EU Market Situation for Poultry Common - … market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018 77 1 084 1...

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EU Market Situation for Poultry Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets 19 July 2018

Transcript of EU Market Situation for Poultry Common - … market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018 77 1 084 1...

Page 1: EU Market Situation for Poultry Common - … market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018 77 1 084 1 828 1 679 2 259 2 155 2 384 2 711 2 685 3 903 3 862 2 676 3 608 4 558 4 338 2 972

EU Market Situation

for Poultry

Committee for the

Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets

19 July 2018

Page 2: EU Market Situation for Poultry Common - … market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018 77 1 084 1 828 1 679 2 259 2 155 2 384 2 711 2 685 3 903 3 862 2 676 3 608 4 558 4 338 2 972

EU market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018

P R O D U C T I O N

22.4

%

18.6

%

10.9

%

10

.2%

9.9

%

8.4%

7.4%

7.1%

7.1%

6.0%

5.2

%

3.8%

3.7%

3.1%

2.2

%

2.2%

1.8

%

1.3

%

0.0

%

-0.3

%

-0.7

%

-0.9

%

-1.7

%

-3.7

%

-5.9

%

6.5

%

-35%

-25%

-15%

-5%

5%

15%

25%

35%

HU BG RO FI PL DE CZ FR MT UK NL PT ES HR BE IE SI EL SE AT LT DK CY IT LV EU

Change in Poultry Meat Production in % 2018/2017 (up to April)

Source: Eurostat

Missing data for SK in 2017, estimated data for SE in 2018 and DK (April 2018)

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EU market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018

P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Chicks hatched for fattening(1 000 pieces) 2016 2017 2018

Page 4: EU Market Situation for Poultry Common - … market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018 77 1 084 1 828 1 679 2 259 2 155 2 384 2 711 2 685 3 903 3 862 2 676 3 608 4 558 4 338 2 972

EU market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018

P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

800 000

900 000

1 000 000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Production forecast of broiler(In tonnes) 2016 2017 2018

Page 5: EU Market Situation for Poultry Common - … market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018 77 1 084 1 828 1 679 2 259 2 155 2 384 2 711 2 685 3 903 3 862 2 676 3 608 4 558 4 338 2 972

EU market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018

P R I C E S

Pric

es

+ 0.4% - 1.1% + 1.7%

EUW E E K P R I C E S 28

last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR

BROILER

€/100 kg carcase weight

186.97

€/ 100 kg

E V O L U T I O N S I N C E

Page 6: EU Market Situation for Poultry Common - … market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018 77 1 084 1 828 1 679 2 259 2 155 2 384 2 711 2 685 3 903 3 862 2 676 3 608 4 558 4 338 2 972

EU market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018

P R I C E S

E U E V O L U T I O N

B R O I L E R

165

175

185

195

205

EU

R /

10

0kg

Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler

Avg. 2013-17 2017 2018

Latest price ==> 186.97 EUR/100 kg

Evolution compared same period last year (Week 28) : + 1.7%

Source: MSs notifications (Commission Implementing Regulation (EC) 2017/1185)

Page 7: EU Market Situation for Poultry Common - … market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018 77 1 084 1 828 1 679 2 259 2 155 2 384 2 711 2 685 3 903 3 862 2 676 3 608 4 558 4 338 2 972

EU market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018

P R I C E S

Coefficients for calculating

EU average broiler price

• !!! From 1 July 2018 – annual update of coefficients for calculating EU prices of poultry meat

• Small break in the poultry meat price series might be observed

• Users will be informed by the following disclaimer:

• Disclaimer: Please note that EU prices for poultry meat, are averages of the national prices communicated by Member States weighted with coefficients. The coefficients attributed to Member States' prices were modified on 1st July 2018; from this date, the coefficient used for each Member State corresponds to this Member State 's share in volume in total EU production over the last three years. This affects EU prices for

poultry meat.

Page 8: EU Market Situation for Poultry Common - … market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018 77 1 084 1 828 1 679 2 259 2 155 2 384 2 711 2 685 3 903 3 862 2 676 3 608 4 558 4 338 2 972

EU market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018

P R I C E S

E U E V O L U T I O N

B R O I L E R

50

70

90

110

130

150

170

190

210

230

In E

UR

/100

kg

Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazil

EU US BR

Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices - Broiler 65%

US = weekly USDA prices - Fresh chicken grade A ,ChicagoBR = average of prices in main producing states - (Aveworld.com.br)

186.97 204.94 91.71

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Imports of Poultry meat from selected origins

EU market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018

E U I M P O R T S

B r o i l e r P r o d u c t s T R A D E

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-May 17

Thailand 251 185 29.7% 274 524 31.4% 290 309 32.2% 265 738 32.9% 123 894 38.5% + 13%

Brazil 507 355 60.0% 501 327 57.3% 504 796 56.0% 401 465 49.7% 110 763 34.4% - 42%

Ukraine 19 958 2.4% 42 513 4.9% 48 083 5.3% 80 083 9.9% 50 138 15.6% + 91%

Chile 25 815 3.1% 22 232 2.5% 28 808 3.2% 24 973 3.1% 18 811 5.8% + 78%

China 19 761 2.3% 18 403 2.1% 16 946 1.9% 19 203 2.4% 9 647 3.0% + 22%

Argentina 10 996 1.3% 8 529 1.0% 6 463 0.7% 6 300 0.8% 3 960 1.2% + 38%

Turkey 16 0.0% 441 0.0% 173 0.0% 1 481 0.5% +++

Switzerland 4 307 0.5% 2 424 0.3% 2 548 0.3% 2 752 0.3% 1 307 0.4% + 41%

Others 6 351 0.8% 4 984 0.6% 3 656 0.4% 6 616 0.8% 1 611 0.5% #N/A

Extra-EU 845 743 874 937 902 051 807 303 321 611

% change + 3.5% + 3.1% - 10.5% - 8.8%

2014 2015 2016 Jan-May 182017

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EU market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018

77

1 084

1 8281 679

2 2592 155

2 384

2 711 2 685

3 903 3 862

2 676

3 608

4 558

4 338

2 972

5 100

3 816

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

Jan 2017 Feb 2017 Mar 2017 Apr 2017 May 2017 Jun 2017 Jul 2017 Aug 2017 Sep 2017 Oct 2017 Nov 2017 Dec 2017 Jan 2018 Feb 2018 Mar 2018 Apr 2018 May 2018 Jun 2018

Monthly imports of poultry meat from Ukraine under CN 0207 13 70 in tonnes cwe

NL PL SK DE

Source : TAXUD Surveillance

Imports from Ukraine under CN 0207 1370 expanded in terms of volumes and destined Member States

Page 11: EU Market Situation for Poultry Common - … market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018 77 1 084 1 828 1 679 2 259 2 155 2 384 2 711 2 685 3 903 3 862 2 676 3 608 4 558 4 338 2 972

EU Poultry meat Imports

EU market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018

E U I M P O R T S

B r o i l e r T R A D E

124 772 109 408 123 894

218 175

190 697110 763

15 397

26 306

50 138

383 964352 797

321 611

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

400 000

450 000

Jan-May 16 Jan-May 17 Jan-May 18

TO

NN

ES

c

w

EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe)

Thailand Brazil Ukraine Chile China Other origins

402 360 394

410410

234

913885

814

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1 000

Jan-May 16 Jan-May 17 Jan-May 18

Mil

lio

ns E

UR

EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (Millions EUR)

Thailand Brazil Ukraine Chile China Other origins

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Exports of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations

EU market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018

T R A D E E U E X P O R T S

B r o i l e r P r o d u c t s

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-May 17

Ghana 56 900 3.8% 68 283 4.6% 77 018 4.8% 135 298 8.1% 69 805 9.8% + 18%

Ukraine 80 084 5.3% 90 850 6.1% 114 891 7.1% 163 057 9.8% 68 377 9.6% + 25%

Philippines 57 641 3.8% 100 719 6.8% 126 733 7.8% 128 245 7.7% 66 965 9.4% + 96%

Hong Kong 136 177 9.1% 100 944 6.8% 123 771 7.7% 148 272 8.9% 56 153 7.9% - 12%

Saudi Arabia 123 574 8.2% 142 496 9.6% 121 645 7.5% 98 797 5.9% 45 500 6.4% + 1%

Benin 163 844 10.9% 138 414 9.3% 116 858 7.2% 106 557 6.4% 38 058 5.3% - 21%

Vietnam 19 884 1.3% 27 128 1.8% 36 180 2.2% 53 544 3.2% 34 709 4.9% + 49%

South Africa 203 412 13.5% 213 577 14.3% 271 092 16.8% 76 180 4.6% 26 568 3.7% - 42%

Congo (Dem. Rep.) 33 697 2.2% 35 269 2.4% 44 492 2.8% 61 959 3.7% 24 134 3.4% - 4%

Gabon 29 409 2.0% 37 330 2.5% 31 925 2.0% 49 009 2.9% 20 036 2.8% - 13%

Russia 68 363 4.5% 1 223 0.1% 1 109 0.1% 993 0.1% 329 0.0% - 11%

Other Destinations 530 998 35.3% 533 637 35.8% 551 005 34.1% 641 118 38.6% 262 776 36.8%

Extra-EU 1 503 984 1 489 871 1 616 720 1 663 029 713 408

% change - 0.9% + 8.5% + 2.9% + 10.0%

2014 2015 2016 Jan-May 182017

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EU Poultry meat Export

EU market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018

T R A D E E U E X P O R T S

B r o i l e r

44 452 58 945 69 80538 016 54 523 68 37754 203 34 251

66 96550 738 64 03956 15350 506 45 05745 500

432 780 391 965

406 609

670 696648 781

713 408

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

800 000

Jan-May 16 Jan-May 17 Jan-May 18

TO

NN

ES

cw

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe)

Ghana Ukraine Philippines

Hong Kong Saudi Arabia Other destinations *

31 43 4929 32 3721 16 3067 94 7973

6166

586 523577

807770

838

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Jan-May 16 Jan-May 17 Jan-May 18

Mil

lio

ns

EU

R

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Millions EUR)

Ghana Ukraine Philippines

Hong Kong Saudi Arabia Other destinations ** countries trading less than 838 ('Millions EUR)

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EU Poultry meat Trade Balance

EU market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018

T R A D E B A L A N C E

302277 292 310

371

676

794

480

614 616

858891 876

821857 855

807846

875902

807

322

1 017

1 101 1 1161 153

1 114

1 275

1 063 1 046997 997

867

9821 016

1 265

1 504

1 431 1 428

1 504 1 490

1 6171 663

713

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-May18

in 1

000

Tonn

es c

we

IMPORTS EXPORTS

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EU Poultry meat trade balance (in 1000 euros)

EU market situation for Poultry 19 July 2018

T R A D E B A L A N C E

2 241 2 234

2 097

2 190

2 342

2 161

2 025

814

1 853

2 066 2 0892 055

2 121

1 9541 995

838

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-May 18

in Millions EurosIMPORTS EXPORTS