8/7/2019 Thayer Vietnam's 11th Party Congress Brief

1/13

CarlThayer

U.S.ASEAN Business Council

March21,2011

8/7/2019 Thayer Vietnam's 11th Party Congress Brief

2/13

PoliticalPlatformonBuildingtheNation

(Cuong linh xay dungdat nuoc trong thoi ky

quadolen Chunghia xa hoi).

PartyStatutes(Dieu LeDang)

Str t r S ci Ec n mic D v l m nt

20112020(Chien Luoc Phat Trien KinhTeXaHoi20112020).

8/7/2019 Thayer Vietnam's 11th Party Congress Brief

3/13

alternatemembers largestinhistory

be

filled

including

names

of

those

who

were

Orderlygenerationalchange58%ofmembers

were ncum ents Sectoral representationshiftedtoprovincials

8/7/2019 Thayer Vietnam's 11th Party Congress Brief

4/13

Sectoral CompositionoftheVCP

CentralCommittee2011

9%11%

SeniorParty

CentralParty

State

38%

42%

Secondary/Provin

cial

ArmedForces

8/7/2019 Thayer Vietnam's 11th Party Congress Brief

5/13

PublicSecurity 2membersonPolitburo

Mi itary constant

Alternatespromotedtofullmember Headsofeducationalinstitution

Princelings

8/7/2019 Thayer Vietnam's 11th Party Congress Brief

6/13

membersonly14elected

five

key

leadership

positions

1

term

required]) 5newmem ersinc u ing irstwomanet nic

minority

NguyenPhu Trong electedpartySecretary

General(ageexemption)

8/7/2019 Thayer Vietnam's 11th Party Congress Brief

7/13

Tenministers(7ofwhomreceived

MOFA,

NRE,

Health,

HA,

State

Inspection,

,

LeDoanHopMinisterofInformationand

ommun ca ons g e n ac on

8/7/2019 Thayer Vietnam's 11th Party Congress Brief

8/13

stepprocess

and

election

by

deputies StatePresi ent

PrimeMinister

ChairNationalAssemblyStandingCommittee

8/7/2019 Thayer Vietnam's 11th Party Congress Brief

9/13

CentralCommittee

10failedtogainreelection NotablyForeignMinisterPhamGia Khiem

3of5DPMs haveretiredormovedon

NewPMwillhavechancetoreshape

8/7/2019 Thayer Vietnam's 11th Party Congress Brief

10/13

Institutionalinterestsmitigateagainststrong

State(CabinetandOfficeofPrimeMinister)asgrownmorepower u t anparty

Possiblefrictionbetweenprimeministerand

keypartyeliteandstatepresident

8/7/2019 Thayer Vietnam's 11th Party Congress Brief

11/13

assertive

Systemofequilibriumthroughchecksanda ances

Personalityandpolicydifferenceswillpersist

FocusonnominationsfornewCabinet

8/7/2019 Thayer Vietnam's 11th Party Congress Brief

12/13

CarlThayer

U.S.ASEAN Business Council

March21,2011

8/7/2019 Thayer Vietnam's 11th Party Congress Brief

13/13

Bouasone resigns Givesfamil reasons

Speculationcaughtup

inproChinaandpro0

Hanoipoliticalintrigues

ReplacedbyThongsing

Thammavong