Cri2101 Bb Lesson Three

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    GOOD , VALID , STRONG ARGUMENTS

    What is a GoodArgument?

    What is a VaidArgument?What is a StrongArgument?

    What are the Tests!or an Argument to "e Good?

    W#AT IS A GOOD ARGUMENT ?1$ Good reason to believe = PLAUSIBLE PREMISES

    2. The Conl!sion "ollo#s "ro$ the%re$ises

    A %LAIM IS &LAUSI'LE i" #e have good reasonto believe it is tr!e.

    A lai$ is LESS &LAUSI'LE i" #e haveess reason to believe it is

    tr!e. A lai$ is IM&LAUSI'LE (

    DU'IOUS i" #e have no reasonto believe it is tr!e.

    &EA%%E&T A %LAIM i" #e 'no# it is tr!e "ro$ o!r o)n e*+eriene.

    &ERE-E%T A %LAIM i" #e 'no# it is "alse "ro$ o!ro)n e*+eriene$

    E*e+t i! .

    1. &e have (ood reason to do!bt o!r $e$or) .

    2. The lai$ ontradits other e*%erienes o" o!rs .+. There is a (ood ar(!$ent abo!t the lai$.

    B!t too o"ten , #e re$e$ber #hat #eDEDU%ED !rom our e*+eriene ,

    and not #hat #eA%TUALL/ e*+eriened$E.(. This is )hat Tom sa) . A shabbil)-dressed )o!th in an e$%t)

    lassroo$ #ho s%otted a %!rse on a table. The )o!th loo'ed shi"til) aro!nd

    hi$. The ne*t $o$ent, the )o!th #as (one and so #as the %!rse.

    This is )hat Tom sa0s . That )o!th stole the %!rse. I sa# hi$

    do it. e #as in the lassroo$ and he s%otted a %!rse on the table. e

    loo'ed aro!nd %rett) shi"til) and tho!(ht he o!ld (et a#a) #ith ta'in( the

    %!rse. So he (rabbed it and #ent.

    1. o# does To$ 'no# the )o!th tho!(ht that he o!ld (et a#a) #ith it/

    Tom is 1ustma2ing u+ a stor0$

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    2. o# does To$ 'no# the )o!th (rabbed the %!rse/ Tom didn3tsee

    him dothat 45$ &hat $a'es To$ sa) the )o!th loo'ed aro!nd shi"til) as i" to steal the

    %!rse/ &erha+s the 0outh reogni6ed that the +urse "eonged

    to his gir!riend ( sister, and oo2ed around !or her$ When he

    didn3t see her, he deided to ta2e it !or her$

    To$ S#OULD NOT #AVE DEDU%ED ( IN7ERRED 7ROM #IS

    &REVIOUS 8NOWLEDGE (E9&ERIEN%Eo" so$e thie" loo'in( aro!nd

    0!i'l) and stealin( a %!rse. To$ S#OULD NOT #AVE %OME TO T#E %ON%LUSIONthat the )o!th is

    the thie".

    Instead, To$ S#OULD #AVE DISTINGUIS#ED W#AT #E #AD SEEN

    7ROM W#AT #E #AD DEDU%ED ( IN7ERRED$ nl) then #o!ld To$ have realied that #E #AS NO GOOD ARGUMENT

    to $a'e the onl!sion he $ade.

    SO, W#AT MA8ES A GOOD ARGUMENT?

    Is it an ar(!$ent that onvines the listener/

    &hat i" Ann is in a bad $ood, and nothin( )o! sa) #o!ld onvine her/

    &hat i" 3i$$) is dr!n' and )o! an4t onvine hi$ not to drive hi$sel"

    ho$e/ 5oes it $ean )o!r ar(!$ent is bad/

    6Consider the "ollo#in( ar(!$ents.

    All books are written by women. So the author of this book is a woman.

    7alse Pre$ise So 7alse

    Conl!sion 89o (ood reason to believe :

    'AD ARGUMENT

    All books are written by women. So the author of this book is a human being.

    7alse Pre$ise Conl!sion does not

    "ollo# "ro$ the %re$ise 8 9o (ood reason to believe :

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    'AD ARGUMENT

    All books are written by humans. So the author of this book is either a man or

    a woman.

    Pla!sible Pre$ise Conl!sion "ollo#s "ro$

    the %re$ise 8 Good reason to believe :

    GOOD ARGUMENT

    Dr. E teaches Critical Analysis. So Dr. E is bald.

    Good ; Bad ar(!$ent/ &h)/

    Dr. E is very critical in his assessment of everything. So he is qualified to teach

    critical analysis.

    Good ; Bad ar(!$ent/ &h)/

    E9AM&LES O7 A 'AD ARGUMENT

    :;

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    %ONDITION7R A >ALI5 ARGUME9T ?

    I! the +remises are true, the onusion aso has to "e true$There is no %ossible #a) "or the %re$ises to be tr!e and the onl!sion

    "alse.

    Dr. E is very analytical. So he is good at teaching Critical Analysis. VALID

    ARGUMENT

    Dr. E is very analytical. So he is bald. INVALID ARGUMENT

    A >alid Ar(!$ent an be a GOOD ( 'AD ARGUMENT.

    Every college student has to $ay fees. Su%y is a college student. So Su%y hasto $ay fees. VALID GOOD ARGUMENT

    I" Pre$ises tr!e, then Pre$ises %la!sible

    Conl!sion $!st also be tr!e. Conl!sion "ollo#s "ro$ the

    %re$ises.

    Every elected official in &alaysia is less than '( years old. So the )rime

    &inister of &alaysia is less than '( years old. VALID 'AD

    ARGUMENT

    I" Pre$ise tr!e, thenConl!sion $!st also be tr!e.

    Pre$ise not

    %la!sible ;

    5!bio!s %re$ise

    Are these VALID Arguments?1. So$e Gree's are lo(iians. There"ore, so$e lo(iians are Gree's.2. All Gree's are h!$an, and all h!$ans are $ortal. There"ore, all

    Gree's are $ortal.+. So$e Gree's are lo(iians, and so$e lo(iians are tireso$e.

    There"ore, so$e Gree's are tireso$e.

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    @. Either #e are all doo$ed or #e are all saved. &e are not all saved.

    There"ore, #e are all doo$ed.. So$e $en are ha#'ers. So$e ha#'ers are rih. There"ore, so$e $en

    are rih.Ans)ers . 1 >alid 2 >alid + Invalid @ >alid

    Invalid

    9o. +? Some Gree2s are ogiians, and some ogiians are

    tiresome$ There!ore, some Gree2s are tiresome$ INVALID

    So$e Gree's are lo(iians

    So$e lo(iians are tireso$e.

    There"ore, so$e Gree's are tireso$e

    9o. ? Some men are ha)2ers$ Some ha)2ers are rih$ There!ore, some

    men are rih$ INVALID

    So$e $en are ha#'ers

    So$e ha#'ers

    are rih

    There!ore, some men are

    rih$ INVALID

    TIRESMEGREE8S

    LOGI%IANS

    MEN #AW8ERSRI%#

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    B 8ii: INVALI

    D

    I" P, then .

    9ot P,

    So not .

    P : diamond Q : cut

    glass

    I" an ob6et is dia$ond, then it an

    !t (lass.

    A is not a dia$ond.

    So A annot !t (lass.

    C 8i: VALID I" P, then .

    P is tr!e,

    So is also tr!e.

    P : diamond Q : cut

    glass

    I" an ob6et is dia$ond, then it an

    !t (lass.

    A is a dia$ond.

    So A an !t (lass.

    C 8ii:INVALI

    D

    I" P, then .

    is tr!e,

    So P is also tr!e.

    I" an ob6et is dia$ond, then it an

    !t (lass.

    A an !t (lass.

    So A is a dia$ond.

    W#AT IS A STRONG ARGUMENT ?

    Belo# is the &RO%ESSinvolved in ANAL/ING W#ET#ER T#E

    %ON%LUSION 7OLLOWS 7ROMT#E &REMISESo" an ar(!$ent ?

    ;$ Be reative and i$a(ine ever) %re$ise PSSIBLE.=$ Consider eah o" the %re$ises.

    5$ o#TRUEis eah %re$ise/F$ In an) #a), is the onl!sion 7ALSE/

    NO VALID ARGUMENT /ES INVALID ARGUMENT

    Ever) #a) the %re$ises o# li'el) is the %re$ise;s "alse/

    o!ld be tr!e,

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    the onl!sion is tr!e. VER/ UNLI8EL/ NOT SOUNLI8EL/

    = STRONG =

    WEA8

    ARGUMENTARGUMENT

    < Ever) GOODar(!$ent is VALID ( STRONG. < 9ot ever) VALID ( STRONGar(!$ent is GOOD.

    8 bea!se a %re$ise o!ld be i$%la!sible : < nl) INVALIDar(!$ents are lassied "ro$

    STRONG TO WEA8. < Ever) WEA8ar(!$ent is 'AD.

    VALIDIINVALID

    STRONG

    IWEA8

    'AD

    T#REE INDE&ENDENT TESTS !or an argument to "e

    GOOD

    1. The PREMISES are %la!sible.2. The PREMISES are $ore %la!sible than the Conl!sion.+. The ARGUME9T IS valid ; stron(.

    DI Consider the "ollo#in( onversation bet#een A and C.

    A and B are housemates, renting a house together.C is their friend.

    A and C have just come bac to A!s house from a late-night movie.B is not in the house.

    C ? *ou didn#t have any eggs in the house this morning+ did you!

    A ? ,o+ why!

    C ? -ell+ you#ve got some in the fridge now.

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    A ? " must have bought the eggs+ since she knew was out and wouldn#t be

    back till late at night.

    A3s ARGUMENT .B;C %onusion ' must ha@e "ought the eggs$B=C &remise B;C She 2ne) I )as out and )oudn3t "e "a2

    ti ate at night$

    A3s argument is NOT VALID$E@en though the +remise is true, the onusion is not neessari0

    true "eause '3s mother ( !riend ( andord

    oud ha@e "rought o@er the eggs and +aed them in the !ridge

    )hen the0 )ere out$#ene, there are SO MAN/ LI8EL/ &OSSI'ILITIES !or the +remise

    to "e true and the %onusion !ase that ma2es A3s argument aWEA8 ARGUMENT$

    DII Let !s reonsider the onversation bet#een A and C.

    C ? *ou didn#t have any eggs in the house this morning+ did you!A ? ,o+ why!

    C ? -ell+ you#ve got some in the fridge now.

    A ? " must have bought the eggs+ since she knew was out and wouldn#t be

    back till late at night.

    C ? Are you sure!

    A ? Sure. ,o one has a key to my house exce$t ". And she didn#t $lan to have

    any guests over today.

    A3s ARGUMENT .B;C %onusion ' must ha@e "ought the eggs$B=C &remises B5C She 2ne) I )as out and )oudn3t "e

    "a2 ti ate at night$ No one has a 2e0 to m0 house e*e+t '$ She didn3t +an to ha@e an0 guests o@er

    toda0$ B im+0ing no

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    one ese oud ha@e "een in the house

    e*e+t '$C

    A3s argument isSTRONGER no) "eause SOME O7 T#E &OSSI'LE

    WA/S the &remises

    oud "e true and the %onusion !ase #AVE 'EEN RULED OUT "0ha@ing more +remises$

    'ut it is STILL NOT A VER/ STRONG ARGUMENT$

    DIII 9o# onsider a "!rther onversation bet#een A and C.

    C ? *ou didn#t have any eggs in the house this morning+ did you!

    A ? ,o+ why!

    C ? -ell+ you#ve got some in the fridge now.A ? " must have bought the eggs+ since she knew was out and wouldn#t be

    back till late at night.

    C ? Are you sure!

    A ? Sure. ,o one has a key to my house exce$t ". And we never let anyone

    else in.

    C ? "ut didn#t your neighbor &rs. / say she had some eggs from her son#s

    farm!

    A ? *es+ but " said we should only bring food into the house that we had

    $urchased ourselves at the health0food store. And she always kee$s her word.

    A3s ARGUMENT .B;C %onusion ' must ha@e "ought the eggs$B=C &remises BHC She 2ne) I )as out and )oudn3t "e "a2

    ti ate at night$ No one has a 2e0 to m0 house e*e+t '$ We ne@er et an0one ese in$ ' said )e shoud on0 "ring !ood into the

    house that )e had

    +urhased ourse@es at the heath!oodstore$ ' a)a0s 2ee+s her )ord$

    A3s argument is A LOT STRONGER no) "eause SO MAN/ O7

    T#E WA/S in )hih the

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    &remises oud "e true and the %onusion !ase #AVE 'EEN

    RULED OUT$

    STILL, T#E ARGUMENT IS NOT VALID "eause the andord oud

    ha@e gotten a o2smith

    to o+en the door, and +ut the eggs in the !ridge ( a "urgaroud ha@e "ro2en in and e!t

    the eggs "ehind ( ' oud ha@e "ought a hi2en and e!t it in

    the !ridge and it aid eggsthere ( ET%$

    T#ESE ARE &OSSI'LE WA/S that the &remises oud "e true and

    the %onusion !ase4 'UT T#E/ ARE ALL SO UNLI8EL/$ So the argument is STRONG$

    E9ER%ISE . Eval!ate the "ollo#in( ar(!$ent.

    &r. 1an has been teaching for 23 years.

    So he is a good teacher.

    &r. 1an has been teaching for 23 years.

    So he is a good teacher.

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    &hih lai$ is the %ON%LUSION/

    &hih lai$ is the &REMISE/

    Is the %re$ise %la!sible/ Fes ; 9o

    5oes the onl!sion "ollo# "ro$ the %re$ise/ Fes ; 9o

    1. So, is it a GOOD ARGUMENT/ Fes ; 9o&F /

    2. I" it is tr!e that Mr. Tan has been teahin( "or 2 )ears,is it ALSO TRUEthat he is a (ood teaher/ Fes ; 9o

    So, bea!se there are other riteria 8 %re$ises : "or bein( a (ood teaher,is it a VALID ARGUMENT/ Fes ; 9o

    Is it an INVALIDARGUMENT/ Fes ; 9o

    +. List as $an) riteria 8 %re$ises : as )o! an that Mr. Tan $!st have to be

    a (ood teaher.

    So, #hat is the &OSSI'ILIT/ ( %ERTAINT/o" Mr. Tan bein( a (oodteaher 6!st bea!se he

    has been teahin( "or 2 )ears/ H ; J hane

    So, is it a STRONG ( WEA8 ARGUMENT/

    @. 9o# re%air the ar(!$ent to $a'e it a GOOD ( STRONG ARGUMENT.

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    . Eval!ate the "ollo#in( ar(!$ent )o!rsel". Good/ >alid/ Stron(/

    " loced the o#ce and left for lunch at $.%%pm. &n m' wa' to the

    cafeteria, " saw the gardener. (e was mowing the lawn near m' o#ce.)here was no one else around. *hen " returned at +.%%pm and unloced

    the door, " was shoced to discover m' drawer broen into, and %%

    dollars gone )he gardener must have taen it

    Good ar(!$ent/ &h) ; #h) not/

    >alid ar(!$ent/ &h) ; #h) not/

    Stron( ar(!$ent/ &h) ; #h) not/

    "renechin""CP+%$