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Investor - Hilton/media/Files/H/Hilton-Worldwide-IR-V3/presentations/201708-hlt...(c) Excl....
Transcript of Investor - Hilton/media/Files/H/Hilton-Worldwide-IR-V3/presentations/201708-hlt...(c) Excl....
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Conrad Bora Bora Nui, French Polynesia
August 2017
InvestorPRESENTATION
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HLT VALUE PROPOSITION
Leading Brands serving
virtually any lodging need
anywhere
Satisfied, Loyal
Customers
Premium, Growing
Market ShareSatisfiedOwners
Leading Hotel
Supply & Pipeline
HLT Financial Performance
• Award-winning brands that serve guests for virtually any lodging need they have anywhere in the world
• Leads to satisfied customers, including approximately 67 million Hilton Honors loyalty members
• Creates a network effect that drives a strong global RevPAR premium of 14%(a)
• These premiums drive strong financial returns for the company and our hotel owners
• Satisfied owners continue to invest in growing Hilton’s brands, driving leading organic net unit growth with de minimis use of capital
• We believe the reinforcing nature of these activities will allow Hilton to outperform the competition
Hilton's scale, global presence and leading brands at multiple price points drive a network effect delivering industry-leading performance
© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
(a) Source: STR (6 months ended 6/30/2017). “RevPAR” or “Revenue per Available Room” represents hotel room revenue divided by room nights available to guests for a given period.
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1. THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESS
2. A MARKET-LEADING, RESILIENT, FEE-BASED BUSINESS
3. A RECORD PIPELINE GENERATING SUBSTANTIAL RETURNS ON MINIMAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT
4. SUPPORTED BY STRONG FUNDAMENTALS AND A DISCIPLINED STRATEGY
5. GENERATING SIGNIFICANT FREE CASH FLOW FOR SHAREHOLDERS
© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary 2
Investment Thesis
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(a) Source: STR (6 months ended 6/30/2017). “RevPAR” or “Revenue per Available Room” represents hotel room revenue divided by room nights available to guests for a given period.(b) System revenue includes estimated revenues of franchised properties in addition to revenues from properties owned, leased or managed by Hilton.
14 Industry-leading, clearly defined, global brands that drive a 14% global RevPAR premium(a)
Luxury & Lifestyle Full Service All Suites Focused Service Timeshare
1. THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESS
Strong commercial engines support $36 billion in annual system revenue(b)
~67M members, 57% system occupancy
Loyalty Program
Online & Mobile
~600M site visits/year
Revenue Management
Pricing and yield systems
Worldwide Sales
~$10B in annual revenue
Reservations & Customer Care
+47 million interactions/yr.
Supply Management
~$6B of annual spend influenced
Information Technology
Proprietary platform
With 5,079 properties & ~826,000 rooms in 103 countries and territories, Hilton is one of the world’s largest hotel companies
© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
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AT 2,500+ PROPERTIES
YE 2017
AT 4,600+ PROPERTIESGLOBALLY
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We are the most innovative hotel company, leading in delivering personalized experiences to our guests
DIGITAL CHECK-IN ROOM SELECTION DIGITAL KEY
The highest-rated travel app, downloaded every 8 seconds• Exclusively allows guests to select their specific rooms on their phones,
which is done more than a million times a month• Digital Key enables guests to use their phones as room keys at the most
hotels by far - with 2,500 hotels expected by the end of 2017
© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
1. THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESS
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Hilton Honors loyalty program enables a better, more personalized hotel stay, driving incremental value to the system
© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
1. THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESS
57.2%Share of system
Occupancy
INNOVATIVE NEW FEATURES & PARTNERSHIPS
POINTS & MONEY 2.0
HILTON HONORS IS OFFERING MORE VALUE TO MORE MEMBERS
Can choose any combination of Points and money to pay
for a stay, using an interactive “Slider.”
SHOP WITH POINTSThe first hotel loyalty
program to enable members to use their Points on
Amazon.com.
POINTS POOLINGCan pool Points into a single account (for free), generating incremental reward stays and
increasing engagement.
Note: As of June 30, 2017
+15% CAGR2012
36M
67M
Today
+170 BPS YOY
Members
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Upper Upscale
33%
Upscale33%
Upper Midscale
30%
Luxury3%
Other1%
U.S.71%
Europe12%
Asia Pacific
10%
Americas Non-U.S.
4%
Middle East & Africa
3%
+11.9% CAGR
Adj. EBITDA from fees, 90% revenue driven(a)90% 7.0% Managed & Franchised NUG(b)
2009 LTM(a)
of total fees franchisedriven(a)70%
Majority Franchise Fees
$814M
$1,834M
Meaningful Fee GrowthMANAGEMENT & FRANCHISE FEES
Capital Efficient Growth
© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
4.8% in-place rate vs. 5.6%
published rate(c)~$160M annual
Adj. EBITDA
+/- 1% of RevPAR growth is roughly
+/- 1% of Adjusted EBITDA growth
Increasing franchise fees as contracts roll over at higher published rates $145M Total HLT
investment in pipeline, with over 51% under construction and average contract term of 19 yrs.
Diversified Across Geographies and Chain ScalesADJ. EBITDA BY GEOGRAPHY(a) ROOMS BY CHAIN SCALE(d)
Top-Line Driven
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2. A MARKET-LEADING, RESILENT, FEE-BASED BUSINESS
No single U.S. market accounts for more than 3% of
Adj. EBITDA
(a) Based on LTM 6/30/2017 on a pro forma basis calculated as the six months ended 6/30/2017 plus the pro forma year ended 12/31/2016 less the pro forma six months ended 6/30/2016. For Adjusted EBITDA, excludes corporate and other.(b) Net Unit Growth (NUG) based on LTM 6/30/2017.(c) As of or for the three months ended 6/30/2017.(d) Room count as of 6/30/2017. Other includes HGV
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BEST PERFORMING BRANDS
Existing brands in current markets Existing brands in new markets Organically developed new brands
White space: Urban Micro, Luxury Collection, Luxury Lifestyle, Hilton+
~55% of pipeline ~25% of pipeline ~20% of pipeline
Resulting in: Record pipelines across all brand segments with minimal HLT capital investment
7© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
Illustrative Value Creation(a)
$8,800M
Under Construction
169K% Pipeline Outside U.S.
51%HLT Investment
$145M332KPipeline rooms
$650MStabilized Adj. EBITDA
(a) Based on 13.5x Illustrative Adjusted EBITDA. Figure is illustrative only and does not reflect the actual valuation or the view of Hilton with respect to proper valuation. The market may attribute a different valuation.
3. A RECORD PIPELINE GENERATING SUBSTANTIAL RETURNS ON MINIMAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT
3rd Party Investment
$50B
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8© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
Development focused on balanced global growth - brand portfolio drives high quality, high return, industry-leading organic growth
enabled by demand patterns around the world
Existing Room
SupplyRooms Under Construction
% of Total % of Total
United States 12% 26%
Americas ex. U.S. 3% 15%
Europe 2% 20%
Middle East, Africa 3% 19%
Asia Pacific 1% 21%
Global System 5% 22%
LEADING SHARE OF FUTURE DEVELOPMENT IN EVERY REGION(a)
GLOBAL SHARE OF ROOMS UNDER CONSTRUCTION/EXISTING SHARE(a)
4.6x
3.3x2.3x
DEVELOPMENT MARKET SHARE IS ~4.6X LARGER THAN CURRENT SHARE
3. A RECORD PIPELINE GENERATING SUBSTANTIAL RETURNS ON MINIMAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT
(a) Source: STR Global Census, July 2017 (adjusted to June 2017) and STR Global New Development Pipeline, June 2017.
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GLOBAL SYSTEM (# of rooms) 2007-TODAY(a) HLT NET UNIT GROWTH (000s of rooms)
67%
58%
52%
36%
29%
20%
16%
9© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
(a) Note: “2007” metrics are as of 6/30/07, except for H which is as of 12/31/07; “Today” metrics are as of most recent reporting: 6/30/2017 for HLT and 3/31/2017 for other peers.(b) Reflects MAR acquisition of HOT in both periods. (c) Excl. timeshare properties due to lack of 2007 data availability for WYN. (d) Accor data reflects sale of Motel 6 and Studio 6 brands and the acquisition of Fairmont Raffles Hotels International Group.(e) As a % of gross room openings
(b)
(d)
(c)
Industry-leading growth with great sight lines into future development
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40% 57% 49% 43%47% 43% 31% 37%
60%43%
51%57%
53%57% 69%
63%
18.823.6
18.325.4
36.243.1 45.1
52.5
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E
International U.S.
3. A RECORD PIPELINE GENERATING SUBSTANTIAL RETURNS ON MINIMAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT
This page contains additional trademarks, service marks and trade names of others, which are the property of their respective owners. All trademarks, service marks and trade names appearing in this presentation are, to our knowledge, the property of their respective owners.Source: Company filings.
% Conversions(e)23% 46% 38% 35% 26% 29% 22% 22%
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2x Last 20 years,double again next 20 yearsGLOBAL TOURIST
ARRIVALS
+1BNIncremental annual trips expected over next 20 years
15.8
1.5
UN
ITED
STA
TES
CH
INA
1.1
BR
AZI
L
0.2
IND
IA
GROWING CUSTOMER BASE THAT CAN & WANT TO TRAVEL
HOTEL UNDER-PENETRATION IN HIGH GROWTH MARKETS
GLOBAL MIDDLE CLASS
10© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
(hotel rooms per 1,000 people)
Source: STR, UNWTO, World Bank, OECD
4. SUPPORTED BY STRONG FUNDAMENTALS…
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• Performance-driven, purpose-led culture based on common vision, mission, values and key strategic priorities
ALIGN CULTURE & ORGANIZATION
STRENGTHEN BRANDS &
COMMERCIAL SERVICES
PLATFORM
EXPAND GLOBAL FOOTPRINT
MAXIMIZE PERFORMANCE
• Maximize relevance of existing brands, strategically add new brands• Build on leading commercial capabilities to maximize revenues• Lead in digital and personalization capabilities• Drive deeper loyalty and more direct relationships with guests through
Hilton Honors
• Deliver industry-leading, high-quality organic net unit growth• Fill market gaps with the right brand in the right location at the right
time• Expand luxury portfolio; execute China growth strategy
• Grow market share• Grow free cash flow per share, preserve strong balance sheet, and
accelerate return of capital
© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary 11
… AND A DISCIPLINED STRATEGY
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$2.6 – $2.8BNFree cash flow
$0.4 – $1.7BNNet debt issuance
POTENTIAL CAPITAL RETURN THROUGH 2019
$3.0 – $4.5BN
15% - 20%Quarterly dividends
80% – 85%Share buybacks
12© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
Potential three year capital return represents 14% to 20% of current market cap
5. GENERATING SIGNIFICANT FREE CASH FLOW
(a) Source: December 2016 Investor Day
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1. THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESS
2. A MARKET-LEADING, RESILIENT, FEE-BASED BUSINESS
3. A RECORD PIPELINE GENERATING SUBSTANTIAL RETURNS ON MINIMAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT
4. SUPPORTED BY STRONG FUNDAMENTALS AND A DISCIPLINED STRATEGY
5. GENERATING SIGNIFICANT FREE CASH FLOW FOR SHAREHOLDERS
© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary 13
Investment Thesis
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Waldorf Astoria Resort Boca Raton, Florida
Appendix
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$20 $40 $40 $40 $40 $40
$3,729
$1,000$900
$0
$600
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Weighted average term: 7.0 years
CAPITAL STRUCTURE OVERVIEW
DEBT BREAKDOWN / SCHEDULED AMORTIZATION AND MATURITIES(a)
$5.8BNet debt
3.1xNet leverage(b)
4.1%WACD
75%% fixed
39%% unsecured
61%% freely
prepayable
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FLEXIBLE CAPITAL STRUCTURE WITH SIGNIFICANT LIQUIDITY
© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
($ in millions)
(a) Excludes capital lease obligations and other debt of our consolidated variable interest entities. As of June 30, 2017.(b) Ratio of net debt as of 6/30/2017 to LTM 6/30/2017 pro forma Adjusted EBITDA.
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SAME STORE NET UNIT FEE RATE
GROWTH IN(CAGR)
Annual Adj. EBITDA Sensitivity(b)
Corporate & Other
Adj. EBITDA
Free Cash Flow
Reduction of Shares
RevPAR(+1 to 3%)
Net Unit Growth (+ 6.0%)
Effective Franchise Rate(a)
5 to 8% CAGR
~3% CAGR
12 to 15% CAGR
4 to 8% CAGR
1 Pt. = ~$20-25MM 10K rooms = ~$20MM steady-state 5 bps = ~$8-10MM
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(a) Effective franchise fee rate is 4.8% in Q2 2017, up 81 bps since FY2007, moving towards published rate of 5.6%, Effective franchise rate calculated as total Franchise fee revenue divided by total Franchise room revenue. Published Franchise rates calculated as the weighted average of current published brand Franchise fee rates.
(b) Sensitivity within the ranges given.
THREE YEAR MODEL SUMMARY FROM 2016 INVESTOR DAY
© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
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(a) On a pro forma basis, giving effect to the spin-off transactions.(b) Represents furniture, fixture & equipment (“FF&E”) replacement reserves established for the benefit of lessors for requisition of capital assets under certain lease agreements.(c) Represents adjustments for severance and other items. (d) For the June 30, 2017 ratio, represents 6/30/2017 Net Debt / LTM pro forma Adjusted EBITDA. © 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
Q2 YTD 2017 FY 2016 (a)
Income from continuing operations, net of taxes $242 $127Interest expense 204 394 Income tax expense 143 647 Depreciation and amortization 176 364
EBITDA 765 1,532 Gain on sales of assets, net - (8) Loss (gain) on foreign currency transactions (1) 16 Loss on debt extinguishment 60 - FF&E replacement reserve (b) 21 55 Share-based compensation expense 59 83 Impairment loss - 15 Other adjustment items (c) 39 70
Adjusted EBITDA $943 $1,763
As of June 30, 2017
As of December 31,
2016 (a)
Long-term debt, including current maturities $6,620 $6,616Add: unamortized deferred financing costs and discount 86 90 Long-term debt, including current maturities and excluding unamortized deferred financing costs and discount 6,706 6,706
Add: Hilton's share of unconsolidated affiliate debt, excluding unamortized deferred financing costs 13 12 Less: cash and cash equivalents (784) (1,062) Less: restricted cash and cash equivalents (125) (121)
Net debt $5,810 $5,535
Net debt/Adjusted EBITDA (d) 3.1x 3.1x
($ in millions)RECONCILIATIONS
Slide 68
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Pro Forma Financial Information
In millions
FY 2016
Operating income$ 1,170
Interest expense(394)
Loss on foreign currency transactions(16)
Other non-operating income, net14
Income before income taxes774
Income tax expense(647)
Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests(10)
Net income attributable to Hilton stockholders, before special items117
Diluted EPS, before special items$ 0.36
Special items421
Income tax expense on special items(22)
Net income, adjusted for special items516
Diluted EPS, adjusted for special items$ 1.57
Slide 70
Q2 YTD 2017FY 2016 (a)
Income from continuing operations, net of taxes$242$127
Interest expense204394
Income tax expense143647
Depreciation and amortization176364
EBITDA7651,532
Gain on sales of assets, net-(8)
Loss (gain) on foreign currency transactions(1)16
Loss on debt extinguishment60-
FF&E replacement reserve (b)2155
Share-based compensation expense5983
Impairment loss-15
Other adjustment items (c)3970
Adjusted EBITDA$943$1,763
As of June 30, 2017As of December 31, 2016 (a)
Long-term debt, including current maturities$6,620$6,616
Add: unamortized deferred financing costs and discount8690
Long-term debt, including current maturities and excluding unamortized deferred financing costs and discount6,7066,706
Add: Hilton's share of unconsolidated affiliate debt, excluding unamortized deferred financing costs1312
Less: cash and cash equivalents(784)(1,062)
Less: restricted cash and cash equivalents(125)(121)
Net debt$5,810$5,535
Net debt/Adjusted EBITDA (d)3.1x3.1x
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18© 2017 Hilton Confidential and Proprietary
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These statements include, but are not limited to, statements related to our expectations regarding the performance of our business, our financial results, our liquidity and capital resources and other non-historical statements. You can identify these forward-looking statements by the use of words such as “outlook,” “believes,” “expects,” “potential,” “continues,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “seeks,” “projects,” “predicts,” “intends,” “plans,” “estimates,” “anticipates” or the negative version of these words or other comparable words. Such forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, including, among others, risks inherent to the hospitality industry, macroeconomic factors beyond our control, competition for hotel guests and management and franchise agreements, risks related to doing business with third-party hotel owners, performance of our information technology systems, growth of reservation channels outside of our system, risks of doing business outside of the United States and our indebtedness, as well as those described under the section entitled “Risk Factors” in Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016, as such factors may be updated from time to time in our periodic filings with the SEC, which are accessible on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual outcomes or results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. These factors should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with the other cautionary statements that are included in this presentation and in our filings with the SEC. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.
This presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted earnings before interest expense, taxes, depreciation and amortization (“Adj. EBITDA”), Net Debt, and Net Debt to Adj. EBITDA ratio. Non-GAAP financial measures, including Adj. EBITDA, should be considered only as supplemental to, and not as a substitute for or superior to, financial measures prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. Please refer to the Appendix and footnotes of this presentation for a reconciliation of the historical non-GAAP financial measures included in this presentation to the most directly comparable financial measures prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. In addition, this presentation includes projected Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA and other Pro Forma information as of December 31, 2016 and for the last twelve months (“LTM”) ended June 30, 2017 for Hilton. Refer to the Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the SEC on January 4, 2017 for additional information on the spin-off transactions and pro forma financial information, as well as the Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the SEC on July 26, 2017 for additional pro forma financial information.
Slides in this presentation include certain Adj. EBITDA amounts that are used only for illustrative purposes to present illustrative Adj. EBITDA amounts by applying assumptions to existing room pipeline, increases of in-place rates and increases in RevPAR, as applicable, in each case based on information for the LTM ended June 30, 2017. These amounts do not represent projections of future results and may not be realized. Value information on such slides that is derived from such illustrative Adj. EBITDA amounts is indicative only, based upon a number of assumptions, and does not reflect actual valuation. Please review carefully the detailed footnotes in this presentation.
DISCLAIMER
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Hilton Phuket Arcadia Resort, Thailand
“It has been, and continues to be, our responsibility to fill the earth with the light and warmth of hospitality.”
CONRAD HILTON
Slide Number 1HLT VALUE PROPOSITIONSlide Number 3THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESSTHE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESSTHE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESSSlide Number 7Slide Number 8Slide Number 9Slide Number 10Slide Number 11Slide Number 12Slide Number 13Slide Number 14Slide Number 15Slide Number 16Slide Number 17Slide Number 18Slide Number 19Slide Number 20