Global Market Update (8/11/14)

50
Charts to Watch Global Market Update August 11, 2014 Global ClientsGlobal Portfolios disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts, including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.

Transcript of Global Market Update (8/11/14)

Page 1: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

Charts to WatchGlobal Market Update

August 11, 2014

Global Clients…Global Portfolios

disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts, including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.

Page 2: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

Financial Conditions

Page 3: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

5

Developed Markets – Year to Date

Page 4: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

6

Emerging Markets – Year to Date

Page 5: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

7

The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility)

Page 6: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

8

VIX index – Long Term Perspective

Page 7: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

9

Global Financial Stress Index (Higher Level = Higher Stress)

Page 8: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

10

S&P 500 – This Week

Page 9: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

11

10 Year UST Yields – This Week

Page 10: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

12

Gold Price – This Week

Page 11: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

13

S&P 500 Sectors – This Week

Page 12: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

Fixed Income & Credit

Page 13: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

15

US Yield Curve (Current vs. 1 Month & 12 Months Ago)

Page 14: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

16

UST Curve vs. US Investment Grade Curve

Page 15: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

17

U.S. Treasury 2 Year Yield

Page 16: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

18

U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield

Page 17: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

19

U.S. Treasury 30 Year Yield

Page 18: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

20

Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations)

Page 19: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

21

Investment Grade Bond Prices

Page 20: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

22

Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield)

Page 21: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

23

High Yield Bond Prices

Page 22: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

24

High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield)

Page 23: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

25

Emerging Market Debt (USD Denominated)

Page 24: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

26

Emerging Market Bond Spreads

Page 25: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

Global Equities

Page 26: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

28

S&P 500 Earnings – Q2 2014

Page 27: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

29

MSCI All Country World Index

Page 28: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

30

S&P 500 Index

Page 29: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

31

MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index

Page 30: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

32

MSCI Emerging Markets Index

Page 31: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

33

Trend Analysis by Sector (S&P500)

Page 32: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

34

Sector Performance by Region (YTD)

Page 33: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

The Economy

Page 34: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

36

Last week’s Economic Calendar

Page 35: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

37

Next week’s Economic Calendar

Page 36: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

38

U.S. Economic Watch – Leading Economic Indicators

Page 37: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

39

U.S. Economic Watch – Leading Economic Indicators

Page 38: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

40

U.S. Economic Watch – Housing Market

Page 39: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

41

U.S. Economic Watch – Housing Market

Page 40: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

42

NFIB Small Business Actual Capital Expenditures

Page 41: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

43

Business 6 Month Outlook for CAPEX

Page 42: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

Currencies & Commodities

Page 43: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

45

World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns)

Page 44: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

46

World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q4 2014)

Page 45: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

47

Euro €

Page 46: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

48

Japanese Yen ¥

Page 47: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

49

Global Commodity Prices

Page 48: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

50

Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years

Page 49: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

51

Gold Prices – 5 Years

Page 50: Global Market Update (8/11/14)

52

Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years