91 992 7.8% - 4%
Ukraine 112 444 11.4% 89 314 8.8% 86 007 6.8% 81 736 5.8% 85 813 7.3% + 32%
Ghana 31 530 3.2% 28 694 2.8% 41 069 3.2% 68 896 4.9% 58 420 5.0% + 2%
Yemen 26 673 2.7% 36 331 3.6% 39 632 3.1% 37 970 2.7% 28 297 2.4% - 7%
Congo (Dem. Rep.) 21 386 2.2% 20 903 2.1% 27 749 2.2% 29 950 2.1% 25 442 2.2% + 2%
Switzerland 28 200 2.9% 28 111 2.8% 29 804 2.4% 29 330 2.1% 24 076 2.0% + 0%
Malaysia 17 888 1.8% 22 676 2.2% 25 899 2.0% 20 965 1.5% 20 200 1.7% + 31%
Vietnam 39 488 4.0% 39 971 3.9% 31 674 2.5% 29 086 2.1% 17 738 1.5% - 30%
Extra-EU27 982 286 1 015 784 1 265 183 1 411 142 1 180 075
% change + 3% + 25% + 12% + 1.3%
2008 2009 2010 Jan-Oct 122011
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
0
20.000
40.000
60.000
80.000
100.000
120.000
140.000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
inTonnescwe
Exports of selected Poultry products
FROZEN PREPARED FRESH OTHERS
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
EU Poultry meat Export
117 792 162 890 103 096113 289
125 913 122 91692 943
102 433 113 211213 75695 878 91 992
489 215605 240 635 571
1 020 632
1 164 777 1 180 075
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
1 400 000
Jan-Oct 10 Jan-Oct 11 Jan-Oct 12
Tonn
es c
w
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Tonnes cwe)
Hong Kong South Africa Saudi ArabiaBenin Russia Other destinations *
* countries trading less than 86 000 Tons
109 276 143 747 122 115128 775
189 753 181 805101 715
124 278 153 399118 440
141 420
707 936
858 907947 801
1 269 893
1 503 240
1 675 316
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
1 400 000
1 600 000
1 800 000
Jan-Oct 10 Jan-Oct 11 Jan-Oct 12
1000
EU
R
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (1000 EUR)
Hong Kong South Africa Saudi ArabiaBenin Russia Other destinations *
* countries trading less than 108 000 ('000 EUR)
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
50.00
75.00
100.00
125.00
150.00
175.00
200.00
08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazilin €uro/ 100kg
EU broiler US broiler €uro BR Broil €uro/ (Ave world)
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
EU Poultry meat Trade Balance
302277 292 310
371
676
794
480
614 616
858891 876
803827
689
1 017
1 101 1 1161 153
1 114
1 275
1 063 1 046997 997
867
9821 016
1 265
1 411
1 180
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Jan-Oct 12
in 1000 Tonnes cwe
IMPORTS EXPORTS
2001 2002 2003 2004
20052006 2007 2008
2009 2010 2011 2012
EU Market Situation for Eggs
Management Committee 13 December 2012
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
85
105
125
145
165
185
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
€uro
/ 100kg
Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Eggs for Consumption
Avg 07 - 11 2009 2010avg 2011 2012
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
-15.0%
-5.0%
5.0%
15.0%
25.0%
35.0%
45.0%
55.0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU
Percentual change of Egg prices November 2012
- 1 year
- 1 month
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
0
40
80
120
160
200
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51
€uro
/ 100kg
Prices for Eggs for consumption and Eggs for breaking 2011 - 2012
EU Low enr. cages high enriched cage Eggs for Consumption US High breaking
130 % increase for Eggs for Breaking from week 1 2011 to week 48 201256,1% increase for Eggs for Consumption from week 1 2011 to week 48 2012Yellow difference is barn high minus enriched cage low,
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
0
30
60
90
120
150
180
0 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 ja fe mr ap ma jn jl au se oc no de
Euro
/ 100kg
Margin between Feed cost and Egg price in Egg production
marge
feed
egg
Avg Margin
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
0
7 500
15 000
22 500
30 000
37 500
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |
Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the baseline trend
(baseline= monthly avg 2006 - 2009)
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
0
40
80
120
160
4 000
5 500
7 000
8 500
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |
Pric
e €u
ro/1
00
kg
Production forecast ofeggs in shell (Mio p).
compared to the price development
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
-25,0%
0,0%
25,0%
50,0%
75,0%
1-50 51-349 350-9999 > 10000
Eurofarm Structure Survey 2010Change in Laying Hens and Holdings with Laying Hens
per Category in the EU (BE no data 2010)
% of animals in category % change per category
Change 2010/2007:layers: + 1,0%Holdings: - 30,4%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
BE
BG
CZ
DK
DE
EE EI
EL
ES
FR IT KY
LV
LT
LU
HU
MT
NL
ÖS
PL
PT
RO SI
SK
SF
SE
UK
>350
51-349
1-50
Dispersion of Laying Hens by size-class (in 1000 heads)
2007 & 2010 Eurofarm structure survey EU 26 (BE no data 2010)
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Oct 11
USA 4 245 18.6% 11 165 36.7% 13 439 42.9% 5 417 28.4% 12 620 40.9% + 139%
Argentina 6 164 27.0% 7 899 26.0% 7 888 25.2% 7 898 41.5% 9 223 29.9% + 37%
Mexico 2 002 8.8% 1 893 6.2% 1 425 4.5% 556 2.9% 1 018 3.3% + 336%
Albania 2 209 9.7% 1 659 5.5% 3 208 10.2% 1 303 6.8% 1 874 6.1% + 158%
India 6 593 28.9% 5 776 19.0% 3 211 10.2% 1 505 7.9% 2 407 7.8% + 71%
Israel 646 2.8% 711 2.3% 941 3.0% 547 2.9% 1 243 4.0% + 127%
Canada 1 0.0% 33 0.1% 2 0.0% 0 0.0% 67 0.2%
Brazil 64 0.3% 67 0.2% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
EXTRA EU 25/27 22 850 30 409 31 356 19 045 30 832
% change + 33% + 3% - 39% + 83.6%
2008 2009 2010 Jan-Oct 122011
EU Imports of Eggs:Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
EU Egg Imports
12 589
5 282
12 620
6 636
6 753
9 223
4 216
2 631
4 641
29 279
16 796
30 832
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
Jan-Oct 10 Jan-Oct 11 Jan-Oct 12
Total EU Import of Eggs -not incl. Hatching eggs
(Tonnes eggs equiv)
USA ArgentinaIndia CanadaAlbania Other destinations
12 207 10 096
20 262
5 2655 030
7 6712 826
4 048
25 354
19 403
37 249
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
Jan-Oct 10 Jan-Oct 11 Jan-Oct 12
Total EU Import of Eggs -not incl. Hatching eggs
(1000 EUR)
USA ArgentinaIndia CanadaAlbania Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
7.000
8.000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
in Tonnes egg equiv.
EU-27 Imports of selected EGGS products(including Hatching eggs)
FRESH Albumin Not In Shell Yolk Haching
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Oct 11
Japan 62 254 33% 47 238 31% 52 923 29% 65 982 30% 56 489 36% - 2%
Switzerland 44 229 24% 43 499 29% 45 107 25% 42 152 19% 34 996 22% - 1%
Russia 7 113 4% 4 360 3% 5 293 3% 4 947 2% 5 053 3% + 31%
Angola 4 049 2% 4 019 3% 10 227 6% 17 498 8% 14 684 9% - 6%
Libya 0 0% 40 0% 201 0% 226 0% 322 0% + 163%
Thailand 6 190 3% 4 068 3% 6 180 3% 7 254 3% 5 709 4% - 6%
Ukraine 7 250 4% 4 304 3% 5 693 3% 4 422 2% 3 432 2% - 8%
Taiwan 4 624 2% 2 868 2% 7 145 4% 7 941 4% 4 240 3% - 38%
South Korea 1 859 1% 1 948 1% 2 495 1% 4 379 2% 2 778 2% - 20%
U.A.Emirates 9 436 5% 2 664 2% 5 864 3% 8 262 4% 1 582 1% - 78%
Norway 1 805 1% 963 1% 570 0% 1 300 1% 882 1% - 15%
Israel 6 002 3% 3 398 2% 1 308 1% 2 729 1% 997 1% - 57%
EXTRA EU 25/27 187 209 150 173 181 682 216 447 157 472
% change - 20% + 21% + 19% - 15.4%
2008 2009 2010 Jan-Oct 122011
EU Exports of Eggs:Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
42 72257 594 56 489
37 66435 212 34 996
52 652
72 779
45 038
143 707
186 239
157 472
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
160 000
180 000
200 000
Jan-Oct 10 Jan-Oct 11 Jan-Oct 12
Total EU Export of Eggs not incl. hatching eggs (T. eggs equiv.)
Japan Switzerland Russia Angola Iraq Other destinations
29 989 38 621 49 394
53 952 47 079
53 272
5 145
50 565
70 111
56 994144 537
175 776186 104
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
160 000
180 000
200 000
Jan-Oct 10 Jan-Oct 11 Jan-Oct 12
Total EU Export of Eggs not incl. hatching eggs (1000 EUR)
Japan Switzerland Russia Angola Iraq Other destinations
EU Egg Exports
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
2011 |Jan12
in Tonnes egg equiv.
EU-27 Exports of selected EGGS products (including Hatching eggs)
FRESH Albumin Not In Shell Yolk Haching
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
1018
2318 17
27
16
30
69
2530
3945
2330 31
19
31
144
164
186
209
231
201 205
191
142
198 198202
167
187
150
182
216
157
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Jan-Oct12
in 1000 TonnesIMPORTS EXPORTS
EU Egg Trade Balance (not including Hatching eggs)
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 13 December 2012
50,00
75,00
100,00
125,00
150,00
175,00
200,00
08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
Egg prices the EU, USAand Brazilin €uro/ 100kg
EU egg US egg €uro BR Egg €uro (Ave World)