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Transcript of Centre for Research on Children and Families
National Outcomes Matrix:
Evidence of Intervention Effectiveness
Nico Trocmé
with Tony Esposito, Martin Chabot & Lorry Coughlin
Theory & Wisdom: Promoting Evidence Based Decision MakingEdmonton, AB , May 28th
Centre for Research on Children and Families
Financial Based Management
Reactive Practice
Client Tracking System Using Proxy Measures
Outcome Based Case-Planning +
Measures for Clinical Practice
Integrated Outcomes
Tracking System
An Incremental Multi-Level Outcomes Approach
Centre for Research on Children and Families
Selecting indicators:
• Can indicators be clearly linked to seminal child welfare service objectives?
• Are they easily understood?
• Can they be measured using existing information systems?
Centre for Research on Children and Families
Competing objectives of child welfare
Child Protection
Child Well-Being
Family and Community
Support
Centre for Research on Children and Families
Safety1.Recurrence& 2.Injury
Well-Being
3.School delay& 4.YCJA
Permanence
5.Placement6. Moves in care & 7.Time in care
Family & Community Support
8. Court 9. Housing stability &
10. Community-based placements
Centre for Research on Children and Families
NOM & Pilot Test Indicators
NOM Dashboard: Pilot Test 02-0802-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
Recurrence Cases served re-substantiated within 12 months of closing 15% 16% 15% 15% 13% 9%
School DelayAgency children who are at least 1 year behind age appropriate grade compared to norm
24% 5%
32%6%
30%5%
27% 4%
25%4%
Youth Criminal Justice Rate Investigated children (12 to 15 years old) who experienced youth criminal justice services within 36 months of initial investigation
15% 22% 17% 12% NA NA
Placement Rate Investigated children who experience at least one placement (>3 days) within 36 months of initial investigation
21% 24% 23% 22% NA NA
Moves in carePlacement changes (>3 days) or reunification breakdowns within 36 months of initial placement
2.5 2.1 2.4 1.90 NA NA
Time in care (% current status / median days per current status)
Return homeAdoption
OtherStill in care
260
56% / 1072% / 850
19% / 18322% /1025
255
52% / 701% / 502
24% / 22423% /1011
385
55% / 2013% / 805
16% / 31326% /1095
NA NA NA
Court InvolvementChildren who experience at least one court event within 36 months of initial investigation
40% 42% 40% 33% NA NA
SDC AM
Recurrence cohort: All closed Cases
served, tracked for 12 months
ITSDNC
Recurrence Cohort
AM / IT
N Mean Age
2002 580 8.1
2003 495 8.0
2004 575 7.8
2005 530 8.3
2006 522 8.4
2007 395 8.2
6 year average 8.1
NOM Dashboard: Pilot Test 02-0802-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
Recurrence Cases served re-substantiated within 12 months of closing 15% 16% 15% 15% 13% 9%
School DelayAgency children who are at least 1 year behind age appropriate grade compared to norm
24% 5%
32%6%
30%5%
27% 4%
25%4%
Youth Criminal Justice Rate Investigated children (12 to 15 years old) who experienced youth criminal justice services within 36 months of initial investigation
15% 22% 17% 12% NA NA
Placement Rate Investigated children who experience at least one placement (>3 days) within 36 months of initial investigation
21% 24% 23% 22% NA NA
Moves in carePlacement changes (>3 days) or reunification breakdowns within 36 months of initial placement
2.5 2.1 2.4 1.90 NA NA
Time in care (% current status / median days per current status)
Return homeAdoption
OtherStill in care
260
56% / 1072% / 850
19% / 18322% /1025
255
52% / 701% / 502
24% / 22423% /1011
385
55% / 2013% / 805
16% / 31326% /1095
NA NA NA
Court InvolvementChildren who experience at least one court event within 36 months of initial investigation
40% 42% 40% 33% NA NA
Recurrence by reason for report
Closed cases 373 44 12 92 8 529
Non recurring 322 40 7 72 8 449
Recurring 51 4 5 20 0 80
Recurrence rate
13% 9% -- 21% -- 15%
Total
Recurrence by age at service start
Closed cases 82 102 134 122 89 529
Non recurring 75 89 118 98 69 449
Recurring 7 13 16 24 20 80
Recurrence rate
8% 12% 11% 19% 22% 15%
Total
NOM Dashboard: Pilot Test 02-0802-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
Recurrence Cases served re-substantiated within 12 months of closing 15% 16% 15% 15% 13% 9%
School DelayAgency children who are at least 1 year behind age appropriate grade compared to norm
24% 5%
32%6%
30%5%
27% 4%
25%4%
Youth Criminal Justice Rate Investigated children (12 to 15 years old) who experienced youth criminal justice services within 36 months of initial investigation
15% 22% 17% 12% NA NA
Placement Rate Investigated children who experience at least one placement (>3 days) within 36 months of initial investigation
21% 24% 23% 22% NA NA
Moves in carePlacement changes (>3 days) or reunification breakdowns within 36 months of initial placement
2.5 2.1 2.4 1.90 NA NA
Time in care (% current status / median days per current status)
Return homeAdoption
OtherStill in care
260
56% / 1072% / 850
19% / 18322% /1025
255
52% / 701% / 502
24% / 22423% /1011
385
55% / 2013% / 805
16% / 31326% /1095
NA NA NA
Court InvolvementChildren who experience at least one court event within 36 months of initial investigation
40% 42% 40% 33% NA NA
School Delay Rate Proportion of agency children who are at least 1 year behind age appropriate grade by placement type (all years combined)
7 to 17 years of age TOTAL (N)
63% 26% 24% 5000
NOM Dashboard: Pilot Test 02-0802-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
Recurrence Cases served re-substantiated within 12 months of closing 15% 16% 15% 15% 13% 9%
School DelayAgency children who are at least 1 year behind age appropriate grade compared to norm
24% 5%
32%6%
30%5%
27% 4%
25%4%
Youth Criminal Justice Rate Investigated children (12 to 15 years old) who experienced youth criminal justice services within 36 months of initial investigation
15% 22% 17% 12% NA NA
Placement Rate Investigated children who experience at least one placement (>3 days) within 36 months of initial investigation
21% 24% 23% 22% NA NA
Moves in carePlacement changes (>3 days) or reunification breakdowns within 36 months of initial placement
2.5 2.1 2.4 1.90 NA NA
Time in care (% current status / median days per current status)
Return homeAdoption
OtherStill in care
260
56% / 1072% / 850
19% / 18322% /1025
255
52% / 701% / 502
24% / 22423% /1011
385
55% / 2013% / 805
16% / 31326% /1095
NA NA NA
Court InvolvementChildren who experience at least one court event within 36 months of initial investigation
40% 42% 40% 33% NA NA
SDC AMITSDNC
Service CohortN Mean Age
2002 950 7.8
2003 870 7.8
2004 750 7.6
2005 890 7.7
4 year average 7.8
Service cohort: all retained cases, up to 36
months after report
Centre for Research on Children and Families
NOM Dashboard: Pilot Test 02-0802-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
Recurrence Cases served re-substantiated within 12 months of closing 15% 16% 15% 15% 13% 9%
School DelayAgency children who are at least 1 year behind age appropriate grade compared to norm
24% 5%
32%6%
30%5%
27% 4%
25%4%
Youth Criminal Justice Rate Investigated children (12 to 15 years old) who experienced youth criminal justice services within 36 months of initial investigation
15% 22% 17% 12% NA NA
Placement Rate Investigated children who experience at least one placement (>3 days) within 36 months of initial investigation
21% 24% 23% 22% NA NA
Moves in carePlacement changes (>3 days) or reunification breakdowns within 36 months of initial placement
2.5 2.1 2.4 1.90 NA NA
Time in care (% current status / median days per current status)
Return homeAdoption
OtherStill in care
260
56% / 1072% / 850
19% / 18322% /1025
255
52% / 701% / 502
24% / 22423% /1011
385
55% / 2013% / 805
16% / 31326% /1095
NA NA NA
Court InvolvementChildren who experience at least one court event within 36 months of initial investigation
40% 42% 40% 33% NA NA
Youth Criminal Justice involvement by reason for the report
Children in cohort
73 34 7 67 3 184
No YCJA 62 31 7 49 3 152
YCJA 11 3 0 18 0 32
YCJA Rate 15% 8% *--% 26% *--% 17%
Total
* Too few cases to calculate a meaningful rate
Youth Criminal Justice involvement by age
Children in cohort 57 48 79 184
No YCJA 50 37 65 152
YCJA 7 11 14 32
YCJA Rate 12% 22% 17% 17%
Total
Centre for Research on Children and Families
NOM Dashboard: Pilot Test 02-0802-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
Recurrence Cases served re-substantiated within 12 months of closing 15% 16% 15% 15% 13% 9%
School DelayAgency children who are at least 1 year behind age appropriate grade compared to norm
24% 5%
32%6%
30%5%
27% 4%
25%4%
Youth Criminal Justice Rate Investigated children (12 to 15 years old) who experienced youth criminal justice services within 36 months of initial investigation
15% 22% 17% 12% NA NA
Placement Rate Investigated children who experience at least one placement (>3 days) within 36 months of initial investigation
21% 24% 23% 22% NA NA
Moves in carePlacement changes (>3 days) or reunification breakdowns within 36 months of initial placement
2.5 2.1 2.4 1.90 NA NA
Time in care (% current status / median days per current status)
Return homeAdoption
OtherStill in care
260
56% / 1072% / 850
19% / 18322% /1025
255
52% / 701% / 502
24% / 22423% /1011
385
55% / 2013% / 805
16% / 31326% /1095
NA NA NA
Court InvolvementChildren who experience at least one court event within 36 months of initial investigation
40% 42% 40% 33% NA NA
Placement rate by reason for the report
Children in cohort
524 110 29 92 6 761
No placement 407 95 26 49 3 580
Placement 117 15 3 43 3 181
Placement Rate 22% 13% --% 46% --% 23%
Total
Placement rate by age
Children 117 170 190 205 79 761
No Placement 77 150 162 149 42 580
Placement 40 20 28 56 37 181
Placement Rate
34% 11% 14% 27% 46% 23%
Total
Centre for Research on Children and Families
NOM Dashboard: Pilot Test 02-0802-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
Recurrence Cases served re-substantiated within 12 months of closing 15% 16% 15% 15% 13% 9%
School DelayAgency children who are at least 1 year behind age appropriate grade compared to norm
24% 5%
32%6%
30%5%
27% 4%
25%4%
Youth Criminal Justice Rate Investigated children (12 to 15 years old) who experienced youth criminal justice services within 36 months of initial investigation
15% 22% 17% 12% NA NA
Placement Rate Investigated children who experience at least one placement (>3 days) within 36 months of initial investigation
21% 24% 23% 22% NA NA
Moves in carePlacement changes (>3 days) or reunification breakdowns within 36 months of initial placement
2.5 2.1 2.4 1.90 NA NA
Time in care (% current status / median days per current status)
Return homeAdoption
OtherStill in care
260
56% / 1072% / 850
19% / 18322% /1025
255
52% / 701% / 502
24% / 22423% /1011
385
55% / 2013% / 805
16% / 31326% /1095
NA NA NA
Court InvolvementChildren who experience at least one court event within 36 months of initial investigation
40% 42% 40% 33% NA NA
Placement cohort: all placed children, up to 36 months after initial placement
SDC AMITSDNC
Placement CohortN Mean Age
2002 330 10.4
2003 325 11.6
2004 294 10.5
2005 320 11.5
4 year average 11.1
Centre for Research on Children and Families
NOM Dashboard: Pilot Test 02-0802-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
Recurrence Cases served re-substantiated within 12 months of closing 15% 16% 15% 15% 13% 9%
School DelayAgency children who are at least 1 year behind age appropriate grade compared to norm
24% 5%
32%6%
30%5%
27% 4%
25%4%
Youth Criminal Justice Rate Investigated children (12 to 15 years old) who experienced youth criminal justice services within 36 months of initial investigation
15% 22% 17% 12% NA NA
Placement Rate Investigated children who experience at least one placement (>3 days) within 36 months of initial investigation
21% 24% 23% 22% NA NA
Moves in carePlacement changes (>3 days) or reunification breakdowns within 36 months of initial placement
2.5 2.1 2.4 1.90 NA NA
Time in care (% current status / median days per current status)
Return homeAdoption
OtherStill in care
260
56% / 1072% / 850
19% / 18322% /1025
255
52% / 701% / 502
24% / 22423% /1011
385
55% / 2013% / 805
16% / 31326% /1095
NA NA NA
Court InvolvementChildren who experience at least one court event within 36 months of initial investigation
40% 42% 40% 33% NA NA
Moves in Care
Number of moves (# of children)
0 28% 37% 19%
1 21% 20% 25%
2-3 28% 23% 30%
4+ 23% 20% 26%
Total children 332 100% 322 100% 289 100%
Total Moves 767 641 723
Average moves 2.5 2.1 2.4
Moves in Care: by reason for report
Total
Number of moves
0 22% 13% 25% 14% 22% 54 19%
1 27% 29% 25% 23% 44% 76 26%
2-3 30% 20% 25% 31% 23% 85 29%
4+ 21 38% 25% 32% 11% 74 26%
Total children 155 100% 24 100% 4100% 97
100% 9 100% 289 100%
Total Moves 338 68 8 293 16
Average moves 2.2 2.8 2.1 3.1 1.7
Moves in Care by age at entry
Total
Number of moves
0 32% 19% 17% 11% 20% 54 19%
1 16% 47% 39% 21% 21% 76 26%
2-3 44% 25% 27% 31% 26% 85 30%
4+ 8% 9% 17% 37% 33% 74 25%
Total children 38 100% 32 100% 41 100% 67 100% 111 100% 289 100%
Total Moves 58 47 72 227 319
Average moves 1.5 1.4 1.6 3.5 2.8
NOM Dashboard: Pilot Test 02-0802-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
Recurrence Cases served re-substantiated within 12 months of closing 15% 16% 15% 15% 13% 9%
School DelayAgency children who are at least 1 year behind age appropriate grade compared to norm
24% 5%
32%6%
30%5%
27% 4%
25%4%
Youth Criminal Justice Rate Investigated children (12 to 15 years old) who experienced youth criminal justice services within 36 months of initial investigation
15% 22% 17% 12% NA NA
Placement Rate Investigated children who experience at least one placement (>3 days) within 36 months of initial investigation
21% 24% 23% 22% NA NA
Moves in carePlacement changes (>3 days) or reunification breakdowns within 36 months of initial placement
2.5 2.1 2.4 1.90 NA NA
Time in care (% current status / median days per current status)
Return homeAdoption
OtherStill in care
260
56% / 1072% / 850
19% / 18322% /1025
255
52% / 701% / 502
24% / 22423% /1011
385
55% / 2013% / 805
16% / 31326% /1095
NA NA NA
Court InvolvementChildren who experience at least one court event within 36 months of initial investigation
40% 42% 40% 33% NA NA
Time in Care by age at entry
Outcome after 36 months
percentage by outcome (median in days) Total Children %(N)
Return Home 41% (225) 34% (27) 47%(58) 41% (66) 65%(106) 52%(167)
Adoption 10% (502) 0 0 0 0 1%(3)
Other 28% (437) 26% (558) 14%(29) 22% (107) 27%%(250) 24%(77)
Still in Care 21% (1005) 40% (1008) 39%(999) 37% (1105) 8%(1017) 23%(1022)
Total Children 29 35 42 71 145 322
NOM Dashboard: Pilot Test 02-0802-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
Recurrence Cases served re-substantiated within 12 months of closing 15% 16% 15% 15% 13% 9%
School DelayAgency children who are at least 1 year behind age appropriate grade compared to norm
24% 5%
32%6%
30%5%
27% 4%
25%4%
Youth Criminal Justice Rate Investigated children (12 to 15 years old) who experienced youth criminal justice services within 36 months of initial investigation
15% 22% 17% 12% NA NA
Placement Rate Investigated children who experience at least one placement (>3 days) within 36 months of initial investigation
21% 24% 23% 22% NA NA
Moves in carePlacement changes (>3 days) or reunification breakdowns within 36 months of initial placement
2.5 2.1 2.4 1.90 NA NA
Time in care (% current status / median days per current status)
Return homeAdoption
OtherStill in care
260
56% / 1072% / 850
19% / 18322% /1025
255
52% / 701% / 502
24% / 22423% /1011
385
55% / 2013% / 805
16% / 31326% /1095
NA NA NA
Court InvolvementChildren who experience at least one court event within 36 months of initial investigation
40% 42% 40% 33% NA NA
Court Involvement by reason for report
Children in cohort 524 110 29 92 6 761
No Court Involvement
295 86 22 47 2 452
Court Involvement 229 24 7 45 4 309
Court Rate 43% 21% --* 48% --* 40%
Total
* Too few cases to calculate a meaningful rate
NOM Dashboard: Pilot Test 02-0802-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
Recurrence Cases served re-substantiated within 12 months of closing 15% 16% 15% 15% 13% 9%
School DelayAgency children who are at least 1 year behind age appropriate grade compared to norm
24% 5%
32%6%
30%5%
27% 4%
25%4%
Youth Criminal Justice Rate Investigated children (12 to 15 years old) who experienced youth criminal justice services within 36 months of initial investigation
15% 22% 17% 12% NA NA
Placement Rate Investigated children who experience at least one placement (>3 days) within 36 months of initial investigation
21% 24% 23% 22% NA NA
Moves in carePlacement changes (>3 days) or reunification breakdowns within 36 months of initial placement
2.5 2.1 2.4 1.90 NA NA
Time in care (% current status / median days per current status)
Return homeAdoption
OtherStill in care
260
56% / 1072% / 850
19% / 18322% /1025
255
52% / 701% / 502
24% / 22423% /1011
385
55% / 2013% / 805
16% / 31326% /1095
NA NA NA
Court InvolvementChildren who experience at least one court event within 36 months of initial investigation
40% 42% 40% 33% NA NA
For more information:
www.cecw-cepb.ca
Centre for Research on Children and Families