What is 3PG? - European Forest · PDF fileWhat is 3PG? Adaptation of a presentation from Peter...
Transcript of What is 3PG? - European Forest · PDF fileWhat is 3PG? Adaptation of a presentation from Peter...
What is 3PG?
Adaptation of a presentation from Peter Sands
An overview of Landsberg and Waring’s
model of forest productivity
3PG is:
A tree growth model based on Physiological
Principles that Predict Growth
Bridges the gap between mensuration-based
growth and yield models and process-based, C-
balance models
Provides fully dynamic predictions of biomass
pools, stand attributes, stocking and soil water
usage
Maintains an admirable level of simplicity
2
Comparison with empirical models
Advantages
based on a wide range of conditions
applicable under changing conditions,“at the
edges”, to novel situations
provides explanation, aids understanding
Disadvantages
not as widely understood as empirical growth
models
not necessarily as accurate, either
can require data not readily available
A quick summary of 3-PG
Attribute Comments
Model type Dynamic, includes process-based and empirical relationships
Time step Month
Processes NPP, biomass allocation, water usage and soil water balance,
stem mortality, litterfall and root turnover
Inputs Monthly climate data, soil texture and water capacity,
fertility
Outputs Biomass pools, stocking, available soil water, NPP and ET,
avegeare DBH and standard stand attributes, and others
Strengths Fully dynamic, can be adapted for a range of species,
provides management-related outputs
Weaknesses Naïve treatment of soil nutrition, allocation based largely on
size, poor predictor of canopy development and of mortality
Input data for 3-PG is …
…of a quality and quantity that is readily
obtained by the forest manager
mean monthly weather data
very basic physical site and soil factors
simple (naïve?) ranking of site fertility
Input data (continued)
Climate data
monthly mean temperature, radiation, rainfall, VPD
observed or long-term average data
Site and soil descriptors
latitude
soil texture and water capacity
fertility rating
Also need stand initialisation data
foliage, stem and root biomass
stocking
Main Components of 3-PG
Production of biomass – environmental modification of
light use efficiency; constant ratio of NPP to GPP
Biomass allocation – affected by growing conditions and
tree size
Stem mortality – probability of death; self-thinning
Soil water balance – single soil layer model; evapo-
transpiration determined from Penman-Monteith equation
Stand properties – from biomass pools and assumptions
about specific leaf area, branch+bark fraction, and wood
density
9
Conceptual PBM of forest growth
Lightinterception
Assimilation,respiration
Litterfall
Nutrientuptake
Rainfall
Transpiration
Decomposition,mineralisation,OM cycling
Wateruptake
Understoryevaporation
Biomassallocation
Rootturnover
Defoliation,disease
Silviculture
Soilevaporation
Nutrientvolatilisation& leaching
Watertable access
3PG does not
include all these
processes...
Conceptual PBM… (continued)
McMurtrie and Wolf (1983) model is a
common basis for many implementations
of the conceptual model
3-PG follows this model
Wi – biomass, i - proportion allocated
i – turnovers (litterfall, death, root turn.)
l – leaves, s – stem, r - roots
Photosynthesis
LAI
CO2
Light
interception
Net primary
production
Roots
LeavesStem
Litter,turnover, etc
01 QeQ kLint
Q0
GPPYNPPPn
intcg QGPPP
1
rsl
rrnrr
snss
llnll
FfnFF
WPW
WsPW
WPW
WPW
Causal loop diagrams
Powerful tools to communicate and explore system behaviour
They summarize structure, causal influences and feedback loops
ABCA negative feedback (odd number of '-')
ABCDA positive feedback (even number of '-')
A B
C
D+ +
-
+
-
A influences B
causalinfluence
an increase causesan increase
an increase causesa decrease
3-PG as a carbon flow model
3-PG is essentially a McMurtrie
and Wolf (1983) carbon balance
model
radiation is intercepted by the
canopy
converted to assimilates
allocated to foliage, stem and
roots
lost to respiration, litterfall and
root turnover
NPP
Stem
Foliage
Roots
GPP
CO2
C,N
Litter
Assimilation and allocation
Assimilation and allocation are
based on simple, well
established principles and sound
observations
radiation interception via Beers
law
assimilation via light use
efficiency
simple foliage, stem and root
allocation ratios
foliage:stem allocation depends
on tree size
NPP
Stem
Foliage
Roots
GPP
CO2
C,N
Litter
++
+
+
DBH
F/SR
LAILUE
SLA
+
+
_
+
NPP
Stem
Foliage
Roots
GPP
CO2
C,N
Litter
Site and environmental effects
Site and environmental factors
affect growth (and water use)
via simple empirical modifiers
temperature affects only LUE
VPD and soil water affect LUE
and root allocation
site fertility affects root
allocation and maybe LUE
++
+
+
DBH
F/SR
LAILUE
SLA
+
+
_
+
NPP
Stem
Foliage
Roots
GPP
CO2
C,N
Litter
+
__
Stress
VPD
T
FR
f
+
_
+
_
+
++
+
+
DBH
F/SR
LAILUE
SLA
+
+
_
+
NPP
Stem
Foliage
Roots
GPP
CO2
C,N
Litter
Soil water balance
Soil water balance via simple
single layer model with
transpiration determined using a
Penman-Monteith equation
canopy conductance scaled for
canopy LAI
and affected by VPD and soil
water
ET driven by radiation
feedback from soil water status
into growth modifiers
+
__
Stress
VPD
T
FR
f
+
_
+
_
+
++
+
+
DBH
F/SR
LAILUE
SLA
+
+
_
+
NPP
Stem
Foliage
Roots
GPP
CO2
C,N
Litter
Soil water balance
Soil water balance via simple
single layer model with
transpiration determined using a
Penman-Monteith equation
canopy conductance scaled for
canopy LAI
and affected by VPD and soil
water
ET driven by radiation
feedback from soil water status
into growth modifiers
+
__
Stress
VPD
T
FR
f
+
_
+
_
+
++
+
+
DBH
F/SR
LAILUE
SLA
+
+
_
+
NPP
Stem
Foliage
Roots
GPP
CO2
C,N
Litter
+
H20 Rain
gC
Soil H20
ET
+
+
+
_
+
__
Stress
VPD
T
FR
f
+
_
+
_
+
++
+
+
DBH
F/SR
LAILUE
SLA
+
+
_
+
NPP
Stem
Foliage
Roots
GPP
CO2
C,N
Litter
Stocking and mortality
Stocking is an essential component of 3-PG as it affects allocation
through stand-mean DBH
mortality model very simple-minded
probability of death age and (potentially) stress related
density dependent mortality implemented via self-thinning law
This is the final “picture”
State variables
Subsidiary variables
Climate & site Inputs
Losses
Material f low s
Influences
Carbon
Water
Trees
Key to colours & shapes
Subsidiary variables
+
H20 Rain
gC
Soil H20
ET
+
+
+
_
_
+
wSx
Deadtrees
Stocking
+
+
_
wS+
w S>w Sx
_ _
N
+
+
__
Stress
VPD
T
FR
f
+
_
+
_
+
++
+
+
DBH
F/SR
LAILUE
SLA
+
+
_
NPP
Stem
Foliage
Roots
GPP
CO2
C,N
Litter
+
Light interception
Light is absorbed as it passes through canopy
Intercepted radiation varies with LAI via Beer’s
law:
LAI determined by specific leaf area (sla) and
foliage biomass
01 QeQ kLint
slaWLAI F
Light interception
Light is absorbed as it passes through canopy
Intercepted radiation varies with LAI via Beer’s
law:
LAI determined by specific leaf area (sla) and
foliage biomass
01 QeQ kLint
slaWLAI F
0
20
40
60
80
100
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Canopy LAI
Inte
rce
pte
d r
ad
iati
on
(%
)
Production and solar radiation
Observation shows
above-ground and gross production are linearly related
to intercepted radiation
Slope of these relationships is a measure of light
use efficiency (LUE)
daily canopy-level LUE varies seasonally
annual stand-level LUE stable
Production and solar radiation
Observation shows
above-ground and gross production are linearly related
to intercepted radiation
Slope of these relationships is a measure of light
use efficiency (LUE)
daily canopy-level LUE varies seasonally
annual stand-level LUE stable
y = 4 .2 9 0 8 x - 0 .6 2 1 1
R 2 = 0 .9 8 3 9
0
2
4
6
8
1 0
1 2
1 4
1 6
0 1 2 3 4
Inte rc e pte d ra dia tion (GJ m-2
yr-1
)
Ab
ov
e-g
ro
un
d p
ro
du
cti
on
(t
ha
-1 y
r-1
)
As s o r te d s p e c ie s
fo u r s i te s
E s p e ra n c e , T a s .
y = 4 .3 6 7 3 x - 1 .4 3 6 6
R 2 = 0 .9 8 7 3
0
2
4
6
8
1 0
1 2
1 4
1 6
0 1 2 3 4
Inte rc e pte d ra dia tion (GJ m-2
yr-1
)
Ab
ov
e-g
ro
un
d p
ro
du
cti
on
(t
ha
-1 y
r-1
)
E . g lo b u lu s
a g e x n u t rit io n
G ip p s la n d , V ic .
y = 4 .2 9 0 8 x - 0 .6 2 1 1
R 2 = 0 .9 8 3 9
0
2
4
6
8
1 0
1 2
1 4
1 6
0 1 2 3 4
Inte rc e pte d ra dia tion (GJ m-2
yr-1
)
Ab
ov
e-g
ro
un
d p
ro
du
cti
on
(t
ha
-1 y
r-1
)
As s o r te d s p e c ie s
fo u r s i te s
E s p e ra n c e , T a s .
y = 4 .3 6 7 3 x - 1 .4 3 6 6
R 2 = 0 .9 8 7 3
0
2
4
6
8
1 0
1 2
1 4
1 6
0 1 2 3 4
Inte rc e pte d ra dia tion (GJ m-2
yr-1
)
Ab
ov
e-g
ro
un
d p
ro
du
cti
on
(t
ha
-1 y
r-1
)
E . g lo b u lu s
a g e x n u t rit io n
G ip p s la n d , V ic .
Light use efficiency
Light use efficiency (LUE) is a powerful,
simplifying concept
annual stand-level LUE quite stable
species-specific
varies with climatic and site factors through use of
simple modifiers
early use of this concept by Fitzpatrick and Nix (1970)
in GROWEST, and by Monteith (1972)
Light use efficiency
Light use efficiency (LUE) is a powerful,
simplifying concept
annual stand-level LUE quite stable
species-specific
varies with climatic and site factors through use of
simple modifiers
early use of this concept by Fitzpatrick and Nix (1970)
in GROWEST, and by Monteith (1972)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0 1 2 3 4
Intercepted radiation (GJ yr-1)
Ab
ove-g
rou
nd
NP
P (
t h
a-1
yr-1
)
Esp 2, 3 species
WA, E. glo, 3 spacings
Vic, E.glo, 4 fertilities
= 0.43 g MJ-1
= 0.68 g MJ-1
= 0.55 g MJ-1
Gross primary production
Use of LUE is a key simplification in 3-PG
also known as “canopy quantum efficiency” denoted by
c
GPP proportional to intercepted radiation:
c depends on site and climatic conditions
0(1 ) kL
g CP e Q
min{ , }C T F N D age C xf f f f f f
Gross primary production
Use of LUE is a key simplification in 3-PG
also known as “canopy quantum efficiency” denoted by
c
GPP proportional to intercepted radiation:
c depends on site and climatic conditions
0(1 ) kL
g CP e Q
min{ , }C T F N D age C xf f f f f f
Gross primaryproduction
LAI
CO2
Interceptedlight
Photosynthesis
Light interception
T, VPD,
H2O, N
Net primaryproduction
Respiration
Net primary production
3-PG assumes constant fraction Y (=0.47) of GPP
is lost as construction and maintenance
respiration
Net primary production is then
Y probably varies seasonally with temperature
this would be an issue for a daily version of 3-PG
01 QeYPYP kLcgn
3-PG growth modifiers
Each environmental factor is represented by a growth
modifier, i.e. a function of the factor which varies
between 0 (total limitation) and 1 (no limitation)
Factor Modifier Parameters
Vapor pressure deficit fD(D) kD
Soil water f() max , c , n
Temperature fT(Tav) Tmin , Topt , Tmax
Frost fF(df) kF
Site nutrition fN(FR) fN0
Stand age fage(t) nage , rage
Effects on production
All modifiers affect canopy production:
Where C is maximum canopy quantum efficiency
In 3-PG the combination of modifiers called
“PhysMod “
also affects canopy conductance
min{ , }C T F N D age Cxf f f f f f
min{ , }D agef f f
Temperature growth modifier
where
Ta = mean monthly daily temperatire
Tmin = minimum temp. for growth
Topt = optimum temp. for growth
Tmax = maximum temp. for growth
( ) ( )
( )
max opt opt minT T T T
a min max aT a
opt min max opt
T T T Tf T
T T T T
Temperature growth modifier
where
Ta = mean monthly daily temperatire
Tmin = minimum temp. for growth
Topt = optimum temp. for growth
Tmax = maximum temp. for growth
( ) ( )
( )
max opt opt minT T T T
a min max aT a
opt min max opt
T T T Tf T
T T T T
Tmin = 7.5,
Topt = 15,
Tmax = 35
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
5 10 15 20 25 30
Mean temperature
Tem
per
atu
re m
od
ifie
r (f
T)
Frost growth modifier
where
dF = number of frosty days in month
kF = number of days of production lost for each day of
frost
( ) 1 ( /30)F F F Ff d k d
Frost growth modifier
where
dF = number of frosty days in month
kF = number of days of production lost for each day of
frost
( ) 1 ( /30)F F F Ff d k d
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Days of frost in month
Fro
st
mo
dif
ier
(fF)
kF = 1
Soil-water growth modifier
where
= current available soil water
x = maximum available soil water
c = relative water deficit for 50% reduction.
n = power determining shape of soil water response
1( )
1 (1 / ) /n
x
fc
Soil-water growth modifier
where
= current available soil water
x = maximum available soil water
c = relative water deficit for 50% reduction.
n = power determining shape of soil water response
1( )
1 (1 / ) /n
x
fc
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Relative available soil water
So
il w
ate
r g
row
th m
od
ifie
r (f
SW
)
Sand
Sandy-loam
Clay-loam
Clay
VPD growth modifier
where
D = current VPD
kD = strength of VPD response
( ) Dk D
Df D e
kD = 0.05
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
0 2 4 6 8 10
Vapor pressure deficit (mBar)
VP
D g
row
th m
od
ifie
r (f
VP
D)
Age-related growth modifier
where
t = current stand age
tx = likely max. stand age
rage = relative stand age for 50% growth reduction
nage = power determining strength of growth reduction
1( )
1 ( / ) ageage n
age x
f tt r t
Age-related growth modifier
where
t = current stand age
tx = likely max. stand age
rage = relative stand age for 50% growth reduction
nage = power determining strength of growth reduction
1( )
1 ( / ) ageage n
age x
f tt r t
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Relative stand age
Ag
e-r
ela
ted
mo
dif
ier
nage = 4,
rage = 0.95
Biomass Partitioning (1/2)
NPP is partitioned into biomass pools (tDM ha-1)
foliage (Wl)
above-ground woody tissue (Ws)
roots (Wr)
Partitioning rates (l, r, s) depend on site and
growth conditions, and stand DBH
Litter-fall (l), root-turnover (r) and wood
mortality (s) also taken into account
Allocation in 3-PG
A simple-minded approach reproduces well-
established responses to site conditions
root allocation determined by fertility and ASW
poor conditions favour below-ground growth
foliage:stem allocation determined by tree size
large trees have more allocation to stem wood
Dynamic changes in allocation typically observed
in thinning or pruning responses are not
reproduced because allocation depends on tree
size
Allocation in 3-PG
A simple-minded approach reproduces well-
established responses to site conditions
root allocation determined by fertility and ASW
poor conditions favour below-ground growth
foliage:stem allocation determined by tree size
large trees have more allocation to stem wood
Dynamic changes in allocation typically observed
in thinning or pruning responses are not
reproduced because allocation depends on tree
size
Net primaryproduction
H2O, FR
DBH
F/S
StemFoliageRoots
Stocking
Root allocation
Root allocation is affected by growth conditions
through and by soil fertility through m
where
m = m0 + (1-m0)FR
Rx = root allocation under poor conditions
Rn = root allocation under optimal conditions
( )
Rx RnR
Rn Rx Rn m
Root allocation
Root allocation is affected by growth conditions
through and by soil fertility through m
where
m = m0 + (1-m0)FR
Rx = root allocation under poor conditions
Rn = root allocation under optimal conditions
( )
Rx RnR
Rn Rx Rn m
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Growth conditions
Ro
ot
part
itio
nin
gRx = 0.8
Rn = 0.23
Foliage and stem allocation
Above-ground allocation is based on foliage:stem
partitioning ratio
B is diameter at breast height determined from an
allometric relationship between stem mass and B
ap, bp are coefficients determined from pFS at B = 2
and 20 cm
Then
/ pn
FS F S pp a B
1 ,
1
RS F FS S
FS
pp
Tree-size and allocation
Increasing DBH decreases foliage allocation and
increases stem allocation. Graphs show response
when pFS(2) = 1, pFS(20) = 0.2, hR = 0.4
0 .0
0 .1
0 .2
0 .3
0 .4
0 .5
0 .6
0 10 20 30
S tem d iam eter
Ab
ov
e-g
rou
nd
pa
rtit
ion
ing
S tem
F o liage
0 .0
0 .2
0 .4
0 .6
0 .8
1 .0
1 .2
0 10 20 30
S tem d iam eter
Ra
tio
of
foli
ag
e:s
ho
ot
pa
rtit
ion
ing
Litter-fall and root-turnover
Litter-fall is an age-dependent fraction of
foliage biomass
F0 = litter-fall rate at age 0
Fx = maximum litter-fall rate (may be stress-related)
tF = age when F=½(F0+ Fx)
Root-turnover is a constant fraction of root
biomass (R=0.015 month-1)
0
0 0 0
1( ) , ln 1
( )
Fx F FxF kt
F Fx F F F
t ke t
Litter-fall and root-turnover
Litter-fall is an age-dependent fraction of
foliage biomass
F0 = litter-fall rate at age 0
Fx = maximum litter-fall rate (may be stress-related)
tF = age when F=½(F0+ Fx)
Root-turnover is a constant fraction of root
biomass (R=0.015 month-1)
0
0 0 0
1( ) , ln 1
( )
Fx F FxF kt
F Fx F F F
t ke t
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0 1 2 3 4
Stand age (years)
Lit
ter-
fall
rate
/mo
nth
F0 = 0.002
Fx = 0.027
t F = 12
Summary: the basic C balance equations
These are equations for
the 3-PG carbon balance
submodel
includes light
interception, assimilation,
biomass allocation and
mortality
C and R determined
from site conditions
, F, S, R and N possibly
age-dependent and/or
stress-related
(1 )
(1 ) (1 )
(1 ) (1 )
F
s
FS
k W
N C
F F N F F
R R N R R
S S N
N
S R FS
F FS R FS
n
s S s
n
FS FS
P e YQ
W P W
W P W
W P
N N
p
p p
w W N a B
p a B
Water balance (1/3)
Soil water balance model has a single soil-layer
Simple balance between rainfall (R), irrigation
(I) and evapotranspiration (ET)
No understory or bare soil
Excess over maximum storage lost as runoff or
drainage
Canopy interception a % of rainfall and depends
on LAI up to a maximum
max ,x TW W W R I E
Water balance (1/3)
Soil water balance model has a single soil-layer
Simple balance between rainfall (R), irrigation
(I) and evapotranspiration (ET)
No understory or bare soil
Excess over maximum storage lost as runoff or
drainage
Canopy interception a % of rainfall and depends
on LAI up to a maximum
max ,x TW W W R I ERainfall
Transpiration
Understoryevaporation
Soilevaporation
Watertable access
Water balance (2/3)
Evapotranspiration determined from a Penman-
Monteith equation and canopy conductance
driven by incident solar radiation
driven by LAI through canopy conductance
conductance affected by site and environmental
factors through growth modifiers
Water balance (2/3)
Evapotranspiration determined from a Penman-
Monteith equation and canopy conductance
driven by incident solar radiation
driven by LAI through canopy conductance
conductance affected by site and environmental
factors through growth modifiers
RelativeASW
Rain
VPD
ActualET
+
_+
+
_Conduct-ance
PhysMod
_
+
+
Water balance (3/3)
Boundary layer conductance is constant (0.2 m s-1)
Canopy conductance affected by VPD, soil water
and stand age through , and increases with
canopy LAI
Where
= min{fVPD, fSW} fage
gCx= maximum canopy conductance
LgC= LAI at maximum conductance
gC = gCx min{L/LgC , 1}
Water balance (3/3)
Boundary layer conductance is constant (0.2 m s-1)
Canopy conductance affected by VPD, soil water
and stand age through , and increases with
canopy LAI
Where
= min{fVPD, fSW} fage
gCx= maximum canopy conductance
LgC= LAI at maximum conductance
gC = gCx min{L/LgC , 1}C
an
op
y c
on
du
cta
nce (
m s
-1)
Canopy leaf area index (L)
gCx
LgC
Stem mortality in 3-PG
3-PG includes density independent mortality
through probability of death
potentially age and stress related
Stem mortality in 3-PG is based on the self-
thinning law
driven by stocking via single-tree stem mass
Stem mortality in 3-PG
3-PG includes density independent mortality
through probability of death
potentially age and stress related
Stem mortality in 3-PG is based on the self-
thinning law
driven by stocking via single-tree stem mass
Mortality
Live stems
Stocking
Dead stems
max stem
massmean stem
mass
Growth
+
+ _+
_ _
_
+
Modelling mortality
Two types of mortality:
density independent
density dependent or self thinning
Density-independent mortality
due to random or stress-related effects
modelled by probability of death N so that
N = - NN
N increased in times of stress, e.g. in response to low
long-term average f
60
Self thinning mortality
Self thinning-line gives maximum single-tree
stem mass (kg/tree) at current stocking
wSx(N) = wSx0(1000/N)3/2
where wSx0 is max. stem mass at 1000 trees ha-1
When wS > wSx(N), stocking is reduced. Thus
at 1: no mortality
Self thinning mortality
Self thinning-line gives maximum single-tree
stem mass (kg/tree) at current stocking
wSx(N) = wSx0(1000/N)3/2
where wSx0 is max. stem mass at 1000 trees ha-1
When wS > wSx(N), stocking is reduced. Thus
at 1: no mortality
Avera
ge s
tem
mass (
kg
tre
e-1
)
Stocking (trees ha-1
)
1
2 2'wSx(N')
wSx(N)
N' N
self-thinningline
no mortality
mortality reducespopulation to self-thinning line
Calculation of stem volume
Stem volume calculated either from
allometric relationship with stand DBH,
or from wood density using
V = (1 - pBB)WS/r
where pBB is fraction of stem biomass in branch and
bark and r is stem density
Note that pBB and r can vary widely across a site
and calculation of stem volume from WS can be
error prone
63
Final comments
Some areas are not covered in detail, e.g.
details of Penman-Monteith equation
rainfall interception by canopy
an attempt to account for partial canopies (which does
not work well)
However, the above gives a good
coverage of the basics of 3-PG