April poll of support for Greenlight Pinellas

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Transcript of April poll of support for Greenlight Pinellas

Page 1: April poll of support for Greenlight Pinellas

8601 4th St. N., Suite 304St. Petersburg, FL 33702

Phone: (727) 245-1962Fax: (727) 577-7470

Email: [email protected] Website: www.stpetepolls.org

Matt Florell, President

Subject: Greenlight Pinellas, Pinellas County Florida General Election survey conducted for SaintPetersBlog.com

Date: April 8, 2014

Executive Summary:

This poll of 874 Pinellas County Florida registered voters was conducted on Tuesday April 8, 2014. This poll used the registered voter lists supplied by the state of Florida as of March 19, 2014. The sample of voters that were called included random samples of registered voters within the boundaries of Pinellas County Florida.

The issues surveyed included questions related to the November 2014 general election, including the Greenlight Pinellas transit referendum.

Methodology:

The poll was conducted by an automated phone call polling system. The results were then weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the demographics of the registered voter population for Pinellas County Florida. The demographics used were: political party, race, age and gender.

The voters polled were chosen at random within the registered voter population within Pinellas County Florida. Only respondents that stated that they were planning to vote in the November general election were included in the results.

The scientific results shown for the questions below have their sample size and Margin of Error shown next to the results.

© 2014 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962 website: www.stpetepolls.org

Page 2: April poll of support for Greenlight Pinellas

Summary of Scientific Results:

Do you plan to vote Yes to approve the Greenlight Pinellas transit referendum and sales tax increase on the ballot in November?

Responses: 874 Margin of Error 3.3% at a 95% confidence level Yes: 29.3% No: 47.6% Unsure: 23.1%

Would you favor the referendum if the sales tax increase was smaller and the funding only went toward buses with no rail provision?

Responses: 874 Margin of Error 3.3% at a 95% confidence level Yes: 23.0% No: 51.5% Unsure: 25.6%

Page 3: April poll of support for Greenlight Pinellas

Detailed Results with Demographic Breakdowns for Each Question:

Do you plan to vote Yes to approve the Greenlight Pinellas transit referendum and sales tax increase on the ballot in November?

Responses: 874 Margin of Error 3.3% at a 95% confidence level Yes: 29.3% No: 47.6% Unsure: 23.1%

Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:

Yes: 29.6% No: 47.6% Unsure: 22.8%

Political Party Breakdown: Democratic Party 365 responses Yes: 43.6% No: 34.5% Unsure: 21.9%

Republican Party 349 responses Yes: 18.1% No: 61.0% Unsure: 20.9%

Independent Voter 160 responses Yes: 23.1% No: 48.1% Unsure: 28.7%

Race Breakdown: White, Not Hispanic 728 responses Yes: 29.8% No: 49.7% Unsure: 20.5%

Black, Not Hispanic 94 responses Yes: 33.0% No: 30.9% Unsure: 36.2%

Asian or Pacific Islander 13 responses Yes: 15.4% No: 53.8% Unsure: 30.8%

Hispanic 19 responses Yes: 21.1% No: 47.4% Unsure: 31.6%

Other or Unknown 20 responses Yes: 25.0% No: 45.0% Unsure: 30.0%

Gender Breakdown: Male 395 responses Yes: 27.3% No: 52.9% Unsure: 19.7%

Female 479 responses Yes: 31.5% No: 43.2% Unsure: 25.3%

Age Breakdown: 18 to 29 90 responses Yes: 28.9% No: 40.0% Unsure: 31.1%

30 to 49 209 responses Yes: 30.1% No: 48.8% Unsure: 21.1%

50 to 69 368 responses Yes: 29.1% No: 50.0% Unsure: 20.9%

70 and up 207 responses Yes: 30.4% No: 45.4% Unsure: 24.2%

© 2014 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) 245-1962 website: www.stpetepolls.org

Page 4: April poll of support for Greenlight Pinellas

Would you favor the referendum if the sales tax increase was smaller and the funding only went toward buses with no rail provision?

Responses: 874 Margin of Error 3.3% at a 95% confidence level Yes: 23.0% No: 51.5% Unsure: 25.6%

Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:

Yes: 23.3% No: 51.3% Unsure: 25.4%

Political Party Breakdown: Democratic Party 365 responses Yes: 24.7% No: 49.6% Unsure: 25.8%

Republican Party 349 responses Yes: 23.2% No: 52.7% Unsure: 24.1%

Independent Voter 160 responses Yes: 20.6% No: 51.9% Unsure: 27.5%

Race Breakdown: White, Not Hispanic 728 responses Yes: 23.2% No: 53.7% Unsure: 23.1%

Black, Not Hispanic 94 responses Yes: 28.7% No: 31.9% Unsure: 39.4%

Asian or Pacific Islander 13 responses Yes: 23.1% No: 53.8% Unsure: 23.1%

Hispanic 19 responses Yes: 10.5% No: 63.2% Unsure: 26.3%

Other or Unknown 20 responses Yes: 15.0% No: 40.0% Unsure: 45.0%

Gender Breakdown: Male 395 responses Yes: 24.3% No: 55.4% Unsure: 20.3%

Female 479 responses Yes: 22.5% No: 47.8% Unsure: 29.6%

Age Breakdown: 18 to 29 90 responses Yes: 18.9% No: 48.9% Unsure: 32.2%

30 to 49 209 responses Yes: 19.1% No: 56.0% Unsure: 24.9%

50 to 69 368 responses Yes: 25.5% No: 51.1% Unsure: 23.4%

70 and up 207 responses Yes: 25.6% No: 47.8% Unsure: 26.6%