Major Demographic Changes in Minnesota Hazel Reinhart & Tom Gillaspy.
Age and Aging In Minnesota Tom Gillaspy Minnesota Planning October, 2001.
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Transcript of Age and Aging In Minnesota Tom Gillaspy Minnesota Planning October, 2001.
![Page 1: Age and Aging In Minnesota Tom Gillaspy Minnesota Planning October, 2001.](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062417/551570c1550346a1418b50ad/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Age and Aging In Minnesota
Tom Gillaspy
Minnesota Planning
October, 2001
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Some Findings From The 2000 Census
• Population increased 12.4% to 4.9 million
• Fastest growing state in the “frost-belt”
• Most growth in the suburban fringe past the 694/494 belt
• Minneapolis and St. Paul grew for the first time in half a century.
• About 2/5ths of statewide growth due to migration. Each year about 80,000 people move in and 60,000 move out.
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During The 1990s
• Minneapolis (3.9%), St. Paul (5.5%) and Duluth (1.7%) increased in population, reversing trends of a half century of loss.
• Rochester (21.3% gain) is now the fourth largest city in Minnesota.
• Of the 15 largest cities, Eden Prairie (39.7%) was the fastest growing followed by Eagan (34.1%). Only Bloomington (-1.3%) lost.
• Scott (54.7%) and Sherburne (53.6%) Counties were the fastest growing counties.
• During the 1990s, 25 counties lost population, down from 49 in the 1980s
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Minnesota Growth = 12.4% -11.9% to .0% .0% to 12.4% 12.4% to 25.0% 25.0% to 55.0%
Population Change 1990 to 2000Source: U.S. Census Bureau
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Growth 1990 to 2000 In Selected
Minnesota Race and Ethnic Groups
6%
81%
8%
87%
166%
7%
112%
57%
113%
0%20%40%60%80%
100%120%140%160%180%200%
White, NH Black, NH Indian, NH Asian, NH Hispanic
Per
cent
Cha
nge
90-0
0
Single Race Single or Mult Race
2000 Census, NH abbreviation for Not Hispanic
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More Trends From The 90’s
• Populations of color increased rapidly. Latino nearly tripled, Black and Asian nearly doubled.
• Race comparisons difficult due to change in definitions.
• Immigration—4,000 to 9,000 per year.
• Median age increased from 32.4 to 35.4 over the decade. Middle-aged and college age increased most rapidly.
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Minnesota Births 1910 to 1999
0100002000030000400005000060000700008000090000
100000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Births
Deaths
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Minnesota Total Fertility Rate Since 1940
2.38
3.48
4.2
2.49
1.87 1.9 1.88
00.5
11.5
22.5
33.5
44.5
5
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1994
Lif
etim
e C
hil
dre
n P
er W
oman
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Minnesota Life Expectancy At Age 65 And Age 85 Have Increased Steadily
14.9
15.7
17.4
18.2
4.6
5.4
6.2
6.5
0 5 10 15 20
1960
1970
1980
1990
Average Years Of Life Remaining
Age 85Age 65
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Minnesota Death Rates Per 100,000 By Race
0200400600800
100012001400160018002000
Under 1 1 to 4 5 to 9 15-24 25-44 45-64
African AmAm IndianAsianHispanicWhite
Population as of 1991; deaths averaged over 1989 to 1993
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NonMetropolitan Natural Increase 1990-98
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Minnesota Change By Age Group 1990 to 2000
-2.1%
2.9%
19.7%25.8%
2.0%
-13.7%
23.7%
55.4%
31.1%
4.0%0.4%
15.9%24.4%
-20%-10%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%
Under
5
5 to 9
10 to
14
15 to
19
20 to
24
25 to
34
35 to
44
45 to
54
55 to
59
60 to
64
65 to
74
75 to
84 85+
2000 Census
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Minnesota Age-Sex Pyramid 2000
-50000 -40000 -30000 -20000 -10000 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000
Under 1 year
10 years
20 years
30 years
40 years
50 years
60 years
70 years
80 years
90 years
100 or more
Female Male
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Minnesota's Population Is Aging: Projected Population 2000 to 2010
-3%
-12%
-11%
-8%
36%
10%
17%
-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Preschool, 0-4
K-12, 5-17
College, 18-24
Young worker, 25-44
Older worker, 45-64
Younger old, 65-79
Older old, 80+
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Minnesota Poverty Rate By Age 2000
11.3%
8.6%
13.2%
5.8%
4.1% 4.6%5.3%
6.3%
10.7%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
<5 5-17 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+
Per
cent
Bel
ow P
over
ty
Source: Census Bureau, C2SS survey
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Percent Change 1990 to 2000 In Selected Minnesota Household Characteristics
11%
9%
23%
6%
4%
19%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Families
Families with Children
Female HouseholderWith Children
65+ Living Alone
Renters
Homeowners
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Nearly Half of Households With Someone Age 65 And Older Are Single Person
Households
22.0%
44.0%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Without 65+
With 65+
Percent of Households by Presence of Person 65+
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Minnesota State Government Workforce Is Aging Rapidly
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
Under 20 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65
+
Age
Per
cen
t of
Sta
te W
ork
forc
e
1984
2000
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Median Age Of Minnesota State Workers Is 46 in 2000
46
47
51
48
47
44
46
41
47
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
All employees
Administration
Economic Security
Revenue
Human Services
Public Safety
Natural Resources
Corrections
Transportation
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Some Sources of Demographic Information
• State Demographer http://www.mnplan.state.mn.us/demography/
• Helpline 651-296-2557
• Metro Council http://www.metrocouncil.org/
• Census Bureau http://www.census.gov/
• Health profiles http://www.mnplan.state.mn.us/datanetweb/
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Some Results Expected From The 2000 Census
• Foreign born population doubled
• Substantial increases in limited English proficiency population, especially Spanish speaking
• Decrease in poverty across most age groups and household types
• Education attainment increased
• Houses larger
• Commutes increase in length
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Natural Increase
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
1910 1918 1926 1934 1942 1950 1958 1966 1974 1982 1990 1998
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0 5 10 15 20 25 30
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
Death RateBirth Rate