06 hasan ikhrata
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Transcript of 06 hasan ikhrata
1
Planning, Funding & Future TrendsA Regional Perspective
Hasan IkhrataExecutive Director
For
California Asphalt Paving Association
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What I’ll Cover
1. RTP/SCS Overview2. Implications and Opportunities
for the Asphalt Paving Industry
The World is Changing! Can we keep up?
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What I’ll Cover
1. RTP/SCS Overview2. Implications and Opportunities for the
Asphalt Paving Industry
The World is Changing! Can we keep up?
4
SCAG Region
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SCAG Region
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[21,690] miles of highways and arterials[470] miles of passenger rail[6] air carrier airports
[446 million] miles driven each day[81 million] air passengers each year[45%] more urban rail riders between 2000 and 2006[34%] of our jobs depend on the goods movement industry
State and federal gas taxes have not changed in nearly [20] yearsYet, highway construction costs have grown by [82%]
SCAG Region
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Regional Transportation Plan:3 Overarching Strategies
allocate
ONLY 13%capital investment
to highways
focus over
50%growth within
3%land area
FROM 7:3single- vs. multi-
family units
TO 3:7
Transportation Investment Trends - 1920
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Transportation Investment Trends - 1990
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Transportation Investment Trends - 2010
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Transportation Investment Trends – 2035 Plan
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Regional Transportation Plan:$525 billion (expenditures)
Funding Challenges
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Regional Transportation Plan:$525 billion (revenues)
New Revenue Sources and Innovative Financing Strategies
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• Local Sales Tax Measures & Bonding
• Gas Tax Adjustment
• Mileage-based User Fee
• Highway Tolls
• Private Equity Participation
• Freight Fee Program
• E-commerce Tax
• Interest From Toll Bonds
• Value-capture Strategies
New for 2012 RTP:Sustainable Communities Strategy
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• New state laws to control Greenhouse Gas Emissions (First-in-the-Nation)
• S.B. 375 requires RTP to attain GHG emissions targets for cars and light trucks
• SCS component of RTP outlines integrated land use and transportation strategies to meet targets
• Community livability, sustainability, prosperity “co-benefits” – Not just GHG reduction!
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A Game Changer for Southern California?
• Certified by federal agencies for conformity
• SCS target affirmed by ARB
• Praised in Wall Street Journal, LA Times, Huffington Post, and more
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• Cities and counties
• County Transportation Commissions
• Respective state agencies
• Business community
• Development Community
• Affordable housing advocates
• Air quality
• Public health advocates
Key Support for the RTP/SCS
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What I’ll Cover
1. RTP/SCS review
2. Implications and Opportunities for the Asphalt Paving Industry
The World is Changing! Can we keep up?
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Advancing Jobs in Our Region
Construction
Network Benefits Commuting Accessibility Transportation
174,500Annual Jobs
354,000Annual Jobs
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Major Highway Projects in the RTP
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Express/HOT Lane Network
Preservation & Operations Funding
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RTP allocates
ONLY 13%capital investment
to highways
Why?
• Deteriorating infrastructure – “Fix-it-First”
• Most counties focusing on transit investment
• Demographics…
Declining per-capita VMT
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VMT per capita for USA. Source: FHWA, Census Bureau
Growing Age Groups Drive Less
5.5
6.4
10.6
11.8
2.0
4.0
0 5 10 15 20 25
Population (millions)
Historic and Projected Population By Age Group
0-20
21-64
65+
2010
2035
30%
29%
59%
53%
11%
18%
Source: US Census Bureau, SCAG
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Emerging Opportunities for the Paving Industry
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System Preservation: Operations and Maintenance
RTP allocation of O&M Expenditures
Emerging Opportunities for the Paving Industry
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Active Transportation: Bicycle/Pedestrian Facilities
$6.7 billion in 2012 RTP/SCS
Key venue for new pavingtechnologies
Emerging Opportunities for the Paving Industry
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New Technologies: Emphasis on Sustainability
Colored, porous, recycled “green” materials
Add value, provide a service, not a commodity.
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Planning, Funding & Future TrendsA Regional Perspective
Hasan IkhrataExecutive Director
For
California Asphalt Paving Association