Daily Commodity Roundup as on - Systematix Groupreport.systematixshares.com › Commodity ›...

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Daily Commodity Roundup as on Thursday, July 26, 2018 Date : Thursday, July 26, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 1

Transcript of Daily Commodity Roundup as on - Systematix Groupreport.systematixshares.com › Commodity ›...

Page 1: Daily Commodity Roundup as on - Systematix Groupreport.systematixshares.com › Commodity › SYSTEMATIX...trending down since April 30, partly due to higher U.S. interest rates, raising

Daily Commodity Roundup as on Thursday, July 26, 2018

Date : Thursday, July 26, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 1

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15.57CRUDE $

69.39

-0.03 -0.04 1.27

IN

TER

NA

TIO

NA

L M

AR

KET U

PD

ATE GOLD $

1231.01SILVER $

USDJPY110.792

0.04 0.07 -0.14EURUSD

1.1731GBPUSD

1.31985

LME

NICKEL

13700

0.41 0.12 -0.11

LME

COPPER

6332 LME

ZINC

2587

$ INDEX94.17

0.63 0.56 -0.04

LME ALUMINIUM

2077 LME

LEAD

2166

DJIA25242

0.09 -0.02 0.79SENSEX

36858NIFTY

11132

Date : Thursday, July 26, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 2

NIKKEI22592

-0.17 0.48 -0.1USDINR

68.81 S&P

INDEX

2820

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MCX Gold Aug 2018

Gold prices traded in range lack of clarity over where a brewing trade spat between the United States and Europe.

Gold prices traded in range lack of clarity over where a brewing trade spat

between the United States and Europe. U.S. President Donald Trump and

European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker agreed to work

towards eliminating trade barriers. The European Central Bank is all but

certain to keep policy on hold, arguing that the risks from an amplifying

global trade conflict don't warrant a deviation from its plan to gently exit

its easy-money policy of the last few years. The Bank of Japan will

consider at next week's rate review changing the composition of

exchange-traded funds (ETF) it buys as part of is massive stimulus

programme, the Nikkei newspaper reported. Rising investor interest in

gold can be seen in the holdings of the largest gold-backed, exchange-

traded fund, New York’s SPDR Gold Trust, which are up more than 1

percent to 25.803 million ounces since July 18. SPDR holdings have been

trending down since April 30, partly due to higher U.S. interest rates,

raising the cost of holding gold, which earns no income, interest or

dividends and costs money to store and insure. China's gold output

dropped by 7.9 percent in the first half of this year to 190.28 tonnes due

to an environmental crackdown on illegal mining, Xinhua News Agency

reported on Wednesday, citing figures from the China Gold Association.

The U.S. central bank raised interest rates in June for the seventh time

since December 2015. Technically market is under short covering as

market has witnessed drop in open interest by -10.55% to settled at

4892 while prices up 52 rupees, now Gold is getting support at 29808 and

below same could see a test of 29701 level, And resistance is now likely

to be seen at 30005, a move above could see prices testing 30095.

OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST

29811

SUPPORT 3

30202 30095 30005 29808 29701 29611

29988 29791 29915 0.17 4892

RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2

Date : Thursday, July 26, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 3

Trading Ideas :Gold trading range for the day is 29701-30095.

Rising investor interest in gold can be seen in the SPDR holdings which are up more than one percent to 25.803 million ounces since July 18.

Investors are also awaiting the second-quarter U.S. economic growth data which is due on Friday, where they expect growth to top current forecasts of 4.1%.

The U.S. central bank raised interest rates in June for the seventh time since December 2015, expectations are for two more rises this year.

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MCX Silver Sep 2018

Silver prices traded in range as investors awaited U.S. economic growth data due later this week.

Silver prices traded in range as investors awaited U.S. economic growth

data due later this week. The office of the US Trade Representatives is

holding an official hearing on Tuesday and Wednesday on proposed tariffs

on Chinese products worth $16 billion, before presenting policy

suggestions to the US President. The dollar came under pressure,

prompting a bid in safe-havens ahead of a meeting on trade between

President Donald Trump and European Commission President Jean-Claude

Juncker. Threats from both sides ahead of the meeting has dented

expectations that the talks could mend the rift between the United States

and the European Union. The Germany's Ifo business climate index this

month fell to 101.7 from June's 101.8, but it did not register as big a drop

to 101.5 as forecast.  The economists maintained their 2018 gross

domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for Germany at 1.8%. The US

new home sales fell 5.3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 631,000

units last month, the lowest since October 2017. May's sales pace was

revised down to 666,000 units from the previously reported

689,000. New home sales in the south, which accounts for the bulk of

transactions, declined 7.7% in June. Sales fell 5.2% in the west and

tumbled 13.4% in the mid-west. While the drops were largely driven by

supply constraints, there are concerns that persistent weakness could

eventually spread to the broader economy. Key things to watch today will

be the European central bank's rate decision for July, the US durable

goods orders and wholesale inventories last month, as well as its weekly

jobless claims. Technically now Silver is getting support at 38379 and

below same could see a test of 38198 level, And resistance is now likely

to be seen at 38712, a move above could see prices testing 38864.

OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST

38369 38683

39045 38864 38712 38379 38198 38046

38350 38559 0.28 21673

RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2 SUPPORT 3

Date : Thursday, July 26, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 4

Trading Ideas :Silver trading range for the day is 38198-38864.

U.S. President Donald Trump and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker agreed to work towards eliminating trade barriers.

Euro zone business growth slowed more than expected this month as fears over a trade war with the US and a weaker global expansion put another dent in optimism.

Holdings at ishares silver trust dropped by 0.20% i.e. 20.48 tonnes to 10211.41 tonnes from 10231.89 tonnes.

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MCX Crudeoil Aug 2018

Crude oil prices settled higher after data showed a large draw in U.S. crude stockpiles as imports fell sharply.

Crudeoil on MCX settled up 0.7% at 4778 after data showed a large draw

in U.S. crude stockpiles as imports fell sharply. Saudi Arabia suspended

crude shipments through a strategic Red Sea shipping lane. Saudi Arabia,

the world's biggest oil exporter, said that it was "temporarily halting" all

oil shipments through the strategic Red Sea shipping lane of Bab al-

Mandeb after an attack on two big oil tankers by Yemen's Iran-aligned

Houthi movement. Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said in a

statement that the Houthis had attacked two Saudi Very Large Crude

Carriers (VLCCs) in the Red Sea on Wednesday morning, one of which

sustained minimal damage. U.S. crude stocks fell last week, while

gasoline and distillate inventories also declined, the Energy Information

Administration said. Crude inventories fell by 6.1 million barrels in the

week to July 20, compared with expectations for a decrease of 2.3 million

barrels. Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub fell by 1.1

million barrels, EIA said. Refinery crude runs rose by 46,000 barrels per

day, EIA data showed. Refinery utilization rates fell by 0.5 percentage

points. Gasoline stocks fell by 2.3 million barrels, compared with analysts'

expectations in a Reuters poll for a 713,000-barrel drop. Distillate

stockpiles , which include diesel and heating oil, fell by 101,000 barrels,

versus expectations for a 207,000-barrel increase, the EIA data showed.

Russia's energy ministry revised higher its forecast for 2018 domestic

crude oil output Wednesday after the OPEC/non-OPEC deal agreed last

month eased curbs on production. Technically now Crudeoil is getting

support at 4720 and below same could see a test of 4662 level, And

resistance is now likely to be seen at 4817, a move above could see

prices testing 4856.

OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST

4747 4798

4914 4856 4817 4720 4662 4623

4701 4778 0.70 10061

RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2 SUPPORT 3

Date : Thursday, July 26, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 5

Trading Ideas :Crudeoil trading range for the day is 4662-4856.

Crude inventories fell by 6.1 million barrels in the week to July 20, compared with expectations for a decrease of 2.3 million barrels.

Russia's oil production this year will increase to 551 million tonnes, a new 30-year high and up by around 3.5 million tonnes, Energy Minister Alexander Novak said.

The market has also been supported by a report from the IMF about skyrocketing inflation in Venezuela, limiting its ability to boost oil output.

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MCX Copper Aug 2018

Copper gained as threats of a strike at the Escondida mine in Chile provided support to prices.

Copper on MCX settled up 0.27% at 430.10 gained on fresh buying as

LME Copper held at two-week highs on Wednesday after jumping nearly 3

percent the previous session, as the market awaited a resolution to wage

talks at the world’s largest miner of the industrial metal. BHP’s Escondida

mine in Chile said on Tuesday it had made a final offer to the union

representing its rank-and-file workers that includes a beefed up contract

signing bonus and a 1.5 percent increase in wages. There was no

immediate response from the union, which had asked for a 5 percent pay

rise. LME copper ended 0.1 percent lower at $6,290 per tonne, after

Tuesday’s surge that was the biggest since January. Failure to reach a

labour deal at Escondida last year led to a 44-day strike that jolted the

global copper market. The possibility of another strike there pushed

benchmark copper prices in London to a near 4-1/2 year high of $7,348 a

tonne on June 7, before fears that a U.S.-China trade war could crimp

demand pushed the price below $6,000 tonne last week. LME copper

stood above $6,300/mt and hit a high of $6,331/mt due to a weakened

US dollar and possible strike at the world’s largest copper mine Escondida

in Chile. Now day ahead key things to watch today will be the European

central bank's rate decision for July, the US durable goods orders and

wholesale inventories last month, as well as its weekly jobless claims.

Technically now Copper is getting support at 427.2 and below same could

see a test of 424.1 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 432.9,

a move above could see prices testing 435.5.

OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST

428.70

SUPPORT 3

438.6 435.5 432.9 427.2 424.1 421.5

432.40 426.75 430.10 0.27 22025

RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2

Trading Ideas :Copper trading range for the day is 424.1-435.5.

China June scrap copper imports dropped 39.8 pct year-on-year to 200,000 tonnes China’s General Administration of Customs said.

Short holdings in Comex copper surged in the latest week, data from the U.S. regulator showed.

Warehouse stock for Copper at LME was at 252400mt that is down by -2025mt.

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MCX Zinc Jul 2018

Zinc dropped as prices failed to hold gains amid pressure from concerns over the trade spats between the US and EU.

Zinc on MCX settled down -0.72% at 179.80 dropped on long liquidation

tracking weakness from LME zinc which failed to stand firm above

$2,600/mt with pressure from concerns over the trade spats between the

US and EU. It dipped to a low of $2,573/mt but received support from the

five-day moving average. While Maintenance across smelters continued

to weigh on supplies. There were also no large inflows of imported

materials this week while downstream consumption fell to the lowest

level in a seasonal lull. Market participants should monitor developments

of the negotiation between smelters and miners on treatment charges

(TCs). Separately, brisk trades following the rebound in zinc prices eased

after the Shanghai Futures Exchange raised transaction fees for closing

out positions opened on the same day, for the zinc September contract.

Fees grew from 3 yuan/lot to 15 yuan/lot, effective from the night trading

session of July 23. Last night the US dollar dipped to around 94, and

closed at 94.19. Base metals were under pressure from ongoing worries

over a trade war even though the EU and US declared a ceasefire. Now

day ahead key things to watch today will be the European central bank's

rate decision for July, the US durable goods orders and wholesale

inventories last month, as well as its weekly jobless claims. Technically

market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed drop in open

interest by -6.76% to settled at 5405 while prices down -1.3 rupees, now

Zinc is getting support at 178.4 and below same could see a test of 177.1

level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 181.7, a move above

could see prices testing 183.7.

OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST

180.7

SUPPORT 3

185.0 183.7 181.7 178.4 177.1 175.1

182.4 179.1 179.8 -0.72 5405

RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2

Trading Ideas :Zinc trading range for the day is 177.1-183.7.

social inventory in Shanghai, Guangdong and Tianjin inched up nearly 700 mt from last week to 99,900 mt

Shanghai Futures Exchange zinc stocks dropped to 58,016 tonnes, their lowest since February 2008.

Warehouse stock for Zinc at LME was at 247450mt that is down by -2200mt.

Date : Thursday, July 26, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 7

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MCX Nickel Jul 2018

Nickel recovered from lows amid low inventories across LME and domestic warehouses, tight supply of nickel pig iron.

Nickel on MCX settled up 0.26% at 936.70 while prices on LME finished

0.6 percent weaker at $13,680 hovered around its daily moving average

after it broke pressure at $13,800/mt and touched $13,840/mt. It closed

at $13,715/mt with LME inventory falling 318 mt to 260,400 mt. We see

upward room in the nickel prices, given low inventories across LME and

domestic warehouses, tight supply of nickel pig iron, and more

downstream demand for stainless steel. China is still the driver of

industrial metal prices, and signs of a loss of growth momentum in the

world’s single largest metals user formed the backdrop for the current

blood-bath. China bears can take their pick of factors, from a crackdown

on the shadow finance sector, slowing property investment or sliding

manufacturing indices. These concerns have been around for many

months. As far back as January Goldman Sachs, telling investors not to

worry about the Chinese property market. Trade tensions between the

United States and China have simply served to stoke further such pre-

existing fears. Trade tensions between the United States and everyone

else raise the risk of a global hit on manufacturing growth, the engine on

which industrial metals run. Last night the US dollar dipped to around 94,

and closed at 94.19. Base metals were under pressure from ongoing

worries over a trade war even though the EU and US declared a ceasefire.

Now day ahead key things to watch today will be the European central

bank's rate decision for July, the US durable goods orders and wholesale

inventories last month, as well as its weekly jobless claims. Technically

market is getting support at 928.1 and below same could see a test of

919.4 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 945.9, a move

above could see prices testing 955.

OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST

932

SUPPORT 3

963.7 955.0 945.9 928.1 919.4 910.3

946.3 928.5 936.7 0.26 8147

RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2

Trading Ideas :Nickel trading range for the day is 919.4-955.

A high-grade nickel pig iron (NPI) plant in north China has suspended its production since last week on environmental concerns.

The global nickel market deficit widened to 15,400 tonnes in May from a revised deficit of 14,700 tonnes in the previous month, INSG said.

Warehouse stock for Nickel at LME was at 260400mt that is down by -318mt.

Date : Thursday, July 26, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 8

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NCDEX Jeera Aug 2018

Jeera dropped on profit booking after prices gained amid improved physical and exports due to good demand from China and Bangladesh.

Jeera on NCDEX settled down by -1.09% at 19520 on profit booking after

prices gained amid improved physical and exports due to good demand

from China and Bangladesh. Mandi sources maintained that export

enquiries have been good as India is the only jeera supplier to the world

market currently. Jeera output is expected to be bumper and supplies are

likely to increase in the coming days. The Federation of Indian Spices

Stakeholders (FISS) - projected India's 2017-18 jeera output at 6.92

million bags up 19% on year on the back of higher acreage and

favourable weather. India is expected to export a record 175,000 tn of

jeera in 2018-19 (Apr-Mar), primarily because supply from its competitors

has taken a hit making it the sole supplier of the largely sought after

spice, trade officials said. Supply of jeera from Syria and Turkey--India's

main rivals in the global jeera export market--has been hit both in terms

of quantity and quality due to adverse weather, according to exporters.

Having hit a record high of 155,000 tn in 2014-15, jeera exports fell to

97,790 tn in 2015-16, and 143,670 tn in the year ended March, according

to data from Spices Board India. According to export data released by

Commerce ministry, exports in May surged 96% on yea 27,790 tonnes.

In Unjha, a key spot market in Gujarat, jeera edged up by 75 Rupees to

end at 19270.85 Rupees per 100 kg.Technically market is under fresh

selling as market has witnessed gain in open interest by 5.23% to settled

at 6699 while prices down -215 rupees, now Jeera is getting support at

19345 and below same could see a test of 19170 level, And resistance is

now likely to be seen at 19755, a move above could see prices testing

19990.

OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST

19720

SUPPORT 3

20165 19990 19755 19345 19170 18935

19815 19405 19520 -1.09 6699

RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2

Trading Ideas :Jeera trading range for the day is 6507-6507.

Jeera output is expected to be bumper and supplies are likely to increase in the coming days.

NCDEX accredited warehouses jeera stocks dropped by 15 tonnes to 2270 tonnes.

In Unjha, a key spot market in Gujrat, jeera remains unchanged at0 rupees to end at 19271 rupee per 100 kg.

Date : Thursday, July 26, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 9

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NCDEX Turmeric Aug 2018

Turmeric prices dropped amid reports of improved sowing in turmeric growing areas of Tamilnadu, Karnataka and Maharashtra.

Turmeric on NCDEX settled down by -1.79% at 7242 amid reports of

improved sowing in turmeric growing areas of Tamilnadu, Karnataka and

Maharashtra. In Andhra Pradesh, Turmeric sowing reported 8,809

hectares as compared to 7,528 hectares in the corresponding period last

year, 49% sowing completed from season normal. Farmers and stockists

were holding back their old stocks on expectation of higher prices in

coming days as current year production is likely to decline due to lower

acreage by 40-45% in Tamil Nadu. As per market sources, currently

Nizamabad turmeric stocks were estimated around 1.20 lakh bags as

compared to around 2.00 lakh bags same time last year. Sources

revealed that, currently all India Turmeric stocks reported around 20 - 25

lakh bags as compared to last year 35 – 40 lakh bags. In Nizamabad

market, supply reported up by 108,000 bags during the period and up by

70,000 bags during corresponding period of last year. New crop supply

continued in the Nizamabad market. Currently, around 14 - 25%

moisture content supplies reported, which is lower from last week. Spot

turmeric prices increased at the markets in Erode on quality arrivals and

emergence of upcountry demand. Prices of both the varieties increased.

Arrivals of the spice too doubled to 4,800 bags. Some traders purchased

good quality turmeric for their North Indian orders. In Nizamabad, a

major spot market in AP, the price ended at 7420 Rupees dropped -50

Rupees.Technically market is under long liquidation as market has

witnessed drop in open interest by -2.49% to settled at 12925 while

prices down -132 rupees, now Turmeric is getting support at 7152 and

below same could see a test of 7062 level, And resistance is now likely to

be seen at 7350, a move above could see prices testing 7458.

OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST

7326

SUPPORT 3

7548 7458 7350 7152 7062 6954

7368 7170 7242 -1.79 12925

RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2

Trading Ideas :Turmeric trading range for the day is 7062-7458.

In Andhra Pradesh, Turmeric sowing reported 8,809 hectares as compared to 7,528 hectares in the corresponding period last year.

NCDEX accredited warehouses turmeric stocks dropped by 79 tonnes to 5335 tonnes.

In Nizamabad, a major spot market in AP, the price ended at 7420 Rupees dropped -50 Rupees.

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MCX Menthaoil Aug 2018

Mentha oil prices ended with gains amid rise in demand from consuming industries at the spot market.

Mentha oil on MCX settled up by 1.65% at 1555.8 amid rise in demand

from consuming industries at the spot market. Further, restricted supplies

from the major producing belts of Chandausi in Uttar Pradesh too

supported mentha oil prices’ uptrend. Spot markets are also witnessing

strong consumption demand amid restricted supplies. Bumper crop

harvest has been discounted in the market and market is moving

upwards on rising demand from end users. The Multi Commodity

Exchange of India will double the total additional margin to 10% on both

buy and sell side of all running as well as yet-to-be-launched contracts of

mentha oil from Monday. Despite the peak season of harvest in June,

prices of mentha oil have risen over 20% since the beginning of June as

farmers held back stocks. Farmers are holding back stocks as they are

expecting prices to rise to 1,800 rupees a kg in the next two-three

months. As per preliminary estimates, acreage under mentha crop will

rise this year as the farmers are encouraged by higher price in recent

past. As per trade sources, all the major markets are likely to witness

higher inflow of the produce. There could be chances of crop damage to

certain extend due to unfavourable weather condition. Besides, farmers

are likely to hold back the stocks as the present prices are not

remunerative for them. Mentha oil spot at Sambhal closed at 1803.40

per 1kg. Spot prices was up by Rs.20.60/-.Technically market is under

fresh buying as market has witnessed gain in open interest by 10.81% to

settled at 1610 while prices up 25.2 rupees, now Menthaoil is getting

support at 1539.7 and below same could see a test of 1523.6 level, And

resistance is now likely to be seen at 1576.9, a move above could see

prices testing 1598.

OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST

1546.60

SUPPORT 3

1614.1 1598.0 1576.9 1539.7 1523.6 1502.5

1581.90 1544.70 1555.80 1.65 1610

RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2

Trading Ideas :Menthaoil trading range for the day is 1523.6-1598.

Mentha oil spot at Sambhal closed at 1803.40 per 1kg. Spot prices was up by Rs.20.60/-.

Spot markets are also witnessing strong consumption demand amid restricted supplies.

There could be chances of crop damage to certain extend due to unfavourable weather condition.

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TIME ZONE Forecast

CommodityLME STOCK Stock

COPPER -2025 252400

ALUMINIUM -2900 1209225

NICKEL -318 260400

LEAD -75 127600

ZINC -2200 247450

4099 22270 19520 4140 7242 4126 617.2 3337

DAILY MARKET TRADING LEVEL

COMMODITIESNCDEX CHANA Aug

2018

NCDEX Cotton Jul

2018

NCDEX Jeera Oct

2018

NCDEX Guarseed10

Oct 2018

NCDEX Turmeric

Aug 2018

NCDEX Rmseed Aug

2018MCX CPO Jul 2018

NCDEX Soyabean

Oct 2018

NCDEX

Ref.Soya oil

Aug 2018

742CLOSE

P. POINT 4092 22253 19580 4148 7260 4130

4163 22356 19755 4211 7350 4149

RESISTANCE

4299 22546 20165 4346 7548 4190

615.6 3336 742

750

4228 22443 19990 4283 7458 4171 621.3 3372 747

624.9 3390

619.2 3354 745

4013 7062 4089 609.9 3300 737

4027 22166 19345 4076 7152 4108 613.5 3318

735

Cng in OI -6.26 -8.19 5.23 1.83 -2.49 -4.33 -1.99 -4.02 -3.21

SUPPORT

3891 21976 18935 3941 6954 4067 607.8 3282

740

3956 22063 19170

Long Liquidation

LME DAILY STOCK POSITION ECONOMICAL DATA

DATA Previous

11:30am EUR German GfK Consumer Climate 10.7 10.7

TREND Long Liquidation Short Covering Fresh Selling Fresh Selling Long Liquidation Long Liquidation Short Covering Long Liquidation

12:30pm EUR Spanish Unemployment Rate 0.158 0.167

Tentative All OPEC-JMMC Meetings 0 0

5:15pm EUR Main Refinancing Rate 0 0

6:00pm EUR ECB Press Conference 0 0

6:00pm USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m 0.005 0

6:00pm USD Durable Goods Orders m/m 0.027 -0.004

6:00pm USD Unemployment Claims 215K 207K

6:00pm USD Goods Trade Balance -67.0B -64.8B

6:00pm USD Prelim Wholesale Inventories m/m 0.004 0.006

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-2025

-2900

-318

-75

-2200

-3500

-3000

-2500

-2000

-1500

-1000

-500

0

COPPER ALUMINIUM NICKEL LEAD ZINC

LME STOCK

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China's government plans to adopt both fiscal and financial measures to underpin domestic demand as worsening trade relations with its major trading partner, the US,

limited the impetus to growth from exports. The State Council meeting, chaired by Premier Li Keqiang, decided to take more "proactive" fiscal steps to help the economy

grow in a reasonable pace amid external uncertainties, but to avoid a strong stimulus. Proactive fiscal measures will cover deeper tax cuts, additional deductions to

companies on research and development expenditure and issuing special bonds to local government to fund infrastructure projects. The policy is expected to cost CNY 65

billion this year. Li urged solid implementation of lending to small and micro businesses. The council also vowed to maintain appropriate credit growth under prudent

monetary policy. Li agreed to improve the transmission mechanism of monetary policy. The announcement came after the central bank injected a record CNY 502 billion

into the banking system via medium-term lending facility. Recently, the People's Bank of China stepped up liquidity injection measures and lowered reserve requirement

ratios for three times this year. In the second quarter, China's economic growth slowed to 6.7 percent from 6.8 percent a quarter ago. This was the slowest since the third

quarter of 2016.

#REF!

With the revival of monsoon in the central and nothern India, Kharif sowing has picked up pace, compared to the previous weeks. But this is still about 10 per cent lower

than last year. Sowing of groundnut and cotton crops has fallen significantly. Both the crops are grown mainly in Gujarat, where the southwest monsoon was almost 43

per cent deficient. Groundnut sowing is almost 36.37 per cent less than last year, while for cotton, there is almost a 15 per cent fall. Meanwhile, latest data from the

department of agriculture shows that till July 13, kharif crops have been sown in around 50.16 million hectares, which was 10.01 per cent less than the area covered

during the same period last year. Compared to normal sowing, which is the average of last five years, the area covered in 2018 is 3.02 per cent less than last year.

Usually, crops are sown in around 105.81 million hectares of land, of which sowing is done in about 47 per cent.

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Date : Thursday, July 26, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 14

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