CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier...

22
CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015 CLIMATE

Transcript of CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier...

Page 1: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA

Xavier Labandeira

EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo

COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 2: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Sandy, camiño de New York: 29 Outubro 2012

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 3: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

O Cambio Climático: Por qué?   A base científica

  Concentracións atmosféricas de GEI, fundamentalmente CO2

  Emisións asociadas a combustibles fósiles   Impactos asociados a cambios climáticos   Proceso de medio/longo prazo e con alta complexididade

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 4: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 5: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

O Cambio Climático: Por qué?

  Non un problema ambiental máis   Alta dependencia de GEI: Fallo de mercado brutal   Problema global, pero variable en beneficios e custos   Aspectos inter-xeracionais   Irreversibilidades   Incertidumes

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 6: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Qué podemos facer?   Mitigación de GEI   Adaptación   (Xeo-enxeñaría)

  Acordos internacionais   2ºC   ONU?   Fondos compensatorios

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 7: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Estratexias de mitigación   Regulacións convencionais   Prezos por emitir (impostos e mercados)   Promoción de novas tecnoloxías (I+D e instalación)   Educación, información, concienciación   (outras razóns para a mitigación)

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 8: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015
Page 9: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 10: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 11: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Arquitectura e Cambio Climático   Mitigación

  Minimizar stock de emisións asociadas a novas infraestruturas   Rehabilitación

  Adaptación   Pública (infraestruturas)   Privada (edificios, etc.)

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 12: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

  2020 Climate and Energy Package   20% reduction in EU GHG emissions from 1990   20% of renewable energy consumption   20% improvement in Energy Efficiency

  2030 Framework for Climate and Energy   Binding EU target: -40% reduction of GHG by 2030   27% of renewable energy at EU level   Energy efficiency increase of at least 27%   15% interconnection between Member States

  2050 Roadmap

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 13: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

!"#$%&'!

!"#$%"&$'()*+"),-,-)(./#)

0'"&(1)022$3$"'31)!$&"3*$%")()*(+(,+!-'

03.4"5$(')!$&"3*$%"'()).+*(/+!0'

0'"&(1)6"&2.&7/'3").2)89$#4$'(5)!$&"3*$%"'()*)+1*+!-'

0'"&(1):/;"##$'()!$&"3*$%"'()*)+1)+!-'

)

)

)

)

)

)

)

)

)

)

)

)

)

)

<+")#"(/#)2&/7"=.&>))

Page 14: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Eficiencia enerxética en España

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 15: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Conclusións

  Un grave problema   Actuacións insuficientes (traxectoria +3.5ºC)   Múltiples barreiras, sobre todo distributivas   Necesidade de involucración de tod@s na transición   Grande papel dos prezos   Pero non só…

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 16: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

GRACIAS http://www.labandeira.eu

[email protected]

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 17: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

España Spanish CO2 emissions

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Emisiones de CO2-eq Límite de Kioto Transporte

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 18: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Dependencia energética

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 19: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Proyecciones oficiales GEI

!"#$%&&'#(%)*+%*%,')'#(%)*-./*.)0121*3455634748*/(9#",%*1*:.;*<"=>&?@#*7838ABC*D%&')'E(*3F48* 3G*

*

!"#$%&'()*)*)+',-"."/01.'2/2&3'405102&%"/'+',.610&%"/'78'

!"#$###

%##$###

%"#$###

&##$###

&"#$###

'##$###

'"#$###

"##$###

%##!

%##%

%##&

%##'

%##"

%##(

%##)

%##*

%##+

%#!#

%#!!

%#!%

%#!&

%#!'

%#!"

%#!(

%#!)

%#!*

%#!+

%#%#

%#%!

%#%%

%#%&

%#%'

%#%"

%#%(

%#%)

%#%*

%#%+

%#&#

92':;<+1

=%/>)'?/2&3'405102&%"/?/2&3'@,4.' + ,.610&%"/'78

,-% ,.' /%- 0123454

6

!##$###

!%#$###

!'#$###

!(#$###

!*#$###

%##$###

%%#$###

%'#$###

%(#$###

%#!!

%#!%

%#!&

%#!'

%#!"

%#!(

%#!)

%#!*

%#!+

%#%#

%#%!

%#%%

%#%&

%#%'

%#%"

%#%(

%#%)

%#%*

%#%+

%#&#

92':;<+1

=%/>)'A/+,?B?/2&3'@,4.' + ,.610&%"/'78

,-% ,.' /%- 0123454

6

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 20: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Una experiencia exitosa, para algunos…

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 21: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Curva de aprendizaje, Solar FV !"#$%&'()*(+$(),+(-)'(-).$/'#)!/&01#+0+12)3$/+0+&45)67&#7+&8)'(-)9$(4+-&#'1+$(4)

)

9$(:#&44+$('/);&4&'#0<).&#7+0&) =>)

!"#$%&'()'*+',-.'+)/)'/01,%'23'4-56,11,6"0-5',-.'23'70.$1&'80565'!"##$%&'%"#$()%

!/0$%9&:'*+,-%./%012&3443&0'1%315%6'5748%9'2&%53&3%:;'6%<4''6=8;>%?8@%A18;>B%C013198D%

;06&5:%A,E%F%82&063&8D%

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

!"#"$%&'"()'"*+,-*-+.(/#*"#+-0"1(-#(+2"()3(%#4(3565(%,"(6-7-'%,8(&9+(!"0",1"4(

I.)@!)@*!,-!(%&!)@*!-%$)*&!;)()*#!.EE*0!(!%=<>*0!.E!$%'*%)$J*#!)@()!#=77.0)!&*7/.G<*%)!.E!0*%*B(>/*!*/*')0$'$)G!3*%*0()$.%:!;.<*!7./$'$*#!(0*!()!)@*!,-!(%&!-:;:!%()$.%(/!/*J*/!(%&!#.<*!7./$'$*#!(0*!(J($/(>/*!.%/G!$%!#7*'$E$'!,-!<*<>*0K'.=%)0$*#!(%&!$%&$J$&=(/!-:;:!#)()*#:!L*%*0(//G+!)@*!,=0.7*(%!-%$.%!#*)#!>$%&$%3!0*%*B(>/*!*/*')0$'$)G!0*M=$0*<*%)#!E.0!*('@!<*<>*0+!(%&!*('@!<*<>*0!'.=%)0G!70.J$&*#!(!=%$M=*!#*)!.E!E$%(%'$(/!$%'*%)$J*#!).!<.)$J()*!&*7/.G<*%)!.E!0*%*B(>/*!7.B*0!#G#)*<#!)@()!B$//!('@$*J*!)@*!,-K/*J*/!)(03*)#:!F%!)@*!-%$)*&!;)()*#+!)@*!E*&*0(/!3.J*0%<*%)!70.J$&*#!E$%(%'$(/!$%'*%)$J*#!E.0!0*%*B(>/*!*/*')0$'$)GN70.&=')$.%!)(O!'0*&$)#!E.0!B$%&!(%&!$%J*#)<*%)!)(O!'0*&$)#!E.0!#./(0+!E.0!*O(<7/*N(%&!#.<*!#)()*#!@(J*!*#)(>/$#@*&!0*%*B(>/*!7.0)E./$.!#)(%&(0&#!)@()!<(%&()*!(!'*0)($%!7*0'*%)(3*!.E!*/*')0$'$)G!>*!3*%*0()*&!E0.<!0*%*B(>/*!*%*03G!#.=0'*#:!"#!.E!P=%*!459Q+!4?!#)()*#!(%&!)@*!R$#)0$')!.E!S./=<>$(!@(&!>$%&$%3!

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA

Page 22: CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO: POR QUÉ E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA · E CÓMO AFRONTAR O PROBLEMA Xavier Labandeira EUI, Economics for Energy e Universidade de Vigo COAG-Vigo, 5 Outubro 2015

Costes

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Supp

ort f

or re

newa

bles

(milli

on E

uro)

Waste Biomass Small hydro Wind Solar PV Solar TE

Conference

Looking Back at Ten Years of the EU ETS: Lessons Learnt and Future Perspectives

Organised by: FSR Climate, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence

Teatro, Badia FiesolanaVia dei Roccettini, 9 – San Domenico di Fiesole

20-21 May 2015

PROGRAMME

20 MAY

19.30 10th Anniversary Celebration Dinner

Keynote speeches:

Jorge Moreira da Silva | Minister for Environment, Spatial Planning and Energy, Portugal

Frank Convery | Chief Economist, Environmental Defense Fund, USA

21 MAY

08.30-08.45 Conference opening

Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

Jean-Michel Glachant | Director, FSR, EUI

08.45-09.00 Keynote speech

Miguel Arias-Cañete | Commissioner for Climate Action and Energy

09.00-10.30 Session 1: What Made the EU ETS Possible?

Chair Brigid Laffan | Director, RSCAS, EUI

CLIMATE

In collaboration with DG CLIMA