John DudeneyASSW IPY SessionApril 21 2005

IPY 2007-2008 Concept

ICSU and WMO are co-sponsoring:

An intensive burst of internationally coordinated, interdisciplinary, scientific research and observations focussed on the

Earth’s Polar regions starting in 2007

1. Current Status of Polar Regions2. Change in the Polar Regions3. Global Linkages4. New Frontiers5. Polar Regions as Vantage Points6. The Human Dimension

The Human Dimension also runs through the first five Themes.Data Management and Education, Outreach & Communication are present in all six themes

IPY Themes

IPY Activities since Arctic Council, Reykjavik (1)

Joint Committee appointed to oversee IPY implementation – includes ex-officio members from IASC and SCAR

International Programme Office established in UK (Nov 2004) International competition for IPY Director – David Carlson (USA)

The implementation document “A Framework for IPY 2007-2008” was published (Nov). Available as a pdf on the IPY website

ICSU-WMO issue Call for Expressions of Intent aimed particularly at projects with heavy logistic needs (Nov) – Deadline 14th Jan 05

IPY Activities since Arctic Council, Reykjavik (2)

First Meeting of the Joint Committee and First Meeting of the Open Consultative Forum (March 2005) - CAFF, AMAP, FARO, U of Arctic, IPS, IASSA, IASC and ICARP II represented.

IPY JC assessed ~ 900 proposals and reduced these to ~50 topics by clustering proposals along disciplinary lines. Cross-cutting noted.

Assessment letters sent to primary contacts of each proposal and

potential lead projects approached for each topic.

Updated website launched (www.ipy.org) with searchable database of all the IPY proposals and the assessment summary

Some Results from the Assessment (1)• Arctic EoI’s = 483, Antarctic = 159, Bipolar = 136

• Selection of country involvement in EoI’s (not just leading)

050

100150200250300350400

Nos

. of E

oI's

Some Results from the Assessment (2)Distribution of EoI’s through spheres

Atmosphere = 114 Geosphere = 105Cryosphere = 146 Biosphere = 135Hydrosphere = 98 Human Dimension = 104Space/Earth Ob = 67 Education/Legacy = 80

Association of EoI’s with major programmes/areasCASO (S. Ocean) = 21 Permafrost = 17 iAOOS (Arctic Ocean) = 22 CliC = 65 SEARCH = 21 WAIS studies = 11

THEME 1 – StatusBiodiversity of Polar Regions Clouds, aerosols, atmospheric chemistryHydrological cycle and freshwater budget Ocean circulation Space Snapshot Ice Caps, Ice Sheets, Glaciers & Permafrost Weather and Climate Biochemistry and Ecosystems Coasts and Margins Atmosphere ocean ice (THORPEX)

Theme 2 – ChangeLife Under Natural & Antropogenic ChangesMigration: Invasions, expansions reductionsPaleoclimate Adaptation and Vulnerability Transitions and Border Zones Rapid Change Societal Responses Ecosystem Response to change Evolution of Polar Glaciation

Theme 3 – Global ConnectionsTeleconnections between Pole and mid-latitude Plate tectonics and Polar Gateways

Theme 4 – New FrontiersExploration Beneath the Ice

Theme 5 – Vantage Point Observing SystemLife in the Polar RegionsGeophysical, Glaciological Atmospheric and Climate Observation Systems Local and indigenous visions ICESTAR Astronomy SPARC

Theme 6 – Human DimensionNatural Resources Uses, Management and Conservation Northern Resources New Risks and Stresses (inc. contaminants and Health)Resources – Geosciences

Outreach and EducationPreservation of IPY Legacy

 

Mapping of the Clusters onto the IPY Themes

Mandatory IPY Activity Characteristics 1. Makes significant advances within one or more IPY themes2. Involves at least one polar region and takes place within the

IPY timeframe 3. Contributes to international collaboration 4. Presents a viable management plan and organisational

structure, including a time line when commitments (funding, logistic etc) can be expected

5. Presents a viable approach for securing funding 6. Proposes a viable plan for securing appropriate logistical support 7. Signs up to the principles and aims of IPY data management and

proposes a viable data management plan 8. Proposes a viable plan or approach for education, outreach and

communication activities 9. Shows how it will foster the next generation of polar researchers

Desirable Characteristics of IPY Activities

1. Includes nations not traditionally involved in polar research (at present only 3 non-polar countries in IPY)

2. Provides the opportunity for a legacy of infrastructure (observation sites, facilities, systems)

3. Builds on existing plans, programmes or initiatives or at least does not conflict with them

4. Has interdisciplinary elements5. Is “endorsed” by one or more IPY National Committee

or International Organisation (ensures involvement of National Committees who link to funding agencies)

Atmosphere Topics Possible Lead Cluster EoI’s (ID #) Clouds, aerosols and atmospheric chemistry

89, 213, 244, 268, 299, 542

13,28, 48, 50, 116, 165, 198, 212, 309, 318, 322, 325, 347, 371, 438, 484, 530, 557, 566, 595, 720, 725, 748, 797, 808, 819, 820, 833, 834, 847, 900, 919

Multi-disciplinary observing systems

129,138, 699, 732

312, 452, 544, 546, 656, 678, 690, 721, 732, 825, 828, 436, 729, 787, 430

Weather and climate (including improved forecasts)

THORPEX-IPY 70, 92, 133, 134,146, 167, 179, 206, 326, 339, 410, 810, 113, 134, 294, 638, 811, 394, 442, 582, 600, 618, 805, 851 (297), (382/837), (408), (500)

Tele-connections (polar and mid-latitude)

117, 149, 224, 251, 279, 337, 891

Hydrological cycle and freshwater budget

362 67,158, 201, (314), 414, 665

Palaeoclimate and Climate compilations IPICS 78, 207, 286, 437, 463, 560, 605, 632, 757, 762, 850

Ecosystem response to change and variability in the physical environment

313, 353, 668, 695, 792, 853, 916

Example of the Clustering Exercise for Atmosphere

Select Topics & their Lead Projects (Atmosphere)

PALAEOCLIMATE/ CLIMATE COMPILATIONS

International Partnerships for Ice Core Studies(IPICS) - Bipolar

HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE AND FW BUDGET

An Arctic component of the WMO World Hydrological Cycle Observing System (HYCOS)

WEATHER AND CLIMATE (improved forecasts)

THORPEX-IPY - Bipolar

Air-Ice Chemical Interactions (AICI–IPY) - Bipolar

CLOUDS, AEROSOLS, ATMOSPHERIC CHEM.

Synoptic Studies of Contaminants in Polar Environments (SYNSCOPE) - Bipolar

Polar Ozone Loss - Bipolar

The Polar Environment Atmospheric Research Laboratory

Select IPY Topics and Lead Projects (Space Science – all bipolar)

ICESTAR/IHY Interhemispheric Conjugacy Effects in Solar-Terrestrial and Aeronomy Research

International Heliophysical Year (IHY)

Polar Astronomy To be identified

SPARC The structure and evolution of the stratospheric polar vortices during IPY and its links to the troposphere

Space Snapshot Snapshots From Space

Polar Hemispheric Acquisition of Remote Observations of the Environment by Satellites

Select IPY Topics & Lead Projects (Hydrosphere)

OCEAN CIRCULATION Integrated Arctic Ocean Observing System (iAOOS)Climate in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean (CASO)

BIOGEOCHEMISTRY AND ECOSYSTEMS

Ocean-Atmosphere-Sea Ice-Snow pack (OASIS) InteractionsGEOTRACES – Bipolar

COASTS AND MARGINS Arctic Circumpolar Coastal Observatory Network (ACCO-NET)Synoptic Antarctic Shelf-Slope Interactions Study (SASSI)

CROSS-CUTTING PROJECTS

SEARCH - ArcticInternational Permafrost Association

Select IPY Topics & Projects (Cryosphere)TERREST. CRYOSPHERE The State and Fate of the Polar Cryosphere

The Thermal State of Permafrost

GLACIERS AND ICE CAPS

Dynamic response of Arctic glaciers to global warmingPolar glaciers and ice caps as indicators of climate change

ARCTIC SEA-ICE The state of the Arctic sea ice cover

SUBGLACIAL LAKES Subglacial Antarctic Lake Exploration (SALE-UNITED)

MASS BALANCE, ICE DYNAMICS, STABILITY

Greenland’s Ice Sheet – reactions to past and present climate change

Antarctic Peninsula Ice and Climate System Initiative (APICS)

Select IPY Topics & Lead Projects (Geosciences)

GEOPHYSICAL OBSERVATORIES

Polar Earth Observing Network (POLENET) - BipolarGeodetic Observatories In Antarctica (GOIA)

PALAEOCLIMATE Bipolar Climate Machinery (BIPOMAC)

PLATE TECTONICS AND GATEWAYS

Polar Ocean Gateways (PolarGates) - Bipolar

EXPLORATION BENEATH THE ICE, TRAVERSES, EARTH HISTORY

No lead identified yet

Select IPY Topics & Lead Projects (Education/Data)

IPY DATA Electronic Geophysical Year (e-GY)Data and Information Service (DIS) for Distributed Data Management

EDUCATION Higher Education in the International Polar Year (University of the Arctic)

Next Steps 1• Further information on logistics requirements to be

passed to FARO/COMNAP (April 2005)

• Ad hoc Task Groups being formed to progress Data and EOC issues (April 2005). These will hand over to Data and EOC Sub-Committees formed by end of June 2005

• Funding of projects is at national level but the JC aim to address international funding - a meeting with (IGFA) International Group of Funding Agencies (~May)

Next Steps 2• Full proposals (6-7 pages) requested – by June 30, 2005

• JC identifies initial set of “core” IPY projects – Aug 2005

• Further opportunities for inclusion of IPY projects through into 2006. Possibly a second Call late in 2005 (decision in August)

• Ongoing promotion of IPY at international meetings, development of promotional material and the website

Thank You

IPY and Societal Benefits

IPY can bring societal benefits to the polar regions in the form of new knowledge, in enhancements to the systems observing change and in understanding of natural and human processes there

– Improving weather information, forecasting, and warnings

– Improving predictions of climate variability and change

– Reducing loss of life and property from natural and human- induced disasters

– Establishing how to mitigate or adapt to environmental factors affecting human health and well being

IPY and Societal Benefits

• Improving the sustainable management of fisheries/ agriculture

• Improving the management of resources of water and energy

• Improving the management and protection of terrestrial, coastal, and marine ecosystems

• Understanding, monitoring, and conserving biodiversity

• Providing indigenous people with the tools and capabilities to tackle these societal issues and build capacity

Arctic IPY Topics & Projects (Human Studies)

CHANGE: ADAPTATION AND VULNERABILITY; COUPLED HUMAN- ENVIRONMENT SYSTEMS

Co-ordination of Observation and Monitoring of the Arctic for Assessment and Research (COMAAR)Study of Environmental Arctic Change (SEARCH)

NEW RISKS & STRESSES (inc Human Health)

Arctic Human Health Initiative (AHHI)Polar Pulse (Bipolar proposal)

Arctic Council and IPY• IPY would welcome involvement from the Council, including:

– Participation in the development of IPY and contributing nominations for the three major sub-committees?

– Participation (leadership?) of Arctic Council Working Group’s in core IPY projects (AMAP, CAFF)

– Building on ACIA , the AHDR and the on-going work of the WG’s, the Arctic Council has submitted two major EoI’s (COMAAR and the Arctic Human Health Initiative, AHHI)

– Also have expertise in monitoring, information management & transfer (environmental and societal) and sustainable

development so feasibly there may be more opportunities to contribute to IPY.