Sociedades sin Destino, Taurus, Buenos Aires, 2010

Globalization tends to create cooperation

Globalization tends to promote international trade

Globalization contributes to peace Globalization generates intercommunications

Globalization erodes nationalism

The global system after WWII What happened to the Soviet Union? What happened to the United States? What happened to the less developed areas of the system?

Great Resilience Many other crises 43% Global Arms Market Growth: one Mexico a year in 2002, one and a half Mexico a year in 2012.

1996: top economic performance 2012: medium economic performance (who measures?)

Most important global power Most important global culture (videos, internet, Hollywood)

Universities and Higher Education: most important in the world

Educational Market: dominated by the United States

Disney, Apple, Microsoft, Pix, IBM, Radium, Oracle,

Movie Industry: exporter or American Values

Publishing Houses US publishes 2.000.000 books a year Electronic Books: leaders in the world

Northern Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras and Salvador dependent on remittance $ (40 to 60% GDP comes from remittances).

Tahiti, Java, Sierra Leone, Rwanda, and Nigeria: 30 to 40 % remittances (2011)

30 to 40 years: developed countries must open their borders to younger immigrants

Paris and other European Cities: Islamic groups will be a majority

Young population: minority in developed countries; first time in history.

Immigrants will control cities

Latin America: mistrust, collapse of security systems, and negligence on the part of governments to fix the problem, has rendered one of the most insecure regions in the world.

Strong states could emerge, but they may not fix the problem

40% of hospital capacity is used for victims of violence

Cultural tendency to blame others (see example of “la culpa es de la vaca” in the book)

Governments accuse enemies instead of resolving problems

Governments tend not to plan for the long run with huge consequences for society and institutions

Levels of institutionalization are low

Much of the future of LA will depend upon its relation with the US

Agricultural Prices in the US: variations and taxation

The new Asian Market The Latin American industrialization: old ISI

Asian Industrialization: Industry for Export with local capital participation