The Mosaic Company · 2020. 12. 11. · Mosaic’s Strategic Priorities North America...

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Date: Analyst Presentation: Chapter 3 Act Responsibly Grow and Strengthen Our Product Portfolio December 10, 2020 The Mosaic Company

Transcript of The Mosaic Company · 2020. 12. 11. · Mosaic’s Strategic Priorities North America...

  • Date:

    Analyst Presentation: Chapter 3

    Act Responsibly

    Grow and Strengthen Our Product Portfolio

    December 10, 2020

    The Mosaic Company

  • Forward Looking Statements & Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    This release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private

    Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements include, but are not limited to,

    statements about proposed or pending future transactions or strategic plans and other

    statements about future financial and operating results. Such statements are based upon

    the current beliefs and expectations of The Mosaic Company’s management and are

    subject to significant risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties include, but are

    not limited to: the economic impact and operating impacts of the coronavirus (Covid-19)

    pandemic, the potential drop in oil demand/production and its impact on the availability

    and price of sulfur, political and economic instability in Brazil or changes in government

    policy in Brazil, such as higher costs associated with the new mining rules or the

    implementation of new freight tables; the predictability and volatility of, and customer

    expectations about, agriculture, fertilizer, raw material, energy and transportation markets

    that are subject to competitive and other pressures and economic and credit market

    conditions; the level of inventories in the distribution channels for crop nutrients; the effect

    of future product innovations or development of new technologies on demand for our

    products; changes in foreign currency and exchange rates; international trade risks and

    other risks associated with Mosaic’s international operations and those of joint ventures in

    which Mosaic participates, including the performance of the Wa’ad Al Shamal Phosphate

    Company (also known as MWSPC), the timely development and commencement of

    operations of production facilities in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, and the future success

    of current plans for MWSPC and any future changes in those plans; difficulties with

    realization of the benefits of our long term natural gas based pricing ammonia supply

    agreement with CF Industries, Inc., including the risk that the cost savings initially

    anticipated from the agreement may not be fully realized over its term or that the price of

    natural gas or ammonia during the term are at levels at which the pricing is

    disadvantageous to Mosaic; customer defaults; the effects of Mosaic’s decisions to exit

    business operations or locations; changes in government policy; changes in environmental

    and other governmental regulation, including expansion of the types and extent of water

    resources regulated under federal law, carbon taxes or other greenhouse gas regulation,

    implementation of numeric water quality standards for the discharge of nutrients into

    Florida waterways or efforts to reduce the flow of excess nutrients into the Mississippi

    River basin, the Gulf of Mexico or elsewhere; further developments in judicial or

    administrative proceedings, or complaints that Mosaic’s operations are adversely

    impacting nearby farms, business operations or properties; difficulties or delays in

    receiving, increased costs of or challenges to necessary governmental permits or

    approvals or increased financial assurance requirements; resolution of global tax audit

    activity; the effectiveness of Mosaic’s processes for managing its strategic priorities;

    adverse weather conditions affecting operations in Central Florida, the Mississippi River

    basin, the Gulf Coast of the United States, Canada or Brazil, and including potential

    hurricanes, excess heat, cold, snow, rainfall or drought; actual costs of various items

    differing from management’s current estimates, including, among others, asset retirement,

    environmental remediation, reclamation or other environmental regulation, Canadian

    resources taxes and royalties, or the costs of the MWSPC; reduction of Mosaic’s available

    cash and liquidity, and increased leverage, due to its use of cash and/or available debt

    capacity to fund financial assurance requirements and strategic investments; brine inflows

    at Mosaic’s Esterhazy, Saskatchewan, potash mine or other potash shaft mines; other

    accidents and disruptions involving Mosaic’s operations, including potential mine fires,

    floods, explosions, seismic events, sinkholes or releases of hazardous or volatile

    chemicals; and risks associated with cyber security, including reputational loss; as well as

    other risks and uncertainties reported from time to time in The Mosaic Company’s reports

    filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Actual results may differ from those

    set forth in the forward-looking statements.

    This presentation includes the discussion of forward looking EBITDA which is a non-GAAP

    financial measure. We are not providing quantitative reconciliation of forward looking

    EBITDA because we are unable to predict with reasonable certainty our notable items

    without unreasonable effort. Historically, our notable items have included, but are not

    limited to, foreign currency transaction gain or loss, unrealized gain or loss on derivatives,

    acquisition-related fees, discrete tax items, contingencies and certain other gains or

    losses. These items are uncertain, depend on various factors, and could have a material

    impact on U.S. GAAP reported results for the guidance period.

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  • Mosaic’s Strategic Priorities

    North AmericaTransformation

    Uncover and pursue new opportunities to improve the profitability and

    competitiveness of our Potash and Phosphates businesses

    Drive Functional Collaboration and Efficiency

    Rethink and re-engineer outdated and inefficient processes, and

    continue to look for new ways to improve

    South America Growth Engine

    Leverage Mosaic's in-country capabilities to drive additional growth

    and profitability

    Grow and Strengthen Our Product Portfolio

    Pursue diverse opportunities that make us stronger and that yield

    mutual benefits for Mosaic and our customers

    Act Responsibly

    Be a good corporate citizen and contribute to the vitality of the people

    and the communities around us

    Optimize Operating Assets and Capital Management

    Continually assess, prioritize and allocate capital across the business

    and make decision that strengthen our balance sheet

  • 4

    North AmericaTransformation

    Drive Functional Collaboration and Efficiency

    South America Growth Engine

    Grow and Strengthen Our Product Portfolio

    Act Responsibly

    Optimize Operating Assets and Capital Management

    September 18, 2020

    Today

    November 9, 2020

    March 11, 2021

  • Countervailing Duty Petition Preliminary Ruling: Morocco/Russia Subsidies Established

    5Source: U.S. Department of Commerce

    Country Exporter/Producer Subsidy Rates

    MoroccoOCP S.A. 23.46%

    All Other Producers/Exporters 23.46%

    Russia

    Industrial Group Phosphorite LLC 72.50%

    Joint Stock Company Apatit 20.94%

    All Other Producers/Exporters 32.92%

    Event CVD Investigation(s)

    Petition(s) Filed June 26, 2020

    DOC Initiation Date July 16, 2020

    ITC Preliminary Determination August 10, 2020

    DOC Preliminary Determination November 23, 2020

    DOC Final Determination February 8, 2021

    ITC Final Determination March 25, 2021

    Issuance of Order [1] April 1, 2021

  • Countervailing Duty Petition Impact on Flows: Morocco/Russia Shift Tonnes; Global Prices Rise

    6

    Brazil Jan-Oct phosphate

    imports: +632,000 tonnes

    (+10%) y-o-y

    • Morocco: +712kt (+39%)

    • Russia: +453kt (+70%)

    • U.S.: -213kt (-13%)

    • Other: -321kt (-15%)

    Source: Genscape, China Customs, Orion, IHS Markit, Mosaic

    India Jan-Oct DAP imports:

    +490,000 tonnes (+10%) y-o-y

    • Morocco: +1,007kt (+928%)

    • Russia: +246kt (+259%)

    • Saudi: -229kt (-11%)

    • China: -578kt (-28%)

    • Other: +45kt (+7%)

    U.S. Jan-Oct imports:

    -738,000 tonnes (-28%) y-o-y

    • Morocco: -859kt (-48%)

    • Russia: -189kt (-39%)

    • Saudi: -1kt (-1%)

    • Others: +312kt (+177%)

    U.S. Phosphate Imports

    India Imports Brazil Imports

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20

    $ per tonne Global DAP/MAP Benchmark PricesPublished Spot Prices

    DAP fob NOLA DAP c&f India

    MAP fob NOLA MAP c&f Brazil

    Source: Argus; Green Markets

  • Presenter:

    Date:

    Act Responsibly

  • We’ve Come a Long Way

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    General commitments

    to “stewardship”

    First quantified

    water, energy,

    GHG targets

    2009First sustainability

    disclosure – GRI

    framework

    Quantifiable targets

    representing broad

    ESG topics

    2020

    2015

    2012

    Alignment to UN

    sustainable development

    goals (SDGs)

    2018

  • Each Target Impacts Multiple Focus Areas and Contributes to Companywide Performance

    9

  • ESG in Action: People

    10

    A healthy and diverse workforce

    is critical to Mosaic’s success.

    Leading safety performance Continued focus on risk reduction

    Building capacityTraining on issues related to

    psychological health and safety

    Addressing three pillars of wellnessEfforts centered on financial, physical and

    psychological wellness

  • ESG in Action: Environment

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    Since 2015, we have reduced companywide GHG emissions by 13% —

    and we are redoubling our commitment to 2025.

    Site-level accountability Site targets and frontline engagement

    Promising outlookCogeneration optimization, fuel

    substitution, equipment upgrades,

    use of renewables

    Project explorationEngaging across industries to explore

    opportunities for improvement

    Data governanceRigorous third-party assurance of data

    GHG Emissions Intensity

    2015 - 2025

  • ESG in Action: Society

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    Science-based

    framework to maximize crop

    yields and minimize

    environmental impact

    Right Source

    Right Rate

    Right Time

    Right Place

    4R Nutrient Stewardship Empowering farmers to reduce the impact of crop nutrients on the environment

    Mosaic is supporting all programs financially and/or

    is a representative on governing body

    Study: +5 million tonnes of phosphorous avoided

    in Lake Erie as a result of 4R practice adoption

    2020

    +5MAcres under

    management

    2025

    25MAcres under

    management

    Validated 4R acre programs currently in

    agricultural regions in 11 states and provinces

  • ESG in Action: Company

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    DeforestationOur presence and actions to combat

    deforestation in Brazil

    Water StewardshipMosaic’s role in preserving

    society’s resource

    Climate ChangeOur efforts to mitigate and adapt

    to threats of climate change

    Three New Commitment

    StatementsReinforce our position on material topics

    Board OversightEHSS Committee of Board of Director

    Reporting LeadershipAnnual disclosure of impacts and opportunities.

    13 ESG Performance TargetsDefine our path forward on significant

    issues in four focus areas

    Cross-industry EngagementEngage in dialogue, advance our thinking and drive progress

    Management and Employee Compensation LinkEHS Risk Reduction Program

    Strong governance and accountability

    underpin an effective sustainability practice

  • ESG in Action: Company | Esterhazy K3 Expansion

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    Creating Economic and Sustainability Value

    Potash ($ in mm) 2021 2022 2023

    K3 Brine management

    EBITDA* impact$50 $100 $100

    Colonsay idling

    EBITDA* impact$100 $100 $100

    Growth Capital

    Spending - K3$190 $80 $55

    World-class potash

    GHG performance

    On track to achieve

    additional GHG

    reductions

  • ESG in Action: Company | Our Cogeneration Strategy

    15

    1.5M MWhProduction in 2019

    Avoidedannual GHG

    impact of >900k

    tonnes CO2e

    Reducedelectricity costs

    by >$75M

    Generated>$4M revenue from

    excess quantities

    sent to grid

  • Mosaic’s Role in Addressing Society’s Challenges

    2025 ESG Performance Targets Progress Toward Sustainable Outcomes

    Zero HungerSales of performance (high-yield) products

    Clean Water and Sanitation2025 freshwater intensity target

    Decent Work and Economic GrowthSafety and risk reduction target

    Climate Action2025 GHG emissions intensity target

    Life Below Water Acres under 4R Certification target

  • Presenter:

    Date:

    Grow and Strengthen Our Product Portfolio

  • Mosaic’s Performance Products Portfolio

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    Mosaic

    Retailers

    Farmers

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    2017 Actual 2018 Actual 2019 Actual TTM 2023 Target

    Performance Product Sales Tonnes

    5.2

    mm

    3.4

    mm

    3.8

    mm3.7

    mm3.3

    mm

    Performance products

    improve value throughout

    the crop nutrition chain

  • Why Soil Health?

    19

    Soil health

    • Growing food demand necessitates growing productivity on each acre of farmed land

    • Changing expectations of society, weather cycles and advanced technologies are driving

    new solutions in nutrient use efficiency

    • Mosaic’s performance product portfolio and logistics platform enable value creation

    for all participants via improved yields, ESG benefits and profitability growth

    Growth in the soil health sector and the application of advances in biological science creates

    a unique opportunity for Mosaic to build upon a leadership position in balanced crop nutrition.

    New Avenues for Growth

    Crop Nutrient Focus Potential Opportunities

  • Target Markets

    Biostimulants

    Other Organic AcidsHumic Acids

    Stimulate Natural Processes

    Microbials Plant & Seaweed Extracts

    Biofertilizers

    Nitrogen Fixing Potassium Mobilizers

    Nutrient Uptake Enhancers

    Phosphate Solubilizers Others

    Biofertilizer Market

    $3.3B by 2025

    50% in the Americas

    Biostimulant Market

    $3.0B by 2025

    Growing at

    11 - 12% CAGR

    40% in the Americas

    Compiled from Market and Markets, Dunham and Trimmer and other research

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    Deliver High Margins

  • Our Approach

    Make a series of small bets on the most promising technologies and

    intellectual property to build a soil health product portfolio.

    External inputs from:

    • Farmers

    • Retailers

    • University partners

    • Venture capital partners

    • Business transformation

    • AgTech networks

    Scan

    • Market studies and

    customer surveys

    • Economic analysis

    • Lab, field and

    production trials

    Evaluate Pursue Launch

    • Fund pipeline development and secure

    marketing rights in select geographies

    • Determine royalty splits and geography rights

    • Licensing agreements once efficacy proven

    through field trialsLearning and

    building

    relationships

    Proving the

    promisingSecure value

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    Building Relationships to Create Opportunities

    Anuvia Plant Nutrients

    • SusterraTM is a 14-24-0-10S

    bio-based, phosphate

    fertilizer with sulfur that uses

    recycled organic matter to

    efficiently deliver nutrients for

    improved yields and healthier

    soils

    Explore a Plant

    City lease

    Sept. 2018 Sept. 2019 Aug. 2020 Sept. 2020

    Finalize lease

    agreement

    Toll manufacturing

    agreement with

    Anuvia

    SusterraTM

    commercial launch

    Announced yesterday:

    Collaboration to develop and launch nitrogen-fixing microbial products

    using BioConsortia’s patented Advanced Microbial Selection process.

    • R&D support

    • Product licensing

    • Americas marketing rights

    Field testing to commence Spring 2021 in the U.S.

  • Benefits to Mosaic

    • Diversify the portfolio while staying close to our expertise in crop nutrition

    • Improve margin mix

    • Grow value capture on an acre

    • Optionality for new channels to market

  • QUESTIONS?