A comparison of Coast to Capital with comparator …...Unlike Cheshire & Warrington or Berkshire,...

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A comparison of Coast to Capital with comparator Local Enterprise Partnerships Report prepared for Coast to Capital LEP by Michael Barrow Guillermo Larbalastier University of Sussex March 2018 Contact: [email protected]

Transcript of A comparison of Coast to Capital with comparator …...Unlike Cheshire & Warrington or Berkshire,...

Page 1: A comparison of Coast to Capital with comparator …...Unlike Cheshire & Warrington or Berkshire, where a fairly obvious economic strategy presents itself, C2C is more of an all-rounder,

A comparison of Coast to Capital with comparator Local Enterprise Partnerships

Report prepared for Coast to Capital LEP by

Michael Barrow

Guillermo Larbalastier

University of Sussex

March 2018

Contact: [email protected]

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A Comparison of the Coast to Capital area with comparator

Local EnterprisePartnerships

Introduction

We were asked to consider questions around the performance of the Coast to Capital (C2C)

local enterprise partnership (LEP) in support of their Strategic Plan. In particular we were

tasked with looking at suitable comparator LEPs and to compare performance in terms of

Gross value added

Employment

Business start-ups

Large Businesses

We have presented our findings in the text in the form of graphs, with the underlying tables in

an appendix. We provide interpretation of the graphs as we go along.

We have made use of a loose unifying framework, decomposing gross value added per capita

(GVA pc) into constituent parts of GVA per hour worked (productivity), hours per worker,

the employment rate and the ratio of the working population to total population.

For business structure, we have looked at the growth in business numbers and separated it

into births and deaths, with a look also at survival of new firms. We have also dug down, as

far as we can currently go, into the structure of industry in C2C and comparator LEPs

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Executive summary

We made comparisons between Coast to Capital and five comparator LEPs:

Buckinghamshire Thames Valley (Bucks)

Cheshire and Warrington (Ch & Warr)

Enterprise M3 (Ent M3)

South East (SE)

Thames Valley Berkshire (Berks)

These were chosen on the basis of Local Enterprise Partnerships (LEPs) with high levels of

productivity (gross value added per hour) and/or geographical similarity to C2C, e.g.

bordering London.

Comparisons were made in terms of income per head, productivity, employment, business

structure and start-ups. We included historical data where possible, going back as far as 1997

in some cases, in order to see what trends exist. This complements comparisons made across

LEPs at a particular moment in time, usually the latest year for which data are available.

All data were sourced from public sources, either NOMIS or the Office of National Statistics

(ONS) more generally.

Income – similar slow growth across all LEPs

Across the six LEPs (C2C and its five comparators) growth of household income (per capita)

is about 3% p.a. over the period 1997-2015. This is similar to the overall average for all

LEPs, though the six all have higher levels of income than the average for all LEPs.

Once adjusted for inflation, growth averages just 1% p.a. and all the growth occurred before

2007; incomes since then have slightly declined.

Productivity – stagnant, particularly since 2007

Household income is not an accurate measure of a region’s productivity, for a variety of

reasons. Some residents migrate out of an LEP for work elsewhere and also incomes include

sources such as pensions and transfer payments that are unrelated to local economic

performance.

Hence we measure gross value added (GVA) per hour worked as a more fundamental

measure of local productivity. After adjusting for inflation, we find this has grown at an

average rate of 0.5% p.a. and all of the growth occurred before the financial crisis of 2007.

Afterwards, productivity growth has been stagnant. C2C is in the middle of the pack of

comparators as far as productivity is concerned, a similar position as for income.

For both incomes and productivity, differences in growth rates between the comparator LEPs

are not statistically significant and there is limited evidence of a regression towards the mean.

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Employment – strong recent growth in C2C but much of it in part-time jobs

C2C has a relatively low value for hours worked per employee, which has been falling over

the period 2004-16, in contrast to many of the other LEPs. Part of the reason for this is that

C2C has (2016) a relatively high proportion of part-time jobs, 29%, the highest of the

comparator group. The average for all LEPs is 25% and two of the comparators (Berkshire,

Cheshire and Warrington) are at 23%.

The employment rate in all the comparator LEPs is above the overall average and C2C in

particular has seen rapid recent growth in the employment rate, though much of this

represents part-time jobs.

There are also changes in the working age population, with this declining since around 2007.

This might be due to increasing net out-migration of workers as a result of the economic

downturn in addition to any ‘natural’ changes due to an ageing population. C2C has typically

had a low ratio of working population to overall population relative to its comparators but the

recent fall in the ratio has been modest in C2C compared to other areas.

Business Start-ups – C2C similar to comparators but less dynamic than the rest

of the country

Data limitations mean it is difficult to follow the trend of births of new firms over time.

However, it is apparent that C2C follows the pattern of its comparators with similar birth and

death rates of firms. These six LEPs tend to be less dynamic than much of the rest of the

country, where the birth rate and death rate tends to be higher.

When it comes to survival rates, C2C is once again in the middle of the comparator pack, its

one-year survival rate of 94% being equal highest, its five-year rate being 46.5%, nearer the

middle of the group.

Industry Structure – dominated by micro-businesses but not so important for

employment

C2C does not have one stand-out sector, unlike Berkshire (Communications) or Cheshire and

Warrington (Manufacturing). It is a leader in Finance and Insurance though this is still only a

small part of GVA in the area.

In terms of size of business, C2C has a relatively high share of micro-businesses (1-9

employees), second only to Buckinghamshire. However, if we measure in terms of

employment, the micro-business sector is not so dominant. So micro-businesses account for

about 90% of firms, but 40% of employment. This is still the largest share of any type of

business; large businesses, for example, have about a 24% share of employment.

In conclusion

It is easy to focus in on particular statistics and identify differences between areas but the

general message is that Coast to Capital is not so different from its comparators. It is often in

the middle of the pack as far as a number of comparisons we have made are concerned.

Unlike Cheshire & Warrington or Berkshire, where a fairly obvious economic strategy

presents itself, C2C is more of an all-rounder, which is perhaps advantageous in rendering it

less vulnerable to downturns in a particular sector.

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Any important differences between LEPs will therefore lie at a higher level of disaggregation

than we have used. Unfortunately, less data is available at disaggregated levels, with

employment probably the best available indicator.

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Incomes and productivity – a framework

The economic performance of an area can be examined in terms of its income and

productivity. These are obviously related but are not the same, as will be shown below. We

can summarise the relationships we examine by means of a fairly simple accounting identity.

The relationship between many of the variables can be summarised in the following equation:

GDHI GDHI GVA H LF WAPop

Pop GVA H LF WAPop Pop

where

GDHI = gross domestic household income

GVA = gross value added

Pop = population

H = hours worked (in total)

LF = labour force

WAPop = working age population

In non-mathematical terms this shows that prosperity (GDHI/Pop) depends upon

productivity (GVA/H),

hours worked by workers (H/LF) which largely reflects part-time and full-time work

the employment rate (LF/WAPop) and

the age profile (WAPop/Pop)

There is also an adjustment term (GDHI/GVA) which in aggregate is approximately one

(these are two ways of measuring output or income) but which can differ at the regional or

LEP level, for various reasons. For example, there are various transfers through the tax-

benefit system and there are patterns of work migration across local boundaries.

Hence we examine all of these ratios in order to gain some understanding of the economic

performance of the Coast to Capital region.

Income – similar slow growth across all LEPs

We start off by looking at gross domestic household income, measured per capita (GDHI)

over the period for which we have data, 1997-2017. We compare Coast to Capital (C2C)

with a set of comparator authorities:

Buckinghamshire Thames Valley (Bucks)

Cheshire and Warrington (Ch & Warr)

Enterprise M3 (Ent M3)

South East (SE)

Thames Valley Berkshire (Berks)

chosen because they are amongst those with high levels of productivity and/or are in some

sense geographically similar, bordering the London region.

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Figure 1: Gross domestic household income per capita (£ nominal)

We have chosen to present most data in nominal terms, i.e. not correcting for inflation. This

avoids slightly tricky questions of deflators and, since the task is to compare LEPs, does not

invalidate the analysis.

Figure 1 shows all the comparator authorities growing at a similar rate, about 3% per annum.

C2C lies in the midst of the comparator group, all of which are above the average GDHI of

all LEPs. There is little evidence of a ‘regression to the mean’ or convergence of the LEPs.

There is no statistically significance evidence of any difference between the six LEPs’ rates

of growth over this period.

Figure 2 shows the effect of inflation adjustment, using the CPI. The ranking of LEPs is

obviously unchanged but one can now see the sustained effect of the 2007 financial crisis and

its aftermath. In real terms, growth is about 1% per annum over the whole 18 year period.

These two charts suggest LEPs’ performance is substantially determined by macroeconomic

factors rather than individual policies. Henceforth we use nominal figures rather than real in

our charts, unless otherwise stated.

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

22,000

24,000

26,000

28,000

GDHI per capita

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

All LEPs

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Figure 2: Gross domestic household income per capita (2015 prices)

GDHI and GVA per capita

GDHI per capita provides a measure of how well off the residents of an area are. However,

this does not necessarily reflect the economic performance of the area, due to several factors,

such as not measuring company profits, the effects of taxes and benefits, and also work

migration patterns. For economic performance within the area, it is better to examine gross

value added (GVA), which is a production based measure.

Figure 3 illustrates GVA per capita across the comparator group in a similar manner to

GDHI. The growth rate is 3.3% p.a. slightly higher than for GDHI, reflecting the squeeze on

household incomes over the period. One can also note that C2C has fallen, over time, below

the level of the all LEP average for GVA per capita.

15,000

17,000

19,000

21,000

23,000

25,000

27,000

29,000

GDHI per capita, inflation adjusted

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

All LEPs

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Figure 3: Gross value added per capita (£ nominal)

However, this measure of productivity, GVA per capita, is misleading since the numerator

includes all the value added of the area but the denominator is residents rather than workers.

Hence an area with intrinsically high productivity might have a low GVA per capita if it has,

say, a high proportion of retired residents and of out-migrating workers (e.g. commuting to

London).

Productivity – very slow growth, particularly since 2007

From our accounting equation we now examine GVA per hour to give a more precise

measure of workplace productivity. This is shown in Figure 4.

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

GVA per capita

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

All LEPs

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Figure 4: GVA per hour worked

Once again we see similar performance across the LEPs, with annual growth of

approximately 2.2% p.a. (nominal). This is less than the growth rate of GVA per capita

(3.3%), but over a different timescale (due to data availability). If we measure both over

2004-2015 we find growth rates of 2.3% and 2.4% (GVA per capita growing faster), which is

trivially different. This implies that hours worked per capita have not changed much over

time.

If we deflate the GVA per hour series to real terms we obtain the result shown in Figure 5.

This reveals scarcely any real productivity improvement over the whole period, less than

0.5% per annum, averaged over all the LEPs. This can be put down to the financial crash of

2007; before then there was some improvement in productivity but none afterwards.

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

GVA per hour worked

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

All LEPs

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Figure 5: GVA per hour worked, real terms

Employment and hours of work - hours worked per worker declined in C2C in contrast to other LEPs

There remain the final three elements of our accounting equation, looking at labour input

over the period:

GDHI GDHI GVA H LF WAPop

Pop GVA H LF WAPop Pop

___________________

Hours worked per worker are shown in Figure 6 below. Here we see an interesting difference

between C2C and some of the other LEPs, with C2C having shorter working hours and, what

is more, these have been declining for much of the period since 2004. In the other

comparator LEPs average working hours have increased, sometimes significantly.

25.0

27.0

29.0

31.0

33.0

35.0

37.0

39.0

41.0

43.0

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

GVA per hour, real terms

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

All LEPs

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Figure 6: Hours worked per employee

Part of the change in hours reflects the balance of part-time and full-time work, shown in

Figure 7

Figure 7: Part-time workers as a percentage of all workers

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Hours worked per employee (weekly average)

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

All LEPs

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Percentage of part-time workers

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

All LEPs

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Not unexpectedly we note the rise in part-time work in Coast to Capital, in contrast to some

other LEPs. There is a surprising amount of change year to year apparent in the graph, with

changes often reversed. We are not sure if this is genuine or due to some statistical artefact in

the collection of the data. Hence results might be treated with some caution. It is perhaps

easier to summarise the changes in a table, averaging over time.

Table 1: Growth in part-time work and in hours (average annual percentage change, 2004-16)

Part-time Hours

Bucks -0.26 0.30

Ch & Warr -0.67 1.36

C2C 0.35 -0.11

Ent M3 0.53 0.73

SE -0.08 0.33

Berks 0.65 0.40

All LEPs 0.23 0.30

Coast to Capital has a shift towards part-time employment and a fall in average hours. In

contrast, Enterprise M3 has an even bigger shift towards part-time employment yet average

hours are increasing.

Employment

The employment rate (the number employed divided by the working age population) is

shown in Figure 8 and once again shows the importance of the 2007 crash. Since that time,

employment rate growth in Coast to Capital has been strong, indeed it has the largest increase

in the employment rate over the period since 2004.

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Figure 8: Employment rate (%)

The final element is to look at how the working age population (16-64) has changed over

time. This is shown below.

Figure 9: Proportion of the population of working age

70

72

74

76

78

80

82

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Employment Rate

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

ALL LEPs

60

61

62

63

64

65

66

67

68

Working age population as percentage of overall population

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

All LEPs

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Here we see the proportion of working age falling everywhere, particularly since around

2004. Coast to Capital has a relatively low proportion (i.e. high proportion of juveniles and

elderly) compared to other areas, though it has been falling less rapidly than most. Of course,

in the modern economy the concept of ‘working age’ has less relevance as many choose, or

need, to work on beyond the age of 65.

Summary of findings

We have covered a lot of ground so far and it may be useful to sum up the findings in a broad

brush way.

Table 2: Qualitative description of findings

Item Overall finding Coast to Capital finding

GDHI pc (prosperity) Similar growth (1% real

p.a.) across all LEPs.

GVA pc Similar growth to GDHI. C2C growing slightly more

slowly than average for

LEPs

GVA/hour (productivity) Very little growth since

1997, approx. 0.5% p.a. No

growth from 2008-16.

Negative productivity

growth since 2008.

Hours/worker Growing modestly since

2004

Declining since 2004, the

only one in the comparator

group to do so. Partly due

to shift towards part-time

work

Employed/working age

population

U-shaped trend since 2004,

bottoming in 2011

Particularly strong growth

since 2011, especially part-

time work

Working age

population/Population

Falling, especially since

2008

Low ratio but falling more

slowly than elsewhere

Business Start-ups

This section uses the business demography data available from the Office for National

Statistics to examine differences in birth rates, death rates and survival rates of new

enterprises for the period 2010-2016. The performance of Coast to Capital (C2C) is again

compared to the same five LEPs as before.

We look beyond the business count data and its rate of change to the underlying births and

deaths of companies and the pattern of survival. The basic accounting relationship is

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Businesses = Births – Deaths

where indicates the annual change in the variable. Hence, pretty obviously, if births exceed

deaths in any year then the number of businesses is increasing.

Birth Rates

The birth rate of new enterprises is calculated using the number of business births as a

proportion of active businesses, i.e. the number per 100.

Figure 10: Birth Rate of New Enterprises (%)

Figure 10 shows that the rate of business births follows a similar pattern across the six LEPs

with C2C in the middle of the pack. The sharp increase in business birth rates in 2013

coincides with the growth in PAYE schemes following the introduction of HMRC’s Real

Time PAYE reporting system in 2013, hence the figures pre- and post-2012 are not strictly

comparable. The period 2013-15 shows relatively stable birth rates across the six LEPs. It is

interesting to note that the six LEPs have not kept up with the rate increase in other LEPs

though the difference is not particularly large.

With the exception of the Cheshire and Warrington region, the fall in birth rate in 2016 was

less pronounced in the Coast to Capital region, which nevertheless experienced an overall

growth in the business birth rate of 3 percentage points from 2010 to 2016 (but not

accounting for the PAYE effect). It is speculation but perhaps the fall in start-ups in 2016

reflects uncertainty engendered by the Brexit vote.

The overall increasing trend in birth rates may be attributable to the following

macroeconomic factors:

- Continued economic improvements since the economic downturn of 2008 and 2009.

- Increased employment and a stronger labour market.

- Low interest rates that have reduced financing costs for businesses.

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Birth Rate of New Enterprises

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

ALL LEPs

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Death Rate

The death rate of new enterprises is calculated using the number of business deaths as a

proportion of active businesses.

Figure 11: Death Rate of New Enterprises (%)

Figure 11 show that the rate of business deaths again follows a similar pattern across the six

LEPs though the pattern is inverse to that for births, not unexpectedly. The increasing gap

between birth rates and death rates for 2010-14 may be the consequence of the positive

macroeconomic factors outlined previously.

On the other hand, the increase in death rates after 2014 may be explained by the following

macroeconomic factors:

- Increases in consumer price inflation and the depreciation of the pound sterling,

which would have both translated to higher raw materials and import prices (new

businesses are less likely to be exporters who would gain from depreciation).

- The earlier increase in company births. Some insight into this comes from our

survival analysis below.

Taking the difference between births and deaths we obtain the picture in Figure 12. The

problem interpreting this figure is that it is distorted by the change in 2013, for which we

have not been able to find an appropriate adjustment.

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Death Rate of New Enterprises

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent

SE

Berks

ALL LEPs

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Figure 12: Births minus deaths (%)

Business survival rates Underlying the births and deaths of businesses lies the survival rate. The one-year survival

rate for businesses is defined as the proportion of new enterprises that are still in operation

one year after their birth. Two- and higher-year survival rates are defined analogously. The

chart below shows the 5-year survival rates of businesses born in 2011 across the six LEPs:

Figure 13: Survival of Newly Born Enterprises (2011)

Note: values denote the survival rate for Coast to Capital.

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

ALL LEPs

94.0

77.7

62.9

53.6

46.5

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1-year 2-year 3-year 4-year 5-year

Survival of Newly Born Enterprises (birth units in 2011)

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

All LEPs

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Across the comparator LEPs, Coast to Capital has the highest one-year survival rate (94%,

equal with Buckinghamsire) for businesses born in 2011. This figure is almost one percentage

point higher than the survival rate for the whole country and increases further as the year-

survival rate considered increases. In fact, the five-year survival rate gap between C2C and

All LEPs is 2.5 percentage points. For all other survival rates, C2C consistently ranks in the

middle.

The changes in survival profiles over time are shown by the charts below. Figure 14 shows

that the one-year survival rate for enterprises in the Coast 2 Capital LEP has fluctuated

between 94% and 91%. It is currently at its lowest point, 91.1%, for businesses born in 2015.

This fall is in accordance to the increase in death rates of businesses and the influence of the

aforementioned macroeconomic factors. The two-year survival rate shows an overall

increase over time, while the remaining survival-rates exhibit relatively stable figures.

Figure 14: C2C New Enterprise Survival

This overall trend is also apparent when aggregating the comparator LEPs and when

considering the country as a whole. Figures 15 and 16 show that the one-year survival rate

has fallen over time in a similar manner to Coast to Capital. The two-year survival rates show

small increases but are less pronounced than those exhibited by C2C. The remaining survival

rates show miniscule changes over time.

0

25

50

75

100

Births 2011 Births 2012 Births 2013 Births 2014 Births 2015

C2C New Enterprise Survival

1-year survival

2-year survival

3-year survival

4-year survival

5-year survival

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Figure 15: Comparator LEPs New Enterprise Survival

Figure 16: England New Enterprise Survival

0

25

50

75

100

Births 2011 Births 2012 Births 2013 Births 2014 Births 2015

Comparator LEPs New Enterprise Survival

1-year survival

2-year survival

3-year survival

4-year survival

5-year survival

0

25

50

75

100

Births 2011 Births 2012 Births 2013 Births 2014 Births 2015

England New Enterprise Survival

1-year survival

2-year survival

3-year survival

4-year survival

5-year survival

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Industry structure

In this section we compare the industry structures of the 6 chosen LEPs to see where their

respective strengths lie. This is first shown in Figure 17, which plots GVA by industry for

1997 and 2015. A few conclusions can be drawn from the graphs:

1. These authorities are generally similar in their industry structure.

2. There has been a decline in the importance of manufacturing almost everywhere,

apart from Cheshire & Warrington. The latter is an important area for aerospace

engineering, with the Airbus plant located just outside Chester, with its affiliated

supply chain. Otherwise, all these LEPs have manufacturing contributing less than

10% of their GVA.

3. The other outlier is Berkshire, specialising in Information and Communications

services. Many of the major IT companies are based in the county, many around the

Reading area.

C2C leads the comparator group in the fields of Finance & Insurance (though still only a

small share of GVA) and also Property Services, Public Administration, Education and

Health and has a small share of its GVA from manufacturing.

Apart from these obvious differences, we need to drill down further to identify the dominant

sub-sectors in each LEP.

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Figure 17: GVA by industry (% share), 1997 and 2015

Note: The radar graph shows industrial sectors around the periphery. Each LEP is a coloured line within the

‘web’. The further out is a line, the more important is that sector for that LEP. For example, manufacturing is

important for Cheshire and Warrington, comprising about 23% of local GVA. The Agriculture and the Mining

& Quarrying industries have been omitted, being of very small size in all LEPs.

0

5

10

15

20

25Mfg

Constrn

W'sale & transport

Comms

Fin & InsProperty Svcs

Admin & Prof

Pub admin, ed & health

Ents & Other

GVA by sector, 1997

Bucks Ch &Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks

0

5

10

15

20

25Mfg

Constrn

W'sale & transport

Comms

Fin & InsProperty Svcs

Admin & Prof

Pub admin, ed &health

Ents & Other

GVA by sector, 2015

Bucks Ch &Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks

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We have not been able to drill down further using the GVA measure but we can make a little

progress by looking at employment by industry. This is available at LA level, which we have

aggregated to LEP level. Using this one can calculate location quotients for each LEP, for

each industry. The location quotient is defined as follows:

ij iij

j

E ELQ

E E

Where

LQij is the location quotient of industry i in location j.

Eij is employment in industry i in location j

Ei is total employment in industry i (nationally)

E is total employment (nationally)

As an example, a location quotient of 1.5 for the construction industry in the Coast to Capital

area would mean the share of C2C employment that is in the construction industry is 50%

higher than the national average. The higher a location quotient, the more employment is

concentrated in that industry.

Figure 18 illustrates the results in the form of graphs for each industry (we have omitted both

Agriculture and Mining & Quarrying as unimportant).

Figure 18: Location quotients for each of the 6 LEPs, by industry, 2015

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

C: Manufacturing

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

BucksCh & Warr

C2CEnt M3

SEBerks

D: Electricity, gas, steam and air con supply

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

E: Water supply, sewerage and waste

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

F: Construction

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0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

BucksCh & Warr

C2CEnt M3

SEBerks

G: Wholesale, retail, vehicle repair

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

H: Transportation and storage

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

I: Accommodation, food services

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

J: Information and Communication

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

Bucks

Ch & WarrC2C

Ent M3SE

Berks

K: Finance and Insurance

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

L: Real estate

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

M: Prof, Scientific & tech activities

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

N: Admin & support activities

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From all of this information we can note high location quotients for C2C the fields of

Finance and Insurance

Real estate

Public administration, defence and social security

Health and social work

And low values in

Manufacturing

Electricity and gas supply

Water supply

Share of Business by Size

This section examines the businesses size share across different LEPs. Enterprises are

categorized according to an employment size band as follows:

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

BucksCh & Warr

C2CEnt M3

SEBerks

O: Public admin & defence, social security

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

P: Education

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

BucksCh & Warr

C2CEnt M3

SEBerks

Q: Health and social work

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

R: Arts and entertainment

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

Other services

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Micro (0-9 employees),

Small (10-49 employees),

Medium (50-249 employees) and

Large (250+ employees).

A business size share is calculated using the number of businesses in a given employment

size band as a proportion of total businesses. Data on the count of enterprises by LEP is made

available by the Office for National Statistics. The business size shares of Coast to Capital

are compared to the same five comparator LEPs.

Trends over Time

For the period 2010-17 there are no substantial differences between LEPs in the pattern of

firms by employment size band. Generally, they all seem to follow similar patterns, which

suggests that macroeconomic factors dictate how these shares change over time.

Figures 19 to 22: shows that the share of the four different size enterprises, as a percentage of

all enterprises. Looking at them together there is a pattern whereby since 2013 there has been

an increase in micro enterprises but falls in the other three types. However, we noted above

the rapid increase in company births in 2013 (most of which will initially be micro

enterprises) and how this may be a statistical artefact due to changes in the system of PAYE

reporting. Hence we cannot lend too much credence to the observed changes over time.

Figure 19: Share of Micro Enterprises 2010-17

88

89

90

91

92

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

All LEPs

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Figure 20: Share of Small Enterprises 2010-17

Figure 21: Share of Medium Enterprises 2010-17

6

7

8

9

10

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Percentage of all businesses

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

All LEPs

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Percentage of all businesses

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

All LEPs

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Figure 22: Share of Large Enterprises 2010-17

What does appear from these figures, and seems reliable, is that Coast to Coast has a higher

proportion of micro enterprises and lower proportions of the largest size firms, compared to

most of the comparator group. Buckinghamshire seems to be the closest in structure to C2C.

Share of Business by Size in 2017

We can look at the structure for 2017 in isolation, particularly since the time trends above

might not be reliable. Figures 23 and 24 summarise the situation in different ways. Looking

at them we note the overall message of C2C being home for many micro businesses, more so

than four out of five comparators, and also compared to the average for all LEPs. Note that

the horizontal axis in the first panel is truncated, starting at 89%, so the picture should be

interpreted in the light of this.

Figure 23: Share of Businesses by Size 2017

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Percentage of all businesses

Bucks

Ch & Warr

C2C

Ent M3

SE

Berks

All LEPs

89 89 90 90 91 91 92

All LEPs

Berks

SE

Ent M3

C2C

Ch & Warr

Bucks

Share of Micro Enterprises

0 2 4 6 8 10

All LEPs

Berks

SE

Ent M3

C2C

Ch & Warr

Bucks

Share of Small Enterprises

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Table 24 illustrates how the business landscape is dominated by micro enterprises,

approximately 90% being of this type.

Figure 24: Share of Businesses by Size 2017

Businesses by size: employment and GVA shares

Simply counting the number of firms does not necessarily measure the importance of a sector

(micro, small, etc) since one large firm can employ as many people as hundreds of micro

firms, for example. Hence we can try to measure the total number employed in each size

band of firm. In the absence of precise data available to us on this, we estimate the figures by

assuming a firm in a size band employs a number of workers equal to the midpoint of the

interval. Hence each micro enterprise is assumed to have 5 employees (mid-point of 1-9) and

similarly for the other size bands.

This calculation results in estimates of employment shares (rather than numbers of firms) by

size band of firm , for each LEP. It should be remembered that this is an estimate rather than

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

All LEPs

Berks

SE

Ent M3

C2C

Ch & Warr

Bucks

Share of Medium Enterprises

0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6

All LEPs

Berks

SE

Ent M3

C2C

Ch & Warr

Bucks

Share of Large Enterprises

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

All LEPs

Berks

SE

Ent M3

C2C

Ch & Warr

Bucks

Share of Business by Size

Micro (0-9) Small (10-49) Medium (50-249) Large (250+)

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a precise count. We illustrate this just for the years 2010 and 2015 as the time trends above

suggested little more can be learned by looking at all of the years.

Figure 25: Share of Employment in each business size band 2015

Figure 26: Share of Employment in each business size band 2010

Visually, the importance of micro enterprises is substantially reduced, to between 40-50%,

when we base our measurement on total employment. Interestingly, C2C no longer stands

out as exceptional in terms of its micro business sector and, indeed, much of its employment

is in fact based in large enterprises.

If we were to assume a similar level of productivity for each size band of business then the

figures above would also show the contribution to GVA of each type of business as well. To

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

All LEPs

Berks

SE

Ent M3

C2C

Ch & Warr

Bucks

Employment shares by firm size band 2015

Micro

Small

Medium

Large

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

All LEPs

Berks

SE

Ent M3

C2C

Ch & Warr

Bucks

Employment shares by firm size band 2010

Micro

Small

Medium

Large

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the extent that larger firms have higher levels of productivity then the graphs in Figures 25

and 26 will tend to over-estimate the contribution of the smaller firms to GVA.

In conclusion

We have provided a fairly terse account, much of our time has been spent in gathering and

manipulating the data, so we have provided fairly brief accounts of the main features. We

have tried not to speculate too much, or indicated where we do so.

In many ways, C2C is unremarkable. Looking at a number of measures, the region does not

appear quantitatively different from it comparator group. Hence it is somewhat difficult to

point to obvious lessons for an economic strategy. Hence to progress further would require a

look at more disaggregated data, with the drawback that some of this might be commercially

confidential and hence unavailable.

.

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Appendix tables

The tables below underlie the graphs in the main text, following the same order as the graphs.

GDHI per capita

LEP Bucks Ch &

Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks All

LEPs

1997 15,463 11,655 13,196 15,214 11,926 14,070 11,276

1998 15,913 11,970 13,688 15,777 12,169 14,506 11,676

1999 16,435 12,578 14,087 16,261 12,675 14,814 12,149

2000 17,464 13,200 14,979 17,144 13,427 15,903 12,904

2001 18,444 13,700 15,732 17,815 14,153 16,227 13,519

2002 18,699 14,383 16,087 18,202 14,540 16,638 13,840

2003 18,982 15,181 16,505 18,436 14,893 17,034 14,283

2004 19,408 15,650 16,858 18,866 15,192 17,174 14,620

2005 19,884 16,034 17,629 19,557 15,646 17,714 15,101

2006 21,255 16,478 18,278 20,459 16,095 18,393 15,656

2007 21,975 17,027 18,908 21,175 16,698 19,480 16,277

2008 22,304 17,224 19,107 21,432 17,082 19,674 16,596

2009 22,928 17,724 19,375 21,954 17,688 19,891 17,021

2010 23,297 18,108 19,847 22,388 18,073 20,114 17,399

2011 23,318 18,158 19,995 22,539 18,164 20,398 17,482

2012 23,722 18,838 20,736 23,498 18,705 21,093 18,101

2013 24,029 19,140 21,124 23,913 18,957 21,550 18,382

2014 24,661 19,583 21,486 24,414 19,301 21,924 18,840

2015 25,312 19,898 22,104 25,095 19,861 22,679 19,389

Real GDHI per capita

year Bucks Ch &

Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks All

LEPs

1997 22,058 16,626 18,825 21,703 17,013 20,071 16,086

1998 22,350 16,812 19,225 22,159 17,091 20,374 16,399

1999 22,795 17,445 19,538 22,553 17,580 20,546 16,850

2000 24,022 18,157 20,604 23,582 18,469 21,875 17,750

2001 25,060 18,614 21,375 24,205 19,230 22,048 18,368

2002 25,099 19,306 21,593 24,432 19,517 22,333 18,577

2003 25,142 20,107 21,861 24,419 19,726 22,562 18,918

2004 25,370 20,458 22,037 24,661 19,859 22,450 19,111

2005 25,460 20,530 22,572 25,041 20,033 22,681 19,335

2006 26,602 20,623 22,876 25,606 20,144 23,020 19,594

2007 26,864 20,815 23,115 25,886 20,413 23,814 19,899

2008 26,333 20,335 22,558 25,303 20,168 23,228 19,594

2009 26,476 20,467 22,373 25,351 20,425 22,969 19,655

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2010 26,059 20,255 22,200 25,043 20,216 22,499 19,462

2011 24,966 19,441 21,408 24,132 19,448 21,839 18,717

2012 24,685 19,602 21,578 24,452 19,464 21,949 18,836

2013 24,395 19,431 21,446 24,277 19,246 21,878 18,662

2014 24,661 19,583 21,486 24,414 19,301 21,924 18,840

2015 25,312 19,898 22,104 25,095 19,861 22,679 19,389

GVA per capita (nominal)

Bucks Ch & Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks

1997 17,731 15,396 15,158 17,182 12,625 22,570

1998 18,960 15,928 15,917 18,207 12,985 24,282

1999 19,134 16,709 16,546 19,516 13,149 26,339

2000 20,768 16,624 17,508 20,702 13,767 27,536

2001 20,866 18,792 18,299 21,420 14,516 27,843

2002 21,144 19,799 19,094 22,264 15,286 30,205

2003 22,102 20,517 19,855 22,876 16,252 31,740

2004 23,196 21,142 20,124 23,085 16,562 31,696

2005 23,226 22,541 20,676 23,777 17,210 34,110

2006 23,763 24,456 22,016 25,103 17,900 34,783

2007 24,565 25,306 22,688 26,476 18,480 35,755

2008 25,782 25,913 22,903 27,118 18,844 35,990

2009 25,078 25,429 22,078 26,525 17,993 34,215

2010 25,441 25,497 22,410 27,406 18,432 34,691

2011 25,771 25,285 22,033 27,649 18,562 36,166

2012 26,907 26,985 23,079 28,917 18,836 37,049

2013 27,675 28,065 23,697 29,980 19,397 37,796

2014 28,510 29,217 24,610 31,170 20,190 38,850

2015 28,825 30,099 24,941 31,821 20,762 40,248

GVA per hour (nominal)

Bucks Ch &

Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks All LEPs

2004 29.1 26.8 26.1 27.5 23.9 32.0 24.9

2005 30.0 27.9 27.1 28.4 24.8 33.1 25.7

2006 31.1 29.4 28.5 29.8 25.9 34.4 26.9

2007 32.0 30.7 29.8 31.2 26.9 35.6 28.0

2008 33.0 31.4 30.8 32.5 27.6 36.6 28.9

2009 33.5 31.4 30.7 32.9 27.6 36.8 28.8

2010 34.9 31.9 31.2 33.7 28.1 37.4 29.6

2011 35.4 32.3 31.5 33.9 28.2 37.6 29.9

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2012 35.7 32.7 32.0 34.3 28.3 38.1 30.2

2013 36.0 33.1 32.9 35.2 28.8 39.0 30.9

2014 36.4 33.4 33.5 35.9 29.4 39.8 31.6

2015 37.0 33.7 34.1 36.7 30.2 40.6 32.2

2016 37.3 33.9 34.2 37.0 30.6 41.0 32.6

GVA per hour, real terms

Bucks Ch &

Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks All LEPs

UK Deflator

2004 35.4 32.6 31.8 33.4 29.1 39.0 30.3 29.9 82.1

2005 35.8 33.3 32.3 33.9 29.5 39.5 30.7 30.3 83.8

2006 36.2 34.2 33.2 34.6 30.2 40.1 31.4 30.9 85.9

2007 36.3 34.8 33.8 35.4 30.5 40.5 31.8 31.4 88.1

2008 36.5 34.7 34.0 35.9 30.5 40.5 31.9 31.5 90.5

2009 36.0 33.7 33.1 35.3 29.7 39.5 31.0 30.8 93.0

2010 37.4 34.3 33.5 36.1 30.2 40.2 31.8 31.4 93.1

2011 37.7 34.4 33.5 36.1 30.0 40.1 31.8 31.5 93.9

2012 37.3 34.2 33.4 35.9 29.6 39.8 31.6 31.4 95.7

2013 36.8 33.8 33.6 35.9 29.4 39.8 31.6 31.4 97.9

2014 36.7 33.6 33.7 36.1 29.6 40.1 31.8 31.6 99.3

2015 37.0 33.7 34.1 36.7 30.2 40.6 32.2 32.2 100.0

2016 37.3 33.2 33.5 36.3 29.9 40.2 31.9 31.9 102.1

Hours worked per employee

Bucks Ch &

Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks All

LEPs

2004 31.3 33.1 30.9 35.2 28.1 37.8 32.4

2005 28.4 32.5 31.3 36.0 28.0 37.2 32.7

2006 29.6 33.1 31.1 35.7 27.6 37.4 32.6

2007 30.8 32.9 30.4 36.5 27.8 37.7 32.6

2008 30.7 32.7 30.2 35.9 28.0 37.2 32.3

2009 31.2 33.6 29.5 35.7 27.4 36.1 32.3

2010 28.7 33.5 29.6 35.5 27.3 36.6 32.3

2011 29.4 33.5 29.9 37.0 28.0 38.7 32.7

2012 31.5 34.5 29.6 38.0 29.2 38.8 33.1

2013 31.6 36.2 28.8 37.5 28.7 37.9 33.2

2014 31.5 36.5 29.9 39.8 28.7 39.0 33.6

2015 31.7 39.0 28.9 38.5 28.9 38.3 33.2

2016 32.4 38.9 30.5 38.4 29.3 39.6 33.6

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Percentage of part-time workers

Bucks Ch & Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks All LEPs

2004 28.5 24.5 27.6 26.2 28.0 20.9 24.6

2005 28.8 26.4 26.8 26.4 28.5 21.7 24.8

2006 29.3 24.6 27.5 26.3 28.8 22.3 24.6

2007 27.8 26.2 27.7 26.7 28.6 20.6 24.6

2008 25.1 24.3 27.6 25.7 29.0 20.7 24.6

2009 27.7 24.9 27.4 26.7 29.5 21.9 25.5

2010 27.5 26.3 28.4 28.2 30.2 24.0 25.8

2011 28.5 27.5 28.4 26.8 29.1 22.5 25.9

2012 30.9 26.0 28.3 27.4 29.0 22.5 26.0

2013 30.5 26.3 28.6 28.1 28.1 25.3 25.8

2014 30.1 25.6 27.8 26.6 28.1 23.1 25.6

2015 28.7 23.1 30.2 27.8 29.1 24.1 25.6

2016 27.6 22.6 28.7 27.9 27.7 22.6 25.3

Employment rate (%)

Bucks Ch &

Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks ALL

LEPs

2004 79.4 76 76.3 79.1 75.6 78 73.0

2005 80.2 75.9 75.8 79.6 75.8 78.8 73.0

2006 77.8 75.5 75.1 80 74.6 78.7 72.8

2007 76.6 75.7 76 78.9 75 78.8 72.7

2008 77.6 75.3 76.6 78.7 73.8 78.4 72.5

2009 76.6 73.1 74.1 76.6 73.6 76.6 71.0

2010 75.4 74.6 75.6 76.2 72.6 76.2 70.5

2011 75.8 73.7 73.1 76 72 75.2 70.2

2012 76.4 74.5 75.3 77.5 72.1 75.9 71.0

2013 76.3 73.7 76.8 77.4 73.3 77.3 71.7

2014 78.6 75.5 76.3 76.9 73.7 77.2 72.7

2015 79.5 75.1 76.7 77.9 74.5 78.5 74.0

2016 81.2 75 79.1 79.4 75 78.8 74.4

Working age population as percentage of overall population

Bucks Ch &

Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks All

LEPs

1997 65.2 64.1 62.5 64.4 62.3 66.5 63.6

1998 65.0 64.1 62.6 64.4 62.3 66.4 63.6

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1999 64.9 64.0 62.7 64.5 62.2 66.5 63.7

2000 64.7 64.0 62.8 64.4 62.3 66.6 63.9

2001 64.5 63.9 62.9 64.4 62.4 66.7 64.1

2002 64.4 64.0 63.0 64.4 62.4 66.7 64.2

2003 64.2 64.0 63.1 64.3 62.5 66.7 64.3

2004 64.1 64.0 63.2 64.2 62.6 66.7 64.5

2005 64.2 64.1 63.4 64.3 62.9 66.9 64.7

2006 64.3 64.3 63.8 64.4 63.1 67.0 64.9

2007 64.2 64.4 64.0 64.4 63.2 67.0 65.0

2008 63.9 64.3 64.0 64.2 63.2 66.8 65.0

2009 63.6 64.1 64.0 63.9 63.0 66.5 64.9

2010 63.3 63.9 63.9 63.6 62.9 66.1 64.7

2011 63.1 63.6 63.7 63.3 62.7 65.7 64.6

2012 62.4 62.8 63.1 62.6 62.0 65.1 64.0

2013 62.0 62.3 62.8 62.1 61.6 64.6 63.7

2014 61.7 61.9 62.5 61.8 61.3 64.2 63.4

2015 61.5 61.6 62.4 61.5 61.1 63.9 63.2

2016 61.3 61.2 62.2 61.2 60.9 63.6 62.9

Birth rate of new enterprises (%)

Bucks Ch & Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks

ALL LEPs

2010 95.8 99.2 101.7 96.8 97.1 111.3 101.4

2011 101.2 109.5 110.2 110.4 108.4 124.0 113.9

2012 98.4 113.7 109.6 109.3 110.7 120.2 115.9

2013 120.1 138.2 135.0 126.0 135.1 142.3 144.2

2014 120.9 130.6 131.0 122.4 128.9 140.1 140.1

2015 120.8 131.3 135.2 126.2 137.0 147.9 146.7

2016 118.4 134.1 131.1 118.2 131.4 136.7 149.7

Death rate of new enterprises

Bucks Ch & Warr C2C Ent SE Berks

ALL LEPs

2010 98.0 100.9 103.7 98.2 105.5 98.8 107.0

2011 92.9 100.6 97.0 91.6 98.0 93.1 99.2

2012 97.1 104.6 104.9 102.1 106.7 103.4 107.1

2013 89.2 94.8 96.0 91.5 98.9 91.9 97.7

2014 85.3 90.0 91.7 84.8 95.9 96.5 97.5

2015 91.6 100.6 101.9 98.2 103.1 103.7 106.7

2016 106.5 107.6 110.2 111.3 110.0 114.7 116.5

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Births minus deaths (%)

Bucks Ch & Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks ALL LEPs

2010 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.8 1.3 -0.6

2011 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.9 1.0 3.1 1.5

2012 0.1 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.4 1.7 0.9

2013 3.1 4.3 3.9 3.5 3.6 5.0 4.6

2014 3.6 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.3 4.4 4.3

2015 2.9 3.1 3.3 2.8 3.4 4.4 4.0

2016 1.2 2.6 2.1 0.7 2.1 2.2 3.3

Survival rates of newly born enterprises (2011)

Bucks Ch & Warr C2C Ent SE Berks ALL LEPs

1-year 94.0 93.6 94.0 93.5 93.6 93.4 93.1

2-year 78.1 78.2 77.7 76.8 76.8 77.5 75.5

3-year 63.3 63.5 62.9 63.2 61.0 62.7 60.4

4-year 55.4 53.0 53.6 54.5 51.4 52.9 50.8

5-year 48.1 46.2 46.5 47.1 44.5 46.2 44.0

Coast to Capital new enterprise survival rates 1-year

survival 2-year

survival 3-year

survival 4-year

survival 5-year

survival

Births 2011 94.0 77.7 62.9 53.6 46.5 Births 2012 91.9 75.7 61.9 52.2

Births 2013 94.0 77.4 62.1

Births 2014 93.0 78.2

Births 2015 91.1

Comparator LEPs new enterprise survival rates 1-year

survival 2-year

survival 3-year

survival 4-year

survival 5-year

survival

Births 2011 93.6 77.1 62.2 52.8 45.8 Births 2012 91.2 74.7 60.9 51.9

Births 2013 94.0 76.8 62.9

Births 2014 93.3 77.8

Births 2015 91.1

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England new enterprise survival rates 1-year

survival 2-year

survival 3-year

survival 4-year

survival 5-year

survival

Births 2011 93.1 75.5 60.4 50.8 44.0 Births 2012 91.1 73.7 59.2 50.2

Births 2013 93.5 75.1 60.8

Births 2014 92.2 75.8

Births 2015 89.6

GVA by industry (% share), 1997

Mfg Constrn W'sale & transport Comms

Fin & Ins

Property Svcs

Admin & Prof

Pub admin, ed &

health Ents & Other

Bucks 18 5 18 7 4 19 10 13 3 Ch &Warr 25 5 19 4 5 13 9 12 3

C2C 10 6 21 6 8 18 11 15 4

Ent M3 13 5 19 8 4 18 12 14 3

SE 18 7 20 3 5 17 8 15 3

Berks 14 4 21 17 4 12 11 10 3

16 5 20 7 5 16 10 13 3

GVA by industry (% share), 2015

Mfg Constrn W'sale & transport Comms

Fin & Ins

Property Svcs

Admin & Prof

Pub admin, ed &

health Ents & Other

Bucks 6 7 22 9 3 17 13 16 5 Ch &Warr 23 5 18 5 6 10 14 13 3

C2C 6 7 19 6 8 17 13 18 4

Ent M3 8 6 18 11 5 14 15 15 5

SE 8 9 21 4 4 16 11 18 4

Berks 7 4 19 24 3 10 12 11 4

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Location quotients by LEP by industry, 2015

Bucks Ch & Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks

A : Agriculture, forestry and fishing 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

B : Mining and quarrying 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0

C : Manufacturing 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.6

D : Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 0.1 0.8 0.4 1.8 0.2 0.8 E : Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.7 1.4 1.4

F : Construction 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.4 0.7 G : Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1

H : Transportation and storage 0.6 1.0 1.1 0.7 1.1 0.9

I : Accommodation and food service activities 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.8

J : Information and communication 1.7 1.0 1.1 1.8 0.8 3.4

K : Financial and insurance activities 0.6 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.6

L : Real estate activities 1.3 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.9

M : Professional, scientific and technical activities 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.3 0.8 1.4

N : Administrative and support service activities 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9

O : Public administration and defence; compulsory social security 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.5

P : Education 1.1 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.0

Q : Human health and social work activities 0.9 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.1 0.7 R : Arts, entertainment and recreation 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.0

S : Other service activities 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.1 1.2

Share of micro enterprises (number of micro enterprises as percentage of all enterprises)

Bucks Ch &

Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks All

LEPs

2010 91.1 89.5 90.2 89.9 89.6 89.0 88.8

2011 91.3 89.7 90.4 90.1 89.7 89.0 88.9

2012 91.1 89.1 90.3 90.1 89.5 89.2 88.7

2013 90.7 88.8 90.0 89.8 89.0 88.7 88.3

2014 90.6 88.7 90.0 89.9 89.0 89.0 88.4

2015 90.7 89.0 90.2 90.0 89.4 89.4 88.8

2016 91.2 89.2 90.6 90.3 89.9 89.9 89.3

2017 91.3 89.5 90.9 90.5 90.1 90.2 89.6

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Share of small enterprises

Bucks Ch &

Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks All

LEPs

2010 7.3 8.7 8.2 8.2 8.7 8.6 9.2

2011 7.0 8.4 7.9 8.0 8.6 8.5 9.1

2012 7.2 8.9 8.1 8.0 8.8 8.5 9.2

2013 7.6 9.2 8.3 8.2 9.1 8.8 9.6

2014 7.6 9.3 8.3 8.2 9.2 8.6 9.5

2015 7.5 9.0 8.2 8.1 8.8 8.3 9.2

2016 7.1 8.7 7.8 7.8 8.4 7.9 8.8

2017 7.0 8.5 7.6 7.7 8.2 7.6 8.6

Share of medium enterprises

Bucks Ch &

Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks All

LEPs

2010 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.8 1.6

2011 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.8 1.6

2012 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.6

2013 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.8 1.7

2014 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.7

2015 1.4 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.6

2016 1.4 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.6

2017 1.4 1.6 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.5

Share of large enterprises

Bucks Ch &

Warr C2C Ent M3 SE Berks All

LEPs

2010 0.33 0.42 0.33 0.42 0.31 0.64 0.41

2011 0.31 0.42 0.35 0.40 0.32 0.65 0.41

2012 0.30 0.41 0.36 0.40 0.32 0.65 0.41

2013 0.30 0.43 0.35 0.41 0.33 0.61 0.41

2014 0.31 0.41 0.34 0.38 0.31 0.60 0.40

2015 0.29 0.38 0.32 0.38 0.31 0.59 0.38

2016 0.30 0.41 0.30 0.38 0.31 0.56 0.38

2017 0.29 0.38 0.29 0.37 0.30 0.55 0.37

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Share of Business by Size 2017

Micro Small Medium Large

Buckinghamshire Thames Valley 91.3 7.0 1.4 0.3 Cheshire and Warrington 89.5 8.5 1.6 0.4

Coast to Capital 90.9 7.6 1.2 0.3

Enterprise M3 90.5 7.7 1.5 0.4

South East 90.1 8.2 1.4 0.3

Thames Valley Berkshire 90.2 7.6 1.7 0.5

All LEPs 89.6 8.6 1.5 0.4

Employment shares by firm size band 2015

LEP Micro Small Medium Large

All LEPs 37.0 19.2 19.9 23.9

Berks 41.4 19.3 24.1 15.2

SE 37.6 18.6 18.1 25.7

Ent M3 47.6 21.4 23.6 7.4

C2C 40.0 18.1 17.1 24.7 Ch & Warr 41.1 20.8 22.0 16.1

Bucks 51.8 21.5 24.4 2.3

Employment shares by firm size band 2010

LEP Micro Small Medium Large

All LEPs 33.6 17.4 18.0 30.9

Berks 36.0 17.4 21.8 24.8

SE 34.4 16.8 15.4 33.4

Ent M3 42.3 19.4 20.9 17.4

C2C 35.7 16.2 15.6 32.6 Ch & Warr 35.2 17.0 17.4 30.3

Bucks 49.6 19.8 22.4 8.2