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LEAVING
NO ONE
BEHIND
Disaster Resilience for
Sustainable
Development
Asia-Pacific Disaster Report 2017
Message #1
As Asia-Pacific grows rapidly,
disaster risk is outpacing resilience.
Human cost significant
Asia-Pacific:
Human cost of natural disasters,
1970–2016
• 2 million lives lost (56% of global)
• 88 per cent of people affected
Earthquak
e
45%
Storm
37%
Flood
10%
Others
8%
Asia-Pacific
2,038,976
High income
Middle income
Low income
134,957
deaths
100,358
deaths
582,029
deaths
Low income countries have highest mortality risks
5 times
more deaths than
high income
countries
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Low Income Middle Income High Income
15 times
more deaths per
disaster event than
high income countries
Deaths per disaster event,
2000-2015
Deaths per income
group for all
natural hazards,
2000-2015
Economic cost: A loss of $1.3 trillion due to
natural disasters (1970-2016)
Estimated
damage, as % of
GDP, is rising in
the Asia-Pacific
region 0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Asia and the Pacific Rest of the World
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1991
cyclone,
Bangladesh
2004
tsunami,
Indonesia
2004
tsunami,
India
2008
cyclone,
Myanmar
2015
earthquake,
Nepal
2015
floods,
Myanmar
Male
Female
Females are disproportionately affected
SIDS and LDCs
disproportionately affected
Vulnerable groups suffer more
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
SIDS LDCs LLDCs Others
Ave
rage
Annual
Loss
, %
of
GD
P
(by 2030)
0.0%
0.4%
0.8%
1.2%
SIDS LDCs LLDCs Others
Esti
mat
ed D
amag
e p
er y
ear,
%
of
GD
P
(2000-2016)
Message #2
Countries in East and North-East Asia
face huge impacts from natural disasters.
Disaster impacts by subregion, 2000-2016
East and North-East Asia suffers a lot
$546.6 billion
1.67 billion
137,628
$73.2 billion
259 million
362,335
$94 billion
1.19 billion
261,207
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Economicdamage
Affected
Fatality
ENEA SEA SSWA NCA Pacific
Disaster impacts in East and North-East Asia, 2000-2016
Mainly from earthquakes, floods, storms, and droughts
$300.7 billion
63 million
112,099
$111.1 billion
834 million
13,625
$103.7 billion
350 million
6,179
$14 billion
341 million
$17 billion
86 million
5,591
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Economic damage
Affected
Fatalities
Earthquake Flood Storm Drought Others
Countries lost a lot and are expected to lose a lot
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
China DPR Korea Japan Mongolia Rep. ofKorea
Damage per year, 2000-2016 (% of GDP)
Others Storm Flood Earthquake
0.00%
0.20%
0.40%
0.60%
0.80%
1.00%
1.20%
1.40%
1.60%
China Japan Mongolia Rep. of Korea
Average annual loss by 2030
(% of GDP)
Earthquake Wind Storm surge
Tsunami Floods Volcano
Dzud in Mongolia
Dzud-affected area, 2016-2017
In the affected regions,
• 6 per cent of livestock died
• 157,000 people affected,
including:
2,500 pregnant women,
26,000 children under
five and
13,000 elderly people
Source: International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies,
Mongolia: Severe Winter, 26 December 2016.
Message #3
Empirical observations and models
show that hazards are intensifying.
Tropical cyclones will have
shorter return periods with
increasing storm surges and wind
speeds.
The track of tropical cyclones
may shift eastward or northward
in the West and North Pacific
basin.
Three times increase in the
number of people and economic
assets exposed
Tropical cyclone – increasing complexity
Estimated Flood Risk
High in many parts of the region
Transboundary flooding (Scenarios 2010 and 2030)
$34.7B
$16.5B
$6.3B
Ganges-Bramaputra-Meghna Bangladesh, Bhutan, China and India
$5.2B
Indus China, Pakistan and India
$1B
$1.5B
Mekong Cambodia, China, Lao PDR,
Myanmar, Thailand and Viet Nam
$0.9B
$1B $1.9B
Amur China and Russian Federation
$0.9B
$1B $1.5B
A substantial increase in
flood losses under both
moderate and severe climate
scenarios.
China, India, Bangladesh and
Pakistan will experience two
to three times more in flood
losses
The transboundary flood
losses will range from 1.2 to 6
times more in the major river-
basins
Water stress in Asia and the Pacific
Drought risk will increase
substantially and there will be
significant shifts in its geography.
In South Asia it will be towards
the west, while in South East
Asia, it’s towards the east.
The new geography of drought
will cause deep uncertainties on
how to manage the risk.
Drought severity by 2030
climate change could increase
the risk of hunger and malnutrition
Projected 2050 Climate
Vulnerability Index
Hunger and Climate
Vulnerability Index
Many cities in high disaster risk areas
Rapidly Growing
Many cities in high disaster risk areas
Rapidly Growing
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
2015
2030
2015
2030
2015
2030
2015
2030
2015
2030
EN
EA
SSW
ASE
AN
CA
Pac
ific
Millions
Extreme High Medium Moderate Low
Message #4
Addressing unmet needs of multi-
hazard early warning systems is crucial.
ESCAP Trust Fund for Tsunami, Disaster
and Climate Preparedness
ESCAP
Multi-donor Trust
Fund
24 Members
ESCAP Multi-Donor Trust Fund for
Tsunami, Disaster and Climate
Preparedness in Indian Ocean and
Southeast Asian Countries.
ESCAP
Multi-donor Trust
Fund
13 Member States
19 Collaborating Countries
Regional Integrated Multi-
Hazard Early Warning
System for Africa and Asia
RIMES IOTWS
The Indian Ocean
Tsunami Warning and
Mitigation System
PTC/TC
Panel on Tropical Cyclones/
Typhoon Committee
PTC 8 Members
TC 14 Members
Partners
- Asian Disaster
Preparedness Center,
- UN Agencies
- NGOs
$15 million
National
Governments
- South East Asia
- South Asia
- Pacific (PNG, Fiji,
Samoa)
Strengthened
Regional
Cooperation
ESCAP Trust Fund for Tsunami, Disaster
and Climate Preparedness Pillars
Focus:
Deepen and extend regional cooperation mechanisms, particularly for high risk, low capacity countries
Enhanced Early Warning Regional
Cooperation
Focus:
Ensure that no one is left behind, particularly in communities affected by conflict and forced displacement.
Multi-Hazard Early Warning for All
Focus:
Invest in Climate Risk Management, by enhancing long term risk analysis and impact-based, people-centred forecasting
Investing in Climate Risk Management
Focus:
Promote scientific, technological and communications advances relevant to disaster preparedness and early warning in high risk, low capacity countries in Asia-Pacific
Harnessing Innovation, Science and Technologies
Thank you!