Slides for NERI Seminar - Summary of Social Housing Assessments 2016

Summary of Social Housing

Needs Assessment

Daragh McCarthy, Researcher

22 February 2017

NERI Seminar

www.housingagency.ie


Demand and Need

2


Max qualifying income bands

3

Lowest

Band

Middle

Band

Highest

Band


Net household income bands for those qualified

and in need of housing support

4

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

Up to €10,000

€10,001 -€15,000

€15,001 -€20,000

€20,001 -€25,000

€25,001 -€30,000

More than €30,000

(15%)

(9%)

(3%)

(1%)

(41%)

(31%)


Summary Report

5

Total Number of Qualified

Households 2016

91, 600

Total Number of Qualified

Households 2013

89, 872

Increase between 2013 and

2016

1,728

(+1.9%)


Net need over time

6

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

'93 '96 '99 '02 '05 '08 '11 '13* '16

www.housingagency.ie7

Net need across the county (number of

households),1991 - 2011


Net need across the county (number of

households),1991 - 2011


2016

(no)

2016

(%)

Leitrim Local Authority 363 0.0040

Monaghan Local Authority 514 0.0056

Roscommon Local Authority 560 0.0061

Longford Local Authority 644 0.0070

Carlow Local Authority 719 0.0078

Areas with the lowest net need, 2016

Households in the five authoritieswith lowest numbers on the listrepresent 3% of the total net needfor social housing support


2016

(no)

2016

(%)

Dublin City Council 19,811 0.2163

Fingal County Council 6,858 0.0749

Kildare County Council 5,572 0.0608

South Dublin County Council 5,562 0.0607

Cork City Council 4,440 0.0485

Areas with the highest net need, 2016

Households in the five

authorities with highest numbers

on the list represent 46% of the

total net need for social housing

support

Three of the top five areas of

need for support are in Dublin


Net need as a percentage of the stock, 2016

11

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10G

alw

ay C

ity

Dublin

City

Cork

City

Kild

are

Fin

gal

Sou

th D

ub

lin

Kerr

y

We

stm

eath

Lou

th

Me

ath

Wic

klo

w

Kilk

enn

y

We

xfo

rd

DLR

Lim

erick

Lao

is

Cla

re

Lon

gfo

rd

Offa

ly

Carlo

w

Wa

terf

ord

Tip

pera

ry

Galw

ay C

ou

nty

Co

rk C

oun

ty

Slig

o

Cavan

Mo

nag

ha

n

Leitri

m

Ma

yo

Roscom

mo

n

Done

gal

%


Local Authorities that saw a drop in numbers

12

-2,500 -2,000 -1,500 -1,000 -500 0

Galway County Council

Dun Laoghaire Rathdown

Clare County Council

Tipperary County Council

Offaly County Council

Monaghan County Council

Kerry County Council

Mayo County Council

Waterford County Council

Carlow County Council

Donegal County Council

Cork County Council

South Dublin County Council

Louth County Council

Cork City Council(-31.1%)

(-31.7%)

(-10.5%)

(-11.7%)

(-24.4%)

(-31.1%)

(-15.0%)

(-16.0%)

(-5.2%)

(-26.1%)

(-11.5%)

(-6.5%)

(-3.2%)

(-1.9%)

(-0.6%)


Local Authorities that saw an increase in numbers

13

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500

Cavan County Council

Sligo County Council

Westmeath County Council

Longford County Council

Kilkenny County Council

Wicklow County Council

Leitrim County Council

Kildare County Council

Laois County Council

Roscommon County Council

Limerick County Council

Wexford County Council

Meath County Council

Fingal County Council

Galway City Council

Dublin City Council (22.5%)

(34.4%)

(13.9%)

(32.3%)

(31.5%)

(11.2%)

(122.2%)

(32.8%)

(2.2%)

(44.6%)

(3.4%)

(3.1%)

(7.9%)

(1.7%)

(4.0%)

(2.7%)


Household composition remains

very similar to 2013.

Single person households

represent 44% of all households

on the list.

Single persons with children

comprise roughly 30% of the

total number of households

qualified for support.

One in four households in need

of social housing are couples

with/without children

Household composition

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Single PersonHousehold

Single Personwith

child/children

Couple with orwithout

child/children

Multi-AdultHousehold

2013 2016

%


Employment status of primary applicant

0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000

Unemployed and in receipt ofsocial/community welfare benefit

Employed (full, part or self)

One parent family support only

Other

Homemaker (no income)

Employed in back to work / FAS scheme

Pensioner / Retired

Student/child full time education2016 2013

(60%)

(15%)

(8%)

(11%)

(5%)

(2%)

(3%)

(2%)

(2%)

(<1%)

(62%)

(20%)

(2%)

(2%)

(5%)


Sources of income

16

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

Social WelfareOnly

Employment Only Combination ofEmployment andSocial Welfare

Other*

2013 2016

(72%)

(11%)

(6%)(10%)

(67%)

(13%)

(8%)(12%)


Main need for support2013 2013

(%)

2016 2016

(%)

Change

(No)

Change

(%)

Dependent on Rent Supplement 46,584 52 39,296 43 -7,288 -15.6

Unsuitable—particular household

circumstances20,349 23 21,100 23 751 3.7

Requirement for separate

accommodation9,587 11 11,476 13 1,889 19.7

Living in an institution, emergency

accommodation or hostel2,808 3 5,401 6 2,593 92.3

Overcrowded accommodation 2,896 3 3,517 4 621 21.4

Unfit accommodation 647 1 2,304 3 1,657 256.1

Other 7,001 7.8 8,506 9.3 1,505 21.50

Main need for support


Current tenure status, 2013 and 2016

18

0 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 75,000

Owner Occupier

Emergency Accommodation / none

Other

Living with Relatives / Friends

Living with Parents

Private Rented Sector

2016

2013


Rent inflation

19

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

'76 '78 '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14

Private rent inflation

Overall CPI

HICP

Base 1996 = 100


Second most commonly cited basis of need, yet it’s hard to pin

down what the underlying need is. Broadly, it seems related to

difficulties meeting the cost of accommodation.

Compared to the aggregate results a greater proportion of

applicants in this category are:

1. Living in the PRS with no rent supplement

2. In employment

3. In need of general housing support (i.e., no particular

accommodation requirements)

Basis of need is recorded as “Unsuitable—

particular household circumstances”


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Private rentedaccom. with rent

supplement

Private rentedaccom. withoutrent supplement

Living withparents

Other

All categories of need

Unsuitable—particular household circumstances

Current tenure of those in the “Unsuitable—

particular household circumstances” category


All categories

of need

Unsuitable—Particular HH

Circumstances

Unemployed & in receipt of SWB 59.8% 48.7%

Employed* 19.9% 34.8%

One parent family support 8.1% 4.1%

Other 12.3% 12.4%

Breakdown of employment status compared to all households

qualified for support

Employment status of those in the “Unsuitable—



All categories

of need

Unsuitable—Particular HH

Circumstances

General 85.0% 93.7%

Homeless 5.6% 1.1%

Enduring impairment 4.4% 0.6%

Other 4.9% 4.6%

Classification of housing need compared to all households

qualified for support

23

Accom. requirements for those in the “Unsuitable-



Time on the record

24

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000

Less than 6 months

Between 6 and 12 months

Between 1 and 2 years





More than 7 years

2016

2013(13%)

(11%)

(16%)

(15%)

(13%)

(12%)

(11%)

(9%)(21%)

(16%)

(10%)

(12%)

(13%)

(13%)

(7%)

(8%)


Housing supports and rent supplement,

2015/2016 (Rough Estimate)

25

• 26,904

[registered]

/30,000

• 17,998 (2015) [RAS]

• 15,760 [HAP]

• 56,959 (end 2015)

• 129,860

6,929[SHCEP]

Permanent [and leased]

Social Housing

Rent

Supplement

HousingAssociations

RAS & HAP Units


Vacant homes and net need

26

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

Carlo

w

Cavan

Cla

re

Cork

Do

ne

ga

l

Du

blin

Ga

lwa

y

Ke

rry

Kild

are

Kilk

enn

y

Lao

is

Leitrim

Lim

eric

k

Lon

gfo

rd

Lou

th

Ma

yo

Me

ath

Mo

na

gh

an

Tip

pe

rary

Offa

ly

Ro

scom

mo

n

Slig

o

Wa

terfo

rd

We

stm

eath

We

xfo

rd

Wic

klo

w

Net Need

Vacant units excludingholiday homes

Slides for NERI Seminar - Summary of Social Housing Assessments 2016

Economy & Finance

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