terex Gabelli120408

23
Gabelli Best Ideas Conference December 4, 2008

Transcript of terex Gabelli120408

Page 1: terex Gabelli120408

Gabelli Best Ideas Conference

December 4, 2008

Page 2: terex Gabelli120408

2

Forward Looking Statements & Non-GAAP Measures

The following presentation contains forward-looking information based on the current expectations of Terex Corporation. Because forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, actual results could differ materially. Such risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the control of Terex, include among others: our business is highly cyclical and weak general economic conditions may affect the sales of its products and its financial results; our business is sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates and government spending; the ability to successfully integrate acquired businesses; the retention of key management personnel; our businesses are very competitive and may be affected by pricing, product initiatives and other actions taken by competitors; the effects of changes in laws and regulations; our business is international in nature and is subject to changes in exchange rates between currencies, as well as international politics; our continued access to capital and ability to obtain parts and components from suppliers on a timely basis at competitive prices; the financial condition of suppliers and customers, and their continued access to capital; our ability to timely manufacture and deliver products to customers; possible work stoppages and other labor matters; our debt outstanding and the need to comply with restrictive covenants contained in our debt agreements; our ability to maintain adequate disclosure controls and procedures, maintain adequate internal controls over financial reporting and file its periodic reports with the SEC on a timely basis; the previously announced investigations by the SEC and the Department of Justice; compliance with applicable environmental laws and regulations; product liability claims and other liabilities arising out of our business; and other factors, risks, uncertainties more specifically set forth in our public filings with the SEC. Actual events or the actual future results of Terex may differ materially from any forward looking statement due to those and other risks, uncertainties and significant factors. The forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. Terex expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statement included in this presentation to reflect any changes in expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions, or circumstances on which any such statement is based.

Non-GAAP Measures: Terex from time to time refers to various non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) financial measures in this presentation. Terex believes that this information is useful to understanding its operating results and the ongoing performance of its underlying businesses without the impact of special items. See the Investors section of our website www.terex.com for a complete reconciliation.

Page 3: terex Gabelli120408

3

Purpose • To improve the lives of people around the world

Mission • To delight construction, infrastructure, mining and other customers with value-added offerings that exceed their needs

• To attract the best people by creating a culture that is safe, exciting, creative, fun, and embraces continuous improvement

Vision • To be the most responsive company in the industry as determined by the customer

• To be the most profitable company in the industry as measured by Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

• To be the best place to work in our industry as determined by our team members

Page 4: terex Gabelli120408

4

Terex Is…

• A diversified portfolio of equipment businesses• Positioned for continuing long - term trends• A leader in our industry• Leveraging the Power of One Company

AERIAL WORK PLATFORMS

CONSTRUCTION

CRANES MATERIALS PROC. AND MINING

ROADBUILDING AND UTILITIES

Page 5: terex Gabelli120408

5

Terex is Diversified

$ 10.4 billion$ 10.4 billion

2008 YTD Sales by Geography2008 LTM* Sales by Segment

AWP 22%

Cranes 27%

MP&M 24%

Construction 20%

RBU 7%

$ 7.8 billion$ 7.8 billion

W. Europe 32%

USA / Canada

35%

Japan / ANZ 9%

Developing Markets

24%

Balanced by business; Balanced geographically

Diversified Portfolio of Equipment Businesses

* Last Twelve Months sales through Sep 30, 2008

Page 6: terex Gabelli120408

6

Positioned for Continuing Long - Term Trends

LONG TERM OUTLOOK

* Source: International Energy Agency, Oil Price is average global price, Coal futures price is the NYMEX contract for Central Appalachian Coal

• Near term commodity price volatility is challenging, as lower anticipated consumption brings down prices, impacting short term production levels

• Robust long term outlook for energy remains – driven by advancing consumption in the developing world and continued demand elsewhere

• Terex is well positioned to capitalize in Cranes, Mining, and Other businesses

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

12/1

/97

1 2/ 1

/ 98

12/ 1

/ 99

12/ 1

/ 00

12/1

/01

1 2/1

/ 02

12/ 1

/03

1 2/ 1

/ 04

12/1

/05

1 2/ 1

/ 06

12/1

/07

12/ 1

/08

Oil ($/bbl) Coal (Near Term Futures Contract)

Near Term Price Volatility

Page 7: terex Gabelli120408

7

EXPENDITURES BY TOP 40 MINING COMPANIES ($ Billions)

$75

$95

$125$134 $141

$176

020406080

100120140160180200

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07

$28

$37

$51

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

'05 '06 '07

OPEX* CAPEX*

• Recent aggressive investment in global commodities will likely slow near term, but leading producers remain committed to expanding capacity

• Per capita commodity consumption in developing countries remains well below developed country norms and will continue to increase over time

• This trend directly benefits Terex in Mining, Materials Processing, and other businesses that sell equipment into the mining industry

*Source: PWC: “Mine: As Good as it Gets?”, 2008 – capex excludes acquisitions

Positioned for Continuing Long - Term Trends

Page 8: terex Gabelli120408

8

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

'90'91'92'93'94'95'96'97'98'99'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08'09'10'11'12'13'14'15'16'17'18

Total Residential

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

'90'91'92'93'94'95'96'97'98'99'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08'09'10'11'12'13'14'15'16'17'18

Infrastructure Industrial Other Non-Residential

GLOBAL NON-RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION (REAL 2008 $)*

$Billions

2.2 % CAGR

5.6 % CAGR

GLOBAL RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION (REAL 2008 $)*

$Billions

3.6 % CAGR

1.9 % CAGR

• Global non-residential construction growth continuing, at a slower than recent rate but still above historicals

• Residential in decline but expected to bottom in 2009• Long term prospects in construction equipment remain positive

* Source: Global Insights, October 30, 2008; 69 countries tracked by GI + 5% to account for rest of world … consistent with global GDP’s

Positioned for Continuing Long-Term Trends

3.4 % CAGR

5.6% CAGR

6.8 % CAGR

-3.8 % CAGR

4.2 % CAGR

Page 9: terex Gabelli120408

9

$19.7

$10.4 $9.1 $8.7 $8.1$5.1 $4.8 $4.5 $4.4 $3.7$5.2

$31.6

(1) Represents Machinery sales for the last twelve months ended Sep 30, 2008; excludes Engine and Financial Product sales.

(2) Represents Komatsu’s Construction, Mining & Utility Equipment segment as of June 30, 2008 converted at an exchange rate of JPY/USD of 106.18

(3) Exchange rate used as of June 30, 2008 of USD/JPY 106.18(4) Represents Volvo’s Construction Equipment segment as of Sep 30, 2008 converted at

an exchange rate of USD/SEK 6.9252(5) Represents Deere’s Construction and Forestry segment as of October 31, 2008(6) Represents 2007 Construction Equipment sales of $1.5 billion converted at an exchange

rate at Dec 31, 2007 of KRW/USD 936.07 plus estimated 2007 bobcat sales of $2.9 billion

(7) Estimated, as these are privately owned companies:JCB: 2007 sales of GBP 2.25 billion converted at Dec 31, 2007 GBP/USD rate of 1.9870Liebherr: 2007 Cranes/Mining/Construction sales of EUR 5.5 billion converted at Dec 31, 2007 EUR/USD rate of 1.4598

(8) Represents CNH Global’s Construction Equipment Segment as of Sep 30, 2008(9) Represents Access & Concrete Placement equipment sales for the 9 months ended

June 30, 2008 plus Access & Commercial (both concrete & refuse trucks) for the 3 months ended Sep 30, 2007.

(10) Represents Mining & Construction sales through Jun 30, 2008 converted at an exchange rate of SEK/USD 6.9252

Caterpillar (1) Komatsu (2) Terex Deere (5)Hitachi (3) Volvo (4) CNH Global (8) Oshkosh (9)Liebherr (7) JCB (7) Doosan (6)Sandvik (10)

Terex is a Leader in Our Industry

Based on last twelve months of available Construction Equipment Sales ($’s in Billions)

Page 10: terex Gabelli120408

10

Over 75% of sales for the last 12 months through Sep 30, 2008 were generated in markets where Terex has significant market presence

• Articulated boom lifts (top 2)• Telescopic boom lifts (top 2)• Scissor lifts (top 3)• NA Telehandlers (#2)

AERIAL WORK PLATFORMS

• Compact Track Loaders (#1)• Material Handlers (#2 or 3)

CONSTRUCTION

• All Terrain Cranes (top 2)• Rough Terrain Cranes (top 3)• Tower Cranes (#3)• Large Crawlers (#1)

CRANES

• Hydraulic Excavators (top 3)• Mining Trucks (#3)• Surface Drills (# 3)• Crushing & Screening (#1)*• Highwall Miners (#1)

MP&M

• Front Discharge Mixers (#1)• Insulated Aerials (#2)

ROADBUILDING AND UTILITIES

Terex is a Leader in Our Industry

* Mobile equipment

Page 11: terex Gabelli120408

11

• Better than diversified industrials with higher valuations

Terex is a Leader in Our Industry

• In-line with larger, more vertically integrated competitors

32.9%

24.4% 23.6%20.2%

8.9%

26.9%32.5%

18.1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Manit owoc Joy Global Deere Cat erpillar Terex Bucyrus Ast ec Oshkosh

18.9%

11.8%13.9%

23.6%

16.9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

Terex Unit ed Technologies Illinois Tool Works Dover Corp. Danaher Corp

Q3 2008 LTM After-Tax ROIC-Machinery Industry

Q3 2008 LTM After-Tax ROIC-Diversified Industrials

ROIC is calculated by dividing the sum of the last four quarters’ net operating income after tax by the average of the sum of total stockholders’ equity plus debt less cash and cash equivalents for the most recent last five quarters ended. DE is as of 10/31/08 and JOYG is as of 7/31/08, the remainder are at 9/30/08. CAT and DE do not include the finance arms above. Including the finance arms, DE ROIC is 10.8% and CAT ROIC is 9.7%. MTW Q3 2008 excludes the $198 million loss on currency hedge; OSK excludes $175 million goodwill impairment charge incurred during Q3 2008.

Page 12: terex Gabelli120408

12

• Our framework to build a stronger Terex

• Process improvements will assure long term success

Leveraging the Power of One Company

Page 13: terex Gabelli120408

13

• 5+ years of strong growth, driven by market conditions and an increasingly robust portfolio

• Committed to core financial principles – Growth with moderate debt leverage– ROIC focused

• Near term outlook is mixed but long term remains positive

• Core business initiatives that will enhance long-term results

Financial Perspective

Page 14: terex Gabelli120408

14

$0.0

$2.0

$4.0

$6.0

$8.0

$10.0

'94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 Q3LTM

$0.0

$0.2

$0.4

$0.6

$0.8

$1.0

$1.2

Terex to Date: Consistent Sales Growth

Sales (USD billions) Operating Income (USD billions)

Sales growth since 2003 has been ~90% organic

Acquisitions: SimonO&K

PPM

Powerscreen, CedarapidsFermec

CMI, AtlasSchaeff, Demag, Genie

Reedrill

SHM

ASVHydra

Page 15: terex Gabelli120408

15

Developing Markets Growth to Date

2004 2005 2006 2007

22% of 2007 sales 42% CAGR 2004 - 2007

DEVELOPING MARKET SALES GROWTH ($)

2004 2005 2006 2007

Broad Based Global GrowthStrongest In 3 Businesses

DEVELOPING MARKET SALES BY BUSINESS ($)

Cranes

MP&M

Construction

AWPRBU

Asia, ex. Japan

Russia/ E. Europe

S/C America

Middle East

Africa

Page 16: terex Gabelli120408

16

$0.0

$0.2

$0.4

$0.6

$0.8

$1.0

$1.2

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 LTM Q3 2008

Aerial Work Platforms Construction Cranes

Material Processing & Mining Roadbuilding, Utilities & Other

Terex to Date: Broad-based Profit Growth

Operating Income (USD billions)

CAGR 82%

Page 17: terex Gabelli120408

17

Terex to Date: Growth with Moderate Leverage

$1.9 $2.0 $1.8

$2.8

$3.9

$4.8

$6.2

$9.1

$10.4

$7.6

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q3 2008*

Net DebtSales

($ in billions)

• Q3 2008 sales is based on last 12 months sales as of Sept 30, 2008; Net Debt is as of Sept 30, 2008• Net leverage ratio is defined as debt less cash and cash equivalents divided by last twelve months EBITDA

Net leverage of 1.0x at Q3 2008 provides flexibility

Page 18: terex Gabelli120408

18

35%

10%

14%

25%

29%

24%

3%

12%

21%

38%

43%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q3 LTM

Pre-taxAfter-tax

Recent acquisitions of SHM and ASV dampen returns in the short term

ROIC is calculated by dividing the sum of the last four quarters’ net operating income after tax by the average of the sum of total stockholders’ equity plus debt less cash and cash equivalents for the last five quarters ended.

Return on Invested Capital

Page 19: terex Gabelli120408

19

Next four quarters net sales expectations beginning 4Q’08:

• Mining and Cranes continuing favorable trends

• AWP (30%-40%), Construction (25%-35%) and Materials Processing (15%-20%) negatively impacted by current market conditions

• Continued strong US$ would have a negative translation impact

Material Cost pressure continues ahead of pricing actions in short term

Cost reduction actions underway to adjust to market expectations

Focus on Cash

Near Term Outlook

Page 20: terex Gabelli120408

20

Cost Reduction:• Production level and headcount reductions

• Discretionary spending curtailment

• Facility rationalization

• Segment realignment

Cash Generation:• Material inflow constrained

• Focus on reducing finished goods inventory

• Slowing capital spending

Near Term Actions

Page 21: terex Gabelli120408

21

Cash Priorities

Maintain financial flexibility in current environment • No near term debt maturities • Current leverage of 1x net debt / EBITDA

Internal investment with vigilanceValue generating acquisitions Returning cash to shareholders

• Currently suspended share repurchase program, pending access to credit markets

• $1.2 billion authorized through June 2009 ($0.6 B to date)

Page 22: terex Gabelli120408

22

• Diversified portfolio – geographic and product

• Positioned for long-term trends

• Infrastructure

• Developing markets

• Leadership position in over 75% of revenue base

• Internal initiatives will enhance operating performance

• Aggressively responding to changing market and credit conditions

Summary

Page 23: terex Gabelli120408

23

Questions?