Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum€¦ · Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 | 6% 34%...
Transcript of Titel der Präsentation Frankfurt am Main, Datum€¦ · Deutsche Börse Group | May 2020 | 6% 34%...
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 |
Investor PresentationAugust 2020
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 |
Our purpose
We at Deutsche Börse create trust
in the markets of today and tomorrow.
1
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 |
6%
34%
10%3%
11%
29%
6%
Clear-
stream
€843mpost-trading
360T
€92mforeign
exchange
Qontigo
€190mindex &
analytics
Xetra
€329mcash equities
Eurex
€1,009mfinancial
derivatives
EEX
€289mcommodities
Diversified, scalable and resilient business
portfolio serves as a basis for growth Geographically diversified
36% Rest of Europe
30% UK
22% Germany
7% Americas
5% Asia-Pacific
Multi-asset class offering
High recurring revenues
52% Transactional
48% Recurring
50% Equity / index
25% Fixed income
9% Commodities
7% Interest income
6% Funds
3% FX
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding.
2
6%
59%
35%
Pre-
trading
€190m
Post-
trading
€1,026m
FY/2019
€2,936m
net revenue
IFS
€184minvestment fund
services
Trading &
clearing
€1,720m
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 |
Key pillars of Deutsche Börse’s growth strategy
TechnologyOrganic growth M&A
Execution discipline
Further increase valuation-multiple
Scale through asset class
consolidation
Exploit secular growth
opportunities
Maintain leading
IT position
Strengthen execution discipline along cost control,
financial steering and general management
Organic growth
M&A
Technology
Execution discipline
3
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 |
Organic growth – secular growth drivers fully intact
despite dynamic environment
Organic growth
M&A
Technology
Execution discipline
Main drivers for secular growth Impact on the business
Central clearing
▪ Demand for liquid EU-based OTC CCP alternative
▪ Pull effects for new products and services (e.g. collateral)
Over the counter (OTC) to on-exchange
▪ Shift from OTC to regulated markets (e.g. futurisation)
▪ Electronification of less penetrated asset classes
Active to passive investments
▪ Continued shift from active to passive investing
▪ Europe still offers significant growth potential
Importance of buy-side
▪ Increasingly self-directed buy-side and corporates
▪ Continued pressure on banking industry in general
Pre-
trading
Trading &
clearing
Post-
trading
4
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 |
Organic growth – broad number of initiatives support
key growth segments
5
Eurex(financial derivatives)
Segment Secular growth drivers Growth initiatives
OTC to on-exchange
Central clearing
Active to passive investments
Product innovation to support futurisation, e.g. total return and dividend futures
Liquid EU-based OTC clearing alternative, e.g. for Euro interest rate swaps
Product innovation to address accelerated buy-side demand, e.g. MSCI derivatives
EEX(commodities)
360T(foreign exchange)
Qontigo(index & analytics)
IFS(investment fund
services)
OTC to on-exchange
New markets/regions
Efficient on-exchange services, e.g. to address increasing share of renewables in power
New geographical markets and multi-commodity offering, e.g. Nodal (US), Japan, CO2
OTC to on-exchange
Shift to buy-side
Shift supported with new products and services e.g. FX futures, OTC FX clearing
Product/service offering geared directly towards corporates and asset managers
Fragmentation and inefficiencies Increase of efficiency through central fund distribution and settlement solutions
Active to passive investments
Shift to buy-side
Further expansion and integration of index and benchmarking services
Sophisticated risk analytics and portfolio-construction tools
Organic growth
M&A
Technology
Execution discipline
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 | 6
53
272
71
24
213
51
94
300 10 20
15
400
5
10
total
growth1 (%)
t/o secular
growth (%)
Qontigo
Eurex
EEX
360T
Xetra
Clearstream
IFS
Group
Pre-trading
Post-trading
Trading & clearing
Strong performance in key secular growth
segments Total and secular net revenue growth (average Q1/18 to Q2/20)
Secular growth is key pillar of
Deutsche Börse’s growth strategy.
Note
Diversified business model serves
as basis for secular growth along
the full capital markets value chain.
Eurex, EEX, 360T, IFS and Qontigo
are key secular growth segments.
Continuous strategic investments
planned to support growth
momentum.
Net revenue Q2/20 (€m)
Organic growth
M&A
Technology
Execution discipline
1) Total growth includes secular, cyclical and M&A growth.
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 | 7
Net revenue growth target
(€m)
Net profit growth target (adj.)
(€m)
Organic growth – midterm targets
Note: Adjusted for exceptional items.
2,462
2,7702,936
FY/17 FY/20EFY/18 FY/19
~3,000-
3,300+13%+6%
Mid-term target
>5% secular CAGR
857
1,003
1,106
FY/17 FY/19FY/18 FY/20E
~1.20bn+17%
+10%
Mid-term target
+10-15% CAGR
Organic growth
M&A
Technology
Execution discipline
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 | 8
M&A delivery since 2018
M&A – focused and disciplined approach started
in 2018 yielded good results
Organic growth
M&A
Technology
Execution discipline
▪ Axioma acquisition strengthens Deutsche Börse’s pre-trading offering and
improves access to the buy-side and the US (Apr 2019)
▪ Acquisition of the spot FX platform GTX ECN allowed for expansion into the
US and the dealer-to-dealer market segment (May 2018)
▪ Acquisition of Swisscanto Funds Centre to expand services with
management of distribution contracts and data processing (Apr 2018)
▪ Acquisition of Ausmaq, a managed funds services business for the steadily
growing Australian fund market (May 2019)
▪ Acquisition of UBS Fondcenter AG (closing expected H2/20) creates a leading
provider of fund distribution services with high benefits for customers
▪ Acquisition of Grexel Systems (energy certificate registry; Dec 2018)
▪ Spark Commodities JV with Kpler for liquefied natural gas trading (Apr 2019)
▪ Acquisition of NFX’s futures and options exchange core assets, including
the portfolio of open interest in NFX contracts (Nov 2019)
M&A focus on five growth areas
Pre
-tra
din
g
Commodities
Fixed income
Foreign exchange
Tra
din
g &
cle
arin
g
Data, index &
analytics
Investment funds
Po
st-
tra
din
g
1
2
3
4
5
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 | 9
Technology trends
Technology – capabilities in new technologies are
growing steadily
Organic growth
M&A
Technology
Execution discipline
Big data /
advanced
analytics
Advanced analytics is both
a revenue driver adding
value to data, and an
efficiency lever
Robotics /
automation /
AI
Key efficiency driver for
operations-heavy tasks
Helps to create new
market structures and
allows adding products
onto existing structures
DLT /
block-chain
Cloud and provision of
services via APIs is helping
to increase agility, improve
quality and reduce costs
Public cloud
▪ First contracts regarding public cloud operation have been
signed with Microsoft, Google and SAP
▪ Contracts meet regulatory requirements to move significant parts
of operations into the public cloud over time
▪ HQLAx: innovative blockchain solution for collateral management
based on tokens to improve collateral mobility
▪ Centre of excellence for automation established; several
automation tools already in production for task automation;
further steps defined along use case roadmap
▪ New client requirements regarding data / analytics are addressed
by the creation of a buy-side intelligence leader as part of the
Axioma acquisition
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 | 10
Execution discipline – strengthened discipline along cost
control, financial steering and general management
Organic growth
M&A
Technology
Execution discipline
▪ New executive board set-up completed in 2018 with stronger business and
technology focus
▪ New segment structure with increased P&L responsibilities/incentivisation to
achieve secular growth and improve transparency
▪ Structural cost improvement programme implemented; savings above €100
million target; savings reinvested into growth, new technology and regulation
▪ Upgraded M&A capabilities allow for systematic execution of external growth
opportunities
▪ Tighter steering and strict consequence management
▪ Regained trust and support of internal and external stakeholders
Execution
discipline
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 | 11
2,7702,936
FY/19FY/18
1,0461,130
FY/18 FY/19
1,7291,813
FY/18 FY/19
Operating cost
+8%
+5% (organic)
EBITDA
+5%
Net profit
+10%
Group financialsFY/2019 (€m)
1,0031,106
FY/18 FY/19
Exceptional cost
items€135m
Depreciation (adj.)€223m
−6%
Net interest
income€246m
+20%
Note
Note: Adjusted for exceptional items; operating costs and EBITDA FY/18 non-GAAP indicative figures.
Financial result −€54m
Tax rate 26%
EPS (adj.)€6.03
+11%
Net revenue
+6%
+5% (organic)
+5% (secular)
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 | 12
1,446
1,692
H1/19 H1/20
Net revenue
+17%
+14% (organic)
+ 7% (secular)
509591
H1/19 H1/20
941
1,103
H1/19 H1/20
Operating cost
+16%
+ 9% (organic)
EBITDA
+17%
+17% (organic)
Net profit
+16%
+19% (organic)
Group financialsH1/2020 | €m
580676
H1/20H1/19
Note: Adjusted for exceptional items. Organic growth incl. Axioma (Qontigo), Ausmaq (IFS) and Börse Berlin (Xetra) like-for-like.
Exceptional cost
items€42m
Depreciation€62m
+14%
Net interest
income€50m
-24%
Note
Financial result €-18m
Tax rate 26%
EPS (adj.)€1.57
-1%
Net interest €50m
income -24%
Exceptional cost€42m
items
Depreciation€62m
+14%
Financial result €-18m
Tax rate 26%
EPS (adj.)€1.57
-1%
Net interest €118m
income −8%
Exceptional cost€70m
items
Depreciation €124m
Financial result −€35m
Tax rate 26%
EPS (adj.)€3.68
+16%
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 | 13
Consolidation
+3%
Secular growth
+7%
Cyclical growth
+7%
Secular growth trend remained intactH1/2020 | €m
Consolidation effects mainly driven
by Qontigo (Axioma) and a small
contribution from IFS (Ausmaq).
36
107
103
H1/20H1/19
1,446
1,692
+17%
All segments with positive secular
growth contribution, with good
progress at Eurex, IFS, Qontigo and
360T.
Cyclical growth mainly driven by
exceptionally high volatility in Q1
due to the Corona situation.
Note
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding.
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 | 14
Development of segment financials (I/II)H1/2020 (€m)
Note: Adjusted for exceptional items.
506
370
618
455
Net revenue
+22%
EBITDA
+23%
Eurex
145
72
153
79
Net revenue
+6%
EBITDA
+9%
EEX
43
20
51
24
Net revenue
+19%
EBITDA
+20%
360T
H1/19
H1/20
Net revenue
+18%
+17% (org.)
EBITDA
+25%
+24% (org.)
Xetra
166
104
196
131
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 | 15
Development of segment financials (II/II)H1/2020 (€m)
Note: Adjusted for exceptional items.
424
280
448
295
Net revenue
+6%
EBITDA
+6%
Clearstream
H1/19
H1/20
85
42
106
58
Net revenue
+25%
+20% (org.)
EBITDA
+38%
+35% (org.)
IFS
77
54
120
61
Net revenue
+56%
+10% (org.)
EBITDA
+14%
+13% (org.)
Qontigo
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 |
Pay-out ratio (%)
55 54 53 49 48
FY/17FY/16FY/15 FY/18 FY/19
€2.25€2.35
€2.45
€2.70
€2.90
+7%
16
Dividend per share and pay-outFY/2019
Within the 40-60% range, pay-out
mainly depends on the business
development and dividend
continuity considerations.
Note: Adjusted for exceptional items.
Note
Remaining free cash is planned to
be reinvested into the business to
support the Group‘s M&A strategy.
Deutsche Börse aims to distribute
40-60% of adjusted annual net
profit to shareholders in form of the
regular dividend.
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 |
857
1,003
1,106
FY/17 FY/18 FY/19 FY/20E
~1.20bn+17%
+10%
17
OutlookFY/2020 | €m
Mid-term target
+10-15% CAGRDespite strong H1/2020, guidance
for 2020 remains unchanged.
Continued secular net revenue
growth of at least 5% and
around €1.20 billion
adjusted net profit.
Note: Adjusted for exceptional items.
NoteNet profit guidance
For FY/2020 Deutsche Börse
expects:
Deutsche Börse Group | August 2020 |
Disclaimer
Cautionary note with regard to forward-looking statements: This document contains forward-looking statements and statements of future
expectations that reflect management's current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Such statements are subject to known and
unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied and that are
beyond Deutsche Börse AG's ability to control or estimate precisely. In addition to statements which are forward-looking by reason of context, the words
'may, will, should, expects, plans, intends, anticipates, believes, estimates, predicts, potential, or continue' and similar expressions identify forward-
looking statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic
conditions, (ii) future performance of financial markets, (iii) interest rate levels (iv) currency exchange rates (v) the behaviour of other market participants
(vi) general competitive factors (vii) changes in laws and regulations (viii) changes in the policies of central banks, governmental regulators and/or
(foreign) governments (ix) the ability to successfully integrate acquired and merged businesses and achieve anticipated synergies (x) reorganization
measures, in each case on a local, national, regional and/or global basis. Deutsche Börse AG does not assume any obligation and does not intend to
update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of these materials.
No obligation to update information: Deutsche Börse AG does not assume any obligation and does not intend to update any information contained
herein.
No investment advice: This presentation is for information only and shall not constitute investment advice. It is not intended for solicitation purposes but
only for use as general information.
All descriptions, examples and calculations contained in this presentation are for illustrative purposes only.
© Deutsche Börse AG 2020. All rights reserved.