Global Market Update (8/11/14)
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Transcript of Global Market Update (8/11/14)
Charts to WatchGlobal Market Update
August 11, 2014
Global Clients…Global Portfolios
disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts, including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.
Financial Conditions
5
Developed Markets – Year to Date
6
Emerging Markets – Year to Date
7
The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility)
8
VIX index – Long Term Perspective
9
Global Financial Stress Index (Higher Level = Higher Stress)
10
S&P 500 – This Week
11
10 Year UST Yields – This Week
12
Gold Price – This Week
13
S&P 500 Sectors – This Week
Fixed Income & Credit
15
US Yield Curve (Current vs. 1 Month & 12 Months Ago)
16
UST Curve vs. US Investment Grade Curve
17
U.S. Treasury 2 Year Yield
18
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield
19
U.S. Treasury 30 Year Yield
20
Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations)
21
Investment Grade Bond Prices
22
Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
23
High Yield Bond Prices
24
High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
25
Emerging Market Debt (USD Denominated)
26
Emerging Market Bond Spreads
Global Equities
28
S&P 500 Earnings – Q2 2014
29
MSCI All Country World Index
30
S&P 500 Index
31
MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index
32
MSCI Emerging Markets Index
33
Trend Analysis by Sector (S&P500)
34
Sector Performance by Region (YTD)
The Economy
36
Last week’s Economic Calendar
37
Next week’s Economic Calendar
38
U.S. Economic Watch – Leading Economic Indicators
39
U.S. Economic Watch – Leading Economic Indicators
40
U.S. Economic Watch – Housing Market
41
U.S. Economic Watch – Housing Market
42
NFIB Small Business Actual Capital Expenditures
43
Business 6 Month Outlook for CAPEX
Currencies & Commodities
45
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns)
46
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q4 2014)
47
Euro €
48
Japanese Yen ¥
49
Global Commodity Prices
50
Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years
51
Gold Prices – 5 Years
52
Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years