Kempen Conference 2012 - Segro/media/Files/S/Segro/documents/... · 2015-08-20 · Industrial...
Transcript of Kempen Conference 2012 - Segro/media/Files/S/Segro/documents/... · 2015-08-20 · Industrial...
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Kempen Conference
30 May 2012
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SEGRO today – a strong platform for an income-focused REIT
� A leading European REIT � industrial specialist � an attractive asset class
� Strong market positions with excellent quality assets� UK: London & SE England� France/Germany/Poland
� High quality, diversified customer base� £333m of annualised rental income; 1,600 customers
� Experienced operational team� Leasing, customer & asset management, development� Local expertise in each key market
68%
32%
UK Continental Europe
* JVs included at 100%
54%
17%
21%
8%
Industrial Logistics
Offices & other business space Development & land
6.4Net initial yield (%)
7.8Net true equivalent yield (%)
340Adjusted NAV (per share) (pence)
50Gearing (loan to value ratio %)
8.2Weighted average lease term to expiry (years)
Key statistics at 31 December 2011
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Industrial – an attractive asset class
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1986-1995 1996-2004 2005-2011
Industrial Office Retail All Property
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1986-1995 1996-2004 2005-2011
Industrial Office Retail All Property
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Industrial Office Retail All Property
IPD Total Returns % by Economic Cycle(annualised to 2011)
IPD Total Returns % from 1986 to 2011(annualised to 2011)
IPD Income Returns % by Economic Cycle
(annualised to 2011)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Industrial Office Retail All Property
IPD Income Returns % from 1986 to 2011
(annualised to 2011)
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Industrial and logistics focus –an attractive asset class
Logistics warehousingLogistics warehousing
Logistics
�Large distribution warehouses – typically
10,000 sq m and above
�International, national and regional
distribution
�Ports, airports and transportation corridors
Industrial
�Multi occupier estates with buildings in
various sizes
�Located in and around conurbations
�Light industrial and similar uses
�Urban logistics serving conurbations
Good yield with the potential for rental
growth & alternative use upgrade
Higher yield with limited cost leakage &
potential to scale up with 3rd party capital
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Well-located industrial land provides potential to develop higher value uses
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5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Olderindustrial
Modernindustrial
Other highvalue uses
Airport(landside)
Datacentres
Airport(airside)
SuburbanOffices
Illustrative rental levels – South East England(Rent per sq ft)
£6-7
£9-12
£9-15 £12.5-15.5 £16
£24-25
£23-30
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A clear strategy to create an income-focused REIT
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A strong platform to create a successful income-focused REIT
GOAL:
STRATEGY TO CREATE VALUE
FOR SHAREHOLDERS:
A STRONG PLATFORM
FOR SUCCESS:
High quality,
progressive, sustainable dividends
and NAV growth
Industrial and logistics
focus
Strong market positions
Experienced operational
team
Diversified customer
base
Disciplined
Capital Allocation
Operational
Excellence
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Disciplined capital allocation
� Critical mass in strongest European markets
� Prime, modern assets
� Low vacancy, sustainable portfolio
� Modest land holdings
� Low cost diversified funding
� Moderate gearing levels
- 40% LTV target
� Focused use of third-party capital
- Enhance risk-adjusted
returns
- Facilitate growth / achieve
competitive scale
Right portfolio shape Active portfolio management Right capital structure
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Four key strategic priorities to create a successful income-focused REIT
1. Re-shape the existing portfolio
� Divest assets which do not fit our strategic criteria
� Reduce land holdings and other non-income producing assets as a proportion of the total portfolio
2. Re-invest – grow AUM in a smaller number of markets through
development and acquisition
� Light industrial in the largest and most vibrant conurbations
� Logistics assets in major distribution markets
� Exploit opportunities to create higher value uses on industrial land
3. Reduce financial leverage over time and introduce third-party capital
� 40% mid-term LTV target
4. Retain focus on operational excellence and drive further improvements
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Early progress with strategic priorities
� New organisation structure announced and implemented
� COO and CIO roles created
� Non-core disposals
� £377m of non-core asset disposals so far in 2012 including;
- £80m disposal of five UK estates to Ignis in February 2012
- £90m disposal of IQ Farnborough announced in April 2012
- £205m disposal of four regional UK estates announced in May 2012
� Guidance: £300-500m disposals in 2012
� Acquisition of UK Logistics Fund in partnership with Moorfield
� £315m portfolio of prime logistics warehouses
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£1.4bn* of non core assets
£816m
£96m
£515m
'Big six' assets Other industrial assets Other land holdings
* Based on December 2011 valuations
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The six large non-strategic assetsTotal value £515m; headline rent £45m at 31 Dec 2011
Pegasus Park, Brussels MPM/Siemens, Munich Neckermann, Frankfurt
Vimercate, MilanIQ Farnborough Thales, Crawley
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Operational Performance
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Q1 2012 Interim Management Statement
SEGRO has made a good start to the year...
� £172m of non-core asset disposals YTD,
including the first of the six large non-
strategic assets
� £314.7m acquisition of UKLF using 3rd
party capital; consistent with our strategy
� Net borrowings unchanged at £2.3bn as
at 31 March 2012 (pre-Farnborough
disposal)
� Guidance reiterated for £300-500m of
disposals in 2012
� Contracted rental income of £5.5m,
consistent with £5.6m in Q1 2011
� Takebacks reduced to £6.2m from £8.1m
in Q1 2011
� 0.5% rise in Group vacancy rate in Q1
2012 to 9.6%, largely due to acquisitions
and disposals
� Development pipeline remains robust; 4
pre-lets signed in Poland
� Performing in line with expectations
Disciplined Capital AllocationContinued focus on Operational
Excellence
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Q1 2012 vacancy increase to 9.6% largely attributable to acquisition and disposal activity
9.6%9.1%
11.4%12.0%
14.0%13.5%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
FY 2009 H1 2010 FY 2010 H1 2011 FY 2011 Q1 2012
% v
acan
t b
y r
en
tal
valu
e
• UK 11.5%, Continental Europe 5.2% (Q1 2012)
• Target for Brixton portfolio of 15% by end of 2012 already delivered in 2011
Group vacancy, stripping out the impact of the UKLF acquisition (16% vacant)
and Ignis disposal (fully let) in Q1 2012
9.3%
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Solid balance sheet
� No significant debt maturities before 2014
� £465m of funds available from cash balances and undrawn facilities
� Weighted average cost of debt now 4.7%
� 74% of net borrowings at fixed rates
� Net borrowings of £2.3bn; adjusted gearing of 88% and LTV of 50%
� SEGRO bonds rated A minus; reaffirmed by Fitch in December 2011
SEGRO debt maturity profile
Average duration of debt 8.6 years
0.0
100.0
200.0
300.0
400.0
500.0
600.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024+
Year
Bonds and Notes Bank Debt drawn Cash Undrawn facilities
£m
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£954m of new Group and JV debt facilities arranged
SEGRO and Moorfield financing for UKLF JV
� £186.6m five-year facility
� Acquisition completed January 2012
� <4.25% p.a. all-in funding cost; 80% fixed for 5 years
SEGRO and Aviva Investors APP JV refinancing
� £400m five-year debt refinancing package
� Refinanced maturing facility, due March 2012
� c4.0% p.a. all-in funding cost on drawn debt
SEGRO Group refinancing
� €440m of revolving, multi-currency, five-year bank facilities
� Refinanced £270m syndicated facility, due to mature Jan 2013
� c2.75% p.a. funding cost on drawn debt under the facilities
November
2011
September
2011
January
2012
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Well hedged against the Euro
2,004
566
1,030
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Balance sheet as at 31 December 2011
Euro gross assets
Euro debt
Euro currency swaps
Other Euro liabilities
€m
illio
n
•€1.20:£1 as at 31 December 2011
•€ assets 85% hedged by € liabilities
•€303m (£252m) of residual exposure – 10% of Group NAV
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Income statement year to 31 December 2011
Euro net income
Euro costs (incl €67m interest)
€m
illio
n
•Average rate for year to 31 December 2011 €1.15:£1
•€ income 70% hedged by € expenditure (including interest)
•Net € income for the period €34m (£30m) – 22% of Group
1,701
Annualised NAV sensitivity versus €1.20:
• +/- 10% (€1.32/€1.08) = +/- c£25m (c3.4p per share)
•Annualised net income sensitivity versus €1.15
•+/- 10% (€1.27/€1.03) = +/- c£3m (c0.4p per share)
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APPENDICES
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Significant improvement in retention reflects benefits of working closely with customers
% o
f cu
sto
mers
reta
ined
year
on
year*
55%
75%
63%69%
87%
74%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
UK Continental Europe Group
2010 2011
• Focus on customer satisfaction
• Proactive and commercial approach to upcoming lease events
• Reduced availability of modern space in most markets
*Leases renegotiated ahead of break or expiry
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Significant earnings momentum from current development programme
• 21 active projects, 75% pre-let
• £19m of annualised rental income and £107m of remaining capex
� 9,900 sq m at APP Portal, expected
completion Q3 2012
� 5,600 sq m at Slough, expected
completion Q3 2012
� 33,400 sq m at Vimercate, expected
completion
Q4 2013
� 5,500 sq m at Slough, expected
completion Q2 2012
Data centre operator
Alcatel Lonza
DB Schenker
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Land bank provides an attractive source of future developments
£170m
£82m
£171m
� Estimated development costs £600m
� Estimated rental value £78m
� Indicative yield on TDC** 9-10%
Current land holdings by value (£m)*
Residual land bank
Under construction
Potential projectsPotential projects
Largest development sites
Current BV (£m)
Hectares
5.714.2Poznan
Poland & Czech Rep
5.729.7Prague
6.917.7Warsaw
19.717.2Amsterdam (Schipol)
Netherlands
9.619.2Berlin
9.78.8DüsseldorfGermany
13.07.4Slough
32.08.5Park RoyalUK
229 hectares
* Based on December 2011 valuations with JVs at share** Total development cost
49 hectares
363 hectares
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Our current development pipeline is 75% pre-let
UK
Speculative developments
3,100n/aGalvin Road, STE
40,900*Total
2,80048% under offerGalvin Road, STE
8,500Rolls-RoyceAPP Portal at Heathrow, London
9,900DB Schenker APP Portal at Heathrow, London
Contracted projects
3,300Ragus SugarsYeovil Road, STE
5,500LonzaBath Road, STE
5,600Data centre operator
Ajax Avenue, STE
11,400Infinity STE
Pre-let projects under construction
Space to be built (sq m)
CustomerProject
5,200DB SchenkerGdansk, Poland
6,900DPDWroclaw, Poland
4,900DistributorStrykow, Poland
7,600OPEKLodz, Poland
11,200Esprinet (72%)/specVimercate, Italy
CONTINENTAL EUROPE
Speculative developments
8,200n/aParis, France
12,200Various - 50% letBerlin, Germany
11,300Wir Packens (80%)/specKrefeld, Germany
171,500Total
12,200Various - 10% let Dusseldorf, Germany
Contracted projects
12,200FlexlinkPoznan, Poland
14,300Pro Tex (30%)/specFrankfurt, Germany
31,300Sports retailerGliwice, Poland
34,000Alcatel-LucentVimercate, Italy
Pre-let projects under construction
Space to be built (sq m)
CustomerProject
£19m of annualised rental income and £107m of capex
*Includes APP Portal contracted projects at Group share
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1.211.30.36.50.94.8Net absorption (£m)
(2011)
(13.0)(0.4)(16.3)0.9(10.5)(0.8)Valuation movement (%)
(2011)
8.47.68.28.18.67.5True equivalent yield (%)
(2011)
7.06.17.97.56.45.7Net initial yield (%)
(2011)
-
12.4
767.6
Non-core
6.0
9.5
2,586.3
Core
UK
3.1
4.0
814.4
Core
Continental Europe
4.9
9.6
515.4
Non-core
9.1
8.2
3,400.7
Core
Group
4.9
11.2
1,283.0
Non-core
Pre-lets signed (£m)
(2011)
Vacancy at 31 Dec 2011 (%)
Portfolio value at 31 Dec 2011
(£m) (completed properties)
FY 2011 performance of core vs. non-core
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� 50/50 JV partnership with Moorfield Real Estate Fund
� 14 prime logistics warehouses, located predominantly in the Midlands and South
� Excellent customer base, including Tesco, Sainsbury’s, Royal Mail, DHL, GKN, Booker
� High-quality income stream – c £18m in 2011; average 13 years to lease expiry
� 9.4% cash running yield on SEGRO share of equity investment, rising to 12.7%; 6.3% ungeared net initial yield rising to 7.7%
� Potential to add further value through active asset management
UKLF acquisition significantly increases our presence in logistics
Sainsbury’s, Hoddesdon
Booker, Booker, Hatfield
In line with strategy to grow logistics with third-party capital
Royal Mail, Birmingham
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FY 2011 EPRA profit before tax summary
10.816.6Share of joint ventures’ EPRA profit after tax1
(62.5)(54.9)Property operating expenses
282.1271.2Net rental income
1.95.9Joint venture management fee
(39.2)(32.1)Administration expenses
255.6261.6EPRA operating profit
127.3138.5EPRA profit before tax
(128.3)(123.1)Net finance costs (excluding fair value movements on derivatives)
344.6326.1Gross rental income
2010£m
2011£m
1. Net property rental income less administrative expenses, net interest expenses and taxation.
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Good progress with cost reduction
24.3%
28.1%
29.9%30.4%
20
25
30
35
2008 2009 2010 2011
(18.1)39.232.1Administration expenses
(12.2)62.554.9Property operating costs
Movement
(%)
2010
(£m)
2011
(£m)
To
tal
co
st
rati
o*
(%)
*Total costs as a percentage of gross rental income. Total costs include property operating expenses
(net of service charge income and management fees) and recurring administration expenses.
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FY 2011 EPRA pro forma profit before tax: JVs proportionally consolidated
(65.2)(57.7)Property operating expenses
303.2301.4Net rental income
1.02.6Joint venture management fee
(39.2)(32.1)Administration expenses
265.0271.9EPRA operating profit
127.3138.5EPRA profit before tax
(137.9)
0.2
(133.6)
0.2
Net finance costs (excluding fair value movements on derivatives)
Joint venture tax
368.4359.1Gross rental income
2010£m
2011£m
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FY 2011 cash flow summary
23.4(8.1)Net settlement of derivatives
(193.5)(15.9)Investment in joint ventures
397.079.9Investment property sales (including joint ventures)
(82.8)(107.4)Dividends paid
(61.1)(187.1)Capital expenditure (excluding trading properties)
193.7(106.5)Net funds flow
4.17.9Other items
106.6124.2Free cash flow
(6.0)(4.9)Tax paid
8.810.4Dividends received (net)
(141.1)(120.3)Net finance costs
244.9239.0Cash flow from operations
2010£m
2011£m
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FY 2011 EPRA NAV per share bridge (pence)
376
(3)(15)
(35)
19 (1) (1)
340
EPRA NAV per share
as 31 Dec 2010
EPRA PBT Exchange rate
movement
Other Unrecognised
valuation movement
on trading properties
Dividends Realised and
unrealised valuation
movement (including
JVs)
EPRA NAV per share
as 31 Dec 2011
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Forward-looking statements
This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements with respect to
SEGRO’s expectations and plans, strategy, management’s objectives, future
performance, costs, revenues and other trend information. These statements and
forecasts involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend
upon circumstances that may occur in the future. There are a number of factors
which could cause actual results or developments to differ materially from those
expressed or implied by these forward looking statements and forecasts. The
statements have been made with reference to forecast price changes, economic
conditions and the current regulatory environment. Nothing in this presentation
should be construed as a profit forecast. Past share performance cannot be relied on
as a guide to future performance.
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