600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

1,100,000

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

North DakotaRange of Population Growth

2010 - 2040

Expected High Low

Low, Expected and High Migration Scenarios

Minot Area 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

Low Scenario 89,967 103,736 111,041 118,213 123,724 128,043 131,418

High Scenario 89,967 103,736 118,550 131,434 141,361 148,967 154,959

Expected Scenario 89,967 103,736 114,796 124,823 132,542 138,505 143,189

Where We Are Going?

• Bishop Ryan Catholic School will be a preK-12 system consolidated on one campus with graduating classes between 55 and 75 students, providing on-campus educational offerings in the tradition of the classical liberal arts imbued with content from the Catholic Intellectual Tradition. As a Catholic school we will offer a virtue-based educational experience that revolves around intellectual, human, and religious formation so that students are prepared not merely for college and careers, but for a life well-lived no matter what one’s vocation or occupation.

How Do We Get There From Here?

Better Educational Product

Stronger Enrollment

Increased Financial Health

Continuous Institutional

Improvement

Maximal Mission

Effectiveness

Short Term:

Long Term:

Enrollment Trends Under New Leadership

Strategic Plan Including Master

Campus Plan

Capital Campaign &

School Renovation

50 Years of Enriched

Catholic Families of Bishop Ryan

2017-2022 2021-2023 2023-2025 2025-2075

Step 1 in the Short Term: Improving Our Educational Product

• What is needed ensure that the necessary inputs are able to achieve a better educational product?

• Cash, Leadership, Motivation

• Goal: Cash infusion over the next 4-6 years for the purpose of attracting and retaining the right personnel for our school, improving the mission appropriateness of our programming, updating curricula.

Better Educational

Product

Programming

People

Policy

How Can We Afford To Maintain And Continue Educational Gains After The 4-6 Years Are Over?

• A greater value proposition to parents is expected to increase enrollment. The tuition that comes from increased enrollment needs to pay for the annual cash influx earmarked for additional educational expenditures.

• The educational decisions need to be matched by proportionate enrollment increases to remain sustainable within the overall budget projections.

Enrollment: Trends and Numbers

374 372 354 323 324 301 308 285 258 240 230 221 216 196 182 187

642 618573

518 497483 459

440394

374 375 419 424 415 417 426

Entire System vs. Bishop Ryan (Grades 6-12)

Bishop Ryan Entire System

Enrollment By Grade

0

50

100

150

200

250

Elementary/Middle/High School Levels

K-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th

Preschool to Kindergarten Retention

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Area Chart Showing Connection Between Preschool, Kindergarten Readiness, and Kindergarten Levels

PS KR K

Where Are We Going To Fit Additional Students?

• I currently estimate that we can add around 275 children in the middle and high school grades without increasing fixed costs. The most sustainable growth, however, must come from the elementary school. We have recently split sections of elementary grades. In order to accommodate the two sections of elementary grades K-5, I propose adding four modular classrooms in the current administration parking lot.

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What Will Modular Classrooms Accomplish?

• They provide the required room for us to grow naturally in the elementary school, which is necessary for long-term sustainable enrollment at the desired graduated levels of 55-75 students.

• They provide an impermanent structure that can go away once we are done with them, and the long-term facilities master plan is accomplished.

• Above all they provide us the space that we need in the short term to formulate a realistic long-term master facilities plan without disrupting the current educational quality and program of the school.

Cost of Modular Classrooms?

• The estimated cost for the modular classrooms over the period of 8-10 years is $195,000.• Initial purchase price: $70,000 and $90,000• Transportation and setting: $7,500• Construction to make classroom-ready: $35,000• Annual operating expenses: $6,250

The Future of the Structure

• The long term requires the school to be brought up to code, which means solving the lack of fire suppression/warning issues among other things. Although the school can make it another 60 years with continuous maintenance and system upgrades, it would not be advised to do this a great deal longer since the school is already maxed out for space and will now require ever more expensive fixes due to greater wear and tear. Presently, much energy is being lost due to antiquated windows whose seals were broken decades ago. The roof leaks. There is not fire suppression system in most of the building. The margin of diminishing returns is starting to rear its ugly head. Therefore, it is recommended at this time that long term planning measures be taken in order to provide the proper amount of flexibility and allowance for growth for now and the future. – Michael Oakleaf, AIA, NCARB

Initial Assessment of the Structure

Preparing for another 50 years.

• We have a 60 year-old building that was never designed to be a preK-12 system under one roof. • Functional Obsolescence vs. Physical Obsolescence

• Space must meet educational needs in order to be effective learning environment

• Law of diminishing returns – more expensive to fix as time goes on.

• Tower Expansion or Demolition and Renovation

• Summary….

• Questions?