United International Transportation Company Septemper 2013 · 2013-09-09 · Company Septemper 2013...

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1 © All rights reserved Please read Disclaimer on the back United International Transportation Company Septemper 2013 United International Transportation Company (4260.SE) Saudi car rental industry: Saudi Arabia dominates the Middle East car rental industry with a market share of 50%, followed by the UAE and Egypt. Relatively, other countries in the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia have car rental markets just about 10–15% of the Kingdom’s market in size. Tourism driving growth: Despite high car ownership in Saudi Arabia, the car rental industry is driven by leisure tourism, including religious (Hajj and Umrah) and business tourism. Saudi Arabia’s tourism sector has witnessed strong growth in the last three years. After a 15.5% YoY decline in tourism spending (including transportation) in 2009 due to the economic downturn and concerns over H1N1 pandemic, there has been a firm recovery—spending increased 15.3% over 2009–12. United International Transportation Company LTD: United International Transportation Company Ltd (Budget) offers vehicle leasing and rental services under the name Budget Rent a Car in Saudi Arabia. The company’s services include domestic and international short-term rentals, long-term rentals, chauffeur service, limousine service, cross-border rentals, corporate program, pre-owned car sales, frequent renters loyalty program, and corporate leasing. Budget is one of the largest leasing and car rental players in the GCC region and is majority owned by the Zahid Group. Aggressive expansion plans to drive growth: Budget has launched an aggressive growth plan, which involves expanding operations into South Asia. South Asia is witnessing strong growth in the automobile and automobile leasing sectors. Expanding Fleet Size and higher rental yield to support growth: The Company’s fleet size currently stands at 21,602 units, as compared to 16,542 units in 2009, whereas the number of branches stood at 82 in 2012 as compared to 83 in 2009, as a result the car per branch ratio improved from 199 units to 263 units in 2012. Long-term leasing to drive top-line growth: The Company offers a diverse range of services including long term leasing. Going forward the company is expected to show a noticeable improvement due to long term lease revenues for religious tourism, construction activity and industrial projects. Valuation: Budget is the largest car rental operator in the Kingdom, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia (Soucre:Company). We expect Budget’s growth to be boosted by its strong network and service centers as well as robust brand recognition. Therefore, we initiate our coverage on Budget with a “Overweight” stance based on our 12-month target price of SAR 80.7/share. Recommendation ‘Overweight’ 12-month price target; SAR 80.7 Current Price: SAR62.50 Upside / (downside): 29.1% Reuters code: 4260.SE Bloomberg code: BUDGET:AB Country: Saudi Arabia Sector: Transport Primary Listing: Tadawul M-Cap: SAR 1,921mn 52 Weeks H/L (SAR): 72.25/38.60 Company Snapshot (in SAR,000) 2011 2012 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e Revenues (Sales) 508.21 582.21 660.13 727.58 797.69 881.63 986.03 % Growth in Revenues 13% 15% 13% 10% 10% 11% 12% Net Income 100.73 125.78 152.44 178.69 204.59 241.94 301.78 % Growth in Net Income 6% 25% 21% 17% 14% 18% 25% EPS 5.50 5.15 5.00 5.86 6.71 7.93 9.89 EBIT Margins 22% 24% 25% 26% 27% 29% 32% Net Margins 20% 22% 23% 25% 26% 27% 31% ROE 19% 21% 22% 22% 22% 22% 23% ROA 10% 11% 12% 14% 15% 17% 20% PE (x) 5.49 8.23 13.29 11.33 9.90 8.37 6.71 PB (x) 1.07 1.74 2.92 2.50 2.15 1.84 1.56 Source: Company reports, Aljazira Key information Key financial data Sept 11 Oct 11 Nov 12 Dec 12 July 12 14 19 24 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 74 6200 6700 7200 7700 8200 8700 TASI Budget MAy 12 Sept 12 Oct 12 Sept 13 Oct 13 Dec13 MAy 13 July 13 Price Chart Initiation | KSA | Transport Sector Analyst Jassim Al-Jubran +966 2 6618602 Senior Analyst Talha Nazar +966 2 6618603

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United International Transportation Company Septemper 2013

United International Transportation Company (4260.SE)

• Saudi car rental industry: Saudi Arabia dominates the Middle East car rental industry with a market share of 50%, followed by the UAE and Egypt. Relatively, other countries in the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia have car rental markets just about 10–15% of the Kingdom’s market in size.

• Tourism driving growth: Despite high car ownership in Saudi Arabia, the car rental industry is driven by leisure tourism, including religious (Hajj and Umrah) and business tourism. Saudi Arabia’s tourism sector has witnessed strong growth in the last three years. After a 15.5% YoY decline in tourism spending (including transportation) in 2009 due to the economic downturn and concerns over H1N1 pandemic, there has been a firm recovery—spending increased 15.3% over 2009–12.

• United International Transportation Company LTD: United International Transportation Company Ltd (Budget) offers vehicle leasing and rental services under the name Budget Rent a Car in Saudi Arabia. The company’s services include domestic and international short-term rentals, long-term rentals, chauffeur service, limousine service, cross-border rentals, corporate program, pre-owned car sales, frequent renters loyalty program, and corporate leasing. Budget is one of the largest leasing and car rental players in the GCC region and is majority owned by the Zahid Group.

• Aggressive expansion plans to drive growth: Budget has launched an aggressive growth plan, which involves expanding operations into South Asia. South Asia is witnessing strong growth in the automobile and automobile leasing sectors.

• Expanding Fleet Size and higher rental yield to support growth: The Company’s fleet size currently stands at 21,602 units, as compared to 16,542 units in 2009, whereas the number of branches stood at 82 in 2012 as compared to 83 in 2009, as a result the car per branch ratio improved from 199 units to 263 units in 2012.

• Long-term leasing to drive top-line growth: The Company offers a diverse range of services including long term leasing. Going forward the company is expected to show a noticeable improvement due to long term lease revenues for religious tourism, construction activity and industrial projects.

• Valuation: Budget is the largest car rental operator in the Kingdom, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia (Soucre:Company). We expect Budget’s growth to be boosted by its strong network and service centers as well as robust brand recognition. Therefore, we initiate our coverage on Budget with a “Overweight” stance based on our 12-month target price of SAR 80.7/share.

Recommendation ‘Overweight’

12-month price target; SAR 80.7

Current Price: SAR62.50

Upside / (downside): 29.1%

Reuters code: 4260.SEBloomberg code: BUDGET:ABCountry: Saudi ArabiaSector: TransportPrimary Listing: TadawulM-Cap: SAR 1,921mn52 Weeks H/L (SAR): 72.25/38.60

Company Snapshot (in SAR,000) 2011 2012 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017eRevenues (Sales) 508.21 582.21 660.13 727.58 797.69 881.63 986.03 % Growth in Revenues 13% 15% 13% 10% 10% 11% 12%Net Income 100.73 125.78 152.44 178.69 204.59 241.94 301.78 % Growth in Net Income 6% 25% 21% 17% 14% 18% 25%EPS 5.50 5.15 5.00 5.86 6.71 7.93 9.89 EBIT Margins 22% 24% 25% 26% 27% 29% 32%Net Margins 20% 22% 23% 25% 26% 27% 31%ROE 19% 21% 22% 22% 22% 22% 23%ROA 10% 11% 12% 14% 15% 17% 20%PE (x) 5.49 8.23 13.29 11.33 9.90 8.37 6.71 PB (x) 1.07 1.74 2.92 2.50 2.15 1.84 1.56

Source: Company reports, Aljazira

Key information

Key financial data

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Initiation | KSA | Transport Sector

Analyst

Jassim Al-Jubran +966 2 6618602

Senior Analyst

Talha Nazar +966 2 6618603

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Valuation

Discounted Cash Flow

We have used the Discounted Cash Flow valuation to attain company’s 12 month value.

Following are the key basic steps & assumptions we have assumed to value BUDGET.

5-year forecasted cash flow

Terminal value calculation based on Gordon Growth model

h 5-year forecasted cash flow

h Terminal value calculation based on Gordon Growth model

• Expected Terminal growth of 2% h Using Capital Asset Pricing Model to calculate cost of equity. The calculation is based on the following variables

• Risk free rate of 2.7% based on 10 years US bond Yield of 2.0% + country risk premium of Saudi Arabia of 0.7%• Equity Risk Premium of 10.1%• Beta of 0.699

h We are using weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) for discounting the future FCF of the company, where the calculation of WACC is based on the following variables

• Cost of equity based on CAPM• Cost of Debt at 5%• Contribution from equity and debt in Budget Capital structure is taken at 80.5% & 19.5%, respectively

Using the above assumption, we arrived at DCF based value of SAR 80.7/share for the company.

Price Target

h Based on the above assumption our price target for the company is SAR 80.7, we initiate our coverage on Budget with “Overweight” stance.

DCF Valuation 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

FCFF (32.4) 116.8 129.0 193.8 262.3 Terminal value 3,463.5 PV of FCFE (31.4) 104.1 105.7 146.0 181.6 Present Value of Terminal 2,398.4 Sum of Present Value 506.1 Enterprise Value 2,904.5 Less: Debt (461.9)Add: Cash 17.9 Equity Value pre minority interest 2,460.5 Less: Minorities (0.4)Equity Value post minority interest 2,460.0 Number of Shares 30.5 Value/Share 80.7

Terminal Growth rate

WAC

C

1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5%6.8% 77.8 82.8 88.3 94.7 102.0 110.57.8% 74.3 79.1 84.4 90.5 97.5 105.68.8% 71.0 75.5 80.7 86.5 93.2 101.09.8% 67.8 72.1 77.1 82.7 89.2 96.7

10.8% 64.7 68.9 73.7 79.1 85.3 92.5

DCF based valuation methodology

Sensitivity of DCF value to key assumptions

Initiation | KSA | Transport SectorInitiation | KSA | Transport Sector

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Industry Overview:

Saudi car rental industry Saudi Arabia dominates the Middle East car rental industry with a market share of 50%, followed by the UAE and Egypt1. Relatively, other countries in the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia have car rental markets just about 10–15% of the Kingdom’s market in size. According to the Car Rentals Commission at the Jeddah Chamber of Commerce and Industry, car rental revenues in Saudi Arabia increased to ~SAR 2bn in 2012 from SAR 1.7bn2 in 2010.

Tourism, the key driver

Despite high car ownership in Saudi Arabia, the car rental industry is driven by leisure tourism, including religious (Hajj and Umrah) and business tourism and the lack of proper public transportation solutions. Car rental usually forms a very small portion of tourism expenditure. While the transport sector accounted for just 30.9% of the KSA’s tourism sector revenues of SAR 100.6bn in 2010, car rental companies accounted for only 5.4% of the transport sector’s revenues3 . Saudi Arabia’s tourism sector has witnessed strong growth in the last three years. After a 15.5% YoY decline in tourism spending (including transportation) in 2009 due to the economic downturn and concerns over H1N1 pandemic, there has been a firm recovery—spending increased 15.3% over 2009–12. The World Travel and Tourism Council (WTCC) forecasts an 8.2% CAGR increase in Saudi’s tourism spending between 2012–20E.

While leisure and business tourism are expected to witness a healthy growth, leisure tourism spending is expected to remain dominant in the Kingdom’s total travel and tourism expenditure. Business car rentals are expected to be driven by an improvement in business activity and higher government spending, while leisure car rentals would be led by rising religious tourism and domestic residents who rent cars for traveling to neighboring countries. Car rentals for religious travel are likely to be led by an increased influx of religious tourists for Hajj and Umrah.

Figure 1: KSA’s travel and tourism spending to rise

Source: WTCC, AlJazira Capital

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1.Global Travel Market Research firm PhoCusWright2. Saudi Commission for Tourism & Antiquities3. Saudi Commission for Tourism & Antiquities

Initiation | KSA | Transport Sector

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Religious car rentals reflect seasonal growthDemand for car rentals for religious purposes tends to be seasonal, with Ramadan, the two Eids, and the summer holidays being the peak seasons. Demand for rental cars surges among Saudi and expatriate residents alike; according to market sources, car rental agencies witness 100% bookings. During peak seasons, car rental rates and prices go up 30–40%4 . Demand for car rentals is lower but not significantly lower during off-season. As the number of pilgrims for Hajj and Umrah is expected to rise to 13.7mn by 2019E from 7.7mn currently5 , demand for religious car rentals is also likely to rise.

Business rentals to be driven by rising demand for leasingStrong economic growth and increased business activities in the Kingdom are expected to result in international corporations and local businesses opening new offices, thereby boosting inbound travel. This is likely to drive demand for car rentals by corporations. Furthermore, the development of the concept of vehicle leasing in the domestic market is also expected to push rental agencies sales. Leasing involves car renting agencies renting their cars for periods that may extend from one year to four years for industrial and commercial use. The emergence of leasing in the Saudi market resulted in companies selling their fleet of cars or trucks and replacing them with rented vehicles. Thus, growth in business rental sales is expected to be led by economic expansion and higher leasing activities.

Competitive landscapeThe car rental industry is highly fragmented, with unorganized operators dominating the market. In 2009, the number of rent-a-car establishments increased to 513 from 444 in 20046.

ChallengesSaudi Arabia’s car rental services industry faces various challenges such as lack of parking space, lack of specialized labor, payment defaults and damage to vehicles, rise in cost of vehicles, and rising number of illegal car rental agencies.

• Car rental agencies’ lack of adequate parking space results in cars being parked on the roadsides, thereby causing traffic jams.• Difficulty of access to specialized labor for the maintenance of cars is a major challenge for car rental agencies.• Increases in the costs of imported cars, insurance costs, and prices of spare parts as well as other rising business costs impact the

profitability of car rental agencies.• The rising number of illegal car rental agencies raises competition in the already intensely competitive industry and limits price

increase.• Payment defaults by clients or not returning rental vehicles impact the revenues of car rental agencies.

4. According to Said Al-Bassami, Chairman of the Car Rentals Commission at the Jeddah Chamber of Commerce and Industry5. PhoCusWright6. Tourism Information and Research Center 2010

In order to address these challenges, the Car Rentals Commission has proposed the formation of an association of car rental companies across Saudi Arabia. Moreover, the KSA’s Deputy Minister of Labor has assured that visas for foreign workers, including drivers, mechanics, cleaners, and electricians, would be issued to car rental firms to meet their requirement for specialized labor. Furthermore, the government is taking active steps to close down illegal car rental agencies—37 agencies were closed down by the East Dammam municipality, thereby easing traffic congestion.

Thus, car rental companies in Saudi Arabia are expected to witness strong growth, boosted by growth in the KSA’s travel market, increased tourist arrivals, and healthy growth in the Kingdom’s economy.

Initiation | KSA | Transport Sector

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United International Transportation Company LtdCompany overview

United International Transportation Company Ltd (Budget) offers vehicle leasing and rental services under the name Budget Rent a Car in Saudi Arabia. The company’s services include domestic and international short-term rentals, long-term rentals, chauffeur service, limousine service, cross-border rentals, corporate program, pre-owned car sales, frequent renters loyalty program, and corporate leasing. Budget is one of the largest leasing and car rental players in the GCC region and is majority owned by the Zahid Group. The company operates through a network of more than 82 rental offices, and has a fleet of more than 21,000 vehicles as well as 14 workshops, eight airport rental offices, and 35 mobile workshops. Budget’s subsidiaries include Unitrans InfoTech Services, TranzLease Holdings India, and AlJozoor Alrasekha Transportation Company.

Strong domestic presence

Budget is the largest car rental operator in the Kingdom, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia7 . Given the company’s strong network of more than 82 rental offices, a fleet of more than 21,000 vehicles, 14 workshops, eight airport rental offices, and 35 mobile workshops, it benefits from a strong domestic presence. We expect Budget’s growth to be boosted by its strong network and service centers as well as robust brand recognition.

Aggressive expansion plans to drive growth

Budget has launched an aggressive growth plan, which involves expanding operations into South Asia. South Asia is witnessing strong growth in the automobile and automobile leasing sectors. Automobile leasing has been gaining prominence as the preferred method of vehicle procurement in South Asian nations, especially in the corporate sector. In 2012, Budget expanded its presence in India’s car renting and leasing industry by acquiring a minority stake in a car rental company in the country.

In May 2013, Budget acquired a 32.5% stake in TranzLease Holdings India Pvt. Ltd, an India-based auto leasing company, via capital infusion. According to Budget, India’s auto lease sector has been increasing at a CAGR of 65% over the last 10 years, led by strong growth in the corporate segment and rise in per capita incomes. Consequently, we believe the company’s revenues would be driven by its dominance in the domestic car rental and leasing market and its focus on geographical expansions to countries with high-growth potential. We expect Budget’s revenues to expand at a CAGR of 9.5%, led by 9.6% growth in rental income and 12.2% rise in leasing income over 2012–17E.

7. Zahid Group website

United International Transportation Company Ltd

Aljozoor Alrasekha Transportation Company Unitrans InfoTech Services TranzLease Holdings India

97.90% 65.00% 32.75%

Saudi Arabia India India

Initiation | KSA | Transport Sector

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Figure 2: Revenue from Operations

Source: Company, AlJazira Capital

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Expanding Fleet Size, and higher rental yield to support growth

The company’s fleet size currently stands at 21,602 units, as compared to 16,542 units in 2009, whereas the number of branches stood at 82 in 2012 as compared to 83 in 2009, as a result the car per branch improved from 199 units to 263 units in 2012. Going forwards we expect the fleet size to increase of 28,611units, depicting a CAGR of 5.8%.

The company’s per unit rental yield on rental improved from SAR 76/day in 2009 to 83.5/day in 2012, where per day rental yield improved from 61.1/day to 65.8/day. We expect the per unit rental yield to improve to 107.32/day and 84.7/day from rental and lease business respectively.

8608 8914 9522 9799 10297 10604 11077 11682 12303

7884 9288 9829 11803 13106 14056 14684 15486 16308

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Source: Company, AlJazira Capital Source: Company, AlJazira Capital

CAGR - 12.0% CAGR - 11.2%

Initiation | KSA | Transport Sector

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Well-diversified revenues mitigate the impact of seasonalityHistorically, Budget has witnessed higher revenues in 2H due to the high-seasonality trend of Saudi Arabia’s car rental industry (on account of religion tourism). However, the share of car rental revenues in the company’s revenue declined to 51.3% in 2012 from 57.6% in 2009, while the share of revenues from car leasing improved to 48.7% from 42.4% during the same period. We believe with the rising share of revenues from car leasing, Budget is expected to witness stable growth rate during the year. With higher growth in the car leasing segment, we expect the share of revenues from car leasing to stand at 49% in over our forecast period, while share of car rental revenues is likely to decline to 51% over our forecast horizon.

Long-term leasing to drive top-line growth

The Company offers a diverse range of services including long term leasing, ‘Buses and commercial vehicles, trucks and heavy equipment’, short term rental, pre-owned car sales and cross border and corporate leasing services. In 2012, almost 49% of the total revenue is located in the Western region, and 51% in each of the Central and Eastern regions. The long-term leasing services contribute with 49% to revenues, with the remaining 51% being generated mainly from short--term rental services and sales. Going forward we expect the company to show improvement in long term lease revenues due to the following rationale.

h Religious tourism in the Western region.

h Strong construction activity is to support a long term leases to contracting clients.

h Industrial projects in the Eastern Province.

The company other revenue source is it gain on sales of its fleet, the company uses the vehicle for not more than 30 months after which it is sold. We expect the company to show a CAGR of 16.2%.

Figure 5: Operational Revenue Breakup

Source: Company, AlJazira Capital

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Initiation | KSA | Transport Sector

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Strong balance sheet to support expansionsBudget had a strong balance sheet with a comfortable debt-to-equity ratio of 70% in 2012. This is much below the peer average of 190%. Consequently, we believe that the company is well-placed in terms of raising funds for expansions compared with its peers. Moreover, the company’s interest cover of 14.4x in 2012 boosts the confidence in its ability to meet timely payments of interest expenses. We expect the company’s debt-to-equity ratio to remain low at an average of 30% over 2013E–16E, providing sufficient scope for borrowing funds for expansions. Furthermore, we expect Budget to become a zero-debt company by 2017E as we have not forecasted any major acquisitions.

Figure 7: Debt to equity to decline

Source: Company, AlJazira Capital

Figure 8: Leverage lower than peers

Source: Company, AlJazira Capital

Strong profitability to support expansionsBudget’s net income increased at a CAGR of 13.6% over 2009–12, while net margins expanded 90bps to 21.6% in 2012. Furthermore, the company’s return on average equity (RoAE) remained strong between 21–23% during 2009–12. Budget’s RoAE of 22.7% in 2012 was strong as compared to the peer average of 13.4%. We expect the company’s net income to expand at a CAGR of 14.9% over 2012–17E, with 548bps expansion in net margins. Budget’s RoAE is expected to remain strong at an average of 23.9% over 2013E–17E. Thus, Budget’s healthy profitability would provide further support to its aggressive expansion plans.

Figure 9: Profitability remains strong

Source: Company, AlJazira Capital

Figure 10: RoAE higher than peers

Source: Company, AlJazira Capital

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Initiation | KSA | Transport Sector

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Amount in SARmn, unless otherwise specified 2011 2012 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017eRevenue 508 582 660 728 798 882 986 % growth in Revenues 13% 15% 13% 10% 10% 11% 12%Cost of revenue 420 491 558 615 676 742 809 Gross Profit 89 91 102 113 122 140 177 % growth in Gross Profit 11% 3% 11% 11% 8% 15% 27%General and Admin expenses 45 58 60 66 72 80 91 Marketing expenses 7 9 9 10 11 13 14 Total operating expenses 52 67 69 76 84 93 105 Gain on sale of vehicles 75 112 132 153 175 203 237 Operating Profit 111 137 165 189 214 250 309 % growth in Operating Profit 7% 23% 20% 15% 13% 17% 24%Finance charges 9 9 10 7 5 3 - Other income - net 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 Net Income before Zakat and Minority Interests 104 130 157 184 211 250 312 Zakat and Income tax 3 5 5 6 7 8 10 Net Income before Minority Interests 101 126 152 179 205 242 302 Net Income for the year 101 126 152 179 205 242 302 % growth in Net income 6% 25% 21% 17% 14% 18% 25%

Balance Sheet in SAR mn AssetsCash and Cash equivalents 27 17 20 36 29 40 68 Trade receivables, Net 95 73 95 101 116 129 144 Inventories 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 Pre-payments and other current assets 20 21 21 21 21 21 21 Total current assets 146 115 140 164 172 195 238 Investment in associates - 27 27 27 27 27 27 Property and Equipment, Net 850 1,003 1,133 1,124 1,143 1,193 1,236 Total non-current assets 850 1,030 1,160 1,152 1,170 1,220 1,263 Total assets 996 1,146 1,300 1,315 1,342 1,415 1,501

Liabilities and Equity Current portion of long term bank debts 224 251 293 220 143 79 - Accounts payable 123 81 113 123 133 146 155 Accrued expenses and other current liabilities 18 21 21 21 21 21 21 Accrued Zakat and income tax 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 Total current liabilities 369 357 432 368 302 250 181 Long-term bank debts 89 172 150 113 73 40 - Employees end of service benefits 20 23 23 23 23 23 23 Total non-current liabilities 109 195 174 136 97 64 23 Total Liabilities 479 552 605 504 398 314 204

Shareholders’ equityShare capital 183 244 305 305 305 305 305 Statuary reserve 51 64 74 86 99 115 134 Retained earnings 283 286 316 420 540 681 858 Total shareholders' equity 517 593 695 811 944 1,101 1,297 Total equity 517 594 695 811 944 1,101 1,297 Total Liabilities and Equity 996 1,146 1,300 1,315 1,342 1,415 1,501

Cash Flow in SAR mn Net cash provided by operating activities 360 343 420 453 491 549 606 Net cash used in investing activities (332) (403) (377) (257) (306) (354) (353)Net cash (used in) from financing activities (12) 50 (40) (181) (193) (185) (225)Increase in cash and cash equivalents 16 (10) 3 16 (7) 11 29 Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the year 11 27 17 20 36 29 40 Cash and cash equivalents at end of the year 27 17 20 36 29 40 68

Source: Budget Company Report Al Jazira Research.

Key financial data

Initiation | KSA | Transport Sector

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United International Transportation Company Septemper 2013

Ratios 2011 2012 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e

Liquidity Ratio

Current Ratio(x) 0.40 0.32 0.33 0.44 0.57 0.78 1.32

Quick Ratio (x) 0.38 0.31 0.31 0.43 0.55 0.75 1.29

Efficency Ratios

Receivables Days Turnover 73 66 68 66 69 69 69

Payables Days Turnover 75 76 74 73 72 72 70

Asset Turnover 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7

Profitability

ROE 19% 21% 22% 22% 22% 22% 23%

ROA 10% 11% 12% 14% 15% 17% 20%

ROIC 12% 12% 13% 16% 18% 20% 23%

Gross Margins 17% 16% 15% 15% 15% 16% 18%

EBITDA Margins 73% 81% 83% 84% 85% 86% 87%

EBIT Margins 22% 24% 25% 26% 27% 29% 32%

Net Margins 20% 22% 23% 25% 26% 27% 31%

Leverage Ratios

Debt/Equity 61% 71% 64% 41% 23% 11% 0%

Debt/Capital 38% 42% 39% 29% 19% 10% 0%

Debt/Assets 31% 37% 34% 25% 16% 8% 0%

Times Interest Earned 11.92 14.74 16.78 25.67 44.45 94.43 NA*

Valuations

Dividend Yield 8.3% 5.0% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4%

Book Value Per Share (BVPS) 28.3 24.3 22.8 26.6 30.9 36.1 42.5

Market Capitalization(in SAR Bn) 0.9 1.3 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9

Enterprise value (in SAR Bn) 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.8

PE (x) 5.49 8.23 12.51 10.67 9.32 7.88 6.32

PB (x) 1.07 1.74 2.74 2.35 2.02 1.73 1.47

EV/EBITDA (x) 3.24 3.62 4.26 3.61 3.09 2.61 2.14

EPS 5.5 5.2 5.0 5.9 6.7 7.9 9.9

Source: Budget Company Report Al Jazira Research,

Key financial data

Initiation | KSA | Transport Sector

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Disclaimer

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AGM - Head of ResearchAbdullah Alawi+966 2 [email protected]

Senior Analyst Syed Taimure Akhtar +966 2 6618271 [email protected]

Senior Analyst

Talha Nazar +966 2 [email protected]

Analyst

Saleh Al-Quati+966 2 [email protected]

Analyst

Jassim Al-Jubran +966 2 [email protected]

General Manager - Brokerage DivisionAla’a Al-Yousef+966 1 [email protected]

AGM-Head of international

and institutional brokerageLuay Jawad Al-Motawa +966 1 [email protected]

Regional Manager - West and South Regions

Abdullah Al-Misbahi+966 2 [email protected]

Sales And Investment Centers Central Region

Manger

Sultan Ibrahim AL-Mutawa +966 1 [email protected]

Area Manager - Qassim & Eastern Province

Abdullah Al-Rahit+966 6 [email protected]

Asset Management Brokerage Corporate Finance Custody Advisory

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