NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY MISSIONPerformance review

Presentation to the 3rd General Council meeting of the National Food Security Mission on 7th December 2009 at 3 PM under the Chairmanship of Union Agriculture Minister

Demand Supply Gap

Crop

2008-09 2011-12 2020

Projected Demand

Projected Production

Surplus/

Shortfall

Projected Demand

Projected Productio

n

Surplus/

Shortfall

Projected Demand*

Rice 92.8795.34

(99.15)6.28 98.79 104.21 5.42 111.9

Wheat 72.7276.21

(80.58)7.86 77.36 83.61 6.25 79.9

Coarse Ceareals

35.934.57

(39.48)3.58 38.19 35.75 -2.44 37.3

Pulses 17.5114.43

(14.66)-2.85 19.91 15.73 -4.18 23.8

Foodgrains

219220.55

(233.88)14.88 234.26 239.3 5.04 252.8

Oilseeds 47.4326.32

(28.16)-19.27 53.39 27.53 -25.86 -

Wheat Targets

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12

Target

Production

Rice Targets

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12

Target

Production

Pulses Targets

Impact on productivity of Wheat

State <0 <10 >10 and <20 >20 (blank) Total % -veRajasthan 9 2 3 1   15 60

Haryana 4 3       7 57

WB 2   1 1   4 50

Maharashtra 3 2 2 1   8 37

UP 14 16 6 2   38 36

Bihar 9 5   11   25 36

MP 10 8 8 4   30 33

Punjab 2 1   1 3 7 28

Gujarat         4 4 0

Grand Total 53 37 20 21 7 138 38

Productivity increase in the No. of NFSM Districts in 2008-09 over 2006-07

Impact on productivity of Rice

State <0 <10 >10 and <20 >20 (blank) Total % -veJharkhand 5         5 100TN 10 1 1     12 83Chhattisgarh 7 2 1     10 70Orissa 8 2 4 1   15 53Bihar 7     11   18 39WB 3 1 2 2   8 38AP 4 2 1 4   11 36UP 6 3 3 14   26 23Maharashtra 1 4   1   6 17Assam 2 2 2 7   13 15MP 1     8   9 11Gujarat         2 2 0Karnataka       7   7 0Kerela     1     1 0Grand Total 54 17 15 55 2 143 38

Productivity increase in the No. of NFSM Districts in 2008-09 over 2006-07

Impact on Productivity of Pulses

State <0 <10 >10 and <20 >20 (blank) Total % -veMP 16 2 2     20 80Bihar 9 3 1     13 69Maharashtra 10 1 1 6   18 56Haryana 2 2     1 5 40Punjab 2 1   1 3 7 29AP 3 3 2 6   14 21Orissa 2 1 3 4   10 20Rajasthan 3 2 1 9 1 16 19UP 3 3 1 12   19 16Chhattisgarh     2 6   8 0Gujarat         11 11 0Karnataka       13   13 0WB     2 2 1 5 0Grand Total 50 18 15 59 17 159 31

Productivity increase in the No. of NFSM Districts in 2008-09 over 2006-07

IMPACT OF DROUGHTLoss of crop production in Kharif 2009

166 of the 300 drought declared districts are covered by NFSM

Area coverage of Kharif Rice ,2009Area in Lakh ha.

Normal Area

Area Covered Change over 2008

% of Normal2009 2008 +/- %

391.86 335.86 395.49 -59.63 -15.08 85.71

Area coverage of Kharif Rice ,2009

Area Covered Change over 2008

2009 2008 +/- %

NFSM 2028.96 3124.1 1095.14 35.05

Non-NFSM 2053.04 2984.2 931.16 31.20

Total 4082.00 6108.3 2026.3 33.17

Area Covered Change over 2008

2009 2008 +/- %

NFSM 1353.22 1936.48 583.255 30.12

Non-NFSM 949.15 1492.86 -543.706 36.42

Total 2302.37 3429.33 -1126.96 32.86

BIHAR

Uttar Pradesh

Area in Thousand

Impact on targets•L

oss of about 13 million tons of kharif rice and about 0.3 million tons of pulses as per first advance estimate

•In Rabi and Summer seasons the Rice production can be enhanced by about 3 million tons and pulses by 1 million ton

•Overall, therefore the rice production could be short by 5 million tons as compared to base year of 2006-07 to reach 88 million tons

•Pulses could achieve the target of additional 1.5 million tons as compared to base year to reach 15.3 million tons

•In Wheat if the climate conditions remain favourable an increase of about 2 million tons is possible to reach 82.6 million tons, making the overall production of food grains reaching the demand levels for the year

RICEAdditional strategies for production

Reducing Risks of Rice production•I

ncreased production in good season for maintaining food buffer stocks

• Promotion of Hybrid Rice; Strategies to enlist Private sector participation, and adapting Chinese experience of production of public bred hybrids

•Reaching out to low capacity rice farmers

• Promotion of SRI; Inclusion of NGOs for individualized service to farmers especially for rainfed rice

•Develop technologies on drought and submergence tolerance

• Partnering IRRI for active promotion of STRASA

Constraints in Hybrid Rice Promotion

•Inadequate availability of breeder and certified seed

•Seed Production limited to very specific region

•Non –synchronous flowering of A & R lines in North India-Main cause for low seed setting

•Private sector is not keen for seed certification- not eligible for assistance under NFSM

•Higher cost and less comparative advantage in high productivity areas

•High cost of seed and limited supply of quality seeds in the areas of demand

Impact of Hybrid rice seed Minikit•F

armers were very happy to see the performance of public rice hybrid because of shorter duration than private hybrid during this drought year.

•This year rice hybrid minikits have been distributed 51812 no (6 kg each) against 60300 no allotted.

•Some states have utilized hybrid seed minikit as demonstration under SRI.

Area in SRI under NFSM & Non-NFSM State

2006

(base year)

2007-08 2008-09 2009-10

NFSM-State

437 1304 8942 2650*

Non-NFSM State

264995 450000 522000 670000

Total 265432 451304 530942 672650

*Information is still awaited from some states

Challenges in SRI promotion•C

hanging mind sets of the scientists and the farmers– Adoption and its continuation by Farmers– More documentation by researchers

•Refining technology to make it easier for adoption

– Nursery raising– On farm moisture conservation to address dry spells in rainfed rice areas

•Labour problem in rural areas

– Availability of Conoweeders– Approval for Power weeders– Development of Precision mechanised farming (single seedling multi line

transplanter•A

vailability of Farm Yard Manure– Promoting Green manure

IRRI partnership•P

opularizing Suvarna sub 1, submergence tolerance variety•F

ast tracking release of drought and salinity tolerant varieties developed by IRRI

•Common areas of interest – low productivity districts are rainfed and flood prone

•MoU with IRRI for time bound delivery of services to the farmers

WHEATStabilizing the production

Coping with the climate change•P

romotion of Conservation Agriculture• Zero till seed drill machines and Laser aided land levellers• Regulations for timely planting of rice crops• System of wheat intensification; scaling up Bihar model

•Promotion of terminal heat tolerant varieties

• Seed minikits of PBW 550, DW 17 varieties• Strategic research for developing new varieties

•Timely sowing of wheat in Eastern India

• Flood control measures for early vacation of fields

PULSESRealizing the yield potential and area expansion

Addressing yield gaps•M

erger of ISOPOM with NFSM•L

arge scale Block demonstrations with nutrient and plant protection centric approach

•Converging with Rainfed area development programs for providing protective irrigation

•Pilot projects with ICRISAT on identifying promotional strategies, control of pests and hybrids

•Controlling the blue bull menace by de regulation of its status under wild life legislation

Area expansion•P

otential for summer moong in Punjab, Haryana, Western UP in view of the water use regulation

•Developing rice fallows in Central and Eastern India through promotion of rice hybrid-chickpea/lentil/lathyrus line sown farming system

•Intercrops with soybean

•Inclusion of Jharkhand and Assam under NFSM for intensive pulses promotion

Sum up•N

FSM has done very well in its first two years of operation with achievement of the production targets

•Drought this year and the climatic factors for wheat requires additional strategies to reduce the associated risks and stabilize the production

•Pulses promotion approach is being revamped with strengthening of NFSM through the proposed merger of ISOPOM pulses components

•All the stake holders including the non governmental organizations and the private sector need to be included in the mission programs to deepen its reach

•New partnerships are being forged for capacity building of the extension teams in the States