Cbm Report Sonu Kumar
Transcript of Cbm Report Sonu Kumar
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FINANCE PROJECT REPORT
ON
“IMPLEMENTATION OF BASEL II
WITH SPECIFIC
FOCUS ON LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT”
PRESENTED TO:- PRESENTED BY:-
DR. VIDYA SHEKHRI, SAKSHI SINGH BM09183
(CHAIRPERSON, FINANCE) SHIKHAR SWAROOP BM09197
IMS GHAZIABAD SONU KUMAR BM09212
SUNEET KHANNA BM09217
VANDANA DUBEY BM09231
VARUN PRATAP SINGH BM09232
RISHABH AGARWAL BM09244
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CERTIFICATE
TO WHOM SO EVER MAY IT CONCERN
This is to certify that Sakshi Singh, Shikhar Swaroop, Sonu Kumar, Sunnet Khanna, Vandana
Dubey, Varun pratap singh and Rishabh Agarwal have completed the project report titled
“IMPLEMENTATION OF BASEL II WITH SPECIFIC FOCUS ON LIQUIDITYRISK MANAGEMENT” under my supervision. To the best of my knowledge and belief
this is their original work and this, wholly or partially, has not been submitted for any degree
of this or any other University.
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DECLARATION
We hereby declare that the project report on ““ IMPLEMENTATION OF BASEL II WITH SPECIFIC FOCUS ON LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT ”” in commercial bank
management is being submitted by the Group members to INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
STUDIES, GHAZIABAD, is the result of our own work and efforts. It has not been
published in any magazine, book or newspaper yet. All other sources of information have
been duly acknowledged.
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ACKNOWLEDGMENT
It is an opportunity we take to acknowledge the efforts of many individuals who helped us in
making this project possible. First and foremost, we would like to express our heartfelt
appreciation and gratitude to our guide and facilitator of the course, Dr. Vidya Sekhri . Her
vision and execution aimed at creating a structure, definition, and realism around the course
of Commercial Bank Management fostered the ideal environment for us to learn and grow.
This project is a result of her teaching, encouragement and inputs in the numerous meetings
she had with us, despite her busy schedule. She has helped provide us the scope and direct
our research in a manner to make it most beneficial to us and to the topic.
We would also like to thank the Institute of Management Studies, Ghaziabad for providing
us the opportunity to do a project in Financial Management.
Last but not the least; we would like to thank the information technology without which this
project wouldn’t have been possible.
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TABLE OF CONTENT
CHAPTER NAME PAGE NUMBER
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 7
BASEL COMMITTEE 8
BASEL II ACCORD 10
NEW ACCORD 12
FIRST PILLAR 13
SECOND PILLAR 14
THIRD PILLAR 14
INTRODUCTION TO BANKING REFORM 15
MAJOR RECOMMENDATIONS BY NARSIMHAM
COMMITTEE AND BANKING SECTOR REFORM 16
STRENGTHENING BANKING SYSTEM 16
ASSET QUALITY 17
PRUDENTIAL NORMS AND
DISCLOSURE REQUIREMENTS 18
SYSTEM AND METHIDS IN BANKS 18
STRUCTURAL ISSUES 19
RECENT CHRONONLOGICAL UPDATES 20
TYPES OF LIQUIDITY RISKS 22
CAUSES OF LIQUIDITY RISKS 22
MEASURES OF LIQUIDITY RISKS 24
MEASURES OF ASSET LIQUIDITY 24
MANAGING LIQUIDITY RISK 25
TRADE FINANCING AND NEW RULES FOR
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MANAGING LIQUIDITY RISKS 27
BASEL II LIQUIDITY RISKS 29
GOVERNANCE OF LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT 32
MEASUREMENT AND MANAGEMENT IN
LIQUIDITY RISK 33
CAMEL’S FRAMEWORK 36
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 43
AREA OF SURVEY 44
DATA SOURCE 44
SAMPLING TECHNIQUE 44
PLAN OF ANALYSIS 44
ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION 45
CAPITAL ADEQUACY 45
ASSET QUALITY 47
MANAGEMENT SOUNDNESS 48
EARNING AND PROFITABILITY 49
LIQUIDITY 50
FINDINGS 52
RECOMMENDATIONS 53
SUGGESTIONS 54
LIMITATIONS 55
BIBILOGRAPHY 56
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The banking sector has been undergoing a complex, but comprehensive phase of
restructuring since 1991, with a view to make it sound, efficient, and at the same time forging
its links firmly with the real sector for promotion of savings, investment and growth.
Although a complete turnaround in banking sector performance is not expected till the
completion of reforms, signs of improvement are visible in some indicators under the
CAMEL framework. Under this bank is required to enhance capital adequacy, strengthenasset quality, improve management, increase earnings and reduce sensitivity to various
financial risks. The almost simultaneous nature of these developments makes it difficult to
disentangle the positive impact of reform measures. Keeping this in mind, signs of
improvements and deteriorations are discussed for the three groups of scheduled banks in the
following sections.
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ABOUT THE BASEL COMMITEE
The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision provides a forum for regular cooperation on
banking supervisory matters. Its objective is to enhance understanding of key supervisoryissues and improve the quality of banking supervision worldwide. It seeks to do so by
exchanging information on national supervisory issues, approaches and techniques, with a
view to promoting common understanding. At times, the Committee uses this common
understanding to develop guidelines and supervisory standards in areas where they are
considered desirable. In this regard, the Committee is best known for its international
standards on capital adequacy; the Core Principles for Effective Banking Supervision; and the
Concordat on cross-border banking supervision.
The Committee's members come from Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, China,
France, Germany, Hong Kong SAR, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg,
Mexico, the Netherlands, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, Sweden,
Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States. The present Chairman of the
Committee is Mr Nout Wellink, President of the Netherlands Bank.
The Committee encourages contacts and cooperation among its members and other banking
supervisory authorities. It circulates to supervisors throughout the world both published and
unpublished papers providing guidance on banking supervisory matters. Contacts have been
further strengthened by an International Conference of Banking Supervisors (ICBS) which
takes place every two years.
The Committee's Secretariat is located at the Bank for International Settlements in Basel,
Switzerland, and is staffed mainly by professional supervisors on temporary secondment
from member institutions. In addition to undertaking the secretarial work for the Committee
and its many expert sub-committees, it stands ready to give advice to supervisory authorities
in all countries. Mr Stefan Walter is the Secretary General of the Basel Committee.
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Main Expert Sub-Committees
The Committee's work is organized under four main sub-committees (organisation chart):
• The Standards Implementation Group
• The Policy Development Group
• The Accounting Task Force.
• The Basel Consultative Group
1) The Standards Implementation Group (SIG) was originally established to share
information and promote consistency in implementation of the Basel II Framework. In
January 2009, its mandate was broadened to concentrate on implementation of Basel
Committee guidance and standards more generally. It is chaired by Mr José María Roldán,
Director General of Banking Regulation at the Bank of Spain.
Currently the SIG has two subgroups that share information and discuss specific issues
related to Basel II implementation.
2) The primary objective of the Policy Development Group (PDG) is to support the
Committee by identifying and reviewing emerging supervisory issues and, where appropriate,
proposing and developing policies that promote a sound banking system and high supervisory
standards. The group is chaired by Mr Stefan Walter, Secretary General of the Basel
Committee.
Working Group on Liquidity serves as a forum for information exchange on national
approaches to liquidity risk regulation and supervision. In September 2008, the Working
Group issued Principles for Sound Liquidity Risk Management and Supervision, the globalstandards for liquidity risk management and supervision. The Working Group is also
examining the scope for additional steps to promote more robust and internationally
consistent liquidity approaches for cross-border banks.
3) The Accounting Task Force (ATF) works to help ensure that international accounting
and auditing standards and practices promote sound risk management at financial institutions,
support market discipline through transparency, and reinforce the safety and soundness of the
banking system.
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BASEL II ACCORD
Bank capital framework sponsored by the world's central banks designed to promote
uniformity, make regulatory capital more risk sensitive, and promote enhanced risk
management among large, internationally active banking organizations.
The International Capital Accord, as it is called, will be fully effective by January 2008 for
banks active in international markets. Other banks can choose to "opt in," or they can
continue to follow the minimum capital guidelines in the original Basel Accord, finalized in
1988. The revised accord (Basel II) completely overhauls the 1988 Basel Accord and is based
on three mutually supporting concepts, or "pillars," of capital adequacy.
The first of these pillars is an explicitly defined regulatory capital requirement, a minimum
capital-to-asset ratio equal to at least 8% of risk-weighted assets. Second, bank supervisory
agencies, such as the Comptroller of the Currency, have authority to adjust capital levels for
individual banks above the 8% minimum when necessary. The third supporting pillar calls
upon market discipline to supplement reviews by banking agencies.
Basel II is the second of the Basel Accords, which are recommendations on banking laws and
regulations issued by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. The purpose of Basel II,
which was initially published in June 2004, is to create an international standard that banking
regulators can use when creating regulations about how much capital banks need to put aside
to guard against the types of financial and operational risks banks face.
Advocates of Basel II believe that such an international standard can help protect the
international financial system from the types of problems that might arise should a major
bank or a series of banks collapse. In practice, Basel II attempts to accomplish this by setting
up rigorous risk and capital management requirements designed to ensure that a bank holds
capital reserves appropriate to the risk the bank exposes itself to through its lending and
investment practices. Generally speaking, these rules mean that the greater risk to which the
bank is exposed, the greater the amount of capital the bank needs to hold to safeguard its
solvency and overall economic stability.
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The final version aims at:
1. Ensuring that capital allocation is more risk sensitive;
2. Separating operational risk from credit risk, and quantifying both;
3. Attempting to align economic and regulatory capital more closely to reduce the scope for
regulatory arbitrage.
While the final accord has largely addressed the regulatory arbitrage issue, there are still
areas where regulatory capital requirements will diverge from the economic.
Basel II has largely left unchanged the question of how to actually define bank capital, which
diverges from accounting equity in important respects. The Basel I definition, as modified up
to the present, remains in place.
The Accord in operation
Basel II uses a "three pillars" concept –
(1) Minimum capital requirements (addressing risk),
(2) Supervisory review and
(3) Market discipline – to promote greater stability in the financial system.
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The Three Pillars of Basel II
The Basel I accord dealt with only parts of each of these pillars. For example: with respect to
the first Basel II pillar, only one risk, credit risk, was dealt with in a simple manner while
market risk was an afterthought; operational risk was not dealt with at all.
The First Pillar
The first pillar deals with maintenance of regulatory capital calculated for three major
components of risk that a bank faces: credit risk, operational risk and market risk. Other risks
are not considered fully quantifiable at this stage.
The credit risk component can be calculated in three different ways of varying degree of
sophistication, namely standardized approach, Foundation IRB and Advanced IRB. IRB
stands for "Internal Rating-Based Approach".
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For operational risk, there are three different approaches - basic indicator approach or BIA,
standardized approach or TSA, and advanced measurement approach or AMA.
For market risk the preferred approach is VaR (value at risk).
As the Basel 2 recommendations are phased in by the banking industry it will move from
standardised requirements to more refined and specific requirements that have been
developed for each risk category by each individual bank. The upside for banks that do
develop their own bespoke risk measurement systems is that they will be rewarded with
potentially lower risk capital requirements. In future there will be closer links between the
concepts of economic profit and regulatory capital.
Credit Risk can be calculated by using one of three approaches
1. Standardized Approach
2. Foundation IRB (Internal Ratings Based) Approach
3. Advanced IRB Approach
The standardized approach sets out specific risk weights for certain types of credit risk. The
standard risk weight categories are used under Basel 1 and are 0% for short term government
bonds, 20% for exposures to OECD Banks, 50% for residential mortgages and 100%
weighting on commercial loans. A new 150% rating comes in for borrowers with poor credit
ratings. The minimum capital requirement( the percentage of risk weighted assets to be held
as capital) remains at 8%.
For those Banks that decide to adopt the standardized ratings approach they will be forced to
rely on the ratings generated by external agencies. Certain Banks are developing the IRB
approach as a result.
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INTRODUCTION TO THE BANKING REFORMS
In 1991, the Indian economy went through a process of economic liberalization, which was
followed up by the initiation of fundamental reforms in the banking sector in 1992. The
banking reform package was based on the recommendations proposed by the Narsimhan
Committee Report (1991) that advocated a move to a more market oriented banking system,
which would operate in an environment of prudential regulation and transparent accounting.
One of the primary motives behind this drive was to introduce an element of market
discipline into the regulatory process that would reinforce the supervisory effort of the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Market discipline, especially in the financial liberalization
phase, reinforces regulatory and supervisory efforts and provides a strong incentive to banks
to conduct their business in a prudent and efficient manner and to maintain adequate capital
as a cushion against risk exposures. Recognizing that the success of economic reforms was
contingent on the success of financial sector reform as well, the government initiated a
fundamental banking sector reform package in 1992.
Banking sector, the world over, is known for the adoption of multidimensional strategies
from time to time with varying degrees of success. Banks are very important for the smooth
functioning of financial markets as they serve as repositories of vital financial information
and can potentially alleviate the problems created by information asymmetries. From a
central bank’s perspective, such high-quality disclosures help the early detection of problems
faced by banks in the market and reduce the severity of market disruptions. Consequently, the
RBI as part and parcel of the financial sector deregulation, attempted to enhance the
transparency of the annual reports of Indian banks by, among other things, introducing
stricter income recognition and asset classification rules, enhancing the capital adequacy
norms, and by requiring a number of additional disclosures sought by investors to make
better cash flow and risk assessments.
During the pre economic reforms period, commercial banks & development financial
institutions were functioning distinctly, the former specializing in short & medium term
financing, while the latter on long term lending & project financing.
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Commercial banks were accessing short term low cost funds thru savings investments like
current accounts, savings bank accounts & short duration fixed deposits, besides collection
float. Development Financial Institutions (DFIs) on the other hand, were essentially
depending on budget allocations for long term lending at a concessionary rate of interest.
The scenario has changed radically during the post reforms period, with the resolve of the
government not to fund the DFIs through budget allocations. DFIs like IDBI, IFCI & ICICI
had posted dismal financial results. Infact, their very viability has become a question mark.
Now they have taken the route of reverse merger with IDBI bank & ICICI bank thus
converting them into the universal banking system.
MAJOR RECOMMENDATIONS BY THE NARASIMHAM COMMITTEE ON
BANKING SECTOR REFORMS
Strengthening Banking System
Capital adequacy requirements should take into account market risks in addition to the credit
risks.
In the next three years the entire portfolio of government securities should be marked to
market and the schedule for the same announced at the earliest (since announced in the
monetary and credit policy for the first half of 1998-99); government and other approved
securities which are now subject to a zero risk weight, should have a 5 per cent weight for
market risk.
Risk weight on a government guaranteed advance should be the same as for other advances.
This should be made prospective from the time the new prescription is put in place.
Foreign exchange open credit limit risks should be integrated into the calculation of risk
weighted assets and should carry a 100 per cent risk weight.
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Minimum capital to risk assets ratio (CRAR) be increased from the existing 8 per cent to 10
per cent; an intermediate minimum target of 9 per cent be achieved by 2000 and the ratio of
10 per cent by 2002; RBI to be empowered to raise this further for individual banks if the risk
profile warrants such an increase. Individual banks' shortfalls in the CRAR are treated on the
same line as adopted for reserve requirements, viz. uniformity across weak and strong banks.
There should be penal provisions for banks that do not maintain CRAR.
Public Sector Banks in a position to access the capital market at home or abroad be
encouraged, as subscription to bank capital funds cannot be regarded as a priority claim on
budgetary resources.
Asset Quality
An asset is classified as doubtful if it is in the substandard category for 18 months in the first
instance and eventually for 12 months and loss if it has been identified but not written off.
These norms should be regarded as the minimum and brought into force in a phased manner.
For evaluating the quality of assets portfolio, advances covered by Government guarantees,
which have turned sticky, be treated as NPAs. Exclusion of such advances should be
separately shown to facilitate fuller disclosure and greater transparency of operations.
For banks with a high NPA portfolio, two alternative approaches could be adopted. One
approach can be that, all loan assets in the doubtful and loss categories should be identified
and their realisable value determined. These assets could be transferred to an Assets
Reconstruction Company (ARC) which would issue NPA Swap Bonds.
An alternative approach could be to enable the banks in difficulty to issue bonds which could
from part of Tier II capital, backed by government guarantee to make these instruments
eligible for SLR investment by banks and approved instruments by LIC, GIC and Provident
Funds.
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The interest subsidy element in credit for the priority sector should be totally eliminated and
interest rate on loans under Rs. 2 lakhs should be deregulated for scheduled commercial
banks as has been done in the case of Regional Rural Banks and cooperative credit
institutions.
Prudential Norms and Disclosure Requirements
In India, income stops accruing when interest or installment of principal is not paid within
180 days, which should be reduced to 90 days in a phased manner by 2002.
Introduction of a general provision of 1 per cent on standard assets in a phased manner be
considered by RBI.
As an incentive to make specific provisions, they may be made tax deductible.
Systems and Methods in Banks
There should be an independent loan review mechanism especially for large borrowal
accounts and systems to identify potential NPAs. Banks may evolve a filtering mechanism by
stipulating in-house prudential limits beyond which exposures on single/group borrowers are
taken keeping in view their risk profile as revealed through credit rating and other relevant
factors.
Banks and FIs should have a system of recruiting skilled manpower from the open market.
Public sector banks should be given flexibility to determined managerial remuneration levels
taking into account market trends.
There may be need to redefine the scope of external vigilance and investigation agencies with
regard to banking business.
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There is need to develop information and control system in several areas like better tracking
of spreads, costs and NPSs for higher profitability, , accurate and timely information for
strategic decision to Identify and promote profitable products and customers, risk and asset-
liability management; and efficient treasury management.
Structural Issues
With the conversion of activities between banks and DFIs, the DFIs should, over a period of
time convert them to bank. A DFI which converts to bank be given time to face in reserve
equipment in respect of its liability to bring it on par with requirement relating to commercial
bank.
Mergers of Public Sector Banks should emanate from the management of the banks with the
Government as the common shareholder playing a supportive role. Merger should not be seen
as a means of bailing out weak banks. Mergers between strong banks/FIs would make for
greater economic and commercial sense.
‘Weak Banks' may be nurtured into healthy units by slowing down on expansion, eschewing
high cost funds/borrowings etc.
The minimum share of holding by Government/Reserve Bank in the equity of the
nationalised banks and the State Bank should be brought down to 33%. The RBI regulator of
the monetary system should not be also the owner of a bank in view of the potential for
possible conflict of interest.
There is a need for a reform of the deposit insurance scheme based on CAMELs ratings
awarded by RBI to banks.
Inter-bank call and notice money market and inter-bank term money market should be strictly
restricted to banks; only exception to be made is primary dealers.
Non-bank parties are provided free access to bill rediscounts, CPs, CDs, Treasury Bills, and
MMMF.
RBI should totally withdraw from the primary market in 91 days Treasury Bills.
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RECENT CHRONOLOGICAL UPDATES
September 2005
On September 30, 2005, the four US Federal banking agencies (the Office of the Comptroller
of the currency, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the Federal Deposit
Insurance Corporation, and the Office of Thrift Supervision) announced their revised plans for
the U.S. implementation of the Basel II accord. This delays implementation of the accord for
US banks by 12months
November 2005
On November 15, 2005, the committee released a revised version of the Accord, incorporating
changesto the calculations for market risk and the treatment of double default effects. These changes
had been flagged well in advance, as part of a paper released in July 2005
On July 4, 2006, the committee released a comprehensive version of the Accord, incorporating
the June 2004 Basel II Framework, the elements of the 1988 Accord that were not revised
during the Basel II
process, the 1996 Amendment to the Capital Accord to Incorporate Market Risks, and the
November 2005 paper on Basel II: International Convergence of Capital Measurement and
Capital Standards: A Revised Framework. No new elements have been introduced in this
compilation. This version is now the
currentversion.
November 2007
On November 1, 2007, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency(U.S. Department
oftheTreasury) approved a final rule implementing the advanced approaches of the
BaselIICapitalAccord.Thisruleestablishes regulatory and supervisory expectations for credit
risk, through the Internal Ratings Based Approach (IRB), and operational risk, through the
Advanced Measurement Approach (AMA),andarticulates enhanced standards for the
supervisory review of capital adequacy and public disclosures forReserve System; the Federal
Deposit Insurance Corporation; the Office of the Comptroller of the
Currency, and; the Office of Thrift Supervision) issued a final guidance outlining the
supervisory review process for the banking institutions that are implementing the new advanced
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capital adequacy framework (known as Basel II). The final guidance, relating to the
supervisory review, is aimed at helping banking institutions meet certain qualification
requirements in the advanced approaches rule.
January 16, 2009
For public consultation, a series of proposals to enhance the Basel II framework was announced
by the Basel Committee. It releases a consultative package that includes: therevisions to the
BaselII marketrisk framework; the guidelines for computing capital for incremental risk in the
trading book;and the proposed enhancements to the Basel II framework.
July 8-9, 2009
A final package of measures to enhance the three pillars of the Basel II framework and to
strengthen the 1996 rules governing trading book capital was issued by the newly expanded
Basel Committee. These measures include the enhancements to the Basel II framework, the
revisions to the Basel II market-risk framework and the guidelines for computing capital for
incremental risk in the trading .
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TYPES OF LIQUIDITY RISK
Asset liquidity - An asset cannot be sold due to lack of liquidity in the market - essentially a
sub-set of market risk. This can be accounted for by:
• Widening bid/offer spread
• Making explicit liquidity reserves
• Lengthening holding period for VaR calculations
Funding liquidity - Risk that liabilities:
• Cannot be met when they fall due Can only be met at an uneconomic price
• Can be name-specific or systemic
Causes of liquidity risk
Liquidity risk arises from situations in which a party interested in trading an asset cannot do it
because nobody in the market wants to trade that asset. Liquidity risk becomes particularly
important to parties who are about to hold or currently hold an asset, since it affects their
ability to trade.
Manifestation of liquidity risk is very different from a drop of price to zero. In case of a drop
of an asset's price to zero, the market is saying that the asset is worthless. However, if one
party cannot find another party interested in trading the asset, this can potentially be only a
problem of the market participants with finding each other. This is why liquidity risk is
usually found higher in emerging markets or low-volume markets.
Liquidity risk is financial risk due to uncertain liquidity. An institution might lose liquidity if
its credit rating falls, it experiences sudden unexpected cash outflows, or some other event
causes counterparties to avoid trading with or lending to the institution. A firm is also
exposed to liquidity risk if markets on which it depends are subject to loss of liquidity.
Liquidity risk tends to compound other risks. If a trading organization has a position in an
illiquid asset, its limited ability to liquidate that position at short notice will compound its
market risk. Suppose a firm has offsetting cash flows with two different counterparties on a
given day.
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If the counterparty that owes it a payment defaults, the firm will have to raise cash from other
sources to make its payment. Should it be unable to do so, it too will default. Here, liquidity
risk is compounding credit risk.
A position can be hedged against market risk but still entail liquidity risk. This is true in the
above credit risk example—the two payments are offsetting, so they entail credit risk but not
market risk. Another example is the 1993 Metallgesellschaft debacle. Futures contracts were
used to hedge an Over-the-counter finance OTC obligation. It is debatable whether the hedge
was effective from a market risk standpoint, but it was the liquidity crisis caused by
staggering margin calls on the futures that forced Metallgesellschaft to unwind the positions.
Accordingly, liquidity risk has to be managed in addition to market, credit and other risks.Because of its tendency to compound other risks, it is difficult or impossible to isolate
liquidity risk. In all but the most simple of circumstances, comprehensive metrics of liquidity
risk do not exist. Certain techniques of asset-liability management can be applied to assessing
liquidity risk. A simple test for liquidity risk is to look at future net cash flows on a day-by-
day basis. Any day that has a sizeable negative net cash flow is of concern. Such an analysis
can be supplemented with stress testing. Look at net cash flows on a day-to-day basis
assuming that an important counterparty defaults.
Analyses such as these cannot easily take into account contingent cash flows, such as cash
flows from derivatives or mortgage-backed securities. If an organization's cash flows are
largely contingent, liquidity risk may be assessed using some form of scenario analysis. A
general approach using scenario analysis might entail the following high-level steps:
• Construct multiple scenarios for market movements and defaults over a given period
of time
• Assess day-to-day cash flows under each scenario.
Because balance sheets differ so significantly from one organization to the next, there is little
standardization in how such analyses are implemented.
Regulators are primarily concerned about systemic and implications of liquidity risk.
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Measures of liquidity risk:-
Liquidity gap
Culp defines the liquidity gap as the net liquid assets of a firm. The excess value of the firm's
liquid assets over its volatile liabilities. A company with a negative liquidity gap should focus
on their cash balances and possible unexpected changes in their values.
As a static measure of liquidity risk it gives no indication of how the gap would change with
an increase in the firm's marginal funding cost.
Liquidity risk elasticity
Culp denotes the change of net of assets over funded liabilities that occurs when the liquidity
premium on the bank's marginal funding cost rises by a small amount as the liquidity risk
elasticity. For banks this would be measured as a spread over libor, for nonfinancials the LRE
would be measured as a spread over commercial paper rates.
Problems with the use of liquidity risk elasticity are that it assumes parallel changes in
funding spread across all maturities and that it is only accurate for small changes in funding
spreads.
Measures of Asset Liquidity
Bid-offer spread
The bid-offer spread is used by market participants as an asset liquidity measure. To compare
different products the ratio of the spread to the product's mid price can be used. The smaller
the ratio the more liquid the asset is This spread is composed of operational, administrative,
and processing costs as well as the compensation required for the possibility of trading with a
more informed trader .
Hachmeister refers to market depth as the amount of an asset that can be bought and sold at
various bid-ask spreads. Slippage is related to the concept of market depth. Knight and
Satchell mention a flow trader needs to consider the effect of executing a large order on the
market and to adjust the bid-ask spread accordingly. They calculate the liquidity cost as thedifference of the execution price and the initial execution price.
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Immediacy
Immediacy refers to the time needed to successfully trade a certain amount of an asset at a
prescribed cost.
Resilience
Hachmeister identifies the fourth dimension of liquidity as the speed with which prices return
to former levels after a large transaction. Unlike the other measures resilience can only be
determined over a period of
Managing Liquidity Risk
Liquidity-adjusted value at risk
Liquidity-adjusted VAR incorporates exogenous liquidity risk into Value at Risk. It can be
defined at VAR + ELC (Exogenous Liquidity Cost). The ELC is the worst expected half-
spread at a particular confidence level.
Another adjustment is to consider VAR over the period of time needed to liquidate the
portfolio. VAR can be calculated over this time period. The BIS mentions "... a number of
institutions are exploring the use of liquidity adjusted-VAR, in which the holding periods in
the risk assessment are adjusted by the length of time required to unwind positions."
Liquidity at risk
Greenspan (1999) discusses management of foreign exchange reserves. The Liquidity at risk
measure is suggested. A country's liquidity position under a range of possible outcomes for
relevant financial variables (exchange rates, commodity prices, credit spreads, etc.) is
considered. It might be possible to express a standard in terms of the probabilities of different
outcomes. For example, an acceptable debt structure could have an average maturity—
averaged over estimated distributions for relevant financial variables—in excess of a certain
limit. In addition, countries could be expected to hold sufficient liquid reserves to ensure that
they could avoid new borrowing for one year with a certain ex ante probability, such as 95
percent of the time.
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Scenario analysis-based contingency plans
The FDIC discuss liquidity risk management and write "Contingency funding plans should
incorporate events that could rapidly affect an institution’s liquidity, including a sudden
inability to securitize assets, tightening of collateral requirements or other restrictive terms
associated with secured borrowings, or the loss of a large depositor or counterparty.".
Greenspan's liquidity at risk concept is an example of scenario based liquidity risk
management.
Diversification of liquidity providers
If several liquidity providers are on call then if any of those providers increases its costs of
supplying liquidity, the impact of this is reduced. The American Academy of Actuaries wrote
"While a company is in good financial shape, it may wish to establish durable, ever-green
(i.e., always available) liquidity lines of credit. The credit issuer should have an appropriately
high credit rating to increase the chances that the resources will be there when needed."
Derivatives
five derivatives created specifically for hedging liquidity risk.:-
• Withdrawal option: A put of the illiquid underlying at the market price.
• Bermudan-style return put option: Right to put the option at a specified strike.
• Return swap: Swap the underlings’ return for LIBOR paid periodically.
• Return swaption: Option to enter into the return swap.
• Liquidity option: "Knock-in" barrier option, where the barrier is a liquidity metric.
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TRADE FINANCING AND NEW RULES FOR MANAGING LIQUIDITY RISK
Since the outbreak of the credit crisis in mid-2007 many banks have faced serious difficulties
in obtaining liquidity adequate for the ongoing funding of their operations. These difficulties
have led to unprecedented levels of liquidity support from governments and central banks
together with other official intervention such as the arrangement of mergers for weakened or
failing institutions. Moreover the experience of the crisis highlighted the close connections
between banks’ liquidity risks and threats to their solvency (the target of Basel 2), and have
provided the impetus for new international initiatives on standards for banks’ management of
liquidity risk, i.e. the risk that a bank will not be able to meet its obligations as they fall due
(BCBS, 2008 and 2009).
The proposals of these initiatives make explicit reference to instruments of trade finance as a
subject which is to be taken into account as part of the management of liquidity risk.
Although management of liquidity risk is not formally part of Basel 2,acknowledgement of
the connections between liquidity risk and threats to solvency is likely to mean that the new
standards for liquidity risk will form an essential part of the package of revised regulatory
standards for banks being developed by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision to
incorporate the lessons of the crisis. Since theproposals described in this section are still the
subject of a consultation process, their effects in practice cannot yet be the subject of
representations like those concerning the impact of Basel 2 on trade finance. However, like
the rest of the package, the new liquidity standards will eventually be assessed regarding their
impact on the financing of different kinds of economic activity including international trade.
The Basel Committee’s International Framework for Liquidity Risk Measurement,
Standards and Monitoring (BCBS, 2009) defines quantitative measures intended toaid
supervisors “to assess the resilience of banks’ liquidity cushions and constrain
any weakening in liquidity maturity profiles, diversity of funding sources, and stress
testing practices”. These measures are the Liquidity Coverage Ratio and the Net
Stable Funding Ratio.
The Liquidity Coverage Ratio is designed to identify the amount of unencumbered high-
quality liquid assets available to offset the net cash outflows which the bank would encounter
during short-term stress scenarios specified by its supervisors.
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Under the standard the ratio of high quality assets to net cash outflows over a 30- day period
should be at least 100 per cent. Cumulative cash outflows are calculated by multiplying
outstanding balances of different categories of liability by percentages reflecting the expected
run-off over a 30-day horizon, and by multiplying off balance-sheet commitments and other
contingent liabilities by factors reflecting expected rates of draw-down the contingent
liabilities include guarantees, letters of credit and other trade finance instruments. The draw-
down factors for such contingent liabilities are to be determined national supervisors.
The Net Stable Funding Ratio is designed to measure the amount of longer-term, stable
sources of funding in relation to the liquidity profiles of the assets funded and the potential
for liquidity calls due to contingent off-balance-sheet obligations over a one-year time
horizon under conditions of extended stress. Under the standard the ratio of available stable
funding to required stable funding should be at least 100 per cent.
A bank’s available stable funding includes its capital, preferred stock with a maturity of at
least one year, other liabilities with effective maturities of at least one year, and the portion of
other shorter-term deposits which would be expected to stay with the institution during
extended stress scenarios. Each category of stable funding is multiplied by a factor reflecting
its degree of stability, equity capital, for example, being multiplied by 100 per cent and
unsecured wholesale funding by 50 percent. Required stable funding (RSF) is measured on
the basis of supervisory assumptions, reflected in RSF factors, concerning the liquidity risk of
the bank’s assets, off balance-sheet exposures and certain other commitments including
guarantees, letters of credit and other trade finance instruments. The RSF factors assigned to
different categories of asset approximate the amount of the asset which could not be
monetised through sale or use as collateral in a secured borrowing during a period of liquidity
stress lasting a year. Off-balance-sheet exposures and other contingent liabilities generally
require little immediate funding but can lead to significant drains of liquidity during periods
of stress. The requirement of an RSF factor for such exposures would involve the
establishment of an allocated reserve. For the contingent liabilities due to trade finance the
RSF factors are to be left to national supervisory discretion.
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Management of banks’ balance sheets in accordance with the new standards for liquidity risk
will involve estimates of expected net cash outflows and of required amounts of stable
funding due to contingent liabilities linked to trade finance. The impact on trade finance will
depend on the changes from existing practices which follow from eventual introduction of the
Liquidity Coverage Ration and the Net Stable Funding Ratio. The details of the proposed
changes are currently left by the Basel Committee to national supervisory discretion. This has
the advantage of providing for flexibility which can take into account variations in national
circumstances and in policy objectives.
BASEL II LIQUIDITY RISK
Basel II Compliance - From The Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
The Working Group on Liquidity serves as a forum for information exchange on national
approaches to liquidity risk regulation and supervision. It is currently conducting a
fundamental review of the 2000 document Sound Practices for Managing Liquidity in
Banking Organisations, the global standards for liquidity risk management and supervision.
The Working Group is also examining the scope for additional steps to promote more robust
and internationally consistent liquidity approaches for cross-border banks. Liquidity is the
ability of a bank to fund increases in assets and meet obligations as they come due, without
incurring unacceptable losses. The fundamental role of banks in the maturity transformation
of short-term deposits into long-term loans makes banks inherently vulnerable to liquidity
risk, both of an institution-specific nature and that which affects markets as a whole.
Virtually every financial transaction or commitment has implications for a bank’s liquidity.
Effective liquidity risk management helps ensure a bank's ability to meet cash flow
obligations, which are uncertain as they are affected by external events and other agents'
behaviour.
Liquidit risk management is of paramount importance because a liquidity shortfall at a single
institution can have system-wide repercussions. Financial market developments in the past
decade have increased the complexity of liquidity risk and its management.
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The market turmoil that began in mid-2007 re-emphasised the importance of liquidity to the
functioning of financial markets and the banking sector. In advance of the turmoil, asset
markets were buoyant and funding was readily available at low cost. The reversal in market
conditions illustrated how quickly liquidity can evaporate and that illiquidity can last for an
extended period of time.
The banking system came under severe stress, which necessitated central bank action to
support both the functioning of money markets and, in a few cases, individual institutions.
In February 2008 the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision published Liquidity Risk
Management and Supervisory Challenges. The difficulties outlined in that paper highlighted
that many banks had failed to take account of a number of basic principles of liquidity risk
management when liquidity was plentiful.
Many of the most exposed banks did not have an adequate framework that satisfactorily
accounted for the liquidity risks posed by individual products and business lines, and
therefore incentives at the business level were misaligned with the overall risk tolerance of
the bank.
Many banks had not considered the amount of liquidity they might need to satisfy contingent
obligations, either contractual or non-contractual, as they viewed funding of these obligations
to be highly unlikely.
Many firms viewed severe and prolonged liquidity disruptions as implausible and did not
conduct stress tests that factored in the possibility of market wide strain or the severity or
duration of the disruptions. Contingency funding plans (CFPs) were not always appropriately
linked to stress test results and sometimes failed to take account of the potential closure of
some funding sources.
In order to account for financial market developments as well as lessons learned from the
turmoil, the Basel Committee has conducted a fundamental review of its 2000 Sound
Practices for Managing Liquidity in Banking Organisations.
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Guidance has been significantly expanded in a number of key areas. In particular, more
detailed guidance is provided on:-
• The importance of establishing a liquidity risk tolerance;
• The maintenance of an adequate level of liquidity, including through a
cushion of liquid assets;
• The necessity of allocating liquidity costs, benefits and risks to all significant
business activities;
• The identification and measurement of the full range of liquidity risks,
including contingent liquidity risks;
• The design and use of severe stress test scenarios;
• The need for a robust and operational contingency funding plan;
• The management of intraday liquidity risk and collateral; and
• Public disclosure in promoting market discipline.
Guidance for supervisors also has been augmented substantially. The guidance emphasises
the importance of supervisors assessing the adequacy of a bank’s liquidity risk management
framework and its level of liquidity, and suggests steps that supervisors should take if these
are deemed inadequate.
The principles also stress the importance of effective cooperation between supervisors and
other key stakeholders, such as central banks, especially in times of stress. This guidance
focuses on liquidity risk management at medium and large complex banks, but the sound
principles have broad applicability to all types of banks.
The implementation of the sound principles by both banks and supervisors should be tailored
to the size, nature of business and complexity of a bank’s activities. A bank and its
supervisors also should consider the bank’s role in the financial sectors of the jurisdictions in
which it operates and the bank’s systemic importance in those financial sectors.
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The Basel Committee fully expects banks and national supervisors to implement the revised
principles promptly and thoroughly. This guidance is arranged around seventeen principles
for managing and supervising liquidity risk. These principles are as follows: -
Principles for the management and supervision of liquidity risk
Fundamental principle for the management and supervision of liquidity risk
Principle 1: A bank is responsible for the sound management of liquidity risk. A bank should
establish a robust liquidity risk management framework that ensures it maintains sufficient
liquidity, including a cushion of unencumbered, high quality liquid assets, to withstand a
range of stress events, including those involving the loss or impairment of both unsecured
and secured funding sources.
Supervisors should assess the adequacy of both a bank's liquidity risk management
framework and its liquidity position and should take prompt action if a bank is deficient in
either area in order to protect depositors and to limit potential damage to the financial system.
GOVERNANCE OF LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT
Principle: A bank should clearly articulate a liquidity risk tolerance that is appropriate for its
business strategy and its role in the financial system.
Principle: Senior management should develop a strategy, policies and practices to manage
liquidity risk in accordance with the risk tolerance and to ensure that the bank maintains
sufficient liquidity. Senior management should continuously review information on the
bank’s liquidity developments and report to the board of directors on a regular basis.
A bank’s board of directors should review and approve the strategy, policies and practices
related to the management of liquidity at least annually and ensure that senior management
manages liquidity risk effectively.
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Principle: A bank should incorporate liquidity costs, benefits and risks in the product
pricing, performance measurement and new product approval process for all significant
business activities (both on- and off-balance sheet), thereby aligning the risk-taking
incentives of individual business lines with the liquidity risk exposures their activities create
for the bank as a whole.
Measurement and management of liquidity risk
Principle: A bank should have a sound process for identifying, measuring, monitoring and
controlling liquidity risk. This process should include a robust framework for
comprehensively projecting cash flows arising from assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet
items over an appropriate set of time horizons.
Principle: A bank should actively manage liquidity risk exposures and funding needs within
and across legal entities, business lines and currencies, taking into account legal, regulatory
and operational limitations to the transferability of liquidity.
Principle: A bank should establish a funding strategy that provides effective diversification
in the sources and tenor of funding. It should maintain an ongoing presence in its chosen
funding markets and strong relationships with funds providers to promote effective
diversification of funding sources.
A bank should regularly gauge its capacity to raise funds quickly from each source. It should
identify the main factors that affect its ability to raise funds and monitor those factors closely
to ensure that estimates of fund raising capacity remain valid.
Principle: A bank should actively manage its intraday liquidity positions and risks to meet
payment and settlement obligations on a timely basis under both normal and stressed
conditions and thus contribute to the smooth functioning of payment and settlement systems.
Principle: A bank should actively manage its collateral positions, differentiating between
encumbered and unencumbered assets. A bank should monitor the legal entity and physical
location where collateral is held and how it may be mobilised in a timely manner.
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Principle: A bank should conduct stress tests on a regular basis for a variety of institution-
specific and market-wide stress scenarios (individually and in combination) to identify
sources of potential liquidity strain and to ensure that current exposures remain in accordance
with a bank’s established liquidity risk tolerance. A bank should use stress test outcomes to
adjust its liquidity risk management strategies, policies, and positions and to develop
effective contingency plans.
Principle: A bank should have a formal contingency funding plan (CFP) that clearly sets out
the strategies for addressing liquidity shortfalls in emergency situations.
A CFP should outline policies to manage a range of stress environments, establish clear lines
of responsibility, include clear invocation and escalation procedures and be regularly testedand updated to ensure that it is operationally robust.
Principle: A bank should maintain a cushion of unencumbered, high quality liquid assets to
be held as insurance against a range of liquidity stress scenarios, including those that involve
the loss or impairment of unsecured and typically available secured funding sources.
There should be no legal, regulatory or operational impediment to using these assets to obtain
funding.
Public disclosure
Principle: A bank should publicly disclose information on a regular basis that enables market
participants to make an informed judgement about the soundness of its liquidity risk
management framework and liquidity position.
The role of supervisors
Principle: Supervisors should regularly perform a comprehensive assessment of a bank’s
overall liquidity risk management framework and liquidity position to determine whether
they deliver an adequate level of resilience to liquidity stress given the bank’s role in the
financial system.
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Principle: Supervisors should supplement their regular assessments of a bank’s liquidity risk
management framework and liquidity position by monitoring a combination of internal
reports, prudential reports and market information.
Principle: Supervisors should intervene to require effective and timely remedial action by a
bank to address deficiencies in its liquidity risk management processes or liquidity position.
Principle: Supervisors should communicate with other supervisors and public authorities,
such as central banks, both within and across national borders, to facilitate effective
cooperation regarding the supervision and oversight of liquidity risk management.
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The CAMELS FRAMEWORK
This rating system is used by the three federal banking supervisors (the Federal Reserve, the
FDIC, and the OCC) and other financial supervisory agencies to provide a convenient
summary of bank conditions at the time of an exam
The acronym "CAMEL" refers to the five components of a bank's condition that are assessed:
C apital adequacy, Asset quality, M anagement, E arnings, and Liquidity. A sixth component, a
bank's S ensitivity to market risk , was added in 1997; hence the acronym was changed to
CAMELS. (Note that the bulk of the academic literature is based on pre-1997 data and is thus
based on CAMEL ratings.) Ratings are assigned for each component in addition to the overall
rating of a bank's financial condition. The ratings are assigned on a scale from 1 to 5. Banks
with ratings of 1 or 2 are considered to present few, if any, supervisory concerns, while banks
with ratings of 3, 4, or 5 present moderate to extreme degrees of supervisory concern.
In 1994, the RBI established the Board of Financial Supervision (BFS), which operates as a
unit of the RBI. The entire supervisory mechanism was realigned to suit the changing needs
of a strong and stable financial system. The supervisory jurisdiction of the BFS was slowly
extended to the entire financial system barring the capital market institutions and the
insurance sector. Its mandate is to strengthen supervision of the financial system by
integrating oversight of the activities of financial services firms. The BFS has also established
a sub-committee to routinely examine auditing practices, quality, and coverage.
In addition to the normal on-site inspections, Reserve Bank of India also conducts off-site
surveillance which particularly focuses on the risk profile of the supervised entity. The Off-
site Monitoring and Surveillance System (OSMOS) was introduced in 1995 as an additional
tool for supervision of commercial banks. It was introduced with the aim to supplement the
on-site inspections. Under off-site system, 12 returns (called DSB returns) are called from the
financial institutions, wich focus on supervisory concerns such as capital adequacy, asset
quality, large credits and concentrations, connected lending, earnings and risk exposures (viz.
currency, liquidity and interest rate risks).
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In 1995, RBI had set up a working group under the chairmanship of Shri S. Padmanabhan to
review the banking supervision system. The Committee certain recommendations and based
on such suggetions a rating system for domestic and foreign banks based on the international
CAMELS model combining financial management and systems and control elements was
introduced for the inspection cycle commencing from July 1998. It recommended that the
banks should be rated on a five point scale (A to E) based on the lines of international
CAMELS rating model.
All exam materials are highly confidential, including the CAMELS. A bank's CAMELS
rating is directly known only by the bank's senior management and the appropriate
supervisory staff. CAMELS ratings are never released by supervisory agencies, even on a
lagged basis. While exam results are confidential, the public may infer such supervisory
information on bank conditions based on subsequent bank actions or specific disclosures.
Overall, the private supervisory information gathered during a bank exam is not disclosed to
the public by supervisors, although studies show that it does filter into the financial markets.
A Capital Adquecy Ratio is a measure of a bank's capital. It is expressed as a percentage
of a bank's risk weighted credit exposures.
(A) Also known as ""Capital to Risk Weighted Assets Ratio (CRAR).
Capital adequacy is measured by the ratio of capital to risk-weighted assets (CRAR). A
sound capital base strengthens confidence of depositors.
(B) This ratio is used to protect depositors and promote the stability and efficiency of
financial systems around the world.
(C) Capital adequacy ultimately determines how well financial institutions can cope with
shocks to their balance sheets. Thus, it is useful to track capital-adequacy ratios that take
into account the most important financial risks—foreign exchange, credit, and interest
rate risks—by assigning risk weightings to the institution’s assets.
Asset Quality Asset quality determines the robustness of financial institutions against loss of
value in the assets. The deteriorating value of assets, being prime source of banking
problems, directly pour into other areas, as losses are eventually written-off against capital,
which ultimately NPA: Non-Performing Assets
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Advances are classified into performing and non-performing advances (NPAs) as per RBI
guidelines. NPAs are further classified into sub-standard, doubtful and loss assets based on
the criteria stipulated by RBI. An asset, including a leased asset, becomes non-performing
when it ceases to generate income for the Bank.
An NPA is a loan or an advance where:
1. Interest and/or installment of principal remains overdue for a period of more than 90
days in respect of a term loan;
2. The account remains "out-of-order'' in respect of an Overdraft or Cash Credit (OD/CC);
3. The bill remains overdue for a period of more than 90 days in case of bills purchased
and discounted;
4. A loan granted for short duration crops will be treated as an NPA if the installments of
principal or interest thereon remain overdue for two crop seasons; and
5. A loan granted for long duration crops will be treated as an NPA if the installments of
principal or interest thereon remain overdue for one crop season.
Jeopardizes the earning capacity of the institution.
B) Management Soundness
Management of financial institution is generally evaluated in terms of capital adequacy, asset
quality, earnings and profitability, liquidity and risk sensitivity ratings. In addition,
performance evaluation includes compliance with set norms, ability to plan and react to
changing circumstances, technical competence, leadership and administrative ability. In
effect, management rating is just an amalgam of performance in the above-mentioned areas.
Efficiency Ratios demonstrate how efficiently the company uses its assets and how
efficiently the company manages its operations.
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C) Earnings & Profitability
Earnings and profitability, the prime source of increase in capital base, is examined with
regards to interest rate policies and adequacy of provisioning. In addition, it also helps to
support present and future operations of the institutions. The single best indicator used to
gauge earning is the Return on Assets (ROA), which is net income after taxes to total asset
ratio.
ROA tells what earnings were generated from invested capital (assets). ROA for public
companies can vary substantially and will be highly dependent on the industry. This is why
when using ROA as a comparative measure, it is best to compare it against a
company's previous ROA numbers or the ROA of a similar company.
D)Liquidity
An adequate liquidity position refers to a situation, where institution can obtain sufficient
funds, either by increasing liabilities or by converting its assets quickly at a reasonable cost.
It is, therefore, generally assessed in terms of overall assets and liability management, as
mismatching gives rise to liquidity risk. Efficient fund management refers to a situation
where a spread between rate sensitive assets (RSA) and rate sensitive liabilities (RSL) is
maintained. The most commonly used tool to evaluate interest rate exposure is the Gap
between RSA and RSL, while liquidity is gauged by liquid to total asset ratio.
Initially solvent financial institutions may be driven toward closure by poor management of
short-term liquidity. Indicators should cover funding sources and capture large maturity
mismatches.
The term liquidity is used in various ways, all relating to availability of, access to, or
convertibility into cash.
An institution is said to have liquidity if it can easily meet its needs for cash either because it
has cash on hand or can otherwise raise or borrow cash.
A market is said to be liquid if the instruments it trades can easily be bought or sold in
quantity with little impact on market prices.
An asset is said to be liquid if the market for that asset is liquid.
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The common theme in all three contexts is cash. A corporation is liquid if it has ready access
to cash. A market is liquid if participants can easily convert positions into cash—or
conversely. An asset is liquid if it can easily be converted to cash.
The liquidity of an institution depends on:
The institution's short-term need for cash;
Cash on hand;
Available lines of credit;
The liquidity of the institution's assets;
The institution's reputation in the marketplace—how willing will counterparty is to transact
trades with or lend to the institution?
The liquidity of a market is often measured as the size of its bid-ask spread, but this is an
imperfect metric at best. More generally, Kyle (1985) identifies three components of market
liquidity:
Tightness is the bid-ask spread;
Depth is the volume of transactions necessary to move prices;
Resiliency is the speed with which prices return to equilibrium following a large trade.
Examples of assets that tend to be liquid include foreign exchange; stocks traded in the Stock
Exchange or recently issued Treasury bonds. Assets that are often illiquid include limited
partnerships, thinly traded bonds or real estate.
Cash maintained by the banks and balances with central bank, to total asset ratio (LQD) is an
indicator of bank's liquidity. In general, banks with a larger volume of liquid assets are
perceived safe, since these assets would allow banks to meet unexpected withdrawals.
Liquidity risk is financial risk due to uncertain liquidity. An institution might lose liquidity if
its credit rating falls, it experiences sudden unexpected cash outflows, or some other event
causes counterparties to avoid trading with or lending to the institution. A firm is also
exposed to liquidity risk if markets on which it depends are subject to loss of
liquidity.
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Liquidity risk tends to compound other risks. If a trading organization has a position in an
illiquid asset, its limited ability to liquidate that position at short notice will compound its
market risk. Suppose a firm has offsetting cash flows with two different counterparties on a
given day. If the counterparty that owes it a payment defaults, the firm will have to raise cash
from other sources to make its payment. Should it be unable to do so, it too we default. Here,
liquidity risk is compounding credit risk.
Accordingly, liquidity risk has to be managed in addition to market, credit and other risks.
Because of its tendency to compound other risks, it is difficult or impossible to isolate
liquidity risk. In all but the most simple of circumstances, comprehensive metrics of liquidity
risk don't exist. Certain techniques of asset-liability management can be applied to assessing
liquidity risk. If an organization's cash flows are largely contingent, liquidity risk may be
assessed using some form of scenario analysis. Construct multiple scenarios for market
movements and defaults over a given period of time. Assess day-to-day cash flows under
each scenario. Because balance sheets differed so significantly from one organization to the
next, there is little standardization in how such analyses are implemented.
Regulators are primarily concerned about systemic implications of liquidity risk.
Business activities entail a variety of risks. For convenience, we distinguish between different
categories of risk: market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, etc. Although such categorization is
convenient, it is only informal. Usage and definitions vary. Boundaries between categories
are blurred. A loss due to widening credit spreads may reasonably be called a market loss or a
credit loss, so market risk and credit risk overlap. Liquidity risk compounds other risks, such
as market risk and credit risk. It cannot be divorced from the risks it compounds.
An important but somewhat ambiguous distinguish is that between market risk and business
risk. Market risk is exposure to the uncertain market value of a portfolio. Business risk is
exposure to uncertainty in economic value that cannot be marked-to-market. The distinction
between market risk and business risk parallels the distinction between market-value
accounting and book-value accounting.
The distinction between market risk and business risk is ambiguous because there is a vast
"gray zone" between the two. There are many instruments for which markets exist, but the
markets are illiquid. Mark-to-market values are not usually available, but mark-to-model
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values provide a more-or-less accurate reflection of fair value. Do these instruments pose
business risk or market risk? The decision is important because firms employ fundamentally
different techniques for managing the two risks.
Business risk is managed with a long-term focus. Techniques include the careful
development of business plans and appropriate management oversight. book-value
accounting is generally used, so the issue of day-to-day performance is not material. The
focus is on achieving a good return on investment over an extended horizon.
Market risk is managed with a short-term focus. Long-term losses are avoided by avoiding
losses from one day to the next. On a tactical level, traders and portfolio managers employ a
variety of risk metrics —duration and convexity, the Greeks, beta, etc.—to assess their
exposures. These allow them to identify and reduce any exposures they might consider
excessive. On a more strategic level, organizations manage market risk by applying risk
limits to traders' or portfolio managers' activities. Increasingly, value-at-risk is being used to
define and monitor these limits. Some organizations also apply stress testing to their
portfolios.
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RESERCH METHODOLOGY
DESIGN OF THE STUDY
STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
In the recent years the financial system especially the banks have undergone numerous
changes in the form of reforms, regulations & norms. CAMELS framework for the
performance evaluation of banks is an addition to this. The study is conducted to analyze the
pros & cons of this model.
OBJECTIVES OF STUDY
To do an in-depth analysis of the model .
To analyze 3 banks to get the desired results by using CAMELS as a tool of measuring
performance.
RESEARCH PROPOSAL
The Bank after the implementation of the balanced scorecard in 2002 has under gone a
drastic change. Both its peoples and process perspectives have changed visibly and the
employees have full faith in the new strategy to produce quick results and keep them ahead in
the industry. The balanced scorecard approach has brought about more role clarity in the job
profile and has improved processes. In short it focuses not only on short term goals but is
very clear about its way to achieve the long term goal.
SCOPE OF THE RESEARCH
“To study the strength of using CAMELS framework as a tool of performance evaluation for
banking institutions.”
1. Type of research: Descriptive
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METHODOLOGY
i) AREA OF SURVEY:
The survey was done for banks. The study environment was the Banking industry.
ii) DATA SOURCE:
Primary Data: Primary data was collected from the company balance sheets and company
profit and loss statements.
Secondary Data: Secondary data on the subject was collected from ICFAI journals, company
prospectus, company annual reports and IMF websites.
iii) SAMPLING TECHNIQUE :
Convenience sampling: Convenience sampling was done for the selection of the banks.
iv) PLAN OF ANALYSIS:
The data analysis of the information got from the balance sheets was done and ratios were
used. Graph and charts were used to illustrate trends.
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ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION
Now each parameter will be taken separately & discussed in detail.
(A) CAPITAL ADEQUACY:
Capital adequacy ratio is defined as
where Risk can either be weighted assets ( ) or the respective national regulator's minimum
total capital requirement. If using risk weighted assets,
≥ 8%.
The percent threshold (8% in this case, a common requirement for regulators conforming to
the Basel Accords) is set by the national banking regulator.
Two types of capital are measured: tier one capital, which can absorb losses without a bank
being required to cease trading, and tier two capital, which can absorb losses in the event of a
winding-up and so provides a lesser degree of protection to depositors.
THE CAPITAL ADEQUACY RATIO FOR 3 MAJOR BANKS IN INDIA
Particulars 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
ICICI Bank 10.36% 11.78% 13.35% 11.69% 13.97%HDFC Bank 11.66% 12.16% 11.40% 13.08% 13.73%
AXIS Bank 11.21% 12.66% 11.08% 11.57% 13.99%
Table No.1
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Graph No.1
INTERPRETATIONS:-
Reserve Bank of India prescribes Banks to maintain a minimum Capital to risk-weighted
Assets Ratio (CRAR) of 9 percent with regard to credit risk, market risk and operational risk
on an ongoing basis, as against 8 percent prescribed in Basel Documents. Capital adequacy
ratio of the ICICI Bank, was well above the industry average of 13.97% t.CAR of HDFC
bank is below the ratio of ICICI bank. HDFC Bank’s total Capital Adequacy stood at 13.6%
as of March 31, 2008. The Bank adopted the Basel 2 framework as of March 31, 2009 and
the CAR computed as per Basel 2 guidelines stands higher against the regulatory minimum of
9.0%.And the capital adequacy ratio of Axis bank is the highest among the three banks and it
is above the industry average, which shows the improvement from the last 5 years. Higher the
ratio the banks are in a comfortable position to absorb losses.
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(B) ASSET QUALITY:
TABLES SHOWING THE NPA OF 3 MAJOR BANKS IN INDIA
Gross NPA
Particulars March,08 March,07 March,06 March,05 March,04
ICICI Bank 1.43% 1.40% 1.45% 1.72% 1.89%
HDFC Bank 3.01% 1.95% 1.14% 2.87% 4.69%
AXIS Bank .83% 1.14% 1.69% 1.99% 2.93%
Table No.2
Graph No.2
Net NPA
Particulars March, 08 March, 07 March, 06 March, 05 March, 04
ICICI Bank 1.39% .94% .67% 1.56% 2.19%
HDFC Bank .47% .43% .44% .24% .16%
AXIS Bank .42% .72% .99% 1.39% 1.20%
Table No.3
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Graph No.3
INTERPRETATIONS:
Above ratios show the highest NPA of ICICI bank from the last 5 years among the 3 banks.
HDFC Bank’s asset quality is the best in the Indian banking sector despite the bank
sustaining aggressive growth for the past several quarters. The bank has maintained its net
NPAs at 0.47% as at end FY08. It has continued to make general provisions and holds
specific general provisions on its standard customer assets that are higher than regulatory
requirements. Axis bank is also approaching to this level.
( C ) MANAGEMENT SOUNDNESS
Asset Turnover Ratio
Particulars 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
ICICI Bank 2.26% 2.14% 2.94% 4.52% 5.61%
HDFC Bank 2.80% 2.89% 3.50% 4.33% 5.18%
AXIS Bank 3.56% 3.01% 4.00% 4.97% 6.32%
Table No.4
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Graph No.4
INTERPRETATION:
Asset turnover measures a firm's efficiency at using its assets in generating sales or revenue -
the higher the number the better. From the above information,it is clear that the asset turnover
ratio of axis bank is increasing every year and highest comparing with the ICICI and HDFC
bank in 2008.It shows the bank’s efficiency in using its assets to generate high revenue .
(D) EARNINGS & PROFITABILITY
The ratio that is used for the profitability for the 3 banks are as follows:
ROA-Return On Assets
Particulars 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
ICICI Bank 1.32% 1.17% 1.05% 0.78% 0.71%
HDFC Bank 1.40% 1.42% 1.41% 1.40% 1.42%
Axis Bank 1.27% 1.08% 1.11% 1.06% 1.16%
Table No.5
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Graph No.5
INTERPRETATIONS:
A measure of a company's profitability, equal to a fiscal year's earnings divided by its total
assets, expressed as a percentage. The above table shows the highest ratio of HDFC Bank for
the last 5 years.ROA of ICICI bank is falling every year .And Axis Bank has maintained
almost the same level of the ratio for the last 5 years.
(E) LIQUIDITY:
Credit Deposit Ratio
Banks 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
ICICI Bank 97.38% 89.17% 87.59% 83.83% 84.99%
HDFC Bank 55.89% 64.87% 65.79% 66.08% 65.28%
Axis Bank 43.63% 47.40% 52.79% 59.85% 65.94%
Table No.6
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Graph No.6
INTERPREATIONS:
Credit deposit ratio is a tool used to study the liquidity position of the bank. A high ratio
shows that there is more amounts of liquid cash with the bank to met its clients cash
withdrawals. We can find from the above table, ICICI bank has maintained high ratio during
the period of study. But the AXIS Bank has maintained a least ratio during all years of study.
HDFC Bank has maintained the CDR ratio lower than ICICI but higher than Axis bank.But in
2008 CDR of Axis bank was more than HDFC bank.
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FINDINGS
Sensitivity to Market Risks:
All banks have ventured into many financial areas and are in the league of Universal
Banking. They have also become sensitive to customer needs.
Capital adequacy:
The capital adequacy ratio of all the three banks is above the minimum requirements and
above the industry average.
Assets:
HDFC Bank has maintained a standard for the NPA’s in the period of 2004-2008. AXIS hasshown remarkable decrease in NPA’s in the same period. But the NPA of ICICI bank is
increasing every year.
Management:
Professional approach that has been adopted by the banks in the recent past is in right
direction & also it is the right decision.
Earnings:
HDFC has shown a good growth record for its ROA. But ICICI Bank has gone down in its
performance with negative growth. AXIS’s performance has been average.
Liquidity:
Banks should maintain quality securities with good liquidity to meet contingencies. ICICI
Bank is fulfilling this requirement by maintaining highest credit deposit ratio.
Sensitivity to Market Risks:
All banks have ventured into many financial areas and are in the league of Universal
Banking. They have also become sensitive to customer needs.
Sensitivity to Market Risks:
All banks have ventured into many financial areas and are in the league of Universal
Banking. They have also become sensitive to customer needs.
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RECOMMENDATIONS
1) The banks should adapt themselves quickly to the changing norms.
2) The system is getting internationally standardized with the coming of BASELL II accords so
the Indian banks should strengthen internal processes so as to cope with the standards.
3) The banks should maintain a 0% NPA by always lending and investing or creating quality
assets which earn returns by way of interest and profits.
4) The banks should find more avenues to hedge risks as the market is very sensitive to risk of
any type.
5) Have good appraisal skills, system, and proper follow up to ensure that banks are above the
risk.
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SUGGESTIONS
Research on banking with respect to BASEL 2 are best suited for the use of the CAMELS
Framework.
Research on how other variables can be added or how variables can be selected to suit the
industry needs.
Research on why the CAMELS Framework can not be used as a tool of performance
evaluation.
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LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
1) Time and resource constrains.
2) The method discussed pertains only to banks though it can be used for performance
evaluation of other financial institutions.
3) The study was completely done on the basis of ratios calculated from the balance sheets.
4) It has not been possible to get a personal interview with the top management employees
of all banks under study.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
http://www.basel2implementation.com/pillars.htm
"http://www.wikinvest.com/wiki/CAPITAL_ADEQUACY_RATIO
http://www.allbankingsolutions.com/camels.htm
http://www.shkfd.com.hk/glossary/eng/RA.htm
Icfai journal