Airbus Commercial Updatecompany.airbus.com/dam/assets/airbusgroup/int/en/investor-relations... ·...

Airbus Commercial Update Deutsche Bank Investors, January 22nd 2014

Presented by Francois Chazelle – Senior Director – Corporate & Investor Marketing

January 2014 2014-01_Airbus Commercial Update

© AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

A330 1,000th delivery

2013 in review – a successful year for Airbus

2014-01_Airbus Commercial Update

A320 10,000th order

A350 XWB Successful first flight A380 10 operators, >100 in service

January 2014


A year of new industry records


Airbus orders 1,619 gross 1,608 (Airbus 2011) 1,458 (Airbus 2007)

1,503 net 1,419 (Airbus 2011) 1,413 (Boeing 2007)

Airbus year-end backlog 5,559 aircraft 4,682 (Airbus 2012)

Airbus Deliveries 626 aircraft 648 (Boeing 2013)

Previous records 2013 result


2013 Airbus and Boeing world market share

To end 2013

0

20

40

60

80

100

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

Net order share since 1995

Boeing 82%

Airbus 18%

Boeing 47%

1,355 aircraft

Airbus 53%

1,503 aircraft



2013 market share by category - net

1,046 47%

1,162 53%

Single aisle 2,208 orders

A320 737

297 50%

299 50%

Widebody 596 orders

12 22%

42 78%

VLA 54 orders

A330 A350

767 777 787

A380 747-8

Data to end 2013

ACJ 1 25% BBJ 3 75%

A350 230 56% 787 182 44% NEO 876 56%

MAX 699 44%

A380 pax 42 81% 747-8 pax 10 19%



The airline industry enjoyed renewed growth in 2013

December 2013 IATA forecast of 5.4% CAGR

Three billion passengers Global economy climbing out of recession

IATA forecast 5.4% average annual growth 2013-2017



A return to growth in 2013

Source: IHS Global Insight (December 2013 data), OAG (ASKs data), Airbus


-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Real GDP Passenger traffic (ASKs)

World real GDP and passenger traffic (year-over-year)

2008

+7.4%

December passenger traffic

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014


20-year demand for 29,230 new passenger freight aircraft (2013-2032)

Market value of $4.4 trillion

Source: Airbus 2013 GMF

Jet freight aircraft (>10 tons)

1,711 very large aircraft

7,273 twin-aisle aircraft

20,242 single-aisle aircraft

Passenger aircraft (≥ 100 seats)

29,226 new aircraft



Airbus A320ceo 1,688 A320neo 2,610 A330 267 A350 XWB 812 A380 182

5,559

Order backlogs

Combined backlog of over 10,500 aircraft

At end 2013



2013 Airbus order backlog by region


Data to end of December 2013

Backlog of 5,559 aircraft

Asia Pacific

34% 38%

Middle East

10% 7%

Europe & CIS

18% 24%

Africa

1%

3%

Latin America

7% 8%

North America

12% 20%

Lessors

17% GMF (2032) Backlog end 2013


A320 Family: 1,253 new A320 Family orders in 2013 876 A320neo, 377 A320ceo

Data to end December 2013

A take-off or landing every 2.5 seconds, with 99.6% reliability


10,193 firm orders 5,895 deliveries 4,298 backlog (1,688 ceo, 2,610 neo) 269 customers 323 operators

January 2014


The best keeps getting better with Sharklets


A320 Sharklet retrofit launched with JetBlue order

Flight test results show fuel-burn savings up to 4% Range increment and take-off performance enhancement A319, A320 and A321 all now certified and in service


Airbus has a clear single-aisle strategy

Delivering more efficiency while maintaining commonality

2012

Efficiency

2011 2015

Sharklets

A320neo

15% fuel burn saving

Up to 4% fuel burn saving

2014-01_Airbus Commercial Update January 2014


Data to end December 2013, Source: Airbus Orders & Deliveries * Split in 718 A320ceo + 1597 A320neo Corporate jet customers not included – A320neo launch 1st December 2010

Over 1,000 A320ceo orders since launch of A320neo

1,013 aircraft 20 customers

A320neo

2,315 aircraft* 27 customers

Mix A320ceo/A320neo

294 aircraft 25 customers

A320ceo

Strong A320ceo & A320neo sales



A320neo has 15% lower fuel burn, more range

95% airframe commonality with A320ceo

Sharklets

New engines



NEO leads the MAX in orders and customers

Data to end 2013, Source: Airbus Orders & Deliveries, Boeing.com

NEO is the preferred market option

A320neo 2,610 orders

60%

737 MAX 1,736 orders

40% 48 customers 22 customers + unannounced orders



Increasing demand for A321s

*From A319/A320 to A321. to end December 2013

Almost 650 A321 orders and type conversions* in 2013

AEROSPACE INTERNATIONAL

GROUP



Airbus widebody Family: matching market demand



Wide-body sales in 2013

341 Airbus vs. 309 Boeing widebody orders in 2013


69

230

42 2

182

47 66 12

0

100

200

300

400

500

A330 A350 A380 767 787 777 777X 747-8

Net passenger and freighter wide-body orders in 2013


Airbus leads Boeing in widebody sales

1,056 Airbus vs. 1,042 Boeing widebody orders since 2008


446 495

115 99

213

434

280

16 0

100

200

300

400

500

A330 A350 A380 767 787 777 777X 747-8

Net passenger and freighter wide-body orders since 2008 Includes commitments from Dubai Airshow not yet firm orders


It’s about serving a market

• Concentrated high passenger demand • 42 aviation mega cities growing to 89

carrying 75% of long-haul traffic

• Thinner long-haul routes • Develop new routes and grow existing • Secondary markets

• Dense short-haul routes constrained by infrastructure

• Feeder routes

Market

Long Haul trunk

routes

Long Haul developing

routes

Regional routes



Passenger preferences vary

Passenger preferences and expectations move with the market

Market

Long Haul trunk

routes


routes

Regional routes D

eman

ded

leve

l of s

ervi

ce

Complex product offering

Basic product offering

Cabin classes

Comfort

Schedule

Price

Reliability

• Concentrated high passenger demand • 42 aviation mega cities growing to 89

carrying 75% of long-haul traffic

• Thinner long-haul routes • Develop new routes and grow existing • Secondary markets

• Dense short-haul routes constrained by infrastructure

• Feeder routes



Match the right product to the market

Airbus wide-body family matches market demands

Optimised wide-body solution Market

Long Haul trunk

routes


routes

Regional routes D

eman

ded

leve

l of s

ervi

ce



Cabin classes

Comfort

Schedule

Price

Reliability



The Airbus wide-body family offers market matched capacities

Airbus serving the market

Market

Long Haul trunk

routes


routes

Regional routes

~600

~200

S E

A T

C

A P

A C

I T

Y

Dem

ande

d le

vel o

f ser

vice



Cabin classes

Comfort

Schedule

Price

Reliability



Seat width makes a difference: long haul 18” standard



A330 Family – over 1,300 sales

A take-off or landing every 25 seconds, with 99.0% reliability


1,313 firm orders 1,046 deliveries 267 backlog 97 customers 103 operators



Continued market momentum during 2013

88 orders & commitments

from 13 operators

Turkish Airlines

5 x A330-300

Sri Lankan

6 x A330-300 Delta

10 x A330-300

Air China

6 x A330-300

China Eastern 7 x A330-200 1 x A330-300


China Southern

1 x A330-300 Hainan Airlines

1 x A330-200 1 x A330-300

Scandinavian

4 x A330-300 Etihad

1 x A330-200F

Qatar Airways

5 x (+8) A330-200F

Undisclosed

4 x A330-200

Air Asia X

25 x A330-300


Air Algerie

3 x A330-200 (MOU)


840 A330s sold since 787 launch

A330 market continues to grow As end of December 2013


A330 has over 100 operators

Operators by end December 2013. Includes non-commercial operators. 777 & 787 figures reflect publically announced operators with aircraft in-service & on order.

30 41

47 52 55

63 67 73

82 89 91

99 103

777 - 71

787 - 60

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

A330-200A330-300A330

A330 Operator base evolution 2003-2013



The A330 is the regional widebody

Data: OAG January 2014


City pairs <2,000nm

% of frequencies

60%


A330 Regional – optimised for regional operations

Up-to-date cabin tailored for shorter ranges Lighter seats & 9-abreast Y

Lower operational weights MTOW 199t

other weights offered

Cockpit optimized for high cycle operations

ROPS, HUD & RNP

Optimized thrust engine

64~68k

More passengers, lower weight, and lower thrust = Lower unit cost



The A330 serves the long-haul market

Data: OAG January 2014

City pairs >2,000nm


City pairs <2,000nm

% of frequencies

40% 60%


Delta orders 10 A330-300 Deliveries from 2015

242t MTOW with >6,000nm range

293 seat 2-class configuration

A330-300 242t offers additional capability

Order placed 4th September, 2013, which also included 30 A321.



A330 & A350 Families are complementary

Complete fleet solutions - matching network requirements today and tomorrow

A350XWB: Primarily long-haul aircraft replacement

A330: Continued medium-haul & regional operations



A350 XWB – Shaping Efficiency


812 firm orders 39 customers

Flight test is on track: over 800 total cumulated flight hours



JAL orders 31 firm A350 XWB and 25 options


Strong customer commitment to A350 in 2013

As at end December, 2013


Over 240 firm net orders and commitments in 2013


HKG

LAX

Unrivalled A350-1000 efficiency – 25% lower fuel burn

The A350-1000 provides a step change in efficiency

6,500 nm mission, 350 passengers

+ 40T MTOW

777-300ER requires +40t higher MTOW (+20 t. Fuel burnt + 20 t. Structure)



777-9X is heavier than 777-300ER

777-9X OWE is up to 35t heavier than A350-1000

777-9X

777-300ER

-20 t

+15 t*

OWE

A350-1000

Clean sheet design

(*) Airbus estimate (**) Folding Wing Tips

5th derivative

• 4-frame stretch • Frame sculpting • Bigger wing featuring FWT** • Engine upsize • …



Comparable eff iciencies

2.9l/pax/100km “ ”

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

777X is not enough to beat the A350-1000

A350-900 offers unmatched fuel efficiency today, A350-1000 will be one step further

Typical airl ine rules. A350-900 at 315 seats, A350-1000 at 369 seats, 777-9X at 405 seats (10 abreast), 777-8X at 342 seats (10abreast). (*) Airbus estimate

A350-1000

777-8X*

777-9X* A350-900

A350-800

Relative fuel burn per seat

Relative fuel burn per trip



A380: the answer to market growth


304 firm orders 19 customers 10 operators 182 backlog

50 new A380 orders in 2013


122 A380’s delivered to date

10 operators, a fleet that keeps growing


44

19

12

10

8

9

5

3

6

6



A380 connects more than 70% of todays mega-cities

Handling more than 10,000 long haul passengers per day …

At the heart of global air transport OAG Dec 2013

• >50 000 daily long-haul passengers • >20 000 daily long-haul passengers • >10 000 daily long-haul passengers



A380 operator base keeps growing

Qatar, Asiana, Skymark and Etihad to take delivery of their first A380s in 2014

2014-01_Airbus Commercial Update January 2014


The Airbus Family

At end December, 2013

The VLA market leader 122 delivered to 10 operators

Flight test program well underway Strong market momentum & recognition

Demand-driven production at rate 10. Continual improvements to match

market needs

Over 10,000 sales Continued CEO demand




© AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document. This document and all information contained herein is the sole property of AIRBUS S.A.S. No intellectual property rights are granted by the delivery of this document or the disclosure of its content. This document shall not be reproduced or disclosed to a third party without the express written consent of AIRBUS S.A.S. This document and its content shall not be used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied. The statements made herein do not constitute an offer. They are based on the mentioned assumptions and are expressed in good faith. Where the supporting grounds for these statements are not shown, AIRBUS S.A.S. will be pleased to explain the basis thereof. AIRBUS, its logo, A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321, A330, A340, A350, A380, A400M are registered trademarks.

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