Research & Forecast Report Q1 2015 Jakarta Apartment

download Research & Forecast Report Q1 2015 Jakarta Apartment

of 6

Transcript of Research & Forecast Report Q1 2015 Jakarta Apartment

  • 8/19/2019 Research & Forecast Report Q1 2015 Jakarta Apartment

    1/11

    Apartment Sector Apartment for Strata-title

    Supply 

    Commencing in 2015, the cumulative supply of apartment units in

    Jakarta grew at a moderate pace. Te apartment market received

    3,255 new units, up by 2.3% QoQ, from seven projects comprising

    four brand new projects and three extension towers. Tese 3,255

    units, or 11% of the total projected 29,451 new units that will be

    completed this year, are scattered in all areas of Jakarta, except the

    CBD. Of the total supply in this quarter, 38% is located in South

    Jakarta, while the remaining portions are located in North Jakarta

    (25%), East Jakarta (22%), West Jakarta (11%) and Central Jakarta

    (6%). Overall, with the addition from newly-completed projects,

    the total existing stock of strata-title apartments in Jakarta rose

    to 146,300 units. By location, the non-prime areas (North Jakarta

    and West Jakarta) dominate the market with 22.2% and 21.6% of

    the total stock, respectively. Te remaining stock is distributed in

    South Jakarta, CBD area and Central Jakarta at 21.1%, 15.7% and

    13.2%, respectively, while East Jakarta had a mere 6.2% of the total

    inventory.

    Te first quarter of the year began with optimism amongdevelopers as they launched several new apartment projects.

    Compared to the same quarter last year, there were 7,276 newly-

    introduced and launched units, 115% higher than in the same

    period last year. Demand for apartments in Jakarta has been

    notably strong during the last three years, evidenced by almost

    all new completed apartment projects achieving more than a 90%

    sales rate. Apartment units are still perceived as an investment

    tool as they provide capital gains of around 10 - 25% (if bought at

    the initial offering) and rental yield expectations of around 6 to 8%

    per year.

    Te reform of Indonesia’s fuel subsidy policy will have a positive

    impact on the property sector as the government aims to allocatethe budget to more productive uses, such as improvements in

    infrastructure. Te acceleration of infrastructure projects will

    expand the economy, in line with the government’s target of a

    5.5% GDP growth this year, an increase 0.5% from the growth in

    2014.

    Research &Forecast Report

    Jakarta | Apartment1Q 2015

    Accelerating success.

    “The “wait and see” attitude caused by national elections in 2014

    and a slowing economy as a result of the strengthening US dol-

    lar against local currencies in the Asia Pacific region reduced thegrowth rate of apartment supply last year. With only half of the

    total projected supply in 2014 being materialized (around 10,000

    units), 2015 will become a tougher market as 29,451 units are

     projected to be completed. As a result of the softening apartment

    market, prices of apartments only climbed modestly by 2.7% QoQ

    slightly lower than in the previous quarter of 3.1%. Meanwhile, the

    absorption rate of future apartment projects was down by 3.7% to

    68.4% QoQ.” 

    Ferry Salanto | Associate Director - Research

    https://twitter.com/colliersintl

  • 8/19/2019 Research & Forecast Report Q1 2015 Jakarta Apartment

    2/11

    2

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

    Notes:

    *Price excludes 10% VA

    **NUP (Indonesian term for Nomor Urut Pemesanan) or also known as priority pass is a new marketing strategy commonly applied by reputable developers to gauge the interestof potential buyer in the initial offering

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

    Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

    List of Completed Projects During 1Q 2015

    NAME OF DEVELOPMENT LOCATION REGION DEVELOPER NO. OF UNITS

     Belmont Residence (Tower Montblanc) Jl. Meruya Ilir West Jakarta Gapura Prima 350

    The Royal Springhil l (Lotus Tower) Jl. Spring Hill Residence Kemayoran Central Jakarta Springhil l Golf Group 192

    Titanium Square Jl. Raya Bogor, Pasar Rebo East Jakarta PT Titanium Property 725

    Northern Ancol Residence Ancol North Jakarta Jaya Ancol 800

    La Venue - South Tower Jl. Pasar Minggu South Jakarta PT Bintang Rajawali (Sinar Mas Group) 341

    Botanica Apartment Simprug, Kebayoran Baru South Jakarta Pikko Group 626

    Woodland Park (Trambesi tower) Jl. Kalibata Raya South Jakarta PT. Pardika Wisthi Sarana 221

    Newly-Introduced Apartment During 1Q 2015

    NAME OF DEVELOPMENT LOCATION REGIONEXPECTED

    COMPLETIONTIME

    ESTIMATED PRICE/SQ M*

    NO. OFUNITS

    REMARKS

    South Hill Jl. Denpasar Raya CBD 2018 IDR37 - 39 million 611 Pre-sales

    Green Pramuka (Nerine Tower) Jl. Pramuka Central Jakarta 2017 IDR16.7 million 1,000 Launched

    Podomoro Park Jl. I Gusti Ngurah Rai East Jakarta 2018 IDR18.5 million 3,000 Introduced (NUP system **)

    The Hamilton Jl. Teuku Nyak Arief South Jakarta 2017 IDR49.5 million 112 Introduced (NUP system**)

    Pakubuwono Spring Jl. Teuku Nyak Arief South Jakarta 2018 IDR51 million 545 Launched

    La Terrasse Jl. Deplu Raya No.12 South Jakarta 2018 IDR37 million 111 Launched

    Branz Simatupang (2 tower) Jl. TB Simatupang South Jakarta 2018 IDR28 million 381 Introduced

    Synthesis Residence Kemang Jl. Ampera Raya South Jakarta 2018 IDR29.5 million 1,100 Introduced (NUP system**)

    19 Avenue (Tower B) Jl. Daan Mogot West Jakarta 2017 IDR10.5 million 416 Launched

    https://twitter.com/colliersintlhttp://www.linkedin.com/company/colliers-international%3Ftrk%3Dhb_tab_compy_id_5227https://www.facebook.com/colliersglobal%3Frf%3D105632526137251

  • 8/19/2019 Research & Forecast Report Q1 2015 Jakarta Apartment

    3/11

    3

     As of 1Q 2015, there are 7,276 units at either newly-introduced

    or newly-launched projects, which are mainly located in South

    Jakarta, representing 53% of the total units. Among the districts

    in South Jakarta, B Simatupang remains in the spotlight as can

    be seen by the growing number of office developments that drive

    the growth of apartment development in the surrounding area.

    Te supply of new apartment units during 2015 is projected to be

    substantial, i.e. 29,451, should all projects be completed. All in

    all, the total projected units that will come into the market from

    2015 to 2018 will be 80,881 new units, mainly supplied in West

    Jakarta with 23% of the total supply, followed by East Jakarta

    and South Jakarta with 22 and 20%, respectively. ypically,

    apartment development in West Jakarta is characterised by

    massive unit projects targeting the middle-low income segment,

    offering small units in order to make prices affordable. Te units

    of these apartment projects typically come with areas from 22

    sq m for studio units to 70 - 80 sq m for 3-bedroom units. On

    the other hand, East Jakarta will see abundant new projects in

    the next two to three years, mainly coming from two projects, i.e.

    Green Signature and Bassura City, which are located in Cawangand Cipinang, respectively.

    The Distribution of Future Apartment Developmentsin Several Regions of Jakarta

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

    Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

    0

    5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,000

    30,000

    35,000

    2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F

       U  n   i   t  s

    CBD Central Jakarta South Jakarta

    North Jakarta East Jakarta West Jakarta

    New Supply Pipeline (2015 - 2019)

    APARTMENT NAME LOCATION REGION NO. OF UNITS

     The Grove (Empyreal + Masterpiece) Jl. HR Rasuna Said CBD 438

    Ciputra World - Luxurious Raffles Residences Jl. Prof Dr Satrio CBD 64

    Setiabudi Sky Garden (tower 1) Jl. Karbela Selatan CBD 426

    Setiabudi Sky Garden (tower 2) Jl. Karbela Selatan CBD 160

    Elpis Residence Gunung Sahari Central Jakarta 790

    Capitol Park Apartment (Tower T) Jl. Salemba Raya, Menteng Central Jakarta 727

    Capitol Park Apartment (Tower U) Jl. Salemba Raya, Menteng Central Jakarta 976

    The Mansion at Dukuh Golf Residence (Aurora Tower) Jl. Benyamin Sueb Kemayoran Central Jakarta 522

    The Mansion at Dukuh Golf Residence (BellaVista Tower) Jl. Benyamin Sueb Kemayoran Central Jakarta 612

    The H Residence Kemayoran (Amethyst) Jl. Rajawali Selatan Central Jakarta 800

    The Royal Springhill (Lotus Tower) Jl. Spring Hill Residence Kemayoran Central Jakarta 192

    The Royal Springhill (Bouvardia Tower) Jl. Spring Hill Residence Kemayoran Central Jakarta 120

    Casablanca East Residence (2 Twr) + Tower Dallas Jl. Pahlawan Revolusi East Jakarta 1,904

    Titanium Square Jalan Raya Bogor Kav. 27 Pasar Rebo East Jakarta 725

    The H Residence MT Haryono East Jakarta 383

    Bassura City (Tower Flamboyan) Jl. Basuki Rahmat East Jakarta 1,000

    Bassura City (Tower Edelweiss) Jl. Basuki Rahmat East Jakarta 1,000

    Bassura City (Tower Dahlia) Jl. Basuki Rahmat East Jakarta 1,000

    Bassura City (Tower Alamanda) Jl. Basuki Rahmat East Jakarta 600

    Bassura City (Tower Geranium) Jl. Basuki Rahmat East Jakarta 900

    Teluk Intan (Tower Saphire) Jl. Teluk Gong North Jakarta 1,100

    Pluit Seaview (Tower Maldives) Pluit North Jakarta 940

    Pluit Seaview (Tower Belize) Pluit North Jakarta 300

    Cal lia Apartment Jl. Perintis Kemerdekaan North Jakarta 560

    The Oak Tower (2 Towers) Jl. Perintis Kemerdekaan North Jakarta 821

    continued 

    https://twitter.com/colliersintlhttp://www.linkedin.com/company/colliers-international%3Ftrk%3Dhb_tab_compy_id_5227https://www.facebook.com/colliersglobal%3Frf%3D105632526137251

  • 8/19/2019 Research & Forecast Report Q1 2015 Jakarta Apartment

    4/11

    4 Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

    APARTMENT NAME LOCATION REGION NO. OF UNITS

    continued 

     Northern Ancol Residence (1Q) Ancol North Jakarta 800

    Green Bay Pluit (Sea View) Jl. Pluit Karang Ayu North Jakarta 2,072

    La Venue - South Tower (1Q) Jl. Pasar Minggu South Jakarta 341

    The Royal Olive Residence Tower I Jl. Buncit Raya South Jakarta 225

    Senopati Penthouse Jl. Senopati Kav 45 South Jakarta 63Senopati Suites 2 Jl. Senopati South Jakarta 81

    LA City Apartment (Tower A) Jl. Raya Lenteng Agung, Jagakarsa South Jakarta 980

    La Maison Barito Barito South Jakarta 80

    Botanica Apartment (3 Towers) Simprug, Kebayoran Baru South Jakarta 626

    Woodland Park (Trambesi tower) Jl. Kemukus No. 6, Fatahil lah South Jakarta 221

    1 Park Avenue (3 Towers) Jl. KHM Syafi' I Hadzami South Jakarta 279

    Nine Residence Warung Buncit South Jakarta 246

    Providence Park Jl. Kalimaya - Iskandar Muda South Jakarta 114

    Kencana Residence Jl. Sultan Iskandar Muda South Jakarta 173

    Izzara Apartment (South and North Tower) TB. Simatupang South Jakarta 542

    The Aspen Peak at Admiralty Jl. Fatmawati South Jakarta 644Niffaro Apartment (Ebony Tower) Jl. Kalibata Raya South Jakarta 288

    Grand Dhika Mansion Pejaten (Sector 1) Jl. Siaga Raya South Jakarta 44

    Metro Park Residence Kebon Jeruk West Jakarta 1,451

    St. Moritz (New Presidential Tower) Jl. Puri Indah West Jakarta 159

    Satu8 Residence Jl. Pilar Komp. Delta, Kedoya West Jakarta 174

    Belmont Residence (Tower Montblanc) Jl. Meruya Ilir West Jakarta 350

    The Nest Apartment Jl. Raden Saleh Raya, Meruya Utara West Jakarta 1,100

    Green Palm Residence @ Puri Jl. Kosambi West Jakarta 1,000

    19 Avenue Apartment 9 (Tower A) Daan Mogot West Jakarta 338

     The Residence (CWJ 2) Jl. Prov Dr Satrio Kav 6, Kuningan CBD 119

    The Orchad Satrio (CWJ 2) Jl. Prov Dr Satrio Kav 6, Kuningan CBD 349

    Sudirman Suites Jl. Sudirman CBD 380

    Gayanti City (2 Towers) Jl. Gatot Subroto CBD 318

    T - Plaza Residence (Tower A) Jl. Penjernihan I Kav.1 Pejompongan Central Jakarta 307

    Sentosa Residence Cempaka Putih Central Jakarta 687

    Sudirman Hi ll Residence Jl. Karet Pasar Baru Central Jakarta 255

    The Green Pramuka (Tower Orchid) Jl. Jenderal Ahmad Yani Central Jakarta 1,000

    The Green Pramuka (Tower Penelope) Jl. Jenderal Ahmad Yani Central Jakarta 1,000

    The Green Pramuka (Tower Scarlet) Jl. Jenderal Ahmad Yani Central Jakarta 1,000

    Capitol Suites Jl. Prapatan Raya Central Jakarta 327

    The Royal Springhill (Bulgari Tower) Jl. Spring Hill Residence Kemayoran Central Jakarta 192

    Hol land Village (Phase II) Cempaka Putih Central Jakarta 230

    Signature Park Grande Jl. MT. Haryono East Jakarta 1,100

    Bassura City (Tower Cattleya) Jl. Basuki Rahmat East Jakarta 600

    East Park Apartment (Tower C) Jl. KRT Radjiman East Jakarta 550

    Sentra Timur Residence (Tower Tosca) Pulo Gebang East Jakarta 133

    Pluit Seaview (Tower Ibiza) Pluit North Jakarta 500

    Pluit Seaview (Tower Bahama) Pluit North Jakarta 650

    La Venue - North Tower Jl. Pasar Minggu South Jakarta 253

    Kemang Vil lage (The Bloomington) Jl. P Antasari South Jakarta 150

    continued 

    https://twitter.com/colliersintlhttp://www.linkedin.com/company/colliers-international%3Ftrk%3Dhb_tab_compy_id_5227https://www.facebook.com/colliersglobal%3Frf%3D105632526137251

  • 8/19/2019 Research & Forecast Report Q1 2015 Jakarta Apartment

    5/11

    5 Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

    APARTMENT NAME LOCATION REGION NO. OF UNITS

    continuation

     Senopati Suites 3 Jl. Senopati South Jakarta 54

    Pakubuwono Terrace Grand Tower Kebayoran Lama South Jakarta 435

    District 8 (Tower Eternity) Jl. Senopati South Jakarta 400

    District 8 (Tower Infinity) Jl. Senopati South Jakarta 280

    Lexington Rersidence Pondok Pinang South Jakarta 275Apartment Pejaten Park Residence Jl. Warung Buncit Raya No.21 South Jakarta 560

    Four Winds Jl. Permata Hijau Raya No.1 South Jakarta 122

    Bellevue Place MT Haryono, Tebet South Jakarta 240

    Kebayoran Icon Jl. Ciledug Raya South Jakarta 256

    Sapphire Residence Lebak Bulus South Jakarta 37

    St Moritz (The New Ambassador Suite Tower) Jl. Puri Indah Kembangan West Jakarta 200

    The Windsor (Tower II) Jl. Puri Indah West Jakarta 164

    Gianetti Apartment Jl. Kebon Jeruk Raya, Kemanggisan West Jakarta 500

    Gallery West Jl. Panjang No 5 West Jakarta 280

    Belmont Residence (TowerAthena) Jl. Meruya Ilir West Jakarta 193

    Puri Mansion Apartment (Tower A) Puri Mansion West Jakarta 900Madison Park Tanjung Duren West Jakarta 1,200

    Veranda Jl. Pesanggrahan Raya, Kembangan West Jakarta 174

     Domaine Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav 1 CBD 186

    Verde Two (Tower East) Jl. Rasuna Said CBD 182

    Anandamaya Residences (3 towers) Jl. Jend Sudirman CBD 500

    Central 88 (2 Towers) Jl. Trembesi, Kemayoran Central Jakarta 612

    Menteng Park Jl. Cikini Raya No.79 Central Jakarta 756

    Holland Village Cempaka Putih Central Jakarta 400

    Royal Suites Kemayoran Central Jakarta 450

    The Green Pramuka (Tower Nerine) Jl. Jenderal Ahmad Yani Central Jakarta 1,000

    Green Signature Apartment Jl. MT. Haryono East Jakarta 800

    Podomoro Park Jl. I Gusti Ngurah Rai, Klender East Jakarta 3,000

    Bassura City (Tower Jasmine) 2 tower Jl. Basuki Rahmat East Jakarta 2,000

    Bassura City (Tower Heliconia) Jl. Basuki Rahmat East Jakarta 700

    La Terrasse Jl. Deplu Raya No.12 South Jakarta 111

    The Foresque Pasar Minggu, Ragunan South Jakarta 660

    The Langham Residences Senopati South Jakarta 57

    The Batik @ Pejaten Jl. Siaga Raya South Jakarta 200

    La Foret Vivante Jl. Limo, Permata Hijau South Jakarta 253Selatan 8 (Tower Sultan) Kebayoran Lama South Jakarta 336

    The Hamilton Jl. KHM Syafi'I Hadzami South Jakarta 112

    Puri Orchad (3 Tower) Jl Raya Adicipta West Jakarta 3,000

    Maqna Residence Jl. Meruya Ilir No. 88 West Jakarta 312

    Vittoria Residence (3 tower) Jl. Daan Mogot West Jakarta 1,100

    Wang Residence Jl. Panjang No 18 West Jakarta 250

    Taman Anggrek Residence (6 towers) Tanjung Duren West Jakarta 3,000

    19 Avenue Apartment (Tower B) Daan Mogot West Jakarta 416

    Regatta London Tower Jl. Pantai Mutiara North Jakarta 186

    continued 

    https://twitter.com/colliersintlhttp://www.linkedin.com/company/colliers-international%3Ftrk%3Dhb_tab_compy_id_5227https://www.facebook.com/colliersglobal%3Frf%3D105632526137251

  • 8/19/2019 Research & Forecast Report Q1 2015 Jakarta Apartment

    6/11

    6

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

    Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

    APARTMENT NAME LOCATION REGION NO. OF UNITS

    continuation

      Verde Two (Tower West) Jl. Rasuna Said CBD 152

    Lavie Jl. Denpasar Raya CBD 320

    South Hill Jl. Denpasar Raya CBD 611

    Le' Parc Jl. Thamrin CBD 100

    Regent Residences (tower 1) Semanggi CBD 100

    Core Sky Residence Pulo Gebang East Jakarta 282

    Sahid Garden Residence Ciracas East Jakarta 476

    Gold Coast Apartment (Atlantic Tower) Pantai Indah Kapuk North Jakarta 568

    Regatta Apartment (Tower New York) Pantai Mutiara North Jakarta 186

    Sedayu City (Tower Berlin) Jl. Pegangsaan Dua Raya North Jakarta 912

    The Kensington Royal Suites (4 Tower) Kelapa Gading North Jakarta 790

    Jaya Ancol Seafront - Oceana Tower Pademangan, Ancol North Jakarta 524

    Casa Grande Residence 2 (Tower Angelo) Jl. Casablanca South Jakarta 350

    Casa Grande Residence 2 (Tower Bella) Jl. Casablanca South Jakarta 350

    Casa Grande Residence 2 (Tower Milano) Jl. Casablanca South Jakarta 350

    Pondok Indah Residences (3 Towers) Pondok Indah South Jakarta 880

    Selatan 8 (Tower Prabu) Jl. Raya Ulujami South Jakarta 344

    One Otium Residence Jl. Pangeran Antasari No.8 South Jakarta 160

    45 Antasari (2 Tower) Antasari South Jakarta 1,924

    Arzuria Apartment Jl. Tendean South Jakarta 210

    Pakubuwono Spring (2 towers) Jl. Teuku Nyak Arief No.9 South Jakarta 545

    Branz Simatupang (2 tower) TB. Simatupang South Jakarta 381

    Synthesis Residence Kemang Jl. Ampera Raya South Jakarta 1,100

    Ciputra International Puri Indah (Tower Amsterdam) Puri Indah West Jakarta 412

    Grand Madison Tanjung Duren West Jakarta 300

    Citra Lake Suites (Tower Rosewood) Jl. Raya Kresek West Jakarta 104

    Citra Lake Suites (Tower Greenwood) Jl. Raya Kresek West Jakarta 126

    Citra Lake Suites (Tower Oakwood) Jl. Raya Kresek West Jakarta 117

    Citra Lake Suites (Tower Sherwood) Jl. Raya Kresek West Jakarta 122

    Apartemen Taman Permata Buana Taman Permata Buana West Jakarta 550

    https://twitter.com/colliersintlhttp://www.linkedin.com/company/colliers-international%3Ftrk%3Dhb_tab_compy_id_5227https://www.facebook.com/colliersglobal%3Frf%3D105632526137251

  • 8/19/2019 Research & Forecast Report Q1 2015 Jakarta Apartment

    7/11

    7

    Demand

    Following a downturn trend in the previous quarter, the sales

    of strata-title apartments, particularly in the primary market,

    continued to record slow absorption. Tis slow market situation

     was highlighted by low GDP growth and a rupiah depreciation

    against the US dollar, which affected the overall economy of

    Indonesia, particularly by lowering the purchasing power of themiddle class. Te weakening local currency against the US dollar

    has made construction costs more expensive, particularly for

    upper- to luxury-class apartments, as 30 to 40% of the material

    components are imported goods. Furthermore, the abundance

    of supply puts the overall market in a tough situation since there

    are about 80,000 units (during 2015 - 2018) being marketed. In

     view of this, we expect to see a further softening in the strata-title

    apartment market throughout 2015.

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

     As of 1Q 2015, the overall average take-up rate for strata-title

    apartments (both existing and under-construction projects) in

    Jakarta was 85.5%, down slightly from the previous quarter’s

    87%. Te table above shows that existing apartment projects

    in South Jakarta experienced a decrease in the take-up rates

    from the previous quarter, while the non-prime area posted an

    increase of 0.3% from the previous quarter but experienced a

    drop for the under-construction projects. On the other hand, thetake-up rates for existing projects in the CBD apartment market

    remain the same as the previous quarter, at 99.3%.

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

    Te pre-sales activity of under-construction projects underwent

    a declining trend in all regions of Jakarta. Te take-up rate in

    South Jakarta experienced the lowest drop, mostly due to the

    abundant supply of newly-introduced or launched projects in

    the last three years. Similar to South Jakarta, the pre-sales rate

    in the CBD area also experienced a declining sales rate because

    most of the projects saw slower absorption than in 2014. Te

    sales performance of under-construction projects is very muchaffected by the influx of new projects. For example, one new

    middle-upper class project entering the pre-sales stage put

    downward pressure on the overall take-up rate during January

    - March 2015. Similarly, the continued influx of new projects in

    the non-prime area (including Central, North, West and East

    Jakarta) has resulted in a downswing of the take-up rate by 2.3%

    compared to the previous quarter.

     Asking Price

    Despite the lowering sales performance during the quarter,average asking prices for strata-title apartments continued to

    demonstrate an upward trend. As of 1Q 2015, the average asking

    price of apartments in Jakarta rose by 2.7% QoQ to IDR28.4

    million/sq m. Based on location, the new apartments in non-

    prime locations posted the highest price increase, followed by

    South Jakarta and the CBD area. Benefiting from a relatively

    lower price compared to South Jakarta and the CBD area, some

    projects in non-prime areas are enjoying a good take-up rate and

    that has helped the average price to improve. On the other hand,

    the market perceives that the current prices of apartments in the

    CBD have reached a peak.

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

    Te pace of apartment prices in 2014 slowed compared to the

    aggressive price growth in 2011 - 2013. Te slowdown is in line

     with the government’s expectations, as they are very concerned

     with the persistently soaring prices. Tis trend is expected to

    continue throughout 2015 as the government is planning tofurther tighten the real estate market by imposing taxes on a

    broader range of the property segment.

    Bank Indonesia’s target to curb the growth of property prices by

    tightening the LV (Loan to Value) regulation has shown results.

     As on the chart below, the average QoQ changes of apartment

    prices in 2014 has been relatively slower than the strong growth

    since 2012 - 2013. During 2011 - 2013, the average QoQ changes

    in apartment prices increased by 3.34%.

    Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

    Take-up Rates Performance of Existing and Under

    Construction Projects

    AVERAGE TAKE-UP RATES Q Q QoQ

    Existing Projects 95.6% 95.7% 0.10%

    Pre-Sales rate of Under ConstructionProjects

    72.1% 68.4% -3.70%

    Average 87.00% 85.50% -1.50%

    Take-up Rates Performance of Existing Projects in

    Three Major Areas

    TAKE-UP EXISTING PROJECTS Q Q QoQ

    CBD 99.3% 99.3% 0.0%

    South Jakarta 97.9% 97.6% -0.3%

    Non-Prime area 93.7% 94.0% 0.3%

    Average Asking Price of Apartment per Sq m

    ASKING PRICE/SQ M Q Q QoQ

    CBD 43,472,842 44,135,684 1.5%

    South Jakarta 32,033,471 32,713,013 2.1%

    Non-Prime area 20,764,022 21,285,155 2.2%

    Take-up Rates Performance of Future Projects in

    Three Major Areas

    TAKE-UP EXISTING PROJECTS Q Q QoQ

    CBD 88.3% 83.9% -4.4%

    South Jakarta 78.0% 68.6% -9.4%

    Non-Prime area 69.4% 67.1% -2.3%

    https://twitter.com/colliersintlhttp://www.linkedin.com/company/colliers-international%3Ftrk%3Dhb_tab_compy_id_5227https://www.facebook.com/colliersglobal%3Frf%3D105632526137251

  • 8/19/2019 Research & Forecast Report Q1 2015 Jakarta Apartment

    8/11

    8

    Te trend of slowing demand is likely to persist in the upcoming

    quarters. o anticipate this, developers continue to offer

    financing incentives like cash instalment payments and in some

    cases, buyers are not required to make a down payment. Tis

    payment scheme has become a preferable method of paying

    since it does not require bank approval and offers flexibility to

    manage the cash flow. Furthermore, developers, especially those

    having strong working capital, are confident in offering longer

    cash instalments for up to 60 months.

    Payment Method Composition in PurchasingApartment

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

    QoQ Changes of Average Asking Prices of Apartmentin Jakarta

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

     Apartment For Lease

    Supply 

     After Ascott Kuningan became available in the last quarter, there

     was no new supply of apartments for lease during 1Q 2015.

     As such, the total supply of both serviced and non-serviced

    apartments in Jakarta remained at 8,519 units. Te majority ofapartments for lease in Jakarta are designed to meet expatriate

    standards with spacious sizes, and therefore these projects are

    mainly found in the CBD and South Jakarta for two main reasons,

    i.e. the locations are in close proximity to the commercial area

    and are still in the catchment area of reputable international

    schools.

    The Distribution of Apartment for Lease by Area

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

    Te apartment for lease market in Jakarta was mainly dominated

    by two global brands of serviced apartment operator, i.e. Te

     Ascott Limited and Frasers Hospitality. Te Ascott Limited has

    three brands in operation, Ascott Residence, Somerset and

    Citadines. Frasers Hospitality has only Fraser Residence but in

    the upcoming years, Fraser Hospitality will have Fraser Suites

    (Ciputra World II), Fraser Place (Setiabudi Sky Garden) and

    Capri by Fraser.

     A strong operator brand for serviced apartments is a crucial

    factor for differentiation from other products and to guarantee a

    global service level. Several major serviced apartment operators

    have multiple brands to serve different market segments.

    Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

    Mortgage

    26%

    Cash

    Installment

    58%

    Hard Cash

    16%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    9%

    10%

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015YTD

    CBD

    44%

    South Jakarta

    35%

    Non-prime

    21%

    https://twitter.com/colliersintlhttp://www.linkedin.com/company/colliers-international%3Ftrk%3Dhb_tab_compy_id_5227https://www.facebook.com/colliersglobal%3Frf%3D105632526137251

  • 8/19/2019 Research & Forecast Report Q1 2015 Jakarta Apartment

    9/11

    9

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research and Fraser Cachet (Issue 18)

    Occupancy 

    Te apartment for lease market experienced a minor occupancy

    decrease of 0.4% QoQ to 75.3%. Leasing activity during the

    initial period of 2015 was relatively stagnant highlighted with

    “come and go” tenants and the absence of new enquiries from

    expatriates. Tis figure also marked a 0.9% decrease compared

    to the same quarter in 2014. Moreover, it should be noted that

    a large number of new middle-upper to upper class strata-title

    apartments is likely to put downward pressure on occupancy

    levels of apartments for lease. Generally, individually owned

    apartment units are offered furnished, which meets expatriate

    standards and taste.

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

    New enquiries were reportedly limited, with only a few

    apartments in South Jakarta enjoying an increase in occupancy

    during the reviewed quarter. Softening demand during this

    quarter was mostly limited to inquiries from western expatriates.

    Te recent plunge in oil prices has impacted the overall

    sluggish performance of apartments for lease in Jakarta as some

    companies related to the oil business reduced the number of

    their expatriates working in Jakarta. For some years, the oil and

    gas industry has consistently driven the leasing market, mainly

    for western expatriates.

    o cope with this situation, some apartments for lease (bothserviced and non-serviced) offered more flexible leasing terms

    and payment to entice tenants, allowing for short-term leasing.

    Previously, the apartments for lease require a minimum lease

    term of six months paid in advance. Recently, landlords are

    offering monthly accommodation that can be paid monthly.

    Rental Rates

    Te average monthly rent of apartments for lease in Jakarta

    persisted in its decline, falling 2% QoQ to USD21.8/sq m/

    month. Te overall downward trend in the rental rate was

    triggered by sluggish demand in the previous year, which caused

    management adjust rents to maintain the occupancy level.

    Several apartments for lease are offered in local currency,

    however with the weakening rupiah against the US dollar and

    that the overall rental rates presented here are in US dollars, the

    overall figure dropped somewhat. During the “tenants’ market”

    in the coming period, rents are expected to soften during 2015

    and this will characterise the whole leasing market.

    Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

    List of Serviced Apartments Managed by Ascott and Frasers

    NAME OF DEVELOPMENTYEAR OF

    OPERATIONOPERATOR LOCATION TYPE

     The Ascott Residence 1995 Ascott Limited Kebon Kacang Serviced Apartment

    Somerset Grand Citra 1996 Ascott Limited Satrio Serviced Apartment

    Countrywoods Residence 1996 Ascott Limited WR Supratman, Ciputat Serviced Apartment

    Somerset Berlian 2006 Ascott Limited Permata Hijau Serviced ApartmentFraser Residence Sudirman 2011 Frasers Hospitality Setiabudi Serviced Apartment

    Citadines Rasuna Jakarta 2013 Ascott Limited Rasuna Said Condotel

    Fraser Residence Menteng 2014 Frasers Hospitality Menteng Serviced Apartment

    Ascott Kuningan Jakarta 2014 Ascott Limited Satrio Serviced Apartment

    Fraser Place at Setiabudi Sky Garden 2015 Frasers Hospitality Karbela Selatan Serviced Apartment

    Somerset Kencana Jakarta 2015 Ascott Limited KHM Syafi'I Hadzami Condotel

    Fraser Suites at Ciputra World Jakarta 2 2016 Frasers Hospitality Satrio Serviced Apartment

    Fraser Suites Kebon Melati 2018 Frasers Hospitality Kebon Melati Serviced Apartment

    Capri by Fraser 2018 Frasers Hospitality TB Simatupang Condotel

    The QoQ Occupancy Performance for Non-Serviced

    Apartment

    AREA Q Q QoQ change

    CBD 84.5% 84.6% 0.1%

    South Jakarta 77.1% 76.7% -0.4%

    Non-Prime area 74.9% 74.8% -0.1%

    The QoQ Occupancy Performance for Serviced

    Apartment

    AREA Q Q QoQ change

    CBD 78.7% 76.1% -2.6%

    South Jakarta 74.6% 75.5% 0.9%

    Non-Prime area 51.8% 53.4% 1.6%

    https://twitter.com/colliersintlhttp://www.linkedin.com/company/colliers-international%3Ftrk%3Dhb_tab_compy_id_5227https://www.facebook.com/colliersglobal%3Frf%3D105632526137251

  • 8/19/2019 Research & Forecast Report Q1 2015 Jakarta Apartment

    10/11

    10

    Average Rental Rates of Apartment for Lease

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

     As mentioned above, some serviced apartments in the CBD

    raised their rental rates by 3 to 5%. One serviced apartment

    building adjusted the rental rate quite significantly and thus

    impacted the drop of overall rental rates in the CBD. On the other

    hand, apartments for lease in South Jakarta (including non-

    prime area), which mostly consist of non-serviced apartments,

    kept the rental rate the same as in the previous quarter. In

    addition, since many non-serviced apartments quote the rental

    rate in rupiah, the strengthening US dollar impacted the overall

    rental rates in US dollars.

    Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research

    Concluding Tought

    Te government plans to introduce a new scheme of luxury

    goods tax on residential property would adversely impact

    property sales, particularly in the middle segment. Previously, a

    5% luxury tax was expected to be imposed on property valued

    at IDR10 billion but a revision is pending to reduce this to IDR2

    billion. Te planned revisions would encompass a much widerrange of property sales, as a IDR2 billion apartment in Jakarta is

    currently considered as middle to middle-upper segment, which

    comprises about 23% of the total existing apartments. On the

    other hand, it is unlikely to have a dramatic impact on the upper

    to luxury class apartments, since this kind of buyer will pay for a

    high-quality product and is not relatively price sensitive.

    Te apartments for lease market is expected to remain quiet

    in the upcoming quarters due to the current issues regarding

    an additional regulation that will require foreigners to master

    the Indonesian language before they are able to obtain a work

    permit. Tis regulation may hamper the inflow of a number of

    expatriates coming to Indonesia. In contrast, the establishmentof the ASEAN Economic Community should create a business

    momentum that will gradually improve the Jakarta apartments

    for lease market.

    Research & Forecast Report | 1Q 2015 | Apartment | Colliers International

    USD 0.00

    USD 3.00

    USD 6.00

    USD 9.00

    USD 12.00

    USD 15.00USD 18.00

    USD 21.00

    USD 24.00

    USD 27.00

    USD 30.00

       2   0   0   9

       2   0   1   0

       2   0   1   1

       2   0   1   2

       2   0   1   3

       2   0   1   4

       2   0   1   5   Y   T   D

       R  e  n   t  a   l   R  a   t  e  s   /  s  q  m

       /  m  o  n   t   h

    CBD South Jakarta (inc . Non-Prime Area)

    Average Rental Rates of Apartment for Lease

    AREA Q Q QoQ change

    CBD USD28.58 USD27.81 -2.7%

    South Jakarta (includingnon-prime area)

    USD15.94 USD15.83 -0.7%

    https://twitter.com/colliersintlhttp://www.linkedin.com/company/colliers-international%3Ftrk%3Dhb_tab_compy_id_5227https://www.facebook.com/colliersglobal%3Frf%3D105632526137251

  • 8/19/2019 Research & Forecast Report Q1 2015 Jakarta Apartment

    11/11

    Copyright © 2013 Colliers International.

    The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to

    ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult

    their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.

    About Colliers International

    Colliers International is a global leader in commercial real estate services, with over 16,300 professionalsoperating out of more than 502 offices in 67 countries. A subsidiary of FirstService Corporation, ColliersInternational delivers a full range of services to real estate users, owners and investors worldwide,including global corporate solutions, brokerage, property and asset management, hotel investmentsales and consulting, valuation, consulting and appraisal services, mortgage banking and insightfulresearch. Te latest annual survey by the Lipsey Company ranked Colliers International as the second-most recognized commercial real estate firm in the world.

    colliers.com

    Primary Authors:

    Ferry SalantoAssociate Director | Jakarta62 21 3043 [email protected]

    Colliers International Indonesia

    World Trade Centre 10th & 14th FloorsJalan Jenderal Sudirman Kav. 29 - 31Jakarta 12920Indonesia

    TEL 62 21 3043 6888

    Accelerating success.

    502 offices in

    67 countries on

    6 continentsUnited States: 140

    Canada: 31 

    Latin America: 24 

    Asia: 39

    ANZ: 160 

    EMEA: 108

    $2.3billion inannual revenue

    158million square metersmanaged

    16,300professionalsand staff

    https://twitter.com/colliersintlhttp://www.linkedin.com/company/colliers-international%3Ftrk%3Dhb_tab_compy_id_5227https://www.facebook.com/colliersglobal%3Frf%3D105632526137251