Don't Sell Online in Africa, Unless,...

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DON’T SELL ONLINE IN AFRICA UNLESS…

Transcript of Don't Sell Online in Africa, Unless,...

DON’T SELL ONLINE IN AFRICA

UNLESS…

PEOPLE NEED YOU

PEOPLE LOVE YOU

YOU WANT TO LOSE YOUR MONEY

US (You & me)

Good News & Cross Border eCommerce

What Country

Risks & Tips

Case Study: Cool Stuff

Our Vision

TEST:1. Offline before online

2. Find Price Point > Target market

1. Rival the French Revolution

Be Excellent at Execution

2. Think Prius

Be Hybrid

THE EXPERTS SAY:

MY TWO CENTS:

GDP growth: Global vs sub-Saharan Africa

PWC RETAIL AFRICA REPORT

(Annual average prices, 2007=100)

PWC RETAIL AFRICA REPORT

COMMODITIES AT USD-INDEXED PRICES

REALLY SMART PEOPLE SAY:

African e-commerce market:US$ 8 billion in 2013

US$ 50 billion in 2018*

Population: will surpass the 1.5 billion by 2026

2 billion 15 years later**

Mature internet users

Improving payment solutions

Affordability of data

Improved Platforms

Economies of Scale

GEARING

Cross border B2C ecommerce market Global consumer goods trade

Source: Ali Research

Cross-border E-commerce History (China)

MY THOUGHTS: DEVELOPMENT OF SECTOR DRIVES GROWTHINFORMATION TO TRANSACTION

CROSS-BORDER ECOMMERCE: SOUTH AFRICA

INTERESTING:

30% of Nigerian consumers purchase from SA.

Top locations for goods export for South Africa are;

China (8.3%), US (8.1%), India (7.8%) and the UK (7.2%)

27.1% US (3RD most visited: Amazon.com)

14.6% Europe

84.3% SA200 Billion USD Imports into China by 2020

86 Billion in 2016**

International CrossBorder Trade 1 Trillion USD by 2020

43% YoY growth rate

Source: Accenture Cross-border e-Commerce 2015

2014 – 2020 Growth Expectancy

In 2015 B2C was only 15.7% of this.

Cross-border E-commerce Turnover (2015-2020)

Source: Ali Research

What Products: There’s a place for (almost) everyone.

Source: Tmall Global / AliResearch

What Metrics?ADVANTAGES

Scalable product rangeLong-term profitabilityCompetitors Barrier to Entry

Team Resilience

Robust DemandLow price/Better quality

Unique/Exclusive Product

Marketing Spend

Inquires/ReferralsWell-known Brand

SEO or Userbase

NicheDigital ProductHigh Profit Margin

PRODUCT

MARKETING© 2017 Jonathan David Novotny

EFFICIENCIES

INTANGIBLE

What Metrics?RISKS

Legal ChallengesDelaysOpportunity Cost

Local CompetitionDirect Foreign Competition

Informal Markets

Model IncompatibilitiesExpat Costs

Theft & Corruption

Warranty ChallengesLanguage & CultureDistrust

COMPETITION

OPERATIONS

© 2017 Jonathan David Novotny

INTANGIBLE

TRADITIONAL

Market Readiness?FILTERS

GDP per CapitaEducation Level

ITU Broadband Dispersion

Market Saturation Market Size

ARDI (African Retail Development Index)

ONLINE TRAVEL BOOKINGSTIP: Amadeus CC vs. Bank Transfer

PARCELS PER COUNTRY Crossborder Trade Study

Mature Internet Users% Market > 1000 USDBanking Sophistication

RETAIL

ADDITIONAL

© 2017 Jonathan David Novotny

AWESOME

TRADITIONAL

Market Size & Saturation

How Big is eCommerce in Emerging African Nations?

oDigital: Domains, Digital, Apps,

oInternational Imports: eBay, Amazon, Alibaba

oOrdering Sites: Larger orders made via websites

oPeripheral Movements: Classified & Realestate Listing Sites

oBill Payment: Mozambican’s pay for products & services in SA

oFlight Tickets:

oDomestic Facebook: Selling Groups, Pages, Page Services/Whatsapp

oInternational Facebook: Cross-border Orders via FB Pages & Ads

oDomestic E-Commerce Players: Compra.co.mz , Jumia

CASE STUDY: BEFORWARD MOZAMBIQUE

Perceptions:Don’t trust online retail

You can’t sell expensive things online.

Want to touch and

Will never send their money

Add-on Services

BEFORWARD: ZAMBIA

UPSELL OPTIONS

GEO EXPANSION : SAME MODEL

CASE STUDY: BEFORWARD.JP

CASE STUDY: REVIEW

Website & Personalization

Simple Communications - Whatsapp

Simple Payment – Bank Transfer

Offline Marketing – Massive Billboard Campaigns + Tire Covers

• 20 Different Massive Companies could have done this from Japan –Kept on developing, personalizing & investing.

• Zambia: Partnerships & Rollup Banners in Telco Offices – Order in-store

• Why cheaper? 100% upfront payment.

WHATS COOL:

• Didn’t need investment

• Are not a digital company

• Are not losing money

• Probably, were always profitable

• Active Worldwide

• Persistence: Solving increasingly more pieces of the problem –Complete Solution.

• Completely localized/agile

THE LESSON:

Consumers are willing to trade comfort for

lower price.

If you make them feel as comfortable. ;-)

HOW WE MITIGATE:

What Compra.co.mz Does?

Who?

Online retailer looking to simplify business in Africa.

What?

Allow Retailers and Brands to Sell Online effectively and simply• Domestic retailers

• Cross-border retailers

Why?

Love creating solutions and simplicity.

HOW WE MITIGATE RISKS:

• Use local suppliers

• Use Third-party suppliers (which are either expensive, unreliable or terrible.)• Vehicle isn’t working today

• Not answering calls

• Business shut down

• 3PLs don’t have an automated calculator – Get individual quotes.

• Market Sophistication:• SEO – Jumia & OLX (World-class competitors & previous market entrants)

• Super powerful

HUMANS ARE NOT RATIONAL BEINGS:

Complex Tech

Retail or

Mozambican Network

Marketing experience

Capital raising

Zero suppliers

Payments: No local currency payments

No Experience:

TIPS & OPPORTUNITIES:

Angola: Know a General

Malawi: Sell Nshima (pap) really cheaply

Somalia: World’s first Online AK47 marketplace

THANK YOU

[email protected]

WWW.COMPRA.CO.MZ

YOU ARE AMAZING!