Daily Trade Journal - 13.06.2013

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    q

    q

    Today's Turnover (LKR mn)

    Annual Average Daily Turnover (LKR mn)

    Volume (mn)

    Annual Average Daily Volume (mn)

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR mn]

    - Foreign Buying (LKR mn)

    - Foreign Selling (LKR mn)

    YTD Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR bn]

    YTD Performance

    S&P SL 20 Index

    41.1

    42.8

    16.0

    67.7

    24.9

    Thursday, June 13, 2013

    923.8

    % ChangePoint ChangeToday

    25.0

    480.0

    -1.22 %

    -1.47 %

    2,384.0

    ASPI

    S&P SL 20 Index

    - 76.89

    - 52.32

    6,207.87

    3,499.09

    ASPI 10.0%

    13.4%

    Level 23, East Tower, World Trade Centre,

    Colombo 01

    Tel: +94 11 727 7000,

    Fax: +94 11 727 7099

    Email: [email protected]

    CSE Diary for 13.06.2013Index on a clear downtrend: The bourse witnessed a

    clear downtrend today however in latter part of the

    day ASPI witnessed some spikes in both directions

    owing to Ceylon Tobacco Company being traded

    with a notable gap on-board both up and down.

    ASPI closed the day at 6,207.87 with a dip of 77

    points. Heavy sell-downs in large cap counters John

    Keells Holdings (-2.4%), Ceylon Tobacco Company (-

    2.4%) and Commercial Bank (-2.5%) dragged down

    the overall performance of the index.

    COMB spearheads daily turnover: Commercial Bank

    witnessed some off-board interest backed by a single

    mid-sized crossing of 500k shares which was dealt at

    LKR118.0. The counter attracted notable on-board

    interest, topping the on-board turnover list. Several

    large transactions were seen on-board on COMB

    during trading hours, largest being the 127k shares

    which was transacted at LKR118.0. The countersettled the day at LKR116.9 with a dip of 2.5%.

    Softlogic Holdings on a sell-off: Heavy sell-off was

    seen in Softlogic Holdings with notable on-board

    turnover. The counter transacted a large on-board

    block of 1.0mn shares at LKR10.0. SHL closed the day

    at LKR9.9 with a notable dip of 7.5%, trading near a

    strong support level. Sampath Bank further dipped

    today by 0.9% to settle at LKR213.0, trading near a

    strong technical support level. The counter

    transacted a mid-sized on-board block of 50k sharesat LKR214.0.Heavy retail activity on MTD walkers: Retail interest

    was heavy on retail investor-favorites MTD walkers

    with heavy turnover. KAPI closed the day at LKR31.5

    with a drop of 0.9%. Retail interest was also present in

    Nation Lanka Finance.

    Bourse on a clear

    downt rend

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    Statistical Look Up

    Treasury Bill (%) 12.06.2013

    8.67

    9.80

    10.85

    12.71

    Inflation (%) May-13 7.3

    8.8

    All Share Price Index q

    S&P SL20 Index q

    Turnover (LKR mn)

    Turnover (USD mn)Volume (mn shares)

    Traded Entities

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Foreign Purchases (LKR mn)

    Foreign Sales (LKR mn)

    Net Foreign Inflow (LKR mn)

    Market PER (X)

    Market PBV (X)

    Market Dividend Yield

    SECTOR INDICES

    Banks, Finance & Insurance q

    Beverage, Food & Tobacco q

    Construction & Engineering q

    Diversified q

    Healthcare p

    Hotels & Travels q

    Land & Property p

    Manufacturing q

    Plantation q

    Telecom q

    -4.41%

    2.4

    192.0

    552.3

    13,763.9

    % Change

    -1.22%2.3

    -141.75%

    17.1

    -3.34%

    -1.86%

    -2.70%

    -4.67%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    -2.58%

    -90.91%

    -87.05%

    -92.24%

    744.3

    2,413.6

    21.1

    -64.85%

    -64.85%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    1,365.6

    10.7

    -1.85%

    -2.74%

    -1.22%

    Today

    42.8

    2.3

    24.9

    16.9

    6,207.9

    -1.47%

    2,384.0

    2.2

    67.7

    -15.24%

    -15.24%18.41%

    0.42%

    3.825.0

    237

    3,499.1

    566.3

    4.4

    236

    480.0

    -1.22%

    20.63%

    -84.34%

    Week ending

    -0.76%

    -33.83%

    -2.07%

    -2.58%

    -2.70%

    -2.58%

    242

    2,447.1

    6,372.4

    3,596.3

    37.8

    -2.57%

    4.76%

    56.1

    158.7

    -102.6

    Change %

    6,284.8

    3,551.4

    2.1

    -1.22% 17.3

    Pre Day

    13,864.9

    19,064.1

    2,061.3

    3,539.9

    617.8

    -1.11%

    2,940.8

    2,067.1

    -1.13%

    -1.31%

    -0.70%

    -1.58%

    2,938.9

    19,344.8

    648.1

    165.9 169.5-1.28%163.8

    2.1

    3,128.0

    18,813.9

    2,918.4

    2,028.7

    13,608.3

    Pre Day

    4.76%

    3 months

    6 months

    12 months

    YoY Change

    Annual Avg

    AWPLR

    Excess Liquidity (LKR 'bn) as at 13.06.2013

    Today

    -10.03

    689.8 687.6 0.31% 705.4 -2.22%

    804.5 810.3 -0.72% 828.6 -2.91%

    3,272.4

    3,597.8

    0.01%

    3,500.8

    617.8

    -0.48%3,143.1

    6000

    6100

    6200

    6300

    6400

    6500

    6600

    Index

    ASPI

    3400

    3450

    3500

    3550

    3600

    3650

    3700

    Index

    S&P SL20

    0.0

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    60.0

    70.0

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    Volume('mn)

    TurnoverLKR('mn)

    Turnover Volume

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 2.

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    High Index Calibre USD350 Mn

    Price Gainers Price Losers

    Top 05 Performers for the Day

    COMMERCIAL BANK

    SOFTLOGIC

    MTD WALKERS

    CHEVRON

    SAMPATH

    Most Active

    Close

    267.00

    952.20

    266.60

    985.00

    167.10

    133.50

    701.00

    8.90

    Volume (mn)

    1.8%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    1.3%

    104,792,736

    29,643,907

    27,855,711

    43,555,175

    31,707,939

    1.17

    4.35

    0.13

    0.5% 12,080,323

    43,555,175

    1.8%

    31.50

    294.50

    213.00

    AMANA TAKAFUL 1.50

    NATION LANKA[WARRANTS] 0.10

    % Change

    NATION LANKA

    FREE LANKA 2.60

    1.53

    4.35

    2.59

    2.70

    -7.48%10.70

    0.98

    0.100.00%

    1.08

    -7.48%

    0.00%

    0.00%

    1.2%

    1.2%

    0.0%

    Contribution to

    Total T/O

    2,925,141

    -0.93%

    10.20

    260,421

    2,300,611

    3.03

    CEYLON PRINTERS

    SHALIMAR

    Pre Day

    -2.50%119.90 4.4%0.89

    Volume (mn)% Change

    6.60%

    + 7.80 8.46%

    116.90

    CompanyContribution to

    Total T/O

    145.00

    0.1%

    0.1%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    166.70

    3.97

    6.55

    116.20

    59.80

    166.50

    41.00

    27,855.71

    73.00

    213.00

    167.00

    41.00

    701.00

    70.00

    20.40

    1,402.10

    TodayCompany

    173.90

    MULTI FINANCE

    900.00

    218.58

    2.87365.71

    17.00

    639.35

    505.86

    33.00

    Today

    4.76%

    Turnover

    USD ('000)

    1,070.008.68%

    Intraday

    Low (LKR)

    Turnover

    LKR ('000)

    104,792.74

    4,205.92

    822.30

    5.02

    940.00

    16,211.45

    Intraday

    High (LKR)

    273.50

    12.03

    140.70

    213.00

    133.50

    193.00

    41.80

    8.80

    % Change

    JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS 60,401

    SAMPATH BANK

    ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES 5,201

    1.6%

    0183

    12,257

    9.6%

    7.5%CEYLON TOBACCO

    CARSON CUMBERBATCHNESTLE LANKA

    SRI LANKA TELECOM

    COMMERCIAL BANK [V]

    3.6%

    3.0%BUKIT DARAH

    DIALOG AXIATA

    HNB [V]

    DFCC BANK

    CARGILLS

    9.18

    1,900.10

    121.00

    1,533.18

    3.96

    LOLC

    AITKEN SPENCE 135.00

    2.4% 27.32

    504.11

    169.00

    0.00356.94

    0.002.80

    0.00

    709.90

    9.00

    1,978.20

    116.90

    0.001,983.00

    2,166.95

    3,481.03

    3.9%

    2.3%

    1.2%

    912

    56,593

    12,967

    11,388

    4.5%

    195.00

    60.00

    3.0%

    194.40

    60.00

    436.50

    3.1%

    9.90

    -0.94%

    1.5%

    2.2%

    Change

    - 130.00

    - 95.00

    - 1.90

    - 123.20

    % Change

    218.00

    294.50

    215.00

    31.80

    KALAMAZOO

    + 99.00

    SELINSING

    70.30

    140.70

    Volume

    127.21

    0.00%

    -3.70%

    889,878

    386.03

    834.26

    1,230 1,170.16

    1.3%

    Change

    33.80

    Company% of

    Mkt Cap

    10.20

    Today Pre Day

    10.70

    0.10

    1.50

    + 2.70

    DISTILLERIES

    2,708

    130,333

    SOFTLOGIC 9.90

    Company

    17,886

    70,105

    5,006

    SAMSON INTERNAT.

    EQUITY ONE PLC

    Company Today

    1.6%

    BERUWALA RESORTS

    COMMERCIAL DEV. 71.00 + 6.90 10.76% GESTETNER 178.00 - 22.00 -11.00%

    -8.08%

    -8.52%

    -10.83%

    -9.55%

    2.20

    1,599.00

    100.00

    + 0.10

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 3.

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    Currency Board Announcements

    Local - Indicative Rate against LKR Dividends

    Dollar Watawala Plantations Plc

    Yuan 0

    Euro 0

    Rupee 0

    Yen 0

    Ringgit 0

    Rouble 0

    Riyal 0

    Dollar Rights Issues / Scrip Dividend / Sub division / Capitalization

    Franc Company

    Baht No Announcements

    Pound 0

    Dollar 0Source: www.cbsl.gov.lk

    Global Markets

    q

    q

    q

    q

    q

    q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    Commodit Markets

    Crude Oil (Brent) q

    Crude Oil (WTI) q

    ICE Cotton #2 q

    CBOT Wheat p

    COMEX Gold q

    COMEX Silver q

    COMEX Copper q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    00-Jan-00

    18-07-2013

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    00-Jan-00

    Description

    0.00

    0.00

    0 1/0/1900

    0

    XR Date

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-0000-Jan-00

    Renunciation

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    Time*

    USd/bu.

    87.33

    Price

    103.21

    95.46

    USD/bbl.

    101.29

    AGRICULTURE

    Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

    Nikkei 225

    ASIA

    FTSE 100 Index

    EU

    199.82

    0.25

    0.00 0

    10-07-2013

    127.44

    0.0033.98

    Malaysia

    3.96

    120.47

    20.76

    2.20

    1.34

    40.45

    India

    Currency

    170.24

    Indicative Rate

    13.06.2013

    China

    0

    Payment DateDPS (LKR) XD Date

    6,237.1

    Singapore

    Switzerland

    Thailand

    UK

    -0.28

    -467.6

    0

    2,641.8

    138.85

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    4.10

    USA

    02:28

    -62.4

    1/0/1900

    Change

    -0.93%

    -843.9

    04:01

    0

    00-Jan-00

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    06:28

    06:27

    -0.99%

    06:28

    Company

    06:48

    06:26

    06:27

    0-Jan

    0-Jan

    06:45

    06:44

    Time*

    06:26

    -1.24%

    Change %

    0.07%

    -0.33%

    -0.27%

    -0.44%

    -6.35%

    -2.19%

    -0.46%

    -13.6

    Change

    -0.84%-0.74

    0

    -0.42

    Change %

    318.55

    USD/t oz.

    USD/t oz. -0.07

    683.50

    -4.00

    21.73

    Index

    Dow Jones Industrial Average

    S&P 500 Index

    EUROPE

    EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

    12,445.4

    Value

    14,995.2

    1,612.5

    USD/bbl.

    USd/lb.

    USd/lb.

    AMERICA

    0.50

    METALS

    ENERGY

    Commodity

    20,887.0

    Units

    0

    -24.8

    Proportion

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    0.00

    -0.84%

    -0.84%

    -126.8

    Russia

    Saudi Arabia

    Japan

    1,385.60 -6.40

    Australia

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 4.

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 5

    CSE Announcements

    Mercantile Investments and Finance [MERC:LKR2200.0]: DebentureIssue: The company informs that it is withdrawing the proposed debenture issue

    of LKR500mn with an option to increase to LKR1 bn.

    Dealing by Directors:

    Local News

    SEC Chief explains capital markets turnaround strategy: The first area is to improve the liquidity of themarket. Godahewa explains that this starts with increasing the participation rate of foreigners, educating

    retail participants about investing and communicating well with the media. He hopes that this education

    process will help rebuild investor confidence and double the local participation from 700,000 to 1.4 million

    Central Depository System (CDS) accounts by 2016. The next step is to increase the market capitalization of

    the CSE. Godahewa hopes to increase the numbers from 287 currently to 400 in 2016, with market

    capitalization increasing from USD 20 bn to USD 50 bn.With docile markets over the past 20 years, trading

    systems are currently outdated. In order to meet the needs of market participants, he intends for an

    upgrade in the systems technology to be of a global standard by 2016. This would include strengthening the

    risk management processes, enabling centralized clearing for counter-parties and instituting a delivery

    versus payment settlement solution for securities.Godahewa believes that a five-fold increase in corporatedebt issuance from US $ 2 billion to US $ 10 billion within the next three years is possible. This, together with

    allowing other products (like the derivatives and commodities markets) to develop and demutualizing the

    CSE to foster a commercial agenda, will help sustain market interest.

    [Source: www.dailymirror.lk]

    Post-2015 agenda for Asia: With the Millennium Development Goals expiring in 2015, a global debate isunderway for a new development agenda to replace them. For Asia, the agenda must in part tackle the

    unfinished task of poverty reduction under the MDGs but also confront the newer challenges of income

    inequality and environmental destruction. Asia did very well in the core MDG goal of reducing the number of

    people living in poverty by half. Yet, two-thirds of the worlds poor still live in the region. And while basic

    health and education have improved in much of Asia, there are glaring gaps in lower-income countries,especially in reducing infant deaths and in improving maternal health.

    [Source: www.dailymirror.lk]

    Sri Lanka to ban foreign investments in to steel, cement, retail trade: Sri Lanka plans to ban foreigninvestments into steel, cement, retail trade, small scale agriculture and beauty care products, to 'protect'

    domestic investors, according to decision by the cabinet of ministers. Cabinet spokesman Keheliya

    Rambukwelle said relevant regulations would be made known later. He said existing investors in the sectors

    will not be affected and it will not be with retrospective effect.However the government wanted to promote

    foreign investments into assembling of vehicles, refining petroleum products and making boats for the

    export market.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Sri Lanka sells 20-year bonds at 12.15-pct: Sri Lanka has sold 20-year rupee denominated bonds to yield12.50% and 30-year bonds to yield 12.50%, the state debt office said. At the first 30-year bond auction last

    month 30-year bonds were also sold at 12.50%. The debt office sold LKR8.0 bn in 20 year bonds maturing on

    Company Name Relationship Transaction Quantity Price (LKR) Date

    Nation Lanka Finance [CSF: LKR10.2] Access Equities Common Director Sale 675,000 11.7-11.9 10.06.2013

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 6

    June 01, 2033 and LKR5.0 bn in 30-year bonds maturing on June 01, 2043. There have been no recent

    auctions of 20-year bonds.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Sri Lanka processing large property projects: Sri Lanka is processing several large mixed developmentprojects in the capital Colombo including two which may be over USD500 mn, investment promotion

    minister Lakshman Abeywardena said.One project now being processed involves a USD640 mn investment,he told reporters. Another involving a Korean investor may go up to a USD1bn in all its phases he said. Sri

    Lanka's Abans group is engaged in a USD140 mn project in its first phase, Abeywardena said. In addition the

    University of Central Lancashire was building another USD140 mn campus in Mirigama.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Global News

    World Bank cuts China growth forecast: The World Bank has cut its growth forecast for China amid warningsof slower but more stable global growth over the coming months. The bank now expects the China to grow

    7.7% in 2013, down from its earlier projection of 8.4%. It also cut the forecast for global economic growth to2.2% from 2.4%. The bank said growth in China, the world's second-largest economy, had slowed as

    policymakers look to rebalance its growth model. Over the past few decades China has relied heavily on

    exports and government-led investment to boost its economy. However, a slowdown in key markets such as

    the US and Europe has seen a decline in demand for Chinese exports, prompting concerns whether China

    can sustain its high growth rate.

    [Source: www.bbc.co.uk]

    Spain Recession Seen Ending by 2014 as Austerity Eases: The Spanish economy will shake off its recessionand growth will accelerate through 2015 as European Union officials ease demands for budget cuts,

    economists said. Economic output in Spain will increase for the first time since 2011 in the first quarter of

    2014 and expand by 0.5% over the year, according to the median of 32 forecasts in the Bloomberg monthlysurvey. That compares with a previous estimate for a 0.3% expansion next year. The economy will grow by

    0.9% in 2015, the survey showed.There is an expectation that the fiscal consolidation will be less of a drag

    than before, Luigi Speranza, an economist at BNP Paribas SA in London, said in a telephone interview

    yesterday.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 7

    Softlogic Equity ResearchDimantha Mathew

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277030

    Kavindu [email protected]

    +94 11 7277031

    Imalka Hettiarachchi

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277032

    Softlogic Equity SalesBranches

    Horana

    Madushanka Rathnayaka

    No. 212, 1st

    Floor, Panadura Road, Horana

    [email protected]

    +94 34 7451000, +94 77 3566465

    Negambo

    Krishan Williams

    No. 121, St. Joseph Street Negambo

    [email protected]

    +94 31 2224714-5, +94 77 3569827

    Kurunegala

    Bandula Lansakara

    No.13, Rajapihilla Mawatha, Kurunegala

    [email protected]

    +94 37 2232875, +94 77 3615790

    Matara

    Lalith Rajapaksha

    No.8A, 2nd

    Floor, FN Building, Station Road, Matara

    [email protected]+94 41 7451000, +94 77 3031159

    Dihan Dedigama

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277010, +94 77 7689933

    Chandima Kariyawasam

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277058, +94 77 7885778

    Sonali Abayasekera

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277051, +94 77 7736059

    Thanuja De Silva

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277059, +94 77 3120018

    The report has been prepared by Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd. The information and opinions contained herein has been compiled or arrived at based upon

    information obtained from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty, representation

    or warranty, express or implied is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. This

    document is for information purposes only, descriptions of any company or companies or their securities mentioned herein are not intended to be complete and

    this document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell a ny securities or other financial instruments.

    Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd may, to the extent permissible by applicable law or regulation, use the above material, conclusions, research or analysis in which

    they are based before the materialized disseminated to their customeLKRNot all customers will receive the material at the same time. Softlogic Stockbrokers, their

    respective directors, officers, representatives, employees, related persons and/or Softlogic Stockbrokers, may have a long or short position in any of the securities or

    other financial instruments mentioned or issuers described herein at any time and may make a purchase and/or sale, or offer to make a purchase and/or sale of any

    such securities or other financial instruments from time to time in the open market or otherwise, in each case either as principal or agent. Softlogic Stockbrokers

    may make markets in securities or other financial instruments described in this publication, in securities of issuers described here in or in securities underlying or

    related to such securities. Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd may have recently underwritten the securities of an issuer mentioned herein. This document may not be

    reproduced, distributed, or published for any purposes.