2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you...

67
CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 Sample 2,008 Adults Margin of Error ±2.5% 1. How would you rate the condition of the national economy today? Very good ............................................................................... 6% Fairly good ............................................................................. 25% Fairly bad ............................................................................... 37% Very bad ............................................................................... 22% Not sure ................................................................................. 9% 2. How much are you thinking about the 2020 Presidential race these days? Among registered voters A lot .................................................................................... 66% Some ................................................................................... 26% Not much ................................................................................ 6% Not at all ................................................................................. 2% 3. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 Presidential election in November? Among registered voters Definitely will vote ...................................................................... 89% Probably will vote ........................................................................ 6% Maybe will vote .......................................................................... 3% Probably will not vote .................................................................... 1% Definitely will not vote .................................................................... 0% Don’t know .............................................................................. 1% 4. If the 2020 presidential election were being held today between Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you vote for? Among likely voters Joe Biden .............................................................................. 51% Donald Trump .......................................................................... 41% Not sure ................................................................................. 4% Someone else/third party ................................................................ 4% 5. Which best describes your support for [Joe Biden/Donald Trump] right now? Among likely voters who would vote for Biden or Trump Very strong – I’ve decided .............................................................. 78% Strong – I probably won’t change ....................................................... 16% Somewhat strong – I might still change ................................................... 5% Not too strong – I’ll probably change at some point ....................................... 1% 1

Transcript of 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you...

Page 1: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

Sample 2,008 AdultsMargin of Error ±2.5%

1. How would you rate the condition of the national economy today?

Very good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%Fairly good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%Fairly bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37%Very bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%

2. How much are you thinking about the 2020 Presidential race these days?Among registered voters

A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66%Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26%Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%Not at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

3. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 Presidential election in November?Among registered voters

Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89%Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

4. If the 2020 presidential election were being held today between Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Donald Trump,the Republican, who would you vote for?Among likely voters

Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%Someone else/third party . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

5. Which best describes your support for [Joe Biden/Donald Trump] right now?Among likely voters who would vote for Biden or Trump

Very strong – I’ve decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78%Strong – I probably won’t change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%Somewhat strong – I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%Not too strong – I’ll probably change at some point . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

1

Page 2: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November?Among likely voters not voting for Biden

Yes, I would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6%Maybe, there’s still time left . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%No, I never would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83%

7. Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?Among likely voters not voting for Trump

Yes, I would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4%Maybe, there’s still time left . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9%No, I never would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87%

8. What is the main reason behind your vote for Joe Biden over Donald Trump in November?Among likely voters voting for Biden

Mainly because I like Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27%Mainly because Joe Biden is the Democratic nominee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%Mainly to oppose Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%

9. What is the main reason behind your vote for Donald Trump over Joe Biden in November?Among likely voters voting for Trump

Mainly because I like Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .68%Mainly because Donald Trump is the Republican nominee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%Mainly to oppose Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17%

12. When you vote, how important are matters of...Among likely voters

Very Somewhat Not very Not at allRace and culture 44% 31% 15% 10%Economics and class 61% 31% 5% 3%Religion and faith 35% 23% 20% 22%National security 66% 25% 7% 2%Crime and neighborhood safety 57% 30% 10% 3%Health and well-being 69% 25% 4% 2%

2

Page 3: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

13. How much of a factor is each of these in your vote for President?Among likely voters

Major factor Minor factor Not a factorHealth care 76% 19% 4%Immigration 65% 28% 6%Gun policy 63% 27% 10%The coronavirus outbreak 67% 22% 11%The economy 84% 13% 3%The recent protests 61% 27% 12%

14. How much do you think Joe Biden cares about the economic situation for people like you?Among registered voters

A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26%Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%None . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%

15. How much do you think Donald Trump cares about the economic situation for people like you?Among registered voters

A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14%Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%None . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%

17. Do you think the policies of the Trump Administration are...Among registered voters

Helping the economy recover . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%Making the economy worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%Not impacting the economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

18. If Joe Biden becomes President, do you think the policies of a Biden Administration would?Among registered voters

Help the economy recover . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%Make the economy worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .43%Not impact the economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%

21. Overall, how would you say things are going for the U.S. in its efforts to deal with the outbreak of coronavirus?

Very well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%Somewhat well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%Somewhat badly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25%Very badly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%

3

Page 4: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

22. How would you rate the job Donald Trump is doing handling the coronavirus outbreak?

Very good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%Somewhat good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%Somewhat bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%Very bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%

24. This fall, do you think schools in your area should:

Reopen, with children returning to full classrooms as normal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%Reopen in a limited way, such as only on some days, with rotating schedules . . . . . . . . . . . .34%Remain closed, with at-home learning until the outbreak is more contained . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%

26. Are you the parent or guardian of a school-age child?

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .75%

27. If your child’s school does reopen, would you send your child?Among parents of school-aged children

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%Maybe, it depends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .31%

29. How much do you think Joe Biden cares about the risk of coronavirus to children like yours?Among parents of school-aged children

A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33%Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%None . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

30. How much do you think Donald Trump cares about the risk of coronavirus to children like yours?Among parents of school-aged children

A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24%Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%None . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%

31. How would you describe the risks of coronavirus for children?

Children can get it themselves, and spread it to adults . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78%Children can not get it themselves, but can spread it to adults . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%Children can not get it themselves, and cannot spread it to adults . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%

4

Page 5: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

32. Would you approve or disapprove of Congress passing additional legislation that would provide funds topeople and businesses impacted by the coronavirus outbreak?

Approve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83%Disapprove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%

33. From what you have seen or heard, do you think the federal funds allocated for businesses so far have beengoing...

Mainly to small businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%Mainly to large businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%Evenly to both large and small businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%

34. Would you approve or disapprove of Congress passing additional unemployment benefits for people whohave lost jobs due to the coronavirus outbreak?

Approve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79%Disapprove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%

35. Which of these is the main reason you disapprove? Is it that you think...Among those who disapprove of passing additional unemployment benefits

People won’t look for jobs if unemployment money is still available . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72%The government has spent too much on coronavirus relief efforts already . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%The unemployment rate is not that bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%

36. Overall, how would you say things are going for [State] in its efforts to deal with the outbreak of coronavirus?

Very well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%Somewhat well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%Somewhat badly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28%Very badly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

37. In [State]’s efforts to contain coronavirus, would you say the Trump Administration has...

Helped [State]’s effort . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26%Hurt [State]’s effort . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%Neither helped nor hurt [State]’s effort . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39%

38. In thinking about what people of [State] need right now, how important is it for the Trump Administration toinvest time and resources trying to...

Veryimportant

Somewhatimportant

Notimportant

Limit Black Lives Matter protests 36% 24% 40%Address issues of racial discrimination 48% 32% 20%Stop the spread of coronavirus 74% 19% 7%Get economic relief to people 72% 23% 5%Cut taxes 42% 34% 24%

5

Page 6: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

39. Are you concerned, or not concerned, about yourself personally or a close family member getting the coron-avirus?

Very concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35%Somewhat concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%Not very concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17%Not at all concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%

40. In your view, what impact is the coronavirus pandemic having on [State]’s economy? Is it causing:

Little or no impact . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%A temporary downturn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%A Recession . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35%A Depression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

43. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump has handled the recent protests about the treatmentof African Americans by police?

Strongly approve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%Somewhat approve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%Somewhat disapprove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%Strongly disapprove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%

44. In general, from what you’ve seen or heard, what do you think the intentions of most of the protesters are?Do you think most of the protesters are trying to....

Yes NoChange police treatment of minorities 74% 26%Raise awareness of racial discrimination 69% 31%Destroy public and private property 47% 53%Overthrow the government 41% 59%

45. Do you agree or disagree with the ideas expressed by the Black Lives Matter movement?

Strongly agree . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29%Somewhat agree . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%Somewhat disagree . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%Strongly disagree . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%

46. Which, if any, of these are reasons you disagree with the ideas expressed by Black Lives Matter? Is itbecause you feel...

Yes, areason

No, not areason

Police already treat Black people and White people equally 51% 49%The protesters’ behaviors are unacceptable 85% 15%The movement focuses only on problems of Black people, not other groups 64% 36%

6

Page 7: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

47. In general, do you think the federal government should...

Become involved in dealing with protests and demonstrations in U.S. cities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%Let local and state law enforcement deal with protests and demonstrations in U.S. cities . 61%

48. How much have you heard or read about the protests taking place in Portland, Oregon?

A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37%Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%Nothing at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%

49. Do you approve or disapprove of the federal government using unmarked federal agents in its efforts tocontrol the protesters in Portland?

Approve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%Disapprove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%

50. In general, should the federal government deploy troops to try to fight crime in large U.S. cities like New York,Chicago, San Francisco, or should that be left to local and state law enforcement?

Should deploy troops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%Left to local and state law enforcement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .62%

52. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?

Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14%Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14%Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

Other questions held for future release.

7

Page 8: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

1. Condition of National EconomyHow would you rate the condition of the national economy today?

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very good 6% 7% 5% 6% 8% 6% 4% 6% 6% 5%

Fairly good 25% 28% 22% 21% 23% 26% 29% 29% 12% 24%

Fairly bad 37% 37% 38% 44% 35% 36% 36% 38% 35% 36%

Very bad 22% 19% 25% 17% 20% 26% 23% 20% 33% 22%

Not sure 9% 8% 10% 11% 14% 5% 7% 7% 13% 13%

Totals 99% 99% 100% 99% 100% 99% 99% 100% 99% 100%

Weighted N (2,007) (968) (1,040) (407) (503) (697) (401) (1,267) (249) (319)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very good 6% 4% 5% 12% 5% 3% 12%

Fairly good 25% 11% 24% 45% 10% 22% 43%

Fairly bad 37% 45% 40% 28% 41% 45% 30%

Very bad 22% 35% 23% 7% 40% 23% 9%

Not sure 9% 5% 8% 7% 4% 7% 6%

Totals 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (2,007) (643) (613) (502) (522) (602) (602)

1

Page 9: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

2. Thinking about Presidential RaceHow much are you thinking about the 2020 Presidential race these days?Among registered voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

A lot 66% 69% 62% 52% 58% 68% 78% 68% 57% 62%

Some 26% 21% 30% 32% 35% 23% 17% 25% 28% 28%

Not much 6% 7% 5% 10% 5% 7% 3% 5% 10% 8%

Not at all 2% 3% 2% 6% 2% 2% 2% 2% 5% 1%

Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%

Weighted N (1,424) (676) (748) (232) (330) (532) (330) (986) (179) (156)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

A lot 66% 69% 62% 69% 72% 58% 71%

Some 26% 26% 28% 24% 25% 31% 21%

Not much 6% 4% 7% 6% 2% 8% 6%

Not at all 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2%

Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 99% 100%

Weighted N (1,424) (542) (423) (422) (430) (439) (495)

2

Page 10: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

3. Likely to Vote in General ElectionHow likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 Presidential election in November?Among registered voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Definitely will vote 89% 88% 90% 79% 84% 93% 94% 91% 84% 88%

Probably will vote 6% 5% 6% 10% 8% 4% 3% 5% 6% 5%

Maybe will vote 3% 4% 2% 6% 5% 2% 1% 2% 6% 4%

Probably will not vote 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1%

Definitely will not vote 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1%

Don’t know 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,422) (677) (744) (231) (330) (531) (330) (986) (180) (152)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Definitely will vote 89% 93% 87% 91% 93% 86% 94%

Probably will vote 6% 4% 5% 6% 4% 8% 3%

Maybe will vote 3% 2% 4% 2% 2% 3% 2%

Probably will not vote 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0%

Definitely will not vote 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0%

Don’t know 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 99%

Weighted N (1,422) (539) (423) (422) (430) (438) (494)

3

Page 11: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

4. Presidential Vote IntentionIf the 2020 presidential election were being held today between Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you vote for?Among likely voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Joe Biden 51% 46% 55% 62% 55% 45% 48% 42% 82% 60%

Donald Trump 41% 45% 37% 20% 35% 49% 47% 50% 8% 31%

Not sure 4% 4% 5% 9% 6% 3% 3% 4% 6% 5%

Someone else/third party 4% 5% 3% 10% 4% 3% 2% 4% 4% 4%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 101% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,401) (662) (739) (218) (321) (531) (331) (982) (173) (149)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Joe Biden 51% 93% 40% 8% 86% 62% 10%

Donald Trump 41% 3% 43% 88% 4% 28% 85%

Not sure 4% 2% 7% 3% 2% 7% 3%

Someone else/third party 4% 2% 10% 1% 7% 3% 3%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 101%

Weighted N (1,401) (542) (410) (424) (434) (425) (499)

4

Page 12: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

5. Strength of Candidate SupportWhich best describes your support for [Joe Biden/Donald Trump] right now?Among likely voters who would vote for Biden or Trump

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very strong – I’ve decided 78% 79% 78% 67% 70% 84% 84% 79% 78% 77%

Strong – I probably won’t change 16% 16% 16% 21% 22% 12% 12% 15% 19% 19%

Somewhat strong – I might still change 5% 4% 5% 9% 6% 3% 3% 5% 3% 3%

Not too strong – I’ll probably change atsome point 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,278) (601) (676) (178) (288) (499) (313) (898) (156) (134)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very strong – I’ve decided 78% 81% 73% 81% 81% 69% 85%

Strong – I probably won’t change 16% 15% 18% 14% 13% 22% 12%

Somewhat strong – I might still change 5% 4% 7% 4% 5% 7% 3%

Not too strong – I’ll probably change atsome point 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,278) (520) (340) (404) (391) (382) (472)

5

Page 13: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

6. Ever Consider Voting for BidenWould you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November?Among likely voters not voting for Biden

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Yes, I would 6% 7% 5% ∗ 21% 3% 1% 5% ∗ ∗Maybe, there’s still time left 11% 10% 12% ∗ 16% 6% 7% 10% ∗ ∗No, I never would 83% 83% 83% ∗ 63% 91% 92% 85% ∗ ∗

Totals 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100% 100% 100% ∗ ∗Weighted N (690) (358) (333) (84) (145) (290) (172) (568) (31) (59)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Yes, I would 6% ∗ 5% 5% ∗ 9% 3%

Maybe, there’s still time left 11% ∗ 13% 6% ∗ 22% 5%

No, I never would 83% ∗ 82% 89% ∗ 69% 92%

Totals 100% ∗ 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100%

Weighted N (690) (40) (245) (387) (59) (163) (448)

6

Page 14: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

7. Ever Consider Voting for TrumpWould you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?Among likely voters not voting for Trump

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Yes, I would 4% 5% 3% 6% 6% 1% 3% 5% 4% ∗Maybe, there’s still time left 9% 10% 7% 9% 11% 7% 8% 10% 3% ∗No, I never would 87% 84% 90% 85% 82% 91% 89% 85% 93% ∗

Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100% ∗Weighted N (829) (364) (466) (174) (207) (273) (176) (495) (158) (103)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Yes, I would 4% 3% 3% ∗ 2% 2% ∗Maybe, there’s still time left 9% 4% 14% ∗ 4% 12% ∗No, I never would 87% 93% 83% ∗ 94% 86% ∗

Totals 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100% ∗Weighted N (829) (524) (235) (53) (416) (305) (76)

7

Page 15: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

8. Reason for Voting for BidenWhat is the main reason behind your vote for Joe Biden over Donald Trump in November?Among likely voters voting for Biden

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Mainly because I like Joe Biden 27% 28% 26% 17% 26% 26% 37% 20% 45% ∗Mainly because Joe Biden is the

Democratic nominee 23% 16% 28% 29% 24% 22% 18% 23% 19% ∗Mainly to oppose Donald Trump 50% 56% 46% 54% 50% 52% 45% 56% 36% ∗

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% ∗Weighted N (708) (304) (404) (134) (176) (240) (158) (412) (141) (90)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Mainly because I like Joe Biden 27% 31% 15% ∗ 26% 29% ∗Mainly because Joe Biden is the

Democratic nominee 23% 28% 11% ∗ 26% 17% ∗Mainly to oppose Donald Trump 50% 41% 74% ∗ 48% 54% ∗

Totals 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100% ∗Weighted N (708) (501) (165) (35) (374) (262) (50)

8

Page 16: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

9. Reason for Voting for TrumpWhat is the main reason behind your vote for Donald Trump over Joe Biden in November?Among likely voters voting for Trump

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Mainly because I like Donald Trump 68% 65% 72% ∗ 63% 70% 74% 68% ∗ ∗Mainly because Donald Trump is the

Republican nominee 15% 14% 15% ∗ 22% 11% 11% 15% ∗ ∗Mainly to oppose Joe Biden 17% 21% 13% ∗ 15% 19% 15% 16% ∗ ∗

Totals 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100% 100% 99% ∗ ∗Weighted N (570) (296) (273) (44) (114) (257) (155) (486) (14) (46)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Mainly because I like Donald Trump 68% ∗ 59% 72% ∗ 54% 73%

Mainly because Donald Trump is theRepublican nominee 15% ∗ 8% 19% ∗ 16% 13%

Mainly to oppose Joe Biden 17% ∗ 33% 8% ∗ 30% 13%

Totals 100% ∗ 100% 99% ∗ 100% 99%

Weighted N (570) (18) (174) (371) (18) (120) (422)

9

Page 17: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

12A. Important Matters — Race and cultureWhen you vote, how important are matters of...Among likely voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very 44% 38% 49% 42% 51% 40% 43% 38% 80% 35%

Somewhat 31% 31% 30% 36% 30% 30% 28% 32% 14% 39%

Not very 15% 19% 12% 12% 11% 17% 18% 18% 3% 14%

Not at all 10% 12% 9% 10% 8% 12% 11% 12% 3% 12%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,392) (660) (732) (218) (320) (526) (329) (975) (172) (148)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very 44% 65% 32% 29% 63% 39% 31%

Somewhat 31% 26% 34% 32% 28% 35% 28%

Not very 15% 6% 18% 24% 5% 15% 24%

Not at all 10% 3% 16% 15% 4% 11% 17%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,392) (540) (409) (417) (432) (421) (495)

10

Page 18: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

12B. Important Matters — Economics and classWhen you vote, how important are matters of...Among likely voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very 61% 63% 59% 55% 65% 59% 62% 60% 71% 58%

Somewhat 31% 29% 32% 36% 28% 32% 29% 32% 21% 34%

Not very 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 1%

Not at all 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 4% 2% 3% 1% 7%

Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 99% 100%

Weighted N (1,393) (661) (732) (217) (320) (526) (330) (975) (172) (149)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very 61% 63% 59% 61% 65% 58% 61%

Somewhat 31% 30% 31% 30% 29% 34% 29%

Not very 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%

Not at all 3% 2% 4% 4% 1% 3% 4%

Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 99%

Weighted N (1,393) (540) (408) (419) (432) (420) (497)

11

Page 19: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

12C. Important Matters — Religion and faithWhen you vote, how important are matters of...Among likely voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very 35% 32% 38% 26% 31% 38% 41% 34% 50% 32%

Somewhat 23% 21% 24% 16% 22% 26% 23% 24% 19% 24%

Not very 20% 23% 18% 27% 19% 17% 21% 20% 18% 23%

Not at all 22% 24% 20% 31% 28% 19% 14% 22% 13% 21%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,392) (658) (733) (216) (320) (530) (326) (973) (172) (149)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very 35% 26% 26% 56% 19% 23% 59%

Somewhat 23% 20% 22% 27% 17% 25% 25%

Not very 20% 26% 23% 9% 25% 29% 9%

Not at all 22% 28% 29% 8% 39% 23% 7%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,392) (541) (407) (420) (431) (422) (496)

12

Page 20: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

12D. Important Matters — National securityWhen you vote, how important are matters of...Among likely voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very 66% 63% 68% 44% 57% 72% 79% 67% 70% 58%

Somewhat 25% 27% 23% 39% 29% 22% 17% 24% 23% 31%

Not very 7% 8% 7% 14% 13% 4% 3% 8% 5% 8%

Not at all 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2%

Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%

Weighted N (1,397) (662) (735) (216) (319) (531) (331) (980) (173) (148)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very 66% 55% 60% 86% 44% 66% 85%

Somewhat 25% 32% 28% 12% 35% 28% 13%

Not very 7% 11% 10% 1% 18% 4% 2%

Not at all 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 0%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%

Weighted N (1,397) (540) (410) (422) (432) (423) (499)

13

Page 21: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

12E. Important Matters — Crime and neighborhood safetyWhen you vote, how important are matters of...Among likely voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very 57% 54% 59% 45% 52% 59% 66% 55% 70% 57%

Somewhat 30% 31% 30% 35% 34% 29% 27% 32% 22% 29%

Not very 10% 13% 7% 15% 11% 9% 6% 10% 5% 9%

Not at all 3% 2% 3% 5% 3% 3% 1% 2% 2% 4%

Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 99%

Weighted N (1,393) (661) (732) (218) (319) (527) (329) (977) (171) (147)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very 57% 51% 52% 70% 40% 58% 71%

Somewhat 30% 32% 32% 26% 36% 32% 24%

Not very 10% 13% 12% 3% 18% 9% 4%

Not at all 3% 4% 3% 1% 6% 1% 1%

Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,393) (538) (409) (420) (430) (421) (498)

14

Page 22: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

12F. Important Matters — Health and well-beingWhen you vote, how important are matters of...Among likely voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very 69% 63% 75% 63% 69% 68% 77% 66% 81% 73%

Somewhat 25% 29% 20% 32% 25% 24% 20% 27% 16% 21%

Not very 4% 5% 3% 2% 5% 6% 2% 5% 3% 3%

Not at all 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 0% 3%

Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,398) (661) (737) (218) (320) (530) (331) (980) (172) (149)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very 69% 83% 64% 59% 85% 68% 56%

Somewhat 25% 14% 28% 33% 12% 26% 34%

Not very 4% 2% 4% 6% 2% 4% 6%

Not at all 2% 0% 4% 2% 0% 1% 3%

Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 99% 99% 99%

Weighted N (1,398) (541) (410) (422) (433) (423) (499)

15

Page 23: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

13A. Event Factors in Vote for President — Health careHow much of a factor is each of these in your vote for President?Among likely voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Major factor 76% 75% 78% 74% 79% 74% 79% 73% 86% 87%

Minor factor 19% 21% 18% 19% 16% 22% 18% 22% 10% 10%

Not a factor 4% 4% 4% 6% 5% 4% 3% 5% 3% 3%

Totals 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%

Weighted N (1,388) (661) (728) (215) (315) (528) (330) (973) (168) (149)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Major factor 76% 93% 73% 60% 93% 79% 60%

Minor factor 19% 6% 21% 32% 6% 18% 32%

Not a factor 4% 1% 6% 7% 1% 3% 8%

Totals 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,388) (533) (407) (422) (427) (422) (497)

16

Page 24: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

13B. Event Factors in Vote for President — ImmigrationHow much of a factor is each of these in your vote for President?Among likely voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Major factor 65% 61% 69% 57% 59% 66% 75% 68% 52% 65%

Minor factor 28% 31% 26% 37% 35% 26% 20% 27% 39% 28%

Not a factor 6% 7% 5% 6% 6% 8% 5% 5% 9% 7%

Totals 99% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,388) (658) (730) (215) (317) (527) (329) (972) (170) (148)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Major factor 65% 60% 62% 76% 61% 54% 81%

Minor factor 28% 33% 29% 21% 31% 39% 16%

Not a factor 6% 7% 8% 3% 8% 7% 3%

Totals 99% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,388) (535) (406) (422) (429) (422) (495)

17

Page 25: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

13C. Event Factors in Vote for President — Gun policyHow much of a factor is each of these in your vote for President?Among likely voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Major factor 63% 60% 65% 51% 57% 66% 71% 61% 69% 61%

Minor factor 27% 30% 25% 41% 29% 24% 23% 29% 19% 26%

Not a factor 10% 10% 10% 7% 14% 10% 6% 9% 12% 13%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,388) (661) (727) (215) (318) (527) (327) (974) (169) (149)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Major factor 63% 65% 55% 69% 62% 54% 72%

Minor factor 27% 27% 31% 24% 31% 32% 21%

Not a factor 10% 8% 14% 7% 7% 14% 7%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,388) (534) (407) (422) (428) (420) (498)

18

Page 26: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

13D. Event Factors in Vote for President — The coronavirus outbreakHow much of a factor is each of these in your vote for President?Among likely voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Major factor 67% 64% 69% 70% 74% 61% 67% 61% 84% 74%

Minor factor 22% 25% 19% 22% 15% 24% 25% 25% 8% 19%

Not a factor 11% 11% 12% 8% 11% 15% 8% 14% 7% 7%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%

Weighted N (1,383) (659) (723) (215) (315) (525) (327) (969) (167) (149)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Major factor 67% 88% 61% 45% 88% 72% 44%

Minor factor 22% 10% 24% 35% 10% 19% 35%

Not a factor 11% 2% 15% 20% 2% 9% 21%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,383) (532) (404) (422) (425) (421) (495)

19

Page 27: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

13E. Event Factors in Vote for President — The economyHow much of a factor is each of these in your vote for President?Among likely voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Major factor 84% 84% 84% 77% 80% 86% 90% 84% 85% 88%

Minor factor 13% 13% 13% 19% 15% 12% 9% 13% 12% 9%

Not a factor 3% 3% 3% 4% 5% 2% 1% 3% 3% 2%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%

Weighted N (1,385) (661) (724) (215) (316) (525) (329) (969) (169) (149)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Major factor 84% 80% 85% 88% 77% 87% 89%

Minor factor 13% 16% 12% 10% 19% 11% 9%

Not a factor 3% 4% 3% 2% 4% 2% 2%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,385) (532) (407) (419) (428) (417) (498)

20

Page 28: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

13F. Event Factors in Vote for President — The recent protestsHow much of a factor is each of these in your vote for President?Among likely voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Major factor 61% 58% 63% 67% 55% 59% 66% 61% 71% 51%

Minor factor 27% 27% 26% 23% 31% 29% 22% 26% 23% 32%

Not a factor 12% 14% 10% 10% 13% 12% 12% 12% 6% 17%

Totals 100% 99% 99% 100% 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,385) (662) (723) (211) (319) (528) (328) (972) (171) (149)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Major factor 61% 61% 60% 62% 60% 56% 67%

Minor factor 27% 30% 25% 24% 29% 32% 20%

Not a factor 12% 9% 15% 13% 10% 12% 13%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,385) (533) (407) (421) (429) (416) (498)

21

Page 29: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

14. Biden Cares about Your Economic SituationHow much do you think Joe Biden cares about the economic situation for people like you?Among registered voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

A lot 28% 27% 29% 20% 32% 26% 33% 21% 56% 37%

Some 26% 23% 29% 42% 31% 22% 18% 25% 29% 26%

Not much 24% 25% 22% 28% 20% 22% 26% 28% 8% 16%

None 22% 25% 20% 10% 17% 30% 23% 26% 7% 20%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%

Weighted N (1,413) (670) (743) (231) (326) (530) (327) (982) (174) (154)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

A lot 28% 56% 15% 7% 47% 32% 8%

Some 26% 35% 28% 12% 39% 31% 10%

Not much 24% 7% 28% 40% 10% 23% 36%

None 22% 2% 29% 41% 4% 13% 46%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%

Weighted N (1,413) (539) (422) (420) (430) (436) (491)

22

Page 30: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

15. Trump Cares about Your Economic SituationHow much do you think Donald Trump cares about the economic situation for people like you?Among registered voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

A lot 33% 36% 30% 19% 26% 37% 41% 40% 10% 20%

Some 14% 15% 14% 16% 16% 14% 11% 15% 5% 21%

Not much 20% 19% 20% 33% 19% 17% 16% 16% 32% 23%

None 33% 30% 36% 32% 38% 32% 32% 29% 53% 36%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,414) (672) (742) (228) (329) (529) (328) (981) (176) (154)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

A lot 33% 5% 32% 69% 5% 20% 69%

Some 14% 6% 17% 21% 5% 17% 18%

Not much 20% 31% 18% 7% 26% 28% 7%

None 33% 58% 33% 3% 64% 35% 6%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,414) (539) (423) (420) (427) (438) (493)

23

Page 31: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

17. Economic Effect of Trump Administration PoliciesDo you think the policies of the Trump Administration are...Among registered voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Helping the economy recover 44% 48% 40% 28% 39% 51% 48% 52% 19% 33%

Making the economy worse 48% 45% 50% 61% 49% 43% 46% 42% 65% 60%

Not impacting the economy 8% 7% 9% 11% 12% 6% 6% 6% 15% 7%

Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%

Weighted N (1,411) (674) (737) (235) (327) (525) (325) (979) (174) (155)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Helping the economy recover 44% 10% 46% 85% 8% 33% 86%

Making the economy worse 48% 80% 47% 8% 85% 55% 10%

Not impacting the economy 8% 10% 7% 6% 7% 11% 4%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 99% 100%

Weighted N (1,411) (538) (420) (420) (429) (436) (491)

24

Page 32: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

18. Economic Effect of Biden Administration PoliciesIf Joe Biden becomes President, do you think the policies of a Biden Administration would?Among registered voters

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Help the economy recover 47% 44% 50% 56% 53% 42% 45% 39% 77% 57%

Make the economy worse 43% 45% 40% 31% 32% 50% 49% 52% 12% 32%

Not impact the economy 10% 10% 10% 13% 15% 8% 5% 9% 11% 11%

Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,411) (672) (739) (230) (328) (529) (325) (978) (175) (156)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Help the economy recover 47% 85% 39% 9% 83% 56% 10%

Make the economy worse 43% 8% 49% 81% 9% 33% 82%

Not impact the economy 10% 7% 12% 10% 8% 11% 8%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,411) (540) (422) (416) (428) (438) (490)

25

Page 33: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

21. Efforts to Deal with OutbreakOverall, how would you say things are going for the U.S. in its efforts to deal with the outbreak of coronavirus?

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very well 10% 11% 9% 9% 10% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9%

Somewhat well 25% 27% 23% 21% 24% 28% 27% 28% 15% 26%

Somewhat badly 25% 23% 28% 29% 26% 23% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Very badly 39% 39% 40% 41% 40% 39% 37% 37% 50% 40%

Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,998) (963) (1,035) (405) (501) (695) (397) (1,260) (247) (319)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very well 10% 3% 8% 18% 4% 5% 20%

Somewhat well 25% 9% 27% 44% 9% 24% 40%

Somewhat badly 25% 21% 26% 27% 16% 29% 26%

Very badly 39% 66% 38% 11% 71% 42% 14%

Totals 99% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,998) (642) (611) (500) (521) (599) (602)

26

Page 34: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

22. Handling Outbreak - TrumpHow would you rate the job Donald Trump is doing handling the coronavirus outbreak?

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very good 20% 21% 19% 12% 15% 24% 26% 25% 8% 11%

Somewhat good 23% 24% 22% 24% 26% 21% 21% 24% 15% 27%

Somewhat bad 14% 15% 13% 18% 18% 13% 8% 12% 16% 15%

Very bad 43% 40% 46% 45% 41% 42% 45% 39% 61% 47%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,991) (962) (1,030) (403) (497) (695) (396) (1,256) (246) (317)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very good 20% 5% 19% 45% 5% 12% 45%

Somewhat good 23% 7% 25% 37% 9% 21% 34%

Somewhat bad 14% 12% 16% 10% 9% 19% 9%

Very bad 43% 76% 39% 8% 77% 48% 12%

Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,991) (642) (609) (499) (521) (597) (602)

27

Page 35: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

24. Reopen Area SchoolsThis fall, do you think schools in your area should:

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Reopen, with children returning to fullclassrooms as normal 19% 21% 18% 15% 14% 24% 24% 25% 7% 11%

Reopen in a limited way, such as onlyon some days, with rotatingschedules 34% 34% 34% 38% 34% 32% 35% 34% 29% 37%

Remain closed, with at-home learninguntil the outbreak is more contained 46% 45% 48% 47% 52% 44% 41% 41% 64% 52%

Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,986) (958) (1,028) (399) (497) (693) (397) (1,258) (243) (314)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Reopen, with children returning to fullclassrooms as normal 19% 5% 23% 36% 5% 11% 42%

Reopen in a limited way, such as onlyon some days, with rotatingschedules 34% 29% 37% 40% 30% 42% 32%

Remain closed, with at-home learninguntil the outbreak is more contained 46% 66% 40% 23% 65% 47% 25%

Totals 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 99%

Weighted N (1,986) (637) (611) (497) (521) (597) (597)

28

Page 36: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

26. Parent of School-Age ChildAre you the parent or guardian of a school-age child?

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Yes 25% 23% 26% 18% 54% 20% 4% 21% 20% 41%

No 75% 77% 74% 82% 46% 80% 96% 79% 80% 59%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,991) (957) (1,034) (401) (493) (697) (400) (1,260) (246) (314)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Yes 25% 26% 21% 26% 25% 27% 22%

No 75% 74% 79% 74% 75% 73% 78%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,991) (637) (612) (498) (519) (597) (599)

29

Page 37: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

27. Send Child to SchoolIf your child’s school does reopen, would you send your child?Among parents of school-aged children

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Yes 32% 33% 31% ∗ 29% 36% ∗ 40% ∗ ∗Maybe, it depends 37% 38% 36% ∗ 39% 33% ∗ 34% ∗ ∗No 31% 29% 32% ∗ 32% 31% ∗ 26% ∗ ∗

Totals 100% 100% 99% ∗ 100% 100% ∗ 100% ∗ ∗Weighted N (492) (224) (267) (70) (264) (142) (16) (267) (50) (130)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Yes 32% 28% 29% 46% 26% 23% 56%

Maybe, it depends 37% 30% 46% 38% 37% 41% 28%

No 31% 41% 25% 16% 37% 36% 16%

Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (492) (164) (129) (127) (129) (164) (132)

30

Page 38: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

29. Biden Cares about Risk to ChildrenHow much do you think Joe Biden cares about the risk of coronavirus to children like yours?Among parents of school-aged children

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

A lot 30% 34% 27% ∗ 28% 38% ∗ 29% ∗ ∗Some 33% 29% 36% ∗ 38% 26% ∗ 33% ∗ ∗Not much 21% 21% 21% ∗ 19% 20% ∗ 20% ∗ ∗None 16% 16% 16% ∗ 15% 16% ∗ 18% ∗ ∗

Totals 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100% ∗ 100% ∗ ∗Weighted N (489) (222) (267) (70) (263) (141) (16) (266) (50) (129)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

A lot 30% 55% 20% 13% 42% 33% 24%

Some 33% 29% 40% 32% 35% 36% 26%

Not much 21% 11% 24% 26% 14% 23% 21%

None 16% 5% 16% 29% 9% 8% 29%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (489) (161) (128) (129) (129) (162) (133)

31

Page 39: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

30. Trump Cares about Risk to ChildrenHow much do you think Donald Trump cares about the risk of coronavirus to children like yours?Among parents of school-aged children

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

A lot 24% 29% 19% ∗ 19% 29% ∗ 31% ∗ ∗Some 24% 23% 26% ∗ 27% 17% ∗ 25% ∗ ∗Not much 23% 25% 22% ∗ 23% 25% ∗ 20% ∗ ∗None 28% 23% 33% ∗ 31% 29% ∗ 23% ∗ ∗

Totals 99% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100% ∗ 99% ∗ ∗Weighted N (486) (223) (263) (70) (261) (139) (16) (265) (48) (129)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

A lot 24% 16% 15% 47% 21% 14% 45%

Some 24% 12% 24% 39% 11% 28% 32%

Not much 23% 27% 32% 9% 24% 26% 15%

None 28% 45% 29% 4% 44% 32% 8%

Totals 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (486) (161) (128) (127) (128) (162) (131)

32

Page 40: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

31. Coronavirus Risks to ChildrenHow would you describe the risks of coronavirus for children?

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Children can get it themselves, andspread it to adults 78% 74% 81% 79% 72% 80% 80% 79% 79% 74%

Children can not get it themselves, butcan spread it to adults 13% 16% 12% 13% 17% 12% 11% 12% 10% 20%

Children can not get it themselves,and cannot spread it to adults 9% 10% 7% 8% 10% 8% 8% 9% 11% 6%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,973) (954) (1,019) (398) (492) (688) (395) (1,252) (240) (312)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Children can get it themselves, andspread it to adults 78% 89% 78% 65% 88% 82% 64%

Children can not get it themselves, butcan spread it to adults 13% 7% 13% 22% 8% 12% 20%

Children can not get it themselves,and cannot spread it to adults 9% 4% 9% 13% 4% 5% 16%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%

Weighted N (1,973) (635) (606) (492) (515) (595) (592)

33

Page 41: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

32. Aid to BusinessesWould you approve or disapprove of Congress passing additional legislation that would provide funds to people and businesses impacted by the coronavirusoutbreak?

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Approve 83% 81% 85% 82% 83% 84% 82% 82% 90% 83%

Disapprove 17% 19% 15% 18% 17% 16% 18% 18% 10% 17%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,980) (954) (1,026) (398) (496) (693) (392) (1,254) (243) (313)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Approve 83% 92% 82% 74% 91% 87% 74%

Disapprove 17% 8% 18% 26% 9% 13% 26%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,980) (640) (604) (495) (519) (593) (599)

34

Page 42: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

33. Receiving FundsFrom what you have seen or heard, do you think the federal funds allocated for businesses so far have been going...

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Mainly to small businesses 17% 18% 16% 19% 19% 17% 12% 17% 16% 19%

Mainly to large businesses 54% 53% 55% 52% 50% 54% 61% 55% 52% 49%

Evenly to both large and smallbusinesses 29% 29% 29% 29% 31% 29% 27% 28% 32% 32%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,966) (949) (1,017) (396) (496) (683) (392) (1,244) (241) (312)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Mainly to small businesses 17% 15% 12% 26% 13% 16% 24%

Mainly to large businesses 54% 67% 60% 36% 71% 60% 41%

Evenly to both large and smallbusinesses 29% 17% 27% 37% 16% 24% 35%

Totals 100% 99% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,966) (636) (606) (490) (521) (592) (589)

35

Page 43: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

34. Extend Unemployment BenefitsWould you approve or disapprove of Congress passing additional unemployment benefits for people who have lost jobs due to the coronavirus outbreak?

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Approve 79% 78% 81% 83% 80% 79% 76% 77% 90% 83%

Disapprove 21% 22% 19% 17% 20% 21% 24% 23% 10% 17%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,983) (956) (1,028) (400) (494) (695) (395) (1,256) (244) (314)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Approve 79% 93% 79% 63% 94% 85% 62%

Disapprove 21% 7% 21% 37% 6% 15% 38%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,983) (639) (608) (496) (519) (593) (602)

36

Page 44: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

35. Why Disapprove of Additional Unemployment BenefitsWhich of these is the main reason you disapprove? Is it that you think...Among those who disapprove of passing additional unemployment benefits

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

People won’t look for jobs ifunemployment money is stillavailable 72% 68% 76% ∗ ∗ 81% 91% 79% ∗ ∗

The government has spent too muchon coronavirus relief efforts already 19% 23% 15% ∗ ∗ 13% 7% 16% ∗ ∗

The unemployment rate is not that bad 9% 9% 9% ∗ ∗ 6% 2% 5% ∗ ∗

Totals 100% 100% 100% ∗ ∗ 100% 100% 100% ∗ ∗Weighted N (402) (205) (196) (64) (97) (144) (96) (291) (25) (49)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

People won’t look for jobs ifunemployment money is stillavailable 72% ∗ 72% 83% ∗ ∗ 82%

The government has spent too muchon coronavirus relief efforts already 19% ∗ 22% 15% ∗ ∗ 16%

The unemployment rate is not that bad 9% ∗ 6% 2% ∗ ∗ 2%

Totals 100% ∗ 100% 100% ∗ ∗ 100%

Weighted N (402) (44) (128) (181) (33) (88) (228)

37

Page 45: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

36. State Efforts to Deal with OutbreakOverall, how would you say things are going for [State] in its efforts to deal with the outbreak of coronavirus?

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very well 12% 12% 11% 7% 14% 13% 13% 12% 13% 13%

Somewhat well 41% 44% 38% 40% 40% 39% 47% 43% 35% 38%

Somewhat badly 28% 26% 30% 33% 26% 29% 24% 27% 30% 28%

Very badly 19% 17% 20% 20% 20% 19% 16% 18% 22% 21%

Totals 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,987) (955) (1,032) (398) (498) (691) (399) (1,255) (243) (316)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very well 12% 11% 11% 13% 10% 9% 17%

Somewhat well 41% 32% 44% 50% 36% 42% 45%

Somewhat badly 28% 34% 25% 24% 29% 31% 22%

Very badly 19% 23% 20% 13% 25% 18% 16%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,987) (638) (608) (499) (520) (595) (601)

38

Page 46: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

37. Trump Administration Policies on State’s EffortsIn [State]’s efforts to contain coronavirus, would you say the Trump Administration has...

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Helped [State]’s effort 26% 29% 24% 23% 24% 28% 29% 31% 11% 22%

Hurt [State]’s effort 35% 33% 37% 34% 38% 33% 35% 31% 48% 37%

Neither helped nor hurt [State]’s effort 39% 38% 39% 43% 38% 39% 36% 38% 41% 41%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,982) (960) (1,022) (397) (495) (694) (396) (1,256) (242) (315)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Helped [State]’s effort 26% 9% 23% 56% 8% 19% 52%

Hurt [State]’s effort 35% 65% 32% 9% 68% 37% 12%

Neither helped nor hurt [State]’s effort 39% 26% 45% 35% 24% 44% 36%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,982) (637) (610) (497) (520) (595) (599)

39

Page 47: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

38A. Trump Administration Time and Resources — Limit Black Lives Matter protestsIn thinking about what people of [State] need right now, how important is it for the Trump Administration to invest time and resources trying to...

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very important 36% 36% 35% 25% 38% 38% 40% 37% 33% 35%

Somewhat important 24% 24% 25% 29% 24% 23% 23% 23% 18% 36%

Not important 40% 40% 40% 46% 38% 39% 37% 40% 49% 29%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,986) (962) (1,023) (402) (495) (693) (396) (1,253) (244) (315)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very important 36% 25% 33% 53% 21% 30% 56%

Somewhat important 24% 18% 23% 28% 12% 30% 23%

Not important 40% 57% 44% 19% 67% 40% 21%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,986) (636) (611) (497) (518) (596) (600)

40

Page 48: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

38B. Trump Administration Time and Resources — Address issues of racial discriminationIn thinking about what people of [State] need right now, how important is it for the Trump Administration to invest time and resources trying to...

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very important 48% 45% 51% 55% 52% 42% 46% 41% 79% 50%

Somewhat important 32% 32% 32% 30% 30% 33% 35% 35% 14% 34%

Not important 20% 23% 17% 15% 18% 25% 19% 24% 7% 16%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,989) (963) (1,026) (402) (495) (693) (399) (1,254) (246) (315)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very important 48% 72% 42% 27% 72% 51% 28%

Somewhat important 32% 22% 34% 39% 23% 34% 34%

Not important 20% 6% 24% 34% 5% 15% 38%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,989) (640) (611) (497) (519) (599) (600)

41

Page 49: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

38C. Trump Administration Time and Resources — Stop the spread of coronavirusIn thinking about what people of [State] need right now, how important is it for the Trump Administration to invest time and resources trying to...

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very important 74% 72% 76% 73% 72% 73% 80% 73% 83% 74%

Somewhat important 19% 21% 17% 19% 20% 20% 15% 20% 12% 17%

Not important 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 4% 7% 5% 9%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,989) (963) (1,027) (402) (496) (692) (400) (1,258) (243) (316)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very important 74% 89% 73% 60% 89% 78% 58%

Somewhat important 19% 8% 19% 31% 8% 18% 29%

Not important 7% 3% 8% 9% 3% 4% 12%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%

Weighted N (1,989) (640) (608) (499) (520) (599) (599)

42

Page 50: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

38D. Trump Administration Time and Resources — Get economic relief to peopleIn thinking about what people of [State] need right now, how important is it for the Trump Administration to invest time and resources trying to...

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very important 72% 70% 73% 64% 73% 73% 75% 71% 81% 69%

Somewhat important 23% 24% 23% 31% 21% 22% 21% 24% 16% 25%

Not important 5% 5% 4% 5% 6% 4% 4% 5% 3% 6%

Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,990) (963) (1,027) (402) (494) (694) (399) (1,258) (246) (314)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very important 72% 84% 73% 59% 85% 76% 60%

Somewhat important 23% 14% 22% 36% 12% 21% 34%

Not important 5% 2% 5% 5% 3% 3% 6%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,990) (639) (611) (497) (519) (599) (600)

43

Page 51: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

38E. Trump Administration Time and Resources — Cut taxesIn thinking about what people of [State] need right now, how important is it for the Trump Administration to invest time and resources trying to...

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very important 42% 40% 44% 33% 44% 45% 43% 41% 46% 43%

Somewhat important 34% 32% 35% 39% 33% 32% 34% 34% 30% 35%

Not important 24% 28% 21% 28% 23% 23% 23% 25% 24% 22%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,982) (959) (1,023) (399) (497) (689) (396) (1,251) (245) (314)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very important 42% 35% 38% 50% 32% 36% 54%

Somewhat important 34% 30% 33% 40% 25% 37% 38%

Not important 24% 34% 28% 10% 43% 26% 8%

Totals 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 99% 100%

Weighted N (1,982) (635) (610) (495) (519) (592) (600)

44

Page 52: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

39. Concerned about Contracting CoronavirusAre you concerned, or not concerned, about yourself personally or a close family member getting the coronavirus?

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Very concerned 35% 34% 36% 37% 39% 33% 31% 31% 44% 43%

Somewhat concerned 37% 36% 37% 36% 34% 37% 40% 39% 32% 30%

Not very concerned 17% 18% 16% 17% 13% 17% 21% 18% 13% 14%

Not at all concerned 11% 12% 10% 9% 14% 13% 7% 11% 11% 13%

Totals 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,989) (959) (1,030) (398) (497) (695) (399) (1,260) (244) (316)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Very concerned 35% 51% 31% 22% 50% 39% 20%

Somewhat concerned 37% 36% 37% 38% 39% 39% 34%

Not very concerned 17% 10% 19% 24% 8% 15% 26%

Not at all concerned 11% 2% 13% 16% 3% 7% 20%

Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,989) (640) (609) (497) (521) (594) (600)

45

Page 53: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

40. Coronavirus Economic Impact on StateIn your view, what impact is the coronavirus pandemic having on [State]’s economy? Is it causing:

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Little or no impact 6% 7% 5% 5% 9% 7% 2% 5% 7% 9%

A temporary downturn 45% 44% 45% 42% 35% 46% 56% 48% 39% 42%

A Recession 35% 35% 36% 39% 37% 33% 34% 35% 36% 33%

A Depression 14% 14% 14% 14% 19% 14% 8% 12% 18% 16%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,980) (951) (1,028) (400) (489) (694) (396) (1,256) (238) (315)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Little or no impact 6% 5% 2% 9% 6% 3% 8%

A temporary downturn 45% 33% 47% 58% 30% 46% 54%

A Recession 35% 49% 36% 24% 48% 38% 28%

A Depression 14% 13% 15% 9% 16% 13% 10%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,980) (637) (604) (500) (518) (595) (602)

46

Page 54: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

43. Trump Approval - ProtestsDo you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump has handled the recent protests about the treatment of African Americans by police?

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Strongly approve 21% 24% 18% 13% 17% 25% 27% 26% 8% 13%

Somewhat approve 23% 23% 22% 18% 26% 23% 22% 24% 12% 27%

Somewhat disapprove 15% 15% 15% 22% 18% 12% 11% 13% 17% 19%

Strongly disapprove 41% 38% 44% 47% 39% 40% 40% 37% 63% 41%

Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,967) (953) (1,014) (400) (487) (684) (396) (1,248) (237) (312)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Strongly approve 21% 5% 20% 46% 5% 12% 48%

Somewhat approve 23% 7% 27% 34% 9% 24% 30%

Somewhat disapprove 15% 14% 15% 12% 9% 20% 11%

Strongly disapprove 41% 74% 38% 8% 77% 44% 11%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,967) (638) (599) (498) (519) (591) (596)

47

Page 55: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

44A. Protesters Intent — Change police treatment of minoritiesIn general, from what you’ve seen or heard, what do you think the intentions of most of the protesters are? Do you think most of the protesters are tryingto....

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Yes 74% 72% 76% 76% 76% 71% 74% 70% 87% 77%

No 26% 28% 24% 24% 24% 29% 26% 30% 13% 23%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,978) (955) (1,023) (400) (497) (688) (394) (1,249) (242) (314)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Yes 74% 93% 70% 58% 93% 81% 51%

No 26% 7% 30% 42% 7% 19% 49%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,978) (639) (606) (495) (521) (594) (596)

48

Page 56: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

44B. Protesters Intent — Raise awareness of racial discriminationIn general, from what you’ve seen or heard, what do you think the intentions of most of the protesters are? Do you think most of the protesters are tryingto....

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Yes 69% 66% 72% 76% 72% 65% 65% 65% 86% 72%

No 31% 34% 28% 24% 28% 35% 35% 35% 14% 28%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,978) (950) (1,027) (398) (494) (690) (396) (1,249) (243) (314)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Yes 69% 91% 65% 50% 92% 77% 43%

No 31% 9% 35% 50% 8% 23% 57%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,978) (639) (607) (493) (521) (594) (594)

49

Page 57: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

44C. Protesters Intent — Destroy public and private propertyIn general, from what you’ve seen or heard, what do you think the intentions of most of the protesters are? Do you think most of the protesters are tryingto....

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Yes 47% 49% 44% 38% 42% 51% 54% 53% 20% 49%

No 53% 51% 56% 62% 58% 49% 46% 47% 80% 51%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,982) (959) (1,023) (404) (497) (688) (393) (1,252) (244) (313)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Yes 47% 19% 50% 77% 17% 41% 78%

No 53% 81% 50% 23% 83% 59% 22%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,982) (639) (607) (498) (520) (598) (596)

50

Page 58: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

44D. Protesters Intent — Overthrow the governmentIn general, from what you’ve seen or heard, what do you think the intentions of most of the protesters are? Do you think most of the protesters are tryingto....

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Yes 41% 41% 41% 33% 37% 45% 45% 46% 18% 42%

No 59% 59% 59% 67% 63% 55% 55% 54% 82% 58%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,979) (958) (1,021) (398) (495) (691) (395) (1,255) (240) (311)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Yes 41% 17% 42% 70% 16% 33% 71%

No 59% 83% 58% 30% 84% 67% 29%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,979) (637) (606) (496) (519) (597) (593)

51

Page 59: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

45. Agree with BLMDo you agree or disagree with the ideas expressed by the Black Lives Matter movement?

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Strongly agree 29% 26% 32% 38% 32% 25% 24% 24% 63% 23%

Somewhat agree 29% 31% 28% 32% 33% 27% 27% 28% 22% 38%

Somewhat disagree 16% 16% 17% 17% 21% 15% 12% 17% 8% 22%

Strongly disagree 25% 27% 23% 13% 14% 33% 36% 31% 7% 17%

Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,985) (960) (1,025) (399) (497) (694) (394) (1,254) (243) (317)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Strongly agree 29% 55% 24% 7% 63% 23% 10%

Somewhat agree 29% 35% 28% 21% 27% 41% 18%

Somewhat disagree 16% 7% 18% 22% 6% 20% 16%

Strongly disagree 25% 3% 30% 50% 4% 15% 56%

Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%

Weighted N (1,985) (642) (607) (497) (521) (597) (598)

52

Page 60: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

46A. Why Disagree with BLM — Police already treat Black people and White people equallyWhich, if any, of these are reasons you disagree with the ideas expressed by Black Lives Matter? Is it because you feel...

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Yes, a reason 51% 51% 51% 45% 46% 56% 52% 53% ∗ 43%

No, not a reason 49% 49% 49% 55% 54% 44% 48% 47% ∗ 57%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100%

Weighted N (807) (405) (402) (118) (172) (330) (186) (597) (37) (123)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Yes, a reason 51% ∗ 49% 60% ∗ 47% 58%

No, not a reason 49% ∗ 51% 40% ∗ 53% 42%

Totals 100% ∗ 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100%

Weighted N (807) (66) (289) (352) (51) (208) (429)

53

Page 61: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

46B. Why Disagree with BLM — The protesters’ behaviors are unacceptableWhich, if any, of these are reasons you disagree with the ideas expressed by Black Lives Matter? Is it because you feel...

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Yes, a reason 85% 82% 88% 75% 75% 89% 93% 88% ∗ 78%

No, not a reason 15% 18% 12% 25% 25% 11% 7% 12% ∗ 22%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100%

Weighted N (810) (405) (406) (118) (170) (335) (187) (601) (37) (121)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Yes, a reason 85% ∗ 88% 92% ∗ 79% 96%

No, not a reason 15% ∗ 12% 8% ∗ 21% 4%

Totals 100% ∗ 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100%

Weighted N (810) (66) (291) (353) (50) (210) (431)

54

Page 62: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

46C. Why Disagree with BLM — The movement focuses only on problems of Black people, not other groupsWhich, if any, of these are reasons you disagree with the ideas expressed by Black Lives Matter? Is it because you feel...

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Yes, a reason 64% 61% 66% 62% 56% 65% 70% 66% ∗ 63%

No, not a reason 36% 39% 34% 38% 44% 35% 30% 34% ∗ 37%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100%

Weighted N (811) (404) (406) (118) (170) (332) (190) (601) (38) (121)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Yes, a reason 64% ∗ 65% 64% ∗ 68% 63%

No, not a reason 36% ∗ 35% 36% ∗ 32% 37%

Totals 100% ∗ 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100%

Weighted N (811) (67) (292) (352) (50) (211) (432)

55

Page 63: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

47. Federal Government Response to ProtestsIn general, do you think the federal government should...

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Become involved in dealing withprotests and demonstrations in U.S.cities 39% 38% 40% 39% 37% 40% 40% 40% 35% 42%

Let local and state law enforcementdeal with protests anddemonstrations in U.S. cities 61% 62% 60% 61% 63% 60% 60% 60% 65% 58%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,953) (939) (1,014) (387) (488) (683) (394) (1,239) (236) (308)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Become involved in dealing withprotests and demonstrations in U.S.cities 39% 21% 39% 62% 17% 34% 63%

Let local and state law enforcementdeal with protests anddemonstrations in U.S. cities 61% 79% 61% 38% 83% 66% 37%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,953) (630) (604) (487) (514) (593) (589)

56

Page 64: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

48. Heard about Portland ProtestsHow much have you heard or read about the protests taking place in Portland, Oregon?

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

A lot 33% 37% 28% 24% 22% 36% 47% 37% 31% 24%

Some 37% 36% 38% 32% 40% 37% 37% 38% 32% 29%

Not much 17% 16% 19% 25% 20% 15% 10% 15% 16% 26%

Nothing at all 13% 11% 15% 19% 17% 12% 6% 10% 21% 21%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,988) (960) (1,027) (398) (496) (694) (400) (1,257) (246) (314)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

A lot 33% 35% 34% 39% 39% 30% 42%

Some 37% 39% 38% 37% 41% 41% 34%

Not much 17% 17% 16% 18% 13% 19% 15%

Nothing at all 13% 9% 12% 6% 7% 10% 9%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,988) (641) (609) (494) (520) (598) (599)

57

Page 65: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

49. Unmarked Federal AgentsDo you approve or disapprove of the federal government using unmarked federal agents in its efforts to control the protesters in Portland?

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Approve 48% 50% 46% 36% 45% 54% 53% 53% 30% 45%

Disapprove 52% 50% 54% 64% 55% 46% 47% 47% 70% 55%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,964) (949) (1,016) (401) (491) (685) (387) (1,246) (236) (310)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Approve 48% 18% 49% 82% 15% 41% 82%

Disapprove 52% 82% 51% 18% 85% 59% 18%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,964) (635) (598) (492) (514) (591) (593)

58

Page 66: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKERJuly 21 - 24, 2020

50. Deploy Troops to CitiesIn general, should the federal government deploy troops to try to fight crime in large U.S. cities like New York, Chicago, San Francisco, or should that be leftto local and state law enforcement?

Gender Age Group Race/Ethnicity

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Should deploy troops 38% 39% 38% 33% 33% 42% 44% 43% 24% 35%

Left to local and state law enforcement 62% 61% 62% 67% 67% 58% 56% 57% 76% 65%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,972) (954) (1,018) (394) (493) (690) (395) (1,247) (242) (314)

Party ID Ideology

Total Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative

Should deploy troops 38% 16% 37% 67% 15% 33% 64%

Left to local and state law enforcement 62% 84% 63% 33% 85% 67% 36%

Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Weighted N (1,972) (635) (607) (494) (516) (595) (599)

59

Page 67: 2.5% - docs.cdn.yougov.com News... · CBS NEWS BATTLEGROUND TRACKER July 21 - 24, 2020 6. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November? Among likely voters not voting

HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED AND THEMARGIN OF ERROR CALCULATED

July 26, 2020

The CBS News survey is conducted by YouGov using a nationally representative sample of 2,008U.S. adult residents interviewed online between July 21-24, 2020.

This sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, and education based on the AmericanCommunity Survey, conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census, as well as 2016 Presidentialvote and registration status. “Likely voters” – respondents’ relative probabilities of voting – weredetermined using a model that takes into account self-reported likelihood of voting, along withother individual-level and aggregate factors. Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-inpanel to be representative of all U.S residents. The weights range from 0.1 to 5.5, with a meanof 1 and a standard deviation of 0.6.

The margin of error (a 95% confidence interval) for a sample percentage p based upon the entiresample is approximately 2.5% and approximately 3.1% when based upon the sample of likelyvoters. It is calculated using the formula

p̂± 100×

√1 + CV2

n

where CV is the coefficient of variation of the sample weights and n is the sample size usedto compute the proportion. This is a measure of sampling error (the average of all estimatesobtained using the same sample selection and weighting procedures repeatedly). The sampleestimate should differ from its expected value by less than margin of error in 95 percent ofall samples. It does not reflect non-sampling errors, including potential selection bias in panelparticipation or in response to a particular survey.

1