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Transcript of REMEMBERING NINE OF THE WORST NATURAL DISASTERS. Part 1. (in terms of casualties) Walter Hays,...
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REMEMBERINGNINE OF THE WORST
NATURAL DISASTERS. Part 1. (in terms of casualties)
Walter Hays, Global Alliance Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA Vienna, Virginia, USA
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JULY 1931 CHINA FLOODS
• DEATH TOLL ESTIMATED AT 1,000,000 TO 4,000,000.
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1935 YANGTZE RIVER FLOOD: CHINA
• DEATH TOLL ESTIMATED AT 145,000.
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Fast Forward to 2015
GLOBAL GOAL: Implementing the Post-2015 Framework for
Disaster Risk Reduction From WCDRR
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LEARNING FROM GLOBAL DISASTER LABORATORIES
PART 1: FLOODS
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FLOODING
• Flooding occurs somewhere in the world approximately 10,000 times every day as the consequences of a locale having more water than the local water cycle can process within its physical limits.
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FLOODS
• Floods occur as the result of: extreme levels of precipitation in thunderstorms, tropical storms, typhoons, hurricanes, and cyclones; after a storm surge, and after tsunami wave run up.
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LOSS OF FUNCTION OF STRUCTURES IN FLOODPLAIN
FLOODSFLOODS
INUNDATION
INTERACTION WITH HAZARDOUS MATERIALS
STRUCTURAL/CONTENTS DAMAGE FROM WATER
WATER BORNE DISEASES (HEALTH PROBLEMS)
EROSION AND MUDFLOWS
CONTAMINATION OF GROUND WATER
CAUSES OF RISK
CAUSES OF RISK
FLOOD DISASTER LABORATORIES
FLOOD DISASTER LABORATORIES
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FLOODING ALSO TRIGGERS LANDSLIDES
THAT CAN ALSO CAUSE A DISASTER
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ONE OF WORLD’S FLOOD MOST NOTABLE DISASTER
LABORATORIES: THE YANGTZE RIVER DRAINAGE
BASIN, CHINA
PAST 2,100 YEARS
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FLOODING: YANGTZE RIVER
• Historical records indicate that in 2,100 years, between the early Han Dynasty and late Qing Dynasty, the Yangzte flooded 214 times, an average of once every 10 years.
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YANGTZE RIVER
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CHINA’S FLOOD LABOR-ATORY: THE YANGTZE RIVER
• The Yangtze River, with over 700 tributaries, is the longest river in Asia and the third longest in the World.
• Its headwaters are situated at an elevation of 16,000 feet in the Kunlun Mountains, and its mouth is 3,720 miles away in the East China Sea, north of Shanghai.
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FLOOD DISASTER LABORATORY:
PAKISTAN2010
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ONE-FIFTH OF PAKISTAN FLOODED: JULY 29
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HURRICANE DEANWAS A FLOOD DISASTER LABORATORYFROM THE CARIBBEAN TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO
2007
FROM A CATEGORY 2-3 STORM ON 17 AUGUST 2007 TO A CATEGORY 4 STORM ON 18 AUGUST 2007 TO A CATEGORY 5 STORM
ON 20 AUGUST
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HURRICANE DEAN: CATEGORY 2 STORM ON AUGUST 16
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PROJECTED STORM TRACK: AUGUST 17
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HURRICANE DEAN: A CATEGORY 2-3 STORM ON AUGUST 17
• The eye of hurricane Dean, the first of the North Atlantic season, passed between the Caribbean islands: St. Lucia and Martinique, on Friday, August 17.
• The two islands, less than 80 km (50 mi) apart were, were struck with storm surge, heavy rain, and winds of 165 - 200 km per hour (100 - 125 mi per hour).
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IMPACTS ON MARTINIQUE
• In Martinique, Hurricane Dean flooded many locales and ripped roofs from houses and buildings.
• 100 percent of Martinique’s banana crop and 70 percent of the sugar cane crop were destroyed.
• Trees were downed.• Electrical power was knocked out.• Airport were closed.• Tourists in coastal hotels were evacuated. • $270 million damage to infrastructure
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FORT DE FRANCE, MARTINIQUE: WIND AND RAIN
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FORT DE FRANCE, MARTINIQUE
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FORT DE FRANCE, MARTINIQUE:BOAT SINKING
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FORT DE FRANCE, MARTINIQUE: FLOODING
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FORT DE FRANCE, MARTINIQUE: FLOODING
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FORT DE FRANCE, MARTINIQUE: FLOODING
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JAMAICA: STORM SURGE DESTROYED HOUSE
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FLOODING DAMAGE IN JAMAICA
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FLOODING DAMAGE IN PORT AU PRINCE: JAMAICA
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FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND DEBRIS IN KINGSTON, JAMAICA
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FLOODING IN CHETUMAL, MEXICO ON AUGUST 21
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FLOODING:BACALAR, MEXICO ON AUGUST 21
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LIMONES, MX. MAYAN COMMUNITY, FLOODED: AUGUST 22-23
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TYPHOONS KETSANA, PARMA, AND MIRINAE WERE
FLOOD DISASTER LABORATORIES IN THE
PHILIPPINES2007
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PHILIPPINES HIT BY KETSANA, PARMA, MIRINAE: SEPT- NOV
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KETSANA FLOODS QUESON CITY
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KETSANA FLOODING IN PHILIPPINES; SEPT 23-30
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KETSANA FLOODS CAINTA RIZAL
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PARMA FLOODS THE PHILIPPINES; OCT 9
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PARMA’S RAIN AND FLOODING TRIGGERS MUDFLOWS; OCT 12
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MIRINAE FLOODING: NOV 2
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TWO OF MANY FLASH FLOOD DISASTER LABORATORIES:
ISTHANBUL,TURKEY2007
SAN BERNARDINO, CAAUGUST 3, 2014
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FLASH FLOODS NEAR ISTHANBUL, TURKEY: SEPT 9
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FLASH FLOOD DISASTER LABORATORY: AUG. 3, 2014
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FLASH FLOOD DISASTER LABORATORY: AUG. 3, 2014
• After a torrential rain storm on Sunday in southern California’s San Bernardino Mountains, flash floods triggered thick debris flows
• The 5 m (15 ft) debris flows cut off access to two towns: Oak Glen, and Forest Falls.
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FLASH FLOOD TRIGGERS DEBRIS FLOWS: AUG. 3, 2014
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THE TSUNAMI WAVE RUN UP ON AMERICAN SAMOA WAS A
FLOOD DISASTER LABORATORY
2007
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AMERICAN SAMOA TSUNAMI: SEPT 29
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The M7.7 earthquake generated a near-source tsunami with 3 m (10 ft) waves that struck within 5 minutes
after the quake---so quickly that the regional tsunami warning system
that was improved after the December 26, 2004 tsunami disaster, was ineffective..
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TSUNAMI WAVE RUN UP IN MENTAWAI ISLAND
TSUNAMI WAVE RUN UP IN MENTAWAI ISLAND
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PAGO PAGO, AMERICAN SAMOA AFTER THE TSUNAMI; SEPT 29
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LESSON: THE KNOWLEDGE AND TIMING OF ANTICIPATORY ACTIONS IS VITAL
• The people who know: 1) what to expect (e.g., inundation from extreme precipitation, storm surge, tsunami wave run up), 2) where and when impacts will happen, and 3) what they should (and should not) do to prepare for them will survive.
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LESSON: TIMELY, REALISTIC DISASTER SCENARIOS SAVE LIVES
• The people who have timely, realistic, advance information that facilitates reduction of vulnerabilities, and hence the risks associated with floods, will survive.
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LESSON: EMERGENCY RESPONSE SAVES LIVES
• The timing of emergency response operations, especially the search and rescue operations that are limited to “the golden 48 hours,” will increase the likelihood of survival.
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LESSON: EMERGENCY MEDICAL PREPAREDNESS SAVES LIVES
• The local community’s capacity for emergency health care (i.e., coping with damaged hospitals and medical facilities, lack of clean drinking water, food, and medicine to treat water borne diseases, and high mor-bidity/mortality is vital for survival.
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LESSON: ENGINEERED INFRASTRUCTURE SAVE LIVES
• Infrastructure engineered to withstand the risks from floods (e.g., inundation, foundation scour, damage, failure, and loss of function), is vital for survival.
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WE CONTINUE TO OPERATE WITH A FLAWED PREMISE:
KNOWLEDGE FROM FLOOD DISASTERS, WHICH OCCUR EVERY
DAY SOMEWHERE IN THE WORLD IN ASSOCIATION WITH RAIN, SEVERE
WINDSTORMS, AND TSUNAMIS, IS ENOUGH TO MAKE ANY NATION
ADOPT AND IMPLEMENT POLICIES TO FACILITATE DISASTER RESILIENCE
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FACT: GLOBAL CONSTRUCTION IN THE FLOOD PLAIN OF RIVERS AND
ALONG COASTAL AREAS IS EXTENSIVE; THE ASSOCIATED
POLITICAL CONTROVERSY CAUSES MOST NATIONS TO BE SLOW TO
ADOPT AND IMPLEMENT POLICIES FOR FLOOD DISASTER RESILIENCE
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YOUR YOUR
COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY
YOUR YOUR
COMMUNITYCOMMUNITYDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATIONDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION
HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS
•MONITORING•SCENARIO MAPS•INVENTORY•VULNERABILITY•LOCATION
RISK
ACCEPTABLE RISK
UNACCEPTABLE RISK
BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE
•PREPAREDNESS•PROTECTION•/EARLY WARNING•EM RESPONSE•RECOSTRUCTION AND RECOVERY
FLOODI DISASTER FLOODI DISASTER RESILIENCERESILIENCE
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PILLARS OF FLOOD DISASTER RESILIENCE
Anticipatory Preparedness
Adoption and Implementation of urban plans
Realistic Flood Disaster Scenarios
Timely Emergency Response (including Emergency Medical Services)
Cost-Effective Reconstruction & Recovery
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THE CHALLENGE:
POLICY CHANGES: CREATE, ADJUST, AND REALIGN PROGRAMS, PARTNERS AND PEOPLE UNTIL YOU HAVE CREATED THE KINDS OF TURNING POINTS NEEDED FOR MOVING TOWARDS FLOOD DISASTER RESILIENCE
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AN UNDER-UTILIZED GLOBAL STRATEGY
To Create Turning Points for Flood Disaster Resilience
USING EDUCATIONAL SURGES CONTAINING THE PAST AND PRESENT LESSONS TO FOSTER
AND ACCELERATE POLICY CHANGES
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MOVING TOWARDS THE MUST-HAPPEN GLOBAL STRATEGY
To Achieve Flood Disaster Resilience
INTEGRATION OF SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS WITH POLITICAL
SOLUTIONS IN EVERY NATION FOR REALISTIC POLICIES ON PREPAREDNESS, PROTECTION, EARLY WARNING, DISASTER
SCENARIOS, EMERGENCY RESPONSE, RECONSTRUCTION, AND RECOVERY