COMMERCE BANCSHARES, INC. · 2017. 5. 18. · COMMERCE BANCSHARES, INC. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods...
Transcript of COMMERCE BANCSHARES, INC. · 2017. 5. 18. · COMMERCE BANCSHARES, INC. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods...
COMMERCE BANCSHARES, INC.
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods 2012 Boston Bank Conference
COMMERCE BANCSHARES, INC.
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods 2012 Boston Bank Conference
Charles KimChief Financial Officer
Jeffery AberdeenController
Nicole RoseManager Mergers & Acquisitions
February 29 – March 1, 2012
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A number of statements we will be making in our presentation andin the accompanying slides are “forward-looking statements”within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Actof 1995, such as statements of the Corporation’s plans, goals,objectives, expectations, projections, estimates and intentions.These forward-looking statements involve significant risks anduncertainties and are subject to change based on various factors(some of which are beyond the Corporation’s control). Factorsthat could cause the Corporation’s actual results to differmaterially from such forward-looking statements made herein orby management of the Corporation are set forth in theCorporation’s 2011 Report on 10K and the Corporation’s CurrentReports on Form 8-K.
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT
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-35%
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Dec
-10
Jan-
11
Feb
-11
Mar
-11
Apr
-11
May
-11
Jun-
11
Jul-1
1
Aug
-11
Aug
-11
Sep
-11
Oct
-11
Nov
-11
Dec
-11
Debt-ceiling deadline
Final Durbin Amendment published CBSH Highlights:
• Record earnings for 2011 despite difficult operating environment of weak loan demand and record low interest rates
• Higher revenues in corporate card and money management businesses
• Decline in loan loss provision
• Constant focus on expense management
• “In a turbulent market, CBSH was rewarded for its quiet stability.”
• “They don’t chase the latest fads and they don’t run out to hot markets,” an analyst told American Banker in July.
2011 BANK STOCK PERFORMANCE
Sources: American Banker, Bloomberg
“The year in bank stocks got off to a rough start. It turned worse still in the second half amid high volatility and repeated rallies inspired by euro zone rescue attempts that failed to sustain investor confidence.” – American Banker
Oil tops $100,
escalating Mideast violence
Fed declares low rates through mid-2013
S&P downgrades U.S. debt
CBSH
KBW Bank Index
3
Ticker KBW Bank Index Total Return* Rank
CBSH Commerce Bancshares 3.14 1
USB US Bancorp 2.29 2
COF Capital One Financial (0.21) 3
BBT BB&T Corp (1.88) 4
PNC PNC Financial Services (3.06) 5
PBCT People’s United Financial (3.78) 6
MTB M&T Bank Corp (9.15) 7
WFC Wells Fargo (9.54) 8
CFR Cullen/Frost (10.41) 9
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp (11.31) 10
STT State Street (11.45) 11
KEY KeyCorp (11.90) 12
*12/31/2010 – 12/31/2011; Includes dividendsSource: Bloomberg
Ticker KBW Bank Index Total Return* Rank
HBAN Huntington Bancshares (18.58) 13
JPM JPMorgan Chase (19.97) 14
NTRS Northern Trust (26.56) 15
NYB New York Community Bancorp (29.83) 16
ZION Zions (32.67) 17
BK Bank of New York Mellon (32.86) 18
FNFG First Niagara Financial (34.80) 19
RF Regions (38.07) 20
CMA Comerica (38.08) 21
STI SunTrust (39.65) 22
C Citigroup (44.33) 23
BAC Bank of America (58.13) 24
KBW Large-Cap Bank Index 2011 Stock Performance
COMMERCE BANK THE TOP PERFORMING BANK STOCK OF 2011 IN THE KBW LARGE-CAP BANK INDEX
4
Peer Banks include: ASBC, BOKF, Central Bancompany, CYN, CFR, FMER, MBFI, PVTB, TCB, UMBF, WTFC, ZION Large banks include: JP Morgan, Citigroup, BoA, Wells Fargo, US Bancorp, Regions, Fifth Third, PNC, State StreetSource: SNL Financial
1.32%
1.22%
0.96%
0.57%
0.67%
0.76%
0.42%
0.00%
0.20%
0.40%
0.60%
0.80%
1.00%
1.20%
1.40%
2010
0.75%
Dec YTD 2011
0.70%
2009
Large BanksCommerce Bank Peer Banks
12.15%
11.15%
9.76%
6.83% 7.01%
8.10%
4.11%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
Dec YTD 2011
2010
6.58%7.13%
2009
Return on Assets Return on Equity
Financial Returns
EARNINGS PERFORMANCE SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE PEERS AND LARGE BANKS
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COMMERCE BANK HAS BEEN A SOLID PERFORMER OVER TIME
Peer banks include: ASBC, BOKF, CYN, CFR, FMER, MBFI, PVTB, TCB, UMBF, WTFC and ZIONSLarge banks include: BAC, C, FITB, JPM, MI, PNC, RF, STT, USB and WFCSource: SNL Financial & CBSH Annual Report
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2011201020092008200720062005200420032002
Return on Assets
Return on Equity
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
2003 2004 2005 2011201020092008200720062002
ROE 10-yr average CBSH: 13.5%Peers: 10.6%
ROA 10-yr average CBSH: 1.4%Peers: 1.0%
Large BanksPeer BanksCommerce Bank
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Lower Midwest Footprint with over 200 branches and 4,745 employees
Seven Key Markets
1. Kansas City2. St. Louis3. Peoria/Bloomington4. Springfield5. Wichita6. Tulsa7. Denver
• 30th largest U.S. bank based on asset size1
• 90% of 2011 pre-tax profit from seven key markets
• Commercial calling efforts with strong credit customers in our extended markets
• Commercial Payment Services offered in 48 states
Super-Community Bank – over 145 years in the industry – $20.6 billion in assets
ABOUT COMMERCE BANCSHARES
Branch Footprint
Extended Market Area
1 2
3
45
6
7
Performance – CAGR
20112011 10yr10yr
EPS*EPS* 18%18% 6%6%
Cash Div*Cash Div* 3%3% 9%9%
Stock PriceStock Price 1%1% 5%5%
Total ReturnTotal Return 3%3% 7%7%
St. Louis & Kansas CityDeposit Market Share2
2011
US Bancorp 12%
BoA 12%
Commerce 9%
UMB 6%
Others 61%
*Per share figures have been restated for 5% stock dividend distributed on 12/19/2011Sources: 1SNL Financial as of 12/31/2011, 2FDIC June, 2011 deposit data
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ABOUT OUR MARKETS
1.Community markets include Wichita, Springfield, Columbia, Peoria and Bloomington2. 2011 households in county with CBI branch3. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics as of November 2011Sources: FDIC, Nielsen and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Kansas City St. Louis Denver Tulsa
Community Markets1
2010 Population (000’s)
2,031 2,835 2,582 930 1,759
5-year projected Population Growth
4.0% 1.7% 7.2% 3.5% 3.9%
CBI Market Penetration2 23.7% 18.8% 0.4% 0.5% 15.1%
Median Household Income (000’s)
$57 $54 $62 $47 N/A
Unemployment rate3 7.4% 8.1% 7.9% 6.4% 6.7%
2011 FDIC CBI Deposits (000’s)
$5,447 $4,888 $115 $122 $2,831
Deposit Share in footprint
13.2% 7.5% 3.8% 0.7% 7.0%
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SUPER-COMMUNITY BANK PLATFORM
Super-Regional Back End • Sophisticated payment processing systems
• Broad consumer product offerings
• Private banking; trust; capital markets
• Competitive on unit costs
A More Nimble Format … With Higher Service Focus
A Strategy that Builds Results for Tomorrow
• Sales across business lines
• Focus on people/talent development
• Investment in technology
• Top quartile credit quality metrics
• Disciplined approach to acquisitions
Community Bank Front End• Flat organization – quick decisions
• Employees embrace strong culture• Award winning customer service• Knowledge of customers and markets
reduces risk
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ENGAGEMENT SCORES AT COMMERCE BANK HOLD STRONG
87%U.S. Financial Services Companies’ Norm
92%U.S. High Performance Companies’ Norm
Percent Favorable
94%2010 Commerce Bank
94%2011 Commerce Bank
Engagement Index (historical scale)
Engagement Index (normative scale)
87%2006 Commerce Bank
89%2007 Commerce Bank
80%2004 Commerce Bank
89%2008 Commerce Bank
92%2009 Commerce Bank
Source: Towers Watson© 2011 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.
Items receiving the most positive responses included employees’ understanding of how their department contributes to Commerce’s success; fully applying their skills and abilities in their work; and being personally motivated to help Commerce be successful
10
INDUSTRY RECOGNITION
America’s Best Banks by Forbes
Commerce ranked among the top ten on Forbes’ list of America's Best Banks three years in a row
Bank Directors’ Top Banks
Commerce ranked #7 on Bank Director magazine’s 2011 Top 150 Bank Performance Scorecard
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• Balanced mix of interest and non-interest income
• Meaningful, growing contribution from wealth management and card businesses
DIVERSE REVENUE SOURCES
9%
8%
14%
8%
2%
59%
Commerce Bank
8%
9%
4%
7%
3%
69%
Peer Banks
Card income
Wealth management
Other
Deposit service charges
Fees & commission
Net interest income
Note: Excludes Gains and Losses on Securities; Wealth Management excludes BrokerageSource: Financial Information Systems; data as of 12/31/2011
Peer Banks include: ASBC, BOKF, Central Bancompany, CYN, CFR, FMER, MBFI, PVTB, TCB, UMBF, WTFC, ZION
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EARNINGS
*Per shares figures have been restated for 5% stock dividend distributed on December 19, 2011
($ millions) 2009 2010 201111 vs. 10
% change
Net Interest Income $636 $646 $646 -
Non-Interest Income 396 405 393 (3%)
Total Revenue $1,032 $1,051 $1,039 (1%)
Securities Gains/(Losses) (7) (2) 11 NM
Non-Interest Expense (621) (631) (621) (2%)
Provision for Loan Losses (161) (100) (51) (49%)
Pre-Tax Income 243 318 378 19%
Income Taxes (74) (96) (122) 27%
Net Income $169 $222 $256 15%
Diluted EPS* $1.87 $2.40 $2.82 18%
ROA .96% 1.22% 1.32%
ROE 9.8% 11.2% 12.2%
Efficiency Ratio 59.9% 59.7% 59.1%
13
REVENUE TRENDS
($ millions) 2009 2010 201111 vs.10
% change
Interest Income $790 $729 $698 (4%)
Interest Expense 154 83 52 (37%)
Net Interest Income $636 $646 $646 -
Contribution from …
Deposit fees 106 93 83 (11%)
Cards 122 149 157 (5%)
Trust 77 81 88 9%
Bond Trading & Brokerage 33 30 30 -
Other 58 52 35 (33%)
Non-Interest Income $396 $405 $393 (3%)
Total Revenue $1,032 $1,051 $1,039 (1%)
Revenues declined $32 million in 2011 due to lost fees on debit interchange (Durbin), overdraft (Reg. E), and exit of student loan business
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*Non-recurring includes partial reversal of VISA indemnification expenses in 2009, 2010 & 2011, pre-payment penalty in 2010 on FHLB debt & debit OD litigation costs in 2011**Source: SNL Financial, excludes BAC
EXPENSES
($ millions) 2009 2010 201111 vs.10
% change
Salaries & Benefits $345 $347 $345 (1%)
Occupancy 46 47 46 (2%)
Equipment 25 23 22 (4%)
Supplies & Communications 32 27 22 (19%)
Data Processing 62 68 68 -
Deposit Insurance 27 19 13 (32%)
Other 86 93 90 (3%)
Subtotal $623 $624 $606 (3%)
Non-recurring* (2) 7 15 N/M
Total Non-Interest Expense $621 $631 $621 (2%)
• “Focus on efficiency” resulted in 3% reduction in core expense in 2011
• Virtually no category left untouched
• Efficiency ratio in 2011 was 59.1% compared to 64.6% for top 50 U.S. bank holding companies**
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NET INTEREST INCOME: 2007 – 2011, TAX EQUATED
4245
6652133
653146
6081942
5471037
700
$750
650
600
550
50012/31/11
$668
12/31/1012/31/0912/31/0812/31/0712/31/06
$520
Total net interest income Change due to volume Change due to rates
Net Interest Income$ in thousands (tax equivalent)
• Over the last 5 years, growth in net interest income mainly due to larger balance sheet – net earning assets up $2.9 billion or 85%
• Rates have pressured margins during previous 5 years; modest decline in deposit rates in 2011
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INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO: HIGH QUALITY, DIVERSE, SHORT DURATION
31.8%
13.7%
Source: InTrader
Weighted rate
Weighted Life(years)
Treasury and agency 1.8% 5.9
Municipal - TE 4.5% 7.5
Agency MBS 3.3% 4.1
Other asset-backed 1.1% 1.7
Corporate 4.5% 1.1
12/31/2011 Portfolio
Total investments $9.4 billionUnrealized gain $160 million12 mo maturities $1.6 billion
DurationDec 2011 2.10 yrsDec 2010 2.08 yrsDec 2009 2.09 yrs
Treasury & agency Municipal
Agency MBS Other asset-backed
Corporate Other
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LOANS – DIVERSE PORTFOLIO; CONSUMER GREATER THAN PEERS
Commerce BankCommercial: 59% Consumer: 41%
Peer BanksCommercial: 72%Consumer: 28%
Growth initiatives in 2011$ in millions
Owner occupied & multi-family $98
Auto lending 56
Tax-free 69
Other Commercial 42
Total $265
Factors reducing growth in 2011$ in millions
Run-off in construction $74
Strategic decline Marine/RV 115
Unplanned Comml payoffs 108
Lower Ag lending 202
Total $499
9%
24%
16%
16% 4%
31%
Consumer Card
Consumer & HELOC
Personal RE
Business RE
Construction
Business
33%
6%
0%11%
17%33%
Peer Banks include: ASBC, BOKF, Central Bancompany, CYN, CFR, FMER, MBFI, PVTB, TCB, UMBF, WTFC, ZION Data as of 12/31/2011
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• CD’s comprised 15% of portfolio in 2011 vs. 32% in 2007
• Cost of deposits in 2011 was .42% compared to peer average of .52%
STRONG DEPOSIT GROWTH IN BOTH CONSUMER AND CORPORATE DEPOSITS
$16.8
$15.1
$14.2
$12.6$12.9
$17
16
15
14
13
12
+8%
20112010200920082007
Total deposits$ in billions
$ in billions 2007 2011Deposit growth
Consumer & Private Banking
$9.4 $10.5 12%
Commercial $3.2 $6.3 97%
Total $12.6 $16.8 33%
Peer banks include: ASBC, BOKF, Central Bancompany, CYN, CFR, FMER, MBFI, PVTB, TCB, UMBF, WTFC, ZION
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RISK MANAGEMENT REMAINS AN IMPORTANT PART OF OUR CULTURE
Non-accrual loans to average loans totaled .82% compared to 1.92% for top 50 U.S. banks at year end 2011
Source: SNL Financial
1.2%
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
$120
100
80
60
40
20
02011201020092008200720062005200420032002
OREO Non-accrualNon-performing to loans
Non-p
erf
orm
ing a
ssets
$ in
mill
ions
Non-p
erf
orm
ing
ass
ets
to loans
(%)
20
ASSET QUALITY - SELECT LARGE-CAP AND PEER BANKS4TH QUARTER 2011
Net charge-offs have outperformed industry results, while reserves provide strong coverage to non-performers
NET CHARGE-OFFS (%) LOAN LOSS RESERVE (%) NPA COVERAGE (%)
4Q10 4Q11 4Q10 4Q11 4Q10 4Q11
SELECT LARGE BANKS:
BoA 2.87% 1.74% 4.47% 3.68% 116% 101%
JPMorgan 3.31% 1.81% 4.71% 3.84% 190% 223%
Wells Fargo 2.02% 1.36% 3.10% 2.56% 71% 92%
US Bank 1.19% 1.90% 3.03% 2.52% 110% 133%
SELECT PEER BANKS:
Associated 3.41% 0.64% 3.78% 2.70% 83% 106%
Cullen/Frost 0.55% 0.26% 1.57% 1.38% 76% 91%
Zions 2.77% 1.03% 4.01% 2.87% 96% 119%
BOKF 0.53% 0.34% 3.78% 2.25% 127% 126%
TCF 1.75% 1.63% 1.80% 1.81% 77% 86%
Select Bank Average 2.04% 1.19% 3.36% 2.62% 105% 120%
Commerce 0.92% 0.68% 2.10% 2.01% 193% 196%
CHARGE-OFFS CONSISTENTLY BETTER THAN INDUSTRY
Source: Federal Reserve Statistical Release, not seasonally adjusted
Largest 100CBINet Charge-Off Rates for CBI vs. Large Banks
0.00%
0.20%
0.40%
0.60%
0.80%
1.00%
1.20%
1.40%
Dec-11Sep-11Jun-11Mar-11Dec-100.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
Dec-11Sep-11Jun-11Mar-11Dec-10
0.60%
0.80%
1.00%
1.20%
1.40%
1.60%
1.80%
2.00%
Sep-11Jun-11Mar-11Dec-10 Dec-11
8.00%
7.00%
6.00%
5.00%
4.00%
Dec-11Sep-11Jun-11
3.00%
Mar-11Dec-10
Business C&I Net C/Os
Credit Card Net C/Os
Commercial R/E Net C/Os
Consumer Net C/Os Credit Card Net C/Os
0.30%
1.33%
0.55%
2.68%
1.72%
2.00%
4.97%
7.72%
1.08%
0.28%
1.63%
0.48%
1.28%
1.83%6.99%
4.73%
0.74%
0.20%0.23%
1.52%
0.78%
1.37%
4.57%
5.60%
0.14%
0.68%
0.42%
1.29%
1.07%
1.34%
3.87%
5.67%
21
0.14%
0.66%
0.53%
1.15%
0.93%
1.40%
3.78%
4.54%
22
STRONG CAPITAL POSITION – ALL COMMON
40
20
0
$250
200
150
100
50
020112010200920082007200620052004
140%
120
100
80
60
Treasury stockCash dividendPayout %
$ in
mill
ions
% to N
et
Inco
me -
com
bin
ed
Year-end capital ratios
Tangible common equity to assets 9.91%
Tier 1 risk-based capital 14.74%
Total risk-based capital 16.01%
23
Grow our specialty bank business…
Run the Core Bank more efficiently…
Invest in our people and future leaders…
KEY PRIORITIES FOR 2012 REFLECT THE CURRENT BANKING ENVIRONMENT
• Grow Commercial profit while improving return on capital
• Rebuild the Retail Banking model
• Retain and develop our top performers and future leaders
• Recruit and hire the best talent
• Accelerate growth in the wealth management business
• Invest in innovation, and explore new business line opportunities
• Continuously improve operational efficiency
• Deepen and broaden payments relationships and capabilities
• Address underperformance
24
CORE COMMERCIAL: 2012 KEY INITIATIVES
Identify New Loan Opportunities
• Improve segmentation by industry and product
• Market private placement of tax-advantaged loans
• Capitalize on increase in commercial real estate financing
Coordinate and Expand Healthcare Banking
• Increase market share through systematic sales effort by industry specialists
• Introduce Healthcare suite: mPay Gateway, RemitConnect and HSF
• Educate and train officers through quarterly Healthcare Forum
Expand Regional Presence
• Target middle market companies focusing on Commerce suite of services
• Continue to make opportunistic hires in expansion markets
• Potential Texas loan production office
• Open Denver Tech Center location
Focus on Comprehensive Payment System
• Customer focused needs based messaging
• Increase data mining for targeted prospect identification
• Improve campaign management tactics and strategies
Enhance Marketing and Officer Productivity
• Coordinate calling strategies for Corporate Card and Merchant Services
• Focus on increasing referrals, contribution and penetration rates
• Provide training on fraud prevention and security procedures
• Introduce integrated payables
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CORE COMMERCIAL – SEGMENTING TO MORE EFFECTIVELY TARGET PROSPECTS
-9%
158%
93%
29% 24% 14%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
Total Loans Tax Free Expansion Mkts Healthcare Beverage Agribusiness
Loan Growth by Category 2007-2011
Industry Healthcare
Energy
Ag & Food Processing
Not-For-Profit
Beverage Distributors
Manufacturing
ESOP’s
Student Housing
Municipalities/Education
Other
Product Opportunity Interest Rate Swaps
Leasing
Tax-advantaged financing
SBA
Missouri Linked Deposit
Floor Plan Lending
Hospital Services Financing
RemitConnect
mPay Gateway
International Services
Commercial L/C’s
Other
Competitors Troubled Institutions
Relationship Management Issues
Drop In Service Levels
Other Issues
26
CORE RETAIL: 2012 KEY INITIATIVES
Focus on Value-Based Revenue Streams
• Develop new and reposition existing products that provide value to customers
• Relationship Advance, accessory sales (ID theft, checks, GPR)
Focus on Profitable Loan Growth
• Focus on multi-channel increase in volumes (branch, direct mail, web, inside sales) and more efficient delivery (systems, underwriting, risk)
Expand Key Customer Relationships
• Expand customer relationships through effective targeting, messaging and special offers
Transition Sales Force into new Sales Environment
• Guide the sales force through the changes driven by the shift away from a “free” checking model
Define Future Branch Strategy
• Identify the future branch footprint, layout, staffing and purpose within the overall redefined strategy for managing customer traffic
Execute Future Online Strategy
• Develop strategy to increase sales of deposit and loan products as well as accessory services on commercebank.com
Talent Management • Address the competencies required from our sales force
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CORE RETAIL – FOCUS ON OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE FOR EXPENSE SAVINGS CRITICAL TO SHORT-TERM SUCCESS
Core Retail Total Expense$ in millions
Check processing
Other
Customer checks
Online banking
2011
$15.5
$4.0
$3.2
$2.6
$2.4
$2.1
$1.2
Teller costs
FDIC Insurance
$240
220
230
2010 2011
235
215
225
7% reduction
• Focused on productivity to offset loss of retail revenues
• Closed/merged 10 branches in last 2 years
• Imaging technologies have reduced paper related costs while better servicing customers – longer hours in some locations
28
REBUILDING CORE RETAIL REVENUE
• Debit and OD fees make up 79% of total core retail fees
• “Durbin” effect on debit fees will have whole year effect in 2012
Core Retail efforts will expand menu of accessory products and services to help mitigate lower debit fees
• “myAdvance” – short-term consumer lending
• Expanded branch focus and sales of consumer loans
• Increase in ATM revenues – domestic and international
• Theft ID Restoration
• Interchange network adjustments
• Growth in check sales revenues
• Expanded service fees from sales of non-free checking
20
40
60
80
100
$120
0
$109
2011
OD
Debit
Dep fees
ATM
Check sales
Mtge banking
Other
Core Retail Fee Income$ in millions
29
COMMERCE TRUST COMPANY – SOLID GROWTH IN FEES AND ASSETS
• Record asset management sales three years in a row
• Account attrition has remained low for last 5 years
• $27.3 billion in assets under administration• Ranked #29 based on assets under management*• Team of over 470 and average officer has 15 years of experience• 100+ years in the business
As one of the largest trust companies in the US, The Commerce Trust Company excels at providing objective financial advice, exceptional personal service and comprehensive wealth management solutions.
$23
$90
85
80
75
70
$30
25
20
15
10
5
02011
$27
2010
$25
2009
$22
2008
$19
2007
Trust AssetsTrust Fees
Tru
st A
ssets
$ in b
illio
ns
Tru
st F
ees
$ in m
illio
ns
*Source: SNL Financial – Total managed fiduciary related assets as of December 31, 2011
30
COMMERCE TRUST COMPANY – 2012 KEY INITIATIVES
Core Private Client Growth
• Expand sales staff, increase Commerce Trust Company marketing, and accelerate key product development initiatives
Commerce Family Office
• Launch Commerce Family Office sales and marketing initiative to accelerate revenue growth
Expand Institutional Product Offering
• Invest in flagship fixed income products and expand product set and sales resources for 401(k) and investment consulting
Complete Restructuring of Commerce Brokerage
Consider Strategic Acquisitions
• Explore strategic acquisitions to supplement organic growth initiatives
• Upgrade and expand sales force, while streamlining the back office for more profitable margins
31
CARD PRODUCTS – A LEADER IN THE PAYMENTS INDUSTRY
Consistently ranked among the top issuers in the Nilson Report
Debit / Prepaid Card
Consumer Card
Merchant Services
Commercial Card
#10 Purchasing Card Issuer
#12 Bank Acquirer*
#23 Consumer Card Issuer
#35 Debit Card Issuer
Commerce Bank acknowledged by VISA for consistent, superior performance and continued service quality improvement, receiving over 50 awards since 1992.
VISA Service Quality Performance Award Winner
*Excludes non-bank acquirersSource: 2011 Nilson Reports (Debit: April, 2011; Consumer Card: June, 2011; Merchant: March, 2011; Commercial Card June, 2011)
#14 Commercial Card Issuer
32
CONSUMER CARD - PROFITABILITY REMAINED STRONG THROUGHOUT THE CYCLE
• Lower loan losses and funding costs contributed to growth in contribution over last 5 years
• 5 year CAGR of card balances 5%; greater competition and consumer deleveraging has made growing loans more difficult in 2011
Consumer Credit Card Trends$ in millions
Loan b
ala
nce
s
5
0
$800
750
700
650
600
550
500
+5%
201120102009200820072006
$40
35
30
25
20
15
10
Loan balancesPre-tax profit
Pre
-tax
pro
fit
33
CONSUMER CARD – 2012 KEY INITIATIVES
Merchant Funded Rewards
• Utilize merchant partners to drive transaction volume and fee income while reducing redemption expenses in existing rewards platform
Product Innovation • myRewards general purpose reloadable card rolled out in 2012
Grow Quality Loans
• Leverage direct mail and convenience checks to grow active accounts and outstandings
• Utilize predictive analytics and customer insight to optimize response through various channels.
Transactor Focus• Increase proportion of “transactor” customers to better
balance revenue streams (decrease reliance on revolving customer balances)
34
COMMERCIAL CARD AND MERCHANT SERVICES 2012 KEY INITIATIVES
ControlPay EIPP • Maintain EIPP momentum, explore receivables and trade finance product enhancements
New Product Development
• Implement Hospital Services Financing, enhance ActiveFunds, Verient and Visa Payables platforms, and incorporate debit functionality into Business Rewards offering
Alternative Sales Channels
• Expand sales in a cost effective and controlled manner by establishing “preferred vendor” relationships
• Franchises, Associations, Agent Banks, BIN Sponsorships, 3rd Party Vendors
Acquisition Strategy Development
• Fully define and approve an acquisition strategy
New Product Development
• Recognize and develop new products
• Certified Internet Gateway, mPay Gateway, International processing
Credit Strategy
B2B Payment Strategy
Co
mm
erc
ial
Ca
rdM
erc
ha
nt
Se
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es
• Enhance underwriting process, maintain acceptable levels of risk & address extended payment terms offered by competitors
• Implement Merchant Services referral program from Card employees and data mine enrolled vendors for large Merchant opportunities
35
COMMERCIAL CARD: GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES IN THE PAYMENTS SYSTEM
• High ROE business flagged for investment and growth
• Strong growth driven by continuing product innovation and expansion into new geographies / customer segments
• Growth in out years will come from new products– ActiveFunds– Health Services Financing– ControlPay EIPP – Agent Bank program
Commercial Card Revenue$ in millions
$60
50
40
30
20
10
0
+30%
2011
$57.8
2010
$48.3
2009
$32.2
2008
$25.9
2007
$20.2
Commercial Card Expansion IIAgent BankCommercial Card Expansion IExisting
36
M&A OUTLOOK
Source: SNL Bank M&A Scorecard: 2011 in Review
M&A Outlook for 2012
• Industry consolidation continues, but at a slow pace
• Buyers reluctant to pay high prices and sellers still have high expectations
– Failed BankUnited sale process
– ING Direct sold at tangible book value
• Regulatory burden and cost will lead to community bank consolidation, but not clear when consolidation will begin – predicting late 2012
• Commerce remains a strategic buyer
• Augment expansion markets if right fit becomes available
• Management “lift-outs” are attractive, especially in asset management
Commerce Focus
COMMERCE IS A STRATEGIC BUYER – ORGANIC GROWTH IS PRIORITY ONE
37
THEMES IN BANKING – 2012
• Low rates will continue to weigh on bank profitability
• Loan growth dependent on the level of overall economic growth
• Profitability remains under pressure as NIM’s, fee income and efficiency remain challenged
• Top line pressure forces reliance on cost reduction and lowered expenses, although efficiency gains and reserve releases may be topping out
• Money center banks have reduced European counterparty risk
• Community bank business model at risk due to regulatory changes and demands
• Year has opened strong and investors expect that 2012 will see a recovery in bank stocks
Sources: Barclays Capital, SNL Financial, and Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
$1.00
$1.40
$1.80
$2.20
$2.60
$3.00
$6.00
$7.00
$8.00
$9.00
$10.00
$11.00
$12.00
$13.00
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Earn
ing
s P
er
Sh
are
Reven
ue
Per
Sh
are
Revenue Per Share Earnings Per Share
*Restated for 5% stock dividend distributed in December 2011**Reflects Top 50 banks total dividends paid in 2007 compared to 2010Source: SNL Financial
Dividends per share*
$0.40 $0.50 $0.62 $0.68 $0.73 $0.78 $0.82 $0.83 $0.85 $0.88
RECORD EPS AND CONTINUED DIVIDEND GROWTH
Commerce Bank dividend increased for the 44th consecutive yearand paid its 18th consecutive 5% stock dividend
More than three-fourths of large banks cut or eliminated their dividend since 2007**
38
39
STEADY SHAREHOLDER RETURNS IN A HIGHLY VOLATILE MARKET
*Assumes reinvested dividends, multi-year returns are annualizedSources: Bloomberg, American Banker
Total shareholder returns*Indexed, 12/31/2001 = 100
50
100
150
200
KBW BANK INDEX
S&P 500INDEX
NASDAQBANKS
COMMERCEBANK Total Shareholder Returns*
Percent
1 yr1 yr 3 yr3 yr 5 yr5 yr 10 yr10 yr
CBSHCBSH 3.1%3.1% 2.7%2.7% 2.6%2.6% 7.0%7.0%
S&P 500S&P 500 2.1%2.1% 14.1%14.1% (0.3%)(0.3%) 2.9%2.9%
NASDAQ NASDAQ BanksBanks
(10.5%)(10.5%) (4.0%)(4.0%) (12.5%)(12.5%) (1.7%)(1.7%)
KBW KBW Bank Bank IndexIndex
(23.2%)(23.2%) (2.4%)(2.4%) (17.5%)(17.5%) (4.8%)(4.8%)
201120092007200520032001
Commerce Bank the top performing bank stock of 2011 in the KBW Large-Cap Bank Index