Oil Search’s activities in Yemen€¦ · Nabrajah Basement Appraisal Forward Program 2005-2006:...
Transcript of Oil Search’s activities in Yemen€¦ · Nabrajah Basement Appraisal Forward Program 2005-2006:...
Oil Search’s activities in
Yemen
20 September 2005
Presented by Peter Botten, Managing Director, and Jon Pattillo, Yemen Asset Manager
International diversification
Oil Search commenced programme of measured international diversification in 2000, to augment exploration activity in PNGMiddle East / North Africa was selected as focus area. Required criteria for investment included:
– In areas with proven petroleum systems– Close proximity to infrastructure– Acceptable fiscal terms– Near term drilling opportunities– Ability to apply our unique skills (developing country
expertise, ability to work co-operatively with host governments & local communities, culturally sensitive, experience in challenging environments)
Why Yemen?
World class petroleum system – success rates >30%Relatively under explored petroleum basins, recent discoveries and new developmentsAccess to good acreage (but getting more competitive)Low capex and opex (typically <SU$2-3/bbl and US$3/bbl) with short payback periodsAcceptable fiscal environment; conventional PSAAccess to producing infrastructure in key basins (US$0.70/bbl TPA Masilah)Active and established E & P industry; LNG project recently sanctionedModerate political risk; moderate/high security risk (but manageable)
Building of Yemen Portfolio
2000 – acquired 80.75% interest in Block 15, offshore Yemen. Farmed down to Kufpec. Current interest is 52.5%, operator
2003 – awarded interest in Block 35, located in Masilah Basin, with SiPetrol (Chile) and SabaYemen. Current interest is 42.5%, operator
2003 – farmed in to Block 43, adjacent to Block 35 and operated by DNO. Current interest is 28.3%
2005 – awarded 34% interest in Block 7 (ShabwahBasin) and 34% in Block 74 (south of B-43) in 2005 International Bid Round. Operate both licences.
2005 – awarded 60% interest in Block 3, adjacent to Block 7, through direct negotiations with Government. Operator.
Yemen Licence Interests
DNO (56.7%, operator), Yemen Co (15% carried)
28.3%Block 43
Sipetrol (37.5%), Yemen Co. (5% carried), Voyager
(15%)
42.5%, operatorBlock 35
Kufpec (42.5%),Yemen C0 (5%)
52.5%, operatorBlock 15
Kufpec (21.25%), Voyager (21.25%), Adelphi (8.5%), Yemen Co (15% carried)
34%, operatorBlock 7
Petoil (35%), Yemen Co (5% carried)
60%, operatorBlock 3
PartnersOSH interest Licence Area
Sana’a, Yemen
Republic with democratically elected PresidentPopulation ~20 millionRelatively mature oil industry with good infrastructure Oil exports primary source of national income:
– 280,000 – 300,000 bopdWorld-scale LNG Project recently sanctioned:
– 6.5 million metric tons/yr from 2008– revenue US$850 million/yr for 20 years
Sana’a
Yemen – current assets
Masilah Basin Play Fairway
Marib-ShabwahBasin Play Fairway
>250,000bopd Pipeline
>120,000bopd Pipeline
Interests in the two major producing basins in Yemen:– Masilah Basin– Marib/Shabwah basin
Have participated in 4 wildcat wells since 2004Early success at Nabrajah-1, in Block 43
Nabrajah Block 43
Oil Search played a key role in the Nabrajah oil field discoverySmall Qishn sandstone accumulation overlying deeper gas and oil field in fractured granitic BasementBasement/Kohlan tested ~10,000 bopd
Nabrajah Block 43 - Qishn
Production from Qishn commenced in July 2005 from Qishn sandstone ~16 months after discovery
Development comprises completion of 4 wells for production, water injection well, construction of Central Production Facility and 12 kilometre pipeline to Masilah Block 14
Phase 1 Costs: ~US$35-45 million
2P Reserves : <10 mmbbls
Currently producing ~4,700 bopd from three wells building to 10-15,000 bbls capacity by end September ’05 (DNO Qishn Development Plan)
No further Qishn drilling planned in 2005
Nabrajah Basement Appraisal
Forward Program 2005-2006:– 4 appraisal wells initially planned (Nab-8 to
Nab-11)– Nabrajah-8 is planned to drill ~1,000 metres
into Basement. Total depth 3,422 metres. Spudded 6 September, 40 day well
– Well costs US$5.7 – 6.5 million– 400 km2 3D seismic programme planned
over Nabrajah trend commencing late 2005
Nabrajah-5 oilNabrajah-2 gas
Nabrajah-9
Nabrajah-8Nabrajah-5 oilNabrajah-2 gas
Nabrajah-9
Nabrajah-8
Nab-1 Al Haglah-1
Structural projection tentative
~2000 m SRDGas/oil contact
N- 5 2225 m SRDDST 1B oil 5,800
bopd
N- 5 TD 2568M SRD~Base of greater oil
column
N- 2 gas test15 Mscfg/d
Nab-5Nab-2
210m Gas column
250m oil column
500-600m oil column
Nab-1 Al Haglah-1
Structural projection tentative
~2000 m SRDGas/oil contact
N- 5 2225 m SRDDST 1B oil 5,800
bopd
N- 5 TD 2568M SRD~Base of greater oil
column
N- 2 gas test15 Mscfg/d
Nab-5Nab-2
210m Gas column
250m oil column
500-600m oil column
Limits of constraint
Nab-9 Nab-8
Nab-1 Al Haglah-1
Structural projection tentative
~2000 m SRDGas/oil contact
N- 5 2225 m SRDDST 1B oil 5,800
bopd
N- 5 TD 2568M SRD~Base of greater oil
column
N- 2 gas test15 Mscfg/d
Nab-5Nab-2
210m Gas column
250m oil column
500-600m oil column
Nab-1 Al Haglah-1
Structural projection tentative
~2000 m SRDGas/oil contact
N- 5 2225 m SRDDST 1B oil 5,800
bopd
N- 5 TD 2568M SRD~Base of greater oil
column
N- 2 gas test15 Mscfg/d
Nab-5Nab-2
210m Gas column
250m oil column
500-600m oil column
Limits of constraint
Nab-9 Nab-8
Block 43
Nabrajah
Block 14
Area of Planned 3D
Seismic Survey
NabrajahBasement Appraisal
Basement reserves based on Nab-5 well only:
– 40-70 mmbbl range ‘best estimate’
Key uncertainties (risk) in reserve estimation are:
– Ultimate height of producible oil column
– Lateral/vertical connectivity and density of fracture system
Next two appraisal wells will address this risk and help constrain potential Basement oil volumes
Additional gas compression and further CPF upgrade to handle Basement oil planned late ’05-‘06.DNO initial Development Plan based on 50,000 bopd capacity by 4Q 2006, subject to results of appraisal programme
NabrajahDevelopment Milestones
– July 2005 - Phase 1: Pre-CPF production started (3,500 bopd, Qishn) (2 Qishn prod + 1 Qishn WI)
– Oct 2005 – Phase 2a: CPF start date (~10,000 bopd, 30,000 bfpd, Qishn)
– Dec 2005 – Phase 2b: Gas injection available (10-15,000 bopd, Qishn + Basement)
– March 2006 – Phase 2c: Block 43 crude oil receiver facilities (25-40,000 bopd capacity)
– Dec 2006 – Phase 3: Permanent CPF facilities (40-50,000+ bopd capacity)
(Results of appraisal programme will influence final development plan for Basement)
Nabrajah-typeBasement Reservoir
Granite forms ‘core’ of horst and tilted fault blocksIn the Masilah basin the granite appears to be naturally (joints) and tectonically fractured (faults)
– Effective Porosity 0.01%Aerial exposure in the Jurassic is likely to have enhanced these fracture systemsOil generation from Madbisource rock in the adjacent grabens have migrated directly into the open fracture systems
Typical fractured granite Basement ( from Yemen)
Analogue Basement FieldSunah Field Block 14
Sunah Field Basement reserves estimated at 60-200 mmbbl after 10 years of production:
– S-4 well has produced over 30 mmbbls– No Basement OWC seen in field– Proven oil column 600m TVD– Recent Basement wells tested between 7,000 – 10,000 bopd– Depth of fracturing may determine ultimate oil column height– Potential for ~1,000m oil column
SUNAH
KHARIR
Analogue Basement FieldKharir Field Block 10
Block 10 producing >30,000 bopd:– ~80% comes from the Basement (?4 wells)
Recent KH A210 well flowed 7,000 bopd; 500m oil columnDepth of deepest open fractures has not yet been found in Kharir FieldProven 900m oil columnNo aquifer encountered Individual wells seeing OOIP >50 mmbblReserves in Kharir field area estimated to be >200 MMBOIP and remain unconstrainedSimilarities on seismic between Nabrajah and Kharir fields
Simplified Kharir Field section
SUNAH
KHARIR
TVD (m/MSL)
KHA301 KHA208 KHA102 KHA101KHA208
-1600
-2000
-1800
-2200
-2400
-1400
-2600
-1200
-1000
-1838.8
-1916.4
-1832.0
-2058.2
-1473.8
-1355.5-1369.5
-1382.5
-1601.2-1550
-1721.2
-2091.1
77mMD230mMD
131mMD 22mMD
120mMD520mMD
3°@TD
8°@TD
28°@TD 54°@TD
3.6°@TD
NE SW
1°@TD
Top Basement
++
+
++
+
+
+
++
+
+
+
+
+
Horizontal scale not respectedAll depths in m/MSL
KHA101deep
KHA105
-2151
Top Basement
OWC ??
560mMD
TVD (m/MSL)
KHA301 KHA208 KHA102 KHA101KHA208
-1600
-2000
-1800
-2200
-2400
-1400
-2600
-1200
-1000
-1838.8
-1916.4
-1832.0
-2058.2
-1473.8
-1355.5-1369.5
-1382.5
-1601.2-1550
-1721.2
-2091.1
77mMD230mMD
131mMD 22mMD
120mMD520mMD
3°@TD
8°@TD
28°@TD 54°@TD
3.6°@TD
NE SW
1°@TD
Top Basement
++
+
++
+
+
+
++
+
+
+
+
+
Horizontal scale not respectedAll depths in m/MSL
KHA101deep
KHA105
-2151
Top Basement
OWC ??
560mMD
YemenGeneralised Fiscal Terms
PSC based systemRoyalty on productionCost oil ~50%Profit oil ~30% Cost recovery 50-75%Yemen remains attractive compared to peer group MENA countriesCompetitive Bid Rounds tightening commercial terms
Block 43 Fiscal Terms
Royalty:- < 12,500 bopd – 3%- 12,500 – 25,000 bopd – 4%- 25,000 – 50,000 bopd – 6%- 50,000 – 100,000 bopd – 8%- >100,000 bopd – 10%Cost oil = 50% of oil after royaltyContractor can recover 100% of operating costs and 50% of exploration and capital costs each year, remaining balance rolling forwardProduction Sharing oil (after deducting royalty and cost oil):- <25,000 bopd, 70%/30% split, Government /
Contractor- Increases in 2.5% increments per 25,000 bopd to a
maximum of 80%/20% at >100,000 bopdYemen Company receives 15% of Contractor profit oil with no participation in costs
PROFIT OIL50%
MOM70%
DNO,OSH& TYC30%
COST OIL50%
DNO66.67%
OSH33.33%
TYC15%
DNO, OSH85%
DNO66.67%
OSH33.33%
BALANCE97%
ROYALTY3%
PRODUCTION100%
MOM
Entitlement by Lifters (According to the above Percentage):Ministry of Mines (MOM) = 36.9500%The Yemen Company (TYC) = 2.1825%DNO & OSH = 60.8675%
Block 43 PSA(12,500 bopd Case)
Calculation of Entitlement Percentage
Block 43 Entitlements
When reporting production, Oil Search intends to book net entitlements
Based on 28.3% working interest, net entitlement is expected to be approximately 16% in early years falling to approx 12% (note that this is very sensitive to assumptions used, particularly oil price)
Based on OSH modelling, NPV per barrel of 50 – 100 mmbbl field is approx:
– US$5.40/bbl at US$40/bbl– US$3.70/bbl at US$ 30/bbl
Block 15
Energy Searcher contracted for 2 wells + optionsDrilling now scheduled for March 2006
– Delay due to tight deepwater rig market & timing of availability
– 35 day well plans (no testing proposed for initial wells)
Mean case Prospect sizes 150mmbbl+
Riyan-1Objective:Oligocene clastics
Riyan-1 Prospect
150MMbblsSuad-1 Prospect
>152MMbbls
Shuhayr-1 Prospect
165MMbbls
Sayhut-1 Prospect
>145MMbbls
Sarar-1X Recovered 1700 litres
45° API oil from Cretaceous sands
Ras Ghashwah-1X Recovered 38° API oil from fractured Eocene limestone
Hami-1XHeavy oil &
bitumen
Sharmah-1XProduced 3045bopd
43° API oil from fractured Eocene
limestone
Masilah-1XOil and Gas shows
N S
Block 35
Drilled Al Ahkaf-1 well 2004/5– Tested Saar carbonates– Water wet
Reviewing implications of well result on remaining potential of blockA number of higher risk leads have been identified
Al Ahkaf Source kitchen
Qishn horizon
Qishn horizon
Al Ahkaf-1 location
Al Ahkaf-1
New YemenExploration Blocks
The continuing trend of oil discoveries in Yemen and the opening up of the Basement play has encouraged OSH to expand its acreage position in the countryBlocks 3 and 7 provide OSH with exposure to the Basement and proven conventional plays in the prolific Marib/Shabwah basinBlock 74 further consolidates OSH position in the Masilah Basin to the south of the Nabrajah oil fieldThe combined work programmes over the three year (firm) period is 8 wells and 550km 2D seismic
Masilah Basin Play Fairway
Marib-ShabwahBasin Play Fairway
Block S2: OMV Habban -1New Basement Discovery
>250,000bopd Pipeline
>120,000bopd Pipeline
Blocks 3 and 7
Blocks 7 (34%) and 3 (60%) will be operated by OSH OSH’s strategy in the Shabwah basin is to capture acreage containing untested Basement structures as well as plays already proven within the basinOMV’s recent Habban-1 basement discovery in Block S2 and YICOM’s West Ayadfields are on-trend to untested basement structures identified in Block 7 and 3Potential mean reserves range 20 - >100 mmbblsSubject to rig availability, OSH will seek to drill a well in Block 3 in 4Q’06
Block 3
Block 7
Block S2
Block 4
Block 8
Block 2
OSH 34%
OSH 60%
CR
ETA
CEO
US
JUR
AS
SIC
PR
E-C
AM
BR
IAN
Al Harsh
Block 18Fields
West AyadAl Nilam
An Nagyah
Amal
Al KahwahEast Ayad
Habban(750m oilColumn)
QISHN SST
ALIF SST
SABATAYAN SALT
LAM SST
KHOLAN SST
FRACTUREDBASEMENT
CLASTICWEDGE
MADBIREEF
MADBI/MEEM
SABATAYANDOLOMITE
AZAL SST
OMV HabbanNew Basement
Discovery>750m oil column
East Ayad Field
West Ayad FieldBasement Play not appraised
Production from Sabatayan
Block 74
Block 74
Block 35
OSH 34%
OSH 46%
Block 43
Nabrajah
OSH 28.3%
Block 14 Fields>1.2 billion bbls
reserves
CR
ETA
CEO
US
JUR
AS
SIC
PR
E-C
AM
BR
IAN
Block 14, 10,51, 9 & 43
(Nabrajah)
Block 14 & 9 SAAR SHOAL
NAKA
SHOAL
KHOLAN
FRACTUREDBASEMENT
MADBICARBONATE
WEDGE
MADBIREEF
MADBI
SAAR CLASTICS
QISHN SST
Block 14
Block 14 & 9
NabrajahSunahKharir
N. Camaal
Blocks 74 (34%) will be operated by OSH Block 74 is considered similar to the geological setting of Block 43The area is lightly explored with potential for basement plays and conventional Qishn/Saar/Kholan playsPotential mean reserves range 20 - +50 mmbblsThe block is close to infrastructure
Other MENA Assets
Successfully acquired Block 18 in Libya in EPSA IV Bid roundEast Ras Qattara Block EgyptActively pursuing new business opportunities in the region:
– Production focus– development/exploration enhancement
opportunities
Regional head office in Dubai, office in Sana’a, representative office in Cairo, Tripoli14 committed wells over next 3 yrs (4+ wells/yr)Good balance of onshore & offshore drilling with diversified risk
Libya Area 18
Libya EPSA IV award: Area 18 (30%)
– Petrobras operator (70%)
– Commitment 2,000km 2D & 500 sq km 3D & 1 well
– Seismic acquisition planned for 1Q’06
– Well in 2007– 3 major leads– Lead size 150-450
mmbbl potentialOSH participating as a accepted operator and participant in current EPSA IV Round 2
Egypt
Egypt East RasQattara Concession
– OSH 49% non operator– Targeting Bahariya Fm
structural traps (mean 7-18 mmbbls)
– Upside recognised in Obaiyed Fm stratigraphic traps (Obaiyed field 1.2tcf/71 mmbbls condensate)
– Currently acquiring 1,600 sq km 3D seismic
– 2-3 wells planned for 2H’06
Alamein (1966)Res : 80mmbo
Yidma (1971)Res : 27mmbo
Bur El Arab (1996)Res : 2.0mmbo
Horus(1995)Res : 6.0mmbo
Qarum G1 (1997)Res : 70mmbo
Al Ahram (1994)Res : 6.0mmbo
Mubarak East (1975)Res : 1.0mmbo
Qarum (1994)Res : 70mmbo
Reserves :1.2 tcf gas &
71 mmbo cond.
Obaiyed Field – Analogue for Stratigraphic Trap
MENA Asset Review
September 2005
Yemen
LibyaEgypt Dubai Office