Korea
description
Transcript of Korea
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Indonesia
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96
1.
1.
() 13 5.78% (: 6.5%) 09(4.6%)
, , ,
* : 4.6%(09)6.1%(10)6.5%(11)6.2%(12)5.8%(13)
14 14 , WB,
14 (13 10 ) 14 GDP 6.0% *, ADB
6.0%
* , (4) (7)
, World Bank, IMF , ,
5.3%, 5.5%
: 6%, 5.5%, 10,500, 870B/D, 1,240B/D
1840, 1670Rp, 175 Rp, GDP 1.69%
* 2013 2.49%
: 3336000Rp, : 558000Rp
2014
(WB)
*, **
* GDP 30%
** FDI FDI
, ,
,
-
97
-
2014The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / ResourcesI
%
US$
US $
%
US $
US $
US $
%
US $
4.63
2,300
1,165
2.78
197
5,387
968
7.87
108
()
1 GDP
GDP
6.22
2,985
1,578
6.96
222
7,093
1,357
7.14
162
6.49
3,509
2,035
3.79
261
8,456
1,774
6.56
195
6.23
3,591
1,900
4.28
-16
8,778
1,917
6.14
246
5.78
3,417
1,826
7.57
-40
8,703
1,866
6.25
286
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
* : IMF, /
(/) ,
* (GDP%) : (11) -1.1 (12) -1.9 (13) -2.5 (14) -2.6
* : 146Rp( 1,335.7Rp, 1,481.7Rp)
11.12 13 GDP
-3.4% , (13.12) 994
() 97 ,
.
* Fitch(11.12): BB+BBB-(), Moodys(12.1): Ba1Baa3,(),
S&P(13.5.2.): BB+ ( )
() 3,692 0.21% 1,825.7(3.9%),
1,866.3(2.6%) 40.6 .
* 08 78.2 ,
2 (12:16.5, 13:40.6)
* :
,
* , , , / 50%
* 05 1000 , 11 2000 12
12
* 76.0%, 16.9%, 7.0%
-
98
() 13 398.6Rp(27.3% ) 390.3Rp
(DDI) 128.2Rp(39.0% , 108.9% ), (FDI) 286
(270.4Rp, 22.4% , 99.2%), 67.8%
, 10
1,221
108
3,076
162
4,342
196
4,579 9,612
246 286
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
FDI * :
44 , 27 127
4
280
103
180
137
274
222
1,083
40
7
1,297
86
1,578
2,935
1,357
416
138
517
281
229
407
347
263
1,367
49
1222
14
1,620
111
2,036
3,810
1,774
Gas
Gas
370
123
558
287
205
426
313
-17
1,491
42
1,161
31
1,530
108
1,900
3,817
1,917
326
102
573
286
181
453
312
-40
1,414
43
1,130
31
1,499
136
1,826
3,692
1,866
-11.75
-16.99
2.86
1.94
-11.65
6.35
-0.55
-
-5.2
3.26
-2.67
118.17
-2.03
-3.15
-3.92
-
-2.64
17.87
5.59
3.14
15.31
9.93
24.25
17.08
-
75.75
2.35
61.91
1.67
82.13
7.28
100
-
100
2010 2011
2012
2013
* : , :
-
99
-
2014The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / ResourcesI
,
* 2 : 20.6%(10) 34.9(11) 47.9(12) 55.4(13)
(WB) :
(WB)
2009~2012 (GDP) 1.8% ,
(3.4%), (3.2%), (2.5%)
*
* BCA
2.
() 13 10
* 13 915 1.4%(13.2)
* 1: (286.6B), 2: (139.9B), 3: UAE(110.8B), 4: (90.7B), 5
: (86B), 6: (48.2B), 7: (40.1B), 8: (20.6B), 9: (16
B)
() 13 2
* 13 39,326 11.6%(4,534)
* 1: (13,617), 3: (4,477), 4: (4,152), 5: (3,692)
-
100
55.29
4
3.9 (5)
2,013
800
3,900
41 (2)
320 (2)
28,000
40
430 (11)
88/ (22)
8,609
1
12
m3
4,900
75,000
680,000
20,000
0.6
7
16.3
5.2
4.1
0.2
14
12
2
6
8
28
3,000
3.1
95 (8)
820 (10)
52,000
221
5.8
1.4
5
13
(A)
(B)
12
()
A/B(%)
(12)
( , , , , )
* : USGS() Mineral commodity summaries, 2013
3.
12 12 , 12
: (4), (2), SK(1), (1),
(1), GS(3), GS(2), (2), (1),
E&R(1), (1), (1)
() 12 2
* 12 117,619 32.2%(37,917)
* 1: (42,849), 3: (11,850), 4: (11,408), 5: (6,704)
() 12 2 ()
* 12 37,443 9.8%(3,657)
* 1: (14,959), 3: (2,880), 4: (2,432), 5: (1,194)
-
101
-
2014The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / ResourcesI
11 , 2
13 47*
* (29), (2), (7), (5), (1), (3)
( : , %)
1
2
5
5
3
6
4
4
285(28)
238(23)
74(7)
35(3)
178(17)
52(5)
1,026(100)
130(13)
34(3)
()
09
875(33)
700(27)
58(2)
169(6)
542(21)
42(2)
2,640(100)
222(8)
32(1)
()
10
350(27)
205(16)
115(9)
127(10)
189(15)
77(6)
1,279(100)
181(14)
35(3)
()
11
2,958(30)
1,311(13)
497(5)
1,881(19)
1,203(12)
487(5)
9,811(100)
1,129(12)
344(4)
()
2.
1.
. ,
1 , ,
1/3 .1)
5 , 1 . , .
, . , -
- .
1) 2013 403.66 Rp(: 144.60, : 257.28, : 0.4) 28% .
-
102
2) , , , , , , , , , , , .
3) 2013 DMO 72.2( 82.02 , ), CoWs 61.76, IUP 10.31
.
(reserves) 211 14, 11% .
(kal/gr ADB) (7100) 1% .
2) 14% , 12%
.
(DMO:Dometic Market Obligation)3) 20-25% ,
4,000-6,000Kal/Kg(GAR ).
(PLN) 49.29, (IPP) 12.07
, 15.21 (2013 )
2 1 . Bangka PT. Tambang Timah
. 2 3 .
6 . PT Freeport Indonesia PT Newmont Nusa Tenggara
( ) 97% .
-
103
-
2014The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / ResourcesI
, 4)
211.32, ,,
3.06 (1)3.91 (5)
800
3,900
, 88.0 (1)100 (2)
60.0 (3)37,000 (2)
28,000 450.0 (6)716 (11)
9,090.64 ()
()
()
()
4,900
75,000
680,000
2.3%
16.3%
5.2%
4.1%
14
2
6
8
3,000 --88 (8)52,000 5.8% 5
(A) (B)
13
()
13
()A/B(%)
(12)
* : Indonesian Mineral book, 2014
.
, , , ,
, .
4) 13 : 54, 11
-
104
5) , , , , CSR
2.
) , ) ,
) , ) , ) 5)
, )
( ) .
, .
10,917 C&C(Clean & Clear)
.
,,
,,
PT Bumi Resources,Tata Power
PT Alam Tri Abadi,PT Viscaya Investment
Newmont Mining Corp, Sumitomo Corp
Aneka Tambang TBK
PT Freeport Indonesia Company(Freeport-Mcmoran Copper and Gold Inc)
PT. Kideco, Jaya Agung
PT. Bumi Resources Tbk
PT Berau Coal Energy
PT. Bukit Asam
PT Aneka Tambang TBK
Kaltim Prima Coal(KPC)
Adaro
Batu Hijau
Buli
Grasberg
Pasir
Arutimin
Berau
Tanjung Eninm
Bahubulu
7,057
4,130
906,810
54,400
2,664,000
1,376
2,486
1,291
7,295
90,750
91
91
99
01
72
93
89
94
-
53.5
52.3
222()
27()
600()
37
28.8
20.3
16
-
()
(13)
.
Bumi Resources, Kideco, / Freeport, Newmont
.
-
105
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2014The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / ResourcesI
C&C6)
Non C&C
3,560
3,433
6,993
2,444 6,004
1,480
3,924
4,913
10,917
6) Clean and Clear:
7) 66, Active 75, 4, FS7, 10, 54
2014 5 , (3,922) 2,533(C&C 1,472),
1,389(C&C 989).
CCOW 1417) 1(81-90) 9, 2(1994)
12, 3(97-00) 33.
MOMI(Minerba One Map Indonesia)
(city, regency, province) IUP .
3.
. : (Indies Mining Law, 1899)
, 1852
. 1899 (Indies mining law)
, ( / ) .
-
106
1904 (concession right) .
, .
1918 , 75 40 ,
, .
. (1945-1998)
.
1945 33.3 . Sukarno
(1945-1966) , 1959 Law 10/1959
1899 .
, GR in Liew of Law 37/1960
1899 . 44/19608) (/ )
, . , 44/1960
(/) .
1967 11 , (strategic), (vital), 9)
.
A ,
B , ,
. , ,
.
(1966-1998) Law 1/1967( ), Law 11/1967()
, Freeport .
Law 11/1967 Cow , (Contractor) .
30 11/1967, GR32/1969 .
8) 1960 Law 44/1960 / , / ,
. (/ )
9) *(Strategic Minerals) :
*(Vitals Minerals) :
*(Other Minerals) :
-
107
-
2014The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / ResourcesI
, GR37/1986 .
, . ,
.
1996, (75/1996) .
. (1998-)
/ , CoW, CCoW
. .
Law 4/2009 4 .
, , ,
.
. 10)
(1)
2 1967 , )
, ) 2007
.
(KK, PKP2B, KP, KPD, SIUP)
(COW, KP) (IUP, IUPK, IPR) ,
.
Cow, KP , ,
(licencing) .
, , , ,
.
10) PWC Mining in Indonesia Investment and Taxation Guide(2013), 2009, Mining and Development in
Indonesia: An Overview of the Regulatory Framework and Policies(2013)
-
108
,
.
, 3
, . , 2014
1 .
(2)
2009 1945 33 . ,
, , , DMO, , ,
, .
2009
-
109
-
2014The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / ResourcesI
3.
1.
.
(installed capacity) 2013 47,128MW (PLN 74%, IPP 22%,
PPU 4%), 38,096kmc11), 741,957kmc12). , ,
. 2022
104.431MW . (2013-2022 RUPTL PLN)
(generating capacity) 2013 213TWh, 2022 438TWh
. ,
, , . 2012
71.6.
(PLN), (IPP: Independent Power Producer)
(Private Power Utility Companies) .
2013 PLN 72% 35.2GW, IPPs 10.4GW(21%), PPUs 1.8GW(4%)
.
PLN PT. Indonesia Power, PT. Pembangkit Jawa Bali, PT. PLN Batam .
IPP(Indepent Power Producer) ,
(IUPTLs) PLN IPP . 95% , 10MW
49% .
37 IPP (7,331MW) , 162 IPP(7,649MW)
.
11) 500KV:5,052kmc, 275KV:1,028kmc, 150KV:27,780kmc, 70KV:4,228kmc
12) MV:313,050kmc, LV:428,907kmc
(2013) 51.6%, 23.6%, 12.5%, 7.9%, 4.4%
(2022) 66%, 16.3%, 1.7%, 5%, 11%
-
110
. (electrification rate)
13) 2013 80.51% 80% , , ,
. (Java) (Bali)
30%
.
14) , ,
, , .
(MP3EI) 2025 90GW
, 2022 97.7% .
2014 2022 59.5GW . ( 6GW )
37 (70%), (14%), (9%), (5%), (1%), marine
fuel oil(1%). (77%), (11%), (7%), (4%), (1%)
.
162 (57%), (27%), Mini power(10%), (3%),
(3%) . (41%), (34%), (7%), (5%), (3%), (10%)
.
(PPUs) Izin Operasi (IO: Operational Licence)
. IUPTL ( PLN)
, PLN , ,
.
(2012 )
: 81,806MW (13)
- (%): 30.7, LNG 26.8, 25.3, 6.5, 5.7, 5.0
- : 87.8%, 12.2% (LNG 72%, 19%, 6%, 3%)
: 508,380MW
- (%): 39.4, 29.6, LNG 24.9, 3.1, 2.3, 0.7
-
111
-
2014The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / ResourcesI
13) : 89.7, 97.3, 99.3, 99.4, 100
14) : 99.9, 70.9-89.7, 79.3-86.3, 66.2-95.5, 62.5-81.8, 78.1, 54.8 ~
64.4, 78.9, 36.4-75.5
15) * (Total Concumption of Electricity):
* (Net Consumption of Electricity):
.
, , , .
(RUKN) 10 .
, , , 2020
4.9 12.4% .
(RUPTL) (PLN) .
10 , , , ,
.
RUPTL(2012-2021) , 2021 57.3GW .
37.7GW , 6.3GW , 5.7GW , 4.1GW , 2.5GW ,
0.9GW .
, 27.8GW(48%) IPP (329) 6.29GW FTP
, 4.61GW PPP, 16.9GW PLN regular program .
(RUKD) 2009 .
RUKN , licensing tariff
, .
2.
.
25
. 7.8% , 15) 2013 188TWh
2022 386TWh (8.4%) .
-
112
16) 40% 35%
.
2009 , , , ,
6 .
11 : 455TWH (8)
- 53.2%, 29.9%, 16.9%
(02-11) 5.6%
- 6.4%, 6.0%, 4.6%
.
2007-30 7 ,
.
(Social Service), (Household), (Business),
(Industry), (Government&Street Lightning), (Train Traction),
(Bulk Selling), (Special Service) 8 37
.
,
.
2013 4 15% , 2014
2014-6 I3 11,129 371, I4
61 2014.5.1 2 4 I3 38.9%,
I4 64.7% .
2013 PLN Rp1,380/kWh , Rp818.41/
kWh .
2012 Rp728.55/kWh 2013 12.3% . ,
.
, 2013 99.8 2014 71.4
.
-
113
-
2014The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / ResourcesI
16) (40.6%), (34.6%), (18.4%), (6.4%)
17) (PLN) -, , 3 600
18) - (12, 13, 14)
. , ,
, ,
.
1970 , ,
, , (Irian Jaya)
.
IPP PLN , CPP
.
2022 56,314kmc , PLN17)
77
.
4.
. 18)
1.
1885
1990 40% . 2005 20%
2012 24% .
.
. 27
2013 37barrel (proven reserve) .
, ,
.
-
114
,
*19) .
,
. .
.
2013 10 ,
14, - 1, 3 .
103 TCF,
.
Natuna , Kalimantan, Sumatra, Papua
. Natuna D-Alpha block( 46TCF)
.
Central Sumatra
West Java
Papua
South Sumatra
NAD
Moluccas
East Java
Natuna
Celebes
Borneo
North Sumatra
Total
3,414.75
504.4
85.07
813.6
125.21
22.24
969.6
308.6
46.52
608.9
116.24
7,015.13
9.28
2.98
24.14
16.08
7.38
15.21
5.26
90.27
2.57
16.65
1.23
191.05
Oil Reserves
(MMSTB: Million Stock Tank Barrels)
Gas Resources(TCF: Trillions Cubic Feets)
, (2012 1 )
* : Indonesia Petroleum Association Report
-
115
-
2014The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / ResourcesI
2.
.
1962 OPEC .
20) 04 .
OPEC 21) 2008 OPEC .
, , .
, , .
2009 19.3% , (14.6%),
(8.7%), (3.9%) .
Pertamina
, 2013 70%~80% .
Pertamina
.
Pertamina (KPC) 2
, ARAMCO
.
70% 400,000bpd
.
.
30 LNG , 1999
2,910 . , 5
LNG .
10 LNG ,
.
19) .
20) 1995 1.6 .
21) OPEC 2010 2,484 /.
-
116
2013 7.4 bcf/d
, , , , LNG
.
2013 181.3
9.93% .
3.
(Per-
tamina) (PSCs, Production Sharing Contractors)
. 89.1%
, 10.9% .
2010 29
. 157 , , 59
.
Oil
Oil
Oil
Oil
Gas
Gas
Gas
Gas
37
882 /
-
1,623/
34BCM
103 TCF
70.4 BCM
pipe line:10.2 BCM
LNG:25BCM
27 (>> )
0.2%
24 (>>> )
1.1%
51.2
:2,460 thousand barrels daily
: 50BCM
14 (>>> )
1.6%
14 (>>> )
1.6%
* 5 LNG
(>>>> )
, ,
* 2013 , 2014. 6 BP
-
117
-
2014The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / ResourcesI
2013 83, 130 . , 740 (worked)
840 (drilled) .
.
2012 , Chevron Pacific Indonesia 40%, Pertamina
15%, Total E&P 8% .
90% 20 , Cepu
. 2008
.
(Sumatra) (Minas) (Duri),
30% .
, Java , Kalimantan, Natuna
.
2 oil field(Minas, Duri fields) Chevron steam flooding
.
2009 (Exxon Mobil)
(Cepu) 6 2014 16 5,000
.
PSC / Production Ratio
Chevron Pacific Indonesia
CNOOC
Total E&P Indonesia
CICO
PetroChina Int.(Jabung)Ltd
Pertamina
ConocoPhilips Indonesia
PHE-ONWJ
Exxon Mobil Cepu Ltd
41 Other PSC Contractors
Total E&P Indonesia
ConocoPhilips Ind.Ltd
Pertamina
ExxonMobil Oil
PetroChina Int.(Jabung)Ltd
BP Berau
Vico Ind
ConocoPhilips(Gresik)Ltd.
Kangean Energy
43 Other PSC Contractors
40
5
8
3
2
15
4
5
3
15
21
5
13
4
3
15
5
13
3
16
% %
-
118
Minas
Mahakam
Bukit Tua
* Sumatra Chevron 40
barrel
* 1995 US$ 400 million 13 zone steam flooding system(EOR)
, chemical injection project(EOR)
* Total 2008 South Mahakam, Stupa, West Stupa, East Mandu discoveries
* South Mahakam liquids 14,700 b/d, Gas 114 mcf/d
* Ketapang PSC Petronas 2008 Conoco Phillips
* Oil 50-80 million barrel, Gas 100 bcf
* Ketapang PSC Jenggolo oil & gas discovery Payang gas
discovery
.
Total 2.57 bcf/d . Chevron Ganal-Rapak
, Pertamina Natuna D-Alpha field, ConocoPhillips North Belut
field .
Cepu
Duri
* Java Cepu oil project
4 fileds (Banyu Urip, Jambaran, Alas Tua, Kedung Keris) Oil 600million
barrel Gas 1.7TCF .
* : ExxonMobil 45%, Pertamina 45%, 10%
* 1941 Rokan block steamflood (EOR)
* 20b/d , 20 barrel
* Conoco Phillips , PT Medco Energi
50MCF/d 3
* : Chevron 100%
(Oil)
.
Irian Jaya, Gorontalo Basin, Sulawesi, Maluku, Arafura Sea
.
-
119
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2014The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / ResourcesI
22) Tangguh 1,2 3(BP, 120, 380/) , SKK MIGAS .
23) Pertamina Arun Receiving-and re-gasification terminal LNG
(80 ), PGN FSRU .(200)
3 (Arun, Badak, Tangguh22)) , 2
(Donggi Senoro, Masela) .
Arun 6 train 13.2/ 2 train
, 2014 .23)
Ganal-Rapak
Natuna
D-Alpha block
Offshore
Mahakam
North Belut
Woeteland
Oyong
* Chevron Kalimantan
* Floating production units 2 barge 30 sunsea wells,
130km gas export lines
* 700 mcf/d, liquids 25,000 b/d Gendalo facility Maha,
Gendalo, Gandang discoveries
* 2013 Gas 150,000 mcf/d , 2016 900,000 mcf/d
* ; Chevron 80%, Eni 20%
* ExxonMobil
Pertamina , Peratmina 60%
* 46tcf
* Kalimantan offshore Mahakam PSC Total
* Gas 2.6 bcf/d , South Mahakam
Gas 114 mcf/d, Liquids 14,700 b/d
* Natuna Natuna block B
* 2009 ConocoPhillips 6,000 b/d,
80,000-90,000 mcf/d , 20,000 b/d, 200,000 mcf/d
* ; ConocoPhillips 40%, Inpex 35%, Chevron 25%
* Java Sampang block( 150 bcf) ,
Wortel gas field Santos
* 2011 50-60 mcf/d , Grati power plant
Power Grati
* : Santos 45%, Singapore Petroleum Company 40%, Cue Energy 15%
(Gas)
-
120
LNG Liquefaction 24)
Bontang
Arun
Donggi- Senoro
Tangguh
Badak,
East Kalimantan
North Sumatra
Central Sulawesi
West Papua
22.5 (8trains)
10 (6trains)
2.0
2014
(280 )
7.6
(2Trains:
2009 )
*3Train 2018
(3.8; 40% PLN )
Pertamina 55%
Vico 20%, Total 10%
JILCO 15%
Pertamina 55%
ExxonMobil 30%
JILCO 15%
Medco11%
Pertamina:29%
Mitsubishi:44.9%
Kogas:15%
BP 37.16%
CNOOC 16.96%
Mitsubishi 16.3%
Nippon oil 12.23%
KG 10%
LNG Japon 7.35%
Total
Chevron
VICO
ExxonMobil
Matindok gas block
BP
Japan
Korea
Taiwan
Japan
Korea
Japan
Korea
China
Korea
Mexico
Japan
Project
Capacity
(mtpa:million metric tons pers annum)
Gas Sourced from
4.
Pertamina 6 , 1.03 /
.
, 2007 / LPG .
RU II Dumai-Sungai Pakening
RU VI Balongan
RU IV Cilacap
RU III Plaju
RU VII Kasim-Sorong
RU V Balikpapan
162
125
348
124
10
260
(/)
Pertamina
* : ReforMiner Institute
-
121
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2014The Current Situation and Policy of
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24) Integrated LNG Supply Project: Arun(), Bontang(), Tangguh(), Non-integrated LNG Project:: Dongggi Senoro
LNG Plant( LNG )
5.
2011 , 49.7% , 24.5% , 20.1%
, (3.4%), (1.3%), (1%)
5.7% .
75,000 MW
7,408.24 billion barel
49,810 MW
161.3 billion ton
3-6 m/s
574 TSCF
28,617 MW
150.7 TSCF
4.8 kWh//d
453.3 TSCF
9 GW
7,572 MW
3,741.33 billion barel
1,716.5 MW
28.17 billiton ton
1.87 MW
-
1,343.5 MW
103.35 BSCF
42.77 MW
-
0.01 MW
Shael Gas
CBM
10.1%
12 yr
5.26%
89 yr
-
-
4.7%
35 yr
-
-
0
(B/A)(A) /(B)
* :
2.5 2-2.5% ,
. 5-6% 7-8%
, .
2011, 6,5 BOE/, 3.3 BOE/. ,
2019 . 2019
.
-
122
* : - (2014) NNREC
,
. 2006 (, No.5/2006) 2007
(No.30/2007) (diversification)
(conservation) .
, , 25) 2011 5.7%
2025 17% . 15 6.7GW
, .
2013 4 . (No.4051/ 2013) )
, ) ) )
.
) )
, , , )
(solid, gas, liquid) , ) /
, ) (, , CBM, ) /
.
25) : CBM, , , ,
: , , , (), (2007, )
-
123
-
2014The Current Situation and Policy of
Energy / ResourcesI
5333020 5 (%) 5 2
, ,
(17)
(25)
10,220,0007,230,0004,250,0002,410,000
950950740450
2001206030
160804010
6,280,0004,530,0002,780,0001,480,000
5,2705,0904,3401,320
58012010080
(Kilo Liter)
(MW)
(MW)
(MW)
(Kilo Liter)
(MW)
(MW)
() 2025202020152010
(25)
* : Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources
(PLN)
(Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources) No. 1122
(Geothermal Law) No. 27(2006) .
No. 36(2010) .
, 95%,
90% .
,
.
, , 6 5% , ,
10% , 10 .