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A Discussion on The Use of Credit A Discussion on The Use of Credit Information and Scoring for Information and Scoring for Insurance UnderwritingInsurance UnderwritingEddy LoEddy LoMarch 12, 2001March 12, 2001CAS Ratemaking Seminar, Las VegasCAS Ratemaking Seminar, Las Vegas
2© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Company, Inc.
TopicsTopics
1.1. Introduction and ObjectivesIntroduction and Objectives2.2. Fair, Isaac and Company, Inc.Fair, Isaac and Company, Inc.33.. Fair Credit Reporting ActFair Credit Reporting Act44 PredictivenessPredictiveness55.. FairnessFairness66.. AccuracyAccuracy77.. InquiriesInquiries88.. Current OperationsCurrent Operations
2
3© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Company, Inc.
TopicsTopics
9.9. Statistical CorrelationStatistical Correlation10.10. Scoring DefinitionsScoring Definitions11.11. Scorecard ExamplesScorecard Examples12.12. ResultsResults1313.Usage of Insurance Bureau Scores.Usage of Insurance Bureau Scores1414.Summary.Summary1515.Questions & Answers.Questions & Answers
3
4© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Introduction and ObjectivesIntroduction and Objectives
Provide facts on the use of insurance bureau Provide facts on the use of insurance bureau scoresscores
Answer questions on insurance bureau Answer questions on insurance bureau scoresscores
5© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc.Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc. Founded in 1956, byFounded in 1956, by
William R. FairWilliam R. Fair Earl J. IsaacEarl J. Isaac
Starting outStarting out Better credit decisions by statistics than Better credit decisions by statistics than
traditional judgmental methodstraditional judgmental methods NowNow
Better Decisions Through DataBetter Decisions Through Data
6© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc.Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc. ValuesValues
Absolute integrityAbsolute integrity Very high standards of excellence of Very high standards of excellence of
product and serviceproduct and service Personal commitment via championingPersonal commitment via championing Collegial atmosphereCollegial atmosphere Strive for constant innovationStrive for constant innovation
7© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc.Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc. Developed unique modeling processes Developed unique modeling processes
based on documented models and based on documented models and proprietary algorithmproprietary algorithm
National award examplesNational award examples Forbes Top 200 Small Companies list, Forbes Top 200 Small Companies list,
Honor Rolls in 1999, 1998, and other Honor Rolls in 1999, 1998, and other years years
Future Banker “1999 Top 25 Technology Future Banker “1999 Top 25 Technology Deals” for alliance with eCredit.com, and Deals” for alliance with eCredit.com, and other yearsother years
8© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc.Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc. National award examples (cont’d)National award examples (cont’d)
Credit Risk Management Report award Credit Risk Management Report award for Best Scoring Model, 1998 & 1995for Best Scoring Model, 1998 & 1995
ABA Bank Card Distinguished Service ABA Bank Card Distinguished Service Award, September 1997Award, September 1997
Financial World Magazine “One of the Financial World Magazine “One of the 100 Best Growth Companies” 1997100 Best Growth Companies” 1997
President Corporate Award; Society of President Corporate Award; Society of Insurance Research 1995Insurance Research 1995
9© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc.Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc. Industries servedIndustries served
Insurance, Finance Services, Insurance, Finance Services, Government, Healthcare, E-Business, Government, Healthcare, E-Business, TelecommunicationsTelecommunications
Global experienceGlobal experience Offices and representations on 6 Offices and representations on 6
continentscontinents
10© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
OFFICESOFFICESRepresentationRepresentation
Fair Isaac WorldwideFair Isaac Worldwide
TOKYO,TOKYO,JAPANJAPAN
Melbourne, Melbourne, AustraliaAustralia
Sydney, Sydney, AustraliaAustralia
JOHANNESBURG,JOHANNESBURG,SOUTH AFRICASOUTH AFRICA
Kuala Lumpur,Kuala Lumpur,MalaysiaMalaysia
Istanbul,Istanbul,TurkeyTurkey
BIRMINGHAM, UNITED KINGDOMBIRMINGHAM, UNITED KINGDOM
Helsinki, FinlandHelsinki, FinlandAntwerp, Antwerp, BelgiumBelgium
WIESBADEN,WIESBADEN,GERMANYGERMANY
PARIS, PARIS, FRANCEFRANCE
Madrid,Madrid,SpainSpain
TORONTO, CANADATORONTO, CANADAFair, IsaacFair, IsaacST. PAULST. PAUL
MINNESOTAMINNESOTA
NEW CASTLE,NEW CASTLE,DELAWAREDELAWARE
ATLANTA,ATLANTA,GEORGIAGEORGIA
* SAN RAFAEL,* SAN RAFAEL,CALIFORNIACALIFORNIA
HEADQUARTERSHEADQUARTERS
Santiago, Santiago, ChileChile
Phoenix,Phoenix,ArizonaArizona
MEXICO CITY,MEXICO CITY,MEXICOMEXICO
11© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc.Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc. Participation in NAIC White PaperParticipation in NAIC White Paper
““Credit Reports and Insurance Credit Reports and Insurance Underwriting”Underwriting”
NAIC Subgroup visited Fair, Isaac in NAIC Subgroup visited Fair, Isaac in August 1995August 1995
Participated in an industry working groupParticipated in an industry working group Issued acceptable principles in Issued acceptable principles in
October 1995October 1995 NAIC Subgroup Chairman joined Fair, NAIC Subgroup Chairman joined Fair,
Isaac InterACT ‘96 educational Isaac InterACT ‘96 educational conferenceconference
12© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc.Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc. Tillinghast study ofTillinghast study of
Insurance Bureau Scores Vs. Loss Ratio Insurance Bureau Scores Vs. Loss Ratio RelativitiesRelativities
Presented to NAIC Subgroup in Presented to NAIC Subgroup in December 1996December 1996
Included in White Paper AppendixIncluded in White Paper Appendix White Paper adopted by NAIC in December White Paper adopted by NAIC in December
19961996
13© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc.Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc. PresentationsPresentations
American Agents AllianceAmerican Agents Alliance American Insurance AssociationAmerican Insurance Association Alliance of American InsurersAlliance of American Insurers Association of Insurance and Financial Association of Insurance and Financial
AnalystsAnalysts Casualty Actuarial SocietyCasualty Actuarial Society Chartered Property and Casualty Chartered Property and Casualty
UnderwritersUnderwriters National Association of Independent National Association of Independent
InsurersInsurers
14© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc.Fair, Isaac & Company, Inc. Presentations (cont’d)Presentations (cont’d)
National Association of Insurance National Association of Insurance CommissionersCommissioners
Neighborhood Reinvestment CorporationNeighborhood Reinvestment Corporation Professional Insurance AgentsProfessional Insurance Agents Independent Insurance Agent AssociationIndependent Insurance Agent Association Insurance departments and legislatorsInsurance departments and legislators Reinsurance Association of AmericaReinsurance Association of America OthersOthers
15© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA)Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA) Original statute in 1970Original statute in 1970
Major amendments in 1996; effective Major amendments in 1996; effective September 30, 1997September 30, 1997
Requires “consumer reporting agencies” to Requires “consumer reporting agencies” to adopt procedures governing accuracy, adopt procedures governing accuracy, relevancy, access to and utilization of relevancy, access to and utilization of “consumer reports”“consumer reports”
Allows consumers access to their files and a Allows consumers access to their files and a complaint procedurecomplaint procedure
16© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fair Credit Reporting Act (cont’d)Fair Credit Reporting Act (cont’d) Requires users of consumer reports to certify Requires users of consumer reports to certify
the permissible purpose(s) and use only for the permissible purpose(s) and use only for certified (permissible) purpose(s); and to give certified (permissible) purpose(s); and to give FCRA adverse action noticesFCRA adverse action notices
Imposes accuracy-oriented obligations on Imposes accuracy-oriented obligations on furnishers of informationfurnishers of information
17© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fair Credit Reporting Act (cont’)Fair Credit Reporting Act (cont’) Permissible purposesPermissible purposes
Court order or written instructions of Court order or written instructions of consumerconsumer
Use in connection with a credit Use in connection with a credit transaction involving the consumer; credit transaction involving the consumer; credit extensions/review of accounts/collectionsextensions/review of accounts/collections
Use for underwriting insuranceUse for underwriting insurance EmploymentEmployment
18© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fair Credit Reporting ActFair Credit Reporting Act Permissible purposes (cont’d)Permissible purposes (cont’d)
Use by person with other legitimate Use by person with other legitimate business need for information in business need for information in connection with a business transaction connection with a business transaction initiated by the consumer, or to review an initiated by the consumer, or to review an account to determine whether the account to determine whether the consumer continues to meet the terms of consumer continues to meet the terms of the accountthe account
19© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fair Credit Reporting ActFair Credit Reporting Act Permissible purposes (cont’d)Permissible purposes (cont’d)
Prescreening: Use for “transaction not Prescreening: Use for “transaction not initiated by consumer” for “firm offer of initiated by consumer” for “firm offer of credit or insurance”, permit conditioning credit or insurance”, permit conditioning the offer on verification of information in the offer on verification of information in credit report or application to ensure that credit report or application to ensure that consumer still meets the prescreen consumer still meets the prescreen criteria at time of acceptance; may also criteria at time of acceptance; may also condition offer on information in condition offer on information in application meeting pre-established application meeting pre-established criteria, or on the furnishing of required criteria, or on the furnishing of required collateral as disclosed in the offercollateral as disclosed in the offer
20© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Homeowner
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
low high
Score Range
Lo
ss R
atio
Rel
ativ
ity
PredictivenessPredictivenessRank OrderingRank Ordering
21© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Personal Auto
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
low high
Score Range
Lo
ss R
atio
Re
lati
vit
y
PredictivenessPredictivenessRank OrderingRank Ordering
22© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
PredictivenessPredictiveness Low scores correlate with high loss ratio Low scores correlate with high loss ratio
relativitiesrelativities
High scores correlate with low loss ratio High scores correlate with low loss ratio relativitiesrelativities
Validated byValidated by InsurersInsurers TillinghastTillinghast
23© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
FairnessFairness Data Elements UsedData Elements Used
BalancesBalances CollectionsCollections DelinquenciesDelinquencies InquiriesInquiries LimitsLimits Payment DatesPayment Dates Payment Due DatesPayment Due Dates Public RecordsPublic Records Trade Line Open and Close DatesTrade Line Open and Close Dates Trade Line TypesTrade Line Types
33 44 55 66
1010 1111 1212 1313
1717 1818 1919 2020
2424 2525 2626 2727
SEPTEMBERSEPTEMBER
24© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fairness (cont’d)Fairness (cont’d) Data Elements Data Elements NoNott Used Used
AgeAge DisabilityDisability GenderGender Health StatusHealth Status IncomeIncome LocationLocation Marital StatusMarital Status33 44 55 66
1010 1111 1212 1313
1717 1818 1919 2020
2424 2525 2626 2727
SEPTEMBERSEPTEMBER
25© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
FairnessFairness Data Elements Data Elements NotNot Used (cont’d) Used (cont’d)
NationalityNationality Net WorthNet Worth OccupationOccupation RaceRace ReligionReligion Sexual OrientationSexual Orientation Zip CodesZip Codes33 44 55 66
1010 1111 1212 1313
1717 1818 1919 2020
2424 2525 2626 2727
SEPTEMBERSEPTEMBER
26© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Fairness (cont’d)Fairness (cont’d) Income Study by an InsurerIncome Study by an Insurer
Flat relationship between income levels and Flat relationship between income levels and scoresscores
Virginia Bureau of InsuranceVirginia Bureau of Insurance ‘‘Use of Credit Reports in Underwriting’, 1999 Use of Credit Reports in Underwriting’, 1999
reportreport To the Senate Commerce and Labor To the Senate Commerce and Labor
Committee of the the General Assembly of Committee of the the General Assembly of VirginiaVirginia
“… “… Nothing in this analysis leads the Bureau Nothing in this analysis leads the Bureau to the conclusion that income or race alone to the conclusion that income or race alone is a reliable predictor of credit scores thus is a reliable predictor of credit scores thus making the use of credit scoring an making the use of credit scoring an ineffectiveineffective tool for tool for redliningredlining. …”. …”
33 44 55 66
1010 1111 1212 1313
1717 1818 1919 2020
2424 2525 2626 2727
SEPTEMBERSEPTEMBER
27© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
AccuracyAccuracy
FCRA mandate correction processFCRA mandate correction process
1992 Arthur Anderson Study1992 Arthur Anderson Study Commissioned by Associated Credit Commissioned by Associated Credit
BureausBureaus Based on 15,202 declinesBased on 15,202 declines 2% dispute on declines2% dispute on declines
MVR accepted by most regulatorsMVR accepted by most regulators higher error rateshigher error rates
28© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
InquiriesInquiries
Homeowner
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
1.1
1.2
0 1 2 3 4 5+
Inquiries
Lo
ss R
atio
Rel
ativ
ity
29© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
InquiriesInquiries
Personal Auto
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
1.1
1.2
0 1 2 3 4 5+
Inquiries
Lo
ss R
ati
o R
ela
tivit
y
30© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
InquiriesInquiries Predictive of loss ratio relativitiesPredictive of loss ratio relativities
Fair, Isaac includes consumer-initiated Fair, Isaac includes consumer-initiated inquiriesinquiries
Fair, Isaac excludes inquiries forFair, Isaac excludes inquiries for Marketing / prescreeningMarketing / prescreening Account reviewsAccount reviews InsuranceInsurance
31© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Current OperationsCurrent Operations
Fair, IsaacFair, IsaacScorecardsScorecards
Credit Credit DatabaseDatabase
ScorecardsScorecardsUnderwritingUnderwriting
Subscriber RequestsSubscriber Requests
Scores and ServicesScores and Services
RoyaltyRoyalty
MaintenanceMaintenance
InsurerInsurer Credit BureauCredit Bureau
32© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Statistical CorrelationStatistical Correlation Personal propertyPersonal property
230,000 policies with claims230,000 policies with claims 1,000,000 policies without claims1,000,000 policies without claims 11 archives11 archives
33© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Statistical Correlation (cont’d)Statistical Correlation (cont’d) Homeowner univariate analysesHomeowner univariate analyses
Number of adverse public recordsNumber of adverse public records Months since most recent adverse public recordMonths since most recent adverse public record Number of trade lines 60+ days delinquent in last 24 monthsNumber of trade lines 60+ days delinquent in last 24 months Number of collectionsNumber of collections Number of trade lines opened in the last 12 monthsNumber of trade lines opened in the last 12 months
34© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Statistical CorrelationStatistical CorrelationHomeowner HO - 3Homeowner HO - 3
Number of Adverse Public Records
1000
1540
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
zero one or more
96%
Loss
Rat
io R
elat
ivity
35© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Months Since Most Recent Adverse Public Record
1000
1678
1226
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
no public record less than 48 48 or more
96%
Lo
ss R
atio
Rel
ativ
ityStatistical CorrelationStatistical CorrelationHomeowner HO - 3Homeowner HO - 3
36© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Number of Trade Lines 60+ Days Delinquentin Last 24 Months
1000
1293
1804
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
zero one two or more
89%
Lo
ss
Ra
tio
Re
lati
vit
yStatistical CorrelationStatistical CorrelationHomeowner HO - 3Homeowner HO - 3
37© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Number of Collections
1000
1686
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
zero one or more
97%
Lo
ss R
atio
Rel
ativ
ity
Statistical CorrelationStatistical CorrelationHomeowner HO - 3Homeowner HO - 3
38© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Number of Trade Lines Opened in the Last 12 Months
1000
11471220
1503
1658
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
zero one two three four or more
60%
Lo
ss R
ati
o R
ela
tivi
ty
Statistical CorrelationStatistical CorrelationHomeowner HO - 3Homeowner HO - 3
39© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Statistical Correlation (cont’d)Statistical Correlation (cont’d) Personal autoPersonal auto
350,000 policies with claims350,000 policies with claims 1,000,000 policies without claims1,000,000 policies without claims 6 archives6 archives
40© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Statistical Correlation (cont’d)Statistical Correlation (cont’d) Personal auto univariate analysesPersonal auto univariate analyses
Number of adverse public recordsNumber of adverse public records Months since most recent adverse public recordMonths since most recent adverse public record Number of trade lines 60+ days delinquent in last 24 monthsNumber of trade lines 60+ days delinquent in last 24 months Number of collectionsNumber of collections Number of trade lines opened in the last 12 monthsNumber of trade lines opened in the last 12 months
41© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Number of Adverse Public Records
1000
1225
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
zero one or more
97%
Lo
ss R
ati
o R
ela
tivi
ty
Statistical CorrelationStatistical CorrelationPersonal AutomobilePersonal Automobile
42© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Months Since Most Recent Adverse Public Record
1000
1339
1182
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
no public record less than 18 18 or more97%
Lo
ss R
ati
o R
ela
tivi
tyStatistical CorrelationStatistical CorrelationPersonal AutomobilePersonal Automobile
43© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Number of Trade Lines 60+ Days Delinquentin Last 24 Months
1000
1238
1444
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
zero one two or more
86%
Lo
ss R
ati
o R
ela
tivit
yStatistical CorrelationStatistical CorrelationPersonal AutomobilePersonal Automobile
44© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Number of Collections
1000
1494
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
zero one or more
96%
Lo
ss R
ati
o R
ela
tivit
yStatistical CorrelationStatistical CorrelationPersonal AutomobilePersonal Automobile
45© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Number of Trade Lines Opened in the Last 12 Months
10001083
1270
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
zero or one two or three four or more
82%
Lo
ss R
ati
o R
ela
tivit
y
Statistical CorrelationStatistical CorrelationPersonal AutomobilePersonal Automobile
46© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
A score for an insurance riskA score for an insurance risk Is a numeric summaryIs a numeric summary Of the impact on loss ratio relativityOf the impact on loss ratio relativity Based on a certain set of predictive Based on a certain set of predictive
characteristics of the riskcharacteristics of the risk A model/scorecard is an algorithm, a table, or A model/scorecard is an algorithm, a table, or
a piece of computer softwarea piece of computer software That will calculate a scoreThat will calculate a score Based on a certain set of characteristicsBased on a certain set of characteristics Provided for a riskProvided for a risk
Scoring DefinitionsScoring Definitions
47© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
The 4 reason codes for a score are the 4 The 4 reason codes for a score are the 4 reasons that contributed most significantly, reasons that contributed most significantly, positively or negatively, to the calculation of a positively or negatively, to the calculation of a scorescore
Scoring Definitions (cont’d)Scoring Definitions (cont’d)
48© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Scorecard ExamplesScorecard Examples
Simple homeowner scorecardSimple homeowner scorecard
Overlapping characteristicsOverlapping characteristics weights adjustedweights adjusted
49© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Scorecard ExamplesScorecard ExamplesSimple Homeowner ScorecardSimple Homeowner Scorecard
Number Adverse Public RecordsNumber Adverse Public Recordszerozero one or moreone or more 3030 0 0
Months Since Most Recent Adverse PublicMonths Since Most Recent Adverse PublicRecordRecord
no public recordno public record less than 48less than 48 48 or more48 or more
3030 0 0 10 10
50© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Number of Trade Lines 60+ Days Delinquent inNumber of Trade Lines 60+ Days Delinquent inLast 24 MonthsLast 24 Months
zerozero oneone two or moretwo or more
2525 10 10 0 0
Number of CollectionsNumber of Collectionszerozero one or moreone or more 2020 0 0
Scorecard ExamplesScorecard ExamplesSimple Homeowner ScorecardSimple Homeowner Scorecard
51© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Number of Trade Lines Opened on the Last 12Number of Trade Lines Opened on the Last 12MonthsMonths
zerozero oneone two two three three four or more four or more
2020 10 10 5 5 3 3 00
Scorecard ExamplesScorecard ExamplesSimple Homeowner ScorecardSimple Homeowner Scorecard
52© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
ResultsResults Insurance Bureau Scores Vs. Loss Ratio Insurance Bureau Scores Vs. Loss Ratio
RelativitiesRelativities Multivariate analysis - homeowner (HO1, Multivariate analysis - homeowner (HO1,
HO2, HO3, HO4, HO6, dwelling fire)HO2, HO3, HO4, HO6, dwelling fire) Multivariate analysis - personal auto (non-Multivariate analysis - personal auto (non-
standard, standard minimum limits, standard, standard minimum limits, standard above minimum limits, preferred standard above minimum limits, preferred minimum limits, preferred above minimum minimum limits, preferred above minimum limits)limits)
Risk rankingRisk ranking
53© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
ResultsResults Insurance Bureau Score Vs. Loss Ratio Insurance Bureau Score Vs. Loss Ratio
Relativities (cont’d)Relativities (cont’d) Development vs. validation datasetsDevelopment vs. validation datasets Validation (handouts)Validation (handouts) Tillinghast study; Conclusion, page 5; Tillinghast study; Conclusion, page 5; “…“…The data for all companies included in this The data for all companies included in this study except Company 2 indicates at least 99% study except Company 2 indicates at least 99% probability that a relationship exists. The data for probability that a relationship exists. The data for Company 2 indicates a 92% probability that there Company 2 indicates a 92% probability that there is a relationship. A layman’s interpretation of this is a relationship. A layman’s interpretation of this result could be that it is very likely there is a result could be that it is very likely there is a correlation between Insurance Bureau Scores and correlation between Insurance Bureau Scores and loss ratio relativities.”loss ratio relativities.”
54© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
Usage of Insurance Bureau ScoresUsage of Insurance Bureau Scores FacilitateFacilitate
underwriting applicationsunderwriting applications underwriting investigationunderwriting investigation tier placementtier placement
55© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
0.4
0.9
1.4
650-674 675-699 700-724 725-749 750-774
Score Range
Loss
Rat
io R
elat
iviti
es
640-660 referral
Illustration of Underwriting Acceptance
56© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
0.40.60.81.01.21.41.61.8
<650 650-674 675-699 700-724 725-749 750-774 775-799 800+
Score Range
Loss
Rati
o Re
lativi
ties Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3
665-685
r ef er r al
740-760
r ef er r al
Illustration of Underwriting Tier Placement
57© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
SummarySummary FCRA Makes Insurance Bureau Scores FCRA Makes Insurance Bureau Scores
Usable for Insurance Underwriting and Usable for Insurance Underwriting and MarketingMarketing
Poll says Insurance Bureau Scores are Poll says Insurance Bureau Scores are favoredfavored
Tillinghast Study confirms loss ratio Tillinghast Study confirms loss ratio relativities and Insurance Bureau Scores relativities and Insurance Bureau Scores relationshiprelationship
Credit reports more accurate than Motor Credit reports more accurate than Motor Vehicle ReportsVehicle Reports Credit report accuracy further enhanced Credit report accuracy further enhanced
by correctionsby corrections
58© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
SummarySummary Insurance Bureau Scores summarize credit Insurance Bureau Scores summarize credit
history succinctly and nothing elsehistory succinctly and nothing else The relationship between how people The relationship between how people
maintain their credit and property is simply maintain their credit and property is simply common sensecommon sense Good credit managers are good risk Good credit managers are good risk
managersmanagers Credit management reflected in Insurance Credit management reflected in Insurance
Bureau ScoresBureau Scores
59© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
SummarySummary Insurance Bureau Scores deliver a fair shakeInsurance Bureau Scores deliver a fair shake
Insurance Bureau Scores do not look at Insurance Bureau Scores do not look at race, creed, gender, marital status, race, creed, gender, marital status, income, age, etc.income, age, etc.
Insurance Bureau Scores do not worsen Insurance Bureau Scores do not worsen discrimination nor add to itdiscrimination nor add to it
Scoring remedies discriminationScoring remedies discrimination Insurance Bureau Scores can control Insurance Bureau Scores can control
discriminationdiscrimination Insurance Bureau Scores do not unfairly Insurance Bureau Scores do not unfairly
discriminatediscriminate
60© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
SummarySummary Insurance Bureau Scores help to open up Insurance Bureau Scores help to open up
marketsmarkets Scoring leads to precision underwritingScoring leads to precision underwriting
Insurance Bureau Scores facilitate Insurance Bureau Scores facilitate consistent underwritingconsistent underwriting
Insurance Bureau Scores don’t make Insurance Bureau Scores don’t make decisions, people dodecisions, people do
Insurance Bureau Scores provide input to Insurance Bureau Scores provide input to refine decisionsrefine decisions
Insurance Bureau Scores provide more Insurance Bureau Scores provide more objectivity and accuracyobjectivity and accuracy
61© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
SummarySummary Insurance Bureau Scores help underwriters Insurance Bureau Scores help underwriters
focus on risks needing attention mostfocus on risks needing attention most Insurance Bureau Scores help to reduce Insurance Bureau Scores help to reduce
premium subsidies/inequitypremium subsidies/inequity Insurance Bureau Scores strengthen insurer Insurance Bureau Scores strengthen insurer
solvencysolvency Fair, Isaac expertise to shareFair, Isaac expertise to share
62© 1999 Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc.
MaterialsMaterials
1.1. Reasons and Codes Reasons and Codes2.2. Answers to Your Questions about Answers to Your Questions about
Insurance Bureau ScoresInsurance Bureau Scores