2014 World Cup Prediction Jared Ness. World Cup Play Consists of 32 international teams Must pass...
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Transcript of 2014 World Cup Prediction Jared Ness. World Cup Play Consists of 32 international teams Must pass...
2014 World Cup Prediction
Jared Ness
World Cup Play Consists of 32 international teams
Must pass through 5 stages
http://www.fifa.com/worldcup/teams/
Stages Stage 1, groupings A-H of 4 teams.
4 teams play each other to gain points:
3 win, 1 draw, 0 loss
Stage 2-5 are single game elimination
http://www.mlssoccer.com/
MLP learning with BP Will take data from the first stage of World
Cup to predict the final stages outcomes.
For now will test out previous years World Cup stats to check authenticity
http://bioinformatics.oxfordjournals.org/
Inputs 8 features based on team performance
Goals for, Shots, Shots on goal, fouls committed, corner kicks, direct free kicks to goal, indirect free kicks to goal, possession
Each input value in normalized based on team played based on equation:
yiA= xiA/(xiA+xiB) , yiB= xiB/(xiA+xiB)
Therefore y= 0 - 1
Inputs The averages of the first 3 games will be
taken and used to compare for stage 2
This will continue through each stage with each victorious team
http://www.worldcupblog.org/
Training Based on first 3 games will take undefeated
and winless teams data, set it to 1 and 0 respectively
Continue to run until smallest error occurs and then run stage 2 data
After stage 2 take undefeated data and train the program again.
This continues after each stage until there are no more undefeated teams
Results Pending
Will test accuracy on previous World Cups.
http://travel.nationalgeographic.com/