Steve Ingham Chief Executive Officer · Record year for Group Gross Profit £855.5m £814.9m FY...
Transcript of Steve Ingham Chief Executive Officer · Record year for Group Gross Profit £855.5m £814.9m FY...
Steve Ingham
Kelvin Stagg
Chief Executive Officer
Chief Financial Officer
LSE: PAGE.L
Website: https://www.page.com/investors
5 March 2020
Full Year Results 2019
“A record year for the Group”
Headline Numbers
Steve Ingham, Chief Executive Officer
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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Key financial highlights
Record year for Group Gross Profit
£855.5m£814.9m FY 2018
+5.0%+15.9% FY 2018
Gross Profit
Constant
Currency
Growth
£146.7m£142.5m FY 2018
17.1%17.5% FY 2018
Operating
Profit
Conversion
Rate
32.2p32.5p FY 2018
£97.8m£97.7m FY 2018
32.1p26.5p FY 2017
Earnings
Per Share
Net Cash
£83.5m£81.3m FY 2018
26.43p25.83p FY 2018
Total
dividends
paid
Total Dividend
Per Share
Financial Review
Kelvin Stagg, Chief Financial Officer
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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Tough trading conditions in a number of markets decreased conversion rate
Record gross profit for the Group
FY 2019 FY 2018
£m Gross ProfitOperating
Profit
Conversion
Rate*Gross Profit
Operating
Profit
Conversion
Rate*
Group 855.5 146.7 17.1% 814.9 142.5 17.5%
EMEA 418.3 90.3 21.6% 394.3 85.6 21.7%
Asia Pacific 163.3 19.8 12.1% 161.2 26.8 16.6%
Americas 138.8 19.3 13.9% 121.0 16.7 13.8%
UK 135.1 17.3 12.8% 138.4 13.4 9.7%
• Increase of £4.2m in operating profit, growth in constant currency +2.2%
• Conversion rate decrease of 0.4ppts to 17.1%, due to tough trading conditions in a number of markets
* Operating profit as a percentage of gross profit
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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Tough trading conditions in a number of markets decreased conversion rate
Record gross profit for the Group
FY 2019 FY 2018
£m Gross ProfitOperating
Profit
Conversion
RateGross Profit
Operating
Profit
Conversion
Rate
Group 855.5 146.7 17.1% 814.9 142.5 17.5%
EMEA 418.3 90.3 21.6% 394.3 85.6 21.7%
Asia Pacific 163.3 19.8 12.1% 161.2 26.8 16.6%
Americas 138.8 19.3 13.9% 121.0 16.7 13.8%
UK 135.1 17.3 12.8% 138.4 13.4 9.7%
• Conversion was broadly flat on 2018 at 21.6%
• Uncertain macro-economic and political climate impacting confidence
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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Tough trading conditions in a number of markets decreased conversion rate
Record gross profit for the Group
FY 2019 FY 2018
£m Gross ProfitOperating
Profit
Conversion
RateGross Profit
Operating
Profit
Conversion
Rate
Group 855.5 146.7 17.1% 814.9 142.5 17.5%
EMEA 418.3 90.3 21.6% 394.3 85.6 21.7%
Asia Pacific 163.3 19.8 12.1% 161.2 26.8 16.6%
Americas 138.8 19.3 13.9% 121.0 16.7 13.8%
UK 135.1 17.3 12.8% 138.4 13.4 9.7%
• Continued investment in two Large, High Potential markets in the region
• Investment into new markets such as Nikkei market in Japan, Bangalore and Canberra offices and new disciplines in
Page Personnel Australia
• Trade tariff uncertainty and social unrest in Hong Kong
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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Tough trading conditions in a number of markets decreased conversion rate
Record gross profit for the Group
FY 2019 FY 2018
£m Gross ProfitOperating
Profit
Conversion
RateGross Profit
Operating
Profit
Conversion
Rate
Group 855.5 146.7 17.1% 814.9 142.5 17.5%
EMEA 418.3 90.3 21.6% 394.3 85.6 21.7%
Asia Pacific 163.3 19.8 12.1% 161.2 26.8 16.6%
Americas 138.8 19.3 13.9% 121.0 16.7 13.8%
UK 135.1 17.3 12.8% 138.4 13.4 9.7%
• Conversion rate broadly flat on 2018
• Improvements in productivity offset by continued investment in the US and Latin America
• Conversion also impacted by tougher conditions in New York FS market and social unrest in Chile
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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Tough trading conditions in a number of markets decreased conversion rate
Record gross profit for the Group
FY 2019 FY 2018
£m Gross ProfitOperating
Profit
Conversion
RateGross Profit
Operating
Profit
Conversion
Rate
Group 855.5 146.7 17.1% 814.9 142.5 17.5%
EMEA 418.3 90.3 21.6% 394.3 85.6 21.7%
Asia Pacific 163.3 19.8 12.1% 161.2 26.8 16.6%
Americas 138.8 19.3 13.9% 121.0 16.7 13.8%
UK 135.1 17.3 12.8% 138.4 13.4 9.7%
• Tight control of our cost base, partially due to reduction in headcount
• Customer First – increasing productivity and repeat business, reduction in travel and UK management team
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
• Reduction in fee earner headcount of 89 (-1.5%); a reaction to
tough market conditions
• Employee costs driven by inflationary salary rises
• Page Vision target fee earner to operational support staff ratio
of 82:18
Fee earner to operational support staff ratio of 78:22
Headcount responded to tough market conditions
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
Su
pp
ort
sta
ff a
s %
of
Gro
up
he
ad
co
un
t
10
2019 £m Constant %
Employee 545.9 +5.9%
Other costs 162.9 +5.4%
Total 708.8 +5.8%
Employee costs % 77%
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
Underlying tax rate broadly flat on prior year
Increase in Effective Tax Rate to 28.3%
£m 2019 2018 Reported %
Profit Before Tax 144.2 142.3 +1.4%
Tax Charge 40.8 38.6 +5.8%
Underlying 28.3% 28.1%
One off items - (1.0%)
Effective Tax Rate 28.3% 27.1%
• 2020 Effective Tax Rate expected to be c. 28%
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Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
Net cash of c. £98m
A strong and robust balance sheet
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£m 2019 2018
Intangible assets 39.1 33.4
Tangible assets 31.9 35.6
Right-of-use assets 120.2 -
Trade and other receivables 380.6 361.9
Trade, other payables, current and deferred taxes (216.6) (210.0)
Lease liabilities (128.6) -
Net cash 97.8 97.7
Net assets 324.4 318.6
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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Marginal benefit to EBIT of c. £2m
IFRS 16 Leases
• IFRS 16 adopted using the modified retrospective method on 1 January 2019
• Right-of-use assets and lease liabilities recognised, were previously classified as operating leases
• Right-of-use assets of £126.2m and lease liabilities of £134.5m on transition
• Straight line rental expense has been replaced by depreciation of right-of-use assets and interest on lease liabilities
2019 £m
Lease charge 38.5
Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortisation (EBITDA) 38.5
Depreciation expense (36.6)
Earnings Before Interest & Tax (EBIT) 1.9
Finance costs (2.0)
Profit Before Tax (PBT) (0.1)
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
Fifth consecutive year of special dividend
Cash flow generation remains strong
Cash Increase Decrease
14
97.7 97.8 97.8
210.0
15.9
37.4
24.6 7.2
10.0
38.2
83.5
40
80
120
160
200
240
280
320
Dec 18 EBITDA WorkingCapital
Tax and netinterest
Net capex Shareoptions
exercised
EBT sharepurchases
LeaseLiability
repayments
DividendsPaid
Exchange Dec 19
£m
7.5
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
Committed to returning cash to shareholders, over £380m in 5 years
A growing ordinary dividend through the cycle
11.3 11.6 12.3 13.1 13.8
23.7 24.6 25.9 27.4 29.0
50.1
20.1
40.140.8
40.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2015 2016* 2017 2018 2019
£m
Dividends Paid
Interim Final Special
25.23p
18.44p
27.50p
• Final 2019 dividend proposed of 9.40p per share (+4.4%)
• Return per share of 26.43p in 2019
• Total dividends over £380m in past five years
2019 Pence per share
Interim (Paid) 4.30
Special (Paid) 12.73
Final (Proposed) 9.40
Total 26.43
15
25.83p
*2016 special dividend lower due to EBT purchases of £20m
26.43p
Summary and Outlook
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
Strategic investments driving capability & growth
17
Final dividend of 9.00 pence per share, increase on 2017 of +4.7%
20m marketing emails sent, 3 x industry engagement
14m candidate applications in 2019
55m website visits in 2019: +9% YOY
Connected Customer Experience: Acquire, Engage, Nurture
Culture & Engagement framework devised and deployed
Culture as a competitive advantage
Continuous listening strategy
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
We remain mindful of macro-economic uncertainty
A record year for Group Gross Profit
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Final dividend of 9.00 pence per share, increase on 2017 of +4.7%
Final dividend of 9.40 pence per share, increase on 2018 of +4.4%
Total dividends paid in 2019 of £83.5m
Fee earners reduced by 89, -1.5%
Conversion rate of 17.1%
Operating Profit of £146.7m
Gross Profit in constant currency +5.0%
Record year for Group Gross Profit
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
Reacting quickly to market conditions
Outlook
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Final dividend of 9.00 pence per share, increase on 2017 of +4.7%Continue to progress towards our Vision
Business model enables us to react quickly to market conditions
Emergence of COVID-19
Growth slowed to -3% in first two months of 2020
Likely that foreign exchange headwinds will persist
Appendix
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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Our Business Model
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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Delivering on our global diversification strategy
A growing international business
61%
39%
76%
24%
84%
16%
FY 2007 FY 2013 FY 2019
Gross Profit
InternationalUK
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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68%
87% 88%
69%
32%
13% 12%
31%
EMEA Asia Pacific Americas UK
Temp Perm
84%
57%
16%
43%
Michael Page Page Personnel
Geography Brands
Significant variations in recruitment mix
FY 2019 FY 2019
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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Track record of Shareholder returns
£m
13 12 13 1418
2227 26 25
29 31 31 3135 36 38 41 4114
24
34
83
60
1615
30
50
20
4040 42
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Dividend and Share Buybacks
Ordinary Dividend Share Buybacks Special Dividend
1
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
EMEA
918
2,610
1,352
1,147
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
1990-99 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Fe
e E
arn
er
He
ad
co
un
t
AMERICAS
ASIA
PACIFIC
25
1985-1990 1990-1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017 2018
Portugal
(2000)
Switzerland
(2001)
Belgium
(2002)
Sweden
(2002)
Poland S Africa
Ireland
UAE
Austria
Turkey
Luxembourg
Morocco
Thailand
Indonesia
Taiwan
India
MalaysiaNew
Zealand
Japan
(2001)
China
(2003)
Australia
(1985)
USA (1998) Brazil (2000) Canada Mexico Chile Colombia Peru
INT
ER
NA
TIO
NA
L G
RO
WT
H
France
(1986)
Netherlands
(1987)
Germany
(1993)
Spain
(1997)
Italy
(1997)
Hong Kong
(1995)
Singapore
(1996)
Argentina
UKASIA
PACIFICEMEA AMERICAS
Long term fee earner and international growth
2019
Vietnam
2016
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
H1H2H1H2H1H2H1H2H1H2H1H2H1H2H1H2H1H2H1H2H1H2H1H2H1H2H1H2H1H2H1H2H1H2
He
ad
cou
nt
Fee Earner Support Staff
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Fee earner investment and support staff
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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Year-on-Year Gross Profit Rates
2017 2018 2019
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
EMEA +14.8% +13.2% +12.6% +19.3% +18.2% +18.6% +20.9% +13.9% +11.4% +9.0% +5.6% +2.3%
Asia Pacific +3.9% +6.8% +13.9% +14.9% +13.8% +18.4% +27.7% +22.0% +14.9% +4.7% -8.1% -7.9%
– Asia +3.6% +10.2% +21.9% +20.8% +17.8% +21.2% +32.2% +21.2% +15.6% +5.8% -10.6% -7.6%
– Australasia +4.7% -1.5% -4.4% +0.7% +4.3% +10.6% +15.7% +25.0% +13.0% +0.9% +1.1% -9.6%
Americas +15.2% +13.8% +18.4% +18.8% +20.4% +29.2% +30.1% +29.2% +21.4% +17.4% +13.0% +5.0%
– North America +12.5% +14.6% +26.5% +18.7% +16.4% +27.0% +27.2% +30.3% +20.9% +18.9% +10.3% +4.6%
– Latin America +19.2% +12.8% +9.1% +19.0% +25.7% +32.2% +33.9% +27.7% +21.6% +15.3% +16.9% +5.5%
UK -0.1% -4.5% -7.6% -2.8% -7.1% -1.9% +0.8% +2.1% +1.7% -2.4% -4.1% -4.8%
Group Total +9.1% +7.7% +8.8% +13.8% +12.3% +16.0% +19.7% +15.4% +11.7% +7.4% +2.1% -0.4%
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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Contacts and Calendar
Contacts
Jeremy Tatham – Group Financial Controller
Tel: +44 (0) 1932 264 143
Email: [email protected]
Web: http://www.page.com/investors
Date Event
15 April 2020 Q1 2020 Trading Update
Headline Numbers Financial Review Summary and Outlook
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