Terex Aerial Work Platforms · 2018-08-21 · Terex expressly disclaims any obligation or...
Transcript of Terex Aerial Work Platforms · 2018-08-21 · Terex expressly disclaims any obligation or...
1 1 FOCUS • S IMPLIFY • EXECUTE TO WIN
Terex Aerial Work Platforms
Analyst Visit
August 21, 2018
2 2 FOCUS • S IMPLIFY • EXECUTE TO WIN
Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking information regarding future events or the Company’s future financial performance based on the current expectations of
Terex Corporation. In addition, when included in this press release, the words “may,” “expects,” “intends,” “anticipates,” “plans,” “projects,” “estimates” and the negatives
thereof and analogous or similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. However, the absence of these words does not mean that the
statement is not forward-looking. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on current expectations and projections about future events. These
statements are not guarantees of future performance.
Because forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, actual results could differ materially. Such risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the
control of Terex, include among others: Our business is cyclical and weak general economic conditions affect the sales of our products and financial results; the need to
comply with restrictive covenants contained in our debt agreements; our ability to generate sufficient cash flow to service our debt obligations and operate our business;
our ability to access the capital markets to raise funds and provide liquidity; our business is sensitive to government spending; our business is highly competitive and is
affected by our cost structure, pricing, product initiatives and other actions taken by competitors; our retention of key management personnel; the financial condition of
suppliers and customers, and their continued access to capital; our providing financing and credit support for some of our customers; we may experience losses in
excess of recorded reserves; we are dependent upon third-party suppliers, making us vulnerable to supply shortages and price increases; the imposition of tariffs and
related actions on trade by the U.S. and foreign governments; our business is global and subject to changes in exchange rates between currencies, commodity price
changes, regional economic conditions and trade restrictions; our operations are subject to a number of potential risks that arise from operating a multinational
business, including compliance with changing regulatory environments, the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and other similar laws and political instability; a material
disruption to one of our significant facilities; possible work stoppages and other labor matters; compliance with changing laws and regulations, particularly environmental
and tax laws and regulations; litigation, product liability claims, intellectual property claims, class action lawsuits and other liabilities; our ability to comply with an
injunction and related obligations imposed by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”); disruption or breach in our information technology
systems and storage of sensitive data; our ability to successfully implement our Execute to Win strategy; and other factors, risks and uncertainties that are more
specifically set forth in our public filings with the SEC.
Actual events or the actual future results of Terex may differ materially from any forward-looking statement due to these and other risks, uncertainties and significant
factors. The forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this release. Terex expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any
updates or revisions to any forward-looking statement included in this release to reflect any changes in expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events,
conditions, or circumstances on which any such statement is based.
Non-GAAP Measures: Terex from time to time refers to various non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) financial measures in this presentation. Terex
believes that this information is useful to understanding its operating results and the ongoing performance of its underlying businesses without the impact of special
items. See the appendix at the end of this presentation as well as the Terex second quarter 2018 earnings release on the Investor Relations section of our website
www.terex.com for a description and/or reconciliation of these measures.
3 3 FOCUS • S IMPLIFY • EXECUTE TO WIN
John Garrison
President and Chief Executive Officer
Terex Strategy:
Execution Update
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Team Member Safety Commitment to Zero Harm
Safety is our number #1 Priority and our #1 Responsibility
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Focus
Simplify
Execute to Win
Terex Strategy
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Developing core competencies across the company
Aerial Work
Platforms Cranes
Materials
Processing
Lifecycle
Solutions
Services and Solutions
Spare Parts
Technology and Innovation
Commercial
Excellence
Customer Offerings and Value Propositions
Sales and Pricing Execution
Dealer Management
Strategic
Sourcing
Global Sourcing Organization
Standard Sourcing Processes, Tools and Training
Supplier Development and Management
Execute to Win: 3 Priorities
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Focus
Simplify
Execute to Win
Strategy Deployment – 2017 Highlights
Completed sale of:
Material Handling & Port Solutions
German Compact Construction
Coventry LBH business
India LBH business
Exited 12 manufacturing facilities, reducing
global footprint by 2.6M square feet, 27%
Reduced administrative expenses, while
investing in innovation, sourcing, and sales
Eliminated 26, or 20% of legal entities
Launched innovative new products
Deployed first phase of sales pipeline
management
Bolstered commercial leadership
Established global sourcing organization
Launched Wave 1 strategic sourcing teams
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Sim
pli
fy
Exe
cu
te t
o W
in
Broke ground on new Utilities
facility in South Dakota
Commercial
Excellence
Reduce
Complexity
and G&A
Completed initial Terex Proven
Sales Process training sessions
Deployed CRM at Powerscreen,
AWP AsiaPac, Mobile Cranes NA
and Asia, and MP Environmental
On-boarded global Parts & Services
leader
Invested in parts pricing system
Awarded NA and EU cut parts, off-
highway engines, certain hydraulic,
indirect and logistics categories
Launched Wave 2
Lifecycle
Solutions
Strategic
Sourcing
Continued to implement Finance
simplification program
Strategy Deployment – 2018 Update
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8%
16%20%
2017 2018 Est. 2020 Plan
Cash Flow from Operations +
After-tax Proceeds from Divestures
Optimal Capital Structure
Organic Growth Investments
Restructuring Investments
Efficient Returns of Capital
to Shareholders
ACCOMPLISHMENTS SINCE DEC ’16 INVESTOR DAY
• Monetized Konecranes shares for ~ $770 M
• Completed recapitalization
‒ Reduced debt by ~ $600M
‒ Lowered interest rates
• Reduced NWC % to the lowest level in 10 years
• Generated $189M in cash from operations(1)
• Increased quarterly dividend twice (43% in total)
• Repurchased 34 M shares (~1/3 of outstanding)
(1) Q1 ’17 – Q2 ’18, (2) See ROIC definition in Terex quarterly filings, “NWC” = “Net Working Capital”
~
Return on Invested Capital(2)
Disciplined Capital Allocation
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Matt Fearon
President, Aerial Work Platforms
Aerial Work
Platforms
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Aerial Work Platforms Overview
Full Product Range and Market Leading Brand
Applications Footprint Customers/Channels
▪ Construction/Maintenance
▪ Aviation
▪ Industrial
▪ Entertainment
▪ Government & Military
▪ Warehouse & Retail
▪ Redmond, WA (US)
▪ Moses Lake, WA (US)
▪ Oklahoma City (US)
▪ Rock Hill, SC (US)
▪ Perugia, Italy (EU)
▪ Changzhou, China (Asia)
▪ General Rental (>90%)
▪ Direct Sales
▪ Third Party Distribution
▪ Catalogue
Rough Terrain
Scissors
Material
Lifts
Runabouts
High Reach
Telehandlers
Light
Towers
Compact
Telehandlers
Slab
Scissors
Articulating
Booms
Telescopic
Booms
Full product portfolio, high product quality, respected brand
Strong relationships with General Rental
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$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
2017 2018 Guidance
AWP Revenue ($M)
~ $ 2,550~ $ 2,070
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2017 2018 Guidance
AWP Operating Profit (%)
8.2 %
11 - 11.5 %
Aerial Work Platforms Current Situation
• Growth in 2017, accelerating in 2018
• Margins improving as revenues grow
• “Execute to Win” impact is increasing
• Genie brand, global footprint, new products and operational
execution are all key to continued success
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0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1995
1996
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2011
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2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
All Aerial Fleet (000 Units): World
112138
161
2013 2018 2023 (fcst)
Global Fleet/ Global Construction Spend(Units per $B)
3.6% 3.5%
'13 to '18 '18 to '23 (fcst)
Real Global Construction Spending (CAGR)
Aerial Work Platforms Demand Logic (Fleet Growth)
Construction
Spending Growth
Aerials
Adoption
Aerials
Fleet Growth
Aerials support construction spending
Size of fleet is driven by construction growth and global adoption
+ =
• Resurgent US growth
• Recovery in Europe
• Strength in ROW
• Continuing US adoption
‒ New Products
‒ New Applications
• Adoption increasing in
non-US markets
• Steady, long-term
expansion anticipated
• Outlook consistent with
historical trends
Sources: IHS Global Insights, AIA Consensus Construction Forecast, Terex fleet modeling
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$0
$500
$1,000
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Real Residential Construction per Capita
North America Western Europe Rest of WorldReal 2017 $
BJH 2 pct
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
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Real Non-Residential Construction per Capita
North America Western Europe Rest of WorldReal 2017 $
BJH 2 pct
$0$100$200$300$400$500$600$700$800$900
$1,000
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North America Construction Spending ($B)
Residential Non-Residential
2% CAGR
3.5% CAGR
BJH 2 pct
Real 2017 $
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
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23
Western Europe Construction Spending ($B)
Residential Non-Residential
1.7% CAGR
1.8% CAGR
BJH 2 pct
Real 2017 $
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
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20
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Rest of World Construction Spending ($B)
Residential Non-Residential
4.4% CAGR
3.7% CAGR
BJH 2 pct
Real 2017 $
Aerial Work Platforms Demand Logic (Construction Spending Growth)
Sources: IHS Global Insights, AIA Consensus Construction Forecasts
Continued Recovery in Global Construction Spending is Anticipated
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Telehandler Units per $B of Total Construction
North America Western Europe Rest of World
BJH 2 pct
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
19
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Boom & Scissor Units per $B of Non-Res Construction
North America Western Europe Rest of World
BJH 2 pct
Aerial Work Platforms Demand Logic (Aerial Adoption)
North America fleets continuing to expand while adoption elsewhere increases
Sources: Terex fleet modeling, Terex estimates
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0
200
400
600
800
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1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
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Global Fleet Size (000 Units): Booms + Scissors
0
100
200
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400
500
600
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Global Fleet Size (000 Units): Telehandlers
Aerial Work Platforms Demand Logic (Aerials Fleet Growth)
Future fleet forecast is consistent with long-term rate of growth
Combined global aerials fleet should exceed 2.1M units by 2023
CAGR (’03 – ’18) = 7.5 %
CAGR (’18 – ’23f) = 7.4 %
CAGR (’03 – ’18) = 5.6 %
CAGR (’18 – ’23f) = 5.0 %
Sources: Terex modeling of historical fleet size; Terex fleet forecasts
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$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
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All Aerial Industry Revenue: World ($M)
Replacements Growth Including 2% Annual Inflation
BJH 2 pct
Note: Category-level Units x Constant 2018 Prices per Unit
Bars are @ 2018 Prices
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
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Annual Replacement Demand ($M)
@ 2018 Prices
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
$9,000
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Annual Fleet Growth ($M)
@ 2018 Prices
Annual
Replacement Demand
Aerial Work Platforms Demand Logic (Annual Demand)
+ Annual Fleet
Growth
Total
Annual Demand =
Sources: Terex modeling of global aerial demand
• Based on rental
company replacement
cycles (~ 8 yrs)
• Replacement keeps
fleet from shrinking
• Varies based on
market conditions
• Supported by
continuing adoption
• Combined demand
outlook is robust
• Replacement is an
important driver
Anticipating multiple years of strong demand
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Aerial Work Platforms Replacement Demand Example
Sources: United Rentals Quarterly Financial Review, Q4 2017, page 17
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
<= 1
1 -
2
2 -
3
3 -
4
4 -
5
5 -
6
6 -
7
7 -
8
8 -
9 > 9
Tota
l
URI Fleet Composition ($M OEC, Dec. 2017)
FLEET AGE - YEARS
$M
OEC
Several years of stong
replacement
Typical Replacement Window
Customer Fleet Reporting Confirms Terex Replacement Forecast
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65%
67%
69%
71%
73%
75%
$0.0
$1.0
$2.0
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
$6.0
2016 2017 2018
Sunbelt Fleet UtilizationFleet on Rent ($B) Physical Utilization (%)
Source: Ashtead Group
68.0%69.7% 70.1%
65%
67%
69%
71%
73%
75%
2016 2017 2018
URI Pro Forma Time Utilization (June)
Source: URI Financial Reports
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
Q1
'08
Q2
'08
Q3
'08
Q4
'08
Q1
'09
Q2
'09
Q3
'09
Q4
'09
Q1
'10
Q2
'10
Q3
'10
Q4
'10
Q1
'11
Q2
'11
Q3
'11
Q4
'11
Q1
'12
Q2
'12
Q3
'12
Q4
'12
Q1
'13
Q2
'13
Q3
'13
Q4
'13
Q1
'14
Q2
'14
Q3
'14
Q4
'14
Q1
'15
Q2
'15
Q3
'15
Q4
'15
Q1
'16
Q2
'16
Q3
'16
Q4
'16
Q1
'17
Q2
'17
Q3
'17
Q4
'17
Q1
'18
Q2
'18
United Rentals Quarterly Rental Rate Growth
Source: ISI analysis of URI Financial Reports, Quarterly growth is change versus prior year
100.0 104.0 110.2 116.9 123.9 130.1
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
US Rental Revenue (2016 = 100)
Source: Ashtead Group
CAGR = 5.4%
Aerial Work Platforms Major Customer Demand Conditions
High Customer Fleet Utilization Supports Continued Growth
Sources: United Rentals, Ashtead Group, ISI
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Aerial Work Platforms Demand Outlook: Summary
• Demand growth is driven by underlying fleet dynamics
‒ Construction spending and aerials adoption drive fleet growth
‒ Fleet growth + replacement = annual demand
• Construction spending outlook is favorable
• Global adoption continues to increase
• Strong replacement demand expected over the next several years
• Demand above 2018 levels is expected through 2023
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Aerial Work Platforms Business Objectives
• Customer NPS
• Revenue Growth
• Margin Improvement
AWP
SUCCESS
METRICS
• Product Leadership
• Footprint & Global Reach
• Responsiveness &
Customer Support
REVENUE
ENABLERS
• Cost Discipline
• ETW Improvements
PROFIT
DRIVERS
Genie is Well Positioned to Capitalize on Anticipated Market Strength
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39%47% 52% 55%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
2015 2017 2020 Goal 2023 Goal
AWP Customer NPS (%)
NPS = Net Promoter Score
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
North America Europe China/Asia LATAM
Regional Sales by Source of Product (2023)
North America Europe China/Asia
Sold In...
Made In...
14.0% 13.5%
34.0%28.0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
2015 2018 2020 Goal 2023 Goal
AWP Vitality Index (%)
% of Sales from Products introduced in the preceding 3 years
Aerial Work Platforms Revenue Enablers
Product
Leadership
Footprint &
Global Reach
Responsiveness &
Customer Support
Revenue Growth will be Driven by Sustained Development of Core Capabilities
• Major upgrades and net-new
products
• Application-specific safety
and productivity solutions
• Industry leadership in
connected assets and the
Internet of Things
• Global footprint development
• Regional/local market
development
• Work standards and
regulatory development
• Genie culture and value
proposition
• Global team member
development
• Process and systems
simplification
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XC Product Family
S40/45 XC
S60/65 XC
S80/85 XC
Z45 XC
Z62 XC
Z85 XC
Z105 XC
ZX 135 XC
SX 105 XC / SX 125 XC
SX 135 XC
Aerial Work Platforms Product Innovation - XC
LAUNCHED PLANNED
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Technology for All Jobsites
Z-60/37 FE- Fuel Electric Hybrid
▪ Switch between low emissions
hybrid operation to zero emissions
all electric operation
Aerial Work Platforms Product Innovation – Hybrid Drive
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Aerial Work Platforms 2018 Manufacturing Footprint
Redmond,
WA Moses Lake,
WA
Rock Hill,
SC
Umbertide,
IT
Changzhou,
CN Scissors
Booms
Light Towers
Runabouts
Booms
Scissors
Booms
OKC, OK
Telehandlers
Booms
Booms
Telehandlers
• Global manufacturing capacity significantly greater than in 2007 and 2014
‒ Changzhou greenfield began production in 2011
‒ Italian factory capacity more than tripled
‒ Telehandlers relocated to OKC, freeing Moses Lake capacity for boom growth
Planned Facility Moves Largely Complete – Focusing on Capacity & Throughput
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Aerial Work Platforms Terex Margin Drivers
North
America EMEAR
China, AP,
LATAM
Lifecycle
Solutions
Services and Solutions
Spare Parts
Technology and Innovation
Strategic
Sourcing
Commercial
Excellence
Salesforce.com Deployment
Terex Proven Sales Process
Back-office process and systems improvement
Category team staffing and backfill
Organization, process, equipment for implementation
Clear prioritization and execution of change
ETW benefits will accelerate in 2019 - 2021
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11.8%16.7%
23.0%25.7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Q3 '17 Q4 '17 Q1 '18 Q2 '18
AWP Quarterly Incremental Margins*
* as adjusted
Aerial Work Platforms Terex Margin Progress
Cost Leverage
• Demand planning
• Fixed cost discipline
• Labor management
Execute to Win (ETW)
• Commercial Excellence
• Lifecycle Solutions
• Strategic Sourcing
* as adjusted
28 28 FOCUS • S IMPLIFY • EXECUTE TO WIN
Aerial Work Platforms Positioned for Growth
• Favorable demand outlook for 2019 - 2023
• Well positioned to grow revenue
‒ Robust new product pipeline
‒ Advantaged global footprint
‒ Demonstrated customer responsiveness
• Margin outlook is strong
‒ Cost leverage as revenues strengthen
‒ Accelerating benefit from ETW execution
• Team is well prepared to perform and deliver