Metabolic Syndrome Talk

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    The Business Outlook for the

    Metabolic Syndrome

    Sreten Bogdanovic,

    Managing Partner, Biophoenix, UK

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    Session Overview

    How Will the Metabolic Syndrome Impact DifferentSegments of the Pharmaceutical Industry?

    Sreten Bogdanovic, Consultant, Biophoenix/D&MD Reports

    Opportunities for Metabolic Disease Therapeutics:Forecast Problems and Solutions

    Walter Brooks,Vice President, Equinox Group

    Tapping the Metabolic Syndrome Market Opportunity:Insight Into Payer and Clinician Attitudes

    Carilee Berg, Director, Metabolic Diseases, Decision Resources

    Physician Prescribing as an Indicator of MetabolicSyndrome Markets

    Michel Denari, Practice Leader, Market Dynamics, IMSManagement Consulting

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    Good news for patients and pharma industry

    MS persists for many years before the onset of itscomplications, giving ample opportunity for intervention

    accepted as a discrete disease entity (ICD 277.7)

    presents a constellation of treatable abnormalitiesrequiring long-term medication

    treatment of one abnormality often improves others

    even moderate improvements can reduce risk of

    progression to diabetes and/or heart disease many marketed and experimental products may have a

    role to play in diagnosis and treatment

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    How will the metabolic syndrome

    impact different segments of thepharmaceutical industry?

    Sreten Bogdanovic and BeataLanglands, Partners, Biophoenix

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    D&MD Report

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    Pharma Industry Segments

    In vitro diagnostics Lipids

    Diabetes

    Cardiology

    Hypertension Dyslipidemia

    Metabolism Obesity

    Diabetes

    Others Consider MS-related side-effects when prescribing any

    medicine (metabolism friendliness)

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    Pharma market segments relevant to MS

    Currently these disorders are treated the same in the generalpopulation as in people with MS

    Drug manufacturers should consider strategies to target key patientsubgroups, such as the obese and at-risk ethnic groups

    Component Males (%) Females (%)High blood pressure 37 30

    Elevated triglycerides 35 25

    Low HDL cholesterol 35 38

    Excessive waist circumference 30 46

    Raised fasting glucose 16 10

    Source: NHANES III (8,800 individuals)

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    The hypertension therapeutic sector

    Principal antihypertensive drug classes currently on the market:

    Alpha blockers Centrally-acting hypertensives Diuretics Beta blockers Calcium channel blockers Angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors Angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs)

    ongoing debate over the best first-line therapy because ofcontradictory results from major studies

    Antihypertensive drugs in clinical development include:

    angiotensin, endothelin, vasopressin, and aldosterone antagonists dopamine, imidazoline, bradykinin B2, and adenosine agonists

    inhibitors of renin, neutral endopeptidase, vaso-endopeptidase, NOsynthase, Na/K ATPase, endothelin-converting enzyme, and Rho/Rho-kinase

    blockers of chloride channels vaccines against angiotensin gene therapies

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    Treatment of hypertension in MS

    some anti-hypertensives (diuretics, beta-blockers)worsen glycemic control and may not be suitable forlong-term use in MS

    drugs of choice in MS may be ACE-inhibitors, andpossibly ARBs

    ACE-inhibitors (and ARBs) are free of potentiallydiabetogenic side-effects and seem to have pleiotropicantidiabetic properties

    Use of ACE-inhibitors with beta-blockers and/or diureticsmay cancel out the diabetogenic effects of the latter

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    The dyslipidemia sector

    The major drug classes currently marketed for use indyslipidemia:

    Statins (primarily lower LDL-C)

    Fibrates (lower triglycerides and modestly raise HDL-C)

    Niacin (raises HDL-C and decreases atherogenic lipoproteins)

    Bile acid sequestrants (mainly lower LDL-C, may increase TG)

    Cholesterol absorption inhibitors (primarily lower LDL-C, alsolower TG; new class, only Merck/Schering-Plough's Zetia)

    some of these agents are also available in combination(e.g. Kos Pharma's Advicor combines extendedrelease niacin and lovastatin)

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    Treatment of dyslipidemia in MS

    ATP III identified MS as a secondary target for lipid-alteringtherapy after the primary treatment of LDL-C abnormalities

    Around half of patients with LDL-C levels which qualify for drugtherapy also have MS

    MS patients with raised LDL-C may particularly benefit from

    statin therapy Pfizer's Lipitor (atorvastatin) has been shown to halt progression of

    heart disease (REVERSAL study)

    AstraZeneca's Crestor (rosuvastatin) has a more favourable effecton lipid and lipoprotein profiles than the same or higher doses of

    other statins (STELLAR and MERCURY I trials) Niacin and fibrates, which elevate HDL and lower triglycerides,

    are ideally suited for applications in MS

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    New approaches to the treatment of

    dyslipidemia

    Targets for HDL-C raising drugs

    Cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) inhibitors (e.g. Pfizer's torcetrapibis in Phase III trials)

    ATP-binding cassette transporter A1 Liver X Receptors Nuclear retinoid X receptor

    Targets for triglyceride lowering drugs Microsomal triglyceride transfer protein Stearoyl-CoA desaturase-1

    Dual PPAR alpha/gamma agonists

    e.g. AstraZenecas tesaglitazar (initially for use in type 2 diabetes)

    Other selected lipid modulators in development Superstatins Ileal bile acid transport inhibitors Acyl-coenzyme A-cholesterol acyltransferase inhibitors Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase inhibitors

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    The obesity sector

    Conventional diets are associated with high recidivismrates

    There are 6 drugs in widespread use, including 2 agents

    approved specifically for obesity (diethylpropion,phentermine, phendimetrazine, mazindol, sibutramine,and orlistat)

    It is highly likely that even an ideal drug would have to betaken indefinitely due to the chronic nature of obesity

    MS diagnosis allows identification of overweightindividuals most in need of sustained weight loss therapy

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    Pharmacological approaches to obesity

    Drugs which decrease foodintake

    Dopaminergic and serotoninergicdrugs

    Cholecystokinin-promoting agents Leptin-promoting agents Agouti-related protein Glucagon-like peptide 1 PYY3-36 peptide Melanocortin-4 receptor agonists CRF receptor agonists Neuropeptide Y receptor

    antagonists Ghrelin receptor antagonists Orexin receptor antagonists Galanin receptor antagonists Fatty acid synthase inhibitors

    Cannabinoid receptor antagonist Cactus-derived P57

    Drugs which inhibit nutrientabsorption

    Lipase inhibitors Alpha-glucosidase inhibitors

    Drugs which increase energyexpenditure

    Beta3-adrenoceptor agonists Uncoupling proteins Thyroid hormone receptor

    modulators Human growth hormone fragment Human steroidal hormone

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    Antiobesity agents: launched or in

    Phase III trials

    Abbott's Meridia Launched serotonin and norepinephrine

    reuptake inhibitor reduces food intake shown to improve glycemic

    control in diabetes raises blood pressure and

    increases heart rate in somepatients; FDA advisory?

    Regenerons Axokine

    Phase III

    patented form of CiliaryNeurotrophic Factor

    reduces food intake 11% of patients lost over 10%

    of body weight in one year may trigger immune response

    Sanofi-Aventis' Acomplia Phase III Cannabinoid receptor

    antagonist; reduces food intake average weight loss (2 years)

    16lbs (placebo 5.5lb) patients with MS 42% at start of

    trial, 21% after two years

    Roche's Xenical

    Launched Lipase inhibitor; inhibits nutrient

    absorption from the gut

    more effective than diet alone inimproving all five MSabnormalities (XENDOS study)

    shown to reduce the risk ofdiabetes in MS patients

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    Marketed antidiabetic agents

    Insulin no alternative exists where the capacity of the pancreas to

    secrete insulin has been lost

    Sulfonylureas stimulate insulin secretion

    Biguanides (metformin) inhibit gluconeogenesis and glycogenolysis

    Glucosidase inhibitors slow digestion of carbohydrates

    Meglitinides stimulate early phase glucose-induced insulin secretion

    Thiazolidinediones (TZDs) increase insulin sensitivity

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    Treatment of type 2 diabetes in MS patients

    5%-10% of patients with MS develop type 2 diabetes

    every year Type 2 diabetics who lack any other MS features (approx. 10%)

    have the same risk of cardiovascular disease as nondiabetics -treatments should be aimed at any underlying MS

    Insulin and sulfonylureas should be used with care in patients

    with MS, as they cause weight gain. Metformin promotes weightloss and reduces triglycerides

    Insulin sensitisers are of particular interest in MS The Metabolic Syndrome Alliance advocates early and aggressive

    treatment of patients with type 2 diabetes and MS, using

    interventions that target insulin resistance Subcutaneous, not visceral, fat appears to be increased by TZDs

    TZDs may cause potentially serious side effects and need to beused with caution

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    New approaches to the treatment of

    type 2 diabetes

    Agonists for PPAR gamma, alpha, and delta are underdevelopment

    Dual PPAR gamma/PPAR alpha agonists show promise in treating abroad spectrum of metabolic abnormalities

    During 2004, the FDA recommended that two-year carcinogenicity

    studies be completed before initiation of clinical studies with PPARagonists lasting more than six months

    Some other insulin sensitizers target the insulin receptor directly;yet others target regulatory phosphatases

    Hypoglycemic agents which enhance incretin action include

    glucagon-like peptide (GLP-1) analogs and dipeptidyl peptidase 4(DPP4) inhibitors

    Drug discovery programs are increasingly aimed at theidentification of drug targets common to both obesity and diabetes

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    Antidiabetic agents in Phase III trials

    PPAR Agonists

    BM Squibb/Merck & Cosmuraglitazar NDA submitted

    Dual alpha gamma agonist

    AstraZenecas Galida(tesaglitazar) Phase III dual alpha gamma agonist

    Roche's R-483 Phase III (on hold pending

    carcinogenicity studies)

    mainly gamma agonist

    Novo-Nordisk's ragaglitazar Phase III (on hold pending

    carcinogenicity studies)

    dual alpha gamma agonist

    Incretin Enhancers

    Amylin Pharmaceuticals'exenatide NDA submitted

    GLP-1 analog

    improves insulin sensitivity ininsulin-resistant Zucker rats

    lowers weight (5 lb over 5months of clinical trial)

    Novartis' LAF237 Phase III

    DPP-4 inhibitor

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    World Metabolic Syndrome Markets by

    Application, 2003 and 2008

    Application 2003 2008

    Hypertension 21.0 31.0

    Dyslipidemia 20.0 44.0

    Diabetes 5.0 7.5

    Obesity 3.0 6.0Diabetes diagnostics 4.2 7.2

    Lipid diagnostics 0.5 2.0

    Totals: 54.3 97.7

    Source: Biophoenix

    (Figures are in $US billions and exclude inflation)

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    World MS Market by Application in 2003

    38%

    37%

    9%

    6%

    9% 1%

    Hypertension

    Dyslipidemia

    Diabetes

    Obesity

    Diabetes diagnostics

    Lipid diagnostics

    Size: $54.3 billion

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    World MS Market by Application in 2008

    32%

    45%

    8%

    6%

    7% 2%

    Hypertension

    DyslipidemiaDiabetes

    Obesity

    Diabetes diagnostics

    Lipid diagnostics

    Size: $97.7 billion

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    World MS Market by Region in 2003

    51%

    22%

    3%

    12%

    8%4%

    North America

    European UnionRest of Europe

    Japan

    Pacific Rim, Africa

    Latin America

    Size: $54.3 billion($97.7 bn in 2008)

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    Metabolism friendly drugs

    Indication Common Drug(s) MS Effects Friendly Alternative(s)

    Epilepsy Valproate, Gabapentin Weight gain, IGT Topiramate, Lamotrigine

    Depression Paroxetine, Fluoxetine, Tricyclics Weight gain, IGT Bupropion

    Psychosis Olanzapine, Clozapine Weight gain, IGT Ziprasidone, Aripiperazole

    Insulin Weight gain Metformin

    Sulfonylureas Weight gain Acarbose, MiglitolDiabetes

    Thiazolidinediones Weight gain Orlistat, Sibutramine

    Corticosteroids Weight gain, IGT Selected NSAIDs

    COX-2 inhibitors HBP, IGT Naproxen + PPIInflammation

    Antihistamines Weight gain, IGT Decongestants

    Hypertension -Blockers, Thiazide diuretics Mainly IGT ACEIs, ARBs, Ca2+ antagonists

    Osteoporosis Raloxifene Weight gain, IGT Aledronate, Calcitonin

    Source: Compiled by Biophoenix

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    Promoting metabolism-friendly drugs

    Manufacturers of existing drugs shown not tocause weight gain or metabolic abnormalitiesshould be considering strategies to promote

    their products to the medical profession as"metabolism-friendly"

    Post-marketing trials of drugs believed not to

    cause weight gain could be conducted tounderpin new promotional strategies

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    The End