Daily Commodity Roundup as on - Systematix...
Transcript of Daily Commodity Roundup as on - Systematix...
Daily Commodity Roundup as on Tuesday, July 31, 2018
Date : Tuesday, July 31, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 1
15.44CRUDE $
69.92
-0.12 -0.05 1.79
IN
TER
NA
TIO
NA
L M
AR
KET U
PD
ATE GOLD $
1219.82SILVER $
USDJPY111.319
0.01 -0.09 0.26EURUSD
1.1705GBPUSD
1.31183
LME
NICKEL
13855
0.09 0.69 -0.29
LME
COPPER
6251 LME
ZINC
2568
$ INDEX94.43
0.14 -0.32 0.07
LME ALUMINIUM
2081 LME
LEAD
2153
DJIA25451
0.42 0.37 -0.30SENSEX
37494NIFTY
11320
Date : Tuesday, July 31, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 2
NIKKEI22462
-0.07 -0.66 -0.37USDINR
68.88 S&P
INDEX
2819
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MCX Gold Aug 2018
Gold prices settled flat as investors wait for a flurry of central bank policy decisions this week.
Gold prices settled flat as investors wait for a flurry of central bank policy
decisions this week. U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to shut
down the government if he does not get funding for a border wall. The
Bank of Japan is expected to trim its inflation forecasts on Tuesday and
consider changes to its massive stimulus programme to make it more
sustainable, reflecting a growing recognition it will take longer than
expected to meet its elusive price goal. Japan's jobless rate rose in June
while the availability of jobs improved to the highest in more than four
decades, figures from the Internal Affairs ministry showed. The Federal
Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, with
a policy decision scheduled for Wednesday afternoon. Investors do not
expect the Fed to increase interest rates this week, but there is an 87.8%
chance the central bank will hike rates in September. Other central banks
are also expected to meet this week with the Bank of Japan ending its
two-day meeting on Tuesday. The Bank of England is expected to raise
interest rates on Thursday, despite Brexit uncertainty. CFTC COT data
showed money managers reduced their net long positions in gold futures
to 48,600 lots from 57,800 lots for the week ended July 27. Technically
market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed drop in open
interest by -29.79% to settled at 2461 while prices down -35 rupees, now
Gold is getting support at 29690 and below same could see a test of
29636 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 29795, a move
above could see prices testing 29846.
OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST
29705
SUPPORT 3
29900 29846 29795 29690 29636 29585
29792 29687 29745 -0.12 2461
RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2
Date : Tuesday, July 31, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 3
Trading Ideas :Gold trading range for the day is 29636-29846.
U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to shut down the government if he does not get funding for a border wall.
CFTC Gold speculative net positions dropped by -9.2K to 48.6K against 57.8K
Market participants awaited central bank meetings this week, which could set the near-term course for currencies.
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MCX Silver Sep 2018
Silver remained in range as immediate global trade tension eased U.S. President and European Commission’s Juncker agreed to work towards eliminating trade barriers.
Silver remained in range as immediate global trade tension eased U.S.
President and European Commission’s Juncker agreed to work towards
eliminating trade barriers. The Bank of Japan is expected to trim its
inflation forecasts on Tuesday and consider changes to its massive
stimulus programme to make it more sustainable, reflecting a growing
recognition it will take longer than expected to meet its elusive price goal.
China offered Britain talks on a post-Brexit free trade deal on Monday,
reaching out to London as Beijing remains mired in an increasingly bitter
trade war with Washington, even as a senior Chinese diplomat reiterated
its door remained open for dialogue. Eurozone economic sentiment
indicator for the 19 countries sharing the euro eased to 112.1 in July from
112.3 in June, a monthly survey by the European Commission showed on
Monday. The climate indicator for industry decreased to 5.8 in July from
6.9 in June. US pending home sales, a measure of signed contracts to
purchase existing homes, rose 0.9% from a month ago in June, but stood
0.4% lower than for the month a year ago, according to the National
Association of Realtors. Key things to monitor today will be China's official
manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for July, eurozone gross
domestic product (GDP) growth in the second quarter, CPI for July,
unemployment rate in June, US personal consumption expenditures (PCE)
price index in June, personal spending in June and the Conference Board's
consumer confidence index for July. Technically market is under fresh
buying as market has witnessed gain in open interest by 0.07% to settled
at 23525, now Silver is getting support at 38188 and below same could
see a test of 38035 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at
38452, a move above could see prices testing 38563.
OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST
38250 38410
38716 38563 38452 38188 38035 37924
38146 38342 0.04 23525
RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2 SUPPORT 3
Date : Tuesday, July 31, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 4
Trading Ideas :Silver trading range for the day is 38035-38563.
U.S. second-quarter GDP grew at 4.1%, marking the quickest pace of growth since 2014, although its impact on the dollar seemed to be limited.
The U.S. Federal Reserve concludes its policy meeting on Wednesday and is widely expected to reaffirm the outlook for further gradual rate rises.
CFTC Silver speculative net positions dropped by -5.4K to 3.5K against 8.9K
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MCX Crudeoil Aug 2018
Crude oil prices ended with gains as investor concerns over global crude supply supported sentiment.
Crudeoil on MCX settled up 2.33% at 4824 on expectations that U.S.
inventories fell last week and worries that an outage at a Syncrude facility
in Canada will not be solved as soon as expected. Concerns about the
prospect of an oil supply shortage returned Monday, as investors
continued to weigh supply disruptions in Saudi Arabia and declining
output from and Venezuela, Iran and Libya. Saudi Arabia announced it
would suspend shipments of oil through the key Bab el-Mandeb Strait,
after Houthi rebels in Yemen attacked a pair of oil tankers in the Red Sea.
The fall in Iran crude flows come as U.S. sanctions, which come into
effect in early November, are expected to cripple the Islamic Republic's
energy industry, wiping a significant amount of crude supply from the
market. A Reuters survey showed the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries increased production in July. OPEC hiked production
by 70,000 barrels per day to 32.64 million bpd, a 2018 high. Further
supply increases could offset production outages and pressure prices.
Crude inventories at the Oklahoma, delivery point for WTI have been
dwindling, in part due to the Syncrude outage that has reduced the flow
of oil into the hub. Stocks at the Cushing storage hub fell to 23.7 million
barrels, the lowest since November 2014 in the week to July 20. Energy
information company Genscape, however, said that inventories at
Cushing rose almost 200,000 barrels, or nearly 1 percent, from Tuesday
to Friday last week. Technically market is under fresh buying as market
has witnessed gain in open interest by 41.43% to settled at 11995, now
Crudeoil is getting support at 4742 and below same could see a test of
4659 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 4875, a move
above could see prices testing 4925.
OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST
4709 4842
5008 4925 4875 4742 4659 4609
4709 4824 2.33 11995
RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2 SUPPORT 3
Date : Tuesday, July 31, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 5
Trading Ideas :Crudeoil trading range for the day is 4659-4925.
Saudi Arabia said it was temporarily halting all oil shipments through the Red Sea shipping lane of Bab al-Mandeb after an attack on two big oil tankers.
U.S. energy companies added three oil rigs in the week to July 27, the first time in the past three weeks that drillers have increased activity.
CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions dropped by -20.8K to 610.5K against 631.3K
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MCX Copper Aug 2018
Copper slipped as investors shrugged off a potential strike at the world’s largest copper mine.
Copper on MCX settled down -0.11% at 425.40 on fresh selling as trade
war worries push prices lower despite "excess demand" for its production.
Copper prices are down about 15 percent from a mid-June peak as
uncertainty over tariffs and trade wars rattles markets. Copper prices fell
on Monday as investors shrugged off a potential strike at the world's
largest copper mine and focused instead on economic data this week
expected to show slowing growth in top metals consumer China.
Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange closed down 0.8
percent at $6,250 a tonne while the most traded contract on the
Shanghai Futures Exchange fell 1.4 percent. Workers at Chile's Escondida
copper mine rejected a final contract offer and began a vote on strike
action that will end in the middle of this week. Last year, a 44-day strike
at the mine pushed copper prices sharply higher. Now Investors are
betting that copper prices will continue to fall, with the net short position
on the Comex exchange the largest in nearly two years. Last night the US
dollar index dipped 0.33% overnight and stood at 94.3, ahead of
economic data release and central bank monetary policy meetings this
week. Now day ahead key things to monitor today will be China's official
manufacturing PMI for July, eurozone GDP growth in the second quarter,
CPI for July, unemployment rate in June, US PCE price index in June,
personal spending in June and the Conference Board's consumer
confidence index for July. Technically market is getting support at 422.1
and below same could see a test of 418.7 level, And resistance is now
likely to be seen at 427.8, a move above could see prices testing 430.1.
OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST
424.55
SUPPORT 3
433.5 430.1 427.8 422.1 418.7 416.4
426.70 421.05 425.40 -0.11 24875
RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2
Trading Ideas :Copper trading range for the day is 418.7-430.1.
Workers at Codelco's copper mine in Chile, the state miner's second largest by output, walked off the job on Monday morning and blocked access to the mine.
Copper inventory in Shanghai bonded areas fell further, down 10,100 mt on the week to 476,700 mt.
Warehouse stock for Copper at LME was at 256275mt that is up by 2750mt.
Date : Tuesday, July 31, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 6
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MCX Zinc Jul 2018
Zinc dropped as investors focused instead on a raft of economic reports that may indicate slowing growth in top metals consumer China.
Zinc on MCX settled down -1.36% at 178 tracking weakness from LME
zinc prices weighed down by a stronger dollar making metals more
expensive for holders of other currencies, and after growth in China's
manufacturing sector cooled for a second month. Zinc prices are down
almost 11 percent so far in July, which would mark its steepest monthly
drop since September 2011, amid fears of oversupply and that a Sino-
U.S. trade war could hurt demand. Pressure also seen after the news that
social inventories of zinc in Shanghai, Guangdong, and Tianjin grew over
the weekend as the low season continued to accumulate stocks in Tianjin
and Guangdong. While downstream consumption remains weak in
Shanghai, limited arrivals during the weekend led to a decline of 1,500 mt
in the market. Overall social inventory across the three regions rose by
some 1,000 mt from Friday July 27 to 104,300 mt as of Monday July 30.
Market believes market participants should monitor the inflow of imported
materials this week. Also a depreciating offshore yuan at 6.85 per dollar
worsened market sentiment. Sentiment cooled after it began to improve
on Friday July 20. Now day ahead key things to monitor today will be
China's official manufacturing PMI for July, eurozone GDP growth in the
second quarter, CPI for July, unemployment rate in June, US PCE price
index in June, personal spending in June and the Conference Board's
consumer confidence index for July. Technically market is getting support
at 176.6 and below same could see a test of 175 level, And resistance is
now likely to be seen at 179.7, a move above could see prices testing
181.2.
OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST
179.4
SUPPORT 3
182.8 181.2 179.7 176.6 175.0 173.5
179.6 176.6 178.0 -1.36 3884
RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2
Trading Ideas :Zinc trading range for the day is 175-181.2.
Zinc social inventory in Shanghai, Guangdong, and Tianjin rose as arrivals from smelters and downstream consumers’ weak buying interest.
Profits at China’s industrial companies in June rose 20% from a year earlier, slightly retreating from the 21.1% gain in May.
Warehouse stock for Zinc at LME was at 242050mt that is down by -1050mt.
Date : Tuesday, July 31, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 7
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MCX Nickel Jul 2018
Nickel gained as low inventories and robust demand for stainless steel buoyed nickel prices.
Nickel on MCX settled up 0.59% at 946.90 recovered from the day's low
as short covering seen after LME nickel climbed before it hovered around
$13,850/mt. As longs added their positions and shorts cut their positions,
the SHFE contract initially rose before it met pressure at 113,000
yuan/mt and fell to its daily moving average overnight. Low inventories
and robust demand for stainless steel buoyed nickel prices. Support also
seen after fresh production cuts across local steel mills in Changzhou,
Jiangsu province will affect daily pig iron output of some 22,800 mt. Local
authorities introduced a new round of cuts on Wednesday July 25 to fight
severe air pollution. This will affect daily rebar output of 19,800 mt,
market calculated from the required cut imposed on each plant. There is
likely to be upward room in rebar prices in the short run, given firm
downstream demand currently. Last night the US dollar index dipped
0.33% overnight and stood at 94.3, ahead of economic data release and
central bank monetary policy meetings this week. Now day ahead key
things to monitor today will be China's official manufacturing PMI for July,
eurozone GDP growth in the second quarter, CPI for July, unemployment
rate in June, US PCE price index in June, personal spending in June and
the Conference Board's consumer confidence index for July. Technically
market is under short covering as market has witnessed drop in open
interest by -19.04% to settled at 5549 while prices up 5.6 rupees, now
Nickel is getting support at 937.2 and below same could see a test of
927.6 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 952.2, a move
above could see prices testing 957.6.
OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST
942.5
SUPPORT 3
967.2 957.6 952.2 937.2 927.6 922.2
948 933 946.9 0.59 5549
RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2
Trading Ideas :Nickel trading range for the day is 927.6-957.6.
On the supply front, the Philippines to ship over 4 million wmt of medium- and high-grade nickel ore every month during the July-September period.
Global crude steel production rose 5.8 percent in June from a year ago, while output from top producer and consumer China rose 7.5 percent.
Warehouse stock for Nickel at LME was at 256158mt that is down by -1344mt.
Date : Tuesday, July 31, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 8
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NCDEX Jeera Aug 2018
Jeera prices gained due to lack of offerings induced by hopes of fresh export demand as supplies from other producing countries.
Jeera on NCDEX settled up 1.07% at 19810 supported by anticipation of
higher exports from China and Bangladesh due to restricted supplies from
Syria. Mandi sources maintained that export enquiries have been good as
India is the only jeera supplier to the world market currently. Jeera
output is expected to be bumper and supplies are likely to increase in the
coming days. The Federation of Indian Spices Stakeholders (FISS) -
projected India's 2017-18 jeera output at 6.92 million bags up 19% on
year on the back of higher acreage and favourable weather. India is
expected to export a record 175,000 tn of jeera in 2018-19 (Apr-Mar),
primarily because supply from its competitors has taken a hit making it
the sole supplier of the largely sought after spice, trade officials said.
Supply of jeera from Syria and Turkey--India's main rivals in the global
jeera export market--has been hit both in terms of quantity and quality
due to adverse weather, according to exporters. Having hit a record high
of 155,000 tn in 2014-15, jeera exports fell to 97,790 tn in 2015-16, and
143,670 tn in the year ended March, according to data from Spices Board
India. According to export data released by Commerce ministry, exports
in May surged 96% on year to 27,790 tonnes. Technically market is under
short covering as market has witnessed drop in open interest by -2.65%
to settled at 6396 while prices up 210 rupees, now Jeera is getting
support at 19668 and below same could see a test of 19527 level, And
resistance is now likely to be seen at 19933, a move above could see
prices testing 20057.
OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST
19750
SUPPORT 3
21560 21020 20645 19730 19190 18815
20480 19565 20275 2.35 6234
RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2
Trading Ideas :Jeera trading range for the day is 6758-6758.
FISS projected India's 2017-18 jeera output at 6.92 million bags up 19% on year on the back of higher acreage and favourable weather.
NCDEX accredited warehouses jeera stocks dropped by 2 tonnes to 2268 tonnes.
In Unjha, a key spot market in Gujrat, jeera remains unchanged at0 rupees to end at 19371 rupee per 100 kg.
Date : Tuesday, July 31, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 9
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NCDEX Turmeric Aug 2018
Turmeric prices gained on anticipation of firm physical demand followed by minimum stock levels.
Turmeric on NCDEX settled up by 1.12% at 7376 on anticipation of firm
physical demand followed by minimum stock levels. However, turmeric
prices gains were capped due to higher acreage in the key growing
states. Turmeric acreage is expected to be higher in Andhra Pradesh and
Maharashtra following good rains this monsoon. Due to truckers strike in
India for the past seven days the turmeric industry has been affected and
the stock has piled up with traders and turmeric farmers. Only few bags
of good quality along with poor quality turmeric have been brought for
sale. The traders are buying only the good quality turmeric. In Telangana,
Turmeric sowing as on 25th July 2018 reported 45,583 hectares as
compared to 38,254 hectares in the corresponding period last year. 83%
sowing completed from season normal. Till now, Nizamabad region
reported 13,993 hectares compared to last year 9,859 hectares and
Warangal (rural) reported 4,453 hectares compared to last year 3,825
hectares. Rs. 300 crores worth turmeric piled up in Erode. Due to the
truckers strike for the past seven days the turmeric industry has been
affected vehemently and the stock has been piled up with traders and
turmeric farmers. Only few bags of good quality along with poor quality
turmeric have been brought for sale. The traders are buying only the
good quality turmeric. In Nizamabad, a major spot market in AP, the
price ended at 7420 Rupees remains unchanged at0 Rupees.Technically
market is under short covering as market has witnessed drop in open
interest by -0.36% to settled at 12485 while prices up 82 rupees, now
Turmeric is getting support at 7308 and below same could see a test of
7238 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 7434, a move
above could see prices testing 7490.
OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST
7358
SUPPORT 3
7560 7490 7434 7308 7238 7182
7420 7294 7376 1.12 12485
RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2
Trading Ideas :Turmeric trading range for the day is 7238-7490.
Turmeric acreage is expected to be higher in Andhra Pradesh and Maharashtra following good rains this monsoon.
NCDEX accredited warehouses turmeric stocks dropped by 79 tonnes to 5255 tonnes.
In Nizamabad, a major spot market in AP, the price ended at 7420 Rupees remains unchanged at0 Rupees.
Date : Tuesday, July 31, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 10
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MCX Menthaoil Aug 2018
Mentha oil dropped amid subdued demand from consuming industries at the spot market.
Mentha oil on MCX settled down by -4% at 1506 amid subdued demand
from consuming industries at the spot market. Further, ample stock
positions on higher supplies from the major producing belts of Chandausi
in Uttar Pradesh too weighed on mentha oil prices. Anticipation of bumper
crop harvest and nearing of harvesting season adding negativity to the
market. As per preliminary estimates, acreage under mentha crop will
rise this year as the farmers are encouraged by higher price in recent
past. As per trade sources, all the major markets are likely to witness
higher inflow of the produce. There could be chances of crop damage to
certain extend due to unfavourable weather condition. Besides, farmers
are likely to hold back the stocks as the present prices are not
remunerative for them. However, in recent years, the growth in
production and consumption of synthetic mentha has influenced the
demand for natural mentha. As per sources, India contributes around
80% to the total global mentha oil production. Total global production
stood at around 48,000 tonnes, out of which India produces between
30,000-40,000 tonnes. According to estimates, mentha oil production in
India for crop year 2016-17 will be around 38,000 tonnes. As per the
data, the global demand of essential oil will increase in the coming years.
Mentha oil spot at Sambhal closed at 1718.20 per 1kg. Spot prices was
remain unchangeby Rs.0.00/-.Technically market is under long liquidation
as market has witnessed drop in open interest by -2.4% to settled at
1583 while prices down -62.7 rupees, now Menthaoil is getting support at
1496.4 and below same could see a test of 1486.7 level, And resistance is
now likely to be seen at 1525.4, a move above could see prices testing
1544.7.
OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHANGE OPEN INTEREST
1535.00
SUPPORT 3
1554.4 1544.7 1525.4 1496.4 1486.7 1467.4
1535.00 1506.00 1506.00 -4.00 1583
RESIST 3 RESIST 2 RESIST 1 SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2
Trading Ideas :Menthaoil trading range for the day is 1486.7-1544.7.
Mentha oil spot at Sambhal closed at 1718.20 per 1kg. Spot prices was remain unchangeby Rs.0.00/-.
Further, ample stock positions on higher supplies from the major producing belts of Chandausi in Uttar Pradesh too weighed on mentha oil prices.
Anticipation of bumper crop harvest and nearing of harvesting season adding negativity to the market.
Date : Tuesday, July 31, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 11
TIME ZONE Forecast
CommodityLME STOCK Stock
COPPER 2750 256275
ALUMINIUM -1775 1198250
NICKEL -1344 256158
LEAD -525 127325
ZINC -1050 242050
4171 22580 20275 4355 7376 4184 618.1 3359
DAILY MARKET TRADING LEVEL
COMMODITIESNCDEX CHANA Aug
2018
NCDEX Cotton Jul
2018
NCDEX Jeera Oct
2018
NCDEX Guarseed10
Oct 2018
NCDEX Turmeric
Aug 2018
NCDEX Rmseed Aug
2018MCX CPO Jul 2018
NCDEX Soyabean
Oct 2018
NCDEX
Ref.Soya oil
Aug 2018
743.1CLOSE
P. POINT 4183 22463 20105 4333 7364 4183
4210 22716 20645 4396 7434 4195
RESISTANCE
4275 23106 21560 4500 7560 4219
617.8 3361 743
750
4248 22853 21020 4437 7490 4207 619.6 3396 747
620.6 3412
618.8 3377 746
4229 7238 4159 616.0 3326 739
4145 22326 19730 4292 7308 4171 617.0 3342
738
Cng in OI -2.56 -34.56 -2.53 -0.49 -0.36 -5.30 -9.76 1.19 -2.10
SUPPORT
4080 21936 18815 4188 7182 4147 615.2 3307
742
4118 22073 19190
Short Covering
LME DAILY STOCK POSITION ECONOMICAL DATA
DATA Previous
1:30pm EUR Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate 0.108 0.107
TREND Short Covering Short Covering Short Covering Short Covering Short Covering Short Covering Short Covering Fresh Selling
2:30pm EUR CPI Flash Estimate y/y 0.02 0.02
2:30pm EUR Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y 0.01 0.009
2:30pm EUR Prelim Flash GDP q/q 0.004 0.004
2:30pm EUR Italian Prelim CPI m/m 0.002 0.002
2:30pm EUR Unemployment Rate 0.083 0.084
6:00pm USD Core PCE Price Index m/m 0.001 0.002
6:00pm USD Employment Cost Index q/q 0.007 0.008
6:00pm USD Personal Spending m/m 0.004 0.002
6:00pm USD Personal Income m/m 0.004 0.004
Date : Tuesday, July 31, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 12
2750
-1775
-1344
-525
-1050
-2500
-2000
-1500
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
COPPER ALUMINIUM NICKEL LEAD ZINC
LME STOCK
NEWS YOU CAN USE
The Bank of England looks set to pass a post-financial crisis milestone next week by finally raising interest rates above their emergency levels set more than nine years
ago. But with a potentially messy Brexit nearing, Governor Mark Carney may sound cautious about the pace of further moves away from the BoE’s still-powerful stimulus
program. In March 2009, when the financial crisis was raging, the BoE slashed its benchmark rate to 0.5 percent to stave off the risk of a depression. Bank Rate has sat
there since, apart from a 15-month period after the shock referendum vote in 2016 for Britain to leave the European Union, when it was cut again to 0.25 percent - the
lowest in the three-century history of the central bank. Now, Carney and his colleagues are expected to nudge rates up to 0.75 percent on Aug. 2, going beyond last
November’s increase back up to 0.5 percent. However, taking rates above their crisis levels will not be a vote of confidence in the world’s fifth-biggest economy. Britain
has gone from having the strongest growth of the Group of Seven rich nations to being one of the slowest after the Brexit decision.
Profit growth for China’s industrial firms eased in June from the previous month, data showed, as factory production slowed amid the worsening trade U.S. dispute and
Beijing’s efforts to cut pollution and debt. Industrial profits rose 20 percent to 658.29 billion yuan ($96.69 billion) in June, according to data published by the National
Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Friday, compared with a 21.1 percent rise in May. NBS said in a separate statement on the data rising prices have cushioned firms’ profits
even as industrial production slowed in June. It did not provide separate reasons for the slower profit growth in the month. Steel, building materials and oil extraction
sectors were key drivers behind profit growth in the first half of the year, it added. But profit growth in textile, non-ferrous metal smelting and processing, and
telecommunications and electronic equipment manufacturing profits fell during the same period from a year earlier. For the first half of the year, industrial firms’ profit
grew 17.2 percent from a year earlier to 3.39 trillion yuan, accelerating from a 16.5 percent rise for January-May. China’s economic growth slowed in the April-June period
from the previous quarter while June’s industrial output growth slumped to a four-year low, raising concerns about the outlook for the world’s second-largest economy
amid growing signs of stress.
India's import of pepper from Vietnam is estimated to have more than halved on month in June as overseas purchases have turned unattractive following a decline in
domestic prices of the spice. Pepper imports in June are estimated at 426 tn, down a sharp 55% from a month ago. "Declining pepper prices in India has reined in imports
from Vietnam and other nations as profit margin is not as much compared to few months ago," said Thomas Kurian, general manager of Materials Synthite Industries.
Domestic pepper prices have declined nearly 27% since January due to cheaper imports amid higher global production. Imports of pepper have also declined because of
the higher duty of 52% on purchases from Vietnam and due to strict curbs by the government, said Heman Kishor, proprietor of Hemanand Spices. "Most imports that
happened was because contracts were already signed earlier few months back...Many were forced to import as an obligation," Kurian added. India had imported 960 tn
pepper in May. Imports of light berries of black pepper were struck at 187-211 rupees per kg, depending upon the quality, while black pepper was imported at 539
rupees.
Date : Tuesday, July 31, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 13
Date : Tuesday, July 31, 2018 URL : www.systematixshares.com Page No : 14
The information and opinions contained herein have been compiled or arrived at, based upon information obtained in good faith from sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty, representation of warranty, express or implied, is
made as to its accuracy completeness or correctness.
This document is for information purposes only. This report is based on information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and one should exercise due caution while acting on it. Descriptions of any commodities mentioned herein are not
complete and this document is not, and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any commodities/commodity derivatives. Past performance is not a guide for future performance, future returns are not guaranteed and a loss of original capital may occur.
All opinions, projections and estimates constitute the judgment of the author as on the date of the report and these, plus any other information contained in the report, are subject to change without notice. Prices and availability of financial instruments also are subject to change without
notice.
This report is not directed to or intended for display, downloading, printing, reproducing or for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, reproduction, availability
or use would be contrary to law or regulation or what would subject to Systematix Commodities Services Private Limited (SCSPL) or its affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. If this report is inadvertently send or has reached any individual in such
country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of the sender. Neither this document nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S.Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States or
Canada or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. Any unauthorized use, duplication, redistribution or disclosure of this report including, but not limited to, redistribution by electronic mail, posting of the report on a website or page, and/or providing to a third party
a link, is prohibited by law and will result in prosecution. The information contained in the Report is intended solely for the recipient and may not be further distributed by the recipient to any third party.
SCSPL generally prohibits its analyst(s), persons reporting to analyst(s), and members of their households from maintaining a financial interest in the commodities or commodity derivatives that the analyst(s) cover. Our salespeople, traders, and other professionals or affiliates may
provide oral or written market commentary or trading strategies to our clients that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed herein. Our proprietary trading and investing businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations
expressed herein. The views expressed in this research report reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) no part of the compensation of the research analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations and views expressed by research analyst(s) in
this report. The compensation of the analyst who prepared this document is determined exclusively by SCSPL however, compensation may relate to the revenues of the Systematix Group as a whole, of which investment banking, sales and trading are a part. Research analyst(s) and
sales persons of SCSPL may provide important inputs to its affiliated company(ies).
Foreign currency denominated commodities, wherever mentioned are subject to exchange rate fluctuations, which could have an adverse effect on their value or price, or the income derived from them. In addition, the values of which are influenced by foreign currencies effectively
assume currency risk.
SCSPL, its directors, analyst(s) or employees do not take any responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this report including but not restricted to changes in the currency rates, reduction in
the income, etc.
SCSPL and its affiliates, officers, directors, and employees may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the commodities/commodities derivatives thereof, of company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such
commodities/commodity derivatives and earn brokerage or other compensation (financial interest) or act as a market maker in the financial instruments discussed herein or have other potential material conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and
opinions. The views expressed are those of the analyst and the Company may or may not subscribe to the views expressed therein.
SCSPL, its affiliates and any third party involved in, or related to, computing or compiling the information hereby expressly disclaim all warranties of originality, accuracy, completeness, merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose with respect to any of this information. Without
limiting any of the foregoing, in no event shall SCSPL, any of its affiliates or any third party involved in, or related to, computing or compiling the information have any liability for any damages of any kind. The Company accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties. The
Report may provide the addresses of, or contain hyperlinks to, websites. Except to the extent to which the Report refers to website material of the Company, the Company has not reviewed the linked site. Accessing such website or following such link through the report or the website of
the Company shall be at your own risk and the Company shall have no liability arising out of, or in connection with, any such referenced website
SCSPL shall not be liable for any delay or any other interruption which may occur in presenting the data due to any technical glitch to present the data. In no event shall the SCSPL be liable for any damages, including without limitation, direct or indirect, special, incidental, or
consequential damages, losses or expenses arising in connection with the data presented by SCSPL through this presentation.
Neither SCSPL, nor any of its other group companies or associates, shall be responsible for any decisions taken on the basis of this report. Investors are advised to consult their Investment and Tax consultants before taking any investment decisions based on this report.
Systematix Commodities Services Private Limited.:
Registered and Corporate address: The Capital, A-wing, No. 603 – 606, 6th Floor, Plot No. C-70, G Block, Bandra Kurla Complex, Bandra (East), Mumbai – 400 051
CIN - U01119MH1994PTC266348 | MCX SEBI Reg No.: INZ000043009 | NCDEX SEBI Reg No.: INZ000043009 Member Code: MCX: 29790 | NCDEX: 534