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13/09/2020 1 Waves 3. Statistics and Irregular Waves Statistics and Irregular Waves Statistics and Irregular Waves โ— Real wave fields are not regular โ— Combination of many periods, heights, directions โ— Design and simulation require realistic wave statistics: โ€’ probability distribution of heights โ€’ energy spectrum of frequencies (and directions) 1 2 3

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Page 1: Search for people | The University of Manchester - 03/09/2019ย ยท 2019-09-03ย ยท 03/09/2019 2 Measures of Wave Height ๐ป ๐‘ฅ Largest wave height in the sample ๐ป ๐‘ฅ=max ๐‘–

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Waves

3. Statistics and Irregular Waves

Statistics and Irregular Waves

Statistics and Irregular Waves

โ— Real wave fields are not regular

โ— Combination of many periods, heights, directions

โ— Design and simulation require realistic wave statistics:

โ€’ probability distribution of heights

โ€’ energy spectrum of frequencies (and directions)

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3. STATISTICS AND IRREGULAR WAVES

3.1 Measures of height and period

3.2 Probability distribution of wave heights

3.3 Wave spectra

3.4 Reconstructing a wave field

3.5 Prediction of wave climate

Statistics and Irregular Waves

Measures of Wave Height

๐ป๐‘š๐‘Ž๐‘ฅ Largest wave height in the sample ๐ป๐‘š๐‘Ž๐‘ฅ = max๐‘–(๐ป๐‘–)

๐ป๐‘Ž๐‘ฃ๐‘’ Mean wave height ๐ป๐‘Ž๐‘ฃ๐‘’ =1

๐‘๐ป๐‘–

๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘  Root-mean-square wave height ๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘  =1

๐‘๐ป๐‘–

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๐ป ฮค1 3 Average of the highest ๐‘/3 waves ๐ป ฮค1 3 =1

๐‘/3

1

๐‘/3

๐ป๐‘–

๐ป๐‘š0 Estimate based on the rms surface elevation ๐ป๐‘š0 = 4 ฮท2ฮค1 2

๐ป๐‘  Significant wave height Either ๐ป ฮค1 3 or ๐ป๐‘š0

Measures of Wave Period

๐‘‡๐‘  Significant wave period (average of highest ๐‘/3waves)

๐‘‡๐‘ Peak period (from peak frequency of energy spectrum)

๐‘‡๐‘’Energy period (period of a regular wave with same significant wave height andpower density; used in wave-energy prediction; derived from energy spectrum)

๐‘‡๐‘ง Mean zero up-crossing period

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3. STATISTICS AND IRREGULAR WAVES

3.1 Measures of height and period

3.2 Probability distribution of wave heights

3.3 Wave spectra

3.4 Reconstructing a wave field

3.5 Prediction of wave climate

Statistics and Irregular Waves

Probability Distribution of Wave Heights

For a narrow-banded frequency spectrum the Rayleigh probability distribution is appropriate:

๐‘ƒ height > ๐ป = exp โˆ’ ฮค(๐ป )๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 2

Cumulative distribution function:

๐น ๐ป = ๐‘ƒ height < ๐ป = 1 โˆ’ eโˆ’ ฮค๐ป ๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 2

Probability density function:

๐‘“ ๐ป =d๐น

d๐ป= 2

๐ป

๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 2 eโˆ’ ฮค๐ป ๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 

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Rayleigh Distribution

๐ป๐‘Ž๐‘ฃ๐‘’ โ‰ก ๐ธ ๐ป = เถฑ0

โˆž

๐ป ๐‘“ ๐ป d๐ป

๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 2 โ‰ก ๐ธ ๐ป2 = เถฑ

0

โˆž

๐ป2 ๐‘“ ๐ป d๐ป

๐ป๐‘Ž๐‘ฃ๐‘’ =ฯ€

2๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘  = 0.886 ๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 

๐ป ฮค1 3 = 1.416 ๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 

๐ป ฮค1 10 = 1.800 ๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 

๐ป ฮค1 100 = 2.359 ๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 

๐‘ƒ height > ๐ป = exp โˆ’ ฮค(๐ป )๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 2

Single parameter: ๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 

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Example

Near a pier, 400 consecutive wave heights are measured.Assume that the sea state is narrow-banded.

(a) How many waves are expected to exceed 2๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ ?

(b) If the significant wave height is 2.5 m, what is๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ ?

(c) Estimate the wave height exceeded by 80 waves.

(d) Estimate the number of waves with a height between1.0 m and 3.0 m.

Near a pier, 400 consecutive wave heights are measured. Assume that the sea state isnarrow-banded.(a) How many waves are expected to exceed 2๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ ?(b) If the significant wave height is 2.5 m, what is ๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ ?(c) Estimate the wave height exceeded by 80 waves.(d) Estimate the number of waves with a height between 1.0 m and 3.0 m.

๐‘ƒ height > ๐ป = eโˆ’ ฮค๐ป ๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 2

๐‘ƒ height > 2๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘  = eโˆ’4(a)

= 0.01832

In 400 waves, ๐‘› = 400 ร— 0.01832

๐ป ฮค1 3 = 1.416 ๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ (b)

2.5 = 1.416 ๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 

๐‘ฏ๐’“๐’Ž๐’” = ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ” ๐ฆ

(c) ๐‘ƒ height > ๐ป = eโˆ’ ฮค๐ป ๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 2=

80

400= 0.2

๐ป/๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 2 = โˆ’ ln 0.2

๐ป = ๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘  ร— โˆ’ ln0.2 = ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ ๐ฆ

๐‘ƒ 1.0 < height < 3.0 = ๐‘ƒ height > 1.0 โˆ’ ๐‘ƒ height > 3.0

= eโˆ’ 1.0/๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 2โˆ’ eโˆ’ 3.0/๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 

2

= 0.6699In 400 waves, ๐‘› = 400 ร— 0.6699

(d)

= ๐Ÿ•. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–

= ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ–. ๐ŸŽ

3. STATISTICS AND IRREGULAR WAVES

3.1 Measures of height and period

3.2 Probability distribution of wave heights

3.3 Wave spectra

3.4 Reconstructing a wave field

3.5 Prediction of wave climate

Statistics and Irregular Waves

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Regular vs Irregular Waves

Regular wave:- single frequency

Irregular wave:- many frequencies

Wave energy depends on ฮท2

Energy Spectrum

โ— โ€œSpectralโ€ means โ€œby frequencyโ€

โ— A spectrum is usually determined by a Fourier transform

โ— This splits a signal up into its component frequencies

โ— Energy in a wave is proportional to ฮท2, where ฮท is surface displacement

โ— The energy spectrum, or power spectrum, is the Fourier transform of ฮท2

Energy Spectrum

For regular waves (single frequency):

๐ธ =1

2ฯ๐‘”๐ด2 = ฯ๐‘” )ฮท2(๐‘ก =

1

8ฯ๐‘”๐ป2

For irregular waves (many frequencies):

๐‘† ๐‘“ d๐‘“

เถฑ๐‘“1

๐‘“2

๐‘† ๐‘“ d๐‘“

is the โ€œenergyโ€ in a small interval d๐‘“ near frequency ๐‘“

is the โ€œenergyโ€ between frequencies ๐‘“1 and ๐‘“2

(strictly: energy/ฯ๐‘”)

The energy spectrum ๐‘†(๐‘“) is determined by Fourier transforming ฮท2

ฮท = ๐ด cos ๐‘˜๐‘ฅ โˆ’ ฯ‰๐‘ก

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Model SpectraOpen ocean: Bretschneider spectrum

Fetch-limited seas: JONSWAP spectrum

Key parameters: peak frequency ๐‘“๐‘ ( =1/(peak period, ๐‘‡๐‘) )

significant wave height ๐ป๐‘š0

Model Spectra

Bretschneider spectrum:

JONSWAP spectrum:

๐‘† ๐‘“ =5

16๐ป๐‘š02

๐‘“๐‘4

๐‘“5exp โˆ’

5

4

๐‘“๐‘4

๐‘“4

๐‘† ๐‘“ = ๐ถ ๐ป๐‘š02

๐‘“๐‘4

๐‘“5exp โˆ’

5

4

๐‘“๐‘4

๐‘“4ฮณ๐‘

๐œŽ = เต0.07 ๐‘“ < ๐‘“๐‘0.09 ๐‘“ > ๐‘“๐‘

๐‘ = exp โˆ’1

2

ฮค๐‘“ ๐‘“๐‘ โˆ’ 1

ฯƒ

2

ฮณ = 3.3

Significant Wave Height, ๐‘ฏ๐’Ž๐ŸŽ

Bretschneider spectrum: ๐‘† ๐‘“ =5

16๐ป๐‘š02

๐‘“๐‘4

๐‘“5exp โˆ’

5

4

๐‘“๐‘4

๐‘“4

Total energy:๐ธ

ฯ๐‘”โ‰ก เถฑ

0

โˆž

๐‘† ๐‘“ d๐‘“ =1

16๐ป๐‘š02

๐ป๐‘š0 = 4 ฮค๐ธ ฯ ๐‘” = 4 )ฮท2(๐‘ก

Total energy for a regular wave:๐ธ

ฯ๐‘”=1

8๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 2

Same energy if ๐ป๐‘š0 = 2๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘  = 1.414๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 

Rayleigh distribution: ๐ป๐‘  = ๐ป ฮค1 3 = 1.416๐ป๐‘Ÿ๐‘š๐‘ 

๐‘ฏ๐’Ž๐ŸŽ and ๐‘ฏ ฮค๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ‘ can be used synonymously for ๐‘ฏ๐’” ...

โ€ฆ but ๐ป๐‘š0 is easier to measure!

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Finding Wave Parameters From a Spectrum

โ— Surface displacement ฮท(๐‘ก) is measured (e.g. wave buoy)

โ— ฮท2(๐‘ก) is Fourier-transformed to get energy spectrum ๐‘†(๐‘“)

โ— Height and period parameters are deduced from the peak and the momentsof the spectrum:

๐‘š๐‘› = เถฑ0

โˆž

๐‘“๐‘›๐‘† ๐‘“ d๐‘“

Peak period: ๐‘‡๐‘ =1

๐‘“๐‘

Significant wave height: ๐ป๐‘  = ๐ป๐‘š0 = 4 ๐‘š0

Energy period: ๐‘‡๐‘’ =๐‘šโˆ’1

๐‘š0

Multi-Modal Spectra

frequency f (Hz)

spect

ral d

ensi

ty S

(m

^2 s

)

swell

wind

3. STATISTICS AND IRREGULAR WAVES

3.1 Measures of height and period

3.2 Probability distribution of wave heights

3.3 Wave spectra

3.4 Reconstructing a wave field

3.5 Prediction of wave climate

Statistics and Irregular Waves

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Using a Spectrum To Generate a Wave Field

ฮท ๐‘ก = )๐‘Ž๐‘– cos(๐‘˜๐‘–๐‘ฅ โˆ’ ฯ‰๐‘–๐‘ก โˆ’ ๐œ™๐‘–

amplitude

๐‘† ๐‘“๐‘– d๐‘“ = ๐ธ๐‘– =1

2๐‘Ž๐‘–2 ๐‘Ž๐‘– = 2๐‘† ๐‘“๐‘– d๐‘“

(angular) frequency

ฯ‰๐‘– = 2ฯ€๐‘“๐‘–

wavenumber

๐œ”๐‘–2 = ๐‘”๐‘˜๐‘– tanh๐‘˜๐‘–โ„Ž

random phase

Simulated Wave Field๐‘‡๐‘ = 8 s

๐ป๐‘  = 1.0 m

โ„Ž = 30 mRegular waves:

Irregular waves:

Focused waves:

Example

An irregular wavefield at a deep-water location is characterisedby peak period of 8.7 s and significant wave height of 1.5 m.

(a) Provide a sketch of a Bretschneider spectrum, labelling bothaxes with variables and units and indicating the frequenciescorresponding to both the peak period and the energy period.

Note: Calculations are not needed for this part.

(b) Determine the power density (in kW mโ€“1) of a regular wavecomponent with frequency 0.125 Hz that represents thefrequency range 0.12 to 0.13 Hz of the irregular wave field.

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An irregular wavefield at a deep-water location is characterised by peak period of 8.7 s andsignificant wave height of 1.5 m.

(a) Provide a sketch of a Bretschneider spectrum, labelling both axes with variables and unitsand indicating the frequencies corresponding to both the peak period and the energyperiod.

frequency f (Hz)

spect

ral d

ensi

ty S

(m

^2 s

)

fp fe

An irregular wavefield at a deep-water location is characterised by peak period of 8.7 s andsignificant wave height of 1.5 m.

(b) Determine the power density (in kW mโ€“1) of a regular wave component with frequency0.125 Hz that represents the frequency range 0.12 to 0.13 Hz of the irregular wave field.

๐‘“ = 0.125 Hz

ฮ”๐‘“ = 0.01 Hz

๐‘‡๐‘ = 8.7 s ๐ป๐‘  = 1.5 m

๐‘“๐‘ =1

๐‘‡๐‘

๐‘† ๐‘“ = 1.645 m2 s

๐ธ = ฯ๐‘” ร— ๐‘† ๐‘“ ฮ”๐‘“

๐‘ƒ = ๐ธ๐‘๐‘” = ๐ธ(๐‘›๐‘) Deep water: ๐‘› =1

2

๐‘ =๐‘”๐‘‡

2ฯ€

๐‘‡ =1

๐‘“= 8 s

๐‘ท = ๐Ÿ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘ ๐ค๐–๐ฆโˆ’๐Ÿ

= 0.1149 Hz

= 165.4 J mโˆ’2

= 12.49 m sโˆ’1

๐‘† ๐‘“ =5

16๐ป๐‘ 2๐‘“๐‘4

๐‘“5ex p( โˆ’

5

4

๐‘“๐‘4

๐‘“4)

3. STATISTICS AND IRREGULAR WAVES

3.1 Measures of height and period

3.2 Probability distribution of wave heights

3.3 Wave spectra

3.4 Reconstructing a wave field

3.5 Prediction of wave climate

Statistics and Irregular Waves

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Terminology

A wave climate or sea state is a model wave spectrum, usually defined by a representative height and period, for use in:

โ— forecasting (from a weather forecast in advance)

โ— nowcasting (from ongoing weather)

โ— hindcasting (reconstruction from previous event)

Prediction of Sea State

Require: significant wave height, ๐ป๐‘ significant wave period, ๐‘‡๐‘  (or peak period, ๐‘‡๐‘)

Depend on: wind speed, ๐‘ˆfetch, ๐นduration, ๐‘กgravity, ๐‘”

Dimensional analysis:

Empirical functions: JONSWAP or SMB curves

เตฐ๐‘”๐ป๐‘ ๐‘ˆ2 = ๐‘“๐‘ข๐‘›๐‘๐‘ก๐‘–๐‘œ๐‘›(

๐‘”๐น

๐‘ˆ2 ,๐‘”๐‘ก

๐‘ˆ

แ‰‡๐‘”๐‘‡๐‘๐‘ˆ

= ๐‘“๐‘ข๐‘›๐‘๐‘ก๐‘–๐‘œ๐‘›(๐‘”๐น

๐‘ˆ2 ,๐‘”๐‘ก

๐‘ˆ

Fetch-Limited vs Duration-Limited

distance travelled by wave energy greater than fetch F

F

distance travelled by wave energy less than fetch F

F

Feff

FETCH-LIMITED

DURATION-LIMITED

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JONSWAP CurvesFor fetch-limited waves:

๐‘”๐ป๐‘ ๐‘ˆ2

= 0.0016๐‘”๐น

๐‘ˆ2

ฮค1 2

(up to maximum 0.2433)

๐‘”๐‘‡๐‘๐‘ˆ

= 0.286๐‘”๐น

๐‘ˆ2

ฮค1 3

(up to maximum 8.134)

Waves are fetch-limited provided the storm has blown for a minimum time๐‘ก๐‘š๐‘–๐‘› given by

๐‘”๐‘ก

๐‘ˆ ๐‘š๐‘–๐‘›= 68.8

๐‘”๐น

๐‘ˆ2

ฮค2 3

up to maximum 7.15 ร— 104

Otherwise the waves are duration-limited, and the fetch used to determineheight and period is an effective fetch determined by inversion using the actualstorm duration ๐‘ก:

๐‘”๐น

๐‘ˆ2๐‘’๐‘“๐‘“

=1

68.8

๐‘”๐‘ก

๐‘ˆ

ฮค3 2

JONSWAP Curves (reprise)

๐ป๐‘  = 0.0016 ๐น ฮค1 2

๐‘‡๐‘ = 0.286 ๐น ฮค1 3

ฦธ๐‘ก๐‘š๐‘–๐‘› = 68.8 ๐น ฮค2 3

๐น โ‰ก๐‘”๐น

๐‘ˆ2 , ฦธ๐‘ก โ‰ก๐‘”๐‘ก

๐‘ˆ, ๐ป๐‘  โ‰ก

๐‘”๐ป๐‘ ๐‘ˆ2 , ๐‘‡๐‘ โ‰ก

๐‘”๐‘‡๐‘๐‘ˆ

JONSWAP and SMB Curves

Solid lines: JONSWAP

Dashed lines: SMB

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Example

(a) Wind has blown at a consistent ๐‘ˆ = 20m sโˆ’1

over a fetch ๐น = 100 km for ๐‘ก = 6 hrs .Determine๐ป๐‘  and ๐‘‡๐‘ using the JONSWAP curves.

(b) If the wind blows steadily for another 4 hourswhat are ๐ป๐‘  and ๐‘‡๐‘?

(a) Wind has blown at a consistent ๐‘ˆ = 20 m sโˆ’1 over a fetch ๐น = 100 km for ๐‘ก = 6 hrs.Determine ๐ป๐‘  and ๐‘‡๐‘ using the JONSWAP curves.

๐‘ˆ = 20 m sโˆ’1

๐น = 105 m

๐‘ก = 6 ร— 3600 = 21600 s

๐น โ‰ก๐‘”๐น

๐‘ˆ2

ฦธ๐‘ก =๐‘”๐‘ก

๐‘ˆ

ฦธ๐‘ก๐‘š๐‘–๐‘› = 68.8 ๐น ฮค2 3

ฦธ๐‘ก๐‘š๐‘–๐‘› = 68.8 ๐น ฮค2 3 = 12510

๐ป๐‘  = 0.0016 ๐น1/2

๐‘‡๐‘ = 0.286 ๐น1/3

๐น โ‰ก๐‘”๐น

๐‘ˆ2ฦธ๐‘ก โ‰ก

๐‘”๐‘ก

๐‘ˆ๐ป๐‘  โ‰ก

๐‘”๐ป๐‘ ๐‘ˆ2

Duration-limited

๐น๐‘’๐‘“๐‘“ =ฦธ๐‘ก

68.8

ฮค3 2

๐ป๐‘  = 0.0016 ๐น๐‘’๐‘“๐‘“ฮค1 2

๐‘‡๐‘ = 0.286 ๐น๐‘’๐‘“๐‘“ฮค1 3

๐ป๐‘  = ๐ป๐‘  ร—๐‘ˆ2

๐‘”

๐‘‡๐‘ = ๐‘‡๐‘ ร—๐‘ˆ

๐‘”

= 1910

= 0.06993

= 3.548

= ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ ๐ฆ

= ๐Ÿ•. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘ ๐ฌ

= 2453

= 10590

(b) If the wind blows steadily for another 4 hours what are ๐ป๐‘  and ๐‘‡๐‘?

๐‘ˆ = 20 m sโˆ’1

๐น = 105 m

๐‘ก = 10 ร— 3600 = 36000 s

๐น = 2453

ฦธ๐‘ก =๐‘”๐‘ก

๐‘ˆ

ฦธ๐‘ก๐‘š๐‘–๐‘› = 68.8 ๐น ฮค2 3

ฦธ๐‘ก๐‘š๐‘–๐‘› = 12510

๐ป๐‘  = 0.0016 ๐น1/2

๐‘‡๐‘ = 0.286 ๐น1/3

๐น โ‰ก๐‘”๐น

๐‘ˆ2ฦธ๐‘ก โ‰ก

๐‘”๐‘ก

๐‘ˆ๐ป๐‘  โ‰ก

๐‘”๐ป๐‘ ๐‘ˆ2

Fetch-limited

๐ป๐‘  = 0.0016 ๐น1/2

๐‘‡๐‘ = 0.286 ๐น1/3

๐ป๐‘  = ๐ป๐‘  ร—๐‘ˆ2

๐‘”

๐‘‡๐‘ = ๐‘‡๐‘ ร—๐‘ˆ

๐‘”

= 0.07924

= 3.857

= ๐Ÿ‘. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ ๐ฆ

= ๐Ÿ•. ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ‘ ๐ฌ

= 17660

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